Top 10 Takeaways You NEED to Know BEFORE Week 2 Fantasy Football

Intro what's going on man welcome back to the basem Omron and today we're going to talk through my top 10 Lessons Learned and takeaways from week one of the fantasy football season this is one of my favorite videos I get to do every single year the idea is that instead of you scrolling through box scores for hours on end I just still all of the important details from the given week in fantasy football into one video and give you 10 takeaways that are based on data usage Trends statistics we're going to talk through some big rookie wide receiver report trends we have a lot to get into as always if you enjoy leave a like subscribe if you're new we're going to skip the intro again we have a lot to get into and I will be honest it's top 10 Lessons Learned but for week one we always do more than that there is a ton to go through here I want to say we end up with like 13 14 15 takeaways here and the first one is really more of a PSA take a breath don't overreact it's just week one all right when we look at 1 Take a deep breathe, Dont overreact, weird week 1 Cooper Adams tweet here for what it's worth when I did a study on it two years ago I found that redraft ADP is more predictive of rest of season scoring then current season scoring up until after week four so until after week four we don't have enough data to say hey what has happened at this point in the actual season is better than what we thought before the season right ADP or just your priors in general and then Adam harstad comes over the top one of the ogs from football guys he said that he did the same study in 2013 all up to 2023 and found the same thing so take a step back the sky is not falling it is just one week of data that we're working with here and not only is it just one week of data which which is usually much more noisy than our preseason thoughts but it was also a really weird week one and it's kind of been that way since preseason got taken out where week one is just kind of really sluggish where if we look back Steve from he used to be at PFF palalo here week one passing touchdowns 61 in 2019 then 52 then 61 then 51 then 37 last year and then 33 this year pending Monday Night Football so scoring's down across the board in terms of passing you also have a jake Bose tweet here where it's week one average PPR fantasy points per team by position you have the 24th lowest week for quarterbacks since 2014 the 58th lowest for running backs since 2014 20th lowest for receivers and the lowest week for tight end scoring since 2014 which actually brings us into our second 2 Elite TEs, lets talk about them takeaway here and I just wanted to talk about the elite tight ends all right it was not a great weight for the elite tit end and I just figured we should just talk about them real quick because that is one of the biggest stories right now right we had uh Sam La Porto brick we had McBride bricked uh Travis Kelsey wasn't great uh King Kade wasn't great either really the only tight end that came through was like Isaiah likely uh and it just wasn't pretty across the board but I thought this was a good tweet from David gari here you look at the elite tight ends from last year you have Sam La pora you have Trey McBride you have Kelsey Mark Andrews cancade pittz KD Ingram and joku Ferguson all of them were brutal and then he said by the end of the year leapa had broken the rookie tight end reception record mcbright and joku total 80 plus receptions Ferguson totaled 70 plus KD topped 1,000 plus yards so it's not the end of the world it's one week of data the elite tight ends will be fine and we look at the elite tight ends in general this is just all tight ends from this week sorted by expected fantasy points in their game for half PPR by hidden Wings here Trey McBride's going to be fine 13.3 expected half PPR points was fine young stud I'm also completely fine with where Lea was at as our tight end four on this list now little bit higher concern for guys like Don con Cade here but I'm not completely panicking on Don con Kade yet Dwayne McFarland points out here 88% of the snaps 83% of the routes just 9% of the targets I have to believe that the targets are coming and are on their way but when we look at last year his snapshare in his route share was much lower in terms of his games with Dawson Knox so we're actually seeing him on the field anything over 80% of the routes for a tight end is Elite usage we just need the T the targets to be there which I think that they will eventually now I'm a bit more concerned with guys like Kelsey and Mark Andrews these are guys fighting washed obser uh you know allegations at this point Travis Kelce you had a lot of targets for Rice you have Xavier worthy looking super explosive Kel is now 34 years old he's like half celebrity half football player I do think the concerns preseason for you know him kind of falling off in terms of efficiency him kind of wanting to save himself for the playoffs are all very valid at this point I think he's still a tight end one easily he's still a top six guy very easily uh he's going to have massive Spike weeks with like two touchdowns in a given game but him gapping the field at tight end one overall like he's done what like two of the past like three or four years probably not happening this year and then you have Mark Andrews and Isaiah likely and I'm not really panicking on Mark Andrews and I'm also not disregarding Isaiah likely this was a massive W in my eyes for the Ravens staff for the Ravens front office the fact that they identified that okay Isaiah likeley is much better than Nelson agore tylon Wallace Deontay Hardy whatever we need to get him on the field no matter what Pat thorman had a tweet here the Ravens ran 12 personnel which is just two tight ends and two wide receivers on the field 53% of the time last year the Falcons led the league with 42% so they were 11% over the league leader last year and that was in a trailing game script right when you have two tight ends out there it's usually more run heavy but the fact that they Ed that Personnel in a trailing game script is massive which then brings us to this PFF chart here which by the way they Nathan Jon over there goes through all of the snap counts routes run all of that it's a mustre piece every week and you can see here 48 routes for Z flowers 45 for Rashad baitman 38 for Mark Andrews 35 for Isaiah likeley as long as both of those guys are like above 35 