La Liga Picks Matchday 33 | La Liga Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

La Liga Picks Matchday 33 [Music] exclusive to our soccer youtube channel the top four european leagues covered weekly all matches previewed by the best betting experts predictions and match analysis hosted by ex-premier league soccer player gordon flash watson subscribe hit that bell button and never miss a show bet us where the game begins [Music] [Applause] [Music] welcome to the bet u.s soccer channel and i'm flash and it's la liga it's actually 8 33 we've got all sorts going on at the moment we've got teams that we think we can trust and they'll let you down they've got teams that are starting to think that they can even survive and they're scoring goals at it as well but first of all we're america's favorite sports books we'd like to invite you to subscribe and get us closer to 5000 and also we'd like you to ring the bell and that means we'll notify you and never miss any content again if you're on social media especially twitter then please follow at bet us soccer and we'll try and keep you up to date right up to kick off if there's any changes last minute picks or even if we don't even like something so make sure you follow at bet us soccer uh we're gonna have records we're gonna have seven games seven games there's no la liga action at the weekend it's all going to be midweek so please sit back and enjoy get yourselves in the chat we've got pavlos who's going great guns from 10 units down to over seven units up and it's good to have roman back because paco he was just trying to spend his money and for once he actually got away with murder so i don't think he'd done too much damage let's have a little look at the records of la liga before i introduce my guests there we go look at that 21.7 units that's uh very healthy and La Liga Betting Record it's balanced as well only parlay not done his job but we've only called upon him four times uh while you are in the chat please put your thumbs up to show a little bit of appreciation let's uh have a little look pavlos it was a strange weekend but we seem to have come out unscathed yet european uh results right across the four major leagues were very very dicey yeah but uh you know we've been finding the value uh for i think it was the entire season uh you know a couple of plays have been uh you know off but you know we can always expect that to happen but i think we're doing a pretty great job i mean uh really i think we are we're doing a fine job in predicting those um especially now we're in the most crucial part of the season where you know teams are fighting to avoid their allegations teams are fighting to to reach europe teams are fighting to remain at the top four or you know there's a lot of stuff going on and um we're here to break down for you guys so we're doing the hard work the hard digging so uh you don't have to worry about anything just sit back relax and just uh let us handle the you know everything yeah pablo has got sore eyes by the way he's not doing an impression of the blues brothers or he's not going his fancy dress or anything he has got sore eyes so we are uh allowing him to wear sunglasses don't get any ideas roman it's not normal attire to wear glasses roman welcome back you had a couple of shows off and paco obviously ably uh deputized for you but it's good to have you back actually the side i want to talk about is levante they're starting to score goals have they got a realistic chance of staying up now i mean i they definitely do uh maybe you would ask me four or five matches ago i would have said that they were done but i mean they're still fighting you know they still believe they have an opportunity even in that defeat against barcelona by 3-2 i mean they were pretty good there they had three penalties in their favor they could have honestly won that game barcelona were also quite lucky to get a good result in the end but then despite losing that because it was really harsh um losing to that late goal from luke dejean that could really send their morale downwards but they managed to pick themselves back up again and got another really good result this weekend so i mean three points which are so so important and with a very uh comfortable result and a margin i think gives them a favor in case they um have the same points as going on at the end of the season i think levante would be on the upside because of the four goals they scored so i mean great job for them and they can keep up this level they definitely have a chance although it's not going to be easy tough games sevilla for example we know they lost against madrid the other day but still they're not going to want to drop any more points because we are also still fighting to um consolidate themselves let's say in champions league positions for next season okay well listen we've got seven games we're obviously going to do the q a even though we're probably going to cover every single angle um but we'll uh have the best bets at the end q a will be prior to that so let's kick straight off i've got a parlay going on as well in this uh but it will be my individual Mallorca vs Alaves parlay not for the team it's majorca versus alaves majorca at plus 120 elevators plus 255 the under over there's a shock that it's at two minus 130 for the over so i'm sure they're on the cusp of going for two and a half but the draw is at plus 2.25 um pavlos how do you see this game roma i'm sorry roma they've got one on my brain uh majorca versus alive uh yeah well this is a battle of other relegation majorca now 17th with 29 points just one point above the red line i'll visiting dead last with 25 points uh four points below their line so it's gonna be really interesting because there are now uh