I Found The ULTIMATE Fantasy Football Cheat Code - Fantasy Football Draft Advice

nowadays people have no hesitations in throwing out their fantasy football rankings but how do you know if your rankings actually make sense or not I see people all the time out there going Devon Anan he's my rb5 this year or maybe like puka he's got to be a top seven wide receiver in fantasy football Kenneth Walker y'all be sleeping on Kenneth Walker he's a top 12 running back no doubt in 2024 it's really easy to go out there and throw out the terms of he's my RB 4 or my wide receiver 7 but I don't see anyone out there on the internet really trying to help the people help people figure out how to build better rankings because if you're going to be tossing out rankings you better know what those players need to produce statistically in order to hit those spots that's why today I'm going to show you a tool that can make you a Fantasy Football Genius that's right and we're going to have some fun today as well because I went through and I asked viewers in our community over on the community Tab and on Twitter just the other day to submit some rankings for a few players now if you've been watching this Channel at all throughout the off season you know that we are trying to do our best to teach you this offseason really try to help you unlock your mind when it comes to the game of fantasy football because if we can change the way that you're looking at the game you're going to be able to find way more success than you even thought was possible so today I'm going to take a little bit of time and I'm going to to show you a couple different ways on how you can go about building some of your own personal projections so that way when you build your own personal rankings they actually make sense now if you love learning fantasy football cheat codes just like this do me a favor please hit the like button now and if this video can get a th000 likes I'm going to pick a random commenter from down below and give them a free 2024 Fantasy Football Draft guide our guide is already live and it's jam-packed full of tools to help you Domin me in 2024 so all right let's see who's paying attention if you're paying attention right now # genius Down Below in the comment section and let's go ahead and dive in now just a couple of days ago I put a post on our YouTube Community Tab and on Twitter in that post I asked the community to rank a few players the players that I was looking for a ranking for were the likes of Devon hm Kiren Williams Kenneth Walker puka nakua Drake London Nico Dalton concade and Kyle pittz I wanted to know where the people had these players ranked the RB what the wide receiver what I wanted to know and I say that because I really wanted to gauge where the community was at with these players now most of you followed the rules perfectly some of you you you had one task and some of you just did not and let me also just say this real quick if a few of you posted these rankings online on on YouTube I'm sorry to say it but you would get annihilated in the comment section rip your social media mentions but I went through and I took an average of where you had each one of these players ranked so let's go ahead and take a look at these averages for Devon Anan overall he was the average running back 10 Kiren Williams the running back nine Kenneth Walker rb1 14 puka nakua wide receiver nine Drake London wide receiver 13 Nico Collins wide receiver 17 Dalton conc tight end four and Kyle Pitts tight end seven now for the most part A lot of the rankings for these players were pretty similar but there were a few guys that were all over the place Devon Anan was ranked as high as running back six as low as running back 16 Kenneth Walker as high as running back nine as low as running back 23 Drake London as high as wide receiver 7even as low as wide receiver 25 Nico Collins as high as wide receiver 14 as low as wide receiver 25 and then Kyle pittz no one knows what to do with Kyle pittz as high as tight end 2 as low as tight end 13 so this is what we're going to do we're going to build some realistic projections for a couple of these guys let's build those projections then turn them into fantasy points and then use historical data to see where they would would have finished at their position at that current point total doing an exercise like this is the best way to get the thoughts that you have in your head into actual numbers down on paper you really need to see if your head's in the right spot when you're building accurate rankings cuz I can't tell you how many times I get comments saying you know what Jake Drake London he's my wide receiver seven he's going to have at least 90 catches for 1,00 yards and seven touchdowns cool but I hate to break it to you 90 catches for 12200 yards and seven touchdowns is 207 half PPR points which is barely enough for him to crack the top 12 at the position so we can't have him as a wide receiver seven if that's what you think the statline he's going to achieve is now I know that because I have created a pretty nifty spreadsheet that actually shows me the average Point scored by position in half PPR leagues and it's actually a session in our draft guide if I want to know on average what does the wide receiver 7 score I can go find that data easily now in my opinion this is like gold it's one of my favorite things in the draft guide and honestly it's pretty freaking simple but once you have this information at your fingertips it really helps you understand where