Premier League Picks Matchday 32 | Premier League Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

Published: Apr 06, 2022 Duration: 00:43:40 Category: Sports

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Premier League Matchday 32 Predictions [Music] exclusive to our soccer youtube channel the top four european leagues covered weekly all matches previewed by the best betting experts predictions and match analysis hosted by ex-premier league soccer player gordon flash watson subscribe hit that bell button and never miss a show bet us where the game begins [Music] welcome to the bet u.s soccer channel i'm flash and it's the premier league and it's match day 32 not long to go now and we still actually do not know who's going to be lifting the title it's a two horse race and they meet this week so make sure you get any questions that you want on that game right in the chat because that's your home for the questions and answers and that will be at the end of the show prior to the best specs now we are america's favorite sports book so i'd like to invite you to subscribe and get us closer to 5 000. we're on 10 off of 4500 so i hope in the next few weeks we get to that five thousand also ring the bell ring the bell means that you will never miss any content again you would have had the masters the champions league and the europa league this week but we've also got the premier league and the sierra and la liga and tomorrow the bundesliga and then next week we go again so make sure that you are right in the know also thanks to stinch last week i said to you make sure if you're on social media you're on twitter make sure that you uh follow at bet us soccer or bet us official because then sting saw the lineups at west ham then put his play up there and julie it was a winner in fact all three of us won last week as did the show and now i mean listen great my experts are award-winning owner of we love betting i will say that right up until the end in mark o'hare and european odds compiler and the sniffer of value and numbers and now he might even be adding corners to it in marksmen's camera he'll be known as stint so before i say hello gentlemen let's have a little look at this record because look at the team record because the team record says that we're going in the right direction after a really good week last week EPL Betting Record um yeah sting six point seven eight good week last week mark didn't lose uh didn't lose a bean but we did get the parlay um a good few games coming up are we are we spotting maybe teams are on the beach remember my man told us about newcastle mark o'hare they played for 45 minutes and then down tools yeah we are at that stage now and i think there are a few teams in the mid table who you could probably put into that bracket um obviously last week was a decent um opportunity to have a look at those teams and consider whether they were on the beach i'm not sure newcastle are just quite there yet and i think bernie's result in midweek against everton does kind of leave that sort of final relegation birth still lingering and open and newcastle still capable of of dropping back down there and i hear eddie howe talking on on wednesday and suggesting that his team are definitely not on the beach and definitely still focused on as he would say in public but um of course yeah i think that i think the first half of spurs was was evident enough for me to suggest that they weren't yet signed off and i think the second half obviously was a a complete disappointment but spurs were very good and cut them cut them into shreds really so but yeah there are a few teams who we will talk about who i think definitely have already clicked off and a book in their holidays already so yeah there's one to watch in the next coming weeks yes any chance that you could have turned up for the previous 30 weeks last week you gave us winners of the winners and also you gave us the parley at plus one 61 65 yeah so uh i'm going back on the beach now is that right yeah you are yeah yeah put your towel down early if you don't mind i mean uh i don't i would like to think it was uh a good week um because the bets were good not because i was lucky um i feel i've been a unlucky a few times this season and um but the season's not over and no no it's not no plenty plenty of uh plenty of time to go and also i think some of our long term bets are looking quite good as well so uh got those uh to fall back on as well come the end of the season okay well we've got six games remember get yourselves in the chat that's your home you want something say you want to pass on some information you've got a banker or a big bet then make sure you put it in now let's go on straight away to the first game and the first game is a friday night game so we've got newcastle Newcastle vs Wolves i believe that they are finished um maybe they need maybe one maybe three points at the final four or five games um newcastle versus wolves it's newcastle plus 130 far too short for me wolves are massive plus 250 the under over is two q stinch because he never goes under the two not in the premier league the draw is at plus two one five mark o'hare i'll start with you because the goal line at two i mean i mean newcastle plus 130 as well nothing towards the home side is attractive no no um i wouldn't be going in newcastle those prices uh the markets effectively saying that they're almost rated as the same and i can't this i can't agree with that at all um you know touched on the game against tottenham last week where they started pretty well defended diligently but and got the the free kick to put them ahead but the second half unraveled quite alarmingly really and as i say bernie's win kind of does increase the pressure again on newcastle i've got a seven point buffer but i don't think you can say with certainty but they've they've survived with their current points tally and i know their previous losses against