five teams where we don't know who's gonna go down so they're they're all gonna fight and now this match uh between major and leves is what we call a six pointer in the sense that uh whoever wins not only takes uh three points for themselves but they also deprive one of their main competitors uh for the relocation of three points so this i expect a very uh passionate match maybe we'll see we'll see quite a few goals here uh even though you know majorca no la vez not so good offensively uh of course uh majorca they have the third worst offense and third worst home offense uh but they also have the third worst defense uh so uh in lavs whenever you look at them they are bottom four in every statistical category they're just really really bad um so yeah um all of us they have a tough schedule coming up and uh they really want the points uh actually both need the points but i'm expecting majorca to not lose here i was actually torn between um picking some kind of over with some kind of under i went with some combination uh of uh some things that you will see but um i believe that majorca are gonna score first year possibly alabas you know they're with their backs against the wall so they need to score they can't they can't stay in the in the division unless the score goes i mean uh even if it's a gold gold straw one point is not taking them anywhere so at some point they have to go out and attack and uh their attack hasn't been very good maybe they'll score one but i expect majorca i think they are the better side of the two and uh you know playing at home ground is surely going to be a boost so i'm looking towards uh majorca here at least not to lose okay majorca not to lose then obviously you're going to have to partner that up something roman myocra this is where they've got to uh gather their points at home but alaves they are a banana skin aren't they because they're one of them sides when you think you uh you're going to pick up points against them they do dig in yeah just ask you know last weekend who thought they were going to go for a drawing in the end they just uh ended up losing to to allah and honestly mallorca are just so unpredictable this season even with a new manager it seemed like they're gaining some confidence that really good result against latigo madrid you know it kind of felt like they were going to build up from this and they were going to get a good result against in the end but they got battered three nil their goalkeeper made some very poor mistakes and honestly i just don't know i was tempted to go to for both teams to score in this game because i mean both teams really need the goals but at the same time i was looking at the results uh from the past from both teams and it's always been like a one-nil or something like that and it is common that only one team scored so then of course i was put off a bit by that bet so in the end i wasn't too confident and decided to let it go you know because i don't really i can't really trust my yorka even though it is at home and as you said that's where they should get the points if you want to go for a side probably it makes more sense going for majorca but for me both sides are a bit risky and i don't really know which way it's going to go okay then let's have a look look at the official pick because majorca alavez it's it's one of those where you could probably be there all day and come up with ten different pigs it's majorca double chance and over one and a half at the minus one twenty so worst case scenario we're looking at the orca one one or the orca just win two nil i think mjorka have got to throw caution to the wind and if they are gonna get back to their old ways of making sure they win on home soil okay game number two is just simplicity personified it's no Real Betis vs Elche messing about it's just batista versus lj batista minus 185 um i was tempted by the minus one minus 105 but again then i just thought listen i'm going for a parley this is my parlay piece um against lj at plus 525 the draw is at plus 325. under over two enough well you would expect over two and a half at minus one twenty roman the way batiste play they spell cha are perfect for them but i just got to bring in the one nil so that i just didn't want the free here so i went just with paulie number one batiste win yeah i mean i think bethesda should win at the end of the day um i think since they got eliminated from the europa league they've kind of managed to find their form again they've been getting decent results and let's not forget they're still fighting for those top four spots here you know they're in the mix even though they're suddenly a bit behind uh those teams i mean they still have a good opportunity and pellegrini was going to definitely want to want to fight it right until the end the only thing that worries me is that the midweek game bellevue did say that they were definitely going to be rotations because he already know that his team has been suffering from all those competitions they've been competing in making it to the final of the copa ray europa league as i said before la liga they were competing really fiercely up until now so i mean i'm just word in the sense that he might make too many rotations may take too many risks because there's another game then on the weekend but uh overall i think that uh pellegrini should be capable of leading his men you know to another victory el chier were good against majorca but away from home um despite needing the points i think it's going to be very difficult for them to to be betty's and i honestly don't expect too many goals i think betty's will get it done but with a low scoring result i think maybe a 2-0 or 1l21 something like that and that's why i had to go with the uh the bunny line because