Kamala Harris WINS FIRST Post-DEBATE Polls With +5%

hey everyone welcome back to another exciting video as you all know we've been closely following kamla Harris's campaign bringing you the latest news and updates on her historic run to potentially become the first female president of the United States so if you haven't please hit the Bell icon to get notified on our daily updates So today we're diving into something super exciting the first set of accurate National polling numbers after the highly anticipated presidential debate which took place just two days ago on SE setember 10th for political junkies and everyday voters alike this is the first real peak at how the race is shaping up after such a crucial moment in the campaign we're looking at how these post- debate numbers are shaking out and what they mean for the candidates moving forward particularly for kamla Harris and Donald Trump so the poll we're talking about today comes from ipsos a well-known polling organization ipsos is often used by Major media Outlets like CNN for their polls which gives them some credibility however this particular poll was conducted in partnership with Reuters News another well-respected organization in the world of Journalism what makes this poll Stand Out is that it's one of the first comprehensive National polls to show how voters are reacting to the debate and let me tell you the results are pretty fascinating according to the ipsos poll kamla Harris has a stunning 5% lead over Donald Trump now if you've been following this race closely you know that a 5% lead in a national poll is pretty significant but let's break down why this is so important and why it has the potential to reshape the race as we move closer to Election Day first while the popular vote doesn't technically decide the election the Electoral College does a 5% victory in the popular vote would almost certainly translate into a strong showing in the Electoral College the reason for this is that if a candidate can win the popular vote by a significant margin it usually means they are outperforming their opponent in key Battleground States these states are crucial for securing the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency the Electoral College can sometimes seem a bit quirky or unpredictable but a 5% Edge in the popular vote usually signals a broader Advantage even in the states that tend to be closely contested just to give you some context Joe Biden won the popular vote by about 4.5% in the 2020 election that margin allowed him to flip several Battleground States like Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania and that's ultimately what secured his victory if kamla Harris can maintain or expand her 5% lead she could replicate or even improve on Biden's Electoral College performance so this 5% is not just a number it's a sign that the tide may be turning in Harris's favor and it gives her campaign a major boost of momentum heading into the final stretch but let's dive into the numbers a bit more according to the ipsos poll kamla Harris currently has 47% of the vote while Donald Trump is trailing with just 42% now let's talk about why 42% is a problematic number for Donald Trump for one thing it's well below the 50% Mark which means he's struggling to win over a majority of Voters this isn't the first time we've seen Trump's support hit a ceiling like this in both the 2016 and 2020 elections Trump had difficulty expanding his base Beyond a certain point while he's been able to maintain a fiercely loyal core of supporters he's never never been able to reach a true majority of the electorate the fact that Trump is stuck at 42% right now suggests that his appeal is still somewhat limited he's got his base but he hasn't been able to broaden his support enough to make a serious play for the undecided voters who are going to be crucial in this election and speaking of undecided voters this poll also gives us some insight into where those voters are leaning according to the numbers about 11% of Voters are still undecided however what's interesting is that both Harris and Trump have seen some gain since the debate which suggests that some of those undecided voters are starting to make up their minds what's really telling is how those undecided voters are breaking between the two candidates according to ipsos post debate Harris gained 2% of the vote while Trump only gained 1% that means undecided voters are breaking in favor of kamla Harris by a 2 to one margin this is a crucial point because it suggests that the debate may have been a turning point for many voters the debate gave them the opportunity to see both candidates in action and based on the numbers it seems like Harris made a stronger impression on those voters now let's talk about the debate Itself by all accounts kamla Harris performed exceptionally well while Donald Trump had a much tougher time ipsos asked voters several questions about the candidates debate performances and the results were pretty one-sided in favor of Harris for example when voters were asked who appeared more dignified during the debate 56% said Harris while only 24% said Trump that's a huge gap there's also a question about which candidates seemed more likely to listen to voters and understand their concerns once again Harris came out on top with 49% of Voters saying she was more empathetic compared to just 18% for Trump these are really important numbers because they speak to the broader question of likability and relatability two factors that can make or break a candidate's chances in a general election another interesting data point from the poll is about which candidate looked sharp and in command of the issues unfortunately for Trump