College Football Predictions: Week 2 (PT.1) | NCAA Football Odds, Free Picks and Best Bets

NCAAF Week 2 Picks he [Music] [Music] welcome to the BET us college football show this is the Tuesday September 3rd edition of the show day after Labor Day and we are ready for week two after really an incredibly interesting week one that confirmed some priors for us and you know made us look at a few teams completely differently and we're looking at you Jacksonville State and really after last night Florida State for sure I mean yikes that was that was bananas a quick note to pay attention to small sample size but home dogs went 83 and one against the spread last week uh Curious what that's going to look like after this week all right we got some fun matchups to get to this week we got a lot to talk about let's go ahead and get the boys in here of course on the left side of the screen our stats analyst I call him the numerical Guru he is at stats of War on X Parker Fleming Parker one of the coaching cliches that you always hear is that a team makes the most improvement from game one to game two what are you looking for this week yeah I definitely want to see some teams that uh struggled looked confused maybe got taken advantage of with some matchups making a step forward writing some of those wrongs uh playing a little bit more identity look for team for instance like Texas Tech who went to overtime against aene Christian to iron out some of those issues and and look dramatically better uh just because they maybe didn't take that game as seriously or they weren't dialed in with their scheme I think week one to week two is a lot of shaking off the rust and then can you play with your identity so we'll definitely be watching some teams uh this this week to see can they write the ship a little bit and not just survive against lesser opponents but Thrive and run their offense and run their defense and their identity exactly heading into conference play we get closer and closer each week of of course on the right side of the screen our award-winning professional handicapper at Kyle Hunter picks on X he is Kyle Hunter Kyle celebrating birthday and and winning handicapper of the week last week you you ready for an encore in week two I hope so certainly uh nice week one and uh I have to say the under was 57 and 43 too uh so far this year I would say so 57% under some people think that that could be the headset communication actually slowing down Pace a bit I want to wait and see and I wouldn't just blindly bet unders because of what we've seen so far because before we've seen people do that the market reacts to everything so pay attention oh yes all right make sure of course keep an eye on the latest odds over at bv.com ODS and you can join in on the action bv.com jooin and uh get your questions in the chat for Q&A I see a lot of guys in the chat there go ahead toss in any questions for Q&A at the end of the show all right let me tell you right quick on your socials make sure that you are following at bet _ official last season we gave away a tough truck now this season we're giving away a classic American muscle car all right throughout the season you get to vote on how we can customize the car right right now you get to choose which car we're going to customize it's between a Ford Mustang which is my personal favorite a Dodge Charger or a Chevy Camaro now here's how you do it number one you go to _ official on X or you can click the link in the description it's going to take you straight to it uh but along with that you go to the pinned post on their on that profile sheet profile page whatever it is and then number three you're going to vote for your favorite classic American muscle car so just like last year you can win entries to win the car at the end of the season the first entries are going to be given away tomorrow on the BET Us official social channel so go ahead over there check it out see what you want to vote for I recommend of course the Mustang but that's just me uh Parker we got to hit this of course can you 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everybody that's right everybody anybody that's been Limited in the past you can get back in the game Sundays is going to be 500 bucks per spread $250 totals uh Monday at 1: p.m. eastern Time is $1,000 spread $500 totals uh it raises all the way up to 15,000 and 5,000 on Saturdays for certain games I I tweeted out the numbers you can go to my profile on X Gary WCE you can take a look at all of the different numbers there different limits hit at different times each week but everybody can get back in uh personally I I use spank odds as my odds tracking tool because they alert you as to when the new limits are going live but just want to toss it out there that things are a changing at bet us so Kyle correct me if I'm wrong this is a a pretty big deal right absolutely a big deal um you know I hope the marketplace responds to things like this but it's great of bet us to be kind of a market leader and and uh changing how things go because uh too low of limits can can really hurt early in the week and to be able to bump those up early is is key most certainly all right gentlemen we got a lot to talk about let's get to the games we'll start off game number one and we're going on Friday night the BYU BYU vs SMU Game Prediction Cougars head to Dallas they're going to take on the 2 and0 SMU Mustangs at 700 p.m. eastern time on ESPN 2 and that is in inside Gerald J Ford Stadium Rett lashley's Mustangs currently an 11o home favorite at bet us the BYU money line is plus 333 and the total currently is 55 and a half on this I'm go on to tell you my number on this is SMU by 12 there was a lot of movement on this one SMU was favored by 12 people bought BYU Tunes laid 10 now we're sitting at 11 I mean it's just all over the place uh Kyle SMU didn't look great at Nevada to start things off then they rebounded last week against Houston Christian and Nevada getting a win at Troy certainly changed the narrative a little bit here and changed how you're going to look at SMU I think BYU handled Southern Illinois 41 to3 last week at home what what do you think of the number here k um I think that uh if this was I I looked at this first and and Gary uh you know to be 100% transparent I did even text Gary and I was like I don't know how somebody would want to bet this game you know like this is a tough one uh the more I looked at this game though I do lean SMU I think think that even if it's not a great numbers grab I think SMU is probably the right side in a game like this a really poor performance in week zero everybody remembers that everybody watched it um what would this line have been before that it would have been significantly higher than this it's hard to uh change that much based on one game in BYU they beat up on Southern Illinois who isn't a terrible FCS team they did complete a lot on third down in that one rlof an a do of 135 348 U passing yards on 30 attempts is that kind of the caliber of the secondary they were playing against or is that a sign of what BYU wants to do is throw it deep uh take some chances uh we'll see I think the weakness of the the SMU defense is kind of their secondary so BYU would be well suited to try to throw it deep here take some shots if they can protect their quarterback I think SMU will get after the quarterback pretty well in a game like this and the BYU defensive line 11 sacks last year I'm confident smu's offense is a lot better than they looked in week zero I think they'll score here um even though my numbers don't say it's like a a screaming uh play or anything I think the over might be the right side here too um I think BYU can score enough especially if they get behind and start throwing it SMU wants to play relatively quickly and I think they'll have success on offense I think their offense is better than they showed before so ien SMU uh and over probably SMU team totally over would be my favorite bet I am I am terrified of this because I I don't know about that SMU offensive line I'm still a little iffy on that BYU I got no idea what to think about these guys but let me go ahead and get some Trends in here right quick BYU two and four against the spread on the road last year uh four- five against the spread as an underdog since last season SMU has 6 and one against the spread at home and they are just a remarkable N9 and3 against the spread in their last 12 as a double-digit favorite I mean that is a crazy number Parker look we talked about it SMU got rolling last week they got a bye coming up before they host TCU and Florida State in back-to-back weeks I think we have an idea of what SMU is right but but what is BYU what are you looking for here yeah it's hard to know uh what BYU is Jake rettl getting the getting the start looking good against fine against Southern Illinois you know 348 yards um uh overall and and some long passes nothing really turnover worthy uh they on the BYU offense I mean the the difference for SMU uh and not not only just playing an FBS team versus an FCS team the first two games is they just didn't get Jake Bailey going he