i was worried about the one nil just because of batiste making sure that they just controlled the game pavlos and also batista is like minus 155 to score twice i mean they're telling me that batista are definitely going to be scoring twice on the numbers but i just thought okay let's find two together stick them and then come up with something around the plus 135 mark yeah i could definitely see uh betty scoring twice here elsa they don't have a that good difference i mean they have the fourth worst xg uh third worst xg on the road uh on the road in general they haven't been all that good they have three wins ten losses and three draws uh they they have one of the bottom five uh i think this is the fifth yeah the fifth worst um uh away defense so the only thing that worries me is the fact that uh betties are playing the uh cup final in just a few days but uh we've been discussing about pettis um for quite a while now if they somehow lose uh that final cup that cup final and uh they lose a couple of more games in the la liga they're in danger of missing out on everything next season so that's gonna be a huge save for betty so i think this is one of their easiest match to finish the season so uh yeah getting a win might not be very easy and we might sweat it out but uh um yeah i think that the betties are the better you know have the better chances to to not get upset here because this is a this is a match they were i i really predict a lot of upsets and this just it's it wasn't one of them i i know betters are gonna win yeah betty's man to man are better he's going to make his rotations fair enough maybe he does that after an hour but listen you can't you've got to be winning your home games against lj because you take your eye off the prize thinking you could possibly get a prize at the weekend you could cannot come up with absolutely nothing official picks please because you'll see that with mine it is going to be a p official picks would be great okay there it is batiste moneyline and that's going in my two leg uh parlay and you haven't got to wait too long for me to give you the second leg because on to game number three of seven that we're going to show you and this should be an absolute shoe in this villarreal versus valencia villarreal Villarreal vs Valencia minus 220. um valencia plus 600. now villarreal were plus one uh sorry minus 190 when i did the uh parlay and that was less than four three or four hours ago so the money is really pouring in and why because valencia are involved in the copa del rey at the weekend and they're not expecting to have any players whatsoever so i mean i wouldn't even see valencia scoring if they're going to play like a really weak inside and if you don't fancy look at that plus 110 for valencia not to score valencia at plus 600 i expect that to go up and the total under or over is at two and a half obviously because we only expect maybe one team to score roman you know these uh both of these sides but valencia making wholesale changes looks like villarreal chewing yeah i mean that's what you'd think because i mean bierna did pretty well the last weekend valencia got a poor result they haven't been playing grey and of course they had to think about the copa del reso of course like pellegrini in this case bordadas is also going to do pretty much a similar thing with lots of rotations we both know well now sorry how important the copa ray is for these teams so they're going to want to give it their 100 there but i mean i still don't think they're going to give it away completely because in the end there is a local valencian derby between both sides we talked last time i remember before the previous game between both sides that usually was a game with both teams scoring with over 2.5 extraterrestrial but in the end it was a valencia two-nil win i do think we are going to get their pay back this time even though they didn't lose gerard moreno again he keeps getting injured it's another muscle injury it doesn't seem to be the same thing so he's going to miss out maybe a couple of games and they say he might be back for the second round against liverpool let's see fingers crossed because he's crucial for brl and we saw it last weekend but despite that i think i think we do still have enough to win this game although i mean i wouldn't i wouldn't discard that uh valencia do at least score a goal because i mean it's one of those those games where you give an extra push or at least the players which are going to be on the field they're going to want to want to show they're worthy you know and maybe even get a spot in the in the final against vetties so i mean i do think overall that uh should win but i hope it's an entertaining one in the end okay pavlos villarreal win but how do they win and how do we get the value cannot believe it was -190 less than two hours ago and now it's -220 yeah i mean i i've played this much over and over in my mind i i thought money line i've had minus one maybe vrl to win an under three and a half goals but then i said hmm valencia are gonna rotate so uh and what i've seen from their uh you know backup defenders this season wasn't really encouraging so um i wouldn't rule out like a vial five nil win or something i i thought yeah yeah they can they can blow up any time just uh you know uh we are all to in my mind they're kind of like a dortmund where you see a lot of if you look at dirt and jerusalem matches you see a lot of unders there a couple of wins by two to nil one to nil something like that but then boom they destroyed the wolfsburg over the weekend so i think vrl are due for uh you know a massive game of course you know they uh they'll have one eye in the um in the champions league semi-finals but uh again this is a similar situation