NFL Week 2 Picks: "Get the papers" | Chris Simms Unbuttoned (FULL Ep. 637) | NFL on NBC

Mike enlightens Chris on the origin of "Pizza pizza" [Music] when I do my picks with Foria we have our like we call it like our Johnny Cash you're dead in a gutter and like you know if you have to pick one more team you're dying in a gutter that's definitely going to win this stre I pick the Bengals yeah okay oh no he's already dead in the gutter seriously he took the Bengals I took the Saints I believe one worked out good job one did not that was one of the biggest surprises of week won the patriots beating the Bengals but we focus now on week two this is the pfpm Chris Sims unbutton PX podcast delivered by Little Caesars the official Pizza sponsor of the National Football League pizza pizza I like it they do pizza pizza because their original Hook was you got two pizzas oh so I remember Pizza I remember you're right you're right I don't know if I ever really put that together but I do remember being young and the whole two Pizza thing and yeah that's what led into that I never tied that together thank you there old wise man you for shedding that light on me eventually that changed and now people just think he is paying homage to Johnny two times from Good Fellas who got that nickname because get the papers get the papers twice I'm gonna get the papers get the papers okay hey wait one other thing one other thing with the Johnny Cash thing you know dead in the gutter somewhere right we need to keep score of that too like I'm I'm I'm dead once this year I'm already dead yeah so you're alive and I'm on my first death so I think we should keep score that I actually think that could be funny just as we go along by the way by the way it's Jimmy Two Times oh yeah I had Johnny Cash in my head it's Jimmy Two Times Johnny two times right gotcha gotm two times all right so that'll be good so yeah we we we do rarely get those wrong rarely get those wrong there's usually one game per week that we can look at and say that's a lock Mone line to the extent that you wager and we say if you do wager responsibly and only bet money that you can afford to lose but those are the ones I usually feel good about you did last week and as it turned out I'm dead and I got her somebody was eating cats somebody was eating cats in Ohio last Sunday that's all I can say at you're funny you're funny hey you should have been here yesterday I think we made I think we made 50 references some subtle some not so and and let me tell you all politics aside if you don't see the humor in that we can't be friends because there's just a Bas not you I'm talking about whoever's listening or watching there's a basic comedy element to it that if you refuse to accept that move along okay okay hello everybody week two big podcast last week we disagreed on four games I was three in one somehow somehow I got lucky I still strenuously objected to the photo at fumbling is airbrushed and painted by D Vinci look good well line photo that's how I was made by the heavens that's how I look okay the heavens set me down looking like that and you look like a dishevel lawyer on the left that's very fitting against the spread and I never pay attention to against the spread because usually I suck 105 and one means you're making money baby 10 five and one against the Jimmy Two Times don't like you this week you you're they're going to they're going to stop taking my bets cuz you know if you do too well they shut you out even if you're not counting cards sorry take your business elsewhere we don't want somebody who actually you know wins on a regular basis you were three and0 Best Bets well done I was two- one thanks for nothing Green Bay Packers um so you know you do have at least one little feather in your C oh thank you thank you for giving me that little feather I appreciate that long year lots of fun I love doing in this pod so this will be great I I feel good I mean my first thought is I'm 13-3 I'm 10 games over 500 that gives me some cushion to up you know in the coming weeks sorry Kristen okay get bold today go ahead all right uh every week this season by the way you can play along with us DraftKings has set up the free $11,000 Florio and Sims Pick and Pull pick every game against the spread for a chance at a $1,000 prize pull every single week download the DraftKings app click on the pools Tab and Enter The floron Sims free $1,000 pick and pool to make your picks and just like us you've got to enter all your picks before kickoff to the first game of the week on Thursday night even if you think Christ mcaffry is playing on Monday night and you end up being wrong too bad you can't change your picks once he's inactive and I'm still pissed about that okay let's move forward uh Thursday Night Football TNF: Bills at Dolphins a big one right out of the gates Amazon can't complain about the quality of the Slate here come the Buffalo Bills into Miami they have to be happy it's not the middle of a day in September when they get melted on that sideline Sun sits and bakes them and the Dolphins are in shade everybody's going to be in shade it's going to be under the lights tonight dolphins favorite now two t by is one and six against the bills all time dolphins are favored by two and a half over under a 48.5 the Tyreek Hill stuff from Sunday seem to Galvanize the team Omar Kelly of the Miami Herold was on with me earlier he said that they were going to arrest those guys Ty killing Clay Campbell they weren't going to play until the Dolphins intervened and they were released that would have been something on Sunday but as it stands the Dolphins trying to make it 2 and 0 trying to beat the Buffalo Bills and take over first place in the AFC East who do you like and why yeah I I I I do think it brought that team together right it's one of those like ined consequences of a a very weird and odd odd situation that a rally a locker room together uh Mike the first thing I think of is the first thing you said Shawn mcder and and Company have Mike McDaniel and the Miami Dolphins number there's no doubt about that he's one of the first people that kind of let's say crack the code to a degree on the you know Mike McDaniel awesome highflying offense and has found ways to slow that down has done really good right I think I saw a stat that something like in the last three games they've played the Dolphins I think they've only scored like 37 35 points against the bills something like that three three games combined Maybe maybe I'm wrong about that but either way it's a very real aspect that mcder has good feel for it right the other side of the ball you look at listen I think the Dolphins have more Talent on their team it goes back to what we always say and what we always talk about I like the bills you know that but I still think they miss difference makers maybe Gregory rouso and Von Miller can really be that on the defensive side of the ball they looked good last week right I just want to see if that can continue I've seen Russo look good early in the season before and then kind of off so with all that and what I'm saying I'm going to pick the Miami Dolphins I am and I'm picking them strictly because hey I think the whole tough thing win tough games is truly going to be a mantra for them yeah the bringing together of the incident last week right the fact that they've lost all these games the bills I think it's going to you know put a little chip on their shoulder to prove them wrong there and I don't think the bills have enough Playmakers when it's all said and done to hang with the Miami Dolphins that's what worries me but of course Josh Allen and his greatness is the great equalizer and that scares me on the other side I'm going to go Dolphins 2420 here on the Thursday night game I actually decided to go with the bills on this 2723 I'm influenced by two his struggles against Buffalo the one win came two years ago the day he had the