Premier League Picks Matchday 5 | Premier League Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

Premier League Matchday 5 Picks the game begins [Music] do [Music] [Applause] [Music] welcome to bet us soccer channel i'm flash and it's the epl it's the premier league it's match day five now the big news is everyone was wanting to put the boot into liverpool they responded nine yes n i n e nine nil against bulmer for we said last week they're going down they're not they're not right approaching games right and uh yeah they got put to the sword i've got a special guest you'll see there that it's not stinch so first of all i'd like to remind you america's favorite sports book so i'd like you to subscribe once you've subscribed ring the bell ring the bell means we'll notify you you'll never miss any content again and if you are on social media make sure you follow at bet us tv there's a link in description and you've only got two days to go so basically these shows we've had the cr earlier now we're doing the premier league then we do the champions league futures then that's the end of the month i'll be giving you four winners who will each receive a shirt uh remember the q a get yourselves in the chat as well because we're gonna be firing elf we've got six games now you know i've got the award-winning owner of we love betting on one side of the fence here in marco hell but on the other as we said stinch is going to have his hair and his nails done so i needed a replacement well i went for u.s based soccer fanatic in mr brad thomas brad how are you sir i'm doing pretty good yeah you're looking have you done that hair just like half an hour ago or something it looks like it happened this is how it looks when i wake up it's actually pretty remarkable it is i fancy that you uh i think stinch got in your chair you got out the chair you like all ready and everything for the show and he's got in it marco yeah what do you make of that makes you a little bit jealous huh i was gonna say i wouldn't wouldn't take the mickey's so i could only die for some hair like that yeah but if you had hair would you wear it like that i'll wear it anyway i want to flash i'd just love to have hair okay yeah see i could i could i could actually have that but i choose to have my hair like this um anyway make sure you feel welcome brad and this is the way things happen we have got six games we're obviously going to go from side to side we'll have a good chat and then we'll have the official picks i know you've already sent me your official picks as well um let's have a little look here uh henry dyer said brentford we're indeed the trap of the weekend we fell for it no you fell for it henry you i just i disagree to a degree um to an extent i should say um purely because i back brentford and i back them at the same price again every week against everton uh anyone who saw the game saw the highlights saw they deserve to win that game ten times over they hit the woodwork three times mr rebound from inches out absolutely dominated the match and uh just unfortunately that's football for you we talk about it every week we talk about all the wild results we've had in the premier league this season but on the balance of play brentford deserved that win so i don't think it was a trap i think they were they were good value plus 100 shots and i back that price every day of the week well said and the good thing is that it's we look at value and what we perceive to be value but then because it loses or they see a result and they've not watched the game they feel as if oh my god but sometimes that's professional sport brad over the weekend what stood out for you oh man what's not for me it's got to be how bad burma are like god they are absolutely absolutely awful and you know the excuses have been starting since the beginning of the season and they just continue week after week um you know they're going to be right going right back down without a question yeah and listen no in the premier league they'll probably go and win midweek i know that we've left it alone uh now the time to put up the uh the record zone uh we did okay uh obviously harry kane scoring at any time helped out the prop of the week myself i obviously nicked a couple of units so he was happy with Premier League Betting Record that uh but the bottom line is that we're up 2.79 and we've always said we just want to be up mark o'hare at one stinch at four and now we're going to add brad thomas to that as well um let's crack on let's crack on let's go with the the first game make sure you get yourself in the chat uh by the way i'm not like 15 on my thumbs up so if you like this content then please press the thumbs up as well then i go uh to my bosses and say hey we're getting all these viewers yeah but no one's liking it because they're not putting the thumbs up okay so let's kick off with the first game then please Crystal Palace vs Brentford Game Picks it's crystal palace versus brentford it should be a cracking game this but palace are a massive plus one one five considering they've been to liverpool and scored they've been to man city and scored but brentford they have no fear they score in every single game at plus 245 so maybe they should push us to the under and over two and a half with the over two and off been at minus 105. pallet score twice is plus one ten offensive score twice they win the game the draw is at plus 250. let's go to you first marco here because palace brentford i think palace are better than brentford palace at home and a night game i'll just take the plus one one five and don't complicate yeah yeah i can see your reasoning for it and i considered it as well uh the market would be palace 130 if they felt the two teams were rated equal so clearly