with betis if y'all uh you know they get uh if they don't win the champions league and they have a couple of bad results they might they're in risk of not playing european soccer at all next season so they really need the points here uh of course they have a huge match coming up in uh i think it's eight or nine days um but uh they have to focus on here and if they can't beat a valencia side where with both eyes on the copa del rey final i mean maybe they shouldn't play uh no i i no it was bold statement i i retract that they should play every year in the europe because we've seen what they do and i mean they're very impressive and it's you know probably because of unai emery but uh yeah i think that valencia they have uh um they are already behind um you know the top uh six spots uh 13 points behind there is it it's gonna take a miracle for valencia to lose the cup final and also play european soccer so they they're gonna put everything they have on the uh on the cup final and uh they're probably not not even gonna care that much about this result so uh i feel that vrl are the team with the biggest motive here that's why i like vicarial um you know uh with minus one actually and uh the price keeps dropping so you know if anyone also likes that bet you should hurry up because the price gonna drop a bit more i guess minus one thirty five i'm just looking to see to give me a rough idea it was like minus 105 this this is move 30 in your oil against you if you haven't uh got it already and this is always the news that obviously valencia um are not going to be playing their full strength squad and villarreal got to win every game it's as simple as that and they've got a nice big break after this game before they uh go back into the european exploits just wants to say something yeah we're talking with this uh about this with paula the other day that if that is when the the copa del rey and there's a opportunity that the seventh qualifier in la liga does get to play european football and valencia is only five points away from that seventh position so i mean if they lose that's also another way they're interested you know to maybe um get that spot so i i don't think they're going to give it away completely and and just leave it hard you know but of course it doesn't make sense that they're going to focus more on the couple late but just saying to keep that in mind yeah all the numbers tell you that it's villarreal all the way otherwise i mean i don't expect many people to be having valencia and a plus 600 um it's gonna only be going up let's have a little look at the official picks because this was the second leg of my parlay i went patisse and i went villarreal don't complicate it but you've got villarreal minus one at minus 135 when that was minus one minus 105. that's a big big listen i wouldn't i wouldn't bother going minus one if it starts getting into the minus 140s and that um i'd probably then just do team total or villarreal over one and a half or over two something like that okay let's move on to game number four because this Atletico vs Granada is one of those on paper you've got to find the value and the value won't be far you won't be looking too long it's atletico versus granada well i let it go at minus three thirty is no good now there you go to win by two you can't trust them at plus one hundred granada or plus one thousand bar granada not to score in the game is minus 130 which tells you that atletico to win winter nil is going to be around plus 100 roman i'd like i like atletico winter neal granada don't score but granada minus 130 or against atletico to win it minus 330 put them together you get plus 100. yeah i mean i think atletico should at the end of the day win this game um they got a really tight win last weekend right at the end thanks to a penalty uh they were pretty lucky to be honest they haven't been too good of late despite that game against city where in the second half you know they played really well they look like a really strong side but they don't tend to uh play at that level we could say on a weekly basis in la liga unfortunately for them and that's why they're struggling you know to stay in those top four spots and also to add to that they're having a lot of a lot a little luck we could say with with injuries because now they've lost their job felix and lemar they're saying it could be for the rest of the season we'll see how how those updates go but it's not looking good for those two and then also they have suspensions with felipe with condobia and ximena who's still injured so i mean uh that depth uh that letico bench usually had might not be available for this game but still they still have a pretty good 11 they should be capable of lining up to to win the match but the only doubt for me here is that um janelle have already announced recently just a few hours ago a new manager aitor karanka some of you might know from the premier league birmingham middlesbrough etc he's going to manage his first club as a first manager we could say here in la liga and he's going to try and of course motivate these guys you know to at least get a draw and we saw that for example majorca they got a result against uh atletico madrid recently espanol were about to get results against them so they're vulnerable i think are vulnerable you can get points and uh despite playing at home and seeing how these late games have been going for atletico really struggling in that sense i've decided to stay away but i do understand that you'd want to go maybe before the tickle because playing at home against the granada who got thrashed the other day should be a reason enough we could say yeah i see that granada are not going to be going on all guns blazing because the one thing you don't want