Nvidia SHOCKING EARNINGS Flips Entire Stock Market‼️

Published: Aug 28, 2024 Duration: 00:45:12 Category: Education

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well folks the Nvidia numbers are out oh yes baby and the stock is moving not nearly as much as Wall Street expected Wall Street was expecting the stock to move 10% plus we're going to go through the numbers here I'm going to tell you where Nvidia Stock's likely to move now at this point in time kind of going here in the future what we're looking at here why the stocks reacting certain ways those sorts of things we're going to talk about that at the top of this video now if you watch my reaction Channel yesterday I posted a video calling out exactly what was going to happen in regards to this Nvidia situation I said the stock after the earnings come out is likely going to move 4 to 7% not nearly as much as Wall Street expects here and it looks like we're going to be right on with that call okay so we'll focus the top of this video on on Nvidia then we're going to get into Celsius Celsius just closed at a new 52 we low for the stock we got to talk about this one a little more in depth what's going on behind the scenes right now and I I want to dive into that one a bit so we're going to spend some time on Celsius lululemons dropping again uh we're going to talk about I mean 4 and 1 half% again today right it this one looked like it was bottoming recently was it just a false bottom is this one got a lot further to fall in regards to that one then we're going to talk about small cap stocks we're going to talk about the MJ plays they got some really bad news yesterday I want to discuss that and kind of share my opinions and perspectives we're going to talk about fubo stock which has recently been moving down do I think it's going to continue to move down do I think that one's going to start bouncing back hard and then we'll also speak about honest in this video and then the final subject we'll speak about today is the NASDAQ in general so we're has the crash started and we just don't realize it yet okay that's a fair question and the reason it's a fair question is you know recently we were coming back in regards to NASDAQ but we couldn't hit the old high and usually when you set up into a crash situation you set kind of a blowoff top high right and then you fall and then you try to climb back and you can't quite get there and next thing you know with Nvidia falling now at this point in time it's like they going to pull down the NASDAQ so we'll speak about that I want to give my opinions and perspectives on that okay the Beast of video here today all I ask from you guys is two things make sure you subscribe to the channel here and smash a like button for me Smash It smash It smash it again that's all I need from you appreciate y'all being here if you're looking to become a great investor take your game up to a much higher level pinned the comment down there today I'll put the application to join my private stock group private wealth group as well as get access to THX stocks.com okay all right guys so let's dive into this we got problems can you say we have got problems in regards to this Nvidia report okay you got to know how to view these numbers so first thing up here Revenue looks very very good up 15% on a sequential basis up 122% on a year-over year-over-year basis absolutely phenomenal but right below that we already got problems okay margins they went down quite considerably actually on just a quarter over quarter basis 3.3 points they went down from 78.4% to 75 .1% now that's very scary for a stock that trades at a richer valuation because you want to see everything in regards to a stock going up you want to see the revenue going up substantially the margins going up substantially the net income the earnings per share all those sorts of things we're in a situation here with Celsius or Celsius in regards to Nvidia where Nvidia looks like it's hit Peak margins already okay there's really not really much of a debate around that if they drop from like 78.4 down to like 77.9 or 78.1 it would be debatable if they reach Peak margins I I would say with high probability this Baby's peaked and you'll probably never see these sorts of margins again and so that's no bueno in regards to that right if you're looking at a peak margin situation and even if it's not true what if they do reach eventually 79% gross margins 80% it's always a possibility but the trend is not your friend in regards to this and it's looking more likely than not the margins are in a in a downward slope rather than upward right and that's what the Market's going to run with here net income for the company went to $16.5 billion that's up 12% year over year duded EPS up or excuse me on a quarter over quarter basis up 12% you may say man it's really strong on a quarter over quarter basis up 12% and on a year-over-year basis 168 168 well we have a problem here you got to know how to look at these numbers okay look at this on a quarter over quarter bases Revenue was up 15% but diluted EPS was up 12% which means the revenue is growing faster than the net income you don't really ever want to see that especially for a more mature company like in Nvidia you want to see that net income or that earnings per share going up more substantially as a perc than Revenue if revenue is going up more then your net income's going up that means either your expenses are getting out of control or your margins are getting hit and in regards to Nvidia I think it's a little bit of a combo of they got what it looks like a starting of an expense problem with the company as well as a margin problem now if we look at on a non-gaap basis right which is the company really you know kind of running the numbers how they want to run the numbers Gap basis generally accept counting principles you got to do it a certain way non Gap you can change some things here and there right on a non- gap basis even worse 15% of revenues right but net income in diluted EPS only up 11% so that's not something you want to see especially for a company that trades at a much higher valuation right you you you got to see just everything you want going perfect when you got a higher valuation stock if anything we've seen that with elf recently right elf was $200 plus doll stock it's 150 