🚨 College Football Best Bets! Top Week 1 College Football Free Picks (AFTERNOOON GAMES)

hey guys welcome back to the channel Mark here with the better Mark let's get into the afternoon slate here for week one college football we have an action pack day not just with these 3:30 4:00 4:30 games uh we have a very exciting match up tonight with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and uh the Texas A&M agies Johnny Manzel the celebrity guest picker there on game day uh we have a great uh matchup tomorrow within LSU and USC uh this is really a great week one really looking forward to some of these games and contest test and as always we're going to give you guys all the Best Bets right here live on the channel we have six Best Bets on this afternoon slate so make sure you guys all stick around to the end if you have not done so please subscribe down below to the Channel smash that like button and feel free let me know what you guys will be betting Down Below in the comments box okay but let's get it going let's talk about it we got a lot of stuff to get into uh I'm going to try to keep this video as short as possible because I know you guys have a lot of stuff to do on a Saturday so I'll give you guys my take my analysis and then obviously my Best Bets towards the the end of this video okay so let's get into it let's talk about what's happening uh we'll get into the odds jam and if you guys want to sign up with odds Jam this is a great time to do so use my promo code TBM uh for 35% off your monthly and or annual plan it's a very great tool within Sports G gambling I use it on every one of my bets uh quite frankly I don't make a bet without it if you're looking to get ingame live action um you find the best number available it does save you time and money it's fully worth it I use on every one of my bets and uh I'm going to use it for the context of this video breakdown of my Best Bets because uh like I said it's going to give you guys the best numbers so that's why we're here and let's get down into the picks okay now the first game we're going to talk about is a 3:00 matchup between Portland State and Washington State now the reason why we're betting this game uh quite frankly is just it's simply put it's cam Ward is not a member of the Washington State um uh Team anymore and what we're going to talk about here is kind of the Nar of here where uh you take all that offensive production you take it out of the equation and you you end up with a game where quite frankly I think that um it's going to lend towards a little bit of the unknown okay so I don't really get into numbers too much here um that's not how I do it um you know quite frankly week one uh there's really no numbers to go off of how can we use any Washington State numbers or data uh from last year uh to compile the best bet that we're going to make because it it's something where this is a whole new offense uh it's going to be a whole new system kind of whole new everything so I'm not going to take any of these numbers that's not how I do it um and quite frankly I could have a channel where we talk for an hour and a half because to get into all those numbers it's really going to waste a lot of your guys' time because the really only thing that matters is who wins and cashing that ticket okay uh but in this game I don't think that Washington state is going to lose this game however the 28 and a half for Portland State it's just a playoff the number give me four touchdowns on the road in this opener um I think Washington State rolls but I think 28 and half present some value with the uh cam Ward absent Washington State um Washington State team and quite frankly um if we look further into this the Cougars I don't see them uh kind of I guess you would say one of the best fan bases but I don't see them kind of getting it done uh CRA in a crazy way okay uh we look at kind of what they were able to do last year um you can you can look into the numbers and yeah it was a little bit underwhelming I think on state very very much uh over overmatched in this contest but 28 and half just a little too much so lock it in that's my first best bet minus 110 okay and then the next game we're going to get into is a huge game there's a lot of money uh flowing around this game uh this is a match up between Florida and the likes of um the Miami Hurricanes uh quite frankly this is a game where uh you look at n nil money you look at what Miami is able to do with Mario crystal ball uh they have a lot of influence okay a lot of inflows that's actually where Cam Ward settled and this is where you're seeing a lot of movement right we saw this game open at two uh that's a great number to have uh if you're going to bet both sides of the equation if you're really uh 50% you know if you don't really know who you're betting I think two is the right number uh quite frankly I like the Gators in this contest I like them on the money line I think they're going to be playing um you know at uh Ben Hill Griffin Stadium uh 330 kickoff this is where we're going to be all over Florida I'm going to take the field goal plus three for the Gators uh we can look at some of the money too flowing uh and I do use uh outlier for this this is another tool that I use within my sports betting Arsenal uh it really arms me with the best bet possible as well uh but this is where we look into this 330 game and I want to pull up kind of the the pros vers Joe's this okay because right now we're seeing 96% of the money is on the Miami Hurricanes uh but in terms of the spread it's a little bit right down the middle 50% that's why we're see see this at a plus two and A2 you can find the field goal out there so if you can find the plus three that's what we're going to take I I don't really quite frankly like um in terms of the Florida Gators um this this narrative uh within kind of Billy Napier I think they've really underachieved as a program uh this is something where you look at what the steam was before he became head coach there in Gainesville um not