🚨 College Football Best Bets! Top Week 1 College Football Free Picks (EARLY GAMES)

hey everyone welcome back to the channel let's get into it the early slate for the College Football Saturday that we have on week one I'm going to be getting into a lot of the 12:00 games uh there may be a couple 1230s and ones mixed into this but um there's going to be uh four games in specific that we're going to be talking about I'll give you guys my four best plays within those games uh let's look for some opportunities here uh we had a a good start Thursday and then Friday yesterday yes that bad beat uh within the late game within Stanford uh and TCU uh taking us over the total but hey uh that's okay we Liv a bed another day and let's get into it because we have a lot of picks we're going to be giving out here on the channel and I think where I settled at for college football is I'm going to have an early um early game video breakdown where I give you got my picks from the early window a kind of like a 3:30 4:00 afternoon that SEC hour uh we're going to kind of have those games uh broken down in a category and then uh kind of the prime time later SL slots that we're going to have on every single Saturday so uh that's kind of how I'm looking at doing it uh I can do uh three basic videos um where I give you guys kind of the games that I'm getting into we're not it's just impossible here to break down each and every game and quite frankly you get a little paralysis by analysis if you're trying to analyze and get into every spot you you pick the games and you you get the games on your radar that you want to bet that you focus in on and then that's where we attack but uh within this uh I want to tell you guys uh we are Labor Day weekend uh we are away visiting family I'm currently in a air and Airbnb Lodge up in the uh North Carolina Mountains I'll leave out the city uh we're very close to Tennessee just to let you guys know uh so for all you guys tracking me and uh you know just kidding but uh it's kind of funny to talk about because um it's going to be a fun night where I'm going to send a picture on the Discord or over on um on X where a crazy crazy view uh it's a really nice part of the the world here in North Carolina and there's um a couple kind of really interesting people that live in this neighborhood so curious who we're going to see later on but anyways let's get into the pics I know you guys don't like to hear me Randall it's all about the pics and I don't blame you I don't like listening to myself either uh but let's get into some winners here um before we do though please if you haven't done so um this is where I'd like for you guys all subscribe to the Channel smash that like button and let me know what you guys are betting Down Below in the comments feel free to jump on over to the Discord page totally free and become a TBM Channel member today links down below okay we don't charge for picks here in the channel and never will all right so let's get down into it uh we can look into the first couple games on the odds jam and the one that we have kind of uh keyed in on will be this Georgia Clemson game the noon kick ABC uh we look at this rematch from a couple years ago and it depends what kind of side of the coin and the argument you're going to get on okay me personally uh I'm a Dabo Sweeney guy I like Dabo a lot of people don't and that's okay you're that's the best thing about America or the world for that matter if you're in a good part of the of the globe uh you can have free will you can make your own decisions um you know he kind of has that Holier art thou uh P perception that rubs people I think a lot the wrong way um a lot of a lot of Hypocrites will think he's a hypocrite okay and that's kind of where I think you're just not mixing football the guy's a great family man he's a great Christian um he was a great player he's National Champion coach of the year um really sticks up for his guys and and you know I I personally would not want to have the job of being a division one college football head coach um that would be an early death sentence for me personally so you know I feel for everybody I want everybody to do well I'm rooting for um uh Clemson kind of just as a whole okay and I'm not a Clemson fan full disclosure I I've been on the other side of that Clemson argument where they've come out Victorious and you know I've had every reason in the book To Hate uh that but the whole reason why I'm getting down this road is don't let your personal feelings and emotions uh kind of sway you off of the right side of a bet okay that's that's basically what I was trying to say don't be emotional cheers sorry a little too much coffee so I do ramble from time to time just bear with me I swear we'll get to the goods all right but Georgia is the storyline here two running backs suspended uh possibly and then we get into this game how much of a message is Kirby Smart going to send to his his his uh kids uh this game will be played at Mercedes Benz Stadium uh so uh a stadium that both of these programs are familiar with from their postseason experience and Bowl history but also this is something where this the all all eyes are going to be on both of these teams um you know we're not going to have to worry about any home field disadvantages Clemson's going to travel well Georg is going to be there in groves I think though where we have to lend to in this game uh is the under 49 okay and you can take it a little bit uh minus 110 I found it in in some spot and uh I think that this one comes down to just a couple key elements here okay uh Kade kumnick I'm not a fan of his I haven't really bought into that whole festar um Mantra uh and you know it's kind of hilarious I had this I had a parlay live um it was a I think it was