Plus right 35 of 51 is like hovering right around like 75% 70% that's just fine if you can run over 70% of the routs at tight end right we just talked about concade 80% plus as Elite 70% plus is still fine especially if isaia likely is going to be as efficient as he was and we've already seen what Mark Andrews has done in the past two Targets is not going to hold Mark Andrews has historically done really poorly against the Chiefs so to me I would have Mark Andrews uh at the bottom of this tier right I would have the two young guys up top so concade McBride I would put uh leaport up there of course and then I think you could also I mean we're going to talk about Bowers in a second here but Brock Bowers is now in this tier of like Andrews Kelsey Isaiah likely as like your next tier of tight ends I guess you could throw Evan Ingram in there as well even though he didn't do all that great uh but like I said I'm not panicking on Mark Andrews tight end one overall is probably out of the question uh but I think he can still be a fine top six tight end give you some really big spike weeks with touchdowns and Isaiah likely is an every week startable tight end because again they're running enough 12 Personnel for them to have two tight ends that are running 70% plus of the routes and that's all I care about I don't care about the snaps just how many of the routes are you running routes for on these passing plays and likely hits that threshold we are looking for now let's go to I know last year we did in the middle of the video but I wanted to start putting it towards the front of the video cuz I know some of you guys 3 Rookie Receiver Report come to this video in general for the rookie wide receiver report but we're changing it this year it is the rookie receiver report where we are going to cover not only wide receivers but tight ends as well now of course the world famous rookie receiver report is sponsored by Underdog fantasy make sure you check them out not that one but this one let me put my face up here as well they have a ton going on every week look at this week two promo calendar over on Underdog use promo code Ron the'll match your first deposit up to $1,000 in bonus cash you have more money Mondays you have no sweat Tuesdays you have a lamb free pick on Wednesday you have a 30% profit boost on Thursday a random promo on Friday they are giving out tons of Promos in their pick them lobbies you have weekly battle Royals which we drafted five last Friday those actually ended up doing pretty good I I'll review them next Friday but there's a lot going on over there in terms of pick thems in terms of drafts there's NBA drafts going on make sure you check them out pick thems are one of the more fun things you can do while you're watching these games especially the prime time so check out Underdog I have the links that'll take you there use my promo code in the description and the comment section down below now when we talk about the rookie receiver report here I'll put myself over on this side the idea is we have each rookie right we have receivers and tight ends all of them have ran 15 or more routes we have their week one route percentage so how often are they on the field right are they starters are they rotational players we have targets per out run are they commanding volume we have yards per out run are they efficient first down Sprout run are they moving the chains and being engines of their offense then PFF receiving grade this is just how are they looking on film and historically speaking like last year uh I believe tank Dell uh pukan Neu and Rashi rice all had 80 plus PFF receiving grad so we want that to be at 80 plus just of like a really good indicator for these young receivers now at the top here you'll see Far and Away in terms of PFF receiving grade they're also sorted by PFF grade here you have Brian Thomas Jr and you have lad makoni both guys if you've dra drafted them are like I would feel really good about them right they're playing about you know 3/4 of the routes which is just fine to be honest with you like that's I believe Rashi rice had like a 77% route share uh on the Thursday game of course you would want like 90% 100% plus but as a rookie in your first game that is more than fine they both had 20% plus targets per outr run they both had 75 plus receiving grades they were both top 24 wide receivers on the week yes they both scored touchdowns but the underlying data says here that 100% they were more than just scoring touchdowns Brian Thomas Jr super efficient giving you first downs PR run lad makoni over 30% targets Sprout run both guys again if you have them on your team you should feel really good now next up I want to talk about Brock Bowers man he was honestly the reason to start including tight ends in these reports here and just my God 78% roundout participation right which we just talked through with Andrews and likele anything over 70% is a startable tight end now he gives you 20% plus Target out run again he is a tight end a rookie tight end next to Devonte Adams and jacobe Meers two legit Target earners 20% plus targets PR out run 1.87 yards per out run which is only what that's actually higher than lad makoni in terms of efficiency behind just worthy Coleman and Brian Thomas so he's efficient he's commanding targets he's moving the chains as well 99.7% of his routes run result in a first down that is the second highest on the list behind just Brian Thomas Jr and then a 68.3 PFF receiving grade that is crazy for a first game for a tight end in his first career game like I just said with Devonte Adams and Kobe Meers like that's crazy now the charges I don't know how they are historically versus tight ends but I know Derwin James is like one of the best safeties in the league and probably lined up over Brock Bowers a good amount of the time like that's crazy to me Brock Bowers is in the tight end one conversation not overall but just of course the top 12 but you know he's going to be fighting for top six and again after like leor and McBride there's so much uncertainty right now that if we checked back in like four or weeks and Bowers was like the tight end three or tight end four rest of season it wouldn't shock me um very impressed with Bowers now after that we have two studs on good teams just kind of going down the list here we have Keon Coleman and Xavier worthy two guys that to me high-end wide receiver a performances attached to Big Time quarterbacks right Josh Allen Patrick