the market thinks palace a slightly better team wouldn't sort of contest that um provided city with a real scare on saturday defended really well organized and their approach counted dangerously and you know balls and delivery for the opening two goals were exquisite really and you know vieira was right to be disappointed to come away with nothing after leading two nil but i think what's worth bearing in mind is how much efforts put into that match and how leggy they could be coming into this because they definitely looked weary and fatigued in the second half and it's it's a tough afternoon chasing the ball with 26 percent of the possession that the yeti had when you're trying to defend a lead and i think the manner of the defeat may may hurt them but that's just something that's to bear in mind and no zaha on saturday either i'm not sure of his progress if he's going to be back and available but they'd want him obviously playing if if he was but uh yeah you're right sellers park palace have been good under the area just five defeats in 21 premier league games eight wins eight draws they've scored in 16 of those fixtures too so i fully expect them to score um and then you know i mentioned brentford's game against everton already but um you know i think thomas frank has already said he's got had no qualms whatsoever with his team's ability to create chances he's just been a little bit concerned about how soft they've been defensively and particularly away from home and actually since promotion brentford have kept just two clean sheets away from home in the premier league they scored in 15 of those 21 away days so 14 of 21 away at 67 they've seen both teams scoring and that's the angle i quite like here because brentford's two-way results so far i've been 2-2 and 3-2 they've seen bts in three or four games already they've scored in all four games and they've scored in 14 of the last 16 trips to teams outside the big six um so yeah i mentioned the case palace should score at home they've got a good scoring record at selves park if sahara comes back into the team you've got a sort of more ammunition there to go with it but yeah just concerned that they might be slightly fatigued after the workout at man city the weekend and i think brentford are still slightly underrated by the market going around what their prices are going off but yeah i know we're only four match days deep and it's quite a small sample but put these two records put these two teams records together they've scored in seven of eight games collectively kept just one clean sheet between them six of eight you've seen btds and five of they've actually gone over three and a half goals so i expect it to be quite competitive quite an exciting entertaining game both teams of school would be in my play yeah that's -125 i believe which is just for both teams to score over two and a half at minus 105 does look appealing uh brad we've got crystal palace here versus brentford it's the london derby just straight over battersea bridge and you'll be there but i've gotta go with palace at plus one one five i think they've got enough youth i think they're they're uh sellers park is never an easy place to go you put it in under the lights with a london derby surely palace get the job done yeah i'm on palace as well here um and after tracking yesterday wilfred zaha is on track to play um you know obviously if he doesn't play that's a huge loss for palace but what i really like about this game is when you look at the home and away splits for both teams we know sellers park is very very difficult place to play crystal palace weren't particularly great on the road they had last year last season they had an xg about 1.6 something around there but at home it gets a little bit higher to around 1.41 their gold differential over 90 minutes is plus five plus 0.54 which means it's obvious that they play better at home if you're looking at the numbers on brentford they are due for regression at some point they have nine goals on the season with an expected goal mark of 6.4 most of those goals are you know if you want to talk about regression at some point your expectation mark does kind of uh it levels out throughout the season unless you're real madrid of course who always exceed their expected goal mark another thing that i really like about this game crystal palace are one of the most tactically sound teams especially when playing at home they don't give up a ton of fouls they're actually the fifth lowest dead balls giveaways in the entire premier league and i think that continues when they play against the brentford side who really really relies on set pieces to score their goals so this is one where you know i think both teams score is cool but i want plus money for this game no matter which way i shake it if i'm playing if i'm playing any kind of derby or if i'm playing against two teams who have sporadic results i want plus money on this um and then looking back uh against their game against city and their game against liverpool you know it felt inevitable that they were going to uh to drop those leads there especially against city when the pricing is dead when cities down 2-0 and the price is plus 190 you know that just seems like it's just something that's going to going to happen but i think that crystal palace um and what patrick fury has done for this team uh you know they have the major upper hand here especially if regression sets for brentford yeah the other thing that we've got to mention is that palace are a big side uh and i think they can more than match brentford i wouldn't put anyone off to both teams of scoring over though um or you just take the over two and a half minus 105 or you brave and go with palace win and both teams to score