to do is open up against atletico unless you are chasing the game and you listen even if you it's like one nil then just having a let it go to win in under three and a half or atletico win to neil pavlos will the real atletico madrid uh defense please stand up i mean i'm i'm tired of the difference decision i mean what is cholo doing i mean okay it's natural to to consider against espanol of course but uh they i mean what are they doing i'm i'm confused about their defense and uh granada you know they've found ways to score against atletico madrid in recent years i think they've only scored in one of their last five uh you know to be honest this is one of the matches where i looked and then i i just i just skipped you know i said i'll tell you one another you know two seconds of thought and then i just skipped it uh you know because i genuinely see granada scoring uh to be honest but i hopefully hopefully they don't because you know atletico madrid their luck is going to run out at some point and if another take the lead here they might you know atletico madrid might not even win they've had a lot of late late match winners like uh in eighth minute of stoppage time ninth minute of supper time seventh minute of super time so they can't keep doing that i mean if they can it's fine but it's not healthy for for us betters and it's not healthy for the team and it's not healthy for healthy for the coach or the player so unless i see something from that uh atletico madrid difference i i'm kind of staying away and you know with granada being on a do-or-die situation uh this was a match where i would either pick the uh you know the underdog or nothing at all so i i thought it was safer for me and you know to pick nothing at all but uh you know atletico madrid should at some point shape up their differences i mean if they have a couple of bad results they might even play in the conference league next season so yeah they should be really careful and uh they don't need to score four goals i mean of course they can't score four goals against granada but you don't need to score score just one stay at the back one nil two nil and it's done you don't need to be flashy now it's the point of the season where you need to be effective so they need to shape up their difference sooner or later and if they can't ship their difference up against granada then i'm sorry i don't know what's going to happen so big fat pass from me but good luck if you have a play in this match yep i do have a play as i've been alluding to it's atletico winter neal let's have a little look at the official picks because i was going to stick this in the parlay as jojo was like why don't you stick it in the barley well because i thought it was good enough on its own atletico winter nil plus 100 if this wins and my basically i have my parlay for free that's what i was thinking or i have my parlay i have this for free so uh it's basically just adding units to our winning record and trying to get this close to 30 before we get to the end of the season okay game number five because this was another game that had uh a potential parlay piece celta at Celta vs Getafe plus one twenty heads off a at plus 270 the draw at plus 220. seltzer to score twice at plus 155 hatsafe not to score is plus 140. the under over is two that sells to do score goals so tafe have done so are we looking at roman over two minus one ten i mean i i think over two is is pretty tempting i do think we're gonna see goals uh the other day uh centa de vigo against uh flippyclub managed to score a couple there a very tough stadium to to to to win score into even um sorry to win and to even score at so a lot of credit you know for them for getting the good results and i think that could build up some momentum for central amigo who are having irregular results but i feel like at home against tahita who've kind of lost all that momentum they've had because we're we were talking about them a few weeks or months ago or something like that when they had those really good results they would look pretty good you could bet on them you could trust them with it with a new recently new uh manager but now since then they've kind of lost a bit of all that momentum now they're struggling to get the good results and they're again fighting in those relegation positions uncomfortable not getting not playing the football they like or not being capable of at least implementing it so i think that uh have a good opportunity of getting a comfortable win against hentai vigo and i i wouldn't discard over two goals to be honest no i think pavlos the numbers should say to us but this is a two and a half game not a two cell could score maybe uh two on their own and that brings in the plus 155 yeah but you know here's the thing celta could score no goals because they are one of the teams that we call dr jekyll and mr hyde you see one face here and one face there sometimes they go and beat the teams that you don't expect them to beat and then they lose from the teams that you would never expect them to lose and you know what to be honest completely i i hate whoever one of you guys chose this match because i can't be dealing with freaking zelta all caesar i mean they they've been really hard to predict like uh i think they won't just back-to-back matches just twice all season uh so now they they beat bilbao on the road by two-to-nil who would have thought insane results from this stealth aside and hit off of course they are the only winless team on the road uh worst away offense with uh eight goals in 16 matches the score you know half a goal per month but they do have a good defense though they have the seventh best defense in the entire la liga they have the seventh best away difference with uh just twenty two