Best Bets for Saturday | College Football Week 1 Picks & Predictions (8/31)

[Music] what's up guys how are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of The Daily juice podcast my name is Matt peralt you guys can follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt and welcome to week one the first Saturday of the college football season reminder on the Discord Channel I will be hosting a live chat audio chat 8:00 Pacific 11 a.m. eastern time for 30 minutes breaking down all the latest line movement all the latest news this will be sort of a talk show format so you guys can come on ask me any questions you want to get my take on a game you want to get my take on a line move if you want to question any of my bets that I'm making today feel free got a lot of good stuff going on the podcast here for today so that's at 8:00 in the morning Pacific Time 11:00 a.m. eastern time we will be live on our Discord channel to join the Discord Channel it is betting pros.com chat enter that into your browser betting pros.com chat free always free half hour breakdown of the card of the Slate for week number one yes we will talk about Notre Dame and Texas A&M I do not have a play on that game but we'll talk about it if you want I do a play on Penn State West Virginia I have two plays on that game we'll get into Clemson Georgia we'll get into all the big games happening around the country picks plays and discussions happening at 8:00 Eastern sorry 8:00 Pacific 11:00 a.m. eastern on our Discord Channel betting pros.com chat okay so to talk about last night it is a two in one night once again up 0.9 units what stinks is that the TCU game was there for a three and0 sweep back door field goal B by Stanford just a loss stinks strategically I'm not going to get angry all right strategically I'm not GNA get mad at TCU but we get fa they lose by six that was an easy play there we bought the extra half a point just in case didn't need it and then Western Michigan 2814 that's kind of what I said yesterday right 2814 Western Michigan right there they it's their Super Bowl I I didn't trust Wisconsin to cover 24 points they came nowhere near covering 24 points so two in one day back toback two in1 days on Thursday and Friday that's good that's a 4-2 start to the weekend for us here today as we head towards Saturday now I've already given you three bets Clemson plus 14 a half we bought that up off 14 to 14 a half it's now 12 major clv there with Clemson against Georgia on the road so people think George is going to house him I think Clemson stays close we gave you Miami minus two and a half that number is now three so move on the Hurricanes here on the road at Florida so that number is three we have two and a half and then we came in with the under 51 for Penn State in West Virginia that number is now 50 or 50 and a half at most books for Penn State in West Virginia so the line move we are went we were ahead of the line we beat the closing line in all three games okay all three games now I'm going to give you three more plays here on the podcast okay we've already given you one two three I never have six bets going in one sport I'm going to have six bets going in one sport because college football's back and I like all six of these plays so we're going to jump in here on all six today let's start with Penn State in West Virginia this stat stun me and this is why it probably will lose but Penn State since 2020 when they've been favored between 6 and 24 points Penn State is 160 And1 ATS favored by six to 24 points why James Franklin is the ultimate cover machine for the alumni including last year in this game where he punched in a touchdown which I'm pretty sure on the daily juice we bet against Penn State in that game and that screwed us I think either that or the under we may have bet the under in that game and that over came in because of what James Franklin did we talked on my other show the Bostonian versus the book to a guy who was a was a former West Virginia athletic director and a guy who does media now in West Virginia and he told us that there's been a loop running in the in the clubhouse locker room for West Virginia of that touchdown by Penn State last year they cancelled school on Friday in Morgan Town because of all the festivities going on for Penn State in West Virginia I can't get this stat out of my head 160 and one James Franklin covers for the alumni maybe they're up by four he'll kick a field goal threw up by seven this number was as high as nine it's now down to seven and a half let's keep buying it down you guys might get seven but for me I want Penn State minus 7 it's minus 125 to buy it down I'm doing that all number another one of these alt numbers Penn State minus 7 forus 125 so 1.25 units down to win one unit on Penn State minus seven why again that number in James Franklin we saw it Colorado tried to cover you can make an argument that Stanford covered they kicked it and they covered for their alumni they were at home now I actually do think if you're trying to win the game kick the field goal onside kick that's the right play so I'm not as angry I was furious at Deion Sanders I'm not furious at Stanford even though it kicked us in the tail at that that stinks but two and one's two- one should have been three- 0 but unfortunately tcu's defense just couldn't stop Stanford and they kick a field goal because again I I hate the play but if you're going try to win the game that's the right play Kick the field goal save the clock onsite kick you know I I don't