Arkansas vs Oklahoma State | College Football Predictions

[Music] Big 12 sec battle going on in Stillwater and you know we had to talk about the team that hit the golden eeko this past weekend right the Arkansas Razer backs are going to visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys it's a noon Eastern kick on ABC Oklahoma State opened a nine and a half Point home favorite but that number all the way down to 7 and A2 now at bet us Arkansas money line plus 250 and uh in the total sit at 62 A2 on this one uh could get pointy could get pointy this is a fun helmet game here Parker you you got a favorite helmet on this one um I don't like the shiny hog but otherwise I like the classic hog the classic hog okay okay KY what about you Arkansas here yeah I'm going to side with Arkansas one of course no orange and two I mean that razor back Is Awesome on that red and I don't I don't care if it's shiny or classic or whatever I mean it's a good looking helmet good looking helmet all right Trends right quick Arkansas straight money as a road dog last year 4-0 against the spread in that spot Oklahoma state was only two and three against the spread as a home favorite last season and uh and they're four- six against the spread in their last 10 as a touchdown or more favorite so not a great spot for gundian boys Parker anytime you got Bobby patrino and Mike Gundy scheming it up on opposite sides I feel like we're going to have a pretty fun ball game what what are you expecting in Stillwater yeah should be should be a lot of fun shout out to the to the gold eckel there 10 drives 10 quality possessions seven points Point per quality position for Arkansas they haven't scored 60 since against UT Martin in 2015 I think I I looked that up and saw so uh fun for Arkansas to have that even accounting for the opponent they had 10 receivers with at least two Targets I'm not sure that Arkansas has a dude at the wide receiver position but with Bobby patrino they're willing to spread it around another thing that I noticed um they were balanced almost 5050 on Zone and GAP runs last season they were super Gap heavy so with patrino back in there maybe a little bit more Zone maybe a little bit more diversity in the Run scheme less quarterback dominant less uh rocket Sanders dominant so uh really interesting to see how that mix continues oi Gordon last week 27 touches only 3.9 yards per attempt against South Dakota State um he F he he forced 12 Miss tackles but only had 2.78 yards after contact per Rush um that wasn't an amazing game some of that might be o line related which is what I'm watching for in this game against Arkansas's defense uh the offensive line didn't have a great game and South Dakota State's well coached but there's some turnover and uh I feel like Oklahoma State should looked better there um overall run defense wasn't exactly Arkansas's Forte last year they were 74th in EPA per play allowed but um yeah I want to see how that works contrary to Arkansas spreading the ball around Oklahoma State's going to be super concentrated in Presley strippling and Owings they had 23 of 32 targets last week uh so we'll see how how they can kind of spread the ball around and try to dial out some explosives this season um I think it really comes down to the Run game for Oklahoma state is is Gordon going to be able to and that offensive line going to be able to sustain the volume and explosiveness that they did last year I like how you said you know adjusting for opponent basically like Arkansas pind Bluff is terrible and uh in Oklahoma State like South Dakota state is a national championship caliber FCS program they they'd probably be what top 35 top 40 in FBS so I mean that's what what I think what Oklahoma state did last week was pretty impressive but yes you would have liked to have seen more from uh from Gordon for sure Kyle I mean Arkansas did put up a ton of points last week and I mean just like Parker talked about uh the offense looks like a lot of fun they we don't know if they got that dude at wide receiver but uh you know I'm I'm curious and of course Oklahoma State whipped a pretty good South Dakota State team Kyle give me give me your handicap on this one so my take is um Arkansas blasted Pine Bluff Pine Bluff is so bad I can't make anything out of that one I tried to go back and watch some of that game just um you know just terrible ton green though has potential to be really good inside this offense and I think patrino is such a good offense mind based on what Arkansas has had the past couple years for OC's and the way they scheme things up I think it's a big upgrade it's just hard to know exactly what to expect because they played Pine Bluff on the other side I mean you could argue that Oklahoma State didn't really whip uh South Dakota state that much because the jack rabbits averaged 6.0 yards per play Oklahoma State 5.5 yards per play field position was the key Oklahoma State average starting on their own 40 yard line South Dakota State on their own 21 just a massive difference there Oklahoma State allowed 16 plays of 10 yards or more in that game and six plays of 20 yards or more so they gave up quite a few big plays I just don't have enough information on Arkansas to bet this game I made it higher than this but I mean I think it's completely possible that I need to upgrade Arkansas so I want to watch and see in this one with the preseason prior still in it my number on it was uh seven and a half and so it's right on the number um I feel like Oklahoma state would be my lean here but I mean you you want to talk about Talent differentials Arkansas widely expected to be one of the worst teams in the SEC Oklahoma State one of the best one of the best in the Big 12 Arkansas is number 26 in team Talent composite and the Cowboys are number 53 now with that said I mean there's way more experience here for Oklahoma State they're number two in adjusted returning production but Arkansas threw one game I mean they're number one in success rate margin they're number four in PPA margin uh they did exactly what they were supposed to do against a a really bad team I mean I'm I'm staying away from it because my numbers right on it but I I do think we're going to get to see fireworks here so no lock on this but uh but I think we can expect points for sure [Music] [Music]