everton and chelsea they were pretty decent performances um but it's a trend i've picked up picked up on quite recently um with newcastle and their inability to score goals from open play so they scored 15 goals in the last 12 premier league games since christmas but they've actually failed to score from open play in the last five hours of premier league football and four of those 15 goals were were direct free kicks which have come more recently this calendar year so that's just kind of well that's unsustainable really over the long term and um they scored more than once in only four of the last 18 which kind of highlights their inability to kind of create clear opportunities but defensively they have made improvements it's just lacking up top so the majority of their best work has been done against the the lesser teams in the premier league they've earned just three points against the top half all of those points via draws so they're win less than 14 against the top ten they've lost 11 of those and they're playing a wolf side of us one six of eight and beating trips to the bottom half and all sides still chasing european qualification too so yeah yeah i like wolves um no jiminez no no neves which is obviously a blow but they survived against villa without them last week and you know if you take out the second half against leeds where they collapsed when they were down to ten men after dominating the first half um they could easily have four premier league wins on the spin coming into this match so um yeah in fact a sort of side of either team would definitely be something what prior was based but um i'm quite happy to sort of pass this one on and allow you to sort of share whatever you analysis and insight you have i'm just going to go with wolves i'm adding this as well and i'm adding it for two units to be honest look at that bottom left wolves double chance minus 150 you're going to give me 66 percent of my money that wolves don't get beat stinch i'm with wolves all the way i don't see wolves getting beat wolves i listen i can see there's been a nil near one nil something like that uh i just want to be with wolves yeah i the only thing put me off is no nevers and no him and us just because they're the joint top scorers for wolves i know they beat villa uh last week without them but i think one one of the goal was from a defender um and it's just obviously one game there which is a small very small sample size obviously so i just would prefer to have uh jim anders and nevez available but you're right you could easily see wolves going there keeping things tight trying to nick a goal on the break um and yeah just because wolves have got one of the best defense in the league haven't they and if newcastle's main threat is going to be coming from set pieces arguably that plays into wolves hands because it's a lot easier to be organized when the ball is dead rather than when the ball is in play so yeah i want to be with wolves i sort of dillied and dallied whether i should get involved and i again i just just without him and as and nevis is is enough to is enough to say no but as you're right nobody's back in newcastle these are they they might have players they're missing no callum wilson no trippier who i think i could be the two best players i know sam maximum is very good player but i think he he on his own he can't he can't win games by himself he definitely needs to have players around him and yeah that collapsed second half away spurs last week was very alarming um see yeah i'm kind of just going back to the well really you could you could just call these team a and team b as it's not burnley involved i'm happy to chance over two goals did the same bet in wolves last week against villa and i think wolves were tuning up past about 35 minutes yeah they're just hoping for for another goal um if not you're going to get your money back so just given the fact premier league still at 2.79 goals per game so if you would kind of use that as a blanket odds you'd be looking at over under 2.5 and the overs would be slight favorite so the fact as i say i would have this line to 2.25 rather than rather than the flat two so i think there's a is enough juice there i mean wolves are still chasing that european spot yeah they are so and there's you know there's arguments they could easily get crash the top four if it all goes awry for for the teams involved there even chelsea might tail off i mean they've only got a five point gap i think on spurs and arsenal um so still plenty of time to go plenty of motivation for wolves and if new cut newcastle are on the beach they'll they will tend to play a lot less engaged i would say which kind of lends itself more to goals we all i think we all kind of are aware at the end of the season when teams don't have anything to play for that the goal average does go up so yeah happy to chance uh using your insight on a newcastle flash yeah listen i just see that um wolves are going to frustrate newcastle uh and it will be one of those types of games but i listen there might be a parlay piece that we can add at the end as well but i am actually going to make it a banker let's have a little look at the official picks because mine was late so it's nothing to do with the graphics people i wanted to see what the final number would be for wolves and half a goal so wolves double chance is that minus 150 it's gone on there as a banker and uh sting is going over to at minus 130 let's kick on i don't want to be like here all day when we've got plenty meat to put on the bones next game is in fact it's another banker for me it's arsenal versus brighton arsenal Arsenal vs Brighton minus 180 yeah you could just say well stick that in the parlay with wolves at minus 150 and minus 180 but arsenal minus one at plus 105 the goal line is set at two and a half if you think there's three goals it's plus 100 bright and for me are finished draw is at plus three two five