okay that's game number one let's have a look at the official picks because all three of us first game up brad got involved both him scored minus 125 for mark o'hare palace money line up plus one one five and if it's good enough for brad it's good enough for me uh plus one one five so uh the epl show will have two units on palace and both teams to score for marco here means that we're looking at palace winning a minimum two one okay let's move on because i didn't know what to make of this game Fulham vs Brighton Game Picks it's a fulham versus brighton again dodgy place to go under the lights uh fulham the craven cottage but fulham plus 230 brighton very good again at the weekend at plus 125 we cash with the brighton and under four and a half at plus 110 over two and a half goals at plus 100 i think that's that's a good price you want to be revisiting the draw is at plus 240. brad brighton are a decent side home or away but fulham have their sort of belief and a little bit of energy i see both teams scoring over so basically you don't need to do that just do the over two and a half plus 100 yeah i i like both teams of score i like the over here and this is one of those uh games where if you or i would consider like if you're a casual better you'd probably instantly be like oh this is going under both teams the score is not happening especially if you just look at box scores you know both team score is only hitting one brighton game but if you dig a little bit deeper into the advanced metrics and that game they played against west ham west ham absolutely deserved a goal with an actually about 0.89 and then that game against leeds it was really really strange that that leads did not find the back of the net especially with an xg of 1.8 in this game what's really going to be a a darling for fulham is you know they're going to play a counter-attack kind of football you know they brighton love to control the pace and then slow it down but one thing when you start living in in your opponent's final third or your opponent's side of the half you become more susceptible when you keep a higher line if they keep pushing that line up a little bit higher and if you look at most of fulham's goals this year it's been mitrovic getting some way getting out on the break and scoring goals you're telling me you're giving me plus money on the over or both teams to score at minus 128 125 it's something that you kind of have to really take a look at yeah it could be a score draw this one marco here we we are fans of brighton we're still the jury's out on fulham i watched them kill uh one of my bets at arsenal the other day but i thought they were poor to be honest i thought that they were just well organized yeah uh they have performed above my expectations in the first four match days and i think marco silva is a massive asset to them and it's you know impressive how he's completely changed the stalin system of fulham since promotion they're a totally different team and how they set up and attack games these days and they've been competitive for the most part as well and these signings are making a massive impact particularly in midfield and mitrovic looks really really up for this season so they are a danger um but yeah you're right we are fans of brighton and that's because over a long period now they've been producing superb numbers underlying metrics and their record avoiding defeat is being superb um i mention it almost every week we talk about brighton but take out that six game losing streak between mid-february and mid-march they lost five of 32 other premier league games last season which is quite remarkable for a club of brighton statue really and just highlights their ability to stay in games um the schedule has been okay you'd say so 10 points from four games is impressive but i still think there's bigger tests to come for them but to lose two of their best players in the transfer window and to continue to evolve and thrive uh it's just a remarkable effort really from graham potter and his coaching staff really so the the issue with brighton is always can they be clinical enough and i think on saturday they nearly paid for that against leeds they did give away a few opportunities but for the most part they were the dominating team and they should really probably score before they did that's my chief concern and it is also a concern about fulham too so um i'd want to have been brighton on have brighton on site in some way or form but uh you can't really in the prices they've lost four away premier league games since they started last season which is absolutely exceptional they scored in 17 of those 21 away days as well so um yeah it's a game i couldn't really trust either team in either box so i've just decided to sort of leave it alone and let you guys kind of attack it but um i'd sort of edge towards brighton if i had to yeah and i'll tell you what i looked at brighton to score twice over one and a half goals at plus 125 was my way to go and then i thought it's a tough place for them i mean fulham scored twice against liverpool um they they find a way to score that's all i'm saying and i just thought i'm coming off a weekend where i don't want to have too many bets i want to be really selective so i had to leave this alone but brad you did find value a little bit like mark o'hare did in the palace brentford game and you've gone for what let's have a look at your official pick yep i'm on both teams to score both teams to score at minus 125. um yeah i wouldn't put anyone off of brighton draw no bet by the way at minus 155 and put it in a poly maybe we'll find another parlay piece for that and maybe we re we will revisit it so it's drawn i bet brighton uh minus 155 but we will come back to if we find a