La Liga Picks Matchday 16 | La Liga Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

La Liga Picks Matchday 16 european leagues covered weekly all matches previewed by the best betting experts predictions and match analysis hosted by ex-premier league soccer player gordon flasch watson subscribe hit that bell button and never miss a show bet us where the game begins [Music] this saturday in what is expected to be one of the most exciting soccer matches of the weekend rajano and espanol also meet in match day 16 and espanol is smelling the top six after a massive win against society it should be a terrific match between the two clubs from the upper side of the standings let's get to our experts who are ready to fill you in with the latest hots and of course their free picks welcome to bet u.s juana's diaz one of that is one is not just it's la liga matchday 16 and we are america's favorite sports book so please if you like this video and you enjoy it then please subscribe because we only need 105 more to get to 3 000 and then obviously when we get to 3 000. i see the eyes move yep we are growing an alarming rate so it's all about bet u.s soccer channel and you will never miss anything today it's la liga tomorrow be bundesliga champions league on monday and then we start again and we're only 11 months off of the world cup which we cannot wait in qatar and this will be your home for the world cup of 2022 my guests today are pavlos who goes through all the stats the numbers and make sure that they then attribute value to his picks and barcelona's lucky mascot in roman roman has been smiling and since he's been on here they've been on a hell of a run we got rid of paco paco was the jonah so if you ring the bell if you ring the bell it means that we'll notify you and you'll never miss any content again so sit back get your tea and your biscuit and write in the chat because remember this is your show so if you've got a tip a lien or a pick or a question then get it right in there and then i'll ask the boys we're gonna cover six games and there's some unbelievable value by the way this week because there's sides that have been underestimated and there's also some teams that have been i would say over is it such a word it's overestimated is that the right type of word romance no it's not going to roman not you pavlos i mean you can always overestimate i guess sometimes it seems like teams are doing too well but the reality is that any moment they could slip up you know and make mistakes so it's a possibility well it was it was a mad weekend because barcelona won real madrid won we had atletico madrid scoring four i mean halley's comet came around the last time they scored four so all of a sudden atletico thrown in the under two and a half goals right out of the window uh how was your weekend pavlos um it was great um i was two and one with my selection so we we hit the post in that over two in the um and the only goalless match actually in the bayer hit off a goal is draw but uh it was an excellent week i think we all made some great picks uh and looking forward to this week but there's a lot of value a lot of value there is a lot of value and then the value basically comes from maybe the big teams not keeping clean sheets in these games roman yes they can still win but the opposition know that they cannot lay down they've got to go and have a go definitely i mean the top teams are conceding goals and that's the fact you know so there's definitely a possibility that those defenses keep up with that uh i wouldn't say mediocre but not great level of what you'd expect from a top side and it's true that uh um ramadi didn't concede for example the day against athletic club in this midweek match but there were lots of good opportunities and and a goal could have come in any moment and we know that real madrid isn't having their best season in terms of defense same goes for atletico madrid same goes from barcelona same goes for practically all the sides at the top so i mean goals are definitely something to look into for this match day okay let's have a look at the records and when you look at the records i've got to take one off of uh pavlos because i actually gave him a loss when it was a La Liga Betting Record push so he's at minus 601 that means the total is at minus 1.57 which means that we are really a parity and we are ready to rock and roll look at la liga lowdown now plus 2.38 that's all down to roman paco comes in once uh once roman gets that up to about five or six paco will be back and they'll be having like three units on this and three units like just spending roman's money okay so we're doing okay and it's only at minus five seven not minus two point five seven apollo is still sitting there from i think the opening week and that plus one point six three let's kick on with our first game because this first game is nothing to do with sentiment it's nothing to do with having a personal opinion about the teams it's all about the numbers which is the way to go it's Granada vs Alaves Game Prediction granada versus alaves granada plus 155 aloe vera plus 210 and the draw at plus 210 anytime we see the number on the draw close to 200 you go blind the numbers are telling you but in this case the under and over two