you should draft certain players now if you're like Jake I want that spreadsheet it's in our draft guide like I said head over to tfhd draft guide.com right now to get yourself a draft guide if you want one for free you can head over to Underdog Fantasy Sign up for a new account use the referral code Headliners when you do so do that minimum $10 deposit not only are they going to give you a firsttime deposit bonus of up to $250 in bonus cash but I'm also going to send you a free draft guide as well but all right it's time to focus I need you guys I need you locked in I need you paying attention here for a couple minutes because once you learn how to do this you can apply it to every single player in the NFL but let's have a little fun here with Devon aan running back of the Miami Dolphins the viewer consensus ranking had him at the running back 10 overall now in 2023 Devon hen only played in nine full games in those nine full games he averaged 14 touches per game we all know Devon Anan is not some Workhorse running back we know that Raheem moster he's in line to get the bulk of the early down touches we also know that Miami just drafted Jaylen Wright another Speedy running back that can handle some volume as well so to sit here in the off season entering 2024 with this stacked offense that they have in Miami we can't look at Devon Anan and really expect more than the 14 touches per game that he saw last year when playing in full games so if we take 14 touches and multiply it over a 17 Game season that comes out to be 238 total touches last year Devon hen could not stay healthy on the field and he only had 130 total touches now all of a sudden sudden we expect him to stay healthy all 17 games and increase his volume by 100 total touches that is not a smart thing to do I truly believe that if we can get 14 games this season out of Devon Anan we're probably all going to be pretty happy so if we take 14 games played and we multiply it by 14 touches per game that comes out to be 196 total touches which honestly I think is a very fair number considering the offense they have in Miami and the amount of options that they have so now that's going to take us to how many yards does he gain per touch now there is no way that once again we can sit back and expect Devon ham to average 7.8 yards per carry like he did in 2023 that number right there totally crazy and is not sustainable for a career for reference purposes CMC finished second behind Devon hm and he had 5.4 yards per carry that is a difference of 2.4 yards per carry absolutely crazy not sustainable not something you can rely upon entering a season but let's just say that Devon Anan is still going to dominate in this area and he still finishes higher than Christian mcaffrey let's give him 5.7 yards per carry for this upcoming season when it comes to receptions now Devon Anan averages 7.3 yards per reception that right there is is a very realistic average for running backs of his skill set so the 5.7 yards per carry and the 7.3 yards per reception comes out to be an average of 6.5 yards per total touch so now it's just simple math if you take 196 touches and then multiply it by 6.5 yards per touch it comes out to be 1,274 total yards converted to half PPR fantasy points it's 127.5 fantasy points now last year Devon Anan averaged 2.5 receptions per game I really don't see that number increasing much once again here in 2024 so 2.5 receptions per game multiplied by the 14 games played comes out to be 35 receptions or in half PPR scoring 17.5 fantasy points so really it now it's only down to touchdowns now last year Devon aan scored a touchdown once every 12 touches once again that number is absolutely crazy it's not normal not even close to normal just because Raheem moard and Devon aan last year scored touchdowns it seemed like at will those numbers are highly inflated and cannot be relied upon yearly for reference CMC he averaged a touchdown every 16 touches and even that number number right there was super crazy high coming into a season like this and expecting anything more than one touchdown per 20 touches is absolutely Reckless so if we take the 196 touches and divide it by 20 it gives us 10 total touchdowns or 60 fantasy points six points per touchdown that also gives us now a total statline 1,274 total yards 10 total touchdowns and 35 receptions that seems very realistic for a player of the caliber of Devon hn but that comes out to be 24.9 fantasy points now based off statistical history over the last 3 years 24.9 fantasy points would be good enough to make him the running back 13 overall that is 36 point shy of the running back six that someone had him ranked before this exercise and if he scores just one less touchdown he's going to be flirting with running back 15 so as you can see when you put the numbers down on paper it's not easy to just finish as the running back 10 because honestly if you sat there and you looked here at the end of the year like you know what devvon Anan had just under 1300 yards 10 touchdowns 35 receptions you're probably not going to be that disappointed that's a super solid year but you will have overdrafted him at running back 10 that that's why when I see a lot of people putting Devon Anan pretty high in their rankings I get a little bit worried now I can't sit here and say that Devon hm probably has the highest upside maybe of almost any running back in the NFL but he also has like the highest risk of any running back in the NFL as well that's why you'll see here throughout