partner for it game number three because i was impressed up to a certain point but i thought i'd read this book before to be honest next game we're off to the emirates it's arsenal Arsenal vs Aston Villa Game Picks versus villa and arsenal at minus 210 villa at plus 600. i'll go away with murder at the weekend but up to the final third up to the penalties but they were absolutely scintillating but they take too many touches and they overplay over two and a half goals at minus 130 arsenal minus 170 to score twice which could be a potential parley piece villa i don't know where they're at i really do not know where they're at mark o'hare over two and a half goals at minus one thirty arsenal minus one thirty for a free hit minus one yeah um arsenal four from four um i think they promote produce moments of really impressive football against fulham at the weekend lack the ruthlessness really that you'd expect from some of those players um but uh you know gabrielle's mistake and apart from that they were pretty faultless and for the most part until they got into the final third really so they deservedly took the point so the balance of the the full 90 really and i think what's exciting about arsenal right now is there's momentum and optimism building around that the emirates was probably the last noise yes noise i was going to say the emirates was probably the most atmospheric it's been for a long time and there's been a connection now it looks like between the fans and the players and that's always quite encouraging um so they'll be absolutely buzzing coming into this and i don't think there's a better time to be playing aston villa steven gerrard is very much under pressure close to being on the brink really and you know people are talking about his record aston villa being worse than gary neville's when he was in charge of valencia he's had 31 matches in charge of aston villa now 11 wins five draws 15 defeats he's performing worse than dean smith when he was removed as the coach so considering the investment villa have made over the past 12 months his position has to be under scrutiny particularly because the last 15 games have yielded just three wins the wins came against everton burnley in norwich two of which were relegated only two of those games in that 15 game streak came against big six teams and they scored multiple goals in just four of those fixtures if you watch their game against west ham on sunday they offered absolutely nothing in the final third just xg was abysmal five shots in the box they've got plenty of players of potential on the bench but just just nothing's happening really and they've now failed to score twice already this season they've conceded in every game including five in their two away days defensively mings was missing with the virus we know diego carlos is out for the season ming's might be back here but they're fragile at the minute villa uh particularly at the back and i think arsenal can take advantage so we know what it's all about really when arsenal are at home against bottom half teams when the rod's on i roll off the numbers every week it's around a 70 hit rate for for wins but what's interesting too is um just five or 50 home league matches now under mikhail tetter have featured five goals or more so happy to chuck it under four and a half goals alongside the arsenal win you've got the one nil two no three and four nil two one or three one one side and interestingly two just two of gerard's games in charge of villa have featured over four and a half goals also my only negatives um potential rotation here and potential injuries thomas parton zinchenko missed out at the weekend and they might be held back because arsenal play monday night on sunday so we'll see is i think this game is tuesday tuesday or wednesday so that hopefully is time but just to be aware that arteta might sort of start resting and rotating players but i'm pretty confident i'll still win the match anyhow but yeah under four and a half goals included fancy arsenal will score twice at minus 170 is a parley piece yeah i'd be surprised if they didn't score twice yeah me too i'm looking at that my myself brad arsenal easy on the eye but i've been bitten so many times i was talking to myself uh when they were failing to score and when one kneel down against fulham that no other side in premier league history has let me down more because i'm mesmerized with arsenal but then they find a way not to get the job done or to make sure i don't pick up arsenal are really interesting you know i've been on them uh three of the four matches this season and at one at every single turn i'm asking myself when are they going to let me down you know how is it going to come and as it stands right now you know they are facing no adversity and they you know they welcome aston villa in a game where i don't think they'll face adversity as well as west ham was a match that i was actually really excited for aston villa to try to get things back on track and as you said before like they offered absolutely nothing in that match uh they they won the possession battle but didn't do anything with the possession it was one of those it almost felt like they their attack was just kind of going through the motions and i don't want to take anything away from from west ham you know i don't want to take any thing away from but this is a tragic tragic attack right now and then their defense their defense is not compact their back line is knocking back so what are they going to do against this high powered new look arsenal you know are they they're not going to want to get stretched on the road and i think that this is a good opportunity if you bet this game i would bet the minus one or kind of just from a personal standpoint