goals roman both of these can score i'm not seeing the under i think there is a minimum of two goals in here so the minus 125 is a must i mean of late these two sides are getting goals but at the same time they're two sides which aren't uh too reliable although alabas has proved late that they're doing really well despite that defeat against delta aviga where maybe they deserved a bit more it was a bit harsh on them and they're doing really well and granada are very unpredictable they get smashed by mali then they get a good draw away from home against atletico so it's it's hard to predict that's why for me in this case it's a tricky game because historically granada has a good game good results against alaves but at the moment i think alabasters are definitely uh at a better level and also granada have a lot a lot of injuries for this weekend and also a couple of players which are suspended so that's a bit worrying that means that the manager roberto moreno won't be able to put on the best 11 in this game which is a crucial game for them because i mean it's two sides that are possibly going to be fighting uh to avoid relegation right until the end so that's why for me in this case it's a tricky game but if i had to go somewhere i guess uh goals would be a good possibility because i do think both teams are scoring of late and they should keep that up yeah and this is another one in games pavlos that we like to say both teams fancy they turn up and they think they can win so uh plus 155 for the home side okay you're just getting home advantage there but plus 210 for the visitors tells you it's really i mean there you go it's a pickum draw no bet you know it's a pickle so i mean a lot of people are going to fancy the elevators at plus 210 but when the mark is you're just looking at two goals for a bush it seems like a free hit yeah it would seem like a free hit but as roman said they are uh granada are missing quite a few players and uh their numbers have been quite terrible this season and um now with the absence of um some of some key players i mean they're missing um one of their best uh defenders uh sanchez who is also their second scorer with just two goals which goes to show that uh what a terrible offense granada have uh they're also missing rosina who is first in assists with uh just three but still is one of their most creative players and there are also four more players i believe that are out in this match uh while all of us also have a crucial um absence with duarte who who is suspended and he he has played the second most minutes in the defense decision for all of us but uh yeah granada i can't understand why they are the favorites in this match especially with all these absences and with alaves playing some really good soccer lately and also this is a match where um it's actually a a six six-pointer meaning that both sides are expected to fight to avoid the relegation and if if one wins not only do they get three points but they also take three points from the other side so in my opinion these are weird uh odds on all of us and um i wouldn't blame anyone for picking a laves here on the pickum but yeah granada they have the second worst xg fifth worst dolphins second worst xg at home third worst home offense i mean they're really struggling uh offensively but their difference is also really bad they have the worst xga the third worst defense the worst xg at home and the third worst home defense uh while alaves they're not very flashy um they have the second worst offense in the league with just 11 goals uh the third worst away offense with just five goals but they've been playing much much better lately and um as you guys said maybe they would maybe they deserved at least a draw from that felt match last week so um yeah there could be goals here but maybe alaves are the one to score them and uh they should have uh probably the the upper hand regarding a result here yeah both seem to score on over there's another one because listen let's go from years gone by granada's um la liga status has all been down to their home form they have to win these home games no one likes to really go there they listen big small or or even in different sides go there they don't care they look to get free points now alavez you just give me all their numbers and they might as well jack it in as well if you go and buy them numbers but they've been playing with a bit of confidence and they're playing like we want to go forward and we want to score pablo yes oh yes uh yes i i thought you went to roman i was looking at the stats yeah getting getting uh the over here is definitely something to look at um but again i'm i'm really worried about uh granada's playmaking abilities and goal scoring abilities uh if anything this this could be like a zero two win for alaves but again all of us don't have a really uh good defense even though they have they actually have the fourth best away difference with just eight considered goals but uh they also have the fourth worst xga on the road with 1.69 per game which tells us that they allow a lot of uh scoring opportunities to their opponents um and maybe granada can get a shot or two here uh but this is a match where i'd rather stay very very away okay well listen i'm the only one that's