getting it done I think both of these coaches are going to be on the seat this year more specifically this is a game that Miami needs a win with what their boosters and donors have been doing in terms of nil uh if they don't win this game I could see basically one of these coaches being uh outed uh for um you know before the 2025 season so uh that's where we're going to take the Florida Gator I know on the money line Miami is kind of the play minus 132 is the best number so if you like the Hurricanes um I'm not mad at you like I said I just think there's value taking Florida with the field goal uh wor worst case maybe we get a push uh or Florida rolls in this matchup 330 kick on ABC and let's get the Gators uh in the wind column here uh but we'll take the field goal here plus three minus 115 okay then the next bet we're going to get into is the Texas uh Longhorns and this is a game where if we get into kind of where who they're what they're doing uh we look at uh the Colorado State Rams coming into town um this is something where I think Texas we all know kind of the The Narrative uh the highest paid uh the highest paid quarterback in terms of nilo money uh it goes to uh I believe it's shur Sanders um so this is going to be a matchup between uh kind of who's going to be that number one draft pick uh per se um and also I think that you have to see Arch Manning um you know that's the whole story with him being backup uh but Quinn ERS this is something where there's going to be a lot of competition here I think that both of these um teams are going to score a lot of points I think this is is something where you look at Quinn ERS and what he's able to do um in Arch Manning and his nio money uh I think this is something where you know Quinn ERS is going to get that start whether or not we see a quarterback controversy that's yet to be determined I think Texas is going to score a lot of a lot of points here okay that's just kind of where I'm at uh Steve sarkeesian uh it's something where you got to understand the offense that he runs uh they're going to put up a ton ton of points here um I think they're going to be motiv moated I think they're going to come out hot I think Colorado State on the backend is going to be able to score points as well so I do like the total on this one we're going to take over 59 a half uh with the Longhorns Colorado State game uh coming to you guys live 3:30 uh this is one where we're going to see this one uh kickoff um and I believe this one's going to be on ESPN so uh that's a game I'm interested in watching Colorado State's no slouch they're going to be able to score uh I think at least 14 points I think we see a 40 plus um 45 plus uh performance from Texas possibly even into the 50s maybe we get a 50 to 20 game I just think that this is a higher total at 60 uh so let's get on that 59 A5 minus 110 and go for the over okay that'll be my third best bet the next game we're going to talk about is acon in Ohio State okay uh one of the weird things about Ohio State in in their program yes uh annually perennially they are a Powerhouse yes a lot of people think they have the best roster yes a lot of people think that with what they're able to do um offensively uh I know they lose Marvin Harrison uh but what they were able to bring in uh they're going to score a bunch of bunch of points in this game I think it's going to get out of hand early um and this is something where we look in Ohio State uh in the transfer that they were able to get from Kansas State uh this is something where will Howard coming into town uh kind of giving me that Craig krenzel Vibe okay uh he's a little bit more mobile though uh he is going to be able to score I think Ohio State rolls in this game I I'm just not confident with this big number 49 um Ohio State traditionally in these uh kind of instate school games right there is a weird little stipulation within the Ohio legislature where Ohio state has to schedule uh the the instate schools uh it's something where it's Unique in a way so it's a it's a way kind of to give back to the public universities it's a mandate it's actually legislature for them to do this um and yeah it's usually a blood bath we see it they have to play a lot of Max schools to play Cincinnati um but it does happen more times than not where uh these games end up being blowouts I'm not confident on the 48 and a half you can find or the 49s but we are going to look into kind of some value here um this is a plus money bet okay um in these kind of blowout style games I do look for uh the losing team sometimes to scratch across a couple points we saw it last night within the temple Oklahoma game uh we know kind of it's a little different because within Oklahoma um it's kind of more of a defensive style matchup I think they really put an emphases that more than offense uh if you if you look at who Oklahoma um brought over from Texas and kind of um that whole mindset okay Brent venables defensive mining coach defensive coordinator for Texas uh they won 51-3 so Temple scored three um one of the popular bets across the board yesterday was Will Oklahoma a win in in a shutout fashion um that was I think plus 330 Temple ended up scratching across a field goal uh so that bet did not cast we did give out the Temple Owls under uh under seven um 7 and A2 that that line moved down to 6 and A2 uh but still cash Temple only scratched across three but I like the plus money here plus 165 okay and I'm going to show you guys here I'm going to bring it up uh this is why I use odd GM you can find the best number available but I do like the fact we're going to disregard the fours the three and uh that's two field goals you cash that bet so if you do take the over four and A2 or three and a half you will get that at plus 115 so if you like akan to uh kick two field goals to score miss a extra point you're going to cash that bet uh but I see some Value Plus 165 let's take the Zips three field goals or field goal and a touchdown touchdown uh over 6 and a half plus 165 team