49ers vs. Jets — PREDICTION TIME — Brock Purdy vs. Breece Hall

all right it's that time of the week the day games here on Sunday are over we've got Sunday Night Football the Lions and the Rams coming up but there's enough time to put in the prediction for Monday night our first prediction of this 2024 49ers season for the ners and the Jets but first we've got something related something really cool to cover to talk about yesterday was this San Francisco Fire Department chili cookoff on Marina green and I was lucky enough to be selected to be a judge of the San Francisco Fire Department's chili cookoff so well one of the coolest San Francisco events that there is the 17th annual Johnny V chili cookoff very 49ers themed I'll have to say with our own secret rub over here we have about six different chilies that we have Blended in here we have some A5 wagu to top it off with we're station we're station 11 on 26 in church well they literally did have wagu beef cooking there for some of the chili this was one of the coolest events ever you could even see the the different fronts that the fire stations had this was the El Camino chili so they reminded me being in fourth grade in a California school building a mission they stuffed avocado in there it was awesome it was a culinary event being able to be a judge for this thing moving from Booth to Booth this one oceans 15 Fire Station 15 this is station 49 the paramedics unit at San Francisco Fire Department as you can tell the Christian mcaffrey Jersey there and the entire 49ers theme station 40 or E40 they had a Waffle Bowl for their Chile San Francisco uh police department also sfpd got in on it this is station 16 that's the one that has the Joe Montana jersey in it in the marina near where Joe Montana lives these guys even went back into the Fredo bag with their Chile then 39 we are really impressed with station 39's Chile and also with their Booth the winner of Best Booth though went to the Brock py station you'll see here in just a little bit there's a look at Mario flarity in the white shirt tall guy in the white shirt there it is station 13 winner of the best Booth hog Tua chili as you can see they even had the the big noses there they used some boins Sao bread bowls for theirs as you can tell this was a culinary Masterpiece type of event by the end of this I was really really full it was tough to be a judge of this event line out the door for the 17th annual chili cook off proceeds benefited the San Francisco firefighters toy Pro program another look at hog to a chili the best chili 51 51 511 stach all right we're going to go announce this right now all right finally we have the best Chile you've already heard from them they were the worst Booth 51 and that was that a beautiful day on the marina Green in San Francisco see look at that old doggy diner shout out that was one of the booths just really really cool event representing the neighborhoods of San Francisco the San Francisco Fire Department Chile Cookoff so shout out to them it was really cool to see how 49ers oriented this whole thing was yesterday and wanted to definitely give thanks to the firefighters to the First Responders they during covid I get they didn't have that event for a couple years it came back last year and then this year it was extremely extremely well attended out on the marina green 49ers Jets prediction time a lot of people were talking about that yesterday about the 49ers game against the Jets I've obviously been talking about it all week I think that this is a compelling matchup I could see why the NFL picked it for Monday Night Football to cap out to cap week one you got Aaron Rogers on one side for the New York Jets he I think we still remember him in a Packers uniform mainly I we saw saw running out with the flag last year for the Jets but he got hurt shortly thereafter towards Achilles the Jets were terrible for the entirety of that season because the offense was the very worst in the league in fact number 32 in EPA per play offensively the Jets were last year but defensively they were number three they were not a bad team on that side of the ball in 2023 so I think that common sense says that the Jets if Aaron Rogers can stay healthy and they they have improved the offensive line a little bit they've added Tyron Smith on the left side they've added Morgan Moses at right tackle so if they can put those two things of improvement together uh the offense should be able to to generate some decent efficiency for the New York Jets it's almost comical when you look at the team profile for the Jets last season because what you see is a foot team that had a very good defense and an extremely poor offense this is the XY chart on Ben Baldwin's website so further to the left means your offense is worse and they were the worst by a lot even worse than M Jones and the New England Patriots last year worse than the Giants who looked horrific today against the Minnesota Vikings with Daniel Jones worse than the Panthers who probably looked worse than any body today in the Sunday slate of games well the Jets back here with Zack Wilson and whoever the hell else was playing quarterback were really really bad but the defense brought them up on the Y AIS so the big question is how far to the right can Aaron Rodgers move this team on this graph if they could be just a little bit above average offensively and maintain the same defense which I think they can given the talent that's returned for this team well all of a sudden you got a a contender for the Jets just slide the logo over a few tiers to the right and you're over here now the 49ers they they have Improvement that they can make as well and that comes especially on