Latest Polling: Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris!

election betting odds boom right now KLA Harris 52% chance of winning Donald Trump 46.9% chance of winning let's just call it 52 47 so KLA Harris right now with about a five percentage point lead in the latest election betting odds this is election betting odds.com if you want to check this as well we've been citing this on our show for the entirety of our show going back to January so a good8 n months and we try to we try to site the same sites and stay consistent so a little bit about that so let's just say 5247 now remember the debate was Tuesday we're talking two three days ago those odds were essentially flipped before that debate the last I had looked before the debate Donald Trump had about a fourpoint lead 4 percentage point lead remember this is not polling this is the election betting up so let's just say it was Trump 5248 over kamla Harris well that essentially flipped because of the debate because of KLA Harris with a strong performance Donald Trump obviously with not a very strong performance and so Bing Bang Boom so when we did the live stream I remember I was checking it kind of as we were going and the night of the debate the last I looked Harris's betting odds had jumped like eight8 and a half% whatever it is so now it's about nine or so so it's it's stabilized it's improved a little bit and I think the reason for that several reasons first of all KLA Harris did win that debate I think that's pretty clear to most reasonable people and I've said 5,000 times I do think ABC News was biased towards KLA Harris and that was wrong I don't think that's the reason that she won the debate and Donald Trump lost though I think that uh whatever it was 10 15 20 minutes in KLA Harris took control took the momentum basically around the time they started talking about abortion and then of course she brings up crowd size that rattled him and from there on out she kind of controlled the debate so and I think most people would agree with that by the way get your comments in get your questions in and I will answer them live we'll go uh we'll go at least I don't know 10 15 minutes as long as people want to watch I don't have a ton to report not like I'm really going out there and gathering this data but uh I like to show it to you all so there we go latest election betting odds boom tell what I'll refresh just now just in case so you see maybe it refreshes and it changes nope same sometimes it changes you know one tenth of a point so 52 47 K Harris about a 5% lead in the election betting odds okay let's go to polling now Eric master smith he likes to to quote that Nate silver silver Bolton I do as well um also you have real clear politics which has some some polling data in there which let's be honest are not as legitimate as others Ras m is the one that comes to mind look I don't care if you're Democrat Republican independent whatever Ras m is not a legitimate poll and and you'll see why that's the case but also I think when we're talking about this particular race it would be silly to quote any polling that happened before the debate because the debate was this huge event and obviously some people's minds were changed we know it's not a huge percentage but enough that it did swing the betting odds in KLA Harris's favor so I'll read you the uh latest polling here in a second after I take my sip of water okay so this is real clear politics and I'll hold it up for you again here okay Real Clear Politics boom if you see basically the average if you can read that it's 1.5% or 1.5 points for Comm Harris over Donald Trump I know that wasn't uh probably super easy to read but I'll just I'll just go through it here so again I think if we're being fair it doesn't really make sense to cite any polling before the debate so if you go before the debate I'm just going to go through a bunch of them it was this is going back to August 22nd pulling from August 22nd up through September I guess 6th Ras M was done um from September 5th to September 11th Ras m is not a legitimate poll it just is what it is but okay go back so Harris it was Harris plus one Harris plus one Harris plus one Harris Plus three you had a tie for a Pew pole you had Harris plus two Harris plus one you had another tie and then you had two good polls from um New York Times Sienna and then Ras M which is not a legitimate poll but so Trump trump there plus one in New York Times Sienna Trump plus two in Ras M but then look above that so so basically the New York Post poll which was September 10th and September 11th remember the debate was late that night of September 10th so the New York Post poll has Comm Harris plus three and I don't know exactly if those folks were pulled some of them before the debate so I don't know if that's a fair one to site either so the reason I titled this live stream KLA Harris has fivepoint lead over Donald Trump and and by that I meant the polls even though right now the betting odds as I showed you earlier were also about a 5 percentage point lead for KLA Harris over Donald Trump 5247 is in the betting ODS and remember that's still an absolute coin flip so anybody who thinks KLA Harris is all of a sudden just going to win this election because she had a better debate performance and that flipped the betting odds that's not the case at all I mean Donald Trump very easily could still win this election and I remember if you go back KLA Harris had like a 10 percentage point lead