back injury remember that that was the day Ken dorsy went boncos in the Press Box and threw stuff everywhere he's no longer the offensive coordinator in Buffalo it's now Joe Brady who took over last year and did a good job for me what happened on Sunday what was the difference for you what happened on Sunday I think it's the kind of thing and we've seen this before you have an emotional day an emotional win but it takes something out of you yeah I hear that there's there's a price to be paid on the back end and it has been a distraction you've got Tyreek Hill talking about it at length at press conferences doing CNN interviews NBC night news interviews Mike McDaniel emotional about it there's just a lot of stuff that everyone's had to unpack and process on a short week and that becomes a very real distraction you didn't self-inflicted it happened it landed in your laps you're dealing with it and I think that makes it harder for the Dolphins to muster the same magic and the magic almost didn't show up last week I give them credit yeah starting with Javon Holland punching the ball out of Travis atn's hands that is what turned it around for the Dolphins and the bills had to do the same kind of thing a little bit of a magic trick the Cardinals were up then the bills were up then the bills tried to blow it but I just think the traditional Mastery of the Dolphins by the bills in recent years right and you throw that that incident on there yes it was fuel on Sunday by Thursday the tank might be a little empty I think it's too much to ask for the Dolphins to be as focused and driven and together they'll be together but something's going to be missing and I think the Bills take advantage of that 2723 all right it's going to be good either way I think we get a great game tonight we know that and there is some studs on the field I I hear you there I'm going to the angle of just McDaniels is going to be sick of getting beat by mcder and they're going to have something for them different tonight to maybe crack the code we'll see where it goes but I think your points are very real and things that I thought about certainly to go over to the Buffalo side this one's a to me is a tossup it definitely won't be my best bet and with the two and a half point spread that's the the clear sign the The Shining signal that not even Vegas is quite sure about this game that that's what they always do with that one there and this game is critical for the Miami Dolphins Omar Kelly made that point earlier because if you lose this one at home to the bills you have to go there November third who knows what the we will be that day we nine and if you get swept you have to make up three games elsewhere to overcome the bills because you're down two and they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker if you're tie to top the division when it's all said and done all right we move to Sunday the Baltimore Ravens getting a little extra rest coming out of the SUNDAY EARLY: Raiders at Ravens Thursday night opener apparently Lamar Jackson benefited from it he didn't practice Monday Monday he's completely off the injury report which is good news for the Ravens there was some concern he had a lingering issue from getting banged around with 16 carries on Thursday night the Ravens are favored by eight and a half it's the biggest spread of the week the Raiders fell to the Chargers to start the season there was at least one questionable coaching decision that day and there is questionable quarterback play for the Raiders I think we both believe the Ravens are going to win this I don't think that's a stretch to say that they'll hold serve at home the question is can they overcome the eight and a half points yeah I I'm going to say yes and and of course yes I'm going with them and I think they will cover I think you're going to see a a pissed off right a pissed off Baltimore Ravens football team that's going to be mad that they in their eyes let one slip away right they were out by an inch and who knows where the game goes but uh but in all honesty I think they're a team that is is just on a different level than the the Las Vegas Raiders at this point right can can Max Crosby and Company and Christian Wilkins create some havoc and maybe create a few turnovers and do something like may maybe but I gotta see it to believe it right there I I look at Baltimore and go hey Lamar is on a mission certainly I think that offense will continue to get better as we go here they're not going to have to rely on him scrambling and doing all that and then you kind of hit on it Mike the thing I worry about the most is the Raiders offense right it's it's one of the Lesser starting quarterbacks in football certainly it's not a ton of weapons at receiver and there's no ground game that's proven or shown us yet to meigo oh they're they'll go B to Baltimore and be able to control the clock and run the football like absolutely not so I worry about all those things uh let alone Baltimore is a tough place to play I'm clearly going with the Baltimore Ravens 3417 I'm taking them uh at home on this one if anything we've come to know about the Baltimore Ravens and John Harbaugh over the past 16 years has any relevance will not lose this game and they will win it convincingly and this will be the way they get the bad taste out of their mouths for the opportunity that was missed last Thursday night I feel bad for the Raiders they're walking into a tough tough spot and I think they probably know it now they got nothing to lose maybe they can surprise us and if they would all of a sudden we feel very differently about the Baltimore Ravens but the there's no reasonable basis to believe that the outcome will be anything other than a smothering Victory by the Ravens 27-1 is my score so we both have that 17-point margin I've just got fewer points than you do to get to the same place let's move on to the LA Chargers at Panthers Chargers Sixpoint Road favorites which is not surprising when you consider they are facing the Carolina Panthers who were blown off the field by the New Orleans Saints the end of my power rankings this week I got to share with you the hammer for the last three teams I said number 30 the Raiders by Halloween Devonte Adams is going to be wearing a Jets costume 31 the Giants by Thanksgiving bill bich is going to be looking for property in New Jersey 32 David terer by Columbus Day he's going to be throwing drinks on himself so I like that it was that bad it was that bad last week I don't see it getting any better go ahead I think we're going to be on the same page with this I'm definitely taking the Chargers I don't think anything's going to be sexy here right I don't know if the Chargers are capable of looking sexy with the new Jim Harbaugh style of football but that's hey they've taken the Mantra we kind of talked about this on Monday on PFT right they're going to be a little bit like Hey we're going to play sound we're going to play physical and we're not going to mess up and you'll mess up and lose the game and when you do that we'll take advantage of it it's kind it's kind of what happened last week it's kind of the M Mo of Jim Harbaugh that's why it's never been oh my gosh look at their team look at their offense look at all these great plays but what is there to look at at Carolina right now they lost their best defensive player and Derek Brown hands down their best defensive player they got torn up in the past game by big plays last week and they got a guy this week that yeah there's not a lot of weapons but we know Justin Herbert could throw the ball down the field as good as anybody in the game so those are working against the Panthers let alone I mean come on how can you pick any game with the Panthers offense and Bryce young a quarterback right now that's just a simple fact of the matter let alone I I don't know the status of Joey Bosa I know he got a little banged up in the game