Tracking Potential Tropical Cyclone 6, likely to be hurricane in Gulf of Mexico later this week

Published: Sep 08, 2024 Duration: 00:03:51 Category: News & Politics

Tags : rain storms Hurricane tropics Tropical storm heavy rain tropical depression gordon new orleans thunderstorms francine cold front flood risk Cooler Flood Potential Flood Watch Less Humid New Orleans weather forecast low chances of development tropical waves potential tropical cyclone #6

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'M ROB KIRKPATRICK REPORTING. RIGHT NOW ON WDSU FIRST WARNING WEATHER WE HAVE GOT A LOT TO TALK ABOUT. I WANT TO START OFF WITH WDSU FIRST WARNING WEATHER. DOPPLER RADAR QUICK. BUT RIGHT AFTER THIS WE ARE GOING TO SEE EXACTLY WHAT'S COMING OUR WAY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR THE TROPICS. THE TROPICS WILL BE ON OUR MINDS ALL WEEK LONG AS THE SYSTEM POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX IS ALREADY FORMED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. IT'S GOING TO GET ITS ACT TOGETHER OVER THE NEXT DAY AND THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN BEYOND. THEN IT'S GOING TO BE TRACKING OUR WAY. ALREADY START TO SEE AFTER COMFY AIR IS DROPPED IN IN PLACE. THERE'S A LITTLE RETURN OF SOME HUMIDITY, LOWER PLAQUEMINES MOUTH IN THE MISSISSIPPI HAS ALREADY FOUND A FEW SHOWERS MAKING THEIR WAY BACK. YOU CAN SEE IN THE GULF WE STILL HAVE SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY. THAT'S THE DIRECTION THERE AS WELL. THIS ISN'T ANY RAIN. THIS IS JUST A LITTLE BIT MORE. SOME MORE HUMIDITY TRYING TO MOVE IN. BUT THTHERE'S A GOOD LOOK AT THE PICTURE OF WHAT WE'VE GOT IN THE WAY OF THOSE SYSTEMS COMING IN. SO LET'S CUT RIGHT TO THE CHASE, WHICH IS THE MOST IMMEDIATE CONCERN. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX. WHAT DOES THAT REALLY MEAN? WELL, WE KNOW THIS IS GOING TO BE A STORM THAT WILL FORM BECOMING TROPICAL. IT WILL IMPACT LAND. THAT'S WHY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WANTS TO GIVE THE BEST OUTLOOKS IN ISSUE. WHAT IT'S GOT AT THIS POINT. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, THIS THING COULD BE A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO BE NAMED FRANCINE. IF SOMETHING FORMS BEFORE THEN, THEN IT'S GORDON. BUT EITHER WHICH WAY CATEGORY WIND. CATEGORY ONE WITH WINDS 75MPH. YOU CAN SEE THIS IS GOING TO BE WEST OF US, RIGHT N NOW. CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY ONSHORE. AND THEN IT'S A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FROM THERE. SO WHAT DOES IT STAND RIGHT NOW? WHY IS IT NOT EVEN DEEMED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME? THERE JUST ISN'T MUCH ORGANIZATION THAT'S HERE. YOU CAN SEE THE ESTIMATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REALLY WITH STORMS THAT ARE WEST OF IT HERE. BUT YOU CAN ALSO FIND AN AREA OF STORM ACTIVITY THAT'S GOING FARTHER NORTH. WATER TEMPERATURES, NO PROBLEM HERE. WELL INTO THE UPPER 80S. A LOT OF ATMOSPHERIC HUMIDITY. SO IT'S GOING TO BE MOIST AND UNSTABLE WITH THAT HEAT OF THE OCEAN. THE ONLY THING THAT WILL BE BATTLING HERE IS WIND SHEAR. SO THESE ARE STRONGER WINDS IN THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM THAT I'VE LOOKED AT THAT COULD HAVE AN INTERACTION TO KEEP THE STORM FROM MAYBE BECOMING THE WORST IT COULD BE. SO THERE IS ONE DETERMINING FACTOR. THERE THAT MIGHT HOLD THINGS DOWN. STORM TRACKS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, SHOWN HERE. MORE STORM TRACKS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FROM A FORECAST THAT WE DO HERE IN THE UNITED STATES CALLED THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM. WHEN YOU PUT ALL OF THESE TRACKS TOGETHER, I'VE KIND OF DRAWN ON A MEDIUM TRACK HERE FOR YOU, WHERE I BELIEVE THAT TO BE, AND STILL IT SETS UP JUST WEST OF NEW ORLEANS, UNFORTUNATELY, MIGHT BE TAKING IT RIGHT THROUGH THE TOWN OF CAMERON. WE ALL KNOW TOO WELL WHAT'S HAPPENED WITH CAMERON BEFORE. HERE'S OUR FORECAST AGAIN. THE GFS SHOWS BY TUESDAY. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO BE A NAMED STORM. THERE'S THE LANDFALL POTENTIAL FORECAST COMING INTO WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER FORECAST OUT OF EUROPE. THESE ARE VERY SIMILAR TO EACH OTHER TUESDAY. WE'VE GOT FORMATION INTO OUR NEXT NAMED STORM. THEN BY WEDNESDAY MAKING ITS WAY ONSHORE. AND WE'RE NOT DONE WITH IT UNTIL WE GET MORE INTO FRIDAY. WE'RE LOOKING AT A LOT OF RAIN WITH THIS FOLKS HERE. FIRST, THIS IS FIRST UP, A RAIN THREAT. RAIN THREAT. FROM THERE, IT'S GOING TO BE ALSO SOME GUSTY WINDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF IT. BUT STORM SURGE WITH WIND WATER BEING PUSHED ON SHORE. HERE'S JUST A LOOK AT THAT FORECAST. I WANT TO SHOW THE WINDS IN RELATION TO US WHERE IT'S SET TO BE EXACTLY IN THE HIGH RES FORECAST, YOU CAN SEE THAT ONE HEADED WEST. HERE ARE THE WIND GUSTS FORECAST FOR US. AND LOOK AT THIS ONE. THE WINDS COULD REALLY PICK UP GUSTING TO 30 POSSIBLY OVER 50MPH. BUT THEN FINALLY AND I KNOW THERE'S SOME BREAKS IN THE DATA, IT'S GOING TO BE THE WAVE HEIGHTS HERE, SOME SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE COULD BE COMING OUR WAY. SO THE ALL TAKEAWAY HERE IS THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM WILL BE ON SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM SURGE AND HEAVY RAIN. BUT UNFORTUNATELY, BEING ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM, WE HAVE A TORNADO THREAT WITH THIS TOO.. SO WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO UPGRADE TO A WDSU FIRST. WARNING WEATHER ALERT DAY. ALL READY FOR WEDNESDAY KNOWING THE STORM WILL BE IN THE VICINITY. RIGHT ON OUR DOORSTEP. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND TRACK THE EXACT TRACK IT WILL TAKE, BUT REGARDLESS OF WHERE IT GO

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