La Liga Picks Matchday 4 | La Liga Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

La Liga Matchday 4 Picks foreign [Music] exclusive to our soccer YouTube channel the top four European leagues covered weekly all matches previewed by the best betting experts predictions and match analysis hosted by ex-premier League soccer player Gordon Flash Watson [Applause] subscribe hit that Bell button and never miss a show that U.S where the game begins [Music] welcome to the BET US Soccer Channel I'm Flash and it's La Liga but it's only match day four and I'll tell you what we've seen plenty goals we've seen big big hitters hit the ground running Benzema scoring every game Lewandowski enjoying himself as well Barcelona scoring goals but Villarreal have probably been the most complete side for me now first of all we are America's favorite sports books I'd like to invite you to subscribe and get us closer I've been saying 10 000 let's get to Seven first let's not run before we can walk but also I'd like you to ring the bell and that means we can uh notify you and you'll never miss any content again if you're on social media make sure you follow at betus TV there's any late updates any changes in prices any if like we give you an information or we have a late pick it will be on there also uh there's a link in description that gives you an opportunity to win one of four possible shirts you choose the league and they'll tell you what you'll have to choose is the size because you don't want me saying oh you look like a large and I embarrass you and you're only a medium okay uh now talking a large and mediums my two absolute experts are pavlos who's my numbers stats and value guy I'm from La Liga Lowdown everybody's favorite valencian is it valencian Paco do we call you valencian he's very quiet valencian he works in radio he works radio and television all the time I feel as if I'm presenting in the Eurovision song contest and those who don't know it's like we go around the different cities getting the different points for the different songs so I'm off to Valencia have you got the points for us please Paco uh can you listen to me now yes yes we can yes hi guys first of all yes it's properly set and thin okay um uh but yeah uh I I was trying to work the audio issues remember so sorry oh you're laughing at your own jokes Paco because you're the only one that can hear them I don't know what's happening now no it's good it's good it's just when you get too animated when you move your head around like that the sound just goes it's almost loose connection we had uh okay uh big guns out okay you sort that out uh pavlos we've got eight games to go through this week um good week last week uh talk me through this because let's put the records up yeah it was a good day if only Villarreal could have taken you know La Liga Betting Record that win we would have been like really really good now we're just just pretty good 13.29 after three three weeks we're only in match day four I would say that we've been farming it to be honest and people in the chat they're absolutely loving it um 3.15 that was all down to Barcelona obviously scoring two first half for me but again that's fish and chip paper La Liga low down at 2.33 that's because Roman ended last week on a duck egg no not up not down so we have to get Paco back because Paco doesn't miss about he does bring plenty value Paco how are you feeling now are you in a good place ah yeah I believe so I've changed uh yeah my usual headphones suddenly crashed so we always have a plan B it's a good idea towards okay life issues have a plan B okay well let's go ahead and crack on here because we've got eight games we can't be messing about with uh Small Talk um the first game we're gonna go to is the Holiday Island and it's uh Majorca Mallorca vs Girona Game Picks up versus harona hirona obviously signing um Romeo from Southampton good luck to him but Majorca at plus 120 her owner at plus 270 the team totals are set at half for the away side but it's minus 180. the draw is at plus 215 and Majorca no over two at minus 125. what have you made of Verona first of all packer well in the first couple of games I wasn't really impressed with the performance remember that opening fixture against Valencia at the Messiah ground I wasn't really very keen on the way they played especially in the second half against a 10-man Valencia so I believe that uh even though they have made pretty good signings this this summer they need to uh you know step up their game if they want to compete and go Toe to Toe with uh first division sites remember that these guys have been promoted in the last few months and obviously that that uh climbed towards the the first division is a bit tough but yeah I I hope that they improve in the next couple of games especially as now the market tonight actually is being closed in in Spain whereas for Mallorca well I I've been very impressed with them with the way they are playing with the way they've been able to sustain that uh defensive attitude from last season remember their coaches El Vasquez and he's well known for the way his teams are able to defend but this season you have a couple of players who have you know hit the ground running in in the first couple of games I'm talking about murichi uh number nine and also kanjin Lee you know former Valencia Superstar uh in the making who went for for peanuts actually as a free agent to to Majorca and those two guys have been playing very very well and that's the reason for Mallorca being as high in the table as as currently they are because remember Mallorca have been able to to win one uh draw another one they are mid-table comfortably sitting and I hope them to not have as much