La Liga Picks Matchday 28 | La Liga Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

La Liga Picks Matchday 28 is hosted by ex-premier league soccer player gordon flash watson subscribe hit that bell button and never miss a show bet us where the game begins [Music] welcome to bet us i'm flash it's la liga it's matchday 28. settle yourselves in we could be here a while it's very very unlike the la liga show but we have actually eight games to cover and not just one pick in each of them eight games we might have two or three picks in each game now first of all we are america's favorite sports book so please subscribe get us closer to 5 000. what a great number that would be by the end of the season um everything's going great so ring the bell ring the bell means you'll never miss any content again we have a new channel for golf and for horse racing and for tennis so that's grand slams majors and triple crown all taken care of settle yourself in also this is a big one now though because we've got a new bet us soccer twitter handle and it is exactly what it says on the tin bet us soccer get yourselves in there um if you was already on there then congratulations because you're already picking up winners because there will be winners posted just straight to twitter so only twitter will get certain ones and in play that is your home uh i've got a welcome back roman because he is from la liga lowdown here's barcelona through and through so he's on a massive high at the moment but more importantly he came through unscathed with paco using his money that he has been paco tried his best but he got a plus 220 and then tried to go with a plus 550 but roman welcome back and you made 20 cents well i mean uh every everything counts so good job on paco i was worried when i saw that levante plus 500 i thought it was going all the way there you're thinking because you watch the show because you're a fan like anybody else was you like what you do yeah yeah i was i was pretty like paco but i mean he's he is a levante fan and he knows the team also i thought if paco believes this it must be that there's some kind of confidence there in levante and we might be to something but in the end unfortunately it wasn't the case and athletic uh wore the better side overall but now they weren't even close though it weren't even close it's never garbage let's call it as it is i guess it's as close as they could have gone i had paco i had paco like messaging us going and um there were three of us and he's like oh morale morales has gone off it'll sit now i'm thinking we should be five down backhoe five down uh pavlos we always have good fun but we are starting to pick up a few winners personally myself went home for last week but when you've been having the run i'm having i'm hoping that that's it out of the way yeah yeah i i think this this week is a much better week to make predictions uh but yeah i'll let us all down last week and um i i don't do we have any plays on vrl i mean there's too many plays i think we do have so yeah um it was a weird week but i think this week is going to be way way better i think there's a lot of more opportunities to take advantage and um let's uh dive right into it okay get yourselves in the chat there will be a q a at the end god knows what you're going to mention because we've we're going to cover all the games so let's have a little look at the records because this is a great record i'm so proud of this um obviously the legal lowdown at 6.2 that point two is from paco um and the La Liga Betting Record total 20.88 look at that that's the only record i know throughout the whole of bet us where every single person or parlay are in profit twenty point eight eight a hundred dollars two thousand dollars of profit pays for christmas and maybe a little flight somewhere as well okay let's crack on because i need to get through these eight games and we're going to start off with atletico madrid Atletico vs Cadiz versus cadiz atletico minus 325 it's a home win now let's find the value cadiz at plus 1200 let's flick back up to the minus one and a half at plus 100 i don't want to look any further than that roman welcome back atletico minus one and a half they beat cadiz by two i mean yeah it seems very likely atletico should win this game i think they finally found some momentum because let's not forget atletico have been very very poor during most part of the season but now finally they've gone into some good dynamic where they're getting good results they're starting to add up those points and now they're properly fighting for those champions league positions with betis and barcelona and honestly they should win at home um kalis on the other hand to be fair they've had a good streak where they haven't lost i think in the last four or five games most of them draws but they did get to win in the last game and it was actually their first win at home this season after 27 games that they've played in la liga this season i mean they finally managed that home win which is definitely going to be a good boost of confidence with sergio uh as a manager since he came on i think the team has looked better and they're still fighting for uh to avoid relegation at least so they still have to you know push hard and they're gonna try and get points out of these games although atletico mighty of course they're the better side but they also have lots of setbacks lots of injuries constantly letico madrid they're really struggling in that sense this season uh they lost angel correa the other day who's been one of their best strikers uh this season with a knock in in the ankle he might be available but it's unlikely he'll play as a starter so probably in griezmann andrea felix who's now on fire is going to start he's looking really really good finally it seems like that player they paid a hundred and so on a million euros for is starting to shine and other players like hermoso condobia are injured which is a bit of a problem so there's not much rotation there but there's still a proper good eleven for a chelsea minion to take it home yeah you say that's a bit of a problem i think that's where the positives lie because all of a sudden they haven't got the front screens so they know they're not guaranteed to keep clean sheets so they need to go and score twice they score twice here they win the game i see this being three nil three one could even be four pavlos yeah four is actually a good number because uh they actually destroyed