mark o'hare again brighton no i can't even remember the last time that they scored one never mind two and arsenal have got everyone on their towel for that top four and i know they had a blip mid-week but they played against a side that have been strong against nearly every single side especially at home yeah um they were atrocious on monday but i'm well beaten but i don't think you can abandon them just based on that one performance um you know over the long term they have been very competitive and you're right the top four battle is is really intense and arsenal still have to go to spurs and they they're gaming hands against chelsea as well so they absolutely need to start picking up points or continue picking up points in the matches where they're expected to to pick up those points and um i appreciate i'm probably repeating myself from previous shows really but arsenal traditionally in this spot are very very strong uh when they're at home particularly emirates against bottom half opposition but this season alone they've won 17 of 24 when you exclude the top three that's 10 wins from 12 at emirates stadium against teams outside the top three 13 wins from 17 when facing teams in 10th and below very consistent but odds wise as well i went back to 2017 to today when arsenal have gone off as minus money um at home um in the premier league their record is 44 wins nine draws and four defeats which is a 77 win record very very strong very very consistent um the only thing that's kind of nagging me with arsenal this this weekend is is teenies long-term injury requires a reshuffling in defence and thomas parte as well who will be a big miss i think he's been exceptional over the past few months and you know what's the beauty about arsenal so far this season is they've been pretty injury-free since early autumn and uh they've been quite consistent in their team selection and yeah it just requires a bit of juggling around um and i'm not totally convinced they've got the squad to sort of cope with with key injuries uh particularly part a but we'll see you're right brian of one just three premier league games now and 25 that goes back to mid-september those wins are against brentford everton and watford they've only actually kept six clean sheets in that sequence and you know brighton are sort of known as being quite a rigid and defensively strong team which is quite a poor return and they only want once against teams above them in the table so we know they're capable of keeping games competitive they draw specialists but they're averaging just 0.87 goals per game and you said when was the last time they scored they had 30 shots against norwich last week failed to score ballooned a penalty over the bar they scored once in seven and that was a set piece goal as well so yeah i mean i think brighton can be the kind of team that can sort of slow arsenal down a little bit so i was pretty much on board with you flash of arsenal minus one uh free hit surely it did but i'm gonna i'm gonna adapt it i'm gonna take a much shorter price which is uh arsenal to win and under four and a half goals at -140 um just because i can see arsenal winning this match one no i think brighton i don't think they're necessarily as a stereotype says on the beach i still think they'll be able to provide some sort of resistance and uh yeah it really wouldn't be too surprising i've asked and won this bar by just a goal and i still get paid out if it's a low scoring game i think only two of brighton's matches all season have featured five or more goals and only five of arsenal's have as well so uh i'm just playing it a little bit safer though instead okay i thought arsenal scored twice so that was my first port of call at minus 125 and i saw i'm getting a free hit stinch basically i'm getting a minus 180 free hit at plus 105. give me arsenal i see this being maybe two nil three nil and i think they run right i'm not convinced personally but that's only because what i see with allison was not that impressed to be honest i know they sit uh joint fourth um but i think you look at the facts i'm not basing it just on what happened on monday night against crystal palace but a few times i've watched them this season the the reverse fixture against crystal palace very lucky to get themselves out of jail with a with a last-minute equalizer i just i just don't think they're that good to be honest you got lacazette there i think he's called four goals all season which is a very poor return um they've got smith road they've got otter guard they've got good fallbacks they've got party i know he's missing they are on the up they're in the top four and you're and you're saying they're not very good i don't think they're very good the premier league the top three are by far and away the best teams shot if conte had been there since beginning a season i think uh tottenham would be far more clear of arsenal already if west ham didn't have european involvement arguably they might be above arsenal as well um i think uh the likes of sacko and smith throw i'm not sure they have a bigger ceiling to grow into um odergard maybe i'm not but i'm not convinced thomas party costs like 40 million i know mark said he thought he's been playing well this season hasn't stood out massively for me kieran tierney i think is is a is a miss i'm not convinced by uh the tavares as the as a replacement so yeah don't get me wrong i'm i'm just not i'm not a fan of arsenal i think the bet that stood out for me here though um because uh brighton's struggle was in front of goal really and and arsenal's the same i think arsenal have only scored like 44 in 30 games or something it's not only just over one a game you get under two and a half goals at minus 125 17 of brighton's last 20 matches have gone under 2.5 and brought in a failed score in six of our seven and look at the last few meetings between the sides i think they've been nil nil one nil and two nil