trouble as last season when they had to fight like literally to the last game in order to remain okay uh Majorca plus 120 pavlos normally we use what we always used to say Majorca at home they've got to be a real real strong questions why you would not bet them the other thing is with the hirona you don't really know what to expect because you know they they stay strong against Valencia they did Beat hit off but you know hit off on the road are always a liability um then I guess Delta Vigo they did lose at home but they they weren't that bad maybe they could have had the draw so um you know again I think they're a very competitive side they made some good signings uh they reinforced themselves they go to Romeo from um uh from Southampton who is a really nice holding midfielder he's gonna like uh do everybody's bones there in the Midfield he's a really nice player for for the for this side and the Majorca you know they hope to get as many points as they can at home I was actually surprised to see them win uh on the road against rajio but they completely you know they took advantage of every opportunity they had of course had many many shots but they were so inaccurate it physically hurt me I wasn't on that much but still to see Majorca score uh you know a couple of goals and it's much and it's um in its half was rather peculiar uh in my eyes but still now they're back at home I think they should be able to get the three points but but it's not gonna be easy I do see actually to be honest if somebody you know had to force me to make a pick I'd go with both teams to score yes at plus 105 I do see goals here uh but this is a match where you know both teams who are looking to avoid the relegation I think we're gonna see goals here as usual with this uh so you think the over two goals at -125 is a free hit I think it is I think it is okay well let's have a little let's have a little look at the official picks because for me it's me Yorker at plus 120 or anything but we've got Paco involved so we know that we're not just gonna have meat too veg we're gonna have everything on the menu and here it is half time draw Majorca full time so it's draw half time Majorca full time at plus 400. um again if you want to just go with Majorca to win the game at plus 120 we wouldn't put you off that either okay let's go tonight game number two because remember we've got eight games we can't be here all week otherwise I'll be kicking off while we're talking okay game number two is that Real Madrid versus Betis and I thought that over or under three at Real Madrid vs Real Betis Game Picks minus 144 go that might just be a trap you know because I think both these sides are going to show each other a bit of respect because Real Madrid are minus two for Ebates massive plus 575. the draw is at plus 400 pavlos I don't see this as being an automatic Real Madrid win you know yeah it could easily be a draw and if history has anything to say um it's of the last three months is in this venue between the two sides were goalless draws not even not gestures but goalless draws and uh actually bet this aren't bitten in their last five trips to Madrid they have those three draws and two wins and they haven't considered a single goal in their last five uh matches in Madrid now I know Real Madrid are an offensive Juggernaut you got Benzema and all the other team you know they have some really nice chemistry they didn't make a lot of Silence decision they played three away matches so far all three had bottoms score and over two and a half goals um all three Were Real Madrid to win and both scores so they we were actually on a couple of those um uh matches with Real Madrid to win and either over or both in the score another back at home and uh at home I believe you know you know I forgot to mention the most important part both in these teams they play European matches uh in just a few days so we often see big teams good teams who have you know good coaches and know how to manage the whole team because you know it's not a Sprint it's a marathon for the entire season so you have to manage your um uh your squad very very uh precisely so I think we're gonna see a very very careful match between two sides I think it won't go uh into very very high total so I like the under here I like the under three goals here uh might be a push but I genuinely think there's gonna be like a one nil one one type of situation something like that you know even I mean obviously if Real Madrid score early then it could well be just a two nil Paco Batiste have tried to be a little bit more uh solid in uh nullifying their opponents I think this is a game where we see a little bit of respect shown for both parties yeah only one one goal allowed in the in the first three games whereas they've been quite proficient in in scoring um and actually you said the the word earlier a trap game possibly so because at the end of the day you're talking about the only two teams who have been able to win everything to date and whenever you have a clash of styles in this case a clash of Wheels if you want to to call it that way um I don't think that they are going to go like with all the full confidence forward as Pablo said these kinds of games usually uh carry with them many precautions especially at the back and I think that's uh that that means that we are not going to have a like a huge score line over here uh like one nil um for a piece or or possibly a draw no goals one one I don't know that's the kind of game I expect I try to get clear from this one obviously um even though if I follow the master in this kind of game whenever you see a plus 400 in draw money lines it's definitely something to to take care of you know something to keep