Friday's MLB Picks and Predictions | College Football Week 1 Picks | The Morning Wager 8/30/24

Introduction three major league baseball winners for you on Friday plus we get you ready for college football on Saturday that's what you're getting on today's show Mark Zeno not to steal Teddy covers gimmick but uh what betters learned on yesterday's show is that we are much better than when we agree then we're on opposite sides a uh a low light one for the low light Reel with that dbx Mets handicap somehow we were both wrong on the same game yes a deserve thumbs down there but please give the show a uh thumbs up if you've been enjoying this tremendous content we had a record number of viewership or close to it yesterday uh Mark fun was had at least we won our best bet we did win our best bet when we agreed on the Phillies Braves over but that met steack that met steack handicap uh well you and I were wrong about everything and we're on different sides how Are We Wrong let us count the ways uh I said David Peterson gets a ton of run support he did not you said the Arizona Diamondbacks score everywhere they did not you thought David Peterson was due to regress he did not I said Ryan Nelson stinks and he was going to be terrible he was not we got everything wrong possible with that game so kids listen here's the lesson when Mommy and Daddy fight no one wins okay nobody wins so I for for for the for the morning wager audience we have decided going forward that uh we will not put out any more plays that we disagree on we will stick to things that we both co-sign that we both believe are in the best interest of the of the the viewers of this show the the Avid viewers of the show the ones that come out in public to meet Brian power at the Cleveland Guardians game you guys uh we will do what's best for you going forward so uh we moved past the Mets and Dbacks which was quite the abortion yesterday and uh nobody wins move on but again we did get our our Braves Phillies over last night on our best bet so there is that and you know giving the people what they want you have your eye on a very interesting line here as the Padres take on the Rays let's get in year half of the double play for Friday Mark Ray are favored against the Padre's in what world is this you are jumping on the better team at a plus price I do believe in this one MLB Picks Today: Padres vs Rays yeah I mean there's a couple of things here one I'm still not a believer in Todd Bradley the starter for the Rays um you know this is a guy that this is a guy that's like Brian Po's like friend of me here when it comes to you know expected ER and actual ER I don't even know if that's true all I know is I don't think this guy's very good and every time I look at his his stat line okay it never looks good uh five runs four Innings four and two3 five innings four four and a third six runs uh six Innings three runs like it was the best start against the A's over the last month and they still lost um and then six Innings seven hits six runs against the Dodgers so I'm willing to F fade Taj Bradley here with one of the best offenses in all of baseball on the road the scary part of this game and I think oddsmakers are giving you the kind of this heads up is that Martin Perez is starting for for San Diego number one Tampa hits lefties pretty well particularly at home number two Martin Perez is also a guy who just like is screaming for regression since he's come over from Pittsburgh to sanago um the Padre's have won every single start um and they have scored 3 six8 seven and three runs for him uh and he's allowed one two 13 and one runs uh in his five stars so he's got a 2.70 erra in Padre's uniform which is something that Martin Perez does not carry ever um there's probably a chance he carries an STD better than the 27 ER so uh I don't know that this last however uh I'm going to play into the fact that the Padres bats on the road are really good Tampa is fading and Calling it Quits the Padres in the midst of a playoff race here we probably and the crazy thing is is this at total is at seven and a half I think we probably get more runs than expected in this game here at BP but I'm just not passing up the Padres here as a short Underdog road yeah Padre's top batting average in all of baseball I like the over but I'm with you too I think the Padres are better team than the Rays comment down below if you too are rolling with the Padres against the Rays and you can comment on MLB Picks Today: Blue Jays vs Twins this one as well it's my favorite situational play for Friday twins Blue Jays Minnesota Mark needs this one bad they were just swept here at home by Atlanta earlier in the week but Minnesota had Thursday off while the Blue Jays were in Boston now you look at the starting pitching match up Pablo Lopez versus Kevin Gosman looks to be pretty even on paper I understand that gosman's better on the road than he is at home but get ready for it ladies and gentlemen Lopez 3.52 expected ER gsman 4.75 expected ER and Lopez has been trending in a positive direction 2.39 ER that's actual erra for those who thumb your nose and expected ra his last eight starts gsman in his career against the twins not good one and four with a 6.94 ER and 12 starts but the biggest Edge Market I think you would certainly agree here other than the schedule the biggest Edge for Minnesota today it's in the bullpen Toronto's Bullpen stinks it's bottom three in ER for the season it's cost them a lot of games they don't have Bowen Francis the great bow and Francis I should say uh to carry them to Victory today yeah what that was unbelievable this guy might be the alsi Young winter the way he's going but I think it's a great spot to back I know that you're going to rant about bot Francis in a second let me just finish this up it's a great spot for the twins to get back on track Friday and I am willing to lay the juice it is minus 150 but it's minus 150 for a reason back to home team to get a win Minnesota Twins might have to double play to go along with Mark who's taking San Diego at the plus price yeah real quick for those uh who did not buy the package yesterday