today did 's numbers just fall apart no but they there's a few numbers here and there that you could look at and be like o That's not quite good right this is what we're dealing with now with Nvidia at this point in time right now for next quarter anals we're expecting $31.7 billion of Revenue so what did the company guide at the company guide at 32.5 you might say that's great they're about $800 million $ 700 $800 million ahead of where analysts were at this is phenomenal right wait just a moment this guidance number by Nvidia is only is less than $1 billion of ahead of where anal I've been at for the past many many many many many quarters Nvidia has been beating the guidance numbers by between 1 billion and $3 billion so if suddenly you come through with a $700 million to $800 million up number people are going to look at that like what's going on here and remember I explained this to you guys in regards to Nvidia Nvidia is the kid in school that gets perfect grades they get even the bonus questions right okay they never miss anything and so as soon as you start to see any problems anything that's a negative people are going to be quick to jump ship on this one right especially when it's a momentum name that a lot of people have made a lot of money on over the past year and a half to two years right they're going to look at this and say H hm this isn't quite everything perfect like we were used to getting for the last year and a half where it's just boom boom boom everything you could imagine was just all trending up now we're starting to get some some things here that you're looking at you're like oo this is like the early signs of a problem here right now I I put this on X I posted a bunch of stuff on X in regards to Nvidia one of the things I posted was Nvidia stage one was insane beats right that stage is over now it's over the insane beat stage of them just coming in smashing numbers smashing guidance blowing numbers out of the water everybody saying what I can't believe did you see in video's numbers I can't believe that they beat by that much oh my gosh it's over we're now into the Nvidia stage of smaller beats that's exactly what we saw this quarter smaller beats right they beat on EPS but was it a huge beat no no it was a smaller beat right they beat as far as guidance was it a huge like oh my gosh I can't believe they beat by this much no it's a smaller beat so we're at that stage with Nvidia and we'll probably remain in that stage for the next I would say several quarters now okay now stage three which you might be looking at at the end of 2025 or into 2026 that's a stage where the company just starts meeting numbers or missing numbers that's you know that by that by the time you're in that stage that's when the Stock's already you know Long Peak and you're already in a major downtrend at that particular time right but we're in this stage right now we got to admit it we got to honest about it we're in that stage we're coming in through with smaller beats now Nidia also announced $50 billion share buyback that's a huge number in the history of Nvidia right but for a $3 trillion market cap it's actually a relatively smaller number right now I said Nvidia will keep growing revenue and earnings per share the next 12 months but 2026 is where things get interesting you could see Revenue Flatline or go down and 100% that's how I'm feeling like there's no doubts in my mind for the remainder of this year re revenue is going to be looking great earnings per share is going to be looking great there's no doubt in my mind for next year revenue is going to be looking really good earnings per share is going to be looking really good my big question is 2026 and 2027 because those are years where you could actually start to see a pullback in regards to spend with Nvidia chips and you know that's going to be a tough one to go through in regards to that okay you're so you're good as far as numbers go for a little bit here and this is why I have always believed that 2024 makes a multi-year top for Nvidia stock a multi-year top and the reason I believe that is and am I going to make a bet on that heck no heck no that's stupid but I believe that's likely to play out here and the reason is is I think 2026 2027 is when that Revenue growth is going to be really hard the earnings per share growth and it's going to set the stock up for a very difficult time and that starts to play out in 2025 because as you get closer and closer people get more and more fearful of that happening right the market starts to price it in ahead of time now in regards to Nvidia here's a deal I mean we're looking at THX stocks.com there's no there's no secret this stock trades very very rich it's a cyclical company as special of a company as Nvidia is and it is a special special it's still a cyclical company right it still is we got to call it the way it is a company I own Tesla aseal as Tesla's it's a cyclical company as of right now right it's a automaker Nvidia they want to get way way more into software over the next decade that's great it's still a cyclical company it goes through massive boom Cycles bus Cycles boom Cycles bus Cycles it is what it is right someday they might get out of that and they might become an apple and they got this massive software component of their business that's this huge Revenue number right or Microsoft but they're not that today so at the end of the day this is a cyclical company that is trading at in commanding these ridiculous evaluations you need Perfection plus to command a trillion 12 month P of 71 and a Ford P of 52 for a cyclical company that's what you got on understand this is not a software company yet it might be someday but it's not right now so we're talking about this is a chip company chip companies many times and I've owned plenty of Chip companies throughout my history they they usually trade at PE ratios between 10 and 25 we're trading obviously massively above that right and that's on a trail 12 month basis a forward P basis I've seen many of these chip companies usually trade between 10 and 20 now if you look at the trailing 12 month price to sales ratio 38 forward price to sales ratio or 28 on this baby that's rich rich right so this is where you have to come through with perfection now in regards to their income statement it was pretty dang