actually got an official pick here and it's all to do with the numbers and nothing to do with personal opinion all my eyes it's over two goals minus 125. the average is like 2.6 in the league so why would i not take over two at minus 125. sorry mate don't you have to push the button yeah did you not see my hand then look it comes up look okay okay sorry i missed it i missed it i must have been looking elsewhere exactly exactly i was pressing it up on this okay let's move on to game number two because it's an absolute cracker it Sevilla vs Villarreal Game Prediction doesn't matter who you support even the neutral love this game it's sevilla versus villarreal sevilla don't complicate it most would say against the villarreal side at plus 310 who need and have definite eyes on midweek coming up uh the draw at plus 255 do your numbers pavlos say goals and over because i was very shocked to see that over two and a half goals was plus 105. yeah well they do say that but um there are a couple of things that uh make me want to steer away from the uh complete over uh two and a half goals because sevilla are one of the best uh defenses in this league um they have the uh the best uh defense with just 11 considered goals second best xga with just 1.09 per game uh at home they've been equally good they have the sixth best xga at home allowing just 1.08 goals per month uh they have the fifth best home defense with six considered goals um they are missing they are still missing nsiri and jesus navas who are two of their possibly best players up front however raphael has been doing a really good job for this sevilla side since necessary went down he scored i think four goals and one assist in six or seven matches since and the city went down what worries me also is the fact that jesus navas is also out and has been out for quite a while now but that doesn't seem to bother sevilla all that much for what it's worth jesus navas was leading the team in expected assists with 4.01 and to put that into perspective the second best player in that side is marcos acuna with 1.83 so there's a huge gap in creating you know chances with jesus navas out uh now sevilla at home uh they did keep trickling seats uh but they were against osasuna espanol and rajo vallacano but they did concede a couple against alaves they considered three against levante one against valencia and also in the champions league they considered twice against lille once against salzburg they did keep a clean state against woolsberg but the germans are kind of struggling a little bit so yeah i do see sevilla considering here and let's take a look at vigreal who i have to say they did an amazing job in the cup in the copa del rey midweek they destroyed uh victoria which is just a minor side by eighth to nil the big news there is that gerard moreno is back he he was only used for 30 minutes he did score a goal and i have to just talk about his numbers from last season because this season he's only played five matches and uh there's not really much to look at but last season he was amazing in every every statistical category for um you know for players he led the team in scoring with 23 league goals uh while the second best scorer was alcatra with six so that's a huge gap he smashed the exit numbers with 19.53 while cather had 8.92 he was also first in expected assist with 7.81 while parejo was second with 5.41 so um this is a huge boost we've been expecting moreno to come back for the entire season i think this is going to be a huge boost for this vrl side uh vrs numbers haven't been very good on the road but that's mainly due to the um to the absence of gerard moreno um we are all have the ninth worst xga on the road but they have the third best away defense with seven considered goals uh they have the ninth worst xg on the road with 1.19 per game and the second worst away often with just four goals so far but i do expect that to change um again moreno is one of the you know he's a talent manic talismanic player like um like ibrahimovic whenever he's out the whole team struggles but whenever he's back he's somehow he's beneficial for the entire team difference included so uh i do expect to see goals here yeah the big thing for me now is that uh mourinho's back have they rushed him by the roman because no one was expecting him back this side of christmas yes he finishes off all of their good work um i'm looking at over two and a half goals thinking at plus 105 if joe gerrard starts or yeah gerald moreno if he starts then plus 105 is a great bet also i expect sevilla plus 100 how do you see the game going because these two match up great well i'm not sure if he's going to start uh but he definitely will play some minutes in this game and i mean i don't know if you guys saw vrl against barcelona the other week but i mean they were fantastic and honestly i think they deserve the win not the draw not the defeats they deserve to win that game they had control over most of it uh they really dominated barcelona and if they can play at this level against sevilla's side which they are actually really good against a way usually at the sanchez juan biarelle get some decent results there and that's definitely a positive and also we know that we are desperate to get back on track and now