that I put up at WT dbuzz MZ three plays cash two of them the only one I didn't cash was Bowen Francis over five and a half k i we talked about it on the show right yesterday um this guy came out and is just throwing it's unreal how well he's been pitching he had a no hitter into the sixth inning now in his previous four starts he had gone at least five innings and struck out at least seven guys through five innings with a no hitter going he struck out two that was it baseball he ended up with five and didn't get over five and a half so uh we took we took one on the chin there small small bet on the prop play though but nonetheless Bowen Francis look out for him guys the next time he he's on the toe on the rubber in five days he is feeling it we will get to our best bet for the show in just a minute please comment down below with your favorite bets for Friday whether it's major league baseball or college football we've also got some college football talk as I mentioned at the top coming up later on one of the biggest games on WagerTalk / Bryan Special Offers! Saturday Notre Dame Texas ANM I'll be tackling but I do want to let you know Mark talked about how he did yesterday going two- one I was two for two started the college football season with a winner under North Carolina Minnesota once I got the 1614 I felt good that there was going to be no overtime there now a perfect 5-0 Mark the last three days at wager talk that is number one during that stretch seven1 and one the last nine days they do care and I'm going to get through this despite what you and Joe rer may say and I am going to have a 5% Major League Baseball play locked and loaded for today check that out there you go I'm 80% I've only released five 5% plays in Major League Baseball all season this year I am four in one with those so head on over to W.B slbp best bet for the show Mark once again just when you think you've got the answers we change the questions how come I have to sit here and listen to you drone on about how great you are and you don't even give me the opportunity to do it myself thought you did oh a bad loss was not droning on about how well I've done well you mentioned two in one I thought you were a modest guy anyway let's do it this way okay just when the just no hold on just when the people thought they had the answers we changed the questions our best bet we don't even know who the opposing starting pitcher is going to be we don't care we're T because we're locked and we're locked and loaded on one side so tell the people why they shouldn't even give a damn Who start for the Tigers they should take the Red Soxs and please tell them what you have available at wagertalk.com today no I'll just tell MLB Picks Today: Red Sox vs Tigers them about the bet because that's all they really care about I'm not here to toot my own horn like Brian power is uh nonetheless guys when you make the bed here okay when you make the BET here just play action or make sure that Tanner but you know a away pitcher starts Tanner ha starts and and you should be good because as long as it's not Tariq scoble starting uh for the Detroit Tigers I really don't care who starts in this matchup simply because especially if the tigers are going with a bullpen game let's look at Boston's offense number four on the road in runs scored number four on the road in home runs hit number one in average number I'm sorry number two in average number two in WSC plus number one in Ops on the road this year this team hits hits the ball on the road they're going to score you know what the Tigers don't do score ever you know it's like me in high school just didn't happen so um I love the red SP here on the road uh I think that the tigers are kind of fading uh and they don't have much left um the Red Sox still trying to stay in this race here as we look at it but it's just the Red Sox offense I know they strike out a bunch on the road I just I I'm not even I'm unbothered by who may start for Detroit and this it's a about the Red Sox offense if they can't score five or six runs in this game then guess what they're they're dead in the water anyway they shouldn't even need that much because guess what Detroit doesn't score that much and the Red Sox bullpen is bad I get it Detroit's isn't much better so we we are welcoming a little bit of variance into this thing here but again uh I would tend to tell you that the Red Sox should be able to score a bunch here in this game and win pretty comfortably all right show best bet Boston Red Sox make sure to play action I just looked it up scoble is set to go tomorrow for Detroit at least that's what ESPN has so I don't think we have to worry about them pull the switcher and throwing him in there so uh let us know what you think of the Boston Red Sox tonight also head on over to wt.mc where Mark Zeno is not only a fantastic handicapper but an even better human being okay let's transition to college football right now I think they should all right let's go to college football big game tomorrow College Football Week 1 Picks: Notre Dame vs Texas A&M night in College Station te Texas A&M Mark Zeno who hasn't gone over their win total in a season I think since the uh Clinton administration now favored against NRE Dame number seven NRE Dame there you see it um a lot of people I know and respect like this A&M side if you're have been listening to the power five all summer you know I'm on Texas A&M to make the college football playoff this year I don't love them favored in this spot though Zeno uh I'd love to get your thoughts on that because you know they open up as a dog what I'm looking to do here to be honest from looking at these two sides whoever loses this game Saturday I'm going to come back and bet that team to make the college football playoff either put more money on A&M to do it or bet in order to a I think both of these teams after this game are capable of running the table when you look at the schedule I'm gonna stay away from the side personally for clients um I was talking to our buddy AK Aaron Kid last night he loves A&M he put that out on Twitter so I can talk about that scem me though