perfect I mean this is perfection as far as that goes you really have to look on a quarter over quarter basis to really see the cracks right in the show but as far as the year-over-year numbers blowout I mean this is this is as good as it gets right Revenue 30 billion plus versus 13 12 gross profit 22.5 billion versus 9.4 billion research and development that was up 50% year-over-year so that's a little bit of a you know little bit of a big number there sales in general administrative grew quite a bit so total operating expenses went up quite substantially from 2.6 billion to 3.9 billion operating income went to 18.6 billion versus 6.8 billion interest income no surprise up substantially for the company year-over-year 444 mil versus 187 other income 572 up versus 181 net income 162 billion versus 6.1 billion the same quarter last year boom I mean you know on a year-over-year b you got really not much to say right it's just it's just phenomenal numbers but you got to remember it's more than just you over year numbers we're playing with here I posted this inside the private stock group inside the Nvidia tab I said great numbers certainly this is just a this is just a story of the game of Wall Street starting to fall apart game of Wall Street I talk to you guys about this sometimes very important to understand and how this plays out with stocks right I said margins peaked last quarter and have started going down that's just facts right the beats are small compared to what Wall Street is used to also just facts the comps next year will be brutal to show growth again that's a point that needs to be talked about a lot more remember you might be looking at these numbers right now and then plotting and be like yes Nvidia go these are great numbers let's knock out of the ballpark next quarter instead of 32.5 let's come through with 33.5 34 Boom the problem is remember next year's raid around the corner and then you got to comp against those numbers now if you're doing let's say a $35 billion number I mean 10% growth you need to do an extra three and a half billion on top of that number right and that's just for 10% growth remember people aren't investing in Nvidia for 10% growth they're investing in this company because they've been growing at triple digit rates so if all of a sudden you know your growth rates slow down substantially on a year-over-year basis cuz your comps start getting so tough you get all those growth investors to say whoa whoa whoa what am I in this for right it starts to get very very difficult and you have to count on the metas and the microsofts and all these companies of Tesla and all these guys to say you know what we're going to order even way more chips next year than this past year and we're not talking about a small amount more you know to to push up let's say you want to have your Revenue grow 35% 45% on a year-over-year basis next year you need these companies to blow their budgets up next year they already blew their budgets up or they willing to go that crazy I don't know about that I think they're willing to go up on their bu budgets I think Microsoft's willing to spend more in 2025 than 2024 I think meta is I think Tesla likely is but are they going to go that extreme that's where the big questions start right that's what we're talking about when regards these comps these comps the company has right now are cake right cuz this was just the start of the cycle now we're getting deep into the the cycle right this is the game on Wall Street you got to understand I posted this inside the private group as well I said for people that want to be long-term investors the game of wall Street's irrelevant right this game of you know how much did they beat by and all the Beats aren't good enough blah blah blah it's all irrelevant if you're a long-term investor but for folks trying to time this game out for the next 12 to 24 months this could be a challenge and that's what you're dealing with Nvidia is if you're trying to time this one out in terms of what's the right time to get in versus out versus buy put options on it versus short the stock it's brutal you're in a very confusing you're in a very confusing stage with inv you got to understand for about 2 years Nvidia was an easy buy it was an easy buy to throw money in right we could back it all the way up to the middle of 2022 when the stock was crashing right it's Nvidia like it's one of the greatest tech companies in the world even though it's a cyclical business still one of the greatest tech companies in the world right and you know I think it was an easy buy back in the summer of 2022 the fall of 2022 all the way through until about this this summer right and I think now we're at a confusing stage now it's difficult stage because now I wouldn't call it necessarily an easy buy anymore now you're trying to kind of time this one out perfectly and I think it's it's difficult to do right unless you want to be in the stock for the next 10 years that's a whole different ball game but if you're trying to think about you know do you want to be in this in the next one two 3 years that's difficult very difficult to this stage and I also don't think it's clear you can short the St or by puts on it right now either because we don't know we don't still know know where the top is for nvidia's Revenue per quarter like this one could go to $40 billion a quarter in Revenue $50 billion a quarter in Revenue which is substantially up from here so we don't know where the top is we we haven't gotten enough of a signal yet of nvidia's top for revenue and you always risking when you're at this stage of the small beat stage you're always risking what happens if they do do a one last big beat what if there's that one last big harah next quarter right and they're just setting up for that next quarter that's something you have to take into account and so if you want to bank on puts right now or shorting the stock I think that's damn difficult damn difficult when wouldn't see me doing it not right now no no no if this one had a blowoff top you know and the stock was trading 175 right now 185 I'd say okay this this is looking pretty good not not here I I wouldn't trust it I wouldn't trust it I appreciate this Jasmine uh somebody a member of the private stock group she said thank you Financial education Jeremy for