his freshman year and it was the it was the North Carolina Clemson game and it was I think it was like the best game he played um as a college player needed North Carolina to cover I think a 14 and a half and I would have won like 15 $1,000 uh kind of like a home run parlay bet I made like at an airport and uh so that's kind of my Cade Club next story so shout out to you congrats on the nio money uh s you my 15 grand just kidding anyways uh but we look into this uh Georgia 11 A2 you can find tens out there if you go offshore you can find tens in the market I know that's crazy but it it just it's truly there uh so don't don't uh forget about that key number 10 uh and kind of 11 would be 50% of where we need to be but I think we need to talk a little bit more about the line movement in this game and I'm not a statistics guy I think statistics are a little overblown these are 18 to 21 year olds yeah in Pros we can find Trends but within the college ranks uh not so fast this is a coaching game I think that dominates and yeah there's there's a little things we can incorporate but um especially with week one you've had all summer in to prepare for your week one opponent right the the second half of summer camp Clemson's starting to install their game plan against uh to take on Georgia okay uh so you know being ready is kind of not the the equation and then when you play with these two programs at this level I think it becomes more of Chess not Checkers so that's kind of where I'm going to lead to my next bet uh where we do like the under 49 okay we do like the under 49 I took that at minus 110 leaves the door open for some uh for a push there as well on that key number of 49 but I I just go back to the matchup where it was 103 like I said I think it was a defensive touchdown even so I really do like the fact that we can get 49 uh within this game shop around find that best number available that's why we use odds Jam if you want to get involved with odds Jam link up uh above in that Banner it's TBM uh 35% off your first month or annual plan there will be a link Down Below in the description okay um but this is kind of where I'm at and I do like Georgia if you can find that minus 10 I know it's far far away but that's kind of where we're at in terms of taking that um I think that Georgia wins this game I the only reason I'm not jumping on it and I we're seeing the number get bet up a little bit but but I'm not jumping on it because I do think there's a chance that this is just so low low scoring of a game now this is an outside chance this could be so low scoring of a game that uh we just don't even you know two scores could cover a 10 and a half number okay so that's kind of where I'm at um I do think Georgia rolls I think this one is one of those games that you're letting some some prowess to kind of uh convolute your thought process Georgia rolls they return way many starters K Club Nick not buying it prove it on the field lock it in under 4 9 as well as a strong lean towards Georgia um to win by uh to cover I like I like them all the way up to 13 okay so I think the 13 and above were good uh if if you want to take that 14 that's a whole different story but you can find tens in the market so uh a little bit of a same game teaser opportunity if you're able to do that in your jurisdiction little same game teaser action would not kill anybody within that under and taking Georgia down below a touchdown so uh that's kind of what I have as a best bet for the first game uh but then let's get in a little deeper into the board where we talk about kind of the uh the other game that we're going to be keyed in on is Illinois state and Iowa okay we all know kind of what goes on with uh the likes of Iowa uh I think this is something where we look into the Kirk ference story uh him not being there Iowa can't score the football okay in Illinois State they kind of have that same disease I think 41 and a half is just way way too high um I think it is I truly do I think week one there's going to be some Jitters uh so was able to take a number at 412 at minus 120 I know we're not at that 42 so we do miss out on that key number uh but I just love love love taking Iowa under 41 and a half for that full game I don't think that Illinois State uh will get into um I'm sorry uh excuse me I don't think that Illinois state will get into that uh territory where they even push this game close to 40 I think that we're looking at a uh 24/7 kind of matchup 2410 uh 2710 I think that 40 might be a little bit too high maybe a little week one kind of overestimation of where Illinois state will be so I'm taking the under in Illinois State and Iowa okay and then the next game on the card that I do want to talk about um this will be uh Yukon okay uh with what yukon's able to do this is a game that I just think it's way too many points I think this will be a lower scoring game as well uh and for some reason we are looking at a Maryland team here you can see 19 here with bookmaker but FanDuel still offering a Yukon plus 20 A2 I'd loved to get to been able to get that 20 um 21 out there but this is something where we break this game down a little bit more and you can kind of go into the story lines um and I know it's the whole big 10 uh Big 10 narrative and what we have going on and I like Maryland scoring to football but this is kind of something where we've seen the quarterback be the biggest issue for both of these teams okay I think that we we look into where uh Maryland's going to be okay we all know that they're going to try to destroy through the air uh Connecticut also they really haven't found any solid like solidified uh member of the team that wants to play quarterback either okay but Jim Mo uh going there for Yukon I think this is where uh they they made