an eye on because uh you know you can reap the benefits if you if you risk it in this case yeah and another thing you can do is take the 400 if it's a draw half time then that will then become like plus 170 and you can then just lay off and have all three a Real Madrid win batist win or the draw all in your I mean when the number's that big it's lopsided the draw should really be plus 285 so you're a plus one one five ahead already anyway game number two let's have a little look at the official picks let's see why it's on here Pablo's has gone under free at plus 120 he thinks free is a push but you could see Real Madrid scoring twice and if you see Madrid scoring twice then I'll probably you'd probably go to Real Madrid to win and Benzema to score at any time remember casimiro is now in rainy Manchester okay let's move on to game number three wow what's going to give here and by the way give yourself a pat on the back if Sociedad vs Atletico Game Picks you actually went for gatuso and Simeone both to get booked last week because we predicted we predicted it and I think it was like 36 minutes bang yellow yellow the most complicated one you know because yeah and we went for Neil Neil half time as well the plus 190 Atletico Madrid at plus 160. uh over two goals up minus 135 this really is a tight game Draw half time could be on the cards again remember esak has gone to Newcastle so where a goals gonna come from for the home side and then let it go they just seem to have enough on the bench to come and affect the game the draw at plus 215 is close enough to 200 uh Paco to say we just go for the draw yeah well I'm um you know very intrigued regarding what is going to happen with reality that's uh new players coming in remember they signed shorloth who was on loan last season he's now again alone for the 22-23 season and they signed today uh Umar Sadiq the forward playing for uh Almeria and they're signing for quite a hefty fee and he's already in in um in San Sebastian so he possibly he might play the game against Atletico Madrid and he's one of the weirdest forwards I've seen you know the way he moves the way he runs he's a very important yeah he's a very unpredictable player and he did very well by the way last last week against Sevilla and he's a quality player to to strengthen their their squad after Alexander isak being sold um regarding Atletico I wasn't very impressed with them against Valencia I actually saw the game in in The Stance and and I I believe they were a tad bit lucky with with the way they scored the goal Griezmann deflection one nil away from home uh Valencia were far superior in the first half so overall I think this is one of those games where the money line is actually on point you know uh you cannot go strongly uh for or against any of these two teams because they are in a football-wise level very very similar but yeah the quality is on analytical side by the way isak uh you can see them uh in the in the graphic the other one I believe is Morata right right now there are talks about Morata possibly living Atletico Madrid in the next couple as well that's what we are we get we we get commission we stick them up so the teams so when the clubs watch this show they can see because we know we only put class players up there I'll tell you what I do like pavlos it's real social not to score Plus 180. yeah I definitely see this this one being a goal straw I think this is gonna be a cotton mouse uh game between the two sides who are known to play very good defense throughout the social love um of course they're two and one two they both seem to score no so far in the season uh the only match with both teams score was against of course Barcelona but you know uh this reality that has has it in their DNA these past few seasons to be very very good defensively sometimes they fail to score but their defense you know is really one of the top um three top four defenses uh consistently over the last uh you know the past couple of Seasons um while Atletico Madrid their difference was just horrible last season you remember all these other away matches they they went down one nil and had to uh equalize or even take the win in the past the 80th minutes in like five or six away matches last season um this season they started with um uh both team to score no in all three matches and only when you look at the history between the two sides in this venue uh you see that uh seven of the last eight matches had both teams scored no so you see this uh two nil wins for Atletico two nil win for the sociedad three nil win like something like that so uh with both teams playing in Europe uh midweek I expect a cut and mouse game between the two sides again this is one of the situations where um whatever scores the first goal I keep saying it but it's true uh they're gonna park the bus and these are teams that know how to park the bus they don't care about our bets they just care to get you know three points or one point depending on exaggeration yeah and and just move on with it so whatever whoever scores they're gonna most likely park the bus so that's why we've got to build that in that's that's why we're here and not just someone who sits on the couch having a cup of tea and a biscuit we have to read into what goes on in these teams Minds when they hit the front and and that's why we're obviously 13 and a half units up within three weeks Pablo uh okay official picks official picks because social had a plus 180 not to score looks massive uh both teams score no minus 130 that means either of them to draw a blank is probably a good way to go and the Neil Neil is definitely on the cards draw half time fancy that will be uh odds on let's go to game number four of eight