had five targets against Nevada and caught zero of them and he had five targets and caught four uh in their in their FCS game so really interesting what they can do through the air and kind of what they want to do I I mean they they you know flirted with Jennings and seeing if that was going to be the answer um for for for them on offense and it looks like they just really just looked sloppy and maybe didn't take Nevada as seriously as as they would have liked coming into the season so I think for SMU you can kind of buy a narrative of hey we know what they are and and they're still going to be pretty decent and they kind of were embarrassed and and are going to start to you know try to put up some points here BYU's passing offense we've seen or passing defense rather we've seen be pretty pretty rough at times um last season you know they were 70th an EPA per per pass allowed they gave up 400 yards to Josh Hoover I mean they they just had rough rough season all over so uh could could be another situation for SMU to get right uh overall as they've played really really uh fluky back and forth obviously want to see redl under um uh under under pressure and what smu's defensive line can do that's that's a strength uh there there for him um or strength there for them for SMU to be able to create pressure if that line can kind of play like we expect them to play and maybe get red slap uncomfortable uh he you know dramatically decreased completion percentage uh 50 only 50% on pressures last last week um uh for for BYU so just want to see kind of those inflection points there to to see who SMU is and then like you said Gary who's BYU going to be I don't even think we know who BYU wants to be yet so uh have the inclination that I would agree that SMU is the right side here yeah that I I never how about this I never would have imagined that we'd see you know such a stark contrast and talent between these two teams but the 247 Talent composite has SMU number 25 and BYU number 78 I mean to me that's pretty wild I'm not really sold on BYU the defense only gave up 13 but I I saw issues there that SMU can certainly take advantage of notably the secondary like I I don't know what BYU is going to do with guys like RJ Maryland right and those receivers I like this SMU at 10 I mean this one moved a little much it's only one point but I no no locks on this one from us we uh we're we're going to watch this one and get another data point and for guys like us the data points mean everything so no lock on that one uh in game number one excuse me all right moving on game number two oh yes oh yes big noon kick Texas vs Michigan Game Picks they travel to Ann Arbor Michigan where the reigning National Champs are going to Welcome to The Big House a top five that's right top five new SEC member that's Steve sarkeesian Texas Longhorns this is 12:00 p.m. eastern time kickoff on Fox and this one uh the line has jumped quite a bit Game of the Year Line's opened at 2 and a half it got up to four four and a half before the games last week and now Texas is a seven and a half Point favorite on the road at B us of course uh- 105 is the juice on that side if you want to take Texas uh plus 2 35 is the Michigan money line in the total sitting at 44 right now now this is again we're not going to do this all the time this is a fun classic helmet match up here I don't think we did this in the early previews uh Parker Kyle which helmet is your favorite Parker you can start us off I think I'm going with the classic Wolverine it's hard to pick between these two and I'm just gonna pick against burn orange here so I think I'm going Wolverines Kyle what about you you know I'm picking Texas there's no way I can pick the other I'll uh I'll go Michigan on this because there's no orange of course but uh that's the way it goes that's the way it goes uh Michigan Michigan has not been an underdog since 2022 but they have covered their last three in that role in 2022 and 2021 Texas was 2-2 against the spread as a road favorite last year they are five and five against that number overall under Steve sarkeesian and Kyle Michigan did not look great in the opener against Fresno I mean you hit that team total under 31 A2 um but this was a 16 to10 game early in the fourth quarter now as soon as it got to 16 to10 Michigan drove right back down the field and and scored and made it 23 to10 it was pretty much out of out of range at that point uh but Michigan only mustered 269 yards of total offense on the other side I mean Texas Just Whipped Colorado State mercilessly like what what do you make of this matchup Kyle yeah my take here is uh Michigan didn't even beat Fresno State as bad as that final score would look I mean they had 4.4 yards per play in that game Fresno had 4.2 yards per play that pick six you know made it look a lot bigger than what it would have been that was a really really bad pick six there when Fresno really still had a chance um Texas really impressive um I don't think Colorado State's as bad as they looked in that game so a pretty good look there for Texas and guys we've talked about Texas before in the Red Zone I think the key takeaway from last week Texas with 5.2 points per opportunity they did take advantage of their uh drives deep into opponent territory also holding a team with Tory Horton at wide receiver to 74 passing yards definitely impresses me I mean Tory Horton's a beast uh 24 attempts through the air 74 passing yards I think uh Michigan question is here how does Michigan do against the pass I'm I'm confident Michigan's run defense the front is tremendous uh Fresno had 0.4 yards per carry I think it'll be tough for Texas to run the ball here too so can Texas throw can they protect the quarterback well enough I think that's the key to the handicap Texas offensive line 328 lbs is their average definitely big boys Michigan Elite defensive line that's what I'm watching in this game is the offensive line there against the defensive line um weather nothing huge or anything but a wind of 13 milph gusts of 19 milph could matter a little bit you know that's not massive but um it's enough to at least mention uh my lean in this game this one's gone from Texas minus three and a half or four to Texas - 7 and A2 because of one week I can't take something that's moved through four and seven in one week um I'm rooting for Texas uh but you know I can't bet minus 7 and a half when it's gone that much I think uh Michigan's still going to be a very good team their defense is excellent um Texas this is their test let's see yeah let's let's certainly see I've got a bet on Texas minus two and a half uh that I gave out on the show back in March or April at some point uh but I mean that thing hit four four and a half game of the year mark skyle like you said I mean this thing is 7 and a half I mean even even with power ratings updates keeping some of the priors in my numbers still have this close to three in favor of Texas right I I try not to overreact too much to what you see in week one uh Texas did look better in the Red Zone their weapons look great but I mean that was against Colorado State like this is a completely different Beast Parker I never would have imagined that we would have seen a seven and a half on this game inside the big house I I do I I got to tell you though I do feel pretty good about my Michigan to not make the cfp BET tell me tell me what you think about this one I was thinking about you this weekend as soon as Warren got out there and looked like Warren uh in the passing game for for Michigan I'm gonna go against my number here I'm just honest to God I've got this a little closer I actually like Texas in the spot quite a bit and I'm going to trust him uh I I think this get double digits here um I'll give Texas one piece of advice for the offensive side of the ball if before the snap Will Campbell is streaking towards your opponent uh your own End Zone don't throw him the ball I think that was Fresno's biggest mistake last season uh or last week and uh and so definitely want to avoid that otherwise I actually like the the multiplicity being able to scheme away from Campbell Isaiah Bond three 3.5 3.05 yards per route run on a 10.1 average depth to Target last season his usage was really interesting compared to last season he was only um he was like 58.6% in the slot uh he was only 30% in the slot against Colorado State so maybe a little bit more outside uh receiver ability there moving him around you know with the sarc offense they're going to motion him uh and then on the other side of it Jaden blue did great filling in for an injured uh running back room kind of unexpectedly being the guy and um you know had three Targets on six receptions and 16.7 yards after catch he's kind of a weapon there uh Matthew golden slotting in as well had 50 yards on three targets so I like the multiplicity on offense for Texas I think that's going to be the difference there is that if they really only had one Avenue for creation uh I think Michigan would would be able to keep this close but I think that uh the Run game is is really balanced in zone and GAP even with blue and Gibson