a bowl game last year that's a huge huge uh kind of uh stepping stone for that program a huge milestone uh but this is within the season opener for Maryland I think that they're going to try to get up fast we know how Mike loley coaches uh and this is something where I I I just truly like Yukon in the spot I think that uh it's going to be interesting to see how the dust settles but um this would be a best bet probably the the the least I would say um confident of these picks that I'm giving out but I do like the uh Yukon huskys getting plus TW taking 20 and a half here um as a underdog okay so that would be my third pick and then the last pick of the early in college football is Penn State in West Virginia this game opened up at 12 okay in favor of the nitty lions and now bet down to 7 and a half getting a lot of Steam on the Mountaineers and this is interesting because we are seeing this total Rise um and that's kind of where I was at I was able to bet a 49 uh minus 127 on DraftKings okay couple story lines to talk about uh Drew all we know how much of the hot seat uh James Franklin is on uh we look at what's going on with West Virginia as well um I know this isn't kind of the you know the old school Dana um homeron uh Leed offense but I do think West Virginia this this is a huge rivalry for those of you that do not live in this part of the country it's bigger than you would think um it's not necessarily you know the you know Ohio State Michigan but uh this is I think one of the most understated rivalries um if you ever tried Crossing into West Virginia from pen from Pennsylvania it gets a little rocky on that borderline um I I can actually share with you guys some stories too about West Virginia in Virginia uh so this game will be played um in West Virginia we be played in Morgantown uh personally um saw a couch lit on fire back in my Heyday uh back in college when I was traveling down there uh so you know West Virginia uh is a very interesting spot to play I know it's not going to be a white out like we'll get in Happy Valley uh but this is a game where I like the over okay I'm just going to tell you straight up 49 minus 127 we took that on DraftKings I think that with you couped that hot seat Drew I do like him I just think that they got to throw the football you look at average yards per attempt um he does not throw the ball he can stretch the ball they just won't let him have the reins okay Penn State wants to run the football all the way back to saquon Barkley days I mean that they have an identity uh this is just something where I think that you need to start opening it up you need to start turning over the keys to the to the castle or you're going to have to look for another Castle I think that James Franklin um quite frankly is is up against it I think that recruiting within uh Pennsylvania is a little different it's kind of tough um especially when you go have to go up against uh the Ohio States michigans and Notre Dame of the world in the midwest you're kind of on that you know are we actually you know part of the Atlantic side of the country or we part of the Midwest um you get the DMV from Washington so there's a lot of things to incorporate but uh this game comes down to a couple things I think that you look at Team totals um that's kind of what I want to allude to as well well uh we can look into this you could see uh right now that 49 you can find minus 127 by the way still as I'm recording but you look at Team totals and this is kind of where you're at uh 28 and a half for Penn State 20 and a half for West Virginia so you can do the math 49 that's how we got there um if you believe both of those teams go over I think that Penn State's going to have a little coming out party uh they put a lot of effort into kind of revitalizing what they're going to be doing on um offense okay I think we all know that I talked about it and that it's the same old song and dance they've brought in Kansas's offensive coordinator as well so with the new OC approach that Penn State's going to be taking um if you watch Kansas football they put up some points and they put up some points fast I don't know if Drew AR has that Mobility to run that style of offense that Kansas was able to run uh in years prior but I do think that're that he's a great offensive mind I look for Penn State the score in this game I love the buy back on West Virginia I'm really predicting a back and forth game uh so we're going to going to go over the 49 and if I did have give you a lean on this uh side of the matchup uh this would be in terms of the Mountaineers uh I like Mountaineers with the points I I do I just don't think that uh we are at a point right now where it's betable okay I like them over 10 and now as we get closer down the seven in that reverse line movement it gives it gives way to the narrative that okay we're seeing uh this number bet down it's out of control uh so I do think that we're going to see a nice back and forth matchup here in morgant town so uh that'll wrap it up uh here are my Best Bets I'm going to give you guys kind of uh a look into my final plays and forgive me I'm all jacked up um just you know coffee and uh just excited I'm a Notre Dame fan at heart so what's going coming in store this this evening the whole season's on the line the whole season's on the line so I'm fired up I hope you guys are fired up too uh Texas A&M uh supposed to be at that game uh but hey uh we we we're going to have an awesome time awesome evening uh let's cash some tickets these are my Best Bets like I said the Georgia under and the minus 10 not scared of a same game teaser in that spot so that's where I'm at appreciate you guys subscribe down below if you have not already done so uh and we'll see you guys all in the next video cheers