but man the D line of the charges and stuff they were around menu last week they look good so uh I certainly think that's going to fluster and bother Bryce young who has yet to really look comfortable in any game as an NFL starting quarterback I am going Chargers 21 Panthers 13 23-7 is my score look I know you mentioned Justin Herbert and at some point when we look at how the Chargers are going to play under under Jim Harbaugh yeah it's a lot of money to pay to a guy that's going to be handing the ball off especially in a game where they can in a game like this you said it Derrik Brown's out just overpower run the ball run the ball pound them into submission demoralize them build a lead and force Bryce young to do something and I feel bad for Bryce young he shouldn't have been the first overall pick in the draft what the hell the Panthers were thinking and it put extra pressure on him and it allows him to be perceived as a failure it's going to be harder for him to get his second chance when the opportunity for one inevitably comes because he's going to have this stigma of abject and complete failure he should not have been the first overall pick and it's a sh and they traded I mean what they gave up the rights to Caleb Williams to get Bryce young it's as bad as it can be for Bryce young I've yet to see anything that makes us think he's going to deliver on the promise that made him the first overall pick and I feel like the wheels are already off for the Carolina Panthers and at least this year when they earn the first overall pick they'll be able to use it come April y i I hear you there now one thing I want to say is they weren't the only team with Bryce young as their number one quarterback on the board so I will give them the benefit of the doubt there all right and as I as I've told you before and all that too the Houston Texans would have took Bryce young number one if they had a choice I know they all everybody thinks they look like Geniuses right now but Bryce young was number one on their board they can say what they want I know the truth a lot of people know the truth I think you know the truth so yeah but it hasn't looked good and hey partly is the team and all the things you said hopefully they can kind of get that going in the right direction they made investments in that offensive line hopefully it plays better this week hopefully they can run the ball a little bit and help Bryce young that way because he's certainly not capable of carrying the team with his right arm or doing anything like that right now and let me just say this too this isn't about Bryce young because I think back still to 1999 you flipped Donovan McNab and achill Smith between the Bengals and the Eagles and maybe ailly Smith is a fringe Hall of Famer and Don McNab lasted two years in the NFL if you put Bryce young in Houston with everything they have there and the coaching staff that they've had the last two years maybe he'd be a lot better it looked better for sure I wouldn't I don't he got thrown into a a vat of dysfunction and it's going to stick to him that's my point they traded up to get him they gave up so much to get him they put so much into it I feel bad for him and I hope he gets a fair shot somewhere else when it runs its course in Carolina next up New Orleans Saints taking on the Dallas Cowboys and Saints at Cowboys it's Tom Brady calling the game cow Cowboys two weeks in a row I thought they'd send him to New England for Seahawks Patriots but it's Saints Cowboys for some reason I had in my brain this game was going to be played in new orans I'm glad that it's that it's corrected here it is at the Cowboys the Cowboys are Sixpoint favorites and the over under is 47 both teams won both teams were impressive but the Saints beat the Panthers and the Cowboys won at Cleveland who do you like in this one well you know this it's an interesting matchup I saw some things from the Saints in that game right when I even when I went back and watch it that I was impressed with the their old line is still very good there in New Orleans and if Derek Carr is willing to stand in the pocket and throw the ball down the field and he's got some guys that can bring some heat now and stretch the field with rased Shahed and Crystal Lavan company uh they can be dangerous if Derek Carr continues to be good in the pocket and play with an aggressive mindset and that's the thing I love the most Alvin Kamar camarra still looks damn good on the offensive side of the ball they got weapons there so I I and they look like they got a little attitude their defense isn't overly talented but they got some players in the secondary and they're extremely well coached right I'm picking the Dallas Cowboys but this is one that again I don't feel real great I like if there's an upset that could happen this week I think this is one of the ones you put a star next to and go I I could see this one happening Cowboys feeling great right doing all that this is going to be a different game plan they're not going to get crazy blitzers all the time like they did in Cleveland and be able to expose it that way and I think they're going to have a more you know functioning offense in New Orleans that they're going against unlike Cleveland last week where uh yeah it know field position and things like that'll be an issue but at the end of the day I think Dallas is just more talented of a football team I like what I saw from Mike Zimmer on the D and I think their offense has got enough Talent there to move that ball on that Dennis Allen defense I picked at 2317 I see the spread is six I'm going to go 2217 instead so I will have the Saints covering that six points threading the six-point needle look I I I always tell people after week one if you won the game you have no idea how bad the team is you beat so you don't know how much stock to put in the performance I think the Saints fall into that category because they beat arguably the worst team in football just like the Vikings they beat maybe the second worst team in football the Cowboys went into Cleveland and embarrassed the Browns and you know they're at home Mike Zimmer and Micah Parsons have a great connection it's still early people are healthy this just feels like remember how good the Cowboys were at home last year until they weren't in the playoffs this just feels like one of those days it just feels like one of those days when the Cowboys are going to have everything clicking and the Saints aren't going to just fold their tents and get blown out it's going to be close but I'm going to go 34-26 Cowboys win and just beat the number by a couple of points um and and it should be an exciting game it's one of the rare occasions that we have the Cowboys at 1:00 Eastern when I see that time like what what they're always prime time they're always 425 but that's a rare in the cluster of 1:00 games and it could be a good one it could end up being a very exciting finish right and again it's another Tom Brady game if you're inclined to pick which game you watch based upon who the announcer is that's Buccaneers at Lions where you'll find Tommy on Sunday all right anything more on that one before move on no I think I think we hit it Buccaneers at the Lions rematch of the division round game that we were at last year and the Buccaneers gave the Lions fifths and but for some Curious decisions not to call timeouts when the Lions were in the process of botching clock management down the stretch one of the most under reported or discussed or analyzed moments of the year last year it's like it never even happened so the Bucks nobody believes in them except me they're going to Detroit they're taking on the line Lions who barely beat a Rams team that's already got seven guys on injur reserve do the Bucks who are extra motivated by this Baker Mayfield's talked about it can they go into Fort field they're not sneaking in the back door this time they're kicking in