the defensive side of the ball they ranked about 10th last year so the offense was awesome for the 49ers that's going to be squared off against a really good Jets defense can the 49ers move this up defensively to become an Untouchable team this year go from Elite tier one to Untouchable that is the challenge for the 49ers but that should all be really baked into our prediction we can talk about the the different compelling matchups in this football game we can talk about uh the fact that there's familiarity between both sides in this game the Jets are a team that has the 49ers former coaching staff at least on the defensive side of the ball jeffri the defensive coordinator used to play for the 49ers he's the coordinator under Robert Salah who architected this current 49ers defense nowb was never on Shanahan's staff but the Shanahan tried to make him part of his staff he tried to pry Old Brick away from the Jets he was still under contract and Robert Salah said no you cannot interview for a lateral position you'd have to interview for a promotion and the fort aners were just trying to pry alri away from the Jets to replace Steve will who they fired after last season oldbrick stayed in New York and the 49ers instead elevated Nick senson who was already on the staff and they brought in Brandon Staley who was replaced by Jim Harbaugh by the way Harbaugh back in the league he got a win we we'll cover the entire NFL a little bit later tonight if you want to watch that but bottom line is that the 49ers defense is looking to get better looking to to D obviously for the Jets and for the 49ers ever since Robert Salah and the staff went to New York but uh some things always stay the same and I think the Jets play with the same hair onf fire effort that has marked some of the best 49ers defenses over the past several years which only adds to the potential Intrigue of this matchup one of the scrappiest for Anders players that we've seen over the years of this Shanahan Lyn chera DJ Reid is one of the starting cornerbacks for the Jets Brock birie talked about DJ re he obviously didn't overlap with DJ during his time uh with the 49ers but Brock birdie watches tape and he he knows what a good cornerback is It's s Gardner on one side and DJ Reid on the other when DJ Reid was with the 49ers I think he was drafted in 2018 Brock pie was at Iowa State this is the article that came out this morning on athletic Brock Bird's College reunion why the 49ers opener against the Jets has an Iowa State flavor pie Bree Hall on the Jets Will McDonald ivth who's on the Jets and Alan Lazard on the Jets we've never seen this many Iowa State players in one game so that's yet another subplot of you know I just think that the NFL create a really really juicy week one schedule they they do it better than the other leagues as far as drawing the fans in but we saw so many good games today I could go through some of them we're going to get into this in a little bit more detail later but just building up to the prediction here for the 49ers today I mean that the Cowboys just finished off the Browns that was the Tom Brady broadcast debut you guys can leave what you thought about Brady the the broadcaster in the comments section but we saw and this is really going in reverse order the afternoon games listed here first Tampa Bay Baker May Mayfield beating Jaden Daniels and Adam Peters Washington commanders by 17 hard ball back in the league beating the Raiders 2210 I don't think that the Seahawks looked good at all in beating the Broncos 2620 the Seahawks were favored by it says six and a half and and they won by six but they took two safeties in the first half so they were endangering the NFL record was back in 1984 three safeties in one game they turn it on a little bit in the second half but we didn't expect much from bonick and the Broncos and they were able to keep that game close one NFC West team that looked better than expected was the Cardinals they lost to the bills 34-28 but that game wasn't determined until the very end the Cardinals were fighting in fact they jumped out to 173 lead in Buffalo so Arizona might be a little improved I just I hate to read too much into week one Steelers beat the Falcons with Justin Fields Kirk Cousins looked horrific today today that wasn't good I could give you Kirk Cousins final stat line 10 points at home 155 yards two picks two sacks a 59 rating for Kirk Cousins then there was the Bears Titans and Caleb Williams looked really bad and we'll give him a pass because he's a rookie but at least we verify all the people that thought that he was a Surefire slam dunk great quarterback uh those people were wrong but Williams threw for 93 yards at 3.2 yards per attempt I mean both of those are ghastly horrific numbers a 55.7 rating yet somehow someway and that's because will Levis was worse Caleb Williams and the bears found a way to win they also had a they benefited from a muffed punt or blocked punt I mean special teams got in on it and then Levis threw a terrible pick six his rating was 52.5 so the Bears beat the Titans how about the Patriots beating the Bengals today New England 16 to10 over Cincinnati you know what I said Brock birdie got so much heat for leading the fort Anders only 17 points during their three-game losing streak last year and there was so many factors out of his control that were obvious to any intelligent viewer yet py still got undeserved heat during that stretch I hope that Joe burrow I mean if we're putting guys to the same standard I hope that there's some heat Joe burrow for leading the Bengals to only 10 points against the Patriots team that's not supposed to be any good we'll find out how good they actually are