it's also tuna versus Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Game Picks sooner plus 105 Rayo plus 350. the first thing I do is look at the draw line and it's plus 205 um also sooner it's one of those really Raya valricano they're gonna I can't believe the gold Line's at two to be honest though pavlos over two minus 140 I see goals I just couldn't show you who's gonna win this because valicano or one of them sides Homer away they have a go or so sooner are probably the better side on paper yes indeed they are um we actually talked about this um in the in the studio prior to the show uh they started the decision with the winner against Sevilla a win against Cadiz which was not a big fit but still and then they were really good actually in their weight loss to bet this last week to be honest I genuinely think that they should have taken at least a point even though I was on Betis um in that match also soon I have shown great great uh things so far in the season and yes they had a golden straw against Barcelona which was actually um more of like um uh Barcelona's match you know where they they didn't really you know first match of the Season all the new players they didn't really have chemistry so just take that result with a grain of salt then they beat the carcass of espanol because Espanola are going to be really really bad this season um like really bad so again take that result with a grain of salt and in their first big you know match against the team that's probably gonna is gonna fight you to avoid relegation against Majorca last week they they lost by two to nil uh they did create a lot of chances they couldn't really hit it um they had 15 goal attempts no such on goal um we know but you cannot operate much much better when they play at home now play on the road I actually alsasuna moneyline was one of my initial plays but I it didn't really make the cut for me but I think this is one of the games where they can win against the dragon side but yeah the over two at -140 feels like a free hit last thing I'm gonna say is yeah they they beat radio vallecano in both matches both home and away last season without even considering manil at home three little on the road which also reinforces the you know the notion of foreign here Paco also sooner versus Royal villacano vallicano have a go but they are very basketball-ish they leave their back door wide open also sooner a little bit more disciplined and if they can exploit that then it could be a comfortable home win yeah I'm I'm um pretty bummed about the the odds for sooner win because uh I lost money yeah but you can't have plus 400 for every single selection that you put out yesterday it looked much better you know and I believe that's because you know the guy's in charge of of making the the the else every single week Graphics boys that's what I do Paco because they see what you're on and then they tell all their mates and then they go and get your price definitely that's the reason but but yeah I believe that also not the favorites because of the way they have played as Pablo said earlier there are the favorites in this game um right by akano have been trying very very hard to bring in a striker in order to secure uh quite a few more goals this season because they are seeming to have some trouble in that sense whereas for us as soon as they have been you know brimming with confidence with with Pace with uh some players you know getting slowly there back to their former selves like for example Chini Avila who has scored a couple already um I don't know I I believe that as soon as you'd be uh the way to go here even though the the drama line looks pretty good also um but yeah right I think they're going to have a a tough time I I tried going to to the simple side of things you know I always try to do a risky one you guys already have seen that and in in this one I believe that was Asuna look very very strong when playing at home especially because uh this the ground the sadar is is this season one of the biggest strongholds in in La Liga yeah plus 105 it's not to be grumbled at I mean I wouldn't put anyone off maybe also sooner to win both teams to score or you just steam into that over two at minus 140 I think there's three goals here um and a part of me and the reason I've not got played is because I like rare vallicano on the road and of course also sooner have a bad day revolakano are the type aside to exploit it so uh let's have a little look at the official picks please uh also sooner moneyline plus 105 not hanging about not putting no bells and whistles on it let's get to game number five Athletic vs Espanyol Game Picks Athletic Club we said they'd smash someone because I've had a million chances for the first two weeks and then they go away and score four against a side like espanol Athletic Club up minus 170 espanol plus 550 espanol plus one minus 120 means they can even lose the game and you could get a push the draw is at plus 300 atletic Club to score twice our odds on now uh pekko is this a bit of an overreaction to them scoring four last week possibly so because especially because um inyaki Williams is out for an injury it's the first game he misses since um 340 games or so yeah five five or six years it's Madness you know it's it's uh as we say in Spanish a lot you know incredible but uh yeah he's he's missing the game for for an injury which is actually not that not the usual but I believe that um atletic Club have enough Firepower to compensate foreign I I love Alberta I believe he's a an elite coach uh that he did a great job in every single play he's been including Barca and I surely could give uh possibly not my whole hand but the tip of my finger for him being in Valencia