them by four to one in the reverse fixture and last season uh they also they beat them by four to nil and four to two respectively and uh when you look at um how kadith have played overall the season and especially on the road i definitely see atletico madrid scoring multiple goals against them um they have the second worst xga allowing 1.67 per game uh third worst xj on the road allowing 1.87 per game uh so um this um atletico offense is going to have a probably going to have a field day against this bad bad defense um cuddle mediocre on the road three wins six loss in four draws uh but they have an excuse my language they have taken some ballsy uh you know points on the road uh like draws at betis via allen and real madrid and they they bit bilbao and filter uh filter is just uh you know i'm just mentioning it they're another and then madrid apart from madrid the other teams weren't informed though and kids were parking the bus and nicking something now now teams are like no we're not allowing you to do that yeah yeah and um you know atletico madrid for some reason uh their defense is working just a bit better lately uh however they've kept just eight clean seats in 27 matches that's just 30 of their matches which is really bad if you consider that uh this is this has been one of the most uh you know one of the best defenses uh in the la liga for for for many years and even if you look at their xga numbers uh which uh you know have to to say about their defense they still have the best xga the best actually at home so um um i mean this is a match where i would seriously be surprised if uh they didn't win and they didn't win by much yeah i like half time full time atletico madrid i like atletico madrid win both halves i like well obviously you're not going to get rich but i'd like to go win to nil uh cat is a minus 150 to score minus 12 so one minus 150 not to score so i mean listen this is like the opposite because normally you get minus 150 to score they're getting -150 not to score so for me it's the home side and this is where this is a typical offense is the best form of defense and since he's took the shackles off through personnel changes through forced injuries then i think that atletico have found something and they look strong let's have a little look at the official picks because i tell you what atletico minus 1.5 to win by two goals plus 100 it was so close for me to be a banker let's uh let's move on if you have got something you want to say get yourselves in the chat um next game is uh Levante vs Espanyol where's paco uh levante versus espanol avente were absolutely dire away atletico bilbao last week never raised the gallop and scored only an individual consolation but they're now back at home against decent opposition it's levante at plus 125 espanol plus 215 tells you that it's going to be a close game the under over two and a half goals in the game and the over being favored at minus one one five now let me tell you this yesterday just yesterday the line was two and it was also minus one one five so that tells you that everyone from every man and his dog have piled in on the over it's over two and a half now at minus one one five normally when you have a move like that it would go from over two minus one one five so over two and a half have maybe plus one hundred no they've took the goal a lot up half and they've left the price the same draw at plus 255 pavlos i see goals here because i think both teams think they can win it yeah and the way that uh espanol been playing lately uh i definitely see goals even from both sides uh they espanol they have the third most matches with both teams to score they're 16 and nine and their fourth they have the fourth most away matches with both both teams to score eight and five uh they did keep a clean seat against hitapha uh in their last match but it was just a terrible match uh for espanol i mean they only had one certain target and uh they somehow scored twice because you know hit after they scored an own goal so that was their first clean seat in the last 15 matches and uh 13 of those also had both teams to score uh they've kept just one clean sheet away from home this season uh both teams score is eight and five overall and five and nil uh and eight nil if you count uh a couple of rematches so they just can't keep clean seats uh on the road and levante you know they're not the best defensive team out there so um i definitely see uh you know a match for espanol actually are sitting at the middle of the table kind of comfortable right now eight points above the red line while levante they're just dying for points sitting dead last uh with 18 points already six points uh below the red line so they they have to start winning and they have to start winning now so um this is a match where levanta will go up uh you know all out uh in order to get the win espanol surely can hurt them uh they they've been scoring consistently lately but they don't get a lot of points so i think this match starts at 1-1 uh but possibly quite possibly levante will take advantage of uh you know espanol's inability to keep clean seats on the road so uh i believe this is a mature you can take the over here you can take certainly some kind of over here but um i'm more like a i like more of a combo here like espana levante not to lose in some type of over okay so like a like a 2-1 brings in a 2-2 as well roman last week i was very shocked with the way that levant festival obviously paco put the indian sign on him but i've known levante just to go like a basketball match and it wasn't like obviously at neil they had two great opportunities or to opportunities that gave them the chance to score but they played in a solid deep formation at the back and i felt that that never worked because i thought it came about i let it club they went through them like a knife through butter yeah i mean i i guess it has a bit to do with the fact that there's been a few manager changes and then i guess um he hasn't got the same mentality previous manager paco had which was always you know to go forward and try and get those goals and that's why you get those massive score lines and those lemante games uh but of course i guess taking to canada levante came from three really good results they had two wins and one during the last three before that game against athletic club so i probably wanted to stay on track maybe go for the draw and find that winning some counter attack but in the end it didn't