to arsenal so i think these two teams do give each other like quite a good game in terms of not letting too much um go in their own penalty areas so yeah if you're looking for an alternative angle maybe play the at the end of two and a half here yeah i'm not looking for no alternative angle this is my banker of the week i mean listen i've got maybe four bankers across all the european shows i've just added another one because i'm just feeling a bit positive and greedy let's have a look at the official picks i see arsenal being far too sharp and we look at it and they've got to win and they've got to win well because of obviously what's going on at the top of the table and if they want champions league next year it's theirs to lose arsenal minus one at plus 105 but that's not minus one for now for mark o'hare because he's missing tierney and he's missing party so he's gone with arsenal to win an under four and a half at minus 140 you say mark yep okay move on let's get on because this is a game where anything can happen for me Southampton vs Chelsea southampton versus chelsea southampton winless i can't remember the last time they won 1-1 draw last week got us to push away at leeds and they're at plus 340 against the chelsea side got beat 4-1 at home to premier league newcomers brentford then they play real madrid they were all gassed out they got beat 3-1 but chelsea are still at minus 120. that is either a gift or a trap because normally it'd be like -185 the draw is at plus 280 the under over is at two and a half i think the over two and a half at -105 is a way to look stint you can start us off here because southampton they are mid-table mediocrity and chelsea i just do not know what i'm getting i think the gas tank is emptied yeah potentially um it's difficult i know they've had those two strange defeats but last season for example they got beaten 5-2 at home by west brom maybe it's football like karen benzema's uh goals his hat trick it all came from a very low quality chances but it's just the fact that he's obviously you know world-class striker chelsea themselves they had 20 shots in the game so i don't necessarily think they've you know given up or whatever i just think like that chelsea price to me stood out when you compare it to what the the price they normally go off at against similar teams so they were minus 150 at palace -150 at brighton minus 140 at villa minus 125 at wolves same price at west ham and leicester minus 150 at brentford so for me minus 120 i just think is is too big and when they went to southampton before the pandemic under lampard against hassan who they were minus 150 and that was a team featuring kepper zuma willian and they won 4-1 and the year before that they were minus 175 and they won three nil so i'm just going to play the price here and take chelsea i know they are they have struggled the last two games but against madrid they didn't start lukaku verna zia kovacicho or alonso so imagine a majority of them will come in this weekend may believe they have a point to prove etc not something you can really measure in terms of numbers but one thing you can measure is the previous prices that chelsea have been out this season so yeah i'm just taking the opportunity of a potential overreaction okay what about both teams to score and over marco here because i can't trust chelsea but the squad rotation they will bring in proper players and 99 of the players they will bring in would get into the southampton 11. yeah that's true um i found this one really tricky because i got question marks over both teams with southampton you're trying to judge whether they've signed up for the season and you know recent premier league results and an efforts won one against leeds last week but before that defeats against watford newcastle and villa an argument to say that all their eggs went into the fa cup basket for the quarterfinal of city uh lost that so now they're in mid-table obscurity and perhaps motivation is lacking but then you've got chelsea you're in the middle of those two ties against champions league uh against remember during the champions league so um you know they've never lost back-to-back games in the premier league undertook all and i don't think they will sort of have that record on their copy book this week but um you know two really poor displays i put the brentford down to immediately coming after the international break and and eyes on the madrid prize but um yeah the performance midweek was puzzling i think if you're being positive you would say that real madrid were clinical uh scored from a mistake from mendy and benzema scoring those two wonderful headers as well but what worried me from a negative perspective as bruce james was nowhere near his influential best he didn't look quite right to me possibly not a hundred percent they're still missing chill one on the left so you've got asparaguetta filling in there and it just didn't work at all and then kovachic you know on a bench rather instead of georginio was confusing mounts who's normally pretty key and pivotal to chelsea's positive performances he was anonymous politics barely came into the game as well so you've got a lot of key players there who underperformed and need a kind of shake-up really so question marks over chelsea but i don't want to sort of beat them up too much because it's just two games and you know there's still a quality football team they're still champions league holders and they're still third in the premier league so they still have that ability uh it's just how um how they're going to attack this game knowing what's happening in madrid next midweek as well so i know the cushion in the top four is down to about five points now so they do need to go to southampton and put on a put on a performance but yeah ultimately if i was having a bet i would be pro chelsea uh just down to the price which stingers outlined brilliantly yeah and goals i think this