because he is an amazing manager leaving that aside uh I can't understand why espanol are so high in the odds because you know uh plus 550 is amazing um not because atletic are going to be an easy team to beat but because espanol are so unpredictable especially arolda Tomas it seems that he is not going to leave espanol and he's going to remain even though the the relationship with the manager with Diego Martini is very strange and that's why uh I don't know if he's going to play as a starter or even half minutes but but yeah Espanola are facing trouble this season if they are unable to to keep their their defense on point and you know get a couple of clean sheets um tough game to predict even even though both the the draw score line and looking for the results half time full time could be one of the potential ways to go in order to find the value in this game yeah I'm a naughty step for me and let it go Bilbao I mean you are and then they scored in the 43rd minute when I had Neil Neil half time then I left them alone they scored four pavlos I mean I know that you've gone with a selection in this game it really is great in me it's like you've brought someone a president who I don't actually like and think that you should have just should I blank them like me why have you gone with Athletic Club uh because I think that espanol have being one of the worst teams in the league right now and Bilbao I know sometimes you expect them to win at home and there is one of those weird goalless draws or one-one draws or whatever they rarely lose at home I guess you know sites like espanol but um I believe that this is gonna be um uh you know because Bill Bowers that's a such a weirdly fascinating team because they're gonna come back to Bilbao that four nil win and everybody's gonna be like a national holiday yeah holiday exactly when was the last time that they scored four on the road so buoyed by all that um you know that the fans are gonna be probably I would be ecstatic if my local team uh with all the history that they have there uh is is coming back from a nice win they still haven't considered a single goal yet yes there is the absence of inyaki Williams who is one of the most influential players if not the most influential players in this Bilbao side but again espanol they they haven't they have been really bad this season they yes they did score against the total they scored two goals but even if I played against Delta I could score twice maybe uh then they lost to at home by two to nil uh you know nothing goes right for them they had a red card in that match uh they were just really really bad I'm surprised score against Real Madrid to be honest they didn't look all that bad against Real Madrid but still I think this is a side that is going to struggle to avoid the relegation is going to be you know one of the five teams to probably uh you know fighting to for points at the end of the season and I think we'll buy at home are a good good um they have a nice chance to to record another win I think it's a free hit to be honest without inyaki Williams I do civil about winning by one goal but I think this is one of the proverbial um but it's one thing for sure his brother's not scoring so I mean again there's another fish up a tree uh yeah okay we're gonna go with the home side we're gonna go with uh minus one let's have a little look at the official uh pick here because I tell you what I cannot believe the Espanola plus 550 away from home Athletic Club is -1 at plus 100 that's what we're cheering on because that's what my teammates gone for um and a plus 13.29 in units after three weeks we've got us we've got to stick with philosophy okay let's move on though because we're going to go to game number six and we're going to talk about a proper football team and a proper Villarreal vs Elche Game Picks football club because it's the Yellow Submarine it's a Villa Royale versus El Che Villarreal at minus 255. that are Al minus one and a half at plus one ten but I like to look down LJ not to score is minus 125 so okay uh Paco Villareal winter nil against Elche possibly so uh because they have been very strong at the back whereas else have been finding trouble to score also Elsa have been um uh uh you know strapped from one of the biggest assets only a couple of minutes ago I believe it's not official yet but it will be soon uh Mojica the defender for for LJ is going to be a real he's been transferred for around uh five six million fee so be around get stronger and uh it'll get weaker uh towards this game overall things don't look too good for relative but not only towards this game but towards the whole oh I think they're going down yeah I think that they they had to uh get proper uh Replacements and reinforcements in many many positions and they didn't and when the time is up in the in the transfer market it's going to be very very tough for them to you know put things uh pass all the things into you know put the jigsaw together and and make them to work as a team they suffer quite a lot less last year and in the same way as for example Caddy's I believe we're talking about them later um they are looking not not the best not the best of our looks after three games so overall brl should win and we have to take a look at the goals I I decided to pass on this game but if you have to find Value you have to find Value in the in the in the gold difference yeah JoJo in the chat's going Villa Royale minus 1.5 handicap at plus 110. that means you're reliant on Villarreal scoring twice the Villarreal playing Europe in midweek I know Villarreal could win this game one nil will you be on the right side and get beat because Villarreal keep the ball felt you for an hour yeah that that