the front door can they go in there and come out with a win right and oh by the way there's seven and a half Point underdogs in this seven and a half points with an over under a 51 yeah yeah it's it's it's interesting you know and and the the Bucks are one of those teams that like I know is good definitely but to to your point of what you just said about some of the other teams I'm not sure how good Washington is right they're in a rebuild mode we know that you there's nothing special there so I'm like okay that was a good win they they Baker Mayfield was awesome there's no doubt about that I like their offensive line right I like the way they attacked and and of course I like their receivers how can you not and I think Baker Mayfield is going to be even more comfortable in year two in Tampa Bay even though the offense is slightly different but not a huge change really schematically okay so I like that but Detroit I still look at them and go hey I know they didn't play great last week but I think what you saw at the end of the game is closer to what they're going to be now like this week hey they got they got a few quarters under their belt the offensive line started to steamroll as that game went on and we saw it in overtime ran the ball every play down the field I think except for one throw so I look at Detroit and still go I think it's one of the most talented teams in football I look at it and go I think they kind of knocked the rust off last week and I I think they're I I guess what I'm saying is I even trust their coaches a little bit more to take that divisional playoff game and find the new way to attack maybe more than I trust Tampa Bay I'm going to go with the Lions here and I'm kind of riding this spread I'm going Lions 3424 like in a game that's really closer than that but the Lions kick a late field goal to kind of put it away something like that score being misleading but I think points will be a plenty in this one because because of the styles of the offense and Jameson Williams added the Lions watch out like I've been saying uh that adds a different Dynamic to their football team but I like the Lions last Thursday when we were in Kansas City doing the pic podcast delivered by Little Caesar pizza pizza I accused you on a couple of occasions of allowing your narrative to inform your pick I did it when you pick the Cardinals over the bills may have done it when you pick the Jaguars over the Dolphins fully aware of the admonition that I directed at you last week I am allowing my narrative to inform my pick thank you because if the Buccaneers are going to be as good this year as I think they are right one of the necessary foundational pieces is to go up to Michigan and eat some cats the Buccaneers crazy the dogs the dogs will be eating the cats in this one the S and A Half Point Underdog will win the game 2320 and I know you don't like to hear that Buccaneers fans Buccaneers players Buccaneers coaches you want everyone to be against you you're not going to find that here I believe in the Bucks this year and I think the commanders are better than we realize it's just the Buccaneers are very good and my narrative for the year yeah Buccaneers are a final four team one way to prove you're a final four team is to rectify the outcome of the final eight performance from last year so I got 2320 all right Hey listen I I won't be shocked EI that way either right I even like I said with my 10-point victory I'm not I think it's like a close 10 points if that makes sense the other thing that I forgot to bring up that before we go to the next game is kijah cany right he didn't play last week that bothers me I don't know what his status is as we sit here and film this on a Thursday right but I have a hard time feeling that he'll be 100% for the game and that worries me against what I would call one of the top five offensive lines in the game in Detroit did not practice on Wednesday and look at what they did to the Rams defensive line that's what I worry about a little and over time but doesn't it we got to move on but the fact that the Rams the mash unit and the Lions still still let him hang around like the two playoff wins last year against the Rams and the Bucks were not overwhelming no they were not and they didn't overwhelm the Rams this week and I think they won't overwhelm the Bucks this week and I think the Bucks will avenge the Colts at Packers outcome from January the Green Bay Packers home opener against the indianapol Colts Jordan love is out with that MCL sprain they hope he'll be back week four week five or did they rule him out yet I don't know Matt laflor said they did not rule him out as yesterday so I mean I know but I'm just I'm just throwing it out there just so we are transparent that would be if he's back for week two that would be something and he would be standing on one leg Andor playing like Kirk Cousins we'll talk more about that coming up yeah but let's just assume he's not going to play Let's because because it it did not look good he were thrilled I'm told with the MRI results they were the best they could have possibly expected right given the injury that occurred and if you watch that video you can see the knee something in the knee pops it's amazing he's going to be back as soon as week four and if he would come back by week two unbelievable the Colts are favored by three at Lambo field it's weird to look at that and process that the Colts who lost at home week one to the Texans favored by three points at the Green Bay Packers with an over under a 40.5 who do you like in this one well it's easy to look at the Colts and just go well yeah I'm going to go with the Colts right they they did some good things last week certainly and yeah the the Green Bay Packers don't have Jordan love I'm I'm picking the game as if like that as well I get that right but I I think it's more even than that and I think there's a little more complexity than that one I still think Green Bay is super talented anybody you go back and watch that game in Brazil last week they should have been up significantly more points early on in the football game they blew some opportunities yeah we give the Eagles some credit too the field affected them a little bit they played sloppy but I still think Green Bay is one of the better teams in the sport let alone their roster is Tip Top too I like the Colts roster but as you've always heard me say and what I talk about I still don't know if I think there's a ton of difference making play player makers Playmakers excuse me on either side of the ball I have all the respect in the world for Shane stien and what he does as an offensive coordinator But ultimately the thing that scares me is the thing that's maybe their greatest treasure or greatest you know Gem and that's Anthony Richardson just like last week There's No sustain consistency and I think it's hard to just go well yeah he's going to miss 10 or 15 just slam dunk completions but he'll make two or three wow plays every week and that's how we'll score our points I don't think that's realistic and then you go up to Green Bay and with this defense and they're a little more creative on what they do on that side of the ball than the houon Texans were who just kind of do Seattle scheme and this is what we do I don't like that for Anthony Richardson too he's young he's developing he still hasn't seen a lot of defenses and everything there and the other aspect of this is the Packers traded for Malik Willis now yeah I wish he'd be there longer but I will say Malik Willis played really well in the preseason in Tennessee I think he fits this offense more than actually he fit the Tennessee offense I think this is perfect for him play action throw the ball down the field that's who he is very Jordan lovees and I think they'll they'll know how to manage him I'm going to go with the upset here I'm going to go with the culture of the Packers and what they are as