Michigan vs Fresno State - VOCFB Bets

Published: Aug 29, 2024 Duration: 00:04:16 Category: Sports

Tags : champions Football college football jim harbaugh jj mccarthy Michigan michigan football MarkRogersTV michigan wolverines Wolverines blake corum tj Sherrone Moore isaiah hole donovan edwards will johnson National Champions go blue kalel mullings Voice of College Football Corum Mark Rogers John D'Adamo Steve Deace Colston Loveland TJ Ronin

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the defending national champions are at home to begin 2024 with a new quarterback a new coach and uh much of a new team after 13 NFL draft selections we got Steve Merrill on the line from wagertalk.com of course and we enjoy Steve selections here on a regular basis at the voice of college football his under the radar selection it is exclusive for those patreon and YouTube members here at the voice of college football C Steve's daily work at wagertalk.com Michigan a three touchdown favorite at home Steve against the Fresno State team that had a really respected head coach in Jeff Tedford stepped down just a couple months ago yeah you can say well that's a rallying call for him but I think it's going to be more of a distraction than anything and looking for reasons to play against Michigan in fact a lot of the sharp money has played their season win total under nine I mean the sharps are saying they're going to get three or four losses this season after going uh 28 and one the last two years combined in fact they've lost three total games the last three years combined while winning 40 they're 40 and three straight up and the season win projection is 8 and a half to nine wins which would be more losses this season so this is another example though Mark like we talked about this in some other games here on the channel where public perception is maybe affecting the point spread and you wouldn't think the point spread would be skewed against Michigan being the national champs and undefeated but my uh simulation database simulation and power ratings show that in fact my 10,000 game simulation has Michigan winning by 28 points on average that's a full touchdown of line value as long as this remains minus 21 or less which is the current line at the wager talk live odd screen as we record this so I do think the values with Michigan they very well could be a play against team at some point this season but I just don't think this is the Spot Fresno is a very one-dimensional offense they're going to have a extremely difficult time running the ball in this game now Michigan might be down to notch defensively this year but down a notch from a team that allowed just 10 points a game last year and only 91 rushing yards is still a pretty good defense freso is going to have to throw the ball maybe that gives him some back door cover but the fact that this line is about seven points too low is I think that's already factored in Michigan if you're going to play it is the way to lay it and I do think the Wolverines are not a national title Contender this year um but that's another motivating factor you know you talk about Tedford being out maybe that motivates Fresno what about a first year coach everyone telling them they can't do it again after being the national champs I think there's a a chip on the shoulder for Michigan and I think more in his first game at home has plenty of Senate to win by margin and we're getting some value on top of that so I like Michigan minus 21 folks keep in mind that while Steve and I get together and deliver the Michigan information in the angle on the Michigan game here on the Wolverines Channel each and every week go to the various team channels where Steve and I get together to review and preview all the big games in college football across the board and of course Steve's exclusive under the radar selection is yours as YouTube member or on patreon thanks for being here Steve thanks Mark college football is even more exciting with some action on the line and the games are even better when you're cashing in and the voice of college football is the place to be to get the greatest value let's start with my picks 75% against the money line 58% against the spread I've got a 40-year track record in fact in 2023 at $100 played per game you would have netted over $9,300 and guess what I'm just the warm-up act Steve Merrill our Ace in the Hole show stopper from wager talk six years with the voice of college football over 30 years in the industry Steve gives us analysis on all the big games but you can't miss Steve's weekly under the radar pick which went 21 and5 against the spread the last two seasons I repeat 21 and five against the spread you also get picks from some of our top analysts here at the voice of college football including Steve and Matt zik become a YouTube channel member or patreon member for just $99 per month go to the main Channel on YouTube click join and select the betting tier do the same thing on patreon make 2024 a winner now

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