i'm probably i'm not going to add it here but i'm probably going to have a look at the both teams to score and over two and a half goals um i expect so many players to come in uh from the chelsea lineups the one thing about that you learn that has been a professional footballer is the when you're tired the first thing that goes is your decision making and i saw with chelsea last night five or six players including the goalkeeper that were caught in two free minds because they hadn't worked out what happens is when you play at the elite level that you know exactly what you want to do with the ball before it gets there i felt last night when watching the real madrid game is they were getting the ball then they were deciding what they wanted to do which means they're not quite at their sharpest self now listen not many teams are but when you've got chelsea squad you would expect them so maybe fresh legs are going to come in but with fresh legs you get fresh minds yeah i mean listen i can see chelsea winning and i see where sting is coming from at -120 it looks like an absolute gift but so does that both teams to score and over let's have a look at the official picks because i had to leave it well alone but chelsea minus 120 don't complicate it from stinch who's on a great run next game we've got two sides that just Aston Villa vs Tottenham they scream goals aston villa versus tottenham aston villa at plus 220 spurs plus 125. there it is don't complicate it spurs are scoring goals villa can't keep clean sheets the over i cannot believe neither mark o'hare that the over is at two and a half minus one twenty uh spurs to score twice is at plus one oh five i see that happening and even the draw plus 260 could come into it but really it spurs scoring twice and they win the game so 125 that'll do yeah i'm pro spurs here quite pro spurs they're one of my favorite bets in the premier league this weekend um going great guns at the moment kante said before the international break that he felt like he was making breakthroughs with his squad and they were starting to sort of make progress which he expected them to do and since he's arrived and liverpool and city have earned more premier league points if you look at the expected goals process it's also up there just behind the top two and there's a graphic going around in the week about spurs being the top goal scorers in the premier league this calendar year as well and if you actually look at the numbers on individual players or harry kane he's having more touches um per game than under mauricio pochettino he's completing more passes in the final third and shooting more often as well so key players and key positions of thriving kudazki's made a difference sons re found his form benton core is dominating the midfield romero and dyer at the back as well who are looking like a great partnership and romero's just leading from leading by example really sort of a chess thumping center half who's he's quite happy to clatter anyone who comes near him so yeah i like spurs um i think ben 10 will really relish the opportunity to kind of shut down um coutinho and i think when coutinho gets shut down for a struggle really um i think we've seen that in recent matches and they put in some timid performances and tepid displays really in in defeats to wolves arsenal and west ham um a question you know i don't think they're on the beach i don't think steve and gerald would allow them to be but they are in mid-table obscurity so um i'm just surprised really villa's filler park form has been pretty poor actually they've only won five games in the league at home all season all of those came against teams in 10th or below now there's a 12-point gap between eighth and ninth so you could effectively kind of put the line there and say the bottom half begins at ninth and villa's record against the top half from eight and above reach one win one draw and eleven defeats including just one point at home from six uh defensively they've been conceding goals we've talked about it all season their vulnerability in the back particularly tyron ming's um but yeah i mean i think both teams to score as a runner therefore if you like spurs over two and a half goals as a runner spurs goal line is a runner too but um yeah i'm back in spurs uh to win but i'm going to take a little bit more insurance just because just because you know me flash just because the price allows it to as well um yeah it does i can back spurs minus a quarter and if the game does end in a draw i'm only losing half my stake and i think that's a really sort of fair angle to come in at so yeah pro spurs but just with a bit of insurance okay stinch i like spurs i mean i think the intensity that comes from their manager is going to get the job done here the problem we have with villa is their creativity from midfield and the what i love about spurs at the moment is the balance i mean even hoiberg all he's got to do is just get it give it because you don't want him he's not got no creativity but kurosevsky you've got son you've got players coming off the bench that can affect the game as well i see spurs at plus 125 it's probably one of the better bets i've seen maybe since christmas yeah either that or as you said spurs over 1.5 goals at plus 105 then you know you're not fussed whether they win the game or not stored 24 goals in the last eight matches that's three a game and they just look really good i think stylistically this might really suit them with aston villa as a attack-minded full-backs you think of lukadina and matty cash they both like to get forward quite a lot and you think with that spurs 3-4-3 the the wing-backs in doherty and last week was uh emerson they they are both very attack-minded and kante almost it forces them to get in that round of back posts in order to get on the end of crosses saw for dougherty's goal he got round the back post so for reggae owns goal he uh sort of emerson's