Mahomes Coleman 90% of the routs which is huge getting to the top of that dep chart in a game where Curtis Samuel khil Shakir and Matt Collins all played huge he also led the that entire team in targets huge he also gave you efficiency 1.89 yards per run is solid 18.5% targets PR run is solid as well uh moved the chains okay like nothing was super crazy for Keon Coleman but the fact that he led the team in targets was out there 90% of the routes and put up fine efficiency numbers fine Target earning numbers that's all huge he can only really grow from here then you have Xavier worthy 12.5% Target Sprat run is of course the hold up here we want him to command more volume but the gave him more manufactured touches some Rush attempts as well he scored two touchdowns and that's huge right he gives you 1.96 yards per out run second most efficient receiver on this list and then he also gives you I mean 64 PFF grade isn't great 88.3% first downs PR run is fine but he at least flash that he's talented he has the gamebreaking speed and that's really what we're looking for because once Hollywood Brown comes back he's going to squeeze him for that 77% rout participation but with the two touchdowns with the long speed with the big plays we're hoping that makes it difficult for them to take him off the field and we're hoping that the volume steps up now let's have a tough conversation here about the top 10 picks we have Malik neighbors we have Marvin Harrison Jr you have romad dun all disappointing in their debuts Malik neighbors was fine right he gave you I think what like six he gave you like five catches for 60 yards that's fine uh he'll have better days in terms of 14% targets per outr run it was one of those days where Brian Flores was just blitzing uh Daniel Jones all game and what that does is it's not going let you get to your read downfield on leag neighbors but he should be just fine moving forward then you have romad dun which to me was a huge W to get 85% of the routes I was considered to be at like 60% the issue is that Caleb Williams was so bad uh that nobody really got home in that offense then you have Marvin Harrison Jr all the way at the bottom here worst PFF grade not a single first down on the day .11 yards per out run just really ugly stuff but I'm not really going to freak out over really any of these guys after one game it's just one game these guys are all top 10 Elite wide receiver prospects what I will say on Marvin Harrison Jr if you drafted him at the onew turn you probably drafted him to be like your wide receiver one or at least a guy that's going to be starting every single week to me he's now more of a backend wide receiver to and still he until he finds his footing in the NFL then we have ad Mitchell I wanted to talk about he is really exciting um with ad Mitchell he ran 75% of the routes you can ignore the yards per run you can ignore the first downs Sprout run the PFF grade 27.8% Target Sprout run is pretty Bonkers he was commanding a ton of volume he was Comming a ton of volume downfield as well Richardson just missed him on like two wide open touchdowns but he looked good he commanded volume in this offense of course it's like lower volume and more Consolidated with Anthony Richardson but ad Mitchell looked the part uh yesterday then we have the rest which is kind of like just the bottom tier of like other leftover guys you have zaver Legette uh only 59% of the routs isn't going to work but 30% Target Sprout run is pretty crazy on a 17.1 yard a dot but it didn't really result in anything I mean 1.52 yards Sprout run is fine but on that ad do it should be much higher uh 88.7% first down Sprout run is also good uh not a great PFF grade but leg's fine he just needs to rise up that dep chart then you have Jaylen McMillan he's actually already there in three wide receiver sets with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans at 88% of the routes everything else is kind of pedestrian here but he did catch a touchdown he did drop like another uh pass as well we'll see I don't know if there's going to be a ton of opportunity for him with Godwin and Mike Evans there as well but this is at least a good sign that he's on the field making plays uh then you have Devon V who is up here he is the fifth you know player on this list in terms of PFF grade I'm not really buying into it yes 25.8% Target spr run is great but it's like Rond Del Moore wandale Robinson type usage where it's on a two-yard ad do he's not efficient he's not moving the chains uh I'm just not really going to fall for that kind of profile uh you have Luke mcaffry and you have Jaylen pulk they both got on the field but they didn't do much with it then you have JT Sanders and Theo Johnson they're running routes but are unstable for now now our fourth takeaway or lesson learned is cup back man Cooper cup looked like an absolute 4 Is Cooper Kupp back? monster last night now of course pukaa goes down and Cooper cup comes out here leads the entire NFL in week one in Target share with 44% of his team's targets 21 total targets he ends with 32 PR points as the wide receiver two on the week behind just Jaden Reed pretty crazy if this is what we're going to get when pukaa isn't healthy uh then this is somebody that in games without pukan AA is a top six option at wide receiver uh 2.16 yards per out run as well so he was pretty efficient um I don't think the 2021 ceiling of like 26 points per game like Jerry Rice reincarnated is on the table but that 2022 where he had like 21 points per game that's very much on the table right now the Rams threw the ball a bunch they were focusing on cup cuz after cup it's like I can't believe Tyler Johnson made a big play last night uh on top of Tyler Johnson you have uh like Jordan Whittington it's just not like a great cast of receiver so cup will be the focal point and that's pretty huge so I would say again until puka is back cup is a top six to 12 option rest of season and even when puka does come back this is somebody that's still going to flirt with top 12 numbers then I wanted to touch on sequin we have saquon Barkley thoughts I wanted to talk about the legendary RB watch as 5 Saquon thoughts & Legendary RB watchlist well I don't know that we're going to have a legendary RB watch as like a a weekly segment but you know I was greeted to after this weekend I was greeted to a bunch of comments and it doesn't bother me I get a bunch of comments on the S we said don't draft him in your home League