a football team and being at home that they pull off the upset 20 to 17 and uh get to one and one I got 17 13 Packers look W you did it too wow I didn't think you would I I mean I you're right about Anthony Richardson he had that incredible throw where he like slipped and cranked it and it hit Alec Pearson's stride but you're right it's not there on a consistent basis it's going to be a little overwhelming for him at at Lambo field you know I look at the Jonathan Taylor returning to Wisconsin and maybe that gives him a little kick in the ass but Josh Jacobs knows he's got to do more than he did last week it's impossible to read a lot into what happened last Friday night because the field was so bad exactly it was so bad guys slipping sliding all over the place was embarrassment for the NFL and I said this recently Chris the NFL was lucky because they had the full Saturday college football bright shiny objects and they didn't have weekday talk radio shows that could have killed them for allowing that game to proceed under those circumstances then by Sunday it was more bright shiny objects by Monday that's what we were focusing on what happened on Sunday they were lucky they didn't get it worse for that they should have so that game I throw it out the Packers are still an elite team they're my NFC Super Bowl team even without Jordan love they got enough there to beat a Colts team that is still a little too up and down for my liking 1713 by the way the spread was Green Bay minus 5 Browns at Jaguars before the injury so we had an eight-point swing from Jordan love going out Browns at the Jaguars over under a 41 and a half Jaguars favored by three both teams are 0 and one Jacksonville should be 1-0 Browns had no chance at all on Sunday who do you like in this one well it's interesting it's it's desperate time you know I don't want to say desperate but when you're both 0 and one and you're looking at a team they go well I'm I'm competing for with this team to an AFC playoff spot man to go 0 and two and all that you know again I don't want to say desperate but it's a big football game for both teams Jacksonville they played each other last year Jacksonville showed the propensity to be able to move the ball on the jacksonv on the Cleveland defense as good as it was they made some plays they had a they made a few mistakes too where Trevor Lawrence messed up a few things and certainly but I don't expect to see that Trevor Lawrence in this one I think Jacksonville is going to be a better football team and I think we saw a glimpse of that last week let alone some of their West Coast principles and how they play that I do think will help against some of these buts packages that Cleveland does Cleveland's got to readjust a little bit it's two games in a row that teams have kind of showed hey we know how to make some big plays and do some things against all this aggressive stuff are they going to continually just play like this I think it's something to watch out for and then ultimately you got to be encouraged with Jacksonville's defense last week going back and watching that they gave the Dolphins a hard time the Dolphins could not get going at all right they got talent Jacksonville at all three levels of their defense and when you couple that with I don't trust Deshawn Watson and the Cleveland offense to do Jack diddly right now yeah I'm going with Jacksonville in this one uh I'm a Believer in Jacksonville still I'm taking them 28 to6 at home I got 2720 because that was enough to cover the spread and I don't need to have Browns fans any more riled up at me than they already are although many are happy with me because we've been at the Forefront of the reporting and Analysis that could result in the Browns getting out from under the remaining two years after this season of the Deshawn Watson contract but Watson was rough last week and talk about distractions he gets sued on Monday they've had to deal with it all week long he got peppered with questions about it yesterday and he's got to worry about what happens next he's got $92 million riding on whether or not the NFL suspends him if if the this potential claim wasn't on the list that was given to the Browns when he signed and I can't get a straight answer as to whether it was on the list which tells me it wasn't on the list and he's facing possibly having the guarantees void that's a lot to process and you're going into play a better team and you've got all the concerns about your confidence anyway I think it just becomes an avalanche potentially I could see a blowout here 49ers at Vikings by the Jaguars over the Browns we'll see how it goes 2720 is my official pick 49ers at the vik I don't know we're going to be blowing the horn much on Sunday we saw it last year on a Monday night best game of Kirk Cousins career crack the cat on the San Francisco defense beat the hell out of Brock py concussed him not intentionally but it just happens when you dive over the line of scrimmage you're possibly going to get hit in the head which he did played different after he took that concussion maybe should have had a closer evaluation have been taken out of the game but the Vikings found a way to win held off the 49ers now the 49ers has come in short week 5 and A2 Point favorites Vikings home opener over under a 45.5 who do you like well you know you always pick first when it's the Vikings come on I mean it's five years together pick the game you know what is this works Paul Allen was on with me this morning when I was you know hosting PFT live alone because I've been abandoned on Thursdays and and Paul Allen was making the case for the Vikings to win cuz that's kind of what he's paid to do the short week I think I mean when you consider Brandon iuk held in didn't practice until recently yeah Trent Williams held out didn't practice until recently Jordan Mason 28 carries and he said to Christian mcaffry during the game I don't know how the hell you do it if mcaffrey can't go I mean this could be a 49ers team that it's a little you know a little beat up even though they manhandled the Jets that hurts doing what they did you're going to feel it the next day and you got to fly from San Francisco to Minnesota on a short week and the Vikings have the home opener and they had an easier day week one against the Giants right I could see I could see it happening now we don't know about McCaffrey's status and you know we thought we knew last week but this week who the hell knows I I still can't I still can't blow the horn for the Vikings on this one I'll believe it when I see it I am going to try to have it both ways 20 to 17 Vikings cover but I feel like at the end of the day the 49ers find a way to win and move to 2 and0 and the Viking should feel good about the effort but I can't imagine them winning this game I I I mean this won't be a best bet for me I can tell you that I I don't I look at this game and and like I said about a game or two before this to me is a coin toss game I I do think Minnesota matches up you mentioned some of the things uh that make sense and at the end of the day too the number one thing is I I think the Minnesota Vikings are one of the best coach teams in all football and that's where I like it oconnell is shown the ability to kind of know this defense now this defense is a little different and I think soron has a few little changes to things here on the defensive side of the ball as compared to just the normal Seattle scheme stuff that they've done there so much so that that influence him Brandon Staley I think you'll see a few new wrinkles from that 49ers defense OK connell's amazing though I think it's going to be an incredible matchup there and I Minnesota's all events in a lot of ways is is built between the receivers they have because the 49ers aren't super talented in the secondary and then they have one of the best pass protecting o lines in football you know other than uh Dexter