considered uh they have the ninth best xga uh and the eighth best the eighth best xga on the road so to be totally honest with you guys i wouldn't be surprised if somehow qatar found their first win of the season against this delta side i'm disgusted by the self-decide i get it but i'm disgusted by the head safety price being at plus 270. i mean there's no one away from home that tells you a little bit so they're running a little bit scared i thought they'd be like plus 550. true true true so i i initially thought you know hitachi plus have a goal here no no you know no questions asked but then i saw the numbers and uh minus 140 for a hitachi i don't really like it so the value is certainly unfelted to win plus 120 of course but uh you know something inside me tells me that this is not an easy math okay roman celta versus what have you come up with i got i went for moneyline basically as you're going to see uh shortly i think uh what i said before i think that uh could build up on that momentum against a 30 club and uh they should be capable of getting a win because at home jaguars pass in good form i think it's enough to be the ketafe hoop as pablo's mentioned haven't won away and they really struggle they could get their first win it could be one of those unpredictable celta moments but i'm going to take the risk okay celta moneyline plus 120 for roman good to have him back he has been doing absolutely brilliantly as is pavlos as well okay let's go on to game number six of seven and this just screams goals uh levante versus sevilla levante at plus Levante vs Sevilla 250 sevilla at plus 110 could be a trap because levante have been scoring listen they've scored like three four times in the last six weeks and doesn't mean they're going to win the game total over two and a half goals in the game plus 100 surely that is an absolute shoeing draw at plus 255 how am i seeing levante roman at plus 250 at home to severe who to be fair although i said goals they do not like to get involved in matches with loads of goals when they're on the road well that's a good question i mean uh honestly levante as we said before the beginning of the show you know they're starting to find some kind of momentum some kind of confidence in their football maybe in their manager and the way they're playing and of course most importantly levante have found morales he's back to his best he's playing some of the best football season he's really struggled during most part of the season with injuries not performing to his level but now he looks once again like one of those top players who could be playing for a manchester city for barcelona for i don't know who because when morales is morales i mean he's just an incredible player and with him on the field at that level honestly anything can actually happen although it is sevilla you know sevilla is a rocky side another their defenses tends to be very good because we saw against the other day against almighty how in the second half it completely broke down but of course it is beneficial these guys do have a lot of quality and when they start pushing we know that they can get the results they need we saw it against chelsea uh very recently so i mean i don't think we could compare uh the rival sevilla had the other day against or with levante we could say so i mean i do think it's a bit of an unpredictable game because knowing that levante are desperate knowing that they couldn't fight against strong side as we saw against barcelona the other day um anything could really happen but logic says that sevilla should at least get a draw the worst case scenario you know but i don't know if they're going to feel affected by that recent game at their at their home stadium against madrid where they had the game under control the first half they were brilliant it seemed like the game was done over and over with but then the second half of that classic madrid which you know pushes right until the end just managed to change things completely uh but as i said uh we could see goals goals does make sense because as you mentioned levante tend to to put him to put them at the back of the net and i do think that we are definitely going to be capable of scoring in this one uh but i wouldn't be brave enough to go for any side just yet no i get that roman and that's the problem i've got pavlos is that i'm not brave enough because levante should be tripled the price normally yeah yeah but under the current form of scoring goals they're like 30 of the price we think they should be severe and not scoring goals so that brings in the draw otherwise the plus 110 is the biggest wrapped gift we've ever seen but for some reason i cannot go near it pavlos not on the money line anyway yeah no no no no no i you know if they if they win if sevilla wins oh well okay if somebody plays the money line i wouldn't uh blame them but uh here's a here's the thing sevilla uh they're winless in the last nine on the road uh for losses five draws they kept just two clean seats in that span so their difference is starting to some i'm not gonna say fall apart because it's a huge word but something's wrong with your difference especially on the road um but levante i mean levante have been really really goodly uh good their offense has been good because they've scored eight goals in the last three matches they scored multiple goals against barcelona villarreal betis valencia atletico they scored three goals against sevilla in sevilla in the reverse fixture and they also scored three goals against madrid so they are fighters their difference is not so much but there are fighters up front and uh they've scored in five of the last six whole months against sevilla both teams score is five and one in their last six months this year uh