filling in for the injured backer uh overall and they held Tory Horton who's an NFL guy to just 31 yards overall on defense so really like what Texas is doing on both sides of the ball for Michigan um you know didn't allow a run longer than nine yards last week uh but they allowed you know 238 total yards in passing to Mikey Keane it was on a lot of dropbacks so you got to adjust that per uh for the volume I think overall but the offense did score just 2.3 points per drive and I'll know one of their touchdown drives started at the Fresno uh 30 what was that the 31 or something uh yeah the 31 and so they had a short Field Drive with some help too coulston Loveland will be the matchup to watch he was kind of who they leaned on uh because they couldn't get anything to their wide receivers does Texas have the athleticism in the pass game coverage to disrupt Loveland as well they can put a limit on him I'm not sure Michigan can score so overall I like Texas's multiplicity I'm going to go with the long horns here I I see it I see it all right let's lock it in Parker thinks Texas is going to have their way with the Wolverines this weekend so he is going to lay the seven and a half on this one we're going to keep it rolling keep it moving we go to game number Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Game Picks three and you know we we need more Big 12 ACC matchups now luckily for us these two obliged the pit Panthers travel to the Cincinnati Bearcats at noon Eastern Time on ESPN 2 and uh this is an old Big East matchup right uh Cincy a two-point home favorite here uh the pit money line is plus 110 so not big uh in the total at bet us currently 59 A5 on this uh Cincy beat pit 27 to 21 last season but before that game they were four and four straight up and against the spread against each other from 2005 through 2012 not that any of that matters uh pit is 0 and eight straight up and against the spread in their last eight as a rad dog that includes 0 and three against that number last season but never fear of course Cincinnati is almost as bad 1 and seven against the spread in their last eight as a home favorite that includes 0 and four against the spread in their last four just last season Parker tell me what what are your numbers showing here these are two teams that uh that the trend certainly don't like but uh but I'm curious what your numers show why is Cincinnati fa here is it just the pit offense that they don't that they don't like I think it's still preseason priers yeah I mean that's that's just really hard for me to figure out um for Cincinnati obviously Deontay corleon healthy but maybe not bad back for this game probably not back for this game given that he just practiced for the first time but that's great that he was out there um I'm trying to find something to be excited about for for Cincinnati and and it's just hard I mean pit is not spectacular on the offensive side of the ball and like we know what they're going to be uh generally but but Cincinnati too it just feels like they're they're not they don't even have the Personnel right now to be where they want to be um you know they last season were as bad as 118th in EPA per dropback allowed so even with pits kind struggling offense I think they'll have a lot of leeway there to um to work with uh overall I feel like Cincinnati is just really far away from where they want to be and pit is kind of who they are normally so yeah I don't love this I don't love this game at all I don't know I I I think I could be honest here I'm I'm not sure I'm gonna watch this game um I don't think I want to I'm so I'll tell you I'm a Cincy maybe partially why they're favored it was announced this morning that the ciny defensive tackle Dante corleon has been cleared to return to play yeah but there's there's no way he's playing this weekend he's he clear to practice yeah yeah yeah so I I don't think he's going to play but I wonder if the team rallies around him and and all that I mean does it do anything for emotion does it do I mean who knows who knows uh Kyle look pit looks completely different from last season and I I've got no idea what to think about Cincinnati like how how difficult is it to handicap these two teams I thought I thought Julia was back in the chat for a second because fox said pit minus 6 and a half and I'm looking at the screen like wait a second pitus 6 and a half alline maybe alt line yeah alt line there we go um Pittsburgh had 22 plays of 10 yards or more last week against Kent State I know it's Kent State but 22 plays of 10 yards and more is still really impressive um Holstein put up big numbers in that game he played very well um sometimes guys before the season uh teams lie about wanting to play faster you know everybody says Tempo we're going to play with tempo pit was telling the truth so far uh 20.67% CNA in week one I think they'll run it quite a bit explosive plays from both sides Fast Pace from pit I kind of like the over here in this one I could uh I could certainly see that I see that and that's that's part of why I like pit here right I mean 55 points last week it was the most since they beat Austin P 55 to nothing in 2020 uh Holstein I mean you mentioned him Kyle transfer from Alabama he was 30 out of 40 three touchdowns one pick 336 yards passing that is Bonkers but the running back Desmond Reed you know 14 carries 145 yards that I mean fantastic stuff out of a pit offense that we haven't seen do that kind of stuff since they had Kenny picket um like I I think this new off Cade Bell who came over from Western Carolina if if nard dog is going to let him do his thing I mean this is going to be fantastic uh the talent differential is minimal and if you're asking me to choose between Nardi and safield even after last year I'm going with Nardi especially if he's letting the OC do his thing so let me go ahead and like this one up hail to pit I'm going to take the two points with the Panthers I think they win the game out right so kind of like that plus 110 but we'll we'll take the points uh on the show here you know for the show record and whatnot all right quick reminder if you enjoy the show help us out like the video tell your friends about it and we're almost to 20,000 subscribers so hit that subscribe button if you haven't done that already and make sure and hit that notification Bell that way you know when we're going to go live and I'll go on to tell you it's every Tuesday and Wednesday 1 p.m. eastern time very easy to do if you're in the chat uh the chat excuse me toss in some questions over there uh we're going hit it during Q&A and if you notice by the way in the chat you've got some names highlighted in green Fox and and Jack and Packer 910 Etc uh those guys are members of the YouTube channel so you can hit that join button and uh I think it's 99 cents a month your questions are going to be tossed to the top of Q&A and you'll get to use some of those fun custom emojis of Kyle Parker and myself all right moving right along we go to game number four and we head over to the JMA Wireless dome which certainly doesn't Georgia Tech vs Syracuse Game Picks sound as awesome as the Carrier Dome but this is where the Syracuse Orange and first year head coach Fran Brown are going to welcome in the upstart Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets it's a noon Eastern kick on the ACC Network here Georgia Tech a threo road favorite minus 105 there at bet us Syracuse money line sits at plus 125 to win this thing outright and the total is currently 61 on this Kyle tell me this how are you adjusting your power rating to what we've seen out of Georgia Tech so far I mean I I bet the under five on these guys but they look legit right now and and granted the opening win doesn't look quite as good after last night but uh but tell me how you're adjusting yeah I've adjusted quite a bit here on Georgia Tech I think that it's not seemed too much like a fluke what they're doing and I think they're really well coached uh we've talked about before fauler one of the best offensive coordinators in football um my line for this one was Georgia Tech minus 4 um so you know uh I also thought that Syracuse was kind of disappointing in in their first game I know they did score a lot of points but uh you know the defense we'll talk about that um Syracuse is a team that I wanted to watch really closely at the start of the season because there were so many changes from last year so I'm going to be quick to adjust Syracuse's power rating I actually moved them down just a little bit um offensively they played well uh you know moved the ball well McCord uh had a lot of passing yards he did have four turnover worthy plays uh something to keep an eye on um he does make some mistakes like that um gadston a really tough matchup Allen's a good runner I think Syracuse will score quite a few points this year they picked up the pace which you know that's something I was watching too I figured they'd play a little bit faster than they did last year um but Buster Falkner a lead offensive coordinator he's going to be putting his team in great spots here against the Syracuse defense