Lawrence last week nobody else could get close to Sam darnold so that's where you look at that and then the other side of the ball B Flo Brian Flores is definitely one of the best D coordinators in football and if there's anybody that can match wits with Shanahan it's him and you talk about mcaffrey why would they play mcaffrey I'm I took the game like they they're not going to play him and then I auk yeah is definitely like is he going to be what we think he is yet I don't know if he will be Trent Williams was awesome I have no doubt about him I'm going to take the 49ers though just like you and a last minute field goal 2321 like I said but it will not be my best bet it's funny I thought about 2321 as a score thank God I didn't although based on last week if we have the exact same score take that to bank cuz that's what Seahawks at Patriots happened 2720 all because of Isaiah likely's big toe the Seahawks at the Patriots a rematch of Super Bowl 49 the Seahawks are favored by three and a half in New England both teams are 1 and0 both teams with first year head coaches over under of 38 and a half who do you have and why well I again Jared j or Jared Mayo Gerard Mayo excuse me he can coach some defense and there are some players on that defensive side of the ball uh as far as the New England Patriots so I don't look at it and go well Seattle's just going to be able to do whatever they want on that side now the encouraging thing with Seattle is I think their offensive line is good enough this year where they actually might be able to run the ball with Kenneth Walker I know he's a little banged up and Mis practiced yesterday something like the oblique or whatever and that does scare me right Seattle is clearly the more talented football team but on the road in New England that defense and what New England did running the football and I think they're going to play that style of football run the football chew clock up limit the other team's possessions do all that I'm going to take the Seahawks but I think this is a close one and a low-scoring football game at that 1917 Seahawks on the road I'm glad that I don't look at the lines before I make the picks now because I don't want the lines to influence my first your first thought and that happened that happened last week and it worked out I don't want to be I don't want to be tainted by the line because if I would have seen the line i' been I I probably would have been more inclined to take the Seahawks I think the Patriots win this game I mean yeah the Seahawks were at home against a rookie quarterback and you really can't read a whole lot into that the Patriots went on the road to Cincinnati and they looked good and they played tough physical football opportunistic great running game I I think that home opener this new era and Tom Curran did a great job explaining today on PFT live how they're different but similar to how they've been in the past how many guests did you have on the damn show today you're like the vill bicy huh that's you are I had I I had to F two hours because I was abandoned I like the Patriots to win this game 16 to 13 because the Patriots are just different enough from how they were in a good way to get to 2 and0 and then that sets up a hell of a game next Thursday Jets at Titans night against the Jets speaking of the Jets they came home from San Francisco and now they go to Tennessee short week at the Titans Jets favored by three and a half Titans should be 1 and0 will Levis had the carts Wentz moment that handed the game to the Bears over under a 41 who do you like yeah I like the Jets right but I don't feel like totally comfortable about it I have them covering the spread but again I I'm not really ready to bet on that and do that I'm not I I mean one see what scares me the Jets defense we know is super talented but this is the problem when You Face Shanahan week one Shanahan now has laid a blueprint out and exposed some of the things the Jets do on the defensive side of the ball a guy like Bill Callahan the offensive line coach of the Tennessee Titans he's going to pick up on some of that and realize exactly schematically what was being done what they did and as we know it becomes a copycat league and when you see positive on film against another really good team you start to it starts to give you other ideas that are maybe not exactly the same but ooh somewhat similar and we could do this like the 49ers so that scares me a little bit in that aspect and I still am not looking at going oh man they got Aaron Rogers and they're just going to take off offensively and and Aaron Rogers it was good but I didn't love the way it looked I'm not sitting here ready to go he's ready to take over the league or like Tom Brady says he's a top five quarterback get the out of here with that comment he's no way all right so all right I'm going Jets on the road because yeah I don't trust will Levis and that offense versus this Jets defense and I think Aaron Rogers and them will just do enough I'm taking the Jets sorry 20 to4 on the road so you have the Jets winning and covering as do I 246 I think this is one of those games and I hate to call week two must win but if the Jets are going to weather this storm of traveling all over the place they got to get a win they've got to get a win and this is a game that we would have looked at going into the season saying they should win it now the Titans were better than we thought they would be week one which gives me some hesitation and I agree with you completely there may be some stuff that the Titans have picked up from Monday night that they can use but I think this is if the Jets are going to be anything close to what they need to be this year they have to win this game they they don't the pressure up here will be enormous it'll be WF just you know Boomer and Gio people Giants at Commanders like go this rosal's got to get the hell out of here Rogers got to get the hell out of here all right next game Giants at commanders you went right to it no because it's the Gman and you keep touting the commander so I let's get after it kid here we go well look I'm a big believer in the Commanders making it to the playoffs this year I know are and I don't put a lot of stock in what happened to them in week one because I think the Buccaneers are really damn good I don't like the fact that Jaden Daniels was still running the ball when the game was decided but he emerged from it healthy as far as we know and I know that they they play each other tough but this whole Giants thing is crumbling and there's going to be a line right back to the offseason Hard Knocks they destroyed Daniel Jones confidence and I think that it's already an avalanche I think the commanders win the game and let me just confirm my score I had the window open 24 to1 I like the wow commanders to win this game 24-1 in their home opener year two of Josh Harris all right that well I'm going with the gmen here all right I'm going with it I'm going with the gmen a little bit for the opposite reason you're saying that this is like almost a must-win I'm telling you the world's about to turn on the Giants up here Daniel Jones I I think if they don't win this week I wouldn't be shocked if he's bch for week three that that's that's it's it's that big if D ball who for who drew lock right Drew lock or or there no it'll be it'll be Drew lock it'll be Drew lock but I I think this is big this week I do I think it's that desperate I think if the the day ball is going to feel it I'm telling you they're they're on the brink of calling for everybody's head in New York here with the Giants and the way they looked in that first game that was a disaster it was an embarrassment I think they're going to bounce back I think their dline can be an issue for Washington's o line I do and I don't think Washington's D line is good enough to just totally expose this Giants o line that's better but not great as we know