These swing states are vital to a Trump or Harris win: Stirewalt | The Hill

WELCOME BACK HERE TO THE HILL ON NEWSNATION AS VICE PRESIDENT HARRIS AND DONALD TRUMP AT THE BATTLEGROUND STATES OF PENNSYLVANIA AND NEVADA TODAY, EACH OF THE 7 SWING STATES, WHOLE DIFFERENT LEVELS OF IMPORTANCE. YOU COULD SAY TO THE CHANCES OF WINNING THE NEEDED TO 70 ARE GETTING MORE THAN THAT. STYER WILL IS HERE TO BREAK DOWN WHAT STATES ARE A MORE KEY TO HARRIS, WHICH STATES ARE MORE KEY TO TRUMP? LOOK, WE CRISPY TALK ABOUT YEAH THERE AS WE TALK ABOUT THE 7 KEY SWING STATES, RIGHT? BUT THEY'RE ALL DIFFERENT AND UNIQUE. AND I WANT TO GET INTO THIS WITH YOU. BASICALLY 50 DAYS TO GO, WHO NEEDS WHICH STATES SORT OF MORE THAN THE OK? SO AND THIS IS FUN BECAUSE THIS WILL BE YOU AND ME ELECTION NIGHT. WE'RE GOING TO BE DOING THAT. YOU'RE HERE. ELECTION NYACK YELLOW, THE PARTY EITHER BREAKING SOME NEWS TO ME. I DON'T KNOW THAT I I DON'T THINK I'M GONNA I DON'T THINK I'M ALLOWED TO SAY WOULD. LET'S PUT IT THIS WAY. I HOPE THIS IS YOU AND ME OUT ELECTION NIGHT. LET'S DO >> SO WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE 7 STATES? HOW DO THEY WORK? SO IT'S EASY. NORTH CAROLINA, GEORGIA AND ARIZONA. THOSE ARE THE REPUBLICAN STATES. DONALD TRUMP HAS TO WIN EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE STATES TO BE IN THE FIGHT. THAT'S TIER RIGHT. SO TIER DONALD TRUMP HAS TO SWEEP THE SOUTH. WHAT ARE THE STATES THE DEMOCRATS HAVE TO WIN? DEMOCRATS ALWAYS HAVE TO WIN NEVADA AND THEY HAVE TO WIN MICHIGAN. THOSE ARE THE 2 MOST DEMOCRATIC OF THE 7 SWING STATES. THEY GOT TO DO IT EVERY SINGLE TIME. THOSE ARE THE MOST DEMOCRATIC OF THE 7 AND THEY'VE GOT TO WIN THEM EVERY TIME. IF SHE'S NOT WINNING THERE, SHE'S GOING TO LOSE THE PRESIDENCY FOR SURE. THOSE ARE THE REPUBLICAN STATE. YOU SEE HIM THERE. THOSE NORTH CAROLINA IS THE MOST REPUBLICAN, ARIZONA AND GEORGIA. THAT'S THOSE ARE THE ONES THAT IF TRUMP LOSES ANY OF THOSE, YOU CAN. YOU CAN BET THAT KAMALA HARRIS IS GONNA WIN THE PRESIDENCY AND THEN AND WE HAVE THE BATTLEGROUND OF THE BATTLEGROUNDS. THESE ARE THE ONES THAT FALL IN BETWEEN. THESE ARE THE ONES THAT ARE THE RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF THE 7TH. AND WISCONSIN AND PENNSYLVANIA. SINCE 2008 HAVE TRADED PLACES ON THAT LAST. BUT THEY'RE ALWAYS 3, 4, 4, 3, 3, 4, 4, AND 3, WHICH ONE IS THE MOST REPUBLICAN MOST DEMOCRATIC. AND THAT'S WHERE YOU WILL SEE AS THIS RACE CLOSES AS WE GET INTO THE FINAL WEEKS THAT YOU WILL SEE THOSE CAMPAIGNS CRISSOSSING THOSE STATES OVER AND OVER AND OVER