that's the way they Real Madrid for example last last season when when winning the league they did something very similar they won one nil and they decided to just stop and instead of going Full Throttle to rise their their feet off the pedal because they don't needed it um and in the Ariel's case one nil can do the trick they are very strong at the back as I said earlier so they might not need to go on the thrashing side of things overall it's this is a tricky one this is one of those movie traps and we try to avoid every every single week yeah all we have to get inventive Pablo's and it's Villarreal and under three and a half surely yes yes I think you guys you know you convinced me I was already half convinced uh because you know have one of the best defenses in the league right now um one of the few teams do not have considered a single goal uh their XGA numbers are in the top five while else you know they they're in the bottom five in XG number so they don't really score girls they don't really create the chances to do so uh LT are sitting there in the bottom three in pretty much every metric I could find and I think this um you know vrl are known to kind of stumble in midweek matches uh sorry in weekend matches prior to midweek European matches but I think that this is a spot where again they're gonna score a goal probably not a second one I'm sorry but the you know VR minus one and a half seems nice but vrl you know uh Emirates is really about the result it doesn't care to impress he's gonna just take the three points move on go to Europe play there and then move so I'm gonna add vrl to win vrl money line and under three and a half goals minus 102. uh I think yeah that covers a lot of scenarios one nil two nil three nil two one I anything else in my eyes would be an upset okay that's excellent um okay let's have a little look at the official pics then because you know that villare are always on my card if I can get them on my card so it's Villarreal winter Neal plus one ten happy um and even if like LG were to score I'd smash them live then um and pavlos has added Villareal to win and under three and a half goals at minus 102. I'll stick that on and that will be official let's go to game number seven because here's another side to earned me money should have owed me money for the last two weeks it's Valencia versus headsafe Valencia plus Valencia vs Getafe Game Picks 100 against atafe the under over could be one and a half here um I've got this Valencia winning one nil Valencia or plus money to score twice a Tafe they're at minus 145 to score Paco we've got to come to you because this is your side you know the DNA you know the ins and outs I've been impressed with them they've just got a bit like Atletico uh Club Athletic Club it's like they disappointed in front of the gold it's a point in front of the goal scored four come Valencia score four I'm impressed with the graphics guys because Carlos Soler just got announced five minutes ago for Party Center see that's what we do that's what we do we're like we have a chat with the agents and they want extra exposure for their players and so that's what we do well uh jokes on on next week's oh that would be great by the way I believe Ernest sonalis is staying in in Gaddafi uh you asked if Valencia are able to score is that four four yeah four nil we won uh not a chance no no not a chance for many reasons but remember this this week many players leaving Maxi Gomez leaving um carouseler living living like half of the not half one quarter of the squad have left many players have come in a new signings um Justin klubert uh forward uh Justin Bieber no Bieber no clever the son of Patrick Cleaver okay Floyd in Spanish in Spanish cloifert you said okay no worries I know what you mean now yeah good little player and um some guy who is starting in in this football World Edinson Cavani you might know him yeah gives the defense a bit of a breather because yeah hold the ball up and he'll link yeah yeah I think that that can be a worthy addition even though we have to see how uh his physical side of things uh works out but um that's why I believe Valencia aiming for a four goal game isn't the way to go because I think it's their main issue in in the first three games we've seen Valencia find it very difficult to score um and all three games have ended with a very short score line like one nil one nil every single time against atletic Club against Atletico and in the first game against Girona whereas for qatave they need points they need to pick up something positive in on the road because uh they were able to you know uh hold off um last week the game was uh nil nil against um selling forgot the the game last last week Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid yeah um first point of the season for Gaddafi but they they need to pick up something positive because they are starting to find some of the pressure you know uh is under Fire already their transfer market has been great in my view they have you know got very very talented players with media um they need to do better and that's why uh the draw looks pretty tasty and if I had to check it out now possibly I'd go for for a draw or uh um Valencia draw no bet because because that's you know someone to cover you up from potential losses if yeah yeah that's the way to go maybe okay and I'm just getting told in my ear from my uh video director do not have Valencia game on again when Paco is on sorry okay no no we love it we love it because obviously you it's your team you're passionate and they're like family members uh Pablo so I've got Valencia plus 100 don't don't complicate it I think they're a decent side um and I think they'll be too good for her Tuffy