and I don't think Washington's very good in the secondary and the Giants do have some heat at receiver I'm going Giants 1716 I'm going to say desperation pulls off a tight one well uh okay see how that plays out now we have to take a break now I'm multitasking I'm working on something in one of the big cases currently in the NFL the Deshawn Watson thing I'm going to post about it right after the show so I got a little distracted there because I I have a development okay development that will be documented at PFT as soon as we're done when we return the late games from Sunday afternoon of week two including the Bengals and the Kansas City Chiefs that's next toer on pfpm and Chris Sims on bu [Music] draftking sports book is the number one place to bet touchdowns and new customers can bet $5 and get $250 in bonus bets instantly plus get one month of NFL Plus premium download the app and use promo code PFT live when you sign up draftking sports book The Crown is yours and please as always bet responsibly SUNDAY LATE: Rams at Cardinals okay late afternoon Sunday week two LA Rams at the Arizona Cardinals Shawn McVey has had the Cardinals number through a variety of different coaches over the years Cardinals are still favored by one with an over under of 48 Rams have seven guys on IR headlined by puuka AA multiple offensive linemen from the starting lineup are on IR do the Rams who nearly pulled off the victory over the lions with all those injuries do they beat the Cardinals in Arizona Chris well I I um this is a this is a coin toss game here too to me this is going to be a close one I liked a lot of things that I saw about Arizona they blew a opportunities they certainly got to get Marvin Harrison Jr involved in the offense better that was a little concerning right I I mean again the things that we were worried about kind of in the draft process kind of showed up in that game and I don't know maybe there was an injury there because I you see some of the other stuff about like how fast he was running on the field and it was uh very slow to to say the least the injuries with the Rams bother me they do I their bread and butter of their football team right now is their run game o line and that running back and then the two receivers they have they don't have that and would this week like this is not Josh Allen this is Matthew Stafford Josh Allen won that game last week because of his ability to get out of the pocket and make things happen Stafford's not going to do that I'm going to take the Cardinals at home here to win this one 2724 and get to one and one and the Rams will be 0 and2 which I can't believe I'm saying really I think the Rams are going to be in every game as long as Matthew Stafford is able to roll out of bed and suit up and play he had a quote yesterday about the injuries he doesn't care he's not going to shrug next man up and they they have guys like Tyler Johnson who came on and he was kind of Forgotten he was a rookie back in 2020 with the Buccaneers made a big catch in the postseason who's he here he comes P puka AA out no big deal Cooper cup big game from him I think the Rams will be fine I think Shawn McVey understands the urgency of this one Matthew Stafford Steelers at Broncos realizes it they're used to having success against his team I think they win 24-22 Steelers at the Broncos Russell Wilson getting a chance for oh wait Justin Fields likely to start for the Pittsburgh Steelers at the Denver Broncos Steelers favored by two and a half over under a 36.5 that's the lowest of the week can the Steelers who found a way to grind it out with defense and field goals last week go to Denver and get to two and0 Chris I think so I I'm not going to take the rookie quarterback against this Pittsburgh defense and his first home opener I just can't do it and again it was it was you know not it didn't look good last week on Denver's offensive side of the ball he looked like a rookie quarterback that was like whoa you know the regular season defenses and the first team defense is a whole different ball game here and again I don't think Denver is so talented on that side of the ball that they can just overcome it and the rookie quarterback can do some of that I do think the Broncos defense will be a pain in the butt certainly but this just seems like the most perfect stealer game ever it seems like we're going to be just like we saw last week and the way their defense looked yeah I'm going to go with it and I like the way they ran the ball and I think Justin Fields will get better I'm going Steelers 1913 I got 1914 and as I was sitting here I was think and of 19 how the hell do we both land on 19 I see four field goals and I thought about changing 14 to 13 because it's like are the Broncos really going to SC score two touchdowns that's kind of what I did that's what I did right uh you know what you know what they'll score one and wait they'll go for two and not get at never mind either wayk 1914 I'm confused myself maybe they'll score one go for two and get two field goals that's how we get to that's how we get Bengals at Chiefs to 14 uh 1914 and 1913 Steelers 2-0 Bengals at the Chiefs Bengals a little desperation Joe burrow one and8 in week one and week two in his career and now he's got to go to Arrowhead Stadium with that we talked about this on PFT live when you weren't there with me the constant movement of the rist constantly and he's got an explanation for it nothing to see here I think something to see here and we know the Chiefs something to see they're fiveo under or excuse me fiveo favorites with a few days extra rest 47 a half over under I have a feeling we're both picking the two-time defending champs although the Bengals are your Super Bowl pick so are you going to make a pick that manifest your narrative no I'm not because my my narrative would be that the Bengals get off to a slow start and then make a late charge anyways right that's just what the Bengals do I mean one and eight in the first two games of the year is crazy that just tells you it's coaching and the team's not ready to go I got mad respect for everybody there but yeah their offense is less than to start years that worries me in this one and then again with the T Higgins thing and Jamar Chase and all that that's still going on here it hadn't it didn't go away I like the way the Bengals looked on defense I certainly do right I don't think that the Chiefs will be able to run on the Bengals to the same capacity uh that the the New England Patriots did but I think they'll going to be able to run enough to where they have to respect it and it's going to open up some of this down thefield passing stuff I'm going to go with the same score I had last week I'm going 2720 once again with the Kansas City Chiefs at home to go 2 and0 30 to 17 Chiefs with that extra rest firing on all cyers extra rest this time they won't let the other team hang around they they've got to know how to deliver the knockout punch and I think it'll be easier with the Bengals because it does continue that wellestablished narrative that they struggle the first two weeks of the Season all right we take a break when we return the Prime Time games for week two including our first look on a Sunday night at a great quarterback that we rarely got to see on TV or otherwise in 2023 that's next here on pfpm and Chris Sims onbut draftking Sportsbook is the number one place to bet touchdowns and new customers can bet $5 and get $250 in bonus bets instantly plus get one month of NFL Plus premium download the app and SNF: Bears at Texans use the promo code unbutton when you sign up draftking Sportsbook the crown is yours the crown is Yours and victory is mine at least it was last week Sunday Night Football we agreed and thank God we were 8-0 across the board we all had the Lions the Lions bail us out in overtime that would have been a bad way to start the regular season I have a feeling this week it's going