with gerard moreno i think it's perfect timing honestly it won't be easy of course because as pablo says sevilla defensively are one of the strongest sides but they did have a tough copa del rey game yesterday against cordoba and um mostly where substitutes were playing but then given it was so difficult they had to bring in guys like okampos like kunder like theo carlos to try and uh get the the win in the end because they really struggled until the last minute and maybe you know that uh changed lopetegui's plan slightly for this game against viral he was trying to save all his best players but in the end they got some extra minutes on their legs and in this sense i think um it's a tricky game i'm not sure if there'll be goals if there will be a few goals it could be a nil nil it could be a 3-2 that's why i'm not really sure which way to go in this match and i'm avoiding it but it's definitely going to be an entertaining game and i kind of feel like viral could get something out of this game because sevilla uh i've been very irregular this season we've been seeing it constantly good results and suddenly uh sloppy moments so that's why i just can't trust to be uh at the moment basically and both teams are scoring over for me i think the both teams scored don't think there's any clean sheets two twos on the cards so if you want to go over one and a half goals on the team totals and go with that but for me it's definitely going to be both teams to score and let's flick them over our official picks yeah over two and a half goals at plus 105 and both teams to score for pavlos at minus one one five i think if you combine them you're not going to go far wrong roman as we know he's saving up but i'm sure with the next game he's the one that's going to be uh taking the lead because it's barcelona versus royal batiste barcelona minus 200 Barcelona vs Real Betis Game Prediction there's a don't complicated type price for a parlay rio batista plus 525 the drawer plus 380 the goal line is set at three under and over at minus 125 and over one and a half for the under three goals i'm liking this uh roman because barcelona are starting to be a little bit more conservative not gun hoe but picking up points yeah i mean barcelona still are fighting their form in terms of the football they're playing they weren't great as i said against bial but despite that they got the win which is important for a big team like barcelona despite not having a good match get the three points keep adding up keep getting that confidence chaby is bringing to the players and a game again at home against betis i think is a good opportunity to keep on with that momentum and as a matter of fact in the last 31 games in la liga between barca and betty's barcelona have always scored goals so i mean uh it's a game that usually you see very high scoring results we've seen like sort of four threes four twos five something and that's why i think it's a game where we should see goals because barcelona's defense aren't great despite everything they're gonna concede very likely uh with a betty side that are powerful offensively and they've shown this not just in la liga but in other competitions such as the europa league and i think um the goals are the way to go and this one honestly i can't i guarantee bars are going to win even though i think they are favorites playing at home uh but i said uh the goals are are my way for this one okay pavlosi uh roman's saying goals all the way and he's hoping that barcelona school more than the visitors are your xg and ig and all their other g's are they telling us that barcelona are going to win [Music] possibly but the thing with barcelona yes they did start the season with some really bad uh numbers especially on the road uh but right now pavlos what do you do about them numbers when a team like starts off sort of really bad but then they find form and they start winning but we're still obviously calculating the numbers in so do we have to interpret a little bit yes yes um there are certain situations where for example rayo vallejano they were very very good uh at the start of the season i think in the first uh six or seven match days they had the the best or the second best maybe third best xg but we've seen those numbers being regulated uh you know as the season progresses and they play more matches they can't just they just can't keep up that pace uh and yeah you know sometimes managerial changes or um players returning returning from uh injuries also tend to uh you know affect the xg numbers xga numbers uh you know all kinds of numbers so we have to take um you know to to to make a dip to take deeper looks into these xg numbers but uh as far as this much goes barcelona's numbers have been uh improving lately even though they didn't get all the results they want but they're still on a good run since uh chavez took over they now have the third best xg the fifth best offense um third best xg at home with 1.92 per game second best home offense with 16 goals but betis have been also very very impressive they have the second best xg in the league with 1.84 per game third best offense with 25 goals second best xg on the road with 1.58 per game fourth best away offense with 10 goals um we're talking about two very very good