NEW 2024 Election Map Based On LATEST POLLS In All 50 States! #trump #election #trending #usa #kamal

hello everyone welcome to ballot base from the onset of September there has been a notable surge in support for Trump not only in key Battleground States but also in others previously considered non-competitive today we'll update the latest 2024 electoral map using current polling data from all 50 states so let's dive in as we plot today's map it's crucial to understand our classification system for rating a margin of 0 to 3% is categorized as tilt 3 to 7 % as lean 7 to 12% as likely and over 12% as safe or solid beginning in the western region separate from the continental US are Alaska and Hawaii these states are vastly different in many aspects ranging from their climate and geographical features to their political Landscapes the latest polling data from signal indicates that Trump is leading in Alaska by a margin of 10 points historically Alaska has consistently leaned Republican and the current election Cycles polls support this trend although it's tempting to categorize it as a likely Red State now I anticipate that by November Alaska will solidify its stance as a solid red State for the moment let's classify it as likely in favor of trump turning our Focus to Hawaii the most recent survey by The Independent Center shows the Democratic candidate previously Biden with an eight-point advantage historically Hawaii has been a stronghold for the Democratic party despite this the current Trend suggests a shift as Harris has emerged as a more favored candidate among the electorate nonetheless for the purposes of today's map will categorize Hawaii as a likely state for Harris transitioning our Focus to the mainland the trio of coastal States Washington Oregon California collectively contribute a substantial 74 electoral votes historically these states tend to swing reliably towards the left however in the current politically charged Trump versus Harris race it's crucial to examine their latest polling figures starting with Washington the latest data from public policy polling indicates a favorable lead for Harris over Trump by a margin of Four Points historically Washington's voting record has been consistently Democratic since the 1980s and Trump's performance here in 2020 was underwhelming given these factors it's safe to color Washington solid blue on today's electoral map Oregon presents a contrasting scenario compared to Washington according to recent polling by Hoffman research group Harris holds a narrow lead over Trump with a margin of just five points this result is particularly surprising considering Biden's significant lead of 16 points in the 2020 election Oregon has not favored a Republican presidential candidate since Reagan nearly four decades ago the upcoming weeks and the results on Election Day will be pivotal in determining Oregon's political leanings but for now we'll tentatively classif ify it as leaning Democratic California stands as the most steadfast of the three with the latest 538 polling average showing Harris with an overwhelming lead of 23.9 points over Trump the most recent polls align with this figure depicting Harris ahead by 23 points capturing 61% of the vote compared to Trump's 38% given these robust figures California's Hefty 54 electoral votes can confidently be assigned to Harris's column considering the shifts in Battleground states which state do you think might surprise us this election cycle and why what's your thought on this let us and other viewers know your take on this below Nevada presents a dynamic Battleground intriguing for its electoral volatility despite not falling into Trump's wind column in either 2016 or 2020 currently Harris holds a slender lead of 0.5 according to the latest aggregated polls however the most most recent individual poll reflects a deadlock between the former president and Harris with a preceding poll nudging Trump ahead by a onepoint margin typically such a scenario would categorize Nevada as a tossup yet the slight Edge indicated by the most recent polling suggests a marginal lean towards Trump's favor shifting Focus to the traditionally Republican stronghold of the western states including Idaho Utah Wyoming and Montana in Idaho the latest polling continues to affirm the expected Trend showing Trump leading by a substantial 29 Points similarly in Utah He's ahead by 32 points Wyoming often considered the most conservative state in America shows Trump dominating with a 41o lead as reported by zogby strategies meanwhile in Montana Trump secures a significant Victory margin of 15 points these states have consistently voted Republican for over two decades and their appears to be no deviation from this pattern solidifying their status as unwavering red States Arizona emerges as another critical swing state in this election cycle in a surprising turn of events in 2020 Biden narrowly clinched Arizona from Trump by a margin of just 0.31 historically Arizona has backed the Democratic candidate in only two of the past 50 years current polls suggest a shift with Trump edging out Harris by a margin so minimal it rounds down to zero signaling an intensely competitive race that could go either way as the campaign progresses the most recent survey indicates a slightly larger advantage of two points favoring Trump positioning Arizona as a potential Republican stronghold in the west Colorado and New Mexico remained the last bastions for the