total akran Zips that's going to be my fourth best bet here on the card all right and then the other game we're going to talk about is Indiana okay Indiana is a is a game and a matchup where uh you have to look into this storyline they're taking on fa FIU at home and what Indiana was able to do and this is something where I think you have to understand um kind of where the offseason LED for the hooers okay um this is something where they were able to have probably the biggest uh I guess you would say off season in terms of the fact that they got Kurt cetti okay and for those of you that do not know who Kirk Signet is came over from James Madison all right and James Madison a great great team just a different tier of football uh brought a lot of players over as well I think the hooers are going to be revamped I think they're going to be ready to go I like Indiana here minus 21 I think they're going to kind of shock and turn some heads this season okay and in this matchup I I like Indiana uh in terms of who what they're going to be able to do and I'll pull up the numbers here so you guys can see for yourself uh let me find is here on the board uh Indiana Florida International uh you see Indiana right now minus 21 half if you shop around you can find three touchdowns uh don't take the hook on this one that's a bad number 21 and a half but I do see Indiana and Florida International uh being a very very big uh lopsided Affair um I think that they're going to score close to 40 um if not more and I think that with that defensive mindset that uh you know Kirk cetti is going to implore I think that FIU gets worse worked here I like the hooers rolling at home it's going to be a different style of football different brand of football so I'm taking Indiana hooers minus 21 I know this is kind of the the the worst um side of it okay um and I can't find it for you guys but the opening numbers um see if I can pull up kind of a a different sheet here where you can see kind of where we opened up at uh and unfortunately I can't uh but this is where the number you could find 20s and now 21 it's a little bit different it's it's it's kind of the same uh mentality though so I like hooers in this spot minus 21 lock it in as my fifth official play um and I think really hoers are going to be a sleeper in the Big 10 I think with what they were able to bring in uh from all those transfers from James Madison as well as what Kirk cetti brings to the table okay so that will be my fifth best bet and then my sixth game that I'm going to be targeted targeting in this slate uh this will be the likes of uh the Alabama matchup okay and Alabama will get down that in the odds odds board um you can see right now if we find it here and you're going to have to forgive me this might be actually a later game um this is going to be why can't I find this um give me one second sorry my screen's a little screwed up okay yeah this will be a 7 o'clock game here Western Kentucky we're going to feature it okay we're going to feature it and uh I will for transparency include this on to my evening slate Prime Time games because this is one of my favorite bets on the card okay we look at this game and they are hosting Western Kentucky and the hill Toppers uh they have scored points in the past I think that what we're able to do um with kin deau coming up from Washington and that style of football yeah he played a little bit of a Pack 12 kind of mindset where we're just going to run and Gun air raid uh you know something little tie into the hooers okay um uh uh this is kind of where we saw Michael penx Jr for the for for the hooers in that Heisman campaign what he was able to do offensively that style of football I think it translates I think with jayen milro that's one of the safer bets within the Futures game I love him for the Heisman pick that's kind of where I'm at a big fan I'm very much up on Alabama this season and I think that he's really going to uh kind of inherit a really great uh system of players within the Crim tied from Nick Sabin I think that's going to be a very seamless uh transition uh a lot of people were were kind of iffy on that higher I think it's going to be one that really takes the Crimson Tide faithful uh down in Tuscaloosa to a new level I think that's probably the best thing they could have done was hire him uh that's kind of my um it it was the number uh number one candidate top of the board pick for me uh with in terms of Nick Sabin replacement and I do like the Crimson Tide in this spot but we are going to be taking this and once again this is going to be another uh play on the points okay it's going to be a play on the points uh with what Alabama is going to be able to do and the reason why we couldn't find it is because it is a s o'clock game so I will scroll down so you guys can see it and I will talk about it again in my evening rundown uh for these prime time later matchups but here it is uh the best number out there is a 59 you can take a Juiced up 59 let's go over here I think Alabama gets into the high 40s as well and I think Western KY is going to be able to scratch across two touchdowns and a couple kicks so I I like for the 59 to shine through uh Jaylen milro is going to have a huge game offensively and look for the Crimson Tide to cover this 59 and we're going to see a high-scoring Affair Western Kentucky Alabama 7:00 kickoff on ESPN so that'll wrap up my Best Bets those are my six Best Bets I'll give you guys in this video here's a quick rundown of my final plays um and you can see it right here on your screen uh that's where we're going to have Portland State plus the points Florida plus the points Texas over 592 akan over the team total 6 and2 Indiana hooers minus 21 and the Alabama Crimson Tide over 59 so that'll wrap it up guys if you haven't done so before you leave this video make sure you subscribe to the Channel smash that like button and thank you all for being part of the team here at TBM and we'll see you guys all in the next video good luck with your picks cheers