hate the Strategic decision but it stinks because we lost our bet they won by seven we laid and a half that stinks but so two bets on Penn State and West Virginia Penn State minus 7 and- 125 and under 51 A5 at minus 110 now Georgia Clemson plays at the same time that's plus 14 and a half we'll see if that number closes here lot of Steam on Clemson uhoh not in love with that Miami minus two as I said that's up to two and that's up to three now here for that I have an FCS versus FB bet that I've made Weber State is taking on Washington Washington's got an entirely new coaching staff Washington has 21 of 22 starters new and these this is game one now I I understand that Weber State is not tremendous but their quarterback isn't awful their running back isn't bad their defense isn't great but they've got a couple of guys to catch the football but they're going to run the ball run the ball burn clock okay run the ball burn clock their defense isn't great but what is Washington Will Rogers is the quarterback I didn't like him at Mississippi State now he's a quarterback of Washington everyone's new the coach is new everything is brand new and they're laying 26 points to Weber State uh no I can't do it I I I really can't do it I know Weber State's not amazing I know they're not a bunch of world beaters here but I I I just think for me I think Weber State's got a shot here to keep the game close in particular if the under comes in again I don't know what's going on with Washington I have no idea what what Washington is I just know that I don't see them covering a 26 point spread Weber State plus 26 Circa and DraftKings are the two books that have this number that have this bet overnight you can bet it there Weber State plus 26 up against Washington here I know it's an FBS versus FCS bout but we took North Dakota State up against Colorado that cashed let's take Weber State plus 26 against Washington here for 1.1 units and finally UNLV at Houston were on the win total over seven for UNLV it would be awesome for them to win this game against Houston okay Houston 4 and8 last year coaching change complete mess okay numbers up to three and a half why I don't agree with this line move Barry odm year two they got a shot to make some big noise they went to the Mountain West championship game last year they lost they lost their quarterback okay that's that's horrible okay but they kept their offensive coord coordinator who's done this go- go offense that they call it here Ricky White's back Ricky White is tremendous he's a little undersized but they gave him a big nil deal to stick around eight touchdowns last year nearly 1,500 yards receiving Ricky White's his offense he is the passing attack now we'll see what the defense looks like because their secondary was bad like bad bad h hon I mean what's Houston I I don't know what Houston is they got to figure this whole thing out they got a new head coach and Willie Fritz I mean does he have the time has he had the time to step in and make this team better I don't know I am a big fan of Barry odm I'm a big fan of UNLV I'm taking the three and a half points give me UNLV plus three and a half for 1.1 units I think unav can win the game sprinkle money line I think unavi can absolutely win this game but I'm going to take the points at plus three and a half maybe Houston wins it on a last second field goal we cover the three and a half the hook matters to me okay get three and a half that that really really matters to me I like UNLV give me the rebels at plus three and a half for 1.1 units all right so we got a lot of things going here today for us remember reminder on the Discord Channel chat 8 o'clock in the morning Pacific 11:00 a.m. eastern time for 30 minutes breaking down all the picks and plays next weekend we'll have the Sunday morning live stream on Sunday where we'll start to get in teasers and long teasers and fun stuff on Sunday but strictly just a college football weekend for us so far here are the six plays that we are making here for today Penn State West Virginia under 51 A5 that's from earlier in the week Penn State minus 7 we're buying it down to- 125 Miami minus 2 and a half that number I was three gave that out earlier in the week atus 110 Clemson plus 142 is an ALT number minus 132 there that number now is 12 Weber State plus 26 I like Weber State not going to win the game but Weber State against Washington keep the game close at plus 26 for 1.1 units and UNLV plus three and a half on the road at Houston at minus 110 if you notice only one under I'm playing here I don't like playing unders in the first week of college football because I don't know what these teams really are defensively as of yet I'm doing one under that's it Penn State in West Virginia at under 51 and a half the rest are side bets for us here today sixth place I never made sixth place I never bet two times two bets in one game either very often but I like Penn State I like that stat 160 and one for James Franklin when the spread is between 6 and 24 in their favorites since 2020 it's hard to overlook that stat when it comes to Penn State I'll talk to you later on today in our Discord Channel bettingpros docomo our live chat coming up looking forward to talking to all you guys and hearing from you on that Discord Channel chat today this is going to be a fun day buckle up hydrate and let's have some fun my name is Matt peralt follow me across all socials at Sports Talk matat every morning the dily use 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