work out for them but here at home i think it's gonna be a bit different um they they're gonna have to win now because i mean that defeat was was harsh for them they needed to get points and now they still need points desperately and espanol we know that away from home are if not the worst one of the worst sides in la liga the season only one win away only seven points in total away from uh stadium and they really really struggle and now to make matters worse espanol are not as good as a whole even at home they're not as solid as they were at the beginning of the season and i think there's a good opportunity that levante could snatch something but despite if you believe that levante can win or espanol can win i think as you guys have been saying goals is probably the way to go because i think we will see uh three goals at least two three goals at least uh in this match yeah i wrote i actually my my bet was actually over two thinking i was like cheating i was getting like the edge but they moved it on me and then i had to take the two and a half because i still believe there'd be three goals i actually wrote levante free espanol one but happy with two one happy with three nil and espanol if they want to turn up and put on an absolute master class and they can win three nil as well let's have a look at the official picks because as pavlos says he's comboed it and uh romans got involved as well levante or chai it says so that's basically levante double chance and over 1.5 so that means brings in the uh the 2-2 or the 1-1 draw and that's at minus 135. for me it's just over two-and-a-half goals at minus 115 and levante team total over 1.5 at plus 110 i see them scoring twice i see them winning the game so you won't put you off the money line at plus 125 for a team that's absolutely desperado for points not really a performance uh let's move on because this side oh me they owe me and i didn't want to go near them this week um villarreal versus celta Villarreal vs Celta Vigo vigo villarreal minus 150 could be a parlay piece minus one is that plus one twenty set of ego who knows what you're gonna get other than they're gonna keep going they will score goals they very rarely have a duck egg next to their name but they're at plus four one five the draw is also a plus four one five the under over is at two and a half with minus 120 being on the over roman villarreal 74 possession last week didn't score didn't get a draw and got beat against the side who just robbed them yeah i mean this can happen sometimes and that's one of the reasons also i i haven't really gone for this game uh because i i'm not really sure what's going to go on with birell in this next match because let's not forget uh champions league is coming right after against juventus and that's a crucial game for them and they have an opportunity uh to actually qualify so of course they're gonna really focus on that too and remember last time we talked about this celta via real game we thought we were going to be lots of goals we thought it was going to be a goldfest because it usually tends to be and in the end it was just a dull 1-1 draw and i think all of us lost something on that game and that's why i'm not really sure now i want to keep trusting them uh the good news is that it seems like gerard moreno is approaching another recovery because he keeps getting injured and injured and injured but now again they want him ready for juventus so i don't think he's going to start but he might get a few minutes at the end uh before that game against juventus because they know how important it would be to have him there playing that champions league game and also it's very unfortunate that they lost alberto moreno with a knee injury he's going to be out for the rest of the season i think he was doing really well he was being really important for them especially going forward and also well we know the other uh setbacks like fourth etcetera which aren't as important but overall i think yeah i'll have the quality they have the team to win but celta league on the other hand have been doing quite well too of late so they're going to be dangerous and yeah after that osasuna result where they deserve maybe more than than the zero points they got i just can't really trust them at the moment taken to canada said that the championship is coming right after so i'll just pass for this now for now pavlos is it villarreal uh an absolute disgrace prior to the champions league or straight after uh they they usually do not very badly uh prior to the champions league but after after their champions league matches um they kind of struggle i mean um after the match against young boys they they just bit hit after by one to nil after their match against the monster united they lost at home to barcelona um so the i'm not just i know what i'm getting myself into with this mods okay because uh we have vreal with everything you guys just said and then you have delta who are just a mix bag of you know uh surprises you never know what you're gonna get with this zelda side but um the way the reason that i'm convinced uh about my pick here is the fact that matches between the two sides in this venue they usually have a lot of goals so it's of the last seven matches between the two sides in this venue uh have easily gone over two and a half goals and six of those also had over three and a half goals um moreover uh felt a vigo they've scored 10 goals in their last three trips to this venue they scored four last year and then three goals each of the previous two seasons um and they did consider they didn't keep any clean seats so um but you know as you guys said they're kind of distracted right now because they have uh the upcoming second leg of the champions league and uh delta vega can seriously hurt them here um again i know that delta are one of the most controversial controversial teams out there but um i'm just i feel that this is much where it's gonna have a lot of goals especially with vrl being kind of shaky defensively lately uh no clean sits in the last five and uh in the last four sorry uh and it's not like they played in a good opposition they played espanol they played grand lava so they considered against azuna and tel tavigo again they can remain scoreless against i don't know kadith but they did score twice against sophia they scored twice against uh real madrid on the road uh they beat betis by two to nil on the road so um i believe that they the combination of the history