to be another eight no clean sweep for everyone on football night in America I can't imagine anyone taking the Bears to win at Houston given how they looked last week although they did win the Texans won two great effort from Joe Mixon great effort from CJ strad six-point favorites 45 and a half over under who do you like yeah this Bears defense is better than the Colts so that's the first thing to say the Bears defense is is definitely going to give the Houston Texans more problems in that manner but man that Houston Texans offense like we discussed last week not only with the receivers they have CJ shrat is one of the best quarterbacks in the game and when they offens of Line's healthy it's one of the best in football too it's up there so you couple their ability to run and then Bobby SLO know you got all these Shanahan play action passes watch out I I mean their potential is Limitless with how they look if they can get that run game going I do think the Bears will be a different team this week in the offensive side of the ball I watched that film back a little bit I know we talked about it Monday they didn't really give Caleb Williams much a chance to succeed you know I he wasn't perfect I get it but man was he under pressure a lot their interior o lineman got dominated by the Tennessee defensive lineman let alone I think they were like hey let's bring him along slowly let's get him going in and Tennessee was ready for that and he did not have many opportunities to attack or get after that that Tennessee defense they know they can't win this week unless they open up the offense a little bit they're not going to be Houston playing we're going to manage our rookie quarterback style of football absolutely abolutely not no way I think they look better but yeah I'm with you they're not going to beat the Texans at home who I think are one of the best teams in football Texans 2416 so you have the Texans winning in cover I got 2314 Texans winning and covering I I just think that this Texans team is special they've got just that glow to them everyone's healthy for now they've got some great pass rushers that can get after Caleb Williams and uh you you know MNF: Falcons at Eagles your points are well taken but the question is have the Bears acknowledged that that's what they need to do or are they just going to try again I hope they did last week it's hard to change on the fly like that Monday Night Football Falcons at the Eagles just like last year week two Kirk Cousins had to go to Philly in prime time it was Thursday night last year this year it's Monday night the Eagles are favored by six and a half they get the extra rest from Friday to Monday coming back with the victory that didn't look like it was going to be a victory over the Green Bay Packers in Brazil over under a 47 and Chris in making your pick please delve into what you said yesterday about Kirk Cousins there's been a lot out there about the fact that either his right leg isn't healthy right or he doesn't trust it enough to drive off of it and it's showing up in his past yeah it definitely is there's no doubt about that now I know there was a lot made about you know him standing in the shotgun with two feet next to each other I don't think that's an Achilles thing I think that's an an offensive philosophy thing they're getting in the pistol right they're running the ball out of those formations because I think they don't want him underneath Center in case somebody steps on that bad foot or anything like that but when you're in that and then the pistol right if you have your feet cockeyed if there's certain runs that'll be weird to hand the ball off if I have one foot behind the other run so they're I think just doing that because of they're going to be there bejan Robinson is going to be behind and to have an equal stands makes it more uh suitable for some of the design runs they'll have off of that I think that's the reason but his right leg is not the same it's not and he's not pushing off with that right leg just like we talked about in OTAs when we saw some of the videos there it's a fake push he's doing it with his upper body he's overcompensating with other areas of his of his body to create force and power with the football and within that he's losing control of the ball let alone he's not throwing with the same force or power and as we always know too and this happen to Rogers as well when people got close he's going wait I have a bad leg I want to get the ball out of my hand so he's not willing to stand there and throw the ball that concerns me a little bit the interceptions were bad I'm taking the Eagles I think the Eagles are one of the best teams in the game you know that but I do think Atlanta can be a pain in the butt because I think they at least physically are not going to be overwhelmed by The Eagles up front but I'm still going Eagles at home 30 to 21 I like the way their new o looked their D scared me a little bit Vic fangio's got some work to do do on that side of the ball 28-20 is my pick and it might not be that close the Falcons are fortunate that there was an overabundance of Steelers fans on Sunday at home it'll be interesting to see next Sunday night on NBC and peacock Chiefs at Falcons how many Falcons fans are there because if it looks rough again prime time on Monday night you could start to hear the ground swell for the eighth overall pick in the draft draft and and we we we've known this since late April that this was a possibility and maybe we now know why they put Michael penx on ice after one preseason game just in case cousins can't get it done we need to be ready with the quick hook before the season is lost all right the show is almost completely exhausted when we return Our Best Bets plus the Fon Prison Blues pick in which I lead one to nothing and I'm not giving up that lead because I'm Best Bets & Folsom Prison Blues never wrong we'll be right back [Music] welcome back to the pfpm Chris Sims unbutton pix podcast delivered by Little Caesars the official Pizza sponsor of the NFL we have to go into hyperdrive for our three Best Bets Chris you're up go I'm going Ravens uh I think the Ravens I'm going to ride the points eight and a half I don't care at home pissed off extra time Ravens win yes thought about it too much for me Chiefs given five to the bank B with the extra rest and the Bengals looking shaky early in the season I like the Chiefs to win in cover I I'm going 5 and a half is too much for me right I got the 49ers Wi on the last second field I will not be shocked that the Vikings pulled off the upset here I do think the Vikings cover the five and a half point spread I thought about taking the Bucks covering the seven and a half but I like to go with favorites that I think have too small of a spread commanders only given one and a half to the Giants I think the commanders are significantly better than the Giants I know they play each other tough but what's one and a half points you're going to win by one point they're going to win by more than one point I got the commander how dare you screw you okay okay now I'm going to the Jags here Jags I'm taking the Jags I don't trust the Browns I'm taking them to cover that three-point spread I'm going to go to Monday night and take the Eagles given whatever they're given I can't even remember what it was but it was enough that I feel comfortable the Eagles are going to cover that spread with the extra Bon Prison Blues over the Raiders I'm going to be alive both of us got the Raven all right all right say it see you next time enjoy the game peace out florio's a jerk yo yo homies thanks for watching yeah it's time the NFL season is here on Chris Sims unbutton you can hit subscribe to get all the weekly picks plus our Sunday Recaps as the games are happening oh you know it nobody does that better than us thanks again for watching Remember to subscribe peace out we'll see you next time on unbutton