offensive lines the defenses are not that bad i mean barcelona they have they're now up to fourth best xga with uh they'll they are allowing 1.14 per game fourth best difference with 16 considered but it's fourth best difference because other teams have done poorly i mean considering 16 goals in 14 matches is nothing to be proud about for a barcelona side um they still have the second best xga at home who are allowing just 0.93 and the seventh best home difference with eight considered uh but what worries me is the fact that um barcelona they have a crucial chinese league match coming up in a few days uh they're playing at munich against the bayern side that has already qualified uh barcelona are sitting at the second spot of that group with seven points benfica have five and they are hosting dinamo kiev so long story short barcelona need uh a win because benfica will probably beat dinamo kiev so if barcelona want to continue the knockout phase they have to beat bayern munich in munich while um real betis they also have a midweek match coming up in the europa league but their situation is much much different they are sitting second in their group and no matter what happens in their match or in the other match they will finish second they have already qualified as second so uh there's uh some burden of their backs and i think they will they will try to um to punish barcelona here they they'll try to get some points uh they have been betis have been historically very very um competitive in this uh in this venue i'm just gonna throw some numbers because i think it's very very interesting uh the matchup between the two sides um betas have scored two plus goals in four of the last five trips uh in this venue uh all four of those matches had both teams to score and over five and a half goals uh a couple of five two wins for barcelona a 4-3 win for betis and a 6-2 win for barcelona i mean these are insane numbers and i i checked the numbers all the way back to 1991 uh 26 matches in this venue between the two sides 22 of those 26 matches had over two and a half goals 17 of those matches have had over three and a half goals 13 matches had over four and a half goals and nine matches had over five so we're looking at goals then basically yes we're looking at a lot of goals uh i personally take the both teams score and over two and a half goals uh and i wouldn't be surprised if bet is uh scored twice against this barcelona defense uh i think the price is uh over plus 200 uh but yeah both in scoring over two and a half goals okay can we have a little look at the official uh prices please because i know that both teams the score and over is around the plus 100. ali can i not uh have the uh the stream and view back so i can see what the prices are please uh both teams to score also with barcelona and uh there we go no i want the official picks please it's the official picks sorry there just a little technical glitch that i lost uh everything both teams to score is at minus 150. thank you for uh that ally both teams scoring over two and a half is at minus 110 did i say that it was minus 110 earlier or did i say yeah minus 110 so yeah that seems like the way to go try not to go with a money line money lines at minus 200. you're not going to get rich on that now my favorite game in la liga this weekend is this next one because it's an absolute cracker it is the real Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Game Prediction social adversity real madrid real madrid one of the top three or four sides in the whole of european football at the moment for me scoring goals and looking majestic against a real sochi that side who on their day are a match for anyone and but you're getting plus 235 for the home side plus 120 for the away side which definitely looks like a trap or a gift and it's plus 255 on the draw uh roman i see goals here i cannot believe for the life of me over two and a half goals is minus one one five in fact you talk about the game because i'm adding that why you talk well i mean uh it could be a way to go although to be fair real have been a side that haven't really been conceding one of their uh main pillars this season has been their defense usually they've been winning games by maybe one nil two nil to one you know that kind of thing uh where they've really focused on strengthening the back but it is true that there are two center-backs have been great uh lustondo and lenormand but possibly the best one out of the two is suspended for this game so that means somebody else is going to come in his place to start possibly through el dia we'll see who is chosen in the end and that's definitely something that i think real madrid can exploit that's coming with barely any injuries they've practically got their whole team available the only setback maybe is that they did play against athletic club yesterday on on wednesday and uh ancillary basically went for a top quality lineup he played basically his best 11 players are almost so i mean most of them will be maybe slightly worn off for this game but i still think that real madrid you know they're in really good form as you said they're scoring goals they're getting positive results at the moment they're opening up that gap at the top of the standings in la liga and