coming back from the Brazil game putrid take on saquan so far my dude we got Barkley is probably rb1 week one glad I drafted him quite a bit sequ one looked pretty good last night to me uh that's crazy barlay has 20 TD upside uh I wish I had these guys sub these guys never played football and can't see talent I mean contrary to popular belief I played uh football until I was in seventh grade thank you very much but um I get it SE had a big game um and I did kind of just want to talk about my thoughts on it uh he goes off I do want to clear the air as well that my take was he was a bad pick at 110 in your home League because he was way more expensive there than other places where in other places like high stakes Underdog he was more of like a early to mid-second I had him in my final RB rankings video as rb7 which to me isn't that egregious and isn't really that far off how I feel about him today I had mcaffry ahead Bree beon Gibbs JT aan all ahead of him and I will concede that he looked great he had a ton of juice but I'm not going to like hold this massive L after one game it's a long season we'll see how it goes um the BET was always that he was a lowf floor bet which I still believe right this was a aging RB already had a history of an ACL tear already have a history of ankle issues changing teams past what is usually the prime area for running backs in the NFL we didn't know what his role was going to be we didn't know if he would still have a ton of juice and he puts up a really great game but he had three touchdowns for a 75% touchdown share that's not going to hold we also saw plenty of Jaylen Herz like tush push and Red Zone usage once they got inside of the 10 I want to say two or three of his touchdowns are from outside out of even uh the 10 yard line kind of like long explosive play which are good but not super sustainable over an entire year um then he also had just two Targets for a 7% Target share that would put him on a 34 Target Pace we look at all of the running backs over uh the last 25 running backs that hit 20 or more points per game just Derk Henry got there on 34 targets or less again saquon had just two Targets in this game and that was one of the biggest issues for me was that would he get squeezed for touchdowns by Jaylen Herz would he get squeezed for targets by Jaylen Herz he's at least getting squeezed for targets or for targets and then also they played a Packers team that has allowed the 12th and 11th most fantasy points over the last two seasons now I will concede was he probably a fine pick a good pick where he was going to late first I would say so but I was also passing on him for guys like AJ Brown Jonathan Taylor Devon Anan all guys who I feel pretty good about at this point as well now if we look at just kind of the usage among these top backs I love using the tool by the way over on Fantasy Life it's called the utilization report um kind of fueled by PFF and Dwayne McFarland you can compare the usage of all these guys you have their usage score at the top which is like you know 8.7 for saquin 9.3 for bejon and so on then you have their snap share their Rush attempt share their route share their target just their overall usage in saquin 81% of the routes is great but again just 7% of the targets 8% targets PR run isn't amazing and that's kind of the holdup also 0% of the two minol snaps those went to Kenneth gainwell so I don't know we'll see how the the receiving ceiling goes it's just again like when we're shooting for upside again it's the whole legendary upside RB argument of like can sequan be a good pick and get you give you like 18 to 20 points per game sure but can you like the the league on fire rb1 overall uh like a lot of these guys it would be really tough you know you you have to go you know dvin cook had 54 targets 63 targets but that was in 14 games and 14 games he'd have to kind of have that Jonathan Taylor uh 2021 season which I think is in play but even then Jonathan Taylor had 51 targets right now now seon is on Pace for 34 so I don't know we'll see how it goes um but I'm not freaking out just yet again the guys I was taking him over or over him was Jonathan Taylor Jonathan Taylor similar issue in terms of targets but I was just more inclined to bet on Jonathan Taylor as the younger player still in their Prime in an offense they're familiar with I don't have to take on all the uncertainty of him changing teams so we were taking JT over him and I'm fine with that we're talking what 95% of the snaps here uh almost all the rush attempts he ran 83% of the routs which is an elite number sure didn't get any Targets but that route share is crazy and he had 100% of the two minut drill snaps so he's out there in All Phases again the targets weren't there this week but the usage was amazing you also have bejon who looked good he had the highest usage score of this list 92% of the snaps he had 100% long down and distance 100% two minute drill I think higher PPR outputs are coming for both of those teams Devon Anan we were huge on he had 20 plus points in week one seven targets it looked like an absolute monster just in terms of getting routes getting targets getting like kind of Kamar type usage and then jir Gibbs I did want to touch on him because people seem to be panicking on on him after the Sunday night game and I mean he had 32% targets Prout run he still had this like Kamar es roll kind of similar to Devon Anan right where you're out there for the two-minute drill you're running a good chunk of routes you're getting a good chunk of your targets you're probably playing about 50% of the snaps um his Rush attempt share was definitely certainly low uh but 17.4 PPR points on the week I think that his his split with Montgomery is going to be similar to this every single week Gibbs is going to win on a efficiency big plays pass catching uh so still not all that worried he's still pretty much a locked and loaded rb1 for me and even this week where his usage wasn't amazing he still got home on 17.4 PPR points and I think Montgomery and his own right will be a guy you can start every week it just kind of reminds me of your Mark Ingram uh Kamar split from back in the day on the Saints then we also have the I guess like snapshare leaders I just want to kind of show the workhorses as well as we just kind of talk through rb1 overall I'd have a hard time seeing how uh or Joe Mixon get there in terms of rb1 overall uh but they both had amazing debuts and are certainly in