that uh look Ohio is not really a rushing Juggernaut but Ohio had 10 rushes of 10 yards or more in that game last week um even worse for Syracuse their star Defender Marlo wax like pretty easily their best defender um expected to miss six weeks so you looked bad with him and then he was out part of the game and it didn't go well now you're going to play against the Georgia Tech offense that you know Haynes King is pretty good in this offense when he first came to Georgia Tech most people didn't really care that he was coming here they thought Hayes King's been a bust he's been really good um Ian here in this game Georgia Tech minus the points if I had to bet aside I think my favorite is Georgia Tech Team total over um Team totals aren't out yet but that would be my favorite betat here in this one that that would definitely make sense I mean at Georg Tech looks Famous Last Words Haynes king is not making the the critical mistakes that he's used to so we'll see uh look last November Georgia Tech beat Syracuse 31-22 obviously these teams look drastically different this go around this is the first time Georgia Tech has been a road favorite since 2021 and uh and they are two- n against the spread in that role since 2015 Syracuse a home dog uh they are one and four against the spread since 2021 in that role so both teams pretty bad in this position uh based on preseason priors I still got Syracuse favored by about half a point here but when I updated my power ratings I mean I've got Georgia Tech by about two and a half yeah I mean I don't I don't feel great about it either way I think Georgia Tech should be significantly better than this team but again it's only been two games small data size uh Parker I mean Georgia Tech big win in Ireland travel 4,000 plus miles home then cover the spread against Georgia State now they got to travel nearly a thousand miles up to Syracuse no off weeks at some point I mean this got to catch up at some point I would think but what what should we be looking for in this one I mean the prospect of that much travel to me as someone in his you know early 30s is extremely daunting but I'm I'm less worried about the athletes I think they recovered nice and and and they did have the break last week to be able to uh to to survive even if they you know uh didn't didn't look as sharp as you'd wanted to there they they had plenty of of room uh I think this comes back to what Kyle mentioned here I I don't think this is too complex um overall I think my power ratings are a little slow to adjust I still do have Georgia Tech by about three and a half Four Points uh the big thing for me last week um Ohio rusher Anthony Tyrus had 10 runs by himself of seven or more uh he was mostly running Gap uh scheme runs which is we know Georgia Tech offense is going to do really really well he forced 14 Miss tackles this is a Mac running back against Syracuse defense and average 7.31 yards after contact per attempt um I think that excuse me for Georgia Tech to or for for Syracuse to make any improvements On The Run game they're inherently going to leave themselves exposed to Hayes king and the pass game uh and and I think that the balance and the kind of just sheer diabolical meticulousness with which George Tech has played this season in knowing their own strengths and weaknesses and knowing their opponent's strength and weaknesses and making those match up uh has just been super impressive here I think George Tech's going to keep rolling uh if they're going to get tired Gary that fatigue I think we should keep an eye on it and uh but I I don't believe that it's there uh it's still the Carrier Dome in my heart but it might not be the Carrier Dome in uh in terms of uh you know HomeField Advantage anymore and we'll see how it goes but I'm going to take George Sheek and the rushing offense and specifically Syracuse under Fran Brown to improve in rushing off or defense but to give up a little bit of that passibility to to Georgia Tech and Hanes King to have a good big game give me George Tech here yeah they Syracuse looked confused last week against Ohio I can't imagine what fauler is going to draw up here so let's lock this one in Parker going to trust that Georgia Tech running game he's going to lay the three on the road with the yellow jackets all right we carry on to game number five and we got nine of them today so we keep it moving Big 12 Arkansas vs Oklahoma St Game Prediction sec battle going on in still water and you know we had to talk about the team that hit the golden eckel this past weekend right the Arkansas Razer backs are going to visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys it's a noon Eastern kick on ABC Oklahoma State opened a 9 and a half Point home favorite but that number all the way down to 7 and A2 now at bet us Arkansas money line plus 250 and uh in the total sits at 62 and a half on this one uh could get pointy could get pointy this is a fun helmet game here Parker you you got a favorite helmet on this one um I don't like the shiny hog but otherwise I like the classic hog the classic hog okay okay Kyle what about you Arkansas here yeah I'm going to side with Arkansas one of course no orange and two I mean that razor back Is Awesome on that red and I don't I don't care if it's shiny or classic or whatever I mean it's a good looking helmet good looking helmet all right Trends right quick Arkansas straight money as a road dog last year 4-0 against the spread in that spot Oklahoma state was only two and three against the spread as a home favorite last season and uh and they're four- six against the spread in their last 10 as a touchdown or more favorite so not a great spot for gundian boys Parker anytime you got Bobby patrino and Mike Gundy scheming it up on opposite sides I feel like we're going to have a pretty fun ball game what you expecting in Still Water yeah should be should be a lot of fun shout out to the to the gold neckel there 10 drives 10 quality possessions seven points per quality possession for Arkansas they haven't scored 60 since against UT Martin in 2015 I think I I looked that up and saw so uh fun for Arkansas to have that even accounting for the opponent they had 10 receivers with at least two Targets I'm not sure that Arkansas has a dude at the wide receiver position but with Bob trino they're willing to spread it around another thing that I noticed um they were balanced almost 50/50 on Zone and GAP run last season they were super Gap heavy so with patrino back in there maybe a little bit more Zone maybe a little bit more diversity in the Run scheme less quarterback dominant less uh rocket Sanders dominant so uh really interesting to see how that mix continues oi Gordon last week 27 touches only 3.9 yards per attempt against South Dakota State um he fist he he forced 12 Miss tackles but only had 2.78 yards after contact per Rush um that wasn't an amazing game some of that might be o line related which is what I'm watching for in this game against Arkansas's defense uh the offensive line didn't have a great game and South Dakota State's well coached but there's some turnover and uh I feel like Oklahoma State should have looked better there um overall run defense wasn't exactly Arkansas's Forte last year they were 74th in EPA per play allowed but um yeah I want to see how that works contrary to Arkansas spreading the ball around Oklahoma State's going to be super concentrated in Presley strippling and Owings they had 23 of 32 targets last week uh so we'll see how how they can kind of spread the ball around and try to dial out some explosives this season um I think it really comes down to the Run game for Oklahoma state is is Gordon going to be able to and that offensive line going to be able to sustain the volume and explosiveness that they did last year I like how you said you know adjusting for opponent basically like Arkansas pind Bluff is terrible and in Oklahoma State like South Dakota state is a national championship caliber FCS program they they'd probably be what top 35 top 40 in FBS so I mean that's what what I think what Oklahoma state did last week was pretty impressive but yes you would have liked to have seen more from uh from Gordon for sure Kyle I mean Arkansas did put up a ton of points last week and I mean it's just like Parker talked about uh the offense looks like a lot of fun they we don't know if they got that dude at wide receiver but uh you know I'm I'm curious and of course Oklahoma State whipped a pretty good South Dakota State team Kyle give me give me your handicap on this one so my take is um Arkansas blasted Pine Bluff Pine Bluff is so bad I can't make anything out of that one I tried to go back and watch some of that game just um you know just terrible ton green though has potential to be really good inside this offense and I think patrino is such a good offensive mind based on what Arkansas has had the past couple years for OC's and the way they scheme things up I think it's a big upgrade it's just hard to know exactly what to expect because they played Pine Bluff on the other side I mean you could argue that Oklahoma State didn't really whip uh