leave it alone or put something in a parlay piece because this could really end two zero one zero if gerard does the smart thing and he he tries to keep his shape as long as possible compact things that way he's not getting hurt by jesus and company yeah david attilo in the chat saying arsenal halftime full-time that's what we went for at the weekend with a side that's comparable with aston villa in fulham but they failed to come they had hardly any shots on goal it was like they were trying to dribble it in i mean i did a report like in my head and i do some notes that sakura and martinelli were having 10 and 12 touches when they should have been just moving the ball with two like odder guard like jacka and like jesus um i tell you what i do like is arsenal to win an over one and a half um and i think that's minus 130. uh mark what price are you getting for arsenal in under four and a half um minus 125. okay so they're much of a muchness really um and you're getting minus 170 on arsenal to score twice i'll just put that down i think we all expect arsenal to win do marcus says about arsenal to win to neil villa have got goals in them at some stage or some players so i'd go nowhere near that to be honest let's have a little look at the official pixel because i think myself and brad we left it alone we left it to the award winner uh i'll saw an under four and a half at minus 125 although there is other permutations and obviously we will maybe pencil in that um poly piece of arsenal scoring twice and then not care who wins but then obviously i've got to be cheering on me mate minus 125. okay move on to game four because don't shoot me where stan versus tottenham i smell an West Ham vs Tottenham Game Picks upset it's west ham at plus 265 top number plus 100. uh totals at two and a half at minus 130 i'd see both teams scoring and and over so you can pick the bones out of that uh west ham to score twice is massive at plus 180 draw is at plus 280 brad how do we get the value in this game because i'm not seeing west ham game b and i'm definitely seeing no clean sheets this game is going to be very very interesting i i wrote on my main note that said if i were to lean this i would lean draw or west ham plus a half but then you kind of think about west ham this season they've scored what one goal all season it's not like they have this enormous xj they have an xg of like three point something um at what point do we really start to get worried about this team you know like i said last week i thought that aston villa was a good opportunity to get a win over west ham and you know west ham they played they played tough but then again assembled didn't do anything now we have tottenham who absolutely come out the gates blazing but what kante knows and what kante does master tactician is when he's playing against a side who is good or better than they are and i'm not saying west ham are better than there but lest him have quality he really really grinds out the draw and he really makes sure his tactics keep them in the game picking up points on the road against potential top five teams is what gets you to be playing european competition and i just feel like this game could be one of those gritty games where if someone scores it's the next team scoring and kante's just going to try to stay glued as long as possible so from a betting standpoint i know i would have to look away from this game unless i'm trying to get some good value on the draw uh or possibly on the the handicapped market marco here am i going bonkers but i just see west first of all people need to know west ham don't like spurs right they do not like spurs it's another night game atmosphere is going to be bonkers i see west ham winning this game at plus 265 but i've basically found value in both teams to score and over at plus 100. yeah i'm i'm similar to broadway i find in this game quite quite tricky in terms of the odds and what to sort of make of it really because west ham needed a big slice of luck just to get their first goal of the season let alone win on sunday four hours for that deflective strike and they only had seven shots in the game at aston villa they seem to be lacking the same sort of verve and rhythm of last season or the year before as well i think that's it or do you think teams are now know what they're expecting and david moyes has just been aimed at him many times before he's a one-trick pony and he can't then uh what's the word he can't dodge the speed bumps you know maybe maybe i don't know but west ham got enough inventive players to make a difference and rama did coming off the bench but shikamaka was quite ineffective bowen hasn't looked the same player this season um and look if you look at the underlying metrics only bournemouth for creating non fewer non-penalty opportunities and he bournemouth have had fewer shots on target or shots in the box and you know it's all well and good signing another big money player in lucas pakita who is a quality player but i'm not sure not sure that's the area west ham need to strengthen right now they've got enough attack-minded creative players defensively they're looking stretched they started with three centre-backs against aston villa cairo um creswell and zuma two of which classes full backs really and and johnson was injured in that so so far to come off the bench you've also got emerson palmieri there playing as a wing back so whether he goes a back four or back five i'm just uncomfortable with that defense so that will obviously give spurs an opportunity going forward and and lead into your goals based angle but i think the question around top them is how good really are they i think picking up results whilst being not actually that good has been a real positive for spurs