this update and info this is why the Discord is so underrated and that's what it's all about in the Discord you know just kind of posting opinions perspectives um you know all those sorts of things and you know just having people think at a higher level and you know what's I'm really proud of in regards to Discord is years ago many many years ago you know if anybody said anything other than the most bullish thing possible about a stock people would get offended you know fights would start all those sorts of things nowadays we got a very civil community that loves to have that discourse of like bullish bearish that kind of like in between talk and um can talk on a much higher level and I just I appreci appreciate that man I appreciate the love there from Jasmine I appreciate the love uh from the community in general in terms of us being able to talk through these things be able to debate them back and forth okay here's here's what could go wrong here's what could go right it makes you a much more educated investor rather than just get too many people in the market that are only think one way man I just noticed that and it's a big it's I might need to make a whole video about that sometime just a lot of people that just think it's only one way it's a sign of immaturity when you think it's can only be one way I I I always love especially nowadays to look at all my stocks from like a bearish angle a bullish angle like what could happen here you don't think only one thing could happen you're going to end up in trouble right now this is pretty funny because this was back in June do you guys remember this moment Jensen signed a woman's chest yes yes I don't know if we've ever seen a CEO of a company a big dog company sign a woman's chest that might have been the sign of Market peak in regards to Nvidia like like it's going to be interesting to look back at this time period if that was at the peak right if it wasn't the peak then it's ends up just being an irrelevant time right but if that ended up actually marking the peak back in June right that's going to be historic like a historic signing right because I it's just right now you're kind of looking you're like damn maybe that was the peak and and maybe we're all look back and we be like when Jensen signed that woman's chest we should have known we were doomed in regards to this situation right we should have known that was Peak at that moment oh man okay so the stocks doing exactly what I expected to do I thought 4 to 7% was about it uh kind of a muted reaction it seems like that's what we're getting now I will say something very ominous and freaky happened while I Was preparing this video so a lot of times when I'm doing work on my computer or my iPad I'm trying to stay really focused I'll put on I got a Pandora station blackmail black Mill okay and it's kind of like more like dubstep type music and kind of toward those sorts of Vibes right and uh it's interesting cuz while I'm doing these screenshots and I'm knocking out this video prepping it right this song starts playing and like the main the main words of the song are in the cracks begin to show do you guys know this song it's a freaking Banger okay it's a banger and I'm just listen to the words of it leave the past behind just walk away and the and the cracks begin to show and I'm like just listen just walk away and I'm like is this Nvidia is this like a from the universe like in regards to Nvidia freaky okay ominous that's all I'll say about that no listen obviously I sold the stock recently we covered that on the channel extensively right am I glad I got out recently or not right cuz I obviously said I was you know I was at peace with it and I'll say I'm at peace regardless regardless what happened with Nvidia today if the stock went to 150 I was at peace you know like I I I looked at this and I said I made a lot of money in this stock in a short amount of time I don't want to go through all the stress of trying to time this cycle out right I I I don't want to go I don't want to deal with that and so at the end of the day there's just other stocks I want to be in over the next 3 5 seven years and so I I'm at peace regardless I made a bunch of money in the stock I did very well like what do I have complain about I made a crazy percentage in such a short amount of time on the stock I have nothing to complain about in regards to this right and that's the same way I look at sometimes when you know put options well like some of the Chipotle stuff I was in uh you know last month and whatnot I mean like okay maybe I didn't sell it at the exact perfect moment but if I still made a bunch of money like I'm at peace like I I I've been in this game long enough I understand you can't time these things out perfect you're going to you're you're not going to get it right at the top right at the bottom like it's okay it's okay all that matters is you made a boatload of money on it and I made a boatload of money on Nvidia right a boatload of money like I'm good so regard this if the stock went up or down I was at peace if the Stock's 150 right now I'm not like oh my gosh I should have kept my Nvidia no okay no here's a deal this stock could still go 150 200 this year but you need some things to happen okay if this Stock's going to go to 150 and and by the way like I said regardless I do believe this stock this year it hits a multi-year top that's my opinions on this right but this stock could still hit 1 15200 don't don't throw it in the casket quite yet but you need a lot of things to work out one is next quarter has to be a banger it has to be what we were used to with Nvidia a blowout quarter so let's say you know nvidia's guiding 32.5 Nvidia needs to come in with like a $35 billion number $ 36 billion number something like that and then they need to guide the next quarter for like 40 billion like a crazy number like what 40 billion right they need to come through with a banger on top of that we need to go risk on in the market into year end right and on top of that you need Wall Street to play catchup in Q4 which to be honest I I could kind of picture the next quarter Nvidia doing a banger quarter like there's something it's just I don't know man it's just a feeling I don't have any concrete data on it I just just have a weird feeling like maybe next quarter is I bang