the problem is though uh because you know i'm actually looking at the um the over uh half a goal for levante is at minus 220 but the over one and a half goal is at plus 200 and that's one of the plays that i actually considered for this match because uh you know left are scoring a lot of goals they scored a lot of goals against sevilla the score goes against the big teams um and uh the problem is that i scrapped that because you know uh only betis and real madrid have scored multiple goals against sevilla on the road this season uh but then again i thought sevilla have considered multiple goals in the last two against real madrid and granada and they get just one click in the last six uh regardless of venue and they have just one win the last six they've kept us stricken sits in the last 12 matches they have four wins four draws and four losses so i totally see a high scoring match here you know in the sense that uh levante might even score first and sevilla are going to come back or even if sevilla scored first levante will surely want points because as it is right now they are sitting um uh wait because i have a lot of tabs open here uh they're sitting at the 19th spot uh four points below the red line so they have uh you know they don't have a lot of slack left they don't have a lot of matches left in the season uh after that they're going to play valencia after that they're going to play al sushadav after that they're going to play real madrid so these are all tough matches so levante should better get points whenever they come and uh sevilla kind of struggling lately just kind of struggling lately of course they still have the best difference in the best away difference but i think this is a trap a very big trap so i'm gonna take the over here but i wouldn't be surprised if the underscore try the score twice i like the bottom to score here a lot of stuff i like in this match but uh i'm going to stick with the over here the overs plus money over two and a half what did they have they had seven or eight goals between them like less than a month ago um it's like listen it could be a two two could be a three two but the over two and a half you only need to be two one or even a three nil wins if sevilla really do turn up then levante let you down just when you think that they're just their goal machines and they're going to score every time they go forward over two and a half goals is that don't complicate it really at plus 100 it's one of those that you're forced to take just on the value alone because levante have been scoring more than that on their own and sevilla is now starting to be thinking okay we've never pressed only advantage of being in the top four let's go for game number seven and i left this alone and you know that i like my barcelona but for some reason this game's absolutely stunk rio sasha Real Sociedad vs Barcelona saucidev versus barcelona so she's had a plus 240 minus 130 for the double chance barcelona up plus 110 now just imagine barcelona at the same price the winner sasha dad has sevilla at levante something quite not quite right there because sasha dad are one of the most dangerous sides in spanish football and they're so organized as well the under two and a half goals is that plus money barcelona to score twice are at minus 105. there's so much on this menu i'm looking at it like yeah i've got a starter i've got a main course i've got a dessert i've even got my coffee and mints for afterwards room and i could have maybe six or seven bets in this game yeah maybe that's why i couldn't make up my mind maybe too many things to choose and generating doubts whether it was going to go one way or another way and also of course that game against frankfurt is kind of uh yeah kind of yeah we could say that to be honest uh and i think nobody expected of course barcelona to get eliminated and and even less in that way in that manner by that uh goal goal line which was a bit tricky in the enemies of court which scored those two late goals which uh changed things a bit or make them look a bit better uh but now of course now it's against it'll be interesting to see what barcelona does against khalid because as we are recording they're playing at the moment it's nil known in the first half they're still struggling to get that goal and i think that could also affect the result could also affect the version of barcelona we see again who are very very strong at home of late i mean they're getting good results they lose very few games at home their defensive line is really very solid so that's that's a doubt whether it could be an unders game or whether barca somehow is gonna play their offensive wonderful but we've seen we saw the bernabeu for example where they thrust in four nil and then of course it's going to be overs so in that sense i was had too many doubts i'd say and i decided to let go of this game and not take any risks because i don't know what version of varsa we're going to see because i do think russia can win it if they go back to the level we'd seen a few weeks ago but if they're going to play the frankfurt level uh i just i'm a bit scared you know of them yeah i mean again right and real social other type of side that could hurt them to be honest yeah um pavlos there's so many attractive numbers if you're a social ed fan you are licking your lips thinking we've been underestimated here but if you're a barcelona fan and you expect them to bounce back because listen they have been excellent maybe 85 of the time over the last three months then you have got some proper numbers i mean just barcelona score twice is at -105 barcelona plus 110 to go there and win is the draw a runner up plus 270 um yeah i agree guys there is a lot of plays to be made here um i think the side is