the rb1 conversation moving forward just like top 12 running back conversation Kiren Williams the korm stuff was overblown but even still Kiren even on that volume still kind of limped his way to the finish line of giving you a decent finish on that like last minute touchdown but Detroit's really good against the run as well so it's going to be interesting I will say the downside for Kiren the only downside is that if corm can actually work his way into this rotation they like Ronnie River so much it might be a three-way split we'll see but I think for now you should feel very good about having Kiren Williams then I wanted to talk about ambiguous backfield 6 Ambiguous backfields and again all of this data is from Fantasy Life make sure you check them out I actually played on their trivia team over the summer um at the bdg live event but here our sixth takeaway here we're just going to talk through ambiguous backfield so it's like it's going to be like 10 combined into one um I do want to say this is a week one snapshot okay things change over an entire season it is just one week remember last year Devon hen was a healthy scratch last year uh who else am I thinking of we had uh DeAndre Swift like was a zero pretty much and was behind Kenneth G and then he sort of took the reain so things are going to change this is just what things look like from a week one perspective um Tony Pard is the lead back here 70% of the rush attempts 60% of the snaps so he is the lead guy Tai Spears is the you know satellite back out there in Long down and distance and two minute drill snaps uh Tony par had 19 touches to Tai Spears eight touches Tony Pard he looked good as well he had like a long maybe not a long touchdown like a 20- yard touchdown run um but he looked fine he's probably going to be in that Fringe rb1 conversation or maybe like highend rb2 to be honest with you moving forward uh then you have the Bengals split which wasn't great for z uh for Chase Brown you had 11 Touches for Zach Moss six Touches for Chase Brown even in an environment where they trailed for a lot of that game it still was not Chase Brown in the past situations 88% long down in distance for Zach Moss you had uh 100% of the two minute drills for Zach Moss really not good for Chase Brown here you're kind of going to have to hope that he can work his way up the depth chart the rest of the way because they don't it seems like they don't trust him in those passing Downs maybe for pass blocking reasons but Zach Moss if he's going to be out there for you know 60% plus of the stops if he's going to get like 68% of the rush attempts like he did here be the short yardage back for the goal line and then also be the two-minute drill back that's actually a really really good role for Zach Moss you just need Joe burrow in this offense to get it together uh then you have the Tampa Bay backfield you have Bucky Irving versus Rashad white Rashad white clearly the better usage profile but for a guy that was drafted for you know his role and his volume he did have 21 touches to Bucky Irving's 11 touches it was a game where they killed Washington but Bucky Irving had 62 rushing yards to Rashad White's 31 uh Rashad white also hit 68% of the snaps which is the lowest number hit since like I think it was it was late last year he only had one game last year of 68% of the snaps or lower so this was a new Norm for Rashad white now was it garbage time and they threw in Bucky Irving at the end potentially or they actually really like Bucky Irving and he looked explosive we'll see how that holds moving forward uh this was one that I didn't even really think was an ambiguous backfield but Travis etn got out carried by Tank bsby if I'm reading this correctly I do want to double check here um of course Jaguars versus do but Travis etn this is a little bit rough man 68% of the the snaps which last year if you remember he really tailed off towards the end he didn't have less than 70% of the snaps until week 10 on last year and that's when he faded down the stretch if we're starting the year already under 70% of the snaps you're looking at late season 2023 Travis etn which is kind of brutal uh now maybe they fed the hot hand and tank bsby he did have a couple of long runs but it's certainly not great right you're going to have Travis etn getting the passing down work right he's going to have routes he's going to have targets he's going to mix around all over the place but if tank big is going to have 12 carries to Travis cn's 12 carries that's not a good thing and tank BBY looked pretty good 12 carries for 73 yards 6.1 rushing yards per carry etn of course the goal line back which is definitely huge right he gets a touchdown he gets 12 carries to 44 rushing yards but that's under four yards per carry Bigby is more efficient than him on the day uh you can maybe tell yourself that it was just like a hotand approach and bsby kind of earned his carries in this game we'll see how how it goes moving forward but tank bsby I mean it's already known that he was the Handcuff but he is very much the Handcuff in this backfield then you have the Panthers backfield you have chuba hubard versus my Sanders and the answer to that question is neither they combined for less than five PPR points they got blown out versus the Saints uh an offense I thought was going to bounce back with Dave Canales looked brutal Bryce young looked brutal uh you had six hubber touches to five miles Sanders touches no one in this backfield or really on this team even is startable moving forward then we have the Cowboys backfield you have Zeke versus Rico Dow and Zeke Elliott Main back here best utility by Fantasy Life uh better usage score now I will say the touches were close Zeke had 12 touches to D nine the thing is that Zeke's touches are just much more valuable uh where he has all the inside the five work he has all the goal line work he's out there for 42% of the long down and distance snaps which is again like third down passing situations so he's getting some targets he's getting some carries he's getting the meaningful carries it's not great uh dle is not startable Zeke is like a touchdown dependent rb3 for now but I will say that wasn't a game versus the Browns we'll see how it sort of goes moving forward uh then we have the Raiders which this one is brutal for anyone out there in the zamir white hiive um this is why we don't draft guys that look like pretty clear Dead Zone backs uh everybody got went crazy about 