her um and then as far as Wall Street that's a real possibility remember a lot of Wall Street their Benchmark is S&P 500 they've underperformed most of these big funds have underperformed the S&P 500 massively this year and they're going to have to play ketchup who do you play ketchup in you you play ketchup in Nvidia if you go to catch up to S&P 500 and Q4 you start buying in video stock right so that's a real potential there we'll see how it all shakes out but um you know anyways I'm feeling good I'm feeling dang good okay Celsius that can get you feeling good for a little bit of time right maybe a few hours so this stock closed at a 52 we low today 38 bucks and and it's crazy because S&P 500 is near all-time highs right now and this stock can't do a dang thing right nothing nothing it just goes lower and lower and lower now this news has came out recently celsi assigns six uh college football stars to nil deals uh this looks like this college football season you're going to see a ton of ads on all college football games you know showing Celsius and these you know big name athletes drinking Celsius products and those sorts of things which I think it's a good thing from the perspective of it kind of makes like look like all these Superstar athletes or drinking the drink which is good it's kind of a Nike type approach right Nike always takes the approach of let's let's find the best athletes in the world and let's put them in Nike gear right and um you know parade them around and run commercials Nike commercials and all sorts of things Nike had some brilliant commercials uh for the Olympics by the way absolutely phenomenal like top tier like Nike only could do that so Celsius is trying to do somewhat of a similar thing right in regards to grab the best athletes have them drink your product be brand ambassadors and then let's run commercials on those college football Games showing these you know incredible athletes drinking the product and you know since it's an athlete people could look at that and say oh if that great athletes drinking and it's healthy it's good for me those sorts of things now the issue is the issue is those athletes are very expensive so that's a big marketing expense then Additionally you it's not like you're just going to sign those athletes and not run a bunch of ads then you're going to run a bunch of ads behind it that's even more costly cuz now you're talking about okay you sign all these athletes let's say each of them gets a million dollars right okay six athletes $6 million but you might spend 30 million $50 million on advertisements on all these different football games right in different Publications and whatnot to show off hey there's this athlete we have signed drinking this product it's not like you can just sign them and that's good right there's no different than Nike like Nike doesn't just sign an athlete and then not advertise them of course they're going to put them on commercials and ads and all over the place right on social media and stuff like that so it's an expense and so that's something that Celsius is doing right now so you could see the expense profile as Celsius go up quite considerably which could hurt margins and profitability of the company in the short term now it could be a very you know positive thing for the next many years that people are going to see these all these ads and like you know it's going to register in their mind all these great athletes are drinking this product it's okay for me to drink this product those sorts of things but in the short term it's a big expense right so it is something to kind of factor in there now Additionally you have a lot of debate on energy drinks now this debate comes and goes I noticed throughout the years and I've seen it basically since energy drinks came around these debates all come up and they're very negative in the short term for energy drinks everybody starts writing articles and doing videos and stuff energy drinks are everywhere how dangerous are they right and those sorts of things and so we're going through one of those stages right now which is a very negative thing for the entire energy drink category it's not just for certain One stock it's not like it's just a negative for Celsius it's negative for all the energy drinks when you got a bunch of this stuff cropping up and people see it and they're like you know if they actually do drink energy drinks they're like oh yeah maybe it's not healthy right maybe I shouldn't be drinking these energy drinks a you know I felt a little weird yesterday it's probably cuz I drink that energy drink oh man or or people that don't drink energy drinks um will kind of see something like this like yeah see this is why I don't drink they're they're not healthy so anytime this comes up it's usually a net negative for the energy drink category in general right and if I even looked at myself and I said if my kids my kids are young right so let's say my kids were to drink either a Coca po or Celsius I would any day of the week rather them see them drinking Coke I wouldn't want either drinking either that garbage but if you if I had to see them drink in one if you told me I can either give them the Celsius or I can give them a Coca-Cola Coca-Cola any day any day over a Celsius I don't know what's in that Celsius man I don't know what's in that Celsius there's a lot of stuff that it's a little confusing right I don't want them having 200 Mig of caffeine it's insane so now now if I look at myself what do I personally feel healthier drinking a Coca-Cola or Celsius sadly enough I would feel safer drinking of Coca-Cola and but that's not just a negative for Celsius that's a negative for Monster for Red Bull all them all of them I feel the same exact way right and so how does Celsius get me to a point of believing that that product is is somewhat good for me I don't know maybe maybe if they sponsor enough athletes maybe I'll get to that point mentally and I think the point I'm making here is how a lot of people feel in in regards to this right they feel like these products they got a lot of suspicious things in them and they're not sure about it right and so my kids this is what they drink milk water milk water milk water I'm not giving them all that garbage right like uh uh uh uh no CSUS main focus has always been kind of like 