the most difficult to predict i think goals are easier to predict because you know whenever these two meet they somehow uh they they blow the games up i mean barcelona in the previous round in the you know the first round they beat them by four to two um last season the bit six to one two to one so in the last 10 la liga matches uh eight of them were overs over two and a half goals and uh uh eight of them had both things to score so you know um it also said that even though they have impressive defensive numbers like impressive especially at home uh i was looking at the at the halftime numbers actually because um you know real social really hard to beat at home nine wins two losses five draws um but in the first half they scored four goals and have considered just one goal all season in the first half at home so here's what i'm thinking they have three home matches left to finish the season against barcelona cadiz and atletico madrid there is no way i guarantee you there is no way they're going to finish the season with just one considered goal in the first half no way maybe they're going to keep cuddles at bay maybe they can give atletico bay who are telego by the way i look at the stats they have scored just one first half goal in their last six matches uh against the alastair server at uh real social and uh uh that's why i'm thinking that barcelona will score here in the first half after all they've scored the most first half goals on the road this season with 12 and they'll be eager to you know wash off that terrible loss uh to frankfurt in the europa league on thursday i think they're gonna they're gonna you know enter the the pits looking to just uh you know move over to a new leaf a new page uh so um there you know barcelona are in a in a triple tie against sevilla and atletico madrid at 60 points of course they do have a couple of matches in hand so uh they should have the upper hand but uh uh you know the way i look at this uh there's much much value in taking barcelona to score in the first half after all they've done that in four of the last five matches in this venue uh of course that's back when they had mercy but still and they've scored two first half goals in the reverse fixture in the 4-2 uh win at barcelona early in the season the only problem that i have with this bet is the fact that barcelona haven't scored any first half goals in the last four matches but i expect that to change and the price is very good so i'm willing to take the risk okay let's have a little have a look because if you as i say if you are a barcelona fan and this is a big uh question mark over there how do they bounce back um obviously they got absolutely toasted forget the three two they be in four five one uh listen that would have been a travesty and it would have made them still look better than they were on the night but it's bassa first half team total over 0.5 at -110 so basically just barcelona to score a goal at -110 does look like a good shower but i think these two are going to uh it's going to be very very tight now you if you've got any questions after them seven games then fire them across now because i'm just going to remind you we're america's favorite sportsbook and would like you to subscribe and get us closer to 5 000 subscribers remember we've got la liga bundesliga sierra premier league champions league europa league and this is your world cup year so this is your home of soccer betting and that we're going to really really enjoy this um also ring the bell and that means you'll not miss any content which will then that means that if you're a leaguer fan you will not hear the bell ring this week because it's copa del rey there's no show on thursday and if you're on social media then please follow at bet us soccer any updates any anything that we think is going to benefit you even if it doesn't benefit at least we were thinking of you okay any questions let's have a little look don't normally have questions to be fair in la liga which we don't mind because i know that they ask questions all the way through maybe we do such a good job that we cover everything so they don't yeah you give yourself a pat on the back with them glasses on i'm not letting you get away with it i think you're just like looking for like a i don't know what i was going to say to you did you send her like a video the other day of when he was at the brewery yeah i did does that why the glasses are on no no look at that i i haven't been at the brewery since that day so it's fine oh their eyes look good man yeah i know it was just a it was just a weird flex because i'm now king of the la liga yes exactly look at the space stay there as long as we keep paco away tacos okay listen let's have a little look at the best bets please we've not added any there's no yellow La Liga Best Bets okay i've just come with a parlay at plus 135 uh majorca double chance villarreal minus one levante sevilla over two and a half it looks so obvious that one at plus 100 especially when uh levante scored three on the road to sevilla earlier on uh bassa if they just score one goal that's minus one ten in the bag and roma roman he's gone celta 120 thinks that's a gift but villarreal and valencia just for both teams to score villarreal win four or five one uh pavlos says but just beware of valencia not turning up remember the parlay is villarreal and real batiste so for everyone that will look forward to seeing you all again on the thursday when we start off with the premier league then it'll be sierra and then on friday it will be bundesliga so from pavlos i hope the eyes get better soon roman it's good to have you back everyone in the chat thumbs up on the way out please and remember to subscribe from everyone at bet us you take care [Music] you