Will the Mets Take Advantage of Their "Easy" July Schedule?

the Mets lost their first series in a month on Sunday can they bounce back from that and take advantage of their easy road ahead I'll talk about it on today's show you are locked on Mets your daily New York Mets podcast part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day hello to all you Maze and Mets fans you're watching locked on that's part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day I'm heran ficklestein if you want to find any of my work follow me on X atfl Stein Ryan can also find some my writing at just baseball.com where I work as the managing editor today's episode of lockon Mets is brought to you by tax Network USA did you know that it's never too late to resolve your tax issues with the IRS don't wait reduce your tax debt and get help from a team of licensed tax professionals by calling 1 005491 000 or visit TN usa.com lockon the New York Mets lost their first series since Jorge Lopez launched his glove into the stands over a month ago it was a fantastic run to saw the Mets go 16 and8 in the month of June and battle back to 500 although after losing this series to the Astros they now dip one game below 500 but what I want to tell you is there's no shame in the series that M lost this week and yes it's frustrating because they had Saturday's game in hand and they nearly came back on Sunday but the Astros are a good baseball team that has gone through a similar season as the Mets but has a far greater track record and just like the Mets have turned it on lately so this was not a team that you look at and say man a really bad team just stole a series from the Mets no it's a it's a pretty good team and I'm also here to put you all on the therapy couch because I have been getting subtext since this loss I've seen messages on social media I've talked to my own dad about the Mets and there's already that doubt that's creeping in into Mets fans Minds right now and rightfully so this team has been very bipolar this year some respects they go on these amazing runs as we've seen twice now and we saw the 0 and5 start and the really bad 35 games that was in the middle of their two hot stretches this year but I believe this team is going to be fine and if they had lost this game four to nothing I'd be a little bit more concerned but I still saw enough in this game that made me optimistic about the road that is ahead and we'll talk about that road in the next segment because it should be pretty easy it should be a stretch that the Met take advantage of if they really are a good team put themselves squarely in the W card mix if not a top the W card mix or at least a top the scrum below the Braves and enter the all star break with a real opportunity to view themselves as buyers with a couple weeks left to round out their roster and potentially go on a run this season so everything is out in front of the Mets but this was a series that they could have won and so I understand the ex the expression I understand the frustration okay because Saturday's game was in hand and you thought Luis srino on the mound vers Bullpen game for the Astros the Mets would have found a way to win that final game un fortunately things just did not break their way they were no hit until the sixth inning meanwhile srino in some respects had a great start because they needed length out of him and he got through seven Innings on 79 pitches with that said he gave up a home run to John Singleton and then he got blooped to death by the Astros in this game he said after the game it was as dominant as he has felt all year and the pitch count reflects that and yet some of those hits the Fly ball the popup that Lindor nearly caught that dropped in uh you know the one and two count where Yer Diaz hit one the other way and just got jammed and was strong enough to muscle at the right field to score a run just those little plays that didn't go the Mets way that allowed the Astros to get out to a 4 nothing lead now sixth inning though this team battled back again they had been no hit up until that point Brandon nmo leads off the inning with a base hit JD Martinez Strikes Out Pete Alonzo hits a double to put two runners in scoring position DJ Stewart strikes out then with two outs Mark fantos rips one down the left field line to score two that cuts the Mets deficit in half okay then in the seventh inning Brandon nmo ties the game with a two-run homer his 100th home run of his career and all of a sudden new ball game Adrien Hower comes in he gives the Mets two scoreless Innings of relief and I felt like if there was not the rain delay the Mets would have rode that momentum and walked it off in the bottom of the ninth inning because everything was coming up Mets in those final two innings from Torance gunning down a runner uh to get rid of the one base runner the Astros got in the top of the ninth it just felt like all the momentum was riding in the Mets favor and then they had to pause the game for what was it two hours three hours a brutally long rain delay you come out of it the Mets don't score in the bottom of the ninth the Astro score in the top of the 10th off Adam mavino and yet the Mets nearly came right back because Brandon nmo who had a great day three hits he doubles in the ghost Runner he's standing on second base as a pseudo second ghost Runner and you have a chance to just get that runner in and win unfortunately that didn't happen and that's where the Mets lost the