in the betting odds just a couple of weeks ago and then Donald Trump started to take over a bunch of that momentum we're talking like right after the DNC RFK made his announcement that he was going to team up with Trump and then you started to see all the momentum in the betting odds going towards Donald Trump and I think he was up again about four points in the betting odds basically right before the debate and so that has flipped the momentum the betting odds the pulling has all flipped towards k Paris since Tuesday so the two I'm going to I'm going to refresh this right now just so we have up to the second so the two polls we have that are after the debate these are the polls that matter the most right now and look of course it's going to change next week but today's Friday we're talking about it right now so the two polls we have after the debate if you can read that is Reuters and morning consult so both of those have Harris plus five so Reuters so again this polling was September 11th September 12th after the debate for Reuters Harris up 4742 morning consult was just September 11th day right after the debate so that was what Wednesday and that was 50 to 45 so Harris plus five so I think it's pretty fair to say you want to take the polling that's the most recent after the debate and right now remember this is nationally this doesn't mean k Harris is going to win the presidency so look let's just say it's true let's say Harris has a fivepoint national lead remember this is in the popular vote Joe Biden won the last election in terms of the popular vote by four and a half and still if Donald Trump would have swung the three closest States it was something like what 8,000 votes if he swings the three closest States Donald Trump wins electoral college so I would think I would think KLA Harris has to win the popular vote by at least three points at least three to feel well I would say she has to win by at least three to have a chance to win the election and it probably has to be four or five to feel really good about it again Donald Trump almost won in 2020 despite losing the popular vote by four and a half percentage points so it's more about where these votes come from I'm not telling you guys anything you don't know if Donald Trump can flip Pennsylvania very good chance he wins even if he were to lose the popular vote by three four hell even five percentage points that wouldn't be crazy at all that if Donald Trump gets the votes in the right states he would still win the election okay my guy Ace continuing to comment Ace I can't wait to see polls on Monday and Ace One More Time one thing for sure it is close my friend yes it is no doubt okay I'm not going to go super long um anybody else who has any comments or questions get them in I guess the last thing I want to talk about is if we see another debate and from what we've seen from the Trump camp at least right now he's saying that he's not going to do another debate he says he won I saw that he put out there on truth social it's like a prize fighter if somebody else is asking for the debate right away then they obviously lost so he's talking about KLA Harris there again this wasn't like a mercy rule it wasn't like this was some awful debate that Donald Trump can't bounce back from and can't win the election but again most reasonable people and I showed you the polling where KLA Harris has a fivepoint lead in the two latest polls I showed you the betting odds where the betting odds flipped from Trump up about 4% to now Harris up about 5% it's clear that K Harris won the debate and the latest betting odds and polls reflect that so I would think it is very smart strategy for Donald Trump to do another debate and again I want I want two more debates probably not g to happen but I want more debates look I don't even care about the strategy as much I just think it's good for our country to see more debates but if but if any candidate strategically shouldn't do another debate to me it's probably KL Harris and by the way I don't want that to happen I hope it doesn't happen but KL Harris won that debate and going to the next one Donald Trump could very well win that debate and just pull all that momentum right back into his corner so to me look I want another debate I want two more debates I can't wait to watch the uh VP debate between JD Vance and Tim Walls but we're talking about as George W bush said strategery I think the candidate that strategically probably shouldn't do another debate is K Harris Donald Trump needs to do another debate and go out there and have a good performance and put that last memory when I say last memory I mean the last debate memory in people's minds could be look there's another debate Donald Trump does really well and you forget about the debate a month before whatever it is where KLA Harris did well okay let's see Lynn says he'll only do it if it's Fox and he picks the moderators I actually think Donald Trump should get more of a HomeTown debate this time around he did CNN the first time with Joe Biden we know how that went and I thought CNN actually was very fair in that debate I don't remember well it's funny I was gonna say I don't remember anybody talking about the moderators but Joe Biden did so poorly that there was really there was really no other story from that debate other than the fact that Joe Biden had to reboot on stage and basically the conversation really got ramped up that he needs to step step down he needs to leave this race so