South Dakota state that much because the jack rabbits average 6.0 yards per play Oklahoma State 5.5 yards per play field position was the key Oklahoma State average starting on their own 40 yard line South Dakota State on their own 21 just a massive difference there Oklahoma State allowed 16 plays of 10 yards or more in that game and six plays of 20 yards or more so they gave up quite a few big plays I just don't have enough information on Arkansas to bet this game I made it higher than this but I mean I think it's completely possible that I need to upgrade Arkansas so I want to watch and see in this one with the preseason prior still in it my number on it was uh seven and a half so it's right on the number um I feel like Oklahoma state would be my lean here but I mean you you want to talk about Talent differentials Arkansas widely expected to be one of the worst teams in the SEC Oklahoma State one of the best one of the best in the Big 12 Arkansas is number 26 in team Talent composite and the Cowboys are number 53 now with that said I mean there's way more experience here for Oklahoma State they're number two in adjusted returning production but Arkansas threw one game I mean they're number one in success rate margin they're number four in PPA margin uh they did exactly what they were supposed to do against a a really bad team I mean I'm I'm staying away from it because my numbers right on it but I I do think we're going to get to see fireworks here so no lock on this but uh but I think we can expect points for sure all right we move on game number six that's right six Kansas St vs Tulane Game Picks out of nine here and we're going to go down to the Bayou right no and Louisiana where the two-l Green Wave are hosting the Kansas State Wildcats and of course Dynamic quarterback Avery Johnson on Saturday this one's new in Eastern Time on ESPN Kansas State a 9 and a half Point Road favorite at bet us two-lane money line plus 295 and the total is sitting at 49 points here uh two lane went to Manhattan and got a 17-10 win in 2022 uh last year the new two-lane coach John SRA he took his Troy Trojans up to the little apple and caught a 42 to 42- 13 loss to the wild cats Kansas State went 0 and2 against the spread as a road favored of more than a touchdown two lane only one and three against the spread since 2021 as a home dog they are not in this position very often so the trends ain't really good for either if we're being honest Kyle we all know about ay Johnson the Wildcat Superstar quarterback but I mean two lane started red trip freshman like a three star kid named uh let's see Daren Minah uh and he proceeded to go 10 out of 12 205 yards two touchdowns last week and granted it was Southeast Louisiana but I mean even Avery Johnson was only 14 out of 21 for 153 yards with two TDS and a pick against UT Martin last week uh did your thoughts change at all on these two teams after after one week C so I wanted to be kind of low on Tane coming into the season but I had to upgrade them a little bit um I think it was surprising that Mena started um he played well in that game definitely it's hard to go off with too much from one game from either of these two teams based on who they played obviously um you know this game's going to tell us quite a bit I do think that you know we should keep in mind that just betting on Chris kimman has been a really good system or Trend over the long term I mean you know kimman has covered like 70% of spreads just if you just bet his team so do I want to bet against Chris kman I absolutely do not I think it it leaves me with I'm betting Kansas State or I'm passing um Kansas State's defense I think will be much improved this year I think that IA State game ruined their run defense numbers from last year and that was kind of a fluke we know that um they're a solid run defense I think their secondary is fantastic Tain you know what what are they going to do here against a uh I think tain's secondary is their weakness and I I don't know that Kansas state is the team that can just throw it around on their secondary that's why I'm not going to bet Kansas state myen is Kansas State uh I think both teams play Slowly if you look at the tempo they played in the first game now obviously they're winning by a lot but I do expect a lot of runs a lot of U slow tempo I lean under here in this game I think that's my favorite but uh you make me pick aide I'm taking climb in I could I could see that and some all to his credit though pretty profitable right as a uh as a coach uh the talent differential here surprisingly even number 62 Talent composite for two lane number 64 for Kansas State I was a little bit shocked by that I trust kayman's offensive line a lot but they I think they are going to be tested here by you know Jenkins Anderson Hicks ETA on the Green Wave defensive line sommerall versus kimman is going to be a fun fun coaching matchup Parker I mean talk to me about what we can expect in the Crescent City on early Saturday yeah you distracted me for a second because I was trying to figure out how much of the differential yeah so two lane has what 10 points from Horton and Tai Thompson there or like nine points those are the difference and those guys aren't even playing in team Talent composite so that's really interesting uh that it's just a rabbit Trail I wanted to go down there yeah um I A Johnson only run the ball ran the ball three times last year or golly last week in the game that they played on the football field last week and um I'm interested are they are they playing my man in structure like that's really interesting he was kept clean on 86.4% of his passes and he made some of those intermediate passes he wasn't great against pressure um I'm high on two lanes d d line you mentioned some of those guys also Aiden Hudson is is there as well super disruptive but if Tain has a weak secondary and commits to the pass rush Avery Johnson just gets to run and that's what he's better at overall so I like kind of the game theory back and forth here for that uh I did kind of want to just say Kyle Kyle took my thunder there a little bit I did want to just say Chris kimman next question uh and let this one be quick but I actually like two lane I like two lane I like Kansas Cate a lot here I think that um you know they're they're they're going to go um a lot to Jace Brown DJ gens is super explosive Dante cus not super utilized last last year uh and comes in as well gives them an option too I think they're multiple on offense as well against the secondary that's pretty rough so even while the battle on the trenches will be good I do expect Kansas State to play with structure for Avery Johnson and when that breaks down have a great great second option and Avery Johnson running and playing a little bit more kind of chaos ball so give me the wild cats here and let's go ahead and lock that in all right Parker going to lay all those points with Kansas State I can uh I can understand it I mean it's tough to bet against Chris kman minus 9 and a half here for Kansas State Parker is going to roll roll with it a quick reminder of course help us out like the video subscribe to the channel we W to get to 20K this week and we we would prefer to do it before tomorrow like let's go ahead and knock this thing out let's get this thing done um all right subscribe if you havn't subscribed hit the notification Bell you guys know all that kind of stuff um and oh of course N. Illinois vs Notre Dame Game Picks we have a ton of other great shows in the BET us TV network we got a slew of experts that know what they're doing so check out bv.com for that game number seven that's right fresh off a big road victory in College Station last week the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are going to host the Northern Illinois Huskies it's 3:30 p.m. eastern time on NBC and this number dropped a little bit Notre Dame opened up as a 30-point favorite I believe and uh and this one is currently 28 A5 in favor of the Irish uh 45 is the current total at bet us not to aame three and2 against the spread since 2019 as a more than four touchdown favorite so not often that they're in this position but they are six-1 against the spread as a more than 20po favorite since the end of 2022 found that very interesting uh Northern Illinois six and two against the spread in their last eight as a double- digit Road dog so Thomas hammock all them fellas know how to cover these kind of numbers for sure Parker look I started going back through some of these and you're reading box scores and you're trying to check it out like Northern Illinois's quarterback Ethan Hampton looked against an FCS team last week 18 out of 20 328 yards five touchdowns and of course their skill players on onario Brown Trayvon Rudolph I mean they they looked great is it possible just just roll with me here is it possible that Northern Illinois has a better offense than what Notre Dame faced in College Station last week what do you say Parker from a talent perspective no no I don't think I don't think it is and from a hey we're organized perspective may maybe arguably um is it possible that like