the off season we probably have Devon hm a couple spots lower than most people but all right what about a wide receiver cuz you got to do them a little bit differently than you do a running back for for wide receivers we don't really care about Carries On The Ground we only care about that receiving volume so let's talk about Drake London the current viewer consensus rank on him was the wide receiver 13 now over the last two seasons Drake London has averaged 114 targets 71 receptions 885 receiving yards and three touchdowns per year he actually performed better two years ago in his rookie year than he did just last year but I think we all know what the problem is it's not London it's been bad quarterback play and it's been Arthur Smith over the last couple of years so let's let's not hold his production really against him the last couple of Seasons now let's build a projection here let's start off with targets now we have to remember that Drake London is not the only show in town in Atlanta sure he's going to see a slight increase in targets but it's not going to be some astronomical number don't forget they still have Kyle pittz and bejan Robinson they just brought in the likes of Rond Del Moore and Darnell Mooney as well I think if we pencil in Drake London for right around 130 targets that is a great place to start and it's more than a 10% increase over his career average now obviously if he gets 130 targets he's not catching all of them for his career his catch percentage is 62% but we have to think with Kurt cousin's now under Center that number is going to go up it's going to be the best quarterback that Drake London has ever had now Justin Jefferson with Kirk Cousins had a catchable Target rate of right around 75% at the time they left Minnesota but their chemistry was built over time I I want to bump the number up but I'm not going to go too high let's put it at 70% for this exercise 70% of 130 targets comes out to be 91 receptions I think everybody would be happy if Drake London had 91 receptions that comes out to be 45.5 fantasy points in half PPR scoring now over the last two years London has also only averaged 12.6 yards per reception but kurk cousins loves himself the Deep ball and that's where Drake London could Excel this season so I think it's safe to say that the yard per reception number this year is going to increase for Drake London even if it's sitting right around 14 yards per reception that's not some crazy number it's going to put him somewhere right around the top 25 to 30 wide receivers in the league so 14 yards per reception multiplied by 91 receptions comes out to be 1,274 receiving yards or 127.5 fantasy points so really that only leaves us touchdowns now to figure out something we haven't seen from Drake London very much over the last couple of years he only has six total touchdowns over his last two combined Seasons but let's just see what if we just give him a handful of touchdowns five touchdowns let's do that and then go from there which means our overall stat line is going to be 91 catches for 1,274 receiving yards in five touchdowns that's a total of 22.9 fantasy points and half PPR scoring looking back at history I can see that 22.9 fantasy points is good enough to make him the wide receiver 13 now the wide receiver 13 is right where the community currently has him at their consensus rank now for those that had him ranked as high as wide receiver seven he would still need an additional 29 fantasy points to reach that number and that is no easy ask but having him penciled down in your rankings as the wide receiver 13 seems like it's pretty doable I think we can all look at that statline of 91 catches for 1274 yards and five touchdowns as being super realistic so penciling him down as the wide receiver 13 doesn't seem like a bad spot to have it so as you can see there's a few different ways of going about and building these ejections but if you don't follow a process like this when you're building your rankings you could be putting expectations on players that even you don't think that they could hit and that right there is a huge problem that so many people don't even realize when they're playing fantasy football it's why I love this spreadsheet so much truly a great reference for those like leading up to their drafts if they really want to try to look at a few players it's a great tool to use I mean build some projections look at some of the players you do like look at some of the players you don't like build some realistic stat lines figure out what those Fantasy Point totals will be see when it's really a good time to draft them or not now I don't watch a lot of other fantasy content if I'm being completely honest I don't want other people's opinions swaying the way that I have done things for so many years but I can honestly say that I haven't heard of anyone else out there trying to teach this to the people I'm literally trying to give you the keys to the car right now because I feel like information like this is straight fire when it comes to your fantasy football drafts now if you agree with that do me a favor and hit the like button if you haven't already and consider subscribing if you're not subscrib please subscribe now if you want to dominate fantasy football because I'm looking forward to a great year with the community once again I'm going to go ahead and get out of here for the day though hopefully you guys enjoy the rest of your day but most importantly do your part to make the world a better place [Music]