CFB Week 1 Thursday Prediction and Bets: North Carolina vs Minnesota & Colorado vs North Dakota St!

welcome into another video here we are talking about week one Thursday games here on a Thursday I know I'm coming out with this a little late uh decided last minute to come out with a video on here today I got a lot of videos to record today I got WWE picks good games for the weekend to breakdown needed a video today so I thought might as well come on here talk about the games today say what I'm betting the whole Shang I want talk about the big game first that's UNC versus Minnesota if you want watch any of my win Total videos I said that I liked Minnesota uh I said they can play defense against this team I don't really know what UNC is is a big question mark team uh I think Minnesota at home can sit there play defense against this team and win this game play field position and win this game Minnesota the lines flipped Minnesota was two and a half Point favorites now UNCC is about a one and a half to two point favorites uh against Minnesota Minnesota's got some issues here that we don't know if they're starting running back might not play we don't know if they're starting receiver their best wide receiver might not play at least one of those guys is probably not playing that is why this line flipped uh there's a lot of news in training camp just not going right for Minnesota and all the news in UNC here shows that they're supposed to be better uh on defense this year after being abysmal on defense the past two seasons under Drake may this team supposed to be better on defense this year I'm betting I'm betting UNC and this is only because a trend this is a trend when a team opens up as a dog and swaps to a favorite in college football it's about a 60% clip all time and that number only increases when the team's on the road and this team is on the road in UNC I am betting UNC this is not a full unit play uh it's a probably a 75 unit play I'm not going crazy on week one for a system that I don't love I like the system I don't love the system 75 units going down on UNCC this is not my biggest play today but that is one of my bets today I want to talk about another game that I'm not betting just to get here on the show I'm trying to look for the line here real fast uh it's the game I think a lot of people are going to be paying attention to um let's see here I can't find it but it is the North Dakota State game versus col right this is a big big time game it's an interesting line because I've seen I've seen people on different ends of the spectrum especially when it comes to this game I've seen people say kado is going to blow doors off them they got to show they're better than last year uh they got to show they're better offensively they got to show they're better defensively they got to show they canel Dion's got to show he's a better Coach but I've also heard people say North Dakota state is not going to be afraid of this Colorado team this is a very one of the best FCS teams in the country if not the best FCS program in the country they produce guys like kson Wentz Trey Lance this is a very established uh program in North Dakota State and they're taking on Colorado here on the road now I get all that but I lean Colorado and I would have played it at 7even and half if there's a 7even half at eight I would have played Colorado now now it creeps all the way up to 10 uh there's no way I would bet Colorado minus 10 so there's no play on this game I think Colorado wins the game they got to show that they're right there that they're still good that they're going to have a good season it's going to be false hope like it was last year they got to give that again the false hope again that's what Colorado needs to do and I think they do ultimately do that I think North Dakota is going to score uh Colorado you know they give a lot of points last year that's what I'm more interesting can Colorado stop a North Dakota State team they have to be able to stop this team and if they can't then I think I'm a little worried as a Colorado fan moving forward if they can't stop a North Dakota Run game they can't stop they have no pressure on the D line their offensive line kind of struggles in this game that's what I'm looking forward to forward in this game I still think Colorado wins the game I wouldn't play 10 I wouldn't play n and a half I would have played eight and a half maybe eight 7even and a half definitely would have played those numbers are long gone you can't find those anywhere that's the two big games today that I want to talk about I do want to break down my other play this is actually a one unit play probably my favorite play of the day this is like a system that I have where you fade I should have did a week one but I didn't against Hawaii they had a tough tough game against UCL this week in week one and they didn't they got off to a lead and then stopped playing uh they took their foot off the gas against Delaware State uh Delaware State covered the plus 40 there I like Western kind of Carolina plus 32 and a half against NC State NC State's got a monster and I mean a monster game next week against Tennessee uh so they're not going to if they get off to the lead early they're not going to show and this is a Western Carolina team that desperately W wins this game uh or at least compete in this game because there's a lot of guys on this West Carolina team that try to get into West uh Northern Carolina or NC State they tried to get on this team they Tred to get recruited by this team and ultimately didn't get a scholarship didn't get looked at the whole shank so this is a big game for Western Carolina I'm taking plus 32 and a half uh for West Carolina against NC State I think NC State will get out to early lead and they'll sit on it in the second half and maybe they'll cover all the way through there'll be a back door cover something like that I think we'll see a lot of backups here for NC State so I'm taking Western Carolina plus 32 and a half that is our two plays UNC minus one and a half I got I don't know if it's up to two and a half I hope not for you guys and Western Carolina plus 32 and a half uh there's one there's still two out there for 32 and a half uh I bet 32 and half - 110 that number unfortunately he got it's- 115 now at benom GM is now down to 31 and a half uh so you missed that but those are the two plays that is my breakdown for a college football Thursday a lot of a lot of videos tomorrow bash in Berlin prediction videos I'm talking about all the big match ups on Saturday if you want if you like it hit the Subscribe button if you want more videos let me know what you want to see in the comments I'm Josh wiy thank you