he didn't farewell here either 52% of Voters said Trump stumbled or didn't look sharp during the debate compared to just 29% who said the same about Harris again these numbers highlight just how poorly Trump performed during the debate and it raises questions about whether he'll even agree to participate in another one so what does all of this mean for the broader race well it's clear that the debate helped Harris more than it helped Trump she's gained support among undecided voters and her overall lead has widened to 5% if Harris can maintain this momentum and continue to win over undecided voters she'll be in a very strong position heading into the final weeks of the campaign one thing to keep in mind though is that ipsos is a B+ rated pollster that means they're not the very best but they're still considered reliable by most political analysts so while we should take this poll seriously it's also important to keep in mind that it's just one poll we'll need to see more polling data over the coming days and weeks to get a clearer picture of where the race is heading now let's talk about Harris's current position in the National polls overall right now she's sitting at an average of about 2.8% ahead of trump in the National polls that's not bad but it's also not great if you're trying to win the electoral college historically candidates need to be leading by more than 3% in the popular vote to have a solid shot at winning the Electoral College especially when the race is so close in key Battleground States but here's the good news for Harris she's been steadily gaining ground since she entered the race at one point her lead over Trump was as small as 0.2% so the fact that she's now up to 2.8% is a significant Improvement however she'll need to keep pushing that number higher if she wants to secure a comfortable win just 20 days ago Harris was polling at her highest point with a lead of 3.7% since then she's dropped slightly but that's not unusual in a race like this polling numbers tend to fluctuate especially as candidates face more scrutiny and as new events like debates shake up the race a 1.1% drop isn't huge in the grand scheme of things especially when you consider how close the race is in key Battleground States for example example Trump is ahead in some states by just 0.5% while Harris is leading in others by razor thin margins in Nevada for instance she's only ahead by 0.1% so every fraction of a percentage Point matters what's interesting is that despite these minor fluctuations Harris continues to gain ground overall and that's the key takeaway here the debate clearly helped her and as more polls come in and we average out the data it's likely that we'll see her lead grow even more if Harris can expand her lead by just a few more points she'll be in a very strong position to win the electoral college let's zoom out for a moment and talk about what a 5% lead in the popular vote would mean in the context of the 2020 election as I mentioned earlier Biden won the popular vote by 4.5% and that was enough to flip key Battleground States like Wisconsin Georgia and Arizona these were states that Trump won in 2016 but Biden was able to win them back by narrow margins in in 2020 for example Biden won Wisconsin by just 0.6% Georgia by an even Slimmer margin of 0.2% and Arizona by 0.3% these were Incredibly Close races and just a small shift in the popular vote could have changed the outcome in those States if kamla Harris can maintain or grow her lead to 5% she could hold on to those States and potentially even expand the map in fact a 5% popular vote win would likely put additional States in play including North Carolina Florida and even Texas let's look at North Carolina First in 2020 Trump won North Carolina by just 1.3% which was one of his narrowest margins of Victory if Harris can improve on Biden's performance by even a few points North Carolina could flip into the Democratic column similarly Florida has been a key Battleground state for years and while Trump won it by 3.4% in 2020 a 5% shift in the national popular vote could make Florida competitive once again and then there's Texas now I know what you're thinking Texas is a red state right well yes but it's been trending more purple in recent years in 2020 Trump won Texas by 5.6% which is a solid margin but not as large as in previous years a 5% lead in the National popular vote could make Texas closer than it's ever been in modern history if Harris can overperform an urban and bban areas like Dallas Houston and Austin she could make Texas a real Battleground state of course none of this is guaranteed the race is still far from over and there are plenty of challenges ahead for both Harris and Trump but right now the numbers are looking good for kamla Harris the debate helped her solidify her support and undecided voters are starting to break in her favor if she can keep up the momentum and expand her lead over Trump she has a real shot at winning not only the popular vote but the Electoral College as well and that's the key here the Electoral College at the end of the day it's all about securing those 270 electoral votes the popular vote is important but the Electoral College is what decides the presidency if kamla Harris can maintain her 5% lead and continue to win over voters and keep Battleground States she'll be in a strong position to win the White House so there you have it the first accurate post- debate polls showing kamla Harris gaining support if she can keep up this momentum she has a real shot at winning the election if you haven't already please support us by subscribing to our Channel and don't forget to click the Bell icon to receive daily updates on kamla Harris's campaign