Kyle Field last year was actually or last week was actually hard for Texas A&M because like Wegman hadn't played in a huge game there and Colin Klein hadn't coached there and Mike Elco hadn't coached there whereas like Notre Dame has gone into the belly of the beast in multiple locations and is more experienced I wonder if that matters at all that's a side uh a rabbit Trail there kind of a an exit on the highway but uh Ethan Hampton looked interesting you know it's like what is what is Northern Illinois going to do in the post Rocky Lombardi era and so much of that era for him was characterized by just absolute grit and determination to to do things when weren't going to happen um I I can't get too excited about Northern Illinois offense especially because um I mean the pass game is Just Notre Dame's defense is just so Elite in the past there um the the way to cause Havoc against Notre Dame is going to be disrupt the offensive line and honestly they Rose to the challenge last week they looked great uh even starting the Freshman there so uh I'm not optimistic about Northern Illinois uh in anything other than just like Pace because I don't think there's a lot of incentive for Notre Dame to let things fly high uh in this situation but um yeah I was trying to figure out which one of you put this game on the uh on the seet and then I looked at who it was and I thought okay that makes sense and then I looked at the play and I thought this is not what I was expecting here so uh I don't have a play on this one um we'll be interested to see what what Northern Illinois kind of explosiveness does translate to you know one of the best pass defenses in in college football and how much Notre Dame cares here right now you guys know I got to talk Talon right Notre Dame number 10 in Talent composite Northern Illinois is number 124 that is a massive massive yeah like I I did not expect an I use offense to hum like they did even against Western Illinois last week but like Parker talked about they face an absolute beast in Al Golden's defense this week Kyle tell me what you're seeing here yeah I lik uh over in the chat Steve says weird game to include I include weird games Steve this is this is what Happ St Steve must be new here welcome Steve we're glad you're here but it sounds like Steve's new here but we let's be honest we are going to talk the big games so you know this is just one of the games we're talking about out um Notre Dame goes down to College Station picks up a really hard fought win over A&M definitely a potential let down spot they play Purdue next game another team from Indiana um you know if you're going to overlook one game this would be the game you overlook I think Northern Illinois stronger in the trenches than your average ma team by quite a bit too Thomas hammock 15 and five against the spread as a road Underdog um an average ATS margin of plus 5.1 so his team have done really well in this spot they had over 700 yards of offense last week Western Illinois is really bad so I don't wouldn't read too much into that but I think Northern Illinois's offensive line might be the best in the Mac uh you know you got Rudolph a star on the outside you know maybe they can hit a couple big gainers this is not me betting Northern Illinois because I'm want to fade Notre Dame I think Notre Dame is a very good team but this is a ton of points against a Mac team that I think will come in well prepared and cares about this game more than Notre Dame does finally the weather here so you know I like to talk weather whenever I can um sustained winds of 18 mph in this game guys wind is a great equalizer uh if you're an underdog that likes to run you want 18 mph wind that's exactly what we have in this one so a total of only 45 points you're getting 28 and A2 I have to bet up Northern Illinois here so that's my play and this uh so seeing Steve in the chat this is a good time to explain that the goal of this show is to pick winners we are trying to find Value and it doesn't matter if it's Northern Illinois or if it's Tennessee NC State or whatever so we are looking for value on these games now we are going to talk the big games we don't always have a pick uh on some of these big ones but we will talk the big Brands but let's go and lock that one in Kyle's first pick of the show today he's taking the huskys and all 28 and a half of those points in South Bend on Saturday afternoon that takes us to game number eight here and it is our next to last game Dave Aranda Baylor vs Utah Game Picks that's right Baylor Bears they head to Salt Lake City this is a non-conference matchup between two big 12 teams uh and they're going to take on the Utah Utes at 3:30 p.m. eastern time on Fox and that's right you heard it correctly both teams are in the Big 12 but this game does not count in the conference standings it was scheduled before Utah joined the conference they decided to just keep it so it is what it is uh Utah opened as a 15 and a half Point favorite at home here they are currently a 14-point favorite juice at- 115 at bet us the Baylor money line plus 475 and the total sitting at 53 A5 on this Kyle last year Utah won 20-3 as a seven-point favored in Waco Utah got back a bunch of dudes they looked good last week even with a few uncharacteristic mistakes uh Baylor had to redo everything and they got a new offensive coordinator Jake spavital that's calling the plays I mean does 14 and a half feel about right to you what what do you think about this number well I think dcoin Finn looked pretty good last week he did have two turnovers in game one Finn had 19 turnover worthy plays last year so um uh he needs to make good decisions you know that's kind of the question mark about him he's likely to be under a lot of pressure from Utah in this one uh if he doesn't make good decisions here things could go sideways really fast uh Stanley had a big game last week for Utah keithy being back he was uh really good last week Rising had 254 passing yards on 15 attempts so wildly efficient there from him I think the Utah passing attack has a big advantage over the Baylor secondary um I think Baylor's better than they were last year by a decent amount but I think Utah is much better than they were last year too now the first week doesn't tell us too much because of who they played against um my number is 15 here if my number is near the market in a Utah game I'm going to lean Kyle Whittingham in Utah uh no play for me and I think we might disagree a little bit in this one but some slight disagreement among friends is always a good thing right oh yeah oh yeah it's a we're trying to figure out the market trying to figure it out Baylor 0 and three against the spread the last two SE Seasons as a double- digit Road dog Utah is seven and two against the number in the last two seasons as a double- digit home favorite but they were just two and two last year uh now granted that was a bunch of guys getting hurt and whatnot Parker I think this has the chance to be a really fun quarterback matchup you got cam rising and then of course KY mentioned Toledo transferred towan Finn what are your numberers show Happening Here Yeah I I'm gonna just entirely monopolize this to talk about Baylor's quarterback room issues and how they've just like colossally screwed that up but dquan F Finn does seem to be a way to patch that over a little bit feels like an odd match with a spavital offense for what Finn did last year took a step back in terms of total dropbacks um and you know a lot of um just just a lot of run heavy kind of opportunities passing was very few and far between at Toledo they were Rush R over expected team uh and they rushed a lot he didn't I mean he looked fine in that game I'm not going to take anything away from a one um a one game sample and they've got some weapons on offense like monter Bal is just a hard match up from a speed standpoint overall uh the offense last season I don't think was as you know the problem uh and even quarterback play wasn't the problem as much as like Baylor had some mat rule dudes on defense and then just they all graduated and Baylor hasn't been able to recapture the magic there uh which is odd because you have Dave Randa who's a great defensive coach but a great defensive coach and a great defensive Talent aggregator are entirely different things there so I'm not in love with Baylor in this spot overall I can buy some more consistency you think about the distribution of play on offense shifting to the right so that that lower tail gets minimized for Baylor and they can play more consistently overall uh I think I think I said this last week with Utah like having keithy there as um you know in so far as the Big 12 is a rushing League having that combination of rising and keithy there is going to be a two-man game that's really really hard for defenses to to play so no play for me I actually will I think we'll learn a lot about Baylor and what they're going to put on the defensive side playing one of the most kind of even though they're a new team one of the most big 12 offenses that that we've seen uh out out of the Utah here Baylor is number five