between the two sides and uh vr's instructions um i i'm i'm willing to take the risk and go with uh the over here just to straight over because the other thing with celta vigo that people may not know is even if they were four nil down they would still keep going and maybe get beat four too i mean last week aspas scored in the 97th minute for a seven goal thriller they were like free all with major it was like you shoot we shoot don't furry and i was i was expecting set of ego players to actually cheer when majorca scored it was like crazy the invitations that they were throwing they don't really want to be throwing these invitations to villarreal but also i'm wondering if that all the value is actually with self-ego with a little 2-1 or they get something out of the game so maybe a self-ego double chance um let's have a little look at the official picks because the yellow submarine are playing uva next week and i expect more than one eye to be on that game over two and a half goals minus 120 any one of these two could win it could be a 2-2 draw so let's cheer on pavlos could be a three-nil uh win just as easily yeah exactly that's why you've not gone both teams to score and the over um next game is one of them games where you get complete jekyll and hyde from two different sides because santa fe love Getafe vs Valencia playing at home they've really started to turn it around and they're at plus 135 but they're playing against the valencia side who are past 235 now if they were at home then they would be at minus against uh cafe the draw is at 2 15. remember what we say the draw anytime it's near 200 it's close to being a draw before they play but look at the oh two goals i think could score twice on their own and that's at plus 165. um pavlos are your numbers telling you that two is almost a given yeah yeah valencia they've actually the numbers say it but i personally didn't want to get involved and i'll let you know why uh i looked at the numbers valencia they really bad xga numbers seventh worst uh ninth worst xg on the road uh they have the fourth worst overall difference with four to three considered goals and the fourth worst away difference with 25 consecutive goals and but uh we also talked about this uh in the previous couple of previous shows uh that uh they've they've been missing uh you know a lot of their defenders for pretty much the entire season and now most of them are back but now i see uh that their backup goalkeeper is uh is injured so i'm not sure who's gonna start with silicon out so um but i i do believe that valencia could maybe um you know be better defensively uh lately and the hitachi they also have a pretty solid difference uh sixth best best xga allowing one point three for per game uh sixth best difference with 32 considered goals fifth best home difference with 13 credit goals not very good offensive numbers uh third worst offense with 26 goals six worst home office with 19 goals but um valencia they've been on a really good run three straight wins um uh they're they they uh you know their offense was on display on the uh three one um uh you know win over granada last week of course they scored all three goals in the second half uh it actually ruined my bet because i had valencia another three and a half goals so we had like four goals in a 14 minute span or something um this is a match where i personally don't want to get involved because there's a very good difference in ketafe and a very bad defense in valencia but valencia also have a very very good offense uh six best overall with 41 goals fifth best away offense with nine in the goals so uh yeah the over two looks like like a like a present like a gift uh but um yeah i personally i already had too many plays today so uh i'll let you guys have some fun and i wish you the best of luck with this over roman i like both teams to score it over i couldn't tell you who's definitely going to get the second goal uh on a team total but her tafe to score twice he's at plus 165 but valencia i think valencia should be have a team total one and a half and they're only setting it a half um surely we don't see the the predictable neil neill one nil do we i don't think so i think we're going to see goals and um let's not forget that since 2019 where when both of these teams played in the copa ray uh there's kind of a rivalry that's appeared between valencia and so every time these two teams play there's it's quite heated it's a lot of intensity we're very likely to see lots of yellow cards and more more interesting now is that uh borderlands who was the manager of getafe when all that happened now is on the other side and the same goes with their striker uradura who is also now starting for valencia so i think there's going to be a lot of interest on that end and both teams i think are going to go all out to try and get this to get the results of valencia i'm going to stay back and wait and see what happens i think uh borderlands as the next manager definitely wants to get some sort of maybe you could say some payback or whatever you want to say uh well you know payback because he still appreciates his club but gonna want to win against him for sure and prove to valencia know that he can still win these games against such teams and definitely i think we're gonna see goals here as you said over two i think is a very very appealing bet to go for because honestly shouldn't be a problem for them to score uh two one two two something like that you know and i as a matter of fact one of the some of the recent results of hitachi at home have been three nil wins against valencia so whether it comes from one team or the other i think goals are are bound to be there did we say hit f8 i want to add i want to add because obviously i've got plenty of units in hand and i'm doing okay at the moment everywhere else i want to add her tafe score twice in this game that plus 165 i just believe that they're going to score twice and i mean that even means it's very impossible yeah very possible because i mean valencia as paolos was saying have always had problems with defenders they have recovered paulista but at the same time they've lost their uh captain and fullback so i mean it's very likely that they concede goals in in different manners you know and i think if i do have the quality now uh to achieve at least a couple of goals but to be honest i don't know who's going to win it it's hard to predict if it's going to go balance if it's going to go there's