20 touch games the last four games of last season for zamir white and him being the quote unquote Workhorse for the Raiders this year and they come out here and it was a 60/40 split in favor of Alexander Madison which is crazy Alexander Madison is the passing down back I never thought we'd really see this right he's kind of almost in the Amir Abdullah role from last year maybe we thought that Dylan lby would have this role but 60% of the routes all the long down and distance stuff almost all the two minute drill work 16.2 PPR points this week nine Touches for Madison 15 for zamir so zamir White's going to out touch Madison even on low snaps but he's not going to get any of the passing down work which is tough because if he's only going to be the goal line in between the 20s back on a team that's not going to score a lot of points right they scored just like 10 versus the Chargers that's pretty ugly uh we have another one with javante versus Jalil mlin this one not good either you guys know I love dvon Williams um I honestly loved all of the Broncos running backs but this was not good you had just nine Touches for dvon 15 Touches for Jalil mlin golin was used from the start of the game like he had I want to say he had like five catches on like dump screens that did nothing the whole offense is pretty brutal with B Knicks to be honest with you guys but um this is a really bad split man uh they had nothing inside of the five you have like it's very weird where jalum M glin comes in for targets for you know to run targets get screen game work but javante was the preferred third down back and two-minute drill back he's a short yardage guy he's out there for 50% of the snaps but he didn't get enough touches and he didn't get any goal line stuff for him to work out he's almost kind of in a similar spot to zamir white where he is going to live off of touchdowns and inside the five attempts with this role and he is not going to run you know they're not going to get to the end zone enough times for that to be sustainable so pretty rough we're talking about like a a boom bus touchdown dependent rv3 for javante Jalil mlin is probably like a fine PPR like desperation play in zero RB you can just throw an rb2 spot but nothing is all that pretty uh then we have the Chargers backfield you have dobins versus Gus Edwards Dobbins had a monster day 10 touches 135 yards and a touchdown um just very happy about Dobbins I tweeted this out earlier uh Dobbins hit 19.9 2 miles hour on his big run he tied saquon for the fastest ball carrier speed by a running back in week one and I wasn't really fading him I wasn't really targeting him either he was just somebody I would take here and there um regardless of how you feel about JK Dobbins like just seeing him ball out after a torn ACL a torn Achilles we were all over him last year and then he tears Achilles in week one seeing him ball out in any capacity is really great for football in general but I will say this uses is great right 60% of the snaps he had 22.9 PPR points he's out there as a long down and distance back so he's you know the pass catching back 12% of the targets 59% of the r side this is a really good usage rooll where he's the main back he's the main receiving back in an offense attached to Justin Herbert uh in a you know Greg rushing offense so we'll see how this works I will say really my only note on JK Dobbins is that I think that he has the potential to be a League winner this year uh but it's kind of like you know we're here for a good time not a long time I don't know at what point things will break down if they will break down at all but for a guy you probably drafted in like the 12th round uh he is to me someone you can start every single week um and expect pretty good output for as long as he's healthy then our seventh takeaway I just wanted to talk about the Falcons and Steelers offense game right because we had new OC's on both teams we 7 Falcons offense & Steelers offense Thoughts had a lot of disappointment on both teams let's talk about the Falcons first huge W 100% of the routes for Drake London 100% of the routes for Kyle pittz huge that is really really good for both also I mean 23 three routes for beon and three routs for alir I will just take a small Victory lap for the guys out there that said oh well air is going to be too involved for bean beon 50 snaps to Air 10 snaps 23 routes to air three routes five targets aers zero targets 18 carries for bean to air three carries so no discussion um you know Vince Carter it's over um dot JF there um but the issue here was not London or pits it was quarterback play which is a tailor oldest time for these two players but we thought with Kurt Cousins it would be different well Rich rear points out here the Falcons were the only team that was not credited with a single play action pass yesterday that is crazy 96% of their snaps were out of shotgun in the league behind only the Colts who used play action a league high 57.9% of the time Hayden wings I just watched every Falcons drop back that was the least I've seen a quarterback move in a game ever not an exaggeration he broke The Tackle Box just once I think no play action no under Center just three five step drops and pray there is no pressure wow so Kirk Cousins is very limited he's holding up this offense they're not doing a lot of play action they're kind of hiding Kirk Cousins I will say um I think that there is better days ahead you have to remember this was a healthy Steelers defense TJ watt was causing Havoc all game long they probably just wanted to protect KK cousins for that reason but not great if we're going to go the rest of the season with limited play action which is one of the more high efficiency plays in football in terms of the passing game and if we're going to go with everything out of shotgun everything the same look it's going to be really tough to have any efficiency in this offense but I'm optimistic that maybe moving forward Kirk gets better has a little more trust in his legs and if not we do have Michael penx waiting in the wings and he is a complete mystery box so better days ahead I wouldn't get too too concerned with how things went here of course Ray McLoud uh had the most Targets on this team that is not going to stick moving forward and then we'll talk about the Steeler side of things here you have Arthur Smith trying to get a little Revenge game in with Cordell Patterson I mean my God man when I saw Cordell Patterson I thought that