goal that was from doherty and regular sorry emerson getting across his front man as almost like a striker so i think that could work in tottenham's favor they might really take advantage of this villa team as they push forward we know tyrone tyrone ming's is is a vulnerable a mistake waiting to happen i might add so yeah i think uh yeah tottenham minus a quarter mark's bet i think his mark is my preferred way to go here but uh yeah definitely look at tottenham over 1.5 goals as well the way harry kane and son are playing uh kulaszewski seems to have slided straight in there it could be any of those through scoring or assisting and we know there also it doesn't have to be a difficult chance because we know how good they are as as world-class finishers yeah and also they're dangerous from set pieces i've just added that as it goes i just put it on my sheet that i have just taken spurs over 1.5 even if it ends 2-2 now i'm not gonna lose because i've gone with spurs at plus 125 and i've gone with spurs team total over 1.5 at plus 105 so i just i'll win like uh a cup of coffee on on the game if it is a 2-2 draw um even if i lose at 3 2 i still win a cup of coffee so the official picks please uh in this game because we've got top of them which is pikm or 0.5 which basically means tottenham at minus 0.25 which means if tottenham do get beat then the pragmatist is only going to lose half of his stake for me it's just uncomplicated 125 for spurs who are chasing that top four and they're chasing their bitter rivals and i'm also going to go with spurs over 1.5 team total at plus 105. moving on to this next game because these are enigmas Leicester vs Crystal Palace you never know what you're getting from these two this is leicester versus crystal palace leicester plus 125 off the back of a really good draw last week away at man united we all wanted to be with leicester in some way shape or form um crystal palace demolished arsenal uh earlier in the week three nil uh plus 225 the draw is at plus 250. i think i cannot believe the goal line here stinch is not starting at three because over two and a half goals here is plus 100 you can easily see this being two one to either side and that's where we start yeah it's almost as if it's kind of priced up on how crystal palace played under hudson rather than how they play under patrick vieira very very good going forward and they still leave themselves a little bit of the door open at the back just three clean sheets in their 14 away games it should be worth mentioning nothing that leicester obviously in between european games so we saw what rogers did against arsenal he rested and rotated players but i still believe with the fact they've got a lot of their injuries back whoever starts an attack for leicester is is is a good player you know if it's ian nacho or daca if it's uh madison or lookman or harvey barnes or jose perez tielemans in midfield so i think i think there's enough enough in in leicester's uh second string if that's what it turns out to be but i wouldn't be back in leicester at this price at all it seems very similar to the newcastle wall games to me in terms of the price i think that leicester plus one 125 will definitely go off a lot bigger um so if you if you see if you see the teams uh and they come out and you see that leicester are rotating i would definitely be trying to try and get palace on side maybe palace plus a quarter or palace double chance uh but yeah you it's just overs for me all the way yeah leicester that you know they've only kept seven clean sheets in the in the last 43 games and that's going back to last season they conceded two or more goals in 15 of the last 24 matches um go to to the back end of last season their goals their matches are averaging 3.37 goals per game and here we're just asking there to be oh is there going to be over 2.5 so yeah palaces are above expectancy as well so nothing to be concerned there and the reverse fixture finished 2-2 as well so i can see something similar happening i think palace are in a great spot at the moment and we talk about teams down in tools they've got a semi-final against chelsea to look forward to so i think they want to continue their momentum yeah marco here everybody in the chat is like it's over two and a half for me don't complicate it's over two and a half uh i can see there's been two one two two three two and yet we're getting plus money over two and a half goals yeah i agree uh not a huge amount i can really add sort of stingers sets but uh you're scratching my head trying to work out why the why the price is plus 100. um leicester obviously a lot stronger on paper now than they were a couple of months ago with the return of evans and fifana castanera and justin as well but they still have only kept five premier league clean sheets this season and stinch mentioned it but they are going to be preoccupied with the conference league clash of psv on thursday and again next thursday too because european qualification won't come through the league and rogers has already kind of hinted without completely admitting it but that is now their main focus to win that competition get back into europe that way so yeah i wouldn't be too surprised if they did rest and rotate the team and you know evans and fawfana started at old trafford last week a big boost but that was the first time they started together since the fa cup final um for finals back from a long-term injury evans has been in and out of the team all season largely injured so wouldn't be too surprised if one of those kind of just was was rested after thursday um but you know they've still got quality up top and forward areas or skill score goals despite vardi being missing so yeah i mean palace i got spectacularly wrong back in august um been very good for the majority of the season and more recently they've they've kind of displayed an ability to turn these kind of promising performances actually