there's gonna be a draw but i think the goals are quite uh reassured in this sense yeah i've added i've added i've come in head safe plus 165 to score twice um over one and i've got to do it because i i do i have actually wrote the game down to be 2-2 so i mean again if i get 2-2 then i've hit both bets so let's have a little look at the officials and obviously i'm adding the cafe over one and a half both of us are both on the same on the same page and it says over two there because that's uh that's just the gift that we're looking at and thinking okay how can it not be at two and a half but it's over two worst case scenario we get our money back for one one draw but well a last word on this match please each of the last four matches had red cards i'm just looking at the card stats right now that's insane 11 11 cards two red cards in the in the previous mods last season uh both matches had red cards and uh the one had nine cards the other one had uh like 12 cards or something i'm definitely betting on cards and red cards on this one it's a very heated match indeed i mean it's it's likely that we're going to see the same sort of nice situation that's fine okay i like that i like that and i'll probably uh i'll probably have a little look at that clip and make sure i go back and revisit as uh sometimes you have to watch these shows two or three times because there might be little snippets that bring you extra money okay let's move on because we've got rail valicano versus cevicia and it's Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla ray of alecano at plus 250 sevilla plus 125 trap or gift uh draw at plus 220 both teams to score well velocano not to score a plus 140 sevilla are just workmen like at the moment getting the job done but they are in the middle of a europa league campaign uh roman reigns versus sevilla sevilla plus 125 a lot of people will just that will be that's good enough for them and it's good enough for me to be honest i i think that so we are going to going to get a good result here um let's not forget haven't won any single game so far in 2022. uh remember they were so good at home they were one of the best sides in europe and that's kind of completely uh gone now because after all the efforts in the copa del rey where they got to the semi-finals i think the team wasn't physically ready to withstand so many games after one after another and now they're really struggling and so i think it's been eight or nine games uh this year and they haven't one managed that win as i mentioned and also to make matters worse their best player this season for me which has been alba garcia he's suspended and also easy parathon another guy going forward who's been really really good he's also suspended so that's two key players in attack uh that this um i said yes right away are going to be missing and we can add to that falcao who's doubtful although to be honest he hasn't been great he's not as a threat as he used to be but it just complicates things a bit more for ray baikan in that sense where they have less options going forward and sevilla on the other hand they always have injuries they always have problems but somehow you know they're still a very very solid team and we saw it uh in that latest europa league game against west ham where i think sevilla were really good especially in that second half going forward they generated a lot of good chances and honestly i think this is a key game for them to not drop any more points because they have been a bit uh weak in the last few games and they have dropped a few points with those draws but i think they're going to get back on track in this one they over play roman they overplay can i look look at the numbers again big pavlos because when you look if this is like let's see this is a two this was two and a half i'd make it a banker because i don't see three goals in this game but instead of going with sevilla at plus 125 would we not just go with rayo vallicano not to score at plus 140 pavlos yeah i can see that happening uh actually i marked this uh this much as an under uh because these are two very very good defenses sevilla of course we know about it uh third best xga best next year on the road best difference overall by far the best away difference with just seven considered goals just insane um you know defensive uh you know prowess by this severe team but when you look at radio they they also have the sixth best difference with 32 concent goes and the second best home defense with nine considered goals and um as you guys said their offensive numbers have been uh they still have the seventh best xg and the sixth best xg at home uh but uh their actual offense is uh kind of bad uh it's it's regressed to like the fifth worst offense with 28 goals and seventh worst home offense with 20 goals and when you pair that up with sevilla's rock solid difference i definitely see uh you know sevilla keeping a clean sheet so vajcana not to score so uh yeah that there could be you know a lot of value in that uh under have a goal for radio yeah and the other thing you i'm glad you mentioned is because of all of these numbers for real velocano they are actually like um a wolf in sheep's clothing because a lot of their numbers were early running the season so they are regressing and that was a big word for me because obviously we jumped on belacano very early on but we that's what we've done best on this show of all my shows is that we've spotted when to get off a train get on a train get off a train and mario over carlo is not a train we want to be on but with the official picks romance happy to get on the sevilla train even though i mean listen ray o'neill severe two ray o'neil sevilla one that gives you plus 140 for rail not to score or severe at plus 125 money line don't complicate it okay i was really surprised that this next game uh was on to be honest because Real Sociedad vs Alaves the away side are tricky real sasha dad versus aloe vera is now real social at minus 25. yeah we think they're in the game so you say minus one is a free here at minus one one five aloe vera plus six fifty now they could go one they'll up and then in play you'd probably get social at plus one hundred to come back and win the game draw is at plus six fifty but the under over two and a half i was close to have lost to going with over two and a half goals at plus 105 and not worried about who wins yeah i was actually considering the over just a little bit uh you know a mix of