game but you don't look at this team and all of a sudden be their lineup they scored 18 runs in this series that's more than enough to win a three- game set it just didn't shake their way JD Martinez had a bad game he strikes out in that spot with nmo standing on second base they don't even pitch to Pete so now you have Harrison Bader coming up Bader grounds out mark vantos grounds out and it goes into the 11th Festa comes on the new uh you know 4A pitcher that's up and down from the minor leagues for the Mets and madfest gives up five runs and that's the ball game but with all that said we were talking about this team a month ago and at every Point since then when it was oh are we believing this the metch just know swept the Nationals and I was in DC for that series they're about to head right back there and I'm doing these shows like it's hard to have faith but this team looks pretty good they go into the London series they lose the first game like oh man what's this team going to be here right then they're losing the second game and again you might lose some hope lose some faith in what the Mets can do they rally back and they win that game in dramatic fashion all right bought back in a little bit more go up against the Marlins lose the first game ah man are the Mets really that good then they reel off seven straight grimus Mets all that good stuff incredible Vibes they lose the game to Texas to end that streak okay it's fine it's typical they go up against the Cubs win one lose one win the series so hey keep winning series everything's all right then you bludge in the New York Yankees and the Houston Astros in the first game of this series and it feel like the Mets weren't going to lose again then they blow one on Saturday and they can't come back all the way on Sunday but those two losses that does not erase everything that happened the month before it and think if you compare the 12 and3 stretch at the beginning of the year to this one it's a far different run of success I think what we're seeing now is more sustainable that first run was some of the guys at the end of the lineup that were connecting and some really great and clearly unsustainable pitching particularly out of your Bullpen this recent run all offense and an offense that looks sustainable so now as the Mets enter what will determine their Seas season a stretch against a lot of bad teams are the concerns about their pitching enough to outweigh what this lineup is capable of that's what we're going to talk about next first though word from our sponsors today's episode is brought to you by prize picks prize picks is the easiest most exciting way to play daily fantasy sports unlike other apps prize pick is just you against the numbers all you do is pick more or less on two to six player stat projections you watch the winnings roll in so you can look at David Peterson strikeouts coming up in the game tonight you take more or less how much do you feel like he's going to set down the Nationals on strikes and that is one part of your entry maybe like Francisco Lindor on his fantasy score so everything Lindor does from his hits his home runs runs RBS they all contribute to his fantasy score you take more there and then maybe on the other side you think that McKenzie Gore is going to strike out a lot of Mets you can also add that to your entry you can even cross over different sports so you can take a player in the MLB and also one in WNBA all in the same entry and you can get in on the daily action with your 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clients over1 billion dollar in tax debt whether you owe taxes have complicated matters that require tax planning or finally hit that parlay this season and need help correctly filing call 1 1800 549 1000 or visit TN usa.com lockon you can also just see the link in the episode description below if you want to stay up to date with all the latest in the World of Sports make sure you check out lockon sports today streaming 247 on YouTube so let's talk about this road ahead for the New York Mets because I have been mentioning this on this show for a long time the Mets are about to play 14 games over the next two weeks until they get to the all-star break there's no days off got the Washington Nationals for four you then have the Pittsburgh Pirates for four you return home you face the Nationals again for three and then you get a series against the Colorado Rockies for three more and actually out of the break you have four games in Miami against the Marlins so your next 18 games come against teams that are under 500 but particularly let's look at the next two weeks two weeks before the All-Star break where the Mets front offense will have time across four days to really sit back look at their roster look at the minor leagues and figure out how they can really plot out the second half of this this season to contend and make the playoffs anyone who wants to talk about this being a bridge year has not been paying attention to everything David Sterns has said and who the owner of the New York Mets is if they have an excuse or any inclination that they can win at all this year they're GNA go for it now going for it might just mean sitting on your hands and not doing anything with a deadline but this team is not predisposed to sell but they also could give the front office every reason to sell and I think in a weird way it's still a win-win situation but personally I enjoyed the last month of Mets baseball heck