into wins and they're now into the top half got the fa cup to look forward to as well so they're coming into this with real momentum very few key injuries as well so we'll expect them to make their mark here and the the premier league is averaging 2.79 goals per game the goal expectancy is at 265. both leicester and palace's goals per game averages are above that as well so kind of hard to work out why overs is plus 100 but um you know hopefully we're unless to do make a few changes i think that will obviously help us because there'll be players coming into the team particularly in forward areas keen to make an impression and and paris will obviously have more joy against a lesser defense than the fox's first uh back foot first choice back four i should say yeah games wide open wouldn't want to pick the winner do like goals but over two and a half is just massive at plus 100 you want to be a bit greedy which i know people in the chat may well be it's both teams to score and over as well the official picks leicester and crystal palace god it's gonna be like a basketball match um it's over two and a half plus 100 and for both of them they're both just gone give it to me and i bet you couldn't even believe it was plus 100 let's have a final game before you get yourselves ready for the questions and remember i always preempt where you're going to go with that norwich versus burnley norwich Norwich vs Burnley plus 180 burnley plus 165 off the back of a five goal thriller at home to everton they score three they pick up three points um the draw is at plus 210 i mean i cannot believe that the goal line is at two i think this just gonna get out of hand because norwich have to have to just play on the front foot and burnley they are desperate for points so stinch first of all have you gone under over the two which obviously you never go down the under but burnley on the back the feel good factor is off the charts i think this is a horrible game to try and call to be honest because i know obviously burnley got that three points and as you say they should be happy and excited but i think if anything that they'll probably revert to type here and look to go and do a professional job at norwich because i think everton with everton going ahead it forced bernie to to to attack and because of evidence terrible defense i think bernie knew they had a chance i think here burnley know that norwich have got a terrible attack so i think they can maybe you know not have to rush and try and get the result done they'll just keep things tight and and make sure they don't lose essentially burnley and look to try and get that one or two goals to see them through that's my opinion it could play out completely different as you say it could be that they do take the game to norwich um and how norwich is going to react it's last chance saloon for them isn't it like all the way down there so yeah i know the rule normally is to take overs with a two goal line but it's not when you have a defensive team like burnley involved for me so just uh giving this one a big complete swerve to be honest god i thought this could be like a three one three two i thought this could be another burnley everton marco there i just see burnley not getting beat and when i see pete uh the draw no bet which is basically burnley pick him at -115 i actually wrote burnley win this game at plus 165 then i saw the draw no bet as a little bit of an insurance policy i thought i'm not complicating this yeah i agree um they're bigger and stronger and more street wise and everything tells you that they don't get beat yeah i agree um i think norwich is seven points from survival but they're playing like a relegated team they're playing like they've resigned themselves to being relegated the fanbase certainly have and recent performances suggested the players potentially have as well dean smith as well after the game last week they are absolutely battered by brighton um considered 30 shots um somehow managed to escape with a goal of straw and even dean smith looks as if like he was a bit embarrassed to pick up a point from the game um 20 defeats from 30 six defeats from seven five clean sheets all season they're averaging 0.6 goals per game which is pretty wretched stuff really and they've just not been good enough in the games against their fellow strugglers really and quite frankly they've just been a long way off the required standards in both boxes for the majority of the season so yeah norwich for me are down they've still got to play spurs in west ham at home they've got trips to united villa and leicester and wolves as well as well so difficult to see them escaping now and you kind of compare and contrast it with the mood around burnley after wednesday night who i thought showed tremendous character but also were proactive in the way in which certain about their business scored early then considered two really soft penalties i thought it was really unfortunate but still had the the balls to basically turn things around and and turn the tide and you know they're a resilient bunch we know that they have been throughout their campaigns and they know how to pick up points they know how to stay in games uh i think that's evidenced by the fact they've only lost 13 premier league games all season which might sound a lot losing 13 games but compare it with others walls have lost 12 villa and brentford have lost 16 spurs in west ham who are chasing top four have lost 10 games and so to burnley to only lose 13 is it's quite a reasonable tally all things considered particularly the fact that they're in the bottom three so yeah there's not a huge amount of data or science behind this selection just similar to you flash i just thought you're a doomed team playing against a real battling burnley team who arrive in a good headspace ready to do business and i think the pickum is a nice way in yeah it is let's have a little look at the official pits