uh the history between the two sides and uh the fact that both these teams they need points each for their own reasons uh real sociedad are currently sitting sixth in the la liga uh they dropped out of the cup uh they drove they dropped out of their europa but then they have betis barcelona atrajo they they're playing a lot of teams that are um really close to them in the standing so um if they don't win uh you know against allah they might you know that result might come back and bite them you know uh bite them um later in the season so um uh the way the reason that i took this is um the fact that the rails who said that they really really need a win here um with just 11 matches to finish the season um they just need to get all the points they can get and uh all of us who are sitting uh next to last in the in the league a couple of points below the red line i know that they're gonna be fighting for their lives but um uh realization that they've been really really hard to beat at home so far seven wins two losses for draws they all lost to vicarial and real madrid who were of course uh two very very strong sides um they also have by far the best home defense considering just six goals uh in 13 how much so far um and all of us uh they've they've been really really bad on the road just one win nine losses and three draws so far uh they considered two plus goals in seven of their nine away losses uh they've lost each of the last five by two goals or more and um last season realizes that they destroyed alabas by four to nil uh and they have now won four of the last five as hosts so there's uh there's that so i believe um as you like to say plus uh taking reality at least by my perspective uh minus one is a free hit uh maybe it's a piece maybe they win by one nil so uh i think it's a free hit i've wrote three one down roman wire aloe vera such a tricky old side because i always love to look at the underdogs and the away side on are they expected to score and it's basically it's just a coin flip and i know why are elevators the type of side they are because they can go one nil up and then that's it the other team just overpowers them sasha that by far the better side do we see three goals here because maybe we don't really care because associated might score free over two and our goals is plus 105. i mean that that's why i haven't uh decided to go for this game because honestly i don't know if it's going to be a three-nil if it's going to be a very tight one-nil win i don't know which way it's going to go i mean alabas as you said are very irregular in that sense they can suddenly score two goals as we saw in that draw against khetafe against katafe has been really good recently or get a nil nil draw even against sevilla last match day so that's why i i just don't know what to expect from from alabama's they have quality up front with joselu who is definitely one of our best spanish strikers we could say in la liga uh they have rioja there but of course just you look at their squad and it looks quite weak and and we saw that at the beginning of the season they were playing uh horrible football they were clearly the worst side i would say in la liga but then they changed manager they they got a bit better and now suddenly they have some good streaks where they get a few draws a few wins or something like that then they start losing again so they're very unpredictable in this sense and honestly i do think that real society should get a relatively comfortable win even though they've also been quite irregular uh recently where they haven't really they struggled a lot in the europa league they got battered in that second leg and after they managed to pick up in la liga although after getting battered again by real madrid at home so i mean also a team which hasn't found the stability they had a few months before but still at home against alabas they should win the fact is i just don't know how many goals we're going to see yeah let's have a look at the official picks because we all think that real sociedad so maybe over two and a half goals at plus 105 looks like a knocker but real social minus one at minus one one five as pavlos says roman and i agree it is a free hit let's move on to game number seven so roman i'll just Barcelona vs Osasuna come straight to you it's barcelona also sooner barcelona minus 290 tells you everything about barcelona at the moment but barcelona minus one and a half at minus 105 looks like something we could be interested in i'm not interested enough sooner plus 850 the draw is at plus 425 under over is set at free barcelona they can score three or four in a 20 minute burst roman have they got the squad have they got the belief and the energy to run on two campaigns to the best of their ability um i i honestly don't know because i have managed some really good results we saw it against for example where they managed to close them down and they got a nil-nil draw this season uh they're a team which uh usually in against strong teams finds that extra motivation to to perform as we saw it again uh against the bial but also i'm a bit more worried about bars in the sense i do think they're gonna win but uh they've had really good results of late and i'm a bit septic in that sense because i don't think they're gonna keep winning non-stop but now as a matter of fact as we speak they're playing against galatasaray and they're struggling a bit to get that first goal so i mean assassin are definitely going to close down at the back they're going to try and shut down any spaces uh barcelona might want to exploit i'm going to try and find those counter attacks and it depends on um how much energy barca has for this game it's true that there's been some rotations in that galatasaray game which maybe uh could benefit some players to rest and start fresh against osasuna so overall i do think barca should win this game but i've been betting too much on barsa recently i want to give it a break you know and not push too far on my own team yeah but you've been picking up which is a good one pavlos is this like a little maybe two one two nil type of game so don't go mad yeah yeah i believe so um you know also they do have uh the fourth or sec sixth best away record with six wins uh five losses and two draws and on the back of a clean sheet last week against villarreal yeah but uh it could have been like a lucky clean sheet maybe vl they weren't they were kind of distracted maybe i don't know what happened