in adjusted returning production Utah is number 40 right and and I don't know how you quantify getting guys back that didn't play at all last year but played a lot before that but regardless uh Utah is number 33 in team Talent Baylor is number 44 both teams showed off explosive ability in week one both teams made mistakes they turn the ball over Etc I I feel like we're going to see a really good football game in Sal Lake City and I think the 14 is too many like my projected number on this was actually 9 a half I kind of like Baylor's lines of scrimmage right now I went back watched a little bit of that tape and I I was I was more impressed with them than I was last year now that was this was against a tomato can but but we're going to see what that looks like against Utah uh I liked 15 and a half better but uh but let me go ahead and lock it in I'll still take the 14 with Baylor on this one I I think this one could be pretty I think this one could be tight I think it could be tight so I'm going to take the 14 with the Baylor Bears all right we move on to our last game of the day oh E. Michigan vs Washington Game Picks yes and we're going to Seattle Chris kraton and the Eastern Michigan Eagles are going to visit Jed fish and the Washington Huskies this is a 3:30 p.m. eastern time kick on the Big 10 Network and that feels really weird to say for a Washington game maybe not so much for Eastern Michigan but still Washington a 27 a half Point home favorite minus 115 the juice at bet us and the current total sits at 475 look at that money line plus 1,600 if you believe in the Eagles that's what I'm talking about Parker look my number here is closer to 18 but I mean my model has freaking loved G5 so far this season and some some have been great some have been not so good tell me uh tell me what your number say on this yeah um I I I like Washington here by about 26 which is the coward's answer because I'm going to be a little bit more um condensed here in there early season uh but it's hard it's hard to you know it's hard to not love Chris kraton and if I could put a random effect in my model that said uh Chris kraton to cover I think I I think I would just toss it in there explicitly um really good pressure against UMass last week from Eastern Michigan that's what I'm interested in in kind of a new Washington offense new on the offensive line new at the quarterback position new in the offensive coordinator position uh but three guys had three uh three or more pressures last week uh so obviously that is UMass but 18 total pressures is pretty dang disrup in any game against anybody so that'll be something to watch especially as we we imagine that Washington will still be working out the Kinks and we know Eastern Michigan is feisty I know you guys have play one of you guys has a play on this so I won't spend too long on that but that's the one stat that kind of stood out for me Eastern Michigan Trends right quick Eastern Michigan four and one against the spread their last five as a double- digit Road dog kraton that dude has got a pack of wild dogs that are going to fight you in the parking lot so covering big spreads makes a whole lot of sense for him Washington completely different team but they were three and three against spread as a double- digit home favorite last season a massive Talent differential here right at number 35 for Washington and number 109 for Eastern Michigan Kyle Eastern Michigan's Advanced stats are always bad always bad but they always find a way to turn the games in the Rock fights like what what are you looking at in this one yeah Eastern Michigan you always look at them and wonder how they covered as many spreads how did they get to a bowl game how are they at this point uh one is they're always really good on special teams that makes a big difference definitely um second Chris kraton's team never quits I mean they keep going all the time uh very Scrappy defense they're not wildly talented by any means but they're never going to quit take a peek at Washington schedule they play Washington State next week then they start the Big 10 schedule if there was a game they'd Overlook to some degree this would be the one kraton as an underdog you know I was going to say this so here we go uh 35 and 16 against the spread as an underdog dating back to 2016 um 27- n against the spread as a road Underdog and 27-9 against the spread with an average plus 6.2 average ATS margin I think that might be as good as anybody in the country so Katon teams have been fantastic in this spot and I won't go too in depth here because I want to get to the Q&A as well but the Eastern Michigan uh quarterback spot last year Smith could not throw the ball like I mean he really could not throw the ball so I know Cole Snider had a rough last year he was good two years ago Cole Snider four big time throws last week zero turnover worthy plays 2.4 seconds to throw on average like he just has to be okay for it to be a decent upgrade from last year it doesn't have to be really good I don't think this is going to be pretty uh I was hoping this would get to 28 but I'm back in Eastern Michigan here plus the points I love it I love it Kyle's going to lock in Eastern Michigan plus 27 and a half and who can blame him for siding with Chris kraton as a dog not not me my friends not me so we're locking that one in on that all right that's right it's time for Q&A let's go and get to it let's get to see what the chat has got going today and we do have a few questions here NCAAF Week 2 Q&A we'll start off Packer 910 said Parker has Collins and monachino I hope I said that right done magic with uncc's defense or was it a one-off I mean they had a negative net success rate and a negative EPA per play they in all intents and purposes probably should have lost that game some of that has to do with UM quarterback injury and some of the weather and the delay and all that um I don't I'm not going to call that magic yet I don't know that a game against Minnesota like that is is certainly magic um you know they they put together some okay performances uh we'll see what they do I I I obviously think that's a step up and I like Collins uh from what they've had in the past but no I'm not I'm not uh I'm not changing my priors to hugely on on North Carolina from that one game where on a lot of the underlying metrics they got outplayed next one from Robert no no sorry from Jack Hammond uh Q&A thoughts on Auburn Cal this week Au offense looking way improved all right let me let me go ahead and tell you when you play a team that is really really bad that does not mean that the offense is improved now yes they do have wide receivers now that certainly helps things but Auburn was putting up these kind of points against really bad FCS teams last year and that did they play Alabama state or Alabama A&M it I don't remember which one but I did not really change a whole lot on my power rating for Auburn based on this and and kind of the same with cal cal didn't look great uh playing against the FCS team as well but it is real tough to figure out who is motivated in those games and who's not so you know the number is like 13 right now I made it eight and a half God I mean but I still don't feel good about betting Cal per se so I think it it might be up to 13 and a half that thing is to 14 I might play back the other way Kyle what what do you think about that one I had this one at 11 and a half I don't think it matters what they did last week against Alabama m i mean 73 to3 against them we're kind of talking similar as what we said about Pine Bluff against Arkansas um Payton Thorne 322 yards I want to believe pton Thorne being a great passing quarterback when I see it against a decent defense yes yes indeed uh Robert S hey fellas what do you think about the Texas Tech Washington State game and uh Parker uh Tex Tech oh well I don't know what that was uh yeah it's hard1 over aelyn Christian like what are we I watch I watched the end of that and uh and and I got to say like one if you're a 30-point dog don't go overtime you line up right there you know immediately we're going for two in regulation and we're losing don't do that to yourselves um I have Washington State slightly favored here um I think the inconsistency on Texas Tech offense despite having a good rushing offense like it just felt like again with Morton at quarterback they they they W they there was a mismatch between what they wanted to do and what they could do so I'm not you know dramatically text text team I mentioned the open open of the show is like hey they'll tune up and and look a little bit better than they looked last season but I think Washington State could be a little Plucky in this situation on the road it's hard after you know an overtime game that was emotionally draining as well as phys physically draining uh I don't love either side here I I want to see what both of these teams look like against Real competition next one on the board Parker we're well let's do wo guy uh he's a new member here is UNLV yes is you lV for real this year and I don't know if that was like a Houston if it was just because Houston is so