of a lot more than the earlier parts of this season and I don't want to endure an August and a September that doesn't matter so I want to see the Mets win games because I'm a Mets fan now looking at this road ahead they should be able to handle business last time the Mets were in DC what did they do they won all three games and particularly in convincing fashion especially the last two of those games all right so now you got another chance against this Nationals team the Pittsburgh Pirates are definitely playing Better Baseball but if you're looking at the Wild Card race the Nationals and the Pirates are the two teams that I look at that have been hanging in there that should theoretically fall back and be more sellers at the deadline than buyers because they still feel like they are a year away from really being able to contend and we're going to see James Wood in this series and he is the top prospect in all of baseball according to us at just baseball.com think MLB pipeline has him third very special player he was the big big piece they got in the juodo trade and so that's going to be fun and also not fun to watch him get his first at bats he is a special player so maybe that does Propel the Nationals in this series but again this is still if you look at the rosters head-to-head this is a series The Met should win and you can say the same thing about each of the next what whatever is Five series that they play until they face the Yankees again later on this month at Yankee Stadium and that's after they play in Miami so where are the question marks where are the holes what's going to hold them back from doing what they should do over the next two weeks the Mets need to win each of these four series and if they did that because two of them our four game sets they would close out this stretch with a 10 and4 record and they would end up at 1545 at the All-Star break five games over 500 now if you remember when we were talking about this at every stage whenever I would mentioned this light period in their schedule I was just hoping the Mets would be five games under by the time they got to this point but they did what they had to they went on a real winning streak that propelled them them out from the dold drums and got themselves right back into essentially the driver's seat I mean yes there are teams ahead of them the Braves the Padres and the Cardinals but none of them have a schedule that's this light in July so the Mets go on another winning streak here at some point if they can reel off seven in a row during this stretch at any point if they can just win 10 of 14 or even we'll say nine of the 14 games they go nine and five they're 49 and 46 four games over that's still in comfortable position right it's just a matter of beating these teams that theoretically you should and I have no doubts about this lineup right field second base are the two positions where you can maybe say all right what what are the Mets going to roll with for these two weeks but I look at this upcoming series Jose glacius did pretty well hitting against left-handed pitching when the Nationals last face the Mets so you're gonna see a lot of him at second right field I'm G to talk about that a little bit more in the next segment because I do have one big big gripe from this past game I'll get to that when we really get into our series preview here of Mets versus Nationals over this stretch they had to figure out the starting rotation they need to get more length from these guys saino did it in this past game but canana continues to go light in his start he's not getting pulled from the rotation right right now sha manah has continuously gone light in his starts David Peterson as well has not gone deep in his Starts Now Christian Scott and Jose budo have been two of the better met Stars this year at going deep into games and both of them could be heading back into the rotation as soon as this week so that could solve some of this kodai S I might be starting a rehab assignment that's not going to help the Mets during this stretch but it is something to keep in the back of your mind as they still have to figure out their rotation and make some decisions the question's all lie with the bullpen Edwin Diaz has five more games till he comes back from his suspension Brooks Ry Drew Smith out for the year with Tommy John surgery sha Reed Foley has hit the iil with a or hit the iil now a week ago now whatever it was but he's on the aisle for the second time this year with a bulky shoulder you can make an argument that between Ry Smith sha Reed Foley that those guys have been your best relievers this year just on ER at least Nunes now has entered the fry and Garrett has had some really good moments and then some bad ones and then there's Edwin Diaz who has had a bad year but you know the stuff that he possesses but the point is this Bullpen is in a bad place Matt Festa and Tyler Jay joined the bullpen on Sunday Festa got knocked around he's probably on his way back to Syracuse you still have Tyler Jay who had a good one appearance I believe with the Mets this year off the top of my head one or two hasn't had the best numbers in Syracuse s being sent back down but he was the guy the match chose Josh Walker I thought was going to be the name they called on he very well could get called up with Festa potentially being sent down and then you have tyag coock who just got added into the mix it had one good appearance so far we'll see it's a small sample size