there uh it was just a weird match with when you have like uh three-fourths of ball position and then you lose by one to nil it's just just a weird result and um also soon on the road they they do have a you know a strong streak a strong uh you know away record but um they in their losses they didn't even score so he also said that one to nil felt away two to nil uh they even lost to hirona in the in the capitol ray then hitafe one two nil atletico madrid one two nil sevilla two to nil so whenever they don't actually whenever they score they win whenever they don't score they either lose badly uh actually not badly they lose uh or it's a draw and uh when you look at their over under stats uh on the road um over under three and a half goals they're 11 and two with just 2.1 goals for maths and um well with barcelona i think barcelona uh um you know it's not what i think it's what uh is actually there they have a tough schedule coming up this much sandwich in between you know the the two europa league matches and then after that they have uh sevilla and uh real madrid so um they're probably gonna come back down to earth you know at some point they can't score three and four goals in every match so um i believe this is much more they'll slow down a bit uh because also sooner they're very solid defensively on the road they i think no team has scored three goals on them on the road uh even their losses they're very slim losses like one nil two nil something like that so uh i wouldn't be surprised if zazuna didn't score i think as soon as not the score is uh uh is at a healthy price yeah exactly because they their difference hasn't been uh i mean they did keep a clean sheet against bilbao in their last home match but uh before that i have to go like really really deep to see which was the last time they kept a clean sheet so um i initially thought about taking barcelona to win to nil which was at uh i think plus 150 160 or something uh but then i i eventually switched my pick just a little bit to cover you know if osasuna somehow scored a goal uh maybe then barcelona could still win and uh we get a winner as well um you know like um a winner on our play so i believe this is a much like a two nil one nil maybe two one tops i just don't see a lot of goals here but barcelona should probably slow down at some point yeah i like the fact that barcelona controlled the game also soon i said deep they're not gonna make i i yeah i've gone 2-1 but it's just it's just one of those uh you have to do a combination let's have a look at the official bits because barcelona are on such a role they've got to make sure they continue to win in every game they play now everyone is a cup fine i know it's a cliche but it happens to be true barcelona to win and under three and a half is that minus 125. so let's get into the last game it's game number eight and it's for the champions elect who travel away to the holiday island the party island of new Mallorca vs Real Madrid york new york versus real madrid could be an upset here majorca plus 500 real madrid minus 180 real madrid minus one at plus 110 which means you're getting plus one minus 110 for majorca plus one i can see mjorka not getting beat here by two goals so that's almost like a free hit uh plus 330 on the draw the total is it two and a half milker fresh off of scoring free against um their trip to celta vigo i've lost i'm going to come to you because new yorker plus 500 that's going to be draw no bet is going to be what plus 300 quite possibly um this is a match where you know real madrid they did a a a spectacular job against uh psg and uh sometimes um these type of situations you know they they they can be tricky because either the players are you know they remain very focused and then they keep on grinding and sometimes the players get distracted by such a huge win and a huge you know qualification to the next round of the champions league so uh but i believe that ancelotti is a very um he's a very you know serious guy a very good coach so i believe he he'll keep them you know down to earth and um but majorca yes they've uh they have a couple they have like four losses at home this season and uh none of them has been by a huge margin they they have they lost the associated by two to nil they lost to valencia by one meal they lost by to barcelona by one to deal and then uh it was asuna by a three to two so they don't get destroyed they they play solid difference they uh they haven't considered multiple goals in a lot of gold in a lot of matches i think just have just a couple of them so um yeah real madrid on the road um they haven't been really good uh they have one win two losses and three draws in the last six in all competitions and um under two and a half is five and one in that span in the last six away matches actually under one and a half so uh their last six matches uh five of those had just one goal or no goals at all so um yeah this is much maybe we shouldn't expect a lot of goals uh but we have to keep you know keep in mind that uh real madrid they just destroyed majorca by six to one of course in the uh you know at home uh but yeah majorca they stay competitive uh in most of their matches they they don't get blown out easily and of course if if there's one thing that they can you know blow them out is real madrid um but i believe that since majorca you know they're just two points above the relegation zone uh they don't want to risk too much here because they know that real madrid can really destroy you if they can score three goals against this psg defense they can score maybe five six or seven on you uh if you're not careful so i believe this is a much more major could try to play it safe possibly with a lot of fouls a lot of cards uh but yeah maybe real madrid would not buy a big margin but you know just maybe two one something like that roman forget your numbers forget your x xg's your igs and all your g's what personnel we're going to be on the pitch that's what i want to know because that is a massive game that happened midweek that's going to take a lot out of them they cannot so when you have that type of game and then you go and play another game especially when i get a wayside with majorca where desperation levels are high but you need to we don't really need to keep winning neither you're allowed to have an off date oh is he going to rotate and who's gonna come in for who well um the good thing is that uh real madrid's gonna get an extra day to rest