yeah I think they have good chances to take the the three points here what worries me is that I'm I'm not entirely sure if their center backs are nice are are good I mean uh Paulista is he gonna play Gabriel you know um uh he seemed he's he's in depth literally till the last minutes but didn't do that bad against Atletico Madrid so possibly they will be the starting center backs yeah yeah that's the thing with Valencia they have one of the fewest XGA numbers uh in the league uh their top five and um you know they traditionally struggle to score on the road last season they had 12 goals uh in 19 away matches which is rather bad yes they they were kind of reinforced they're in the ovens but uh so far in the season they have the second worst XG numbers with 0.7 uh which is rather bad they have um one of the they have the the fifth worst XG differentials with minus uh 0.68 there office is not that good they they only scored the single goals of Argus hirona who were recently promoted and Valencia I think they're gonna base a lot um in their defense decision of course yes they did get Cavani um but uh I don't know if he's playing by the way I don't know no he can't be going straight into the side but I think the ball up if they're winning one nil but you listen Valencia have got to pick up some points and if you're going to pick points up Valencia go pick him up at home when teams that hits fa come to town all the players will be turning up at the ground thinking today we win and you're giving me plus 100 so I'll have none of your negativity pavlos no it's I I'm on kind of on your side to be honest because I I see khetafa not scoring here problem is if Valencia can score now yeah so that under two up minus 105 But there again Valencia are going to put someone to the sword just like Athletic Club update listen we've got eight games to go so um you've not got to play in this game no pavlos no I do I do not to score yeah perfect we'll love that then let's have a little look at the official picks because I'll take solace and Confidence from this Valencia moneyliner plus 100 that's F18 total under 0.5 at plus one one five and then that means that you can have always have a little bit on the old nil nil or Draw half time um I see Valencia being too strong and with uh Cavani finally going up top when he does takes us back to the days of John Carew okay um let's go to game number eight and who would have thought that we're going to have selections like this it's Valladolid vs Almeria Game Picks Al Maria and Maria plus 220 when you'd expect them to be at plus 330 that tells you everything about their chances on the road here uh the draw at Plus 230. and Maria double chance at minus 120 Pablo's you can go first because for me I've seen both of these sides all three games and now Maria are dangerous on the break they have Pace they are spirited against a valid side who almost set out to not get beat when you're gonna get rewarded for setting out to try and win the game the only point they had so far from um three matches is against uh Sevilla in a match where they it was just really weird there I think they're going down and easily so far in the season uh you know at the end of the season uh well Maria they've you know they've been quite a much better side um I don't know on paper if they're the better side but judging about what I've seen and the metrics that I've seen uh they you know they fought hard against Real Madrid they scored just the you know the sixth minute uh in that mass then they got a one-man Dragon style which was um you know just uh they could have maybe taken the win that match they were not that bad and then they bit Sevilla but it one at home so a much better fighting Spirit much better numbers uh Almeria you know they they're just in the bottom half of the mid table of the in the bottom half of the um XD table uh the extra differential everything but um lower and much much lower they're they have the second worst exit differential with uh minus uh 1.5 they have the third worst XG numbers with 0.71 so their office is just bad uh they have the third worst XGA numbers with 2.21 per game so I mean whenever you see a team uh you know these two teams are gonna fight probably for to avoid the relegation and uh Almeria have better metrics in pretty much everything that I can find uh even the reference they take 11 results per go uh per month and six of them are on Target and um but I believe they take only 8.7 and four of those On Target they allow 17.3 shots on the difference with five on target everything every metric that I could find favors Almeria so I definitely see Almeria uh you know plus have a goal as a value bet here double chance drawn like they could win or Draw and you pick up minus 120 Paco and Maria for me far too sharp uh I don't see them getting beat but is it draw no bear or is it win or is it one of those where you have both the win and the draw on your side at minus 120 El Maria yeah I place my bet in based on you know a mere hunch of of the way I've seen these two teams develop as as Pablo said earlier uh we buy they look very weak Almeria look very dangerous on on the break and on the offense it's true that they are losing uh Umar Sadiq to to uh that he will not be playing against bayauli but regardless they have a very strong Midfield a very strong attacking front so overall uh based on their performance you have to go with Andrea it's true that the double term is also very attractive but um I I don't think this would be like a mid-tier bet I went for a safe one mid-tier one and the first one as you guys saw earlier the the Majorca against Euro one that is like the the long shot one but uh yeah Admiral Maria are very very favorites