shintaro fujinami and Bry montis deaka are both in the minor leagues right now trying to get their way back from injuries so those guys have the potential to throw really hard and be difference makers but you can't really count on it during this next two week stretch the road map is pretty simple bash your way to wins that's it this men's team needs to score a lot of runs and I do wonder if at some point they take advantage of their depth when it comes to their starting pitching and put some of these guys in the bullpen Jose budo has been a better pitcher or is a better pitcher than almost every guy they keep shuttling up and down could you get to a point where you have two guys in your Bullpen if it's Jose buo and Adrien Hower that can fill that same role that Howard's been filling lately guys that can give you three Innings of relief and save the rest of the pen and also potentially start to pitch some of those innings in leverage Adrian Howard a and in a tie game gave you two zeros could that be budo could that be David Peterson could that be Tyler Mill could that be Brandon Sprout one of your top pitching prospects who's in dou a but would have better stuff than pretty much any one of the Mets Bullpen outside of Edwin Diaz seriously would the Mets consider just saying you know what this guy's great he's pitching deep into games he looks like a real starter for us down the line but we have a chance to win this year we're call up Brandon Sprout we're putting him in the bullpen did it in college now I don't think they' do that in July but would they consider that in August these are the different conversations that I'm sure are happening in that front office trying to figure things out and right now they're going to keep piecing it together and I'm sure they look at this light schedule as an opportunity to win games with their bats to hopefully get more out of a rotation that isn't great but maybe can pitch a little bit better against some weaker lineups and just buy time until you get Diaz back and hopefully things can fall into place if there's one thing that could bite the Mets this season right now as presently constructed it's their Bullpen and by extension their rotation that puts their bullpen in bad spots by not going deep into games but particularly holding those late leads it's been a problem all year it was a problem at the end of this series if they can figure that out if they can get to some combination of four relievers that they really trust I believe this team can go on a run so that's what they have to figure out and luckily this is a good opportunity to maybe work around your problems and still find um you know some victories and and some serious wins until you get to the all-star break until the Mets really have to find whatever roster they're going to be down the stretch are they a seller are they a buyer and if they're a buyer how do they buy how do they get this team in position to make a real run it's going to be a fun month July is here and the Mets are in it which is not something we would have expected a month ago so with that said Mets fans should still be happy this morning despite how frustrating this weekend was now I want to preview what lies ahead particularly in this series against the Nationals so we'll talk about that in just a minute first though a word from our sponsors today's episode is brought to you by FanDuel I love sports I love them so much I never want to stop but as the playoffs have now winded down in the NBA and the NHL there's just fewer games to go around and the sports aren't Sports in like I want them to but with FanDuel I can stay locked into sports whenever I want all I have to do is open up the app and dream up bets anytime I'm in the mood this summer FanDuel is hooking up all customers with a boost or a bonus daily that's right there's something for everyone every day all summer long so head over to fanduel.com lockon and start making the most out of your summer FanDuel the official sports betting partner of Major League Baseball if you're an everyday listener to the show make sure you become a locked on Mets Insider this is our texting service where you get updates from me anytime some news breaks on the met you can ask me questions anytime you get the lineup Graphics sent to your phone each day you can also take part in our locked on Mets sign photo giveaways you want to be a locked on Mets Insider find the link in the episode description go to sub tex.com lockon Mets all right so let's talk about this series against the Washington Nationals once again the Mets are going to see a bunch of left-handed starters so Jose glaus it is your time to shine once again I imagine he gets the next three starts at second base Jeff mcneel could maybe steal a start or two in right field which leads me to my biggest gripe from Sunday no it's not the blue pits that fell against Luis srino no it is not the fact that they had a runner on second base in the bottom of the 10th inning with nobody out and they couldn't get Brandon Emma home although that was really frustrating now what pissed me off was in the fourth inning when Ben gaml got pinch hit for of all things but it just drives me nuts when there's empirical data that that tells you something and it's staring you in the face and the New York Mets just choose to ignore it it drives me up the wall I can't tell you how much it pisses PES me off when I know something on the top of my head because I've looked at the stat time