20 to 40 year olds a lot of gym people and those sorts of things that's been a phenomenal Focus for them that should continue to be their main focus but I do think there's a real opportunity in a certain group these folks never get marketed to these sorts of products and I think it would actually be phenomenal if celus could Market to these sorts of folks cuz I think they could get a massive customer base that's out there that honestly no one has right now okay it's a baby boomer generation I think a lot of the like the 50 to 75 year olds these folks have never been marketed to in regards to any sort of like energy drink products and you know a lot of these folks still work a lot of these baby boomers right so they need energy uh a lot of these folks love to play golf and do different activities and things like that so if there's ever a group that might need some energy like if you think you need an energy drink at 20 years old just wait till you're 60 years old and how you feel you're definitely going to need an energy drink then holy smoke cuz that's no dang jok is so I think that's a real potential for for Celsius because when I think about the two main competitors in the energy drink category monster and Red Bull those two companies have always focused their advertising their marketing and the angles they're really going after for anywhere between like teenagers and 30y olds right like that's always been those companies no one's ever in the energy drink Market really gone after like the older generation I don't know it might be something there that's all I'll say about that now in regards to Celsius this is the issue with the stock you keep getting this neelon data out right and it seems like freaking Celsius can't win so look at this it's almost like getting a backhanded compliment here Celsius outpaces energy drink sector in latest neelon rate okay awesome Celsius is out pacing energy drink sector in the latest NE neelon read that's great news Celsius but whenever you see but you got to say what's coming but see sales growth decelerate okay okay that's a backhanded compliment right that's this type of stuff and it just seems like freaking Celsius can't win in regards to this neelon data that keeps coming out right so okay one one okay they outpa the category but the growth decelerate okay that's not going to make people feel good in regards to Celsius they're going to be like oh sales growth decelerating that's not good like bad bad bad right now monster you guys know I used to own monster stock back in the day it was a stock that did me tremendous you going understand monster went through many uh insane kind of crashes way before I was even invested in the stock cuz I kind of got in that stock when I get monster that was like 2 oh gosh 11 some sometime around then right but anyways um this 2011 2012 and I held that for a few years and did phenomenal in the stock but this stock went through some epic crashes and this kind of reminds me of the stage that Celsius is at right now cuz by the time you got to kind of 2006 2007 in regards to monster the product had been out there in the market for many years it start to pick up a ton of traction it was on in a ton of convenience stores and things like that it was already starting to be a pretty well-known brand reminds me a lot of Celsius now you go to just about any convenience store you're going to see Celsius right even in food stores like Celsius is a big name now reminds me a lot of monster back in those days but monster was going through this kind of insane cycle they had this ridiculous climb in the stock where the stock on a split adjusted basis was under $1 and it went all the way to about $4 right and it was a matter of months does that not remind you of some stuff Celsius would do you know over the past few years and then the stock collapsed 40% then the stock went on a rocket ship ride again and then the stock crashed 70% a 70% drop right vicious brutal then it started to come back to life and then it went through a 30% drop after that right so it went through a 40% drop a 70% drop and a 30% drop all in a matter of about three years or so right three three years 3 four years that's incredible it reminds me a lot of Celsius it really reminds me a lot of Celsius and I feel like this is what's going on now at this point in time and you got to remember this was a very interesting time for Monster not just because the stage that the company was up was at was very similar to where Celsius is at but also remember we're going through the great financial crisis type times during here right which guess what we we're not going through the great financial crisis right now but we're going through a time period when a lot of people are more concerned about the economy and unemployment keeps Rising people are scared like it might go 5 6 7 8% we'll see right that's a game we're going to have to see how it plays out over this next eight months or so right say more like8 8 to 18 months we'll see how all that plays out but if there's worries about the job market getting hit it means bad things for energy drink like energy drink category has always counted on people being employed right and people needing energy because they going to work this job and that job and so you know it's something to factor in here but Celsius is starting to look very attractive from a buying opportunity that loses me to Lululemon another stock that just gets destroyed and destroyed it's dropping again right it looked like it would might be forming a bottom but now it's just going back down so my belief is Lululemon likely formed a false bottom my belief is and the reason being is we still got txox harvesting coming in that fourth quarter okay listen these stocks that have been nailed and nailed and nailed like a Lululemon they still got tax loss harvesting coming like that's still coming believe me there's been a lot of stocks that have made people a lot of money this year okay people don't want to pay taxes you know people hate paying taxes and you got to keep in mind stock market investors are the most educated of educated when it comes to money related subjects these people understand all the ways to get around the tax system and all these sorts of things right and so you got the fund manager over there who's got a bunch of money they