Democrats having consistently voted blue since Obama's initial victory in 2008 Trump's performance declined in these States from 2016 to 2020 currently in Colorado the latest poll places Trump 10 points behind at 50% to 40% in New Mexico a recent survey by Redfield and Wilton strategies shows Harris leading by seven points New Mexico might present a tighter race compared to other states deemed likely Democrat especially given its narrow margin prior to Biden's withdrawal from the race the final poll during Biden's candidacy had him leading by a mere one point for now both states are categorized as likely Democrats shifting Focus to the South a pivotal region in US politics we start with Texas a heavyweight with 40 electoral votes despite liberal aspirations for a democratic Texas the current electoral cycle casts doubt on such a possibility the latest data from Emerson College places Trump ahead by three points while this suggests a narrowing Gap historical data from just a few weeks prior showed Trump leading by more substantial margins of 8 and 10 points despite the recent tightening I remain skeptical of it closing further at present Texas is considered a lean Republican state Oklahoma consistently aligns with the Republican Party evidenced by the latest sooner poll which places Trump ahead by 16 points similarly Arkansas and Louisiana remain steadfast in their support for Trump the latest Arkansas poll shows a substantial lead of 32 points for Trump while Louisiana's recent polling gives him a 15-point Advantage securing both States firmly in the Republican column in Mississippi and Alabama the trend of robust Republican support continues a recent survey by Echelon insights in Mississippi records a trump lead of 18 points closely mirroring the 2020 margin of 16 half points confirming Mississippi's status as a reliably Republican state meanwhile Alabama's latest polling data shows Trump with a 20-point lead reinforcing Alabama's position as another secure state for Trump turning our attention to Florida the state has experienced one of the most significant political shifts in recent election Cycles formerly a hotly contested Battleground Florida's increasingly leaning Republican the latest polling indicates a narrower than expected lead for Trump at Four Points with him capturing 51% over 48% despite the tip margin the current trends suggest assigning Florida's 30 electoral votes as leaning towards Trump Georgia's position in the 2020 election cycle adjacent to Florida Georgia emerges as one of the most hotly contested Battlegrounds of the 2020 election cycle the latest polling shifts slightly in favor of trump who leads by one percentage Point historically Democrats have not secured Georgia since the era of Carter suggesting that despite the close contest four years prior Harris may not be the candidate to Pivot Georgia's preference given this slim Advantage for Trump we classify Georgia as leaning slightly Republican South Carolina's predictable alignment in contrast to its northern counterpart South Carolina presents a starkly different electoral scenario the latest data from Emerson College indicates a robust lead for Trump who is ahead by 14 points his previous victory in the state by a double digit margin in 2020 coupled with current polling Trends suggests a likely Repeat Performance consequently South Carolina is expected to remain firmly in the Republican column Tennessee and kuy's electoral landscape looking further into the heart of the South both Tennessee and Kentucky appear poised to deliver their electoral votes to Trump the latest Tennessee poll underscores a significant lead of 26 points for Trump a figure echoed by kuy's polls which show Trump leading by 28 points these substantial margins underscore the strong Republican leanings in both States solidifying their status as secure Republican territories rounding out our analysis of the Carolinas with North Carolina it's turning out to be a competitive Battleground State once again despite its history of voting for Trump in his previous two electoral bids the latest aggregate of polls places Trump slightly ahead with a un8 point Advantage yet the most current individual poll gives him a slightly wider lead of three points based on this three-point Advantage North Carolina is currently tilting towards the Republicans moving on to the States of Virginia and West Virginia the Electoral landscape presents a mixed picture Virginia surprisingly competitive this election cycle shows a tightly contested race with the latest data the freshest poll indicates a slim lead for Harris by three points even though the state favored Biden by a significant 10.1 Point margin in 2020 current fluctuations and polling figures introduce some uncertainty regarding Virginia's Direction This November suggesting a tentative leaning towards Harris on the other hand West Virginia displays far less uncertainty the latest survey from research America reveals a substantial 27-point lead for Trump cementing its status as a stronghold for him given these figures West Virginia is Comfortably categorized as solidly Republican concluding our review with the southern states of Maryland and Delaware along with Washington DC doen S3 electoral votes we see strong Democratic inclinations Maryland's latest polling data indicates a robust 21-point lead for Harris and Delaware shows a solid 11 Point preference for the Democrats both states have historically lean Democratic and