AGAIN. PUT KAMALA HARRIS GRAPHIC BACK UP, IF WE CAN, BECAUSE THE STATES THAT YOU MENTIONED THERE ARE MICHIGAN AND AND NEVADA. >> AND I LOOK AT THAT. I SAY, WAIT A MINUTE. YOU DON'T PUT PENNSYLVANIA HAS SORT OF THAT TEAR ONE FOR FOR HER. PENNSYLVANIA IS SPECIAL AND WE SAY THIS NOT JUST BECAUSE WE LOVE KELLY, WE'RE GOING TO GET INTO THAT. THAT'S RIGHT. WE WE WE PENNSYLVANIA'S IMPORTANT CAUSE. IT'S THE BIGGEST RIGHT? THE NUMBERS JUST THAT HAS 19 ELECTORAL VOTES. IT'S JUST THE BIGGEST OF ANY OF THEM. AND IT'S MUCH HARDER FOR HER TO PUT THE MAP TOGETHER IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PENNSYLVANIA, JUST BECAUSE OF ITS SHEER SIZE TO LOOK AT THIS. YOU HAVE TO WIN BOTH OF THESE TO REPLACE PENNSYLVANIA. THE POINT HERE IS THESE STATES HAVE A POLITICAL NATURE UNTO THEMSELVES. AND PENNSYLVANIA IS NOT AS DEMOCRATIC AS MICHIGAN. PENNSYLVANIA IS NOT AS DEMOCRATIC AS NEVADA GOT IT. AND IF SHE WENT, IF SHE LOSES THERE, YOU CAN GUARANTEE PENNSYLVANIA'S ALREADY GONE. SPEAKING OF PENNSYLVANIA, YOU BROKE SOME NEWS TO ME THAT WE'RE GOING TO BE TOGETHER ON ELECTION NIGHT. I I DON'T I'M NOT TAKING ON ATLANTA LET ME GIVE YOU A LITTLE NEWS AS WELL. WE CAN REPORT NOW THAT HARRIS CAMPAIGNS, TOP OFFICIAL TOLD TOP LEADERS RECENTLY THAT THERE'S NO GUARANTEED ROAD TO 2.70, DURING A RETREAT. THE CAMPAIGN CHAIR JEN O'MALLEY DILLON CAME TO THAT CONCLUSION ACCORDING TO ITS INTERNAL POLLING BEFORE THE DEBATE, SHE TOLD THE GROUP THE KING OF THE BATTLEGROUNDS, PENNSYLVANIA, IS LOOKING ROUGH. THOUGH. IT IS STILL POSSIBLE TO WIN. IS THAT? ACCURATE? YOU THINK OR IS THAT JUST WE NEED TO STILL GO GET A MESSAGING AT THIS POINT. THERE IS NO STORY IN WHICH WE COULD SAY THAT PENNSYLVANIA WILL BE EASY. PENNSYLVANIA'S GOING TO BE TOUGH. IT'S GOING TO BE TIGHT. IT'S GOING TO BE HARD FOUGHT. YOU HAVE THESE 2 METRO AREAS WHERE DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO BE FOCUSED ON TURNOUT, PHILADELPHIA, PITTSBURGH AND THEN THE BAT. SO PUT IT THIS WHERE KAMALA HARRIS'S TODAY IN LUZERNE COUNTY, PENNSYLVANIA. YES, WAS THE WIDEST SWING AMONG THE 4 COUNTIES WITH THE WIDEST SWINGS ANY COUNTY IN THE COUNTRY FROM 2008 TO 2006 RAIN AND THEN THEY SWUNG BACK AGAIN THE OTHER TIME WE'RE TALKING ABOUT 20 POINT SWINGS. SO WHERE SHE IS IS IN THIS SWING? YES, COUNTY IN THE MOST IMPORTANT SWING STATE AND THE PEOPLE WHO LIVE IN THAT PART OF EASTERN NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA ARE GOING TO GET BOMBARDED DAY AFTER DAY WEEK AFTER WEEK. SO CONDOLENCES TO EVERYBODY WHO LIVES IN THE PHILLY OR PITTSBURGH SUBURBS.