I was getting uh trolled pranked whatever um of course Cordell Patterson had 14% of the snaps 11% of the rush attempts 33% of the third down long down and distance snaps just really really tough stuff and if he's going to have 14% of the snaps Warren becomes almost unstable uh Naji Harris though about 60% of the snaps he's going to run some routes he's going to get some targets he's going to get the uh goal line work it's not going to be super efficient in terms of his touches right just 8.9 PPR points but he did have like 20 plus touches so na is at least going to get volume in this offense it's just going to come down to what quarterback is playing is it Fields is it not um there was some concern for Pickin I saw as well I wouldn't be very concerned at all he had 30 2% of the target 79% route share you'd want more but that's still fine he had 13.5 PPR points pickings to me will be fine moving forward then I wanted to talk about the Seahawks New Look offense for our eighth takeaway here and this is 8 Seahawks new look offense with Ryan Grubb what we got from Fantasy Life where you can look at their game logs here uh the good news jsn second most routes right so he passed Lockett potentially on the depth chart but Lockett did come into this game with an injury the bad is that he was was outproduced by Tyler Lockett and jsn had a 3.5 yard ad dot which was a super low ad do again something we hoped wouldn't come with him from last year so that's a huge bummer we'll see if that changes but it's not a good sign for that to happen early on and I also wanted to talk through the Ryan grub offense right so Ryan grub is their new OC he comes in from Washington and these are two good stats from Andrew Erikson and reach rebar here where Andrew Erikson says Ryan Grub's new offense was highlighted by Smith getting the rid of the ball quickly Smith got the ball out quickly averaging his third quickest time to throw 2.54 seconds since joining the Seahawks in 2019 uh they also use motion 79% of their offensive plays a stark increase from 53% so they're running more motion they're getting the ball out quicker and then also Rich rebar points out 55% of Kenneth Walker's run yesterday came against light boxes the highest of his career so we're getting lighter boxes for Kenneth Walker who absolutely balled out yesterday really good usage he looked amazing just need him to stay healthy he got like banged up towards the end of that game uh and then also we're getting more motion more passing plays a better look up front for the running back so that's all really exciting I think that honestly the offense didn't look great but you had like two safeties in the early part of the game it was just weird let Ryan grub you know break into the NFL I think that good things are on the way my ninth takeaway is that Sam 9 Sam Darnold can support an NFL Offense, Jefferson WR1 SZN darnold can support an NFL offense if Kevin oconnell is head coach and because of that Justin Jefferson everyone had a lot of concerns about or not everyone but there was a certain section of people that were very concerned about Justin Jefferson in terms of drafting him in the first round if his quarterback sucks and is Sam darnold well Sam darn looked really good of course it was just the Giants I mean the Giants defense is pretty good though right they have uh Brian Burns up front they have Lawrence up front uh they have a lot of dogs on that team uh Tibido of course uh and when we talk about it he went 19 of 24 for 208 yards two touchdowns one pick uh 86.2 passing grade the highest graded quarterback from Sunday over on PFF he was fourth in EPA per play seventh in yards per attempt on the week I'm not saying that this is going to carry over and he's going to have you know he's going to lead the the league and you know PFF grade or be some Pro Bowl quarterback but he is going to do enough to support Jefferson now Jefferson had just four catches for 59 yards and a touchdown but that's because it was a very uh one-sided game script where they just killed the giant so there wasn't a need to pass the ball a ton uh you can see right here just 24 pass TS that's not going to hold uh Jefferson had a 29% Target share uh so he's still very much good to go our 10th takeaway is the Browns the good news according to Hayden winks and his 10 Browns want to pass the ball, but the bad news is guy passing the ball blows chart here they had the highest neutral pass rate of any team in week one so in neutral situations they wanted to pass the ball a lot the issue is that their quarterback is no good right they have deshun Watson he was 29th of 30 quarterbacks in EPA per play these were your worst quarterbacks by EPA per play on the week by a lot the guy in 23rd was only at like minus .1 so these guys were just like stink out loud of course desan Watson is down there uh really not good I think if you have any of the Browns at this point you're hoping for jamus Winston I think that the calls for Winston are going to get loud of course the Cowboys are a good defense we'll see how deshun Watson does but I don't know he if he doesn't do something quick it it's jamus Winston time and that's actually really exciting um I I'll say 11 Klint Kubiak is fun as well lesson learned Clint kubak is fun man uh kubak he comes from of course his dad uh coached he comes from like the Shanahan tree um we see here from Rich rebr x-axis is motion uh drop back percentage and then yards per attempt in the y- AIS and the Saints in terms of dropback motion so motion on pass plays we're right up there with like the Chiefs the Packers the Lions um which are three offenses I want to be included with when it comes to motion or really anything as it pertains to running an offense in the NFL that is huge of course Kamar has a good day Derek Carr looked like he had something to prove uh of course it was just the Panthers they're not going to look like this every single week but this is going to be a passable NL offense um potentially one of these you know come out of nowhere offenses that nobody really expected from preseason and people are concerned about Ave but 's targets didn't come through today one they were never in a spot where they had to really pass the ball outside of the uh early uh play to Rashid Shahed and second of all 's had a really strong Target earning profile throughout his entire career this is just one game of data so the fact that he didn't have like you know eight Targets in this game not a big