current trends confirmed that this pattern is likely to continue in this election cycle while there are no recent polls for DC historical data from the previous elections strongly suggests an overwhelming disadvantage for Trump securing three more solid blue votes for Harris's tally let's first consider the Northeast region before diving into the complex political landscape of the Midwest particularly the Rust Belt but before continuing thanks for watching still if you're enjoying the content and want to see more like this please subscribe and turn on notifications we'd love to keep sharing with you starting with New England this area is a stronghold of democratic support featuring States like Massachusetts with a significant Democratic lead of plus 18 and Vermont leading the charge with an astounding plus 41 these states have consistently supported the Democratic party and show no indication of a shift in the near future firmly establishing them as safe blue states in the same region Connecticut Rhode Island and New Jersey are typically grouped with the solid Democratic states however recent polling results have brought some surprises in Connecticut the latest poll shows a democratic lead of plus n positioning it as a likely Democratic State rather than a solid one Rhode Island's recent figures are similar with Democrats leading by plus seven again classifying it as likely democratic New Jersey presents an even more startling case the latest poll has Trump ined the lead by plus one at 41% compared to 40% despite New Jersey's historical Democratic leanings its current trends suggest a possible tilt towards the Republicans focusing on New York often referred to as the Empire State recent polls show Harris leading with a robust plus 17 margin scoring 58% over Trump's 42% this substantially lead secures its status as a solid Blue State shifting our gaze back to the corner States we find New Hampshire and Maine as centers of electoral contention in New Hampshire the latest polls average Harris ahead by plus 6.6 teetering on the edge of being a likely Democratic State the most recent individual poll shows Harris with a narrower lead of plus five which positions New Hampshire as merely leaning Democratic in the state of Maine during this election cycle it finds itself as one of the a few split states in the first district Harris has carved out a substantial lead of plus 28 according to the latest poll data firmly establishing the district as a stronghold for her contrastingly the second district presents a tighter race with Harris ahead by just plus5 a notable shift given that Trump previously secured it in 2020 with a margin of plus 7.4 while it would be unexpected for Harris to capture this District based on past voting patterns current Trends tilted slightly in her favor at the Statewide level Harris's lead extends to plus 17 reinforcing Main's long-standing preference for Democratic candidates a trend steadfast since the 1980s and likely to continue in this election turning our attention to the Midwest the solidly red states form a contiguous block commencing with North Dakota where the lead is a robust plus 34 for Trump this pattern holds with South Dakota's plus 19 and stretches into Nebraska where the Statewide contest along with the first and third districts show a plus 17 margin similarly Kansas and Missouri each show a plus 17 margin and Indiana rounds out this group with a plus 21 Advantage for Trump Nebraska's second district encompassing Omaha deviates from this pattern with Harris currently leading by a margin of plus five suggesting a potential Democratic tilt in this otherwise Republican territory moving on to Iowa traditionally considered a swing state current polling indicates a substantial shift with Trump leading by plus 12 positioning it as a safe state for him this cycle rounding out the Midwestern states Illinois and Ohio offer contrasting political Landscapes Illinois remains a democratic stronghold with Harris leading by plus 16 Ohio however presents a more competitive scene with Trump ahead by plus 10 in the latest polls categorizing it as likely to favor Trump Minnesota known for its strong Democratic lean holds the record for the most consistent blue votes over the past five decades according to the latest figures from 538 Harris has a 7.3 point lead a margin that typically positions it as a likely Democratic stronghold however the latest poll Narrows this lead to Five Points categorizing Minnesota as leaning Democratic rather than a secure win turning our Focus to the Rust Belt a crucial Battleground that could potentially decide the elections outcome in November averages from these states illustrate Harris's narrow lead barely avoiding a dead heat in Wisconsin the latest polling data presents a stalemate with each candidate garnering 48% support normally this scenario would suggest a tossup state yet a previous poll showing Trump with a slight lead of one point nudges Wisconsin into his column as for Michigan the newest poll indicates a slight Advantage for Harris by 1 Point enough to consider it leaning towards her meanwhile in Pennsylvania often referred to as the Keystone State the most current poll tips in favor of Trump by one point the outcome seems to favor Trump in the 2024 election however what are your thoughts on this prediction do you foresee any states delivering surprising results contrary to current polling share your views and predictions in the comments below