and time again and yet we just go back to this stupid preconceived notion that oh a righty is definitely going to hit better against a lefty we have to play the splits well actually not play the splits we have to just play Oh left arm righty batter that's what we're gonna do no matter what we're not going to look at anything else Carlos Mendoza and I shouldn't even just blame him because this is a problem that has plagued the Mets my entire time covering the team with locked on Mets it's it's going on six seasons now where things like this consistently pop up and I don't understand it it just the math doesn't math I don't get it Tyrone Taylor pinch hits for Ben gaml in a spot in the fourth inning where Pete Alonzo and Mark fendos had both drawn walks to get on there was two outs in the inning and here comes gaml with a lefty on the mound and so we got to bring Tyrone Taylor out of the out of the the The Dugout he's got to pinch it get him in the game right now this is the opportunity even though it's a bullpen game and gamble get his got his first start in the Mets uniform Drew walking is first that bat we didn't really get a chance to see him gotta get Taylor in there why Ben G had an 860 Ops against left-handed pitching in Triple A maybe the career numbers are are far worse than that but what he was doing in triaa that's a lot better than a 474 Ops that Tyrone Taylor has against left-handed pitching this year his splits are brutal 742 Ops against right-handed pitching 474 Ops against left-handed pitching Ops is on base plus slugging getting on Bay at a 300 clip that alone isn't even great slugging and that's not his on base percentage mind you I don't have those exact numbers I'm sure it's split down the middle it might be a 220 on base and a 220 slug for all I know the point is to have a sub 500 Ops that is abysmal abysmal and even further of his 13 extra base hits this year 11 have come with a righty on the mount all of his home runs have come with a righty on the mound 20 of his 21 RB have come with a righty on the mound and the reason why I'm so frustrated about this is I can see a world where Tyrone Taylor gets force fed each of these three starts against a left-handed pitcher because he bats right-handed now I'm not saying that Jeff McNeil or even Ben gaml is significantly better against lefties than Tyrone Taylor and Tyrone Taylor is a better glove than both of those guys but I would take my chances on either mcneel or gaml over Tyrone Taylor against the Lefty right now that's even with mcneel's struggles this year because he doesn't have a splits problem McNeil has a hitting problem this year and I'm hoping that he can carry over some of the success from Friday night and find a hot streak didn't look good on Sunday 0 for five but I'm still willing to ride Jeff mcneel's track record and put him in right field for this series and start both him and a glacius for all three of these games for all I care instead of going to a guy that consistently sucks against lefties and I apologize for being so hard on this one but man is it frustrating when they go to Taylor in that spot first pitch slider popup an opportunity to get back in the game at that point and yes the Mets eventually did but you know what happened when they did sixth inning they scored two runs Mark fento stay on second base another RBI spot for Tyrone Taylor got a sinker could not have been more center cut literally right down the middle looks at it so and that was against a righty but count against a lefty you're ambushing first pitch after mind you the guy before you walked if I'm not mistaken but yeah you're going first pitch slider but you get a first pitch fast ball and you don't swing at that one and then sweeper next pitch also ran down the middle and he flew out I think Tyrone Taylor starting against righties makes a lot of sense because he's hit them well this year and he's a good good Defender and right but they got to find a platoon partner for him and that was part of the problem when they went to make their decision with their roster is there wasn't an ideal platoon partner and that's why I thought they went to Ben gaml because he was the one guy that was actually fairing pretty decent against lefties he was crushing righties mind you and who knows maybe Ben gamble is just a better player than Tyrone Taylor right now I I don't know I would have liked to see him get five at bats on Sunday to to at least see what it looks like and instead we're so obsessed with the splits that or not even I keep saying that we're not even obsessed with the splits we're so obsessed with getting a righty in there versus a lefty because we think that that's going to result in something even though all the data tells us it's not all right I digress on that probably way too much time to spend on it but clearly it got me heated today let's talk about the pitching matchups David Peterson versus McKenzie Gore Monday night here Gore has been great this year uh 360 ER in 16 starts 99 strikeouts and 85 Innings pitched I think he might be Nationals Allstar it's either him or CJ Abrams or maybe Jake Irvin or Kyle finnean they got a couple of options to be their Lan representative I think Gore has as good of a case as any of them but then again maybe finnean just gets it because he has a low erra as a reliever um but Gore did phas the Mets the last time these two teams met and it didn't go well for him he allowed six runs on seven hits in four walks left the game in