even even that debate you couldn't even focus on the policy points and what Donald Trump said I think it was so alarming early look we all had seen the senior moments from Joe Biden but I think it was so alarming early that he just imploded it was hard for anybody to focus on anything else but that anything Joe Biden said afterwards anything Donald Trump said afterwards whatever the moderators said it just didn't matter because the the conversation exploded now that Joe Biden needed to step down so nobody was talking about CNN and any type of biased in that first debate which is a good thing clearly the talk about ABC News being biased is a huge story especially on the right I get it I do think they were biased I think they should have fact checked Tom Harris on a few things also Donald Trump said some crazy things I guess you could make the argument that you just want the the moderators to totally stay out of it I I get that maybe let the the two candidates fact check each other I don't know if you can really do that though with the mics with the mics cut off when the other person isn't talking so I guess in a perfect world in a perfect world like I don't mind the journalists factchecking I would actually rather have the candidates fact check each other though so so in that case you leave the mics open you let them banter back and forth and argue back and forth and you probably at some point as moderators would need to jump in and kind of say hey let her talk let him talk but let the two candidates really duke it out there so let's see Lynn says I agree but not Hannity Waters or Ingram and that's who Trump apparently wants Trump said he didn't want what Brett Bear and Martha call them so uh here we go Lynn says maybe Brett and uh and Harrison okay and Asus saying yes I agree Lynn how about that how about that two people coming together and agreeing that's what we love on this channel I think we're pretty fair on this channel and uh look if you go back when Trump's been ahead in the odds and the polling we say it when Harris is ahead we say it even back when Biden I mean we started the show in January Joe Biden was ahead in the polling and the odds way back when that shows you how crazy this year has been all right any more questions comments from you guys before I bow out I just want to jump on part of this too I wanted to test a live stream during the day look a lot of people it's Friday but it's lunchtime people are working and the other night with our live stream we got incredible numbers huge part of that obviously is that the I mean the part of it is that the debate is the number one trending topic on Earth but I also think big picture live streams work way better at night and I think late at night I'm thinking because look if you have kids dinner whatever it is let's say you get the kids down 7 7:38 I'm thinking and we're going to do one next week we'll do one next week that's not after the debate but our plan is to do a live stream probably after the uh vice presidential debate hopefully there's another presidential debate but I wanted I want to test a live stream next week on a on a non-big night do one at 8:30 9:00 and see if uh and this is Central Time I live on Central time Eric is in California so he's Pacific time but we'll do one late at night and we'll see if we get some some good numbers there all right I appreciate you guys watching if you're watching right now hit that subscribe button if you haven't already and uh let us know what you want us to talk about in uh in the future next week um I'll tell you what Lynn asked another question so let's let's get it to 20 minutes before I shut her down Lynn says who who do you predict will win the VP debate I really don't know if you ask me right now I would say I would say it's not it's not going to be a substantial win I think it'll be relatively fair I think both those guys talk pretty well on their feet I've seen some clips of JD Vance when he debated Tim Ryan in Ohio for the Senate Tim Ryan's like my favorite politician ever and he lost that Senate race to JD Vance but I I saw some clips from that so JD Vance is a pretty good debater I've never seen Tim Walls debate but I have seen him at all the rallies and whatnot and I do think he's a very compelling speaker I mean he does have that coach that's with an audience so I don't even know did we did we find out these VP um the VP debate if there's an audience and and the cut mics and all that I'm not really sure so again I've never seen Tim Walls debate if you put a gun to my head I would say JD Vance probably wins that debate slightly I don't even know if the VP debate really is going to change any of any of people's minds what do you think I think it was different to me it was different when when Joe Biden was running and he's super old and he's looking old and sounding old then the VP really matters KLA Harris is whatever she is what is she 60 Donald Trump's old but he's clearly from a from a mental acuity standpoint he wasn't or he's not even in the same realm as Biden was the last year or so so I understand you go okay if something happens to Trump you got JD Vance he's young something happens to KLA Harris but she's like 60 years old so I don't know I'm excited for that one I think that one I think that one could get a little antagonistic I could see JD Vance going after him I could see wall starting on the defensive but then jumping in there so I'm going to say a slight victory for JD Vance how about that