but you know that that's definitely a performance worthy of some criticism from the Bengals I really love the CJ strad versus Anthony Richardson matchup in Texans Colts hopefully we get to see a lot more of that would make the NFC or the AFC South a whole lot more compelling there's the Dolphins and the Jags that was a comeback win for Miami 20- 17 with the field goal to end I thought Trevor Lawrence really fell apart down the stretch of that game great thing that Christian McCaffrey got out of Carolina what a waste that would be they lose 4710 to the Saints Sam darnold final line for Sam darnold the 49ers qbu produces Sam darnold 79% completion percentage 8.7 yards per attempt in a blowout 28 to6 over the Giants who looked terrible then we can go to the previous games I already talked about those Eagles Packers you know just based on that first one it was on a slippery field it was on a bad surface in Brazil but the Eagles and the Packers neither of those two teams played great defense neither got great quarterback play in week one and then there was Chiefs Ravens on Thursday so that was the look up and down the league now we have the 49ers and the Jets and prediction time I've given my rationale I think the 49ers have a little bit more Firepower I also think that Brandon auk and Trent Williams won't be at 100% yet but I think the 49ers should be able to weather it I think that even if you have to spell Trent Williams with Jaylen Moore uh I think you're gonna be okay as the fort Anders now the fact that Hassan reic probably is not going to play helps San Francisco that opens the door for Will McDonald one of the Brock py fellow Iowa State Alumni that's going to play in this game you can check out that article but San Francisco is in a position here where the Jets have a really really good defense but the the 49ers just have so many weapons offensively that they should be able to put this into the 20s offensively I think that the number one offense in football we've shown you the the chart we've shown you the efficiency for San Francisco that number one offense should be able to get into the 20s against the Jets and I think that even with Aaron roders the and even with a slightly improved offensive line or maybe even significantly improved I do think that the 49ers also will have an improved defense I think they could keep the Jets under 20 so if the 49ers are over 20 and the Jets are under 20 that leads to our prediction 49ers 23 Jets 16 think the 49ers are four and a half Point favorites that would cover I think and you know a lot of people saying well easy money they're going to blow out the Jets so way too many people think that this is the Jets of 2023 it's not it's it's Aaron roders in there and if he stays healthy then it completely changes what they do offensively Garrett Wilson is a great route runner at the receiver position Bree Hall is an explosive player for the New York Jets at the running back position Alan Lazard has really good chemistry with Aaron roders then the pass protection in that game against the bills last year it was also Monday Night Football to open things up that was where Aaron Rogers got hurt the pass protection was horrific it was terrible it's the first thing I thought before Aaron roggers got hurt I'm like how is he gonna survive this season behind that offensive line spoiler alert he he didn't spoiler alert they got to him Leonard Floyd got them that's the play on which Aaron Rogers towards Achilles so we're going to see Leonard Floyd's 49ers debut we're going to see if the interior of the Jets offensive line can hold up against Javon Hargrave and compan should be rested hamstr hamstring should be feeling better for him Malik Collins 49ers debut and we're gonna get to see those Jets tackles the new Jets tackles Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses working against Obviously good 49ers Edge rushers in Nick Bosa and Leonard Floyd no you Tour gross MOS and no D Winters for the 49ers obviously no Ricky peol he's on the NFI list expecting him back week five which is miraculous everything that's happened on the Ricky peol front has been miraculous it was just over a week ago he was shot uh right there near Union Square in San Francisco and Ricky piol is on the NFI list but the word is that he's only going to need those four weeks he might not have even needed it the four weeks who knows it just seems it was wandering out on the practice field the other day uh they're they were talking about one or two% chance of the type of outcome that that we've seen with Ricky peol 49ers are are viewing it as a miracle and I I think there's nothing wrong with that based on everything that we've heard where that bullet entered Ricky Pea's chest the emergency room Personnel told Kyle Shanahan they're typically a 2% survival rate and Ricky piol was in in that 2% so that's it that's the that's the prediction 49ers 23 Jets 16 we can talk for a little bit we can uh answer some of your questions here at the end of prediction time I'll find our 49ers Q&A text title and we'll go from there who's ready for the Lions against the LA Rams this is a good idea if you're watching right now on you if you're on Twitter you can go to YouTube because there you can comment uh put your prediction into the chat type your prediction into the live chat if you're watching later type your prediction into the comment section if you're listening on the podcast well you can go watch on the video and type in your uh type in your prediction but if you're if you're watching right now and and you want to you know join the podcast or subscribe to the podcast do all that look up the Lombardi Lounge I'd love to see your guys' predictions