made on Nvidia this year and meta and whatever okay boom they made a bunch of profits on that great they need to offset against something so since you're a growth investor you probably would have been investing in a Lululemon right because you got to understand growth investors are going to look for growth stocks Lou lemon's been a phenomenal growth stock so high probability if you're a fund manager and you're invested in a meta or an Nvidia pretty high probability you were also invest in Lou Lemon because that's a grow stock as well well Lou Lemon has sucked right the stocks done horrible for the past many many months and you might have bought last year and you're probably down significantly on your shares you might be looking at that and you might be looking and you're saying do I really want to pay taxes on all these gains I you know what I got that Big L lemon loss let me go ahead let me sell out of that let me go ahead and write that off against these other stocks here and it's easier to do when the company's not the company's numbers aren't performing right L lemon hasn't been the most exciting numbers for the company recently so you have probably even more doubts about the growth profile in lemon going into 2025 so you have doubts about the growth profile you get to offset taxes why would you not why would you not tax L Harvest at in the fourth quarter that's the problem and that's why these stocks are likely just doing a false bottom here in the short term in regards to these and it's not just me picking on Lulu a stock I just started buying into recently s Lauder is another perfect candidate for this exact thing I'm talking about I I wouldn't be surprised if I get Este Lauder at 82 bucks a share at some point in the fourth quarter I wouldn't be surprised at all no that being said why would would I start buying it already here recently I might not get at 82 right the then of the day I think about stocks over the next 3 5 and seven years and if I look at Estee Lauder if I buy a 92 today or 88 or 99 whatever it's all going to be gravy in the end it's all going to be a lot of money to be made in over the next 3 5 seven years in my personal opinion so I don't need to perfectly time it out at 82 but would I be surprised if estate Lauder went to 82 this year no you know there's a ton of funds and a ton of investors that lost a fortune on SE Lauder if you bought Estee Lauder basically any time in the past 5 years you've lost money so there's a lot of people sitting on a lot of losses in regards to the stock that might be looking to tax loss hars in the fourth quarter so would I be surprised if the stock went down a bunch no especially if you got weakness in the market if you got any real weakness in the market in the fourth quarter it's just going to add insult to injury in regards to kind of you know these stocks and where they'll bought them out of now I do believe many of these sorts of stocks do bottom in the fourth quarter and when I say bottom I'm talking about a multi- year bottom not like a short-term bottom for the next few weeks next few no no no I'm talking about many of these companies are going to form a multi-year bottom very similar to what happened in tech stocks in 2022 many of those stocks formed a multi-year bottom and have never gotten even where close to where they're and they're not going to even in the next stock market crash they're not even going to get remotely even fractionally close to where those stocks fell in 2022 that's exactly what we're going to see play out in a lot of these value stocks dividend stocks bottom out in the fourth quarter and it's going to be a multi-year bottom and you won't see many of those stocks ever hit prices like this again and if they do it's going to be a long long time from now just wait on it just wait on it next one up here MJ stocks fubo honest what do we have going on here okay listen bad news came yesterday bad news so the DEA is pushed off rescheduling until the next Administration it's a joke it's a joke the government's such a joke the government's such a joke they're such a joke I mean it's like you can't get this done you can't reschedule now they got to wait for the next Administration it's just a waste of time now do I am I am I afraid at all that Harris won't get it done or Trump won't get it done no they'll they'll both get it done but at the end of the day it just is a joke how slow things move like oh we're going to push it back till the next Administration like why you could have got it done the rescheduling which would have been great for all these MJ stocks and all these MJ companies right and they're not getting it done it's just it's embarrassing man but do I am I surprised no because government's a joke and so I'm not surprised disappointed you sure surprised no with that being said especially in regards to planet that has special things going on in regards to the company and I think people will see that in the next quarter and so um yeah that will be a lot higher 12 months from now in my personal opinion than it is today let's just put it that way fubo I think a lot of exciting things are coming for fubo here obviously we kind of got that whenever you got a big massive Spike like you had obviously after the the legal situation played out the way it did and positively for fubo you have a lot of short-term people get in it then they take profits right we kind of went through that now at this point in time so I wouldn't be surprised if fubo starts another upward move in regards to stock now at this point in time especially being that we're about to go into college football season college football season gets kicked off this weekend right then we go into NFL season right after that I wouldn't be surprised if you start to see momentum come back in fubo and then when they report their next quarter which will probably be in November I'm expecting losses to drop again for the company I'm expecting nice Revenue growth nice subscriber numbers and um I think could be onward and upward for fuba I still think that one's setting up for a really good end of year honest honest is uh honest is looking good into year end but it's also looking good for the next several years you know car Laser's got that ship running really really good now at this point in time so I have zero fear there now next