and something they haven't done in the past but i still think there's a gear or two that they can sort of find and this might be the game for them i'm not sure obviously as you say it's a bit of a rivalry um i thought they were tactically quite astute against forest and breaking and providing threats on the counter attack but they are giving up the chances themselves forrest had said yeah i was about to say forrest got through the lines i mean you know i was on spurs and i want to come on here and tell you how brilliant i am that for uh spurs winter nil but i tell you what it was alarming the amount of times that forests got through the lions and were bailing down on them you do that to west them they are coming away with something yeah well flores had 17 shots wolves had 20 shots and chelsea had 16 shots against spurs and actually if you look at the total shots conceded only forest bournemouth and palace have faced more shots this season than tottenham which is quite a surprise really so this is a game i expect kante to make changes for and that might be richarlison coming in it might mean the summer coming in um but yeah i mean matches between these two teams tend to be quite fun tend to be quite feisty just west ham's matches so far this season have been really dreary and quite off-putting it's two-nil one-nil two-nil one-nil however they have seen both teams scoring in 15 of the last 21 at home and i'd probably be leaning more towards goals in your selection than um than either team but uh it's more of a sit back and sit back and see for me yeah i mean both teams are scoring over and i just firmly believe that west ham could score twice here plus 180 but i know that the top of them well organized i know tottenham got goals in them it and the over two and a half at minus 130 i wouldn't put anyone off of that uh either let's have a little look here because yeah tommy o'meara says kante hinted richarlison will start west ham away is not the place that i'd be asking richarlison to start you know obviously after the weekend exactly i mean they don't mind putting a challenge in and yeah yellow cards might be this is gonna be fiery game and this is one that i will 100 percent be watching let's have a little look here i know the producers already stuck it up both teams scoring over two and a half at plus 100 are so close to making that a banker but i'm so close to making spurs winter nil my banker last week as well but i added uh kane to score any time at plus 100 didn't have to wait long did we okay let's move on value value what camp are you in we're off to Liverpool vs Newcastle Game Picks liverpool again under the lights these home sides really do like these games liverpool versus newcastle which liverpool turns up liverpool scored nine so there's going to be an overreaction and there is because i'll tell you now they are no minus 315 against the newcastle side who more than match man city less than 10 days ago and they're plus 850 newcastle not to get beat by two is plus 100 so you could actually be on a losing side here and still win your bet um liverpool to score free at plus 100 newcastle to score one is -145 brad let's start with you because this is a fascinating game liverpool had no wins up until the weekend then they scored nine newcastle they just keep going and i think that they've got the players so that they can test liverpool yeah so newcastle's dealing with a string of injuries which really makes me want to see how anyhow is going to bring them out and when eddie house said bro uh prior to the manchester city game that he's going to press city it totally changed the new castle that we're used to teams that pressed newcastle eddie howell would accept the pressure and i think they deserve to win that manchester city that manchester city match liverpool's biggest problem this season has been their midfield their midfield has been absolutely dreadful but still while having a pretty poor midfield prior to last game they still hadn't expected gold per game around like 2.78 um i just don't know from a betting standpoint where i would want to put my money because this is the liverpool side while playing at anfield who can press new castle all game newcastle concede multiple goals well if they if newcastle played with the same tax they played against manchester city i think they bag one on liverpool liverpool had just had a streak of something like seven games where they've conceded the first goal like it's been absolutely dreadful because their midfield can't possess the ball it's just a lot of uninspiring football coming out of that midfield so from a betting standpoint it's kind of tricky um maybe if you want to do some combo bets with this game or you just look for as much value as possible i'd imagine liverpool scored two goals in this one uh last the last game they played last season was 3-1 it makes total sense but just until that midfield starts to play better or thiago actually comes back you can tell he's been a huge piece i don't want to touch this game i i just think that there's just so many bombs from the way i handicap i'm a very big statistically based handicapper and there's too many spots where either positive or negative regression is going to happen and too many lines that are going to be impacted by how newcastle come out tactically but if they do push the pace and they do press i do think that they have an opportunity to find the board so maybe you look at liverpool to win in both teams to score um but that's kind of where i lean uh in that game yeah i think we've got to give a little bit of respect here for the uh the personnel that newcastle have got because if you've got liverpool and you've got them full backs marco here going forward they've got the ideal