because they're gonna play on monday which is very unusual so in that sense i think that's a great positive uh for ancelotti he'll have his players a bit more rested than usual so i don't expect too many changes to be honest maybe molly and close one of them or both could rest because cross came from an injury recently and moderates in the end he's i think is 35 36 or something so they have an age say they need to rest now and then but uh let's not forget that after that during the week there's gonna be no champions league game for them so they're gonna have the whole week to rest again so i mean uh madrid wanna close this title as soon as possible and i think winning at mallorca is a must for them you know uh the quality the team has even if there are some rotations i think is is good enough to to to beat uh majorca honestly majorca have had some decent results at home now and then they did score three the other day but still i think there's no match for real madrid uh but i do agree with you guys in the sense that it should be a tight win maybe not a four-nil but more like 2-1 a 3-1 maybe even a one-nil we don't know uh but i do think that madrid at the end of the day are going to get the job done so i was surprised to see that money line from madrid being at that price because honestly i think uh they are the clear clear favorites to win this game even though they put that effort the other day in the champions league game against psg i still think they're they're going to come out with with that motivation to to keep on winning and keep on uh fighting for this la liga title yeah not for me a hundred percent not for me but again obviously now i have to cheer you on roman and it's always strange when a barcelona man like you because your middle name is roman barcelona that you're even going anywhere near real madrid yeah because if i lose the bet it means that uh madrid lost so i mean the win wins the old double hits okay let's have a little look at the official piece because i've been going to the holiday island you're not going there to pick up three points you're going at a party uh it's madrid to win and over 1.5 at minus 110 don't see three goals in the game maybe a 2-1 or it's a horrible game but i left it well alone now it is time for the q a before the official picks and by the way the official picks looks like the magna carta because we've just got picked absolutely everywhere we look but let me take you back and ask you to subscribe and join the uh the train that's getting us closer to 5 000 subscribers ring the bell means you never miss any content again and that will include the other channels especially the new one with golf tennis and horse racing so that's grand slams that's the majors and it's the triple crown all covered i'll be there for you that may obviously sway you a little bit um either way but the big one for us here on the bet us soccer channel is that if you're on social media you go to twitter and you follow at bet us soccer they'll be live in plays there'll be pics on there that are not actually on some of these channels so we will make sure that we interact with you and you can ask me questions and i will get them all no problem at all there is one question from uh cisco and he's asking about the batiste game Q&A why do we leave betsy's and atletico why did we leave it alone and myself and roman we think that batiste's bubbles burst we think that they've run out of gas they cannot fight or not on every uh front but pavlos you add your money out and put it back in your pocket yeah exactly i was looking at some type of draw or bilbao and over something or under something i just i just feel i actually told you in the show about uh what was it like a month ago i told you guys that uh betty's have a really really tough schedule they play like uh they're gonna play like every three days for the next couple of months or so so there's a there's gonna be a point no matter how deep the roster is where they're gonna just uh not implode uh all over but uh you know uh they're gonna have a tough time and uh we've seen that they're now winners witness in their last five uh there is just something wrong uh going on with betis which is actually pretty natural because you can't play three matches you know a match every three days no matter how deep your roster is if you if even if you're um i don't know maybe city could do that monster city but betis uh they just can't do that and when you're competing in three uh competitions at this point in the season then you're very very distracted you don't know which one you want do you want to do well in the capital raid do you want to go deep in the europa league and win it possibly do you wanna uh you don't wanna fall back you know because the betis were at some point second uh um i believe in the uh la liga maybe i don't know a couple of months ago but now they're falling and uh they're fifth right now and uh if they keep falling they might not get uh you know a champions or europa league ticket for next season so maybe they'll go for for that europa league who knows but again they lost at home to to frankfurt and the first leg so it's just uh it's not out of the blue uh but this you know that uh poor form that they're in it's not out of the blue we predicted it uh like months ago so we stayed away yeah exactly yeah that killed me uh uh midweek i saw too many uh red alert signs like staying clear i've heard me money from him why would i want to give it back you didn't keep going on winning a bit like you roman winning with your barcelonas but you don't want to be giving any of it back let's have a little look at the official picks and remember there is one to add there and it is a tafe uh team La Liga Best Bets total over 1.5 at plus 165. uh roman you've gone sort of cautious you've gone like if you was a cricketer you'd be a bit of a straight battery uh pavlos i think to be fair the three of us have gone right down the same train of fall daryl turnover said anyone taking risk on cadiz my only risk is they score one because atletico score that's my only risk so listen from everyone at bet u.s remember we've got bundesliga tomorrow please uh continue to support us we've got champions league on monday europa league tuesday and then we do it all over again um roman good luck mate good to see you back thank you winners this week let's uh let's add to the plus 20 units that we have already given to the kids in the children's zone you take care [Music] you