thing we got to talk about here has the crash started and we just haven't realized it yet would you never realize it when you're in the moment right I think it's a fair debate right um you know we couldn't get back to the old high now the nasdaq's starting to fall again and with this Nvidia move down it's going to bring down likely the que it's going to likely bring down Tech in general and you know nasdaq's likely going to fall somewhere around here so I think it's a potential you know the thing is it gets me really upset is I released this video it's by far in away the worst viewed video I've had right just from the go like people weren't interested they just didn't watch they didn't click on it nothing right and I ran through the whole scenario and this is I think this is one of the most valuable videos I put out in a long time and it just people did not care to watch it fewer regular viewers are choosing to watch this video right and I think there's a lot of people that are missing out they should have watch that video and I think when it's all said and done there's going to be a lot of people that wish they watch that video cuz I laid out the whole case the whole nine-step process on how this could end up playing out in not in the best way right and I think a lot of people just kind of missed it and so you know you got it the problem is once again with people it's just they want they want everybody to either be Perma bus or Perma bears and you got to understand you're uneducated if you're a Perma bull you're uneducated if you're a Perma bear if all you are is just everything's to the Moon you're uneducated if all you are is everything's going to crash to zero you're uned educated and I see way too often people love people that are Perma bus or Perma Bears right and you got to understand there's different sides to this game you got to understand the risk potentials of this scenario playing out versus this scenario and how this could play out that's higher level educated right and just it's a very frustrating ordeal because um some people never want to hear the other side if they're they're they are more on a bearish tone they only want to see bearish videos and if they're more on a positive tone they only want want to see positive videos and bullish and tell us why everything's going to move it's frustrating man cuz you got to understand to be really good at this game you got to understand these different Dynamics at play here there's a range of possibilities this is poker if you ever played poker on a high level this is not that's not a game where you just you know wing it and just you think only one thing you think only one thing's going to happen in poker you're going to lose all your money quick I trust me man I live in Vegas like they'll take your money down at those tables so fast you won't even see it coming you'll go in there with 500 bucks and you'll be down to zero in an hour if you think there's only one potential and you're not seeing the different things that are going to play out play a great chess player a game of chess sometime and only think about one scenario of you doing one thing you'll Lo you'll be checkm it in less than 30 seconds less than 30 seconds they'll check checkmate you because you're only thinking about one scenario and the stock market is extremely complicated you got to understand there's more scenarios at play here man got to understand I wish more people watch that video and it's going to be sad because I think that was a video a lot of people should have watched and they just chose not to watch it and then they'll come back and be like damn I should have freaking watched that he taught so much in that video he gave out so much game and we just missed it right no listen every type of Market there's money to be made a lot of money to be made and this is why I don't fear any Market a lot of people they only want to be Perma bullish or bearish they only want to bet on the negative outcome then they blow up their account because the negative outcome doesn't happen they only want to be Perma bullish and so they blow up their account cuz they went super heavy on call options and they lost on that and the market turns the other way right and uh there's a lot of money to be made in this market regardless I'm not scared crash the market I'll make a bunch of money off that Skyrocket the market I'll make a bunch of money off that kangaroo the market up and down up and down boom bo bo boom let's bounce this baby I'll make a bunch of money off that doesn't matter and so you got to understand any Market there's so much money to be made man so much money and the ones that really understand how to play this game are going to make a lot of money you understand in any economy in any stock market there's a lot of money to be made there's people that made they retired during the great financial crisis cuz they made so much freaking money they started up certain businesses that just thrived like crazy during that 2 threee period they made so much money off Investments right same thing in B markets like if you know how to position correctly there's so much money to be made regardless of the market so I never get scared like maybe back in the day like years and years and years ago I used to be scared of like a bad outcome for the market nowadays I'm welcome it I'm going crash this thing take the& be down 40% go ahead be my guest be my guest right and so once you kind of understand this game and how to make money in these different sorts of markets you don't fear anything like give me it i'll make money give me it man all righty guys appreciate you joining me as always thanks so much for being here if you're looking to level up your game your intelligence when it comes to this Market on a much higher level get access to all my best course curriculums teaching you everything I got up here how to make money in all these different various markets then you can check out the pin comment down there click on that fill in an application we'll see if we can get you access maybe next week to my private stock group private wealth group THX stocks.com so you become a much better investor than where you're at today and be ready for any sort of Market okay all right guys much love and have a great day

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