players to hit you on the break and there is that new found sort of confidence of we will keep going we will keep creating yeah um i think team news is key for this bet if you're having a play on it and that's because normally i'll be looking at newcastle to be competitive to get on the scoresheet to look at some of those handicapped lines but at the time of recording we don't know but it looks like four or five of the most key attacking players are unavailable and that's no bruno gimmerich no colin wilson no hello maxum man no kieran trippier we don't know about alexander isak if his visa is being cleared if he's going to be available but you're basically looking at their four best players being unavailable right now and we'll get to a better idea closer to wednesday but at the moment that's a you know players who've made a massive impact in newcastle's 2022. that's a long gap though that's a long gap from playing on sunday lunchtime to wednesday it is that's the word we're getting from the newcastle press at the minute so um we'll have to see you know a week is a long time in football these players might be able to recover one or two of them will be but at the moment um there's no way i'm getting involved if i feel like all of those players are unavailable i'd expect it he's actually to be okay but you could you trust a front line of alberon chris wood and ryan fraser um not no no i'd be going over minus one and a half at minus 120. so again that's why they follow at bet ustv because they're not you or i or brad will be giving our updated as soon as this team line comes out if it's not i mean i've got i'm the only person i believe that's gotta play here because i see it as value but if they're not i will be making sure that i'm on something different yeah i mean that's why we're talking right now i can't i can't pull the trigger or anything if i think those players might be unavailable and liverpool the nine-nil for me just felt like a bit of variance actually going their way um in the first four matches of the season because they had 52 shots and scored just four times in the first three games hit their 12 shots on target against bournemouth and scored nine times they were heavily criticized in those first three games i didn't think they did a huge amount wrong apart from in the final third with their finishing let them down quite often fabinho coming back into that midfield makes all the difference at the weekend and you know darwin still suspended but there's talk of matip tiago and curtis jones be back for the weekend possibly sooner so their squad could look a lot stronger in just a couple of days at least by the weekend too and i think it's worth noting too that newcastle is away record under ready how um they have been beaten quite heavily at liverpool city arsenal spurs and leicester and their underlying metrics away from home haven't been anywhere near as strong as they have been at st james's so there's just something to bear in mind but yeah i mean right now with those potentially four players missing uh it's a no bet for me yeah i think it's uh i think it's a lot of rubbish i think all four of them will probably play because i'd say well if you're not playing on a wednesday for an enough four days later then you've got a proper injury um let's have a little look at the official picks but remember to follow up their ustv for the latest i've gone with both teams scoring over two and a half at plus 110 i'm so close to going liverpool win and both teams to score um i'm not dissing liverpool uh but i am definitely giving newcastle some credit that they have got the players to her and liverpool haven't been controlling games and so i do believe that newcastle can create and uh they can nick a goal okay final game because this is a leap of faith it's leicester versus manchester united Leicester vs Man United Game Picks leicester all over the shop man united okay we said we'll just watch them again they went to uh some mary's they won one nil obviously keeping clean sheet weren't great but they seem to have a little bit more spy about marco there they seem to be a little bit more together uh they're plus 105 against the leicester side who are shipping goals right left and center and the home side of plus 240 under over three goals oh i thought the under was a real runner here at -120 leicester to score twice is plus money man united to score twice is that minus 125. i i had to just favor the away side but i couldn't go near to get paid i need four goals yeah yeah uh i mean it's it's goals um almost blindly back goals and it's uh getting over two and a half goals and btts uh very close to plus 100 it's almost a blind bet for me because i think leicester responded pretty well uh i know they were playing it as 10 men for the most part but they created plenty of chelsea the weekend 17 shots 11 shots in the box an xg of well over two and a half at stanford bridge missed some great chances now with madison back in the team as well um you know we've talked about it week and week they've got so much firepower so many options so much ability in the final third it's really just defenseless letting them down and now we know that whatever is off t lemons might be off before kick off we don't know but he's still looking at amateur and evans as the center half partnership and sumaria are indeed in defensive midfield and either either or just been completely overworked so far this season but yeah the king power they absolutely love it they scored in 17 of the last 21 home games just six clean sheets unsurprisingly overs and bts has been a regular winner in that time as well and matches against man united have tended to be quite fine affairs as well seven of the last nine btts and at the kp we've got a 