because i'm not complicating this i can't to have the home side go and win then good luck to them but i'm not having any of my money on them uh burnley draw no bet uh minus 115 for myself and the award-winning owner um now let's uh take you back to the beginning before we do the q a because i know that you're going to want to talk about man city and liverpool so and i don't want to spend all week on that game because we didn't find an edge but we are america's favorite sportsbook so we'd like to invite you to subscribe also we'd like you to ring the bell and that means you're not going to miss any content again and that's right across the board especially on the bet us soccer channel and if you are on social media you are on twitter and you're not following the at bet us soccer page then why not because that's where we put our updated uh picks after we've seen team news all we back out so make sure that you that you are there that's part of the family okay Q&A the q a is obviously all about man city liverpool as i said i don't want to spend all day i didn't find an edge i didn't because obviously both of them are involved in champions league games next week neither of them going to have could be able to play weak and sides mark o'hare why did you leave it alone just two really well mashed teams and if i had to have a bet i'd be looking at the draw i think it's the biggest price of the three by a long way and i think it's a real live runner i think both teams would be happy to take a point before the game the stakes are so high and now both normally play on the front foot and are quite proactive but i do think there's a fear factor going into these kind of games and you know we can sometimes overhype them because there's so much at stake but also there's a fact from from a coaching perspective if the game's in the balance of half an hour to play you might always want to shut up shop and see the game out and see how you go in the last seven games but yeah i did think there was a slight edge towards liverpool um i know sting disagrees but i think the market suggests city are quite comfortably the better team or not comfortably but are the better team where actually i think the two team two teams are very very similarly rated in my book anyway so i think city are slightly too short but what's fascinating really going into this game which kind of is why i was thinking the draw is since 2018 19 liverpool have accumulated 337 premier league points in the same period man city have accumulated 338 so there's one point between them since 2018 19 which is incredible really it just kind of shows how closely tied these two teams are really so i think the draw's a big runner but i was quite happy to sit out and just try and enjoy the game that's the one or get yourselves a prop stinch why have you left it alone or if you haven't left it alone what are you going to go with yeah i don't think there's too many arguments that the odds are wrong i think we spoke off air this the biggest game in uh in english football biggest game in european football i would say nowadays um all the eyes on it there's no there's no secrets between either teams and as you rightly put that therefore it's hard to find an edge but i did have a quick look at the uh the corner props just because i know i haven't watched city a lot this season and looked at the the stats they don't concede many corners when they play at home in fact on average then you can see two corners and liverpool very similar on their travels as well they only concede three corners so i thought a very very juicy price considering it's one uh in one of the meetings previously when there's just three corners and in other matches there was just seven seven and six you can back under six corners a very juicy plus 1200 so i'm gonna have a half a unit on that and what could potentially be a chess match excellent great timing because idris has just typed liverpool man city over ten and a half corners address listen to the experts okay jack simpson says everton man united just quickly everton man united what type of score mark i don't want uh war and peace jesus um i don't wanna back either team they're both horrendous in a minute so uh probably goals everything can't defend and then they have to play on the front foot and united you just don't know what you're going to get from them exactly both teams to score leave it uh stinch you can take the the last one and i think the last one was watford versus leeds watford have shown spirit leads you don't know what you're gonna get now give me a score line or an angle but again no war and peace please okay watford i got a terrible manager roy hudson is too negative for his own good leads have got a very tap-minded evolving coach in jessie marsh so leads to win uh 2-1 okay let's have a little look at all the official picks and remember i've added and also marco has changed so when we look at these official picks um there is another yellow there Premier League Best Bets and the other yellow is wolves double chance at minus 150. we're at newcastle on the friday night minus 150 that's 66 percent profit i'll take that every day and for mark it says arsenal minus one at plus 105. he's jumped off that because party and tier tna are injured he's going with arsenal to win and under four and a half at minus 140 i've also added their spurs over 1.5 team total at plus one five stinger's been on great run he's gone chelsea minus 120 just because the price should be -185 leicester and palace for both my experts plus 100 i think everyone everyone believes that that should be around minus 115 so you are ahead of the game so from uh from a team that are on the up we're back to near enough parity this could well be the week that we go forth uh mark o'hare have a great weekend stinch continue with your winners from everyone in the chat and from bet us you take care you

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