is like everybody feels like everybody is on A&M right talking to it's making me a little bit unnerved um you know in this spot here look I think defense rules today to be honest with you I I still even though you missed the best of the number I still think the under is probably the better way to go yeah and you know Mike Elco comes in you know thank God I mean A&M fans I don't need to tell you guys thank God you're moving on from that dinosaur Jimbo Fisher his hideous uh ways of coaching okay I think that that's only a positive I'm buying Elco what he brings to the table you talk what's elco's specialty Zeno defense what's interesting yesterday we were talking Clems and Georgia you and I okay and I and we were you know kind of going back and forth do you play Clems in full game if you like him or do you play him first half what's in I'm with you I think the under is the right call here and then I looked at the first half under oddsmakers are hip to that angle it is a low first half number I think it's either 20 and a half 22 and a half so I mean there's not a ton of value there on that but I think they're telling you something it's gonna be a slow start in this game between two top 25 teams in college station and oh by the way I would say this much too about Riley lonard without disparaging him too much like I feel like he was good for the ACC like as far as a quarterback is concerned going up against his SEC defense is a different world for Riley Leonard um he's still recovering from thej ankle knee whatever it was I think he had a you know an offseason surgery obviously so he's not 100% I mean I I think n Dame is going have a hard time scoring points now what can A&M do offensively hard to figure out at this point in time but again I the I know we're not at a key key numbers in college totals don't really resonate the way they do in the NFL I know we're below 47 which you know 2720 is sort of a easy final to get to which puts you on the over not the under but you know again uh it's one of those things where if if they go over in the first half I still have a feeling like there's a chance they could stay under for the game but I don't think that happens any way uh yeah Riley leard I don't think he's going to make the transition Nord aame as well as Sam Hartman another ACC quarterback did and oh by the way you think Mike Elco knows Riley letter Z yeah I think he knows him pretty well so uh that's another angle to consider all right that's Notre Dame texam a big game College Football Week 1 Picks: New Mexico vs Arizona a late game for all you degenerates who want to stay up late on Saturday Mark's got one for you here Arizona and New Mexico Mark New Mexico closed as a double digigit dog at home last week against an fcst Montana State yes they covered yes they were winning big but they got two defensive touchdowns along the way Arizona's a big favorite how does Brent Brennan do in his debut in Tucson Saturday night uh this should be a choke and smoke Fest by Arizona um I jet fish I thought the world of as a coach Brett Brennan uh from San Jose State you know doesn't really move the needle but what moves the needle for me is two things one quarterback Noah ffid for Arizona uh who I think might be worth a little bit of a shekele in the Heisman conversation if you look at the numbers he put up last year uh just absolutely eye popping kind of numbers uh and this offense is gonna get even better with tet arola I can't even say his name Teta riola McMillan their wide receiver he's he's excellent um so two of the tops players sticking around a lot of other starters are back oh by the way way this was an Arizona defense last year that was viciously good um when you look at the end of the year um you know this was a team that was shutting teams down linebacker Jacob Manu is back Diario Davis is back they have both their safeties back um this was a there's a reason why the Arizona Wildcats have been ranked in the preseason Poll for the first time in basically almost a decade um this is a team even with Brett Brennan that is locked and loaded for a very good run this year how will they fair in the Big 12 that remains to be seen but I'm not shy about laying this 31 here at home against a very bad New Mexico team who might have put their best effort forth to try to get a win in the best shot that they had it they're going to get outclassed here they're not going to get defensive touchdowns here um you know this is easily a a you know 40 to 41 to3 type final uh if you ask me if if New Mexico is held below 10 Arizona should easily cover this number you want to look at the Arizona team total of 44 and a half Little Rich for my blood rather just lay the 31 a half because in reality guys they can win 37 nothing uh and and you don't get the team total I think there are more outs here laying to 31 with Arizona so that's the direction I'm gonna go love it love it major league baseball college football we're giving you everything now here on the morning wager if you already haven't subscribed do that now if you haven't hit that thumbs up button do that now of course Mark and I every Monday through Friday giving you free plays we're going to be still doing baseball the rest of the season now we're integrating college football NFL will be here next week very excited for that how does a free week of Buy Two Weeks All-Access Get One Week FREE! winners sound Mark you can get a full week of free week of selections free of charge with a purchase of a two-e all access pass at wagertalk.com by the two weeks we'll throw in a third week of service at no extra cost it gives you not only every premium football release but MLB as well soccer if you get from me uh I've already posted a college football best bet for Saturday I've got my eppl game of the week out as well now a 20 and8 run in college football going back to last your mark in an 80 and one run in the EPL going back to last season Dance Party I know you're looking forward to a big weekend as well I just while Patty's playing number two handicap [Music] year Jingles back morning wager will be back Monday [Music] have a great weekend folks