2024 Michigan Football: Analyzing the Odds of Winning Each Game

will the Wolverines win enough games to position themselves to defend their [Music] title a much different look for Michigan scheduling in 2024 with a few additions from the Pack 12 of course on the schedule minus Penn State no Penn State on the schedule for the Wolverines as they look to defend their National Championship uh welcome to the voice of college football best in discussion debate and Analysis join us live every Tuesday and Thursday night right here on the Michigan Channel 8:00 Eastern Time bring your comments and questions we are running through teams across the country and win probabilities as we look over the schedule let's check out the defending national champions 10 and two of course for any big 10 or SEC team should get them to the college football playoff despite defeating the Buckey three consecutive years and possibly having a psychological lean in this game it only makes sense that we give the Wolverines their least likely win in Columbus against maybe the most talented team in the country Michigan at Ohio State but we do give Michigan more than a Fighters chance here at 44% so basically an even football game but the game is in Columbus November 2nd it's Michigan hosting Oregon the Ducks according to Vegas and others have basically become a co-favorite with Ohio State in the Big 10 this will be an extremely interesting game Dylan Gabriel and company coming to the big house the first weekend of November give the Wolverines a 52% chance of winning which basically means at this point in the game I think the Ducks are a better football team slightly but then once you make that cross country trip to Ann aror I give Michigan the slight lean in this one at 52% ditto Texas on September 7th now this could be a situation where Texas gets the jump on Michigan with a veteran quarterback and Quinn yers while Michigan is still figuring things out at that position however I do think that at this stage in the game Oregon's a better football team slightly better football team than Texas Oho slightly so give Michigan also a slightly better than 50/50 chance of defeating Texas on September 7th at the big house and now the percentages will go decidedly up even though the trip to Seattle is a difficult one to make the huskys are not the team that went to the national championship and took on Michigan last year new head coach new coaching staff new quarterback 20 new starters by some counts but again Washington recruits well they've got jetfish who knows what he's doing a veteran quarterback in Will Rogers and a difficult venue at Husky Stadium give Michigan a similar chance against the USC at 62% but that game's at home on September 14th the Trojans will present a challenge now the win probabilities go up decidedly Michigan coming off a bye as they take on Illinois on October 19th on the road in Champagne against Brett belma and Company of course that was Michigan's potential loss as they hit to kick a game-winning field goal on the final play of the game two years ago in an arbor the Michigan State game used to be a difficult one but Michigan has completely trounced their rivals in recent years October 26th the Spartans with new head coach Jonathan Smith and new quarterback Aiden Charles come to the big house give Michigan an 87% chance of winning this game we give them a similar chance against Northwestern on November 16th that game is coming off a buy we believe at this point based on what was proven by the wild cats last year at 8 and 500 David Brawn with one of the highest returning production rates of any team in the country that this is a similar matchup than what Michigan as against Michigan State however they're coming off a by we against Northwestern Michigan Minnesota get together on September 28 that's at the big house give Michigan an 89% chance of defeating PJ flecken company Minnesota comes into this season with the lowest win total according to Vegas of any team in the Big 10 including Indiana and the Wolverines go to Bloomington to take on new head coach Kurt Signet on November 9th Give Michigan a 90 % chance of winning this game almost as high as taking on Fresno State the Bulldogs have traditionally been one of the better teams out of the group of five in the Mountain West that's of course the opener and there is a surprise element to a certain extent and Michigan of course having to break in a new quarterback a new head coach a new coaching staff the whole deal uh against Fresno State this will not necessarily be a cakewalk the first day of the Season Two Weeks Later there is a cakewalk against Arkansas State Butch Jones and Company September 14th give Michigan a 98% chance of getting the job done against ASU so if we simply go chalk Michigan goes 11 and one I again believe that they've got an excellent chance of going to Columbus and winning that game against the Buckeyes again so they could go 12 and0 however let's understand Oregon Texas at 52% so those those are basically toss-ups and then the game in Seattle will challenging in the game against USC even at home those are potential losses there's no way that this team is going to lose more than five games that's if they lose to everybody that they could possibly lose to on this schedule you draw your conclusions we have yet to make our prediction this is not a prediction but it's a win probabilities rundown for every team in the country we go Michigan again with the slight lean to Ohio State but the slight lean to Michigan against the Ducks and the Longhorns your thoughts your comments down below right here at the voice of college football