that's why i can't i honestly think that they should be capable of winning this game are definitely a tough side they've managed this a few good results against almighty in the last few seasons but um this time i just don't see it happening again you know it's going to be tough for radford to to actually defeat this confident madrid side with bentham and beneath both of them on fire you know they're scoring goals if wanted to score the other one's scoring if one doesn't assist the other one is assisting uh they're really at a top top level at the moment and i just don't see real madrid leaving uh san sebastian without the three points yeah i don't mind real madrid winning offense it's uh three two real madrid maybe even a free free game so i'm going over me two and a half at minus one one five i'm definitely adding that pavlos but the big one i like when we go back to the numbers is sausage had to score twice uh plus 175 i looked at this game and thought i see sochi dead calls in real madrid real problems because they're not scared of them they're at home you're going into their backyard and they're gonna have a go and the pace that sasha their break and the tack against real madrid's back we'll send basically their central uh defenders i i give the edge to sochi dead um over one and a half for me at plus 175 big price yeah that makes total sense but there is something weird about associated numbers uh and that is the fact that they they have the nine best xg with one point three five per game seven the best ovens with 19 goals all good so far uh they have at home they've been doing a pretty poor job uh offensively and poor in the sense that they have the seventh worst xg at home with uh 1.26 per game the worst home offense in the entire league with five goals but they also have the best home defense uh with just one considered goal the best defense overall with eleven considered uh third best xga with uh 1.09 per game um third best xj at home with 0.95 per game so that goes to show that they they play mad defense at home of course they're they're um you know they haven't played uh some of the tough uh teams so far uh maybe sevilla and bilbao but all the other matches were against valencia levante uh yeah yeah uh but the thing is that that they they have very low tempo in all their matches i think all uh seven of their whole matches in the la liga ended us under two and a half goals uh including two europa league matches uh with an average of 0.9 goals per game so there's very very few goals in their home matches but again they haven't played against real madrid against barcelona and maybe that will change here especially with real madrid firing in all cylinders uh they have the best xg with 2.16 per game by far the best offense with 35 goals um they have the best away offense with 19 goals their defense is struggling just a little bit on the road uh um especially but uh even though they have the third best defense overall real madrid have the third best difference with 15 considered but still uh that's about one considered goal per match and that's just not very good for our real madrid side but still um six of their seven away matches finished with over two and a half goals and a mud average of 3.6 goals per month um last season the two teams played for a couple of draws both draws were under two and a half goals but that was just probably an anomaly because eight of the previous nine matches they had over two and a half goals so um what also worries me is the fact that they also see that they have a crucial europa league match coming up uh on thursday where they they are hosted by um they're they are hosting actually um eindhoven and they need a win in order to continue in the europa league so all things considered um i'm kind of scared to bet on this match but uh i definitely see your point here i i do see goals yeah goals don't worry about it and obviously now we're talking to roman who took the plus 120. which when do you ever see madrid at plus 120 you could have madrid against a top european side in the champions league and they wouldn't be at plus 120. so that's plus 120 for a reason beware let's have a little look at the official picks boom there you go i've got rial sochi that team total over 1.5 at plus 175 doesn't mean i think they're going to win i just mean i think they're going to score twice and i've also gone with both uh yeah just over two and a half goals as well at minus one one five real madrid moneyline plus 120 when do you ever see that roman has definitely snapped up what he thinks is the value moving on now to a team that's been one of our favorite Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Game Prediction since the 11th minute of the opening day against uh sevilla it's real velikano versus espanol two sides the entertain you've got velocano at plus one one five espanol plus two sixty draw at plus 240 under over two and a half goals um roman we've got to be seeing goals because espanol are in good form velacano score one two homer away doesn't matter they create they're on the front foot i see both teams scoring and over here um i'm going to go a bit against you in this one because honestly it's true that really at home tend to score lots of goals uh they're a team that we