in in this match excellent uh let's have a little look at the official picks because I'm definitely I remember we don't confirm we have a little uh we go through it we have a look at what we've seen we put the numbers together I've gone for our draw no better plus 120 I think they win oh Maria moneyline plus 220 remember double chance win or Draw Al Maria not to get beat it's a minus one twenty now it's time for your q a uh I can see Joey fusa has already thrown one in we've only done like 652 games today but now you have a question about one that we've not done okay first of all I'm gonna remind you that we're America's favorite Sportsbook so I'd like to to subscribe especially you Joey if I'm going to give you this question all right also ring the bell Joey and that will make sure we'll notify you and you'll never miss any content again and if you are on social media please follow at bet ustv because they cover every single sport known to man uh and some not known to man okay also there's a link in the description Joey uh press that and uh that will enter you into the contest for one of the four soccer shirts that you can choose the last months I'll be contacting them in the next few days so but if you were not in last months and you don't get picked don't worry I won't throw you out you're going to next month's draw as well okay you're uh let's see Joey's saying let's have a little look he wants to talk about why we haven't talked about Batiste and Cadiz really quick please Pablo esco's Q&A La Liga Matchday 4 I'm losing a will to live um is it Celta when it's Celta Vigo versus Cadiz yeah I like both him to score here I think that this will find the first goal of the Season uh to be honest I'm more concerned than of felta not scoring than I am of Cardiff not scoring so I like both teams to score it's a plus money I think uh you know it's uh probably the best way to take this probably Marco Sevilla Barcelona path one because Sevilla are feeling the Heat and uh I believe you guys have seen the scenes this this week uh after the the defeat against Almeria you know with monchi the sporting director trying to get all the players to go there with the fans to listen to the fans speak to the fans things are not looking great for Sevilla because Lopez is under pressure Mont is under pressure the squad is under pressure uh they have lost all the players or Campos left this this week uh munir uh I don't know I think that all of the Goodwill that they were able to amass in the last two seasons has suddenly been thrown out of the window where else for Barca are looking possibly at the greatest spot in the last two three years under chubby with Lewandowski scoring left and right the whole team with an amazing pacing I I don't know I think bars are the favorites they should win the game and we are in for a tough night for Sevilla yeah exactly yeah it goes out the window it's almost like Atletico Madrid not one for 10 games playing against Villarreal and all of a sudden they put on a performance we've given you eight other games honest to God it's almost like here's all the food in the world but and you've eaten it all and then you say you're still hungry listen don't force it you'll be sick okay and by the way this you know what this show has told me as well today balacano El shake it is all of them are going to be in a relegation dog fight so we will beat up on the majority of them teams but there will be times when we can have them on our side uh by the way flash I was already pushing thumbs uh okay that's all good right let's have a look at the Best Bets and just remind me uh to the added one was Villarreal to win and under three and a half so Villarreal to win and under three and a half goals at La Liga Best Bets minus 102 has been added by pavlos let's go to Paco because he has big numbers uh half-time draw New Yorker full-time plus 400 or remember I think it was New Yorker just money line was plus 120 or so sooner money line plus 105 Al Maria money lineup plus 220 El Maria draw no better plus 120 remember Al Maria double chance was minus 120 Villarreal winter nil come on the Yellow Submarine at plus 110 Real Madrid and Batiste under three goals at plus 120 tight game that but if you've seen Real Madrid winning then make sure you do Real Madrid to win and Benzema to score so she dead Atletico I think such should have a plus 180 or 185 not to score I don't think both teams scored it I like that pavlos uh Athletic Club minus one plus 100 and it's F18 same total under 0.5 at plus one one five um back oh it's great Avenue you bring out the devil with me to be honest uh I think if ever you and I went for a drink we probably wouldn't go home for days possibly so yeah we would rely on pavlos to carry us home no I'm I'm we'd need another another one we need to know why we are programs the beer bottles behind him so he he he he you might be the devil but he's like the sneaky one and those are the most dangerous ones yeah exactly exactly anyway listen everyone in the chat please thumbs up on your way I hope you really enjoyed it um and next week remember it's the Champions League kicks off so that'll be on Monday two o'clock Eastern with Mina and Marco here we've got a big week of college football starting as well pavlos keep up the great work Paco it's great to see you and I was pleased to see of my diary when I got the names coming forward I've only got to wait two weeks to see you again yeah mid-september we'll talk about the their relegation battle I think we're going to have fun with that even though every time we're definitely gonna have fun so everyone uh have a great weekend from everyone at betus may all your bets be winners we'll see you soon you take care [Music]