bad right now or if it's that you like you know is good but I need another data point Parker you feel the same Houston's in a year zero situation I like coach Fritz I I like people over there I think they're doing a good job I think the timeline's just a little bit longer um that's a really hard offense to account for especially if you're still figuring out who's got who's our Personnel they lost some guys uh last season that really helped them as well kind of time time wise uh the defense from UCLA or UNLV looked looked good enough but I'm I'm gonna say less nice things about the UNLV defense and more bad things I think about Houston's offense overall they're they're they're struggling pretty mightily so UNLV I expect them to be exactly this punch above their weight uh have offense that's going to be super annoying they have it cut out for him beat beat boy uh win the Mountain West you're going to the playoff like I think the clear path is there for them so uh solid win by UNLV love what they're doing together Ricky White is a name you should know if you don't know it already and shout out to Matt sluka transferring up from SCS looking good yes has looked good has looked good thus far uh Kyle Yari B jumped in he said better dog this week Troy plus 19 against Memphis or Buffalo plus 35 at Missouri um that Troy line is massive isn't it I mean I feel like that was a huge overreaction uh to Troy getting beat by what might be actually a pretty decent Nevada team I don't I feel like number just went haywire and it I mean it's gotten steamed again and yeah I I feel weird about that one but also 35 is a lot of points for Missouri right and Pete limbo knows them yeah I I don't I don't love either of these uh Troy is a team I kind of wanted to bet against I took the season win total under on Troy uh but I think 19's probably too much there Troy would probably be the one I pick and and Nevada I mean what a coaching job in two games I mean Cho is doing some tremendous work makes you wonder what was going on last year but that's it's great job here that he's doing uh Missouri has Boston College at home next week uh Memphis plays at Florida State next Saturday so maybe Troy May Memphis probably looking at this going we might have a shot against the simol we we want to be dialed into that but you don't want to you don't want to overlook Troy um Slippery Rock jumped in said thought on Jacksonville State at Louisville in Louisville minus 28 Parker I would love to know your thoughts on Jacksonville State I think Jacksonville State had a couple bad plays has a couple glaring weaknesses and then just totally fell apart just got in their own heads and completely fell apart I think they looked way worse than they were I think that they um maybe didn't expect very much out of coastal um but yeah just I mean Absolut the worst the worst possible game there um maybe there's some coaching Advantage with Rich Rod you know coming back and saying let's let's Rite the ship uh I'm out on them for the foreseeable future um I do not think that they are a team I'm I'm I'm watching but I'm saying okay I thought they were going to come out swinging they're a little slow starting I don't know what it's going to click I I'm not I'm not interested in them at all right now let's uh let's grab two more questions here Gary K jumped in said Death Valley is a pretty hard place to get the dub but can App State pull off this upset they are plus 625 on the money line my bet would be no because I think that Dabo is going to have them fired up after just getting embarrassed by Georgia last week uh our buddy Corby put out on Twitter that he likes the over in that one it's a 52 and a half right now so potentially maybe something to look at there I trust Corby uh so yeah but I no I mean can they do it yeah absolutely like AB State win the Texas am and did it last year but I think Clemson is better than what they looked like I mean it was Georgia in Atlanta what are we talking about like how many teams are going to beat Georgia in Atlanta or look any better than Clemson did so I I don't think too much of that one Kyle what do you what do you think about this well Gary I mean we've kind of talked about all of us have talked about dbos sween's weaknesses as a coach lately and now they're not quite what they used to be obviously but he is still a good coach at bouncing back from losses like this you know when you think that Clemson is going to be you know some hangover effect from the last game it hasn't been the case I mean he's good at getting a team up for every game I I I think that they'll be ready to go in this one if they're ready to go um I don't know I don't think AB state has too much of a chance all right wavy wack jumped in Let's uh let's do this one this will close us out for Q&A and said I know it's only been week two or it's only week two but there must be some Rumblings in Tallahassee this team went 13 and0 and won the ACC last year like no I don't think there's any Rumblings at all other other than maybe a quarterback change but no five NFL five NFL guys that they lost like I mean it's very clear what's going on is like they chose the wrong transfer portal quarterback that's fine but also like they're just wide receivers aren't who they were last year and Bell as well like they just don't have those dudes on offense I think that's really really like we you knew it was going to be a down year for FSU you 100% knew and there's some qualms with all that but like to bail on norel after what you've invested in him to keep him there you know and he didn't go to Alabama like that I feel like feels way way way premature you got to keep in mind the development cycle of college football success got to keep that in mind I think it would be a huge uh and and comical error for them to part with norval right now yeah bud believes that they they went after the portal harder than they maybe would have based on just the fact alone that they didn't make the playoff that they got snubbed last year and I yeah I think I kind of see it I think I kind of say K what do you what do you think here I mean this is I don't I don't think there's any chance that Norville is not going to be around after this season what about you no I think that uh the question is just dju it's not about norell um and people are kind of want to say Dion you know like Deon FSU and that's going to be some Message Board chat and stuff but I don't see that as being realistic no no no no that uh that thing got fractured quickly very quickly all right make sure to toss any other questions into the comments on YouTube or you can reach out to us on X we're going to do our best to get you an answer uh went through last week I believe Friday night uh some on Saturday morning tried to answer as many as I could I'm going to do that on probably Wednesday afternoon and Thursday this week try and get them out a little bit quicker but toss in your questions into the comments and uh and we will jump in there and do that all right let's go ahead and uh recap our records thus far show you what we've gotten what we've done I uh I went four NCAAF Betting Record and three last week so four- four overall on the season because I I did bet on Florida State in week zero uh Parker went three and three last week uh so he is now three and five on the season and Kyle 4 and one last week and W bet us Capper of the week and that puts us at 11- 10 overall so you know not bad to start the season it's not profitable it's not losing it's not terrible that's okay so let's go ahead and check out our Best Bets from today's show oh yes Parker you start us off here NCAAF Best Bets Week 2 tell me what you got today got a trio of favorites here I like Texas minus 7 and a half Georgia Tech minus three and Kansas State minus 9 and a half all right I am rolling with the pit Panthers nard dog plus two that's right and Baylor plus 14 on the road at Utah Kyle tell me uh tell me what you got here I'm going to take two Big Mac dogs here Northern Illinois plus 28 and A2 and Eastern Michigan plus 27 A2 definitely tune in tomorrow we got to get some totals on that board oh yes I like the Big Mac dogs though that's good all right let always make sure and keep an eye on the latest odds of course bv.com Odes and you can join in on the action at bv.com jooin that is going to do it for today's show uh just a reminder we are here every Tuesday and Wednesday throughout the college football season 1: P p.m. eastern time so make sure you are subscribed get us over that 20K Mark and of course that you hit the notification Bell so you know when we are live uh you can follow the fellas on X Parker stats of War Kyle is at Kyle Hunter piix and you can follow me at Gary WCE we appreciate all of you the chat is fantastic thank you for being here and with that said for bet us where the game begins God bless college football and we will see you all again tomorrow thanks for watching the BET us college football show subscribe to the channel below give this video a thumbs up and also drop a comment down below we'll be in the YouTube comments chatting it up with you guys [Music] oh [Music]