deal to me if anything I feel much better about ol moving forward if this offense is going to look you know of course it's again it's not going to put up 40 plus every week but if it's going to look like a modern offense there's going to be a lot of pre- snap motion and Clint kubak is actually running a good offense that's huge I will say as well Jamal Williams over 10 Rush attempts of course they were leading by a lot but Kamar is never going to be a 25 Rush attempt guy if Jamal Williams can get 10 plus in every game he might be on the waiver wire video tomorrow we shall see uh 12th takeaway here like I said more than 10 12 All Texans WRs will eat this week we're going to do like 14 I think um is the Texans man all Texans wide receivers will eat we've been saying this all off season there's going to be enough to go around for all of them and Dwayne mcf points out route participation and targets we went just like 80% plus of the routes uh 20% plus Target share all of these guys flirted with those numbers across the board tankel doesn't get home but it's going to be like the 49ers we're like two out of the three of these top guys they're going to get home and have good weeks right ston Diggs and Nico Collins both were top 12 wide receivers this week and that's going to happen throughout the entire year because you have CJ sters going to make a lot of plays in this offense this offense is going to score a lot of points have a lot of passing yards and with that means that it's not just a zero some game it's not just going to be a one winner every single week there's going to be two to three pass catchers in this offense who pop off in a given week and that is huge all 13 Anthony Richardson Agent of Chaos of these guys I feel good about moving forward um then after that our 13th takeaway is Anthony richson is an agent of chaos we have a tweet from our good buddy Jacob Sanderson Richardson has started and finished three NFL games in two of them he scored 27 more fantasy points with with 11 or fewer completions Hayden Wing said before that Richardson's going to be a top five fantasy quarterback of week one with nine completions and it's just why rushing is King in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks in fantasy football it is King Richardson does not have to be a good player for him to work out I set it the top of my lungs the entire offseason even if you don't think Richardson is the best quarterback ever he has enough chaos and enough like deep throwing and scrambling and just like chaos in his game he's going to score a lot of fantasy points and they invested too much ing him to bench him at any point really um he looked really good he had a crazy pass uh where he had like three guys in his face off his back foot chucks at like 60 yards he's just a monster of course they lose that game versus the Texans but really really good showing for the Colts uh you had I think Richardson LED all quarterbacks this week in terms of AD do and that's why I faded Pitman All Season or all offseason is Michael Pitman dominated the targets but it was a low volume passing day for this offense and Pitman 8 out was 9.7 yards that's just not the area that Richardson's going to Target a bunch he would just rather scramble or find something deep so when you're making your money in that area with Richardson who's a low volume passer and someone who doesn't really to pass to that area of the field it's not going to work out too too well so even on like a 39% Target share for Michael Pitman it still wasn't great you want the guys that are getting the downfield passing work like ad Mitchell and Alec Pierce Pitman is not included um in that section of the field which makes him a really tough start right when they're in the Red Zone they use Richardson they use Jonathan Taylor they don't go to Michael Pitman very much um and that just kind of reflects how he felt about him all off season I will say another guy who is that quarterback cheat code for our final takeaway lesson learned here for 14 is the rookie quarterback debuts Jaden Dal goes out there it was the qb3 14 Rookie QB Debut thoughts on the weekend fantasy points with just 184 passing yards because he had two rushing touchdowns and a bunch added on the ground for 28 points he didn't even look that great um but if he's going to run like this he is an every week starter uh but the catch is that you probably need him to progress as a passer right just 184 passing yards for Terry McClaren to be anything more than like a boom bust wide receiver 3/ Flex option the rest of the rookie quarterbacks not as great right you have at the bottom of this list here B Knicks really not good low ADOT some really questionable throws uh the Denver offense does not look fun this year uh Caleb Williams we hoping that he bounces back right I got a lot of questions about him DJ Moore Roman dun Keenan Allen it was a Tennessee Titans team that had Jeffrey Simmons and it had uh vandre sweat up front versus the Bears weakest point of their offensive line which is just their interior offensive line we'll see how this goes um I was under the impression or under the mindset of that Caleb Wills is going to come in and be a really good quarterback right away that has not happened now so what this comes down to is if you have him as your quarterback one Kaleb you should look towards the waivers which we'll cover on the waiver wire show of guys to take and pair with Caleb because you're going to need somebody off the bench um to start in more favorable matchups for me with Caleb Williams I think it's a wait and see until he finds his footing I do think that better days are ahead I think that it was just one bad game we'll see how he goes the rest of the way there um but it was ugly enough to Spook me and not want me to fire him up for week two without considering other options and I think once he finds his footing we'll have Roman dun DJ Moore Keenan Allen have some startable and some good weeks moving forward but for now I would just be tempering expectations again huge W that Roman dun had 85% of the routes uh you can say w for the Keenan Allen camp that he had so many targets but none of it really resulted in fantasy points for any of them now that is going to do it for us today we do this every single Monday of the season so if you enjoy the top 10 takeaways video if you enjoy the rookie receiver report leave a like subscribe if you're new and I will see you in the next one [Music] like this froze I