the fifth inning with only one out recorded Mark fantos took him deep so see if the mats can have similar success against him again David Peterson had a very good start against the Nationals went six and two3 allowed two runs on five hits two walks two strikeouts we have seen an uptick in his strikeouts over his last two starts that was going up against much better lineups than this one the Rangers and then the Yankees so we'll see we'll see if David Peterson can strike out some more batters get deep into this game I'd be nice if he could give them some length like he did the last time he faced the Nationals and meanwhile you have Danielle Nunes Reed Garrett Jake deakin Ty Adcock and Tyler Jay who should all be fresh so honestly this Bullpen is in pretty good shape I don't love the late Innings options outside of Nunes right now but sort of is what it is game two sha manah versus DJ hers we watched hers make his MLB debut last month against the Mets uh they scored four runs off of him on seven hits two walks Harrison Bader took him deep if I remember that game correctly I think it was the fifth inning where things went sideways for and he got pulled and they've had a short hook on him in all of his starts so far really he's made five starts at a 548 ER not a guy you should be overly concerned with for that second game game three it will be Mitchell Parker we don't know who's starting for the Mets for the rest of the series Parker is another rookie has a 332 ER and 14 starts this year control pitcher doesn't walk many doesn't strike out many either we did not see him in that last series so this will be our first look at single Mitch Parker looks like and we'll see how the Mets bats Fair against him so again three lefties back to back to back and then you have a righty and Jake Irvin who has another All-Star case really if you really wanted to look at it because he's got a 303 ra this year been very good and another guy the Mets had not faced this season the question is who's going to pitch the final two games of this series for the Mets right now they are not announcing it we thought that Christian Scott might be making a start on Tuesday because Gary Cohen sort of maybe let the cat of the bag on that during a broadcast but the Mets have not announced it officially Christian Scott did Pitch last Tuesday so that would be sort of on your Minor League start once a week type line to have him go on Tuesday it wouldn't be outside the realm of possibility for the Mets to change their mind and say oh actually we're gonna bump manah to Wednesday but maybe they like keeping those two guys in place for now and then making their roster decisions at a later date if David Peterson gets knocked up in this first game of the series he very well could be optioned and then that would free you up to add another reliever or to call up Scott there's a lot of things the Mets can do here so we'll really see I'd imagine we see Christian Scott in this series but there's also a chance to see Jose budo buo last pitched on Friday so he could pitch on Wednesday Jose canana pitched on Friday so both of those guys could go on Wednesday it'll be one of Scott budo or canana unless they start Christian Scott on Tuesday and bump Mania to Wednesday and then for Thursday it just depends on when Katana pitches I iMagic Katana is gonna get the start on Thursday and they're GNA slide somebody in between all those lefties whether it's budo or Scott seina won't pitch in this series he's obviously uh gonna need his four days rest if they're going on Sunday he would open up the series in Pittsburg so we'll see what the Mets can do here it's a team that they fared very well against last time I don't look at Nationals roster and understand how they've won as many games as they have this year to be completely honest um but they have won a lot of games and any team can beat you in Major League Baseball this is put up a shut up time for the match you got to win these games if you want to be a buyer this year if you want to have a season it's Do or Die time this is the stretch of year season where you can really make it all happen and really if you do your your work in the next two weeks the rest of the season if you hang around 500 you might be fine honestly because if you got five games over 500 before the All-Star break five games over 500 being an 805 86 win team by the end of the year whatever that ends up looking like that probably is enough to to make the playoffs so this is the time for the New York Mets we'll see if they take advantage anyway that's going to be all for today's edition of locked on Mets I appreciate all of you for tuning in if you're listening on the audio side follow rate review wherever get your podcast you're watching on YouTube do me a favor hit that subscribe button the goal is to reach 9,000 Subs by the All-Star break we got two weeks to do it and we're a little over a hundred Subs away from getting there so I appreciate all of you hit that subscribe button if you want to follow me on social you can do so at finlin Ryan on X or at lockon Mets to follow the show you want to be locked on Mets Insider find the link in the EPS description or go to sub tex.com lockon Mets thank you for making locked on Mets you're first listener your first watch every day now for your second watch check out lock on sports today which is streaming 247 on YouTube covering all the latest in the world of sports 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