all know that are fantastic they're one of the best sides in la liga uh at home but for some reason i have kind of a hunch that is going to be a tough tight one for rayaway baikano this time against espanol because spaniel to be honest aren't a good team away from home it has to be said they haven't won a single game at the moment only few sides with brl i think it is and levante who simply haven't won a game uh but they do get quite a lot of draws and they don't tend to concede too many goals uh taking into account they're not as good they somehow still sort of defend and lose by a small margin and i think they're going to finally get a good result away and ray baikan are finally going to maybe drop a few points and that's why i'm not really convinced also what worries me a bit is that midfield for ray by ecano because santiago messiani has been fantastic this season for them he's suspended and also the other guy who usually replaces him which is he's injured so i mean those two center midfielders we could say with a more defensive approach aren't going to be available and that's definitely going to allow espanol to have more freedom going forward uh if the main guy is sorry the subs aren't at a good level and also as we say i'll try and frustrate roman i kind of think so i i don't think they're gonna you know go all out to try and win it but i think they're going to be very very careful they played against them twice last season because both teams came up from the vision so he re both managers are the same so they they really know uh what they can expect from each other that's why i think it's going to be a cautious game and as we speak are in the playing the copa del rey they are on penalties at the moment against the third division side and of course uh given the result they had to bring in some important players to try and catch up and in the end they have imagined we'll see if they finally uh go through or become the first uh first division site to be eliminated from the copa el rey but i don't know i just have a sort of hunch that it won't be as easy for raybayakana although i can understand why you or anyone would uh back them up because the numbers do say that raybaikana are fantastic at home and that espanol are poor away so i mean if you go with that i can't say anything you have all my respect yeah please forgive me but from looking away because what i'm trying to do is i'm trying to give you some numbers that are not actually on there i've gone for the first half uh numbers at bet us.com have a little look at the top you've got all sorts of alternates uh two alternate lines first half draw no bet and the draw at half time in this game is plus 100. pavlos if espanol are out frustrate surely they could last 45 minutes so we could be looking at neil neill first half yeah espanol have some pretty weird numbers uh pretty contradicting but very very interesting so here they are especially on the road uh but i'm gonna say just uh every every metric because uh you know you you need to have a clear picture i spend your life yeah and we've all got homes to go to as well so don't begin okay okay okay they have the ninth best xg on the road uh with 1.26 per game uh but they have the third worst away offense with just five goals so they do create chances but they don't uh score a lot they don't convert them to goals they have the fifth worst xga on the road with 1.668 per game but they have the fifth best away difference with 10 considered uh they're really i mean they haven't won yet but they don't always lose that easily um they have the second fewest points on the road with uh three just three points zero wins four losses and three draws while vallejano have six wins and just one draw at home they've been great but i think this will all come down to whether falcao will play if falcao is in i'm taking uh rayo vallacano team total over and over one and a half team total uh i do see vallejano winning but if falcao doesn't play a lot of things change here so i i mean espanol could upset him i've set them here so this is a match where i personally would like to stay away but uh keep in mind that vayakano have the second best home offense with 16 goals the second best home difference with three conceded and the best home goal differential with plus 13 better than any other side wow okay let's have a little look at the official peaks roman thinks it's going to be a tight one that tight he's gone for the draw at plus 240 remember the draw at half time is plus 100 as well so maybe just a 45 minute involvement myself and pavlos have left it which is strange for me leaving valicano because there was just something telling me not to do i normally don't go for the goals in this fellow cano versus espanol game now our final game is celta vigo versus valencia celte vigo Celta vs Valencia Game Prediction plus 110 valencia plus 270 the draw plus 245 under over two and a half when i first looked at this pavlos i just fall under two and a half goals minus 125 jog on yeah well the way i look at this is just a bit different but but kind of the same because i'm taking both things to score which uh a 1-1 draw would uh confirm the both teams score and the under two and a half goals and the way the reason is uh this because uh felt i