I'm waiting not for the Lions game although that's fair I mean it's about to happen we've got [Music] 3313 Andrew asks is that that's for the Niners Jets 3313 we saw Lions prediction here it's moving too quick I tried to click on it but it didn't happen is Leonard Floyd a three- down player does he come off on short yardage yeah I think Leonard Floyd's a three down player maybe not set of three Downs I think with with e girl mat out it's more likely that that he stays out there for longer I don't think Leonard Floyd is half bad against the run I think he's a really tough Scrappy player which is notable considering the fact that he's on the lighter end I mean he's built like a really yolked wide receiver I mean Leonard Floyd is is strong uh and he you know is able to take some of the lighter weight and use it to to contort his body to squeeze to he combines it with his Relentless style to to get a lot of cleanup sacks and a lot of people think oh cleanup sack he's not that good a cleanup sack is a big- Time skill in the NFL Nick Bosa is gonna win Javon hardrive is going to win both of those guys going to win their one-on ones consistently Leonard Floyd's gonna get to the quarterback 40 sacks 39 and a half in in Four Seasons 10 a year really really impressive stuff from Leonard Floyd so far all right we got some of our scores rolling in if you have more score predictions go ahead and put them into the comments section Hector Mahia says 2320 49ers are going to win we got some people saying that this is going to be a blowout such as Terren Macintosh 3810 49ers that'd be a resounding statement they'd put the league on notice if they came out and blew out the Jets and and Aaron roders Mike thinks it's going to be closer Mike is saying 2421 what was theet run defense last year number nine EPA against the Run 49ers were number 26 that's a it's a big concern but again they've replaced their defensive coordinator they've replaced you know four key pieces of their defensive line it's a new season for the 49ers and we're going to be watching how they do against the run on the defensive side of the ball really closely after the regression on that side of the ball in 2023 Ron says 2117 49ers so right along what I think I said 2316 Mike Echoes what I said can the 49ers stop the Jets run defense Greg 49ers 29 Jets 16 how do the 49ers DBS line up against the Jets wide receivers depends on how much man and how much Z own the 49ers play and and then it depends on where the Jets are lining guys up does Garrett Wilson line up in the slot does lineup outside what what's the division between those two I think he's the best route Runner how much does Mike Williams play he's coming off an injury for the Chargers last year but he is gonna play just at a smaller snap count so you know between Wilson Mike Williams you have to look out for for Breeze Hall coming out of the back field for the Jets we'll see I mean this is what makes week one so EXC and you enter these games and you don't really know how things are going to be lined up so you could sit back and uh you can you can let the information come to you before we go into heavy analysis mode next week because of that week one is a little bit more unpredictable than the other weeks you can see crazy stuff because even as we're analyzing you know the coaches are too the coaches need that fresh tape from this year because teams are not going to be putting stuff on tape in the preseason so it's it's harder to prepare for a game like this that being said the 49ers because they are returning all their offensive starters in 2020 for they they feel that they've been able to hit the ground running as far as play installation this year there hasn't had to have been some kind of great reset that you see um every start of training camp right when you have a lot of new faces and you have to install new terminology by the way I got the fire department 13 hat was not bribed I swear for fire department 13 station 13 won the best booth at the chili cookoff congratulations to them they also got a nice looking hat don't they I got this as as part of being the judge yesterday if you missed that part of the show you could rewind it's near the start the chili cook off was really really cool did Dallas look good or the Browns look really bad I think both anytime you see a 20 plus Point win in NFL both the Browns were missing both tackles start offensive tackles left tackle and right tackle and against Dallas's Edge Rush with Micah Parsons in company that's a really rough ask especially in front of a quarterback that's I don't think deshun Watson is any good anymore I mean he he is looking rough he's looking inaccurate doesn't seem that he feels the rush uh all too effectively it's that that's a brutal situation for the the Browns but Watson struggling behind two backup tackles against that Dallas Edge Rush there the Cowboys are built the feast on a situation like that they they you know last year they're beating up on all these bad teams I don't really think that the Browns were were a necessarily good uh football team that they threw out there today with those backups so um I I think Dallas as long as Zeke Elliott as the top running back I don't think they're a Super Bowl threat I think they're going to need the the youngster somebody other than Zeke Elliot at 29 I know they have dvin cook at 29 as well but I think that that spells trouble they're going to need to make sure they have fresh capable legs at that linebacker position all right that's it let's go get ready for the 40 uh well for the 49ers tomorrow but for the Lions and the Rams in about 10 minutes prediction 49ers 23 jet 16 thanks for watching we'll see you soon