have the third worst home office with seven goals uh the fifth worst difference with 19 considered uh the second worst home difference with 12 considered goals um they are on a format unbeaten streak with three draws and a win but they have just one win five losses and two draws at home four of delta's eight hope matches had both teams to score um but they failed to score against real sociedad sevilla and bilbao which are three of the best defenses in the league so um and turkey and you know looking at valencia they have the six best orphans with 22 goals the fourth worst difference with 21 considered uh third best xga on the road but fifth worst await difference with 12 conceded valencia are also on a format unbeaten streak with three draws on a win kind of terrible on the road with one win three losses and three draws five of their seven away matches had both things to score and they even scored against barcelona and sevilla where again at home they're very very strong so um eight of the last nine matches between the two sides in vigo had both him to score so i really love both things to score here with a hint of a draw i cannot draw it plus 240 uh yeah the one one draw i mean all the numbers are telling you that they expect both sides to score at least once i think the unders are in play but again i'm not putting my money down so i'm just talking hot air whereas you are actually going with both teams to score roman you see this being a one one draw and a valencia then not the same side on the road i was very tempted honestly uh for something like that for both teams to score uh but at the same time i remember that these two sides have uh made me lose quite a lot of money this season you know because they can be very unpredictable and i said wait a second don't go uh for celta don't go for valencia two of the sides i just don't know what they're going to do you know suddenly great game is only a poor game we've been talking about this we say this i think every every every week these two sides are just you know so tricky so i just i'm just not sure i mean i do expect both teams to score at first but then you think about them and it's like anything could happen and in terms of of squad i mean celta vigil have most of their players available thiazo the striker who'd been coming on lately and doing quite well he's injured but apart from that the main men santimin and aspas are going to be there so that's definitely positive for celta abigail and on the other hand um valencia do have a few injuries in the back but they have good players to compensate so i don't think that will be too troublesome and you know they are poor away as you said but they could come up with with a draw a win or who knows what you know so that's why in my case i decided to stay away in the end okay let's have a look at the official picks of our last game it is boating to score minus one one five for pavlos myself and roman have both uh just give it a swerve just said no we'll cheer on pavlos no problem at all now as you uh Q&A ask you questions in the chat one of them came out danny lopez just wants us to have a quick word about atletico versus majorca atletico at minus 310 new yorker plus 1 000 and a draw around plus 430 but the numbers are under or over two and a half roman really quickly why did we not go maybe back to our old ways of atletico to win and under three and a half i was really tempted because i do think atletico are gonna win but i just couldn't find the value and i just don't know uh if they're gonna score under 3.5 we saw that the day they scored four you know they're very unexpected this season you you think they're not going to score uh too many goals then they do you think they're just going to score a lot of goals and they don't so that's why they don't have this classic tendency they had last season of winning one nil or something like that so i just couldn't find the value and decided not to risk it pavlos can you give me a final score on what you think it'll be for danny three one three one that's why we didn't go for under three and a half so maybe you go for atletico minus one and a half maybe get you close to around i don't know minus 125 or something like that now let's take you back to the start of the show when i said we are america's favorite sports book and we are becoming even more popular we're closing in on 3 000 subscribers for the bet us soccer channel so please subscribe and put your thumbs up and show a bit of appreciation and also ring the bell and ring the bell means we'll notify you you'll never miss any content again massive bonus because that means the bundesliga you will not miss that tomorrow on monday you will not miss the champions league and in the week after we've got more midweek action from bundesliga and the premier league so from pavlos from roman from myself and everyone at bet us may all your best be with us we La Liga Best Bets really appreciate your support make sure you do not miss any of our content you can read that nothing's been added there you go no bankers they're our official picks the one i like most real structured dead team total over 1.5 plus 175 and when i said nothing's been added i added over to our minus one one five real madrid i don't like making mistakes ciao you