4-2 a 3-1 and a 2-2 in the last three so i think leicester will be gunning i think they felt like they could have got something at stanford bridge um you know where are their strengths absolutely getting forward and creating chances and scoring goals weaknesses all over the pitch and defense and set pieces they're playing united team that clean sheet at the weekend at southampton was that only their fourth away from home going back to the beginning of last season and they were put under pressure by southampton they gave away chances and they were quite fortunate i felt at certain moments in that match and you know they haven't kept successive clean sheets away from home since march last year i don't see them keeping a clean sheet here um tenharg didn't make any changes for the match against southampton i expect him to do so here because this match is taking place on thursday they play arsenal three days later so you know you have the potential i'm not saying well do you think he's in the is he in the position or is it is the reality not quite sticking home that every single game is important whether you're playing leicester or arsenal or bournemouth it's like this is man you know they've got to win every game it is it is flash but you've got to bear in mind these are professional clubs and they'll have fitness and you know whatever people coach is saying to them but you've got to listen let me tell you now right i'm having a play on this you've got to play on this my play will be going out of the window if maguire and shaw come back into this site that's what i was going to say there's i'm not saying they will but there's potential that maguire fred shaw um anthony's just signing martial you know there could be rotation here um because united are in europa league action the following week so you know that now runs you know almost every week until the world cup as well there's going to have to be some rotation at some point and this might be the opportunity because they play arsenal three days later that's a massive match for united so yeah i think you know put these two teams together this season um i think we've got seven of eight winning over over plays and six of eight bts winners as well this bets banked in all all of leicester's matches i think anything around plus 100 is almost a no of course a sort of blind bet for me on both teams of scoring overs and leicester matches okay well i've gone with just around the plus 100 as well but brad i went with maine united to win at plus 105. it's really weird because i was as you know i was hammering someone for going brentford i was remaining united to win at plus 105 at brentford a few weeks ago surely this is a different man united spirit mentality and the spying looks strong yeah what a difference that a couple make weeks make you know there was one point where we were starting you know the the media overreaction of united's going down you know and you know they picked up back-to-back results which were absolutely amazing but you have to look at goals in this game uh not only losing kafana hurts but this whole leicester city team is just feels like a team who would rather just be playing run and gun just going going where they're not focusing on on sound defensive tactics like you said both teams scoring over two and a half hit in every single goal so every single game so why do we you know why would i want to question um if leicester city can can keep a clean sheet because we know that's absolutely not happening the question really becomes is does lester start to underwhelm uh much like they did in their cup match they they really really underwhelming when they scored one get one goal in something like 22 26 shots they have a an opportunity or a realistic opportunity that that could happen but you're getting plus money for something that has happened in every game against two teams we're going to make this an exciting game i think you have to kind of back it there should be a sense of urgency as well for for lesser you know sitting bottom of the table right now like uh just not not not good like they have a lot a lot of work to do and at some point you're going to start scoring goals you're at home this is a good time to do it i don't want to take a side in this because this you can make an argument an excuse to which united team we're going to see especially on the road we're going to see the united team who plays together or the united team who just keeps having defensive lapses so backing goals in leicester city games especially at home seems absolutely brilliant but you don't go over three goals at plus 100 no because you're getting both because no one wants neither one of these sides are winning three nil and three nil then will only be a push um so you need to be going both teams to score and over around the plus 100 that's the way to go because then it brings in the 2-1 which would have been a push but then you do actually get paid let's have a look at the official picks here because remember i haven't put in my uh i'm putting my uh safety card in that if mcguire and that are playing and i'm having nothing to do with this man united money lineup plus 105. uh both teams are scoring over two and a half at minus 105 for uh mark o'hare which is far better than the over three goals at plus 100 now you've got any questions about any of the other games then now's the time to ask them why i remind you to please subscribe also i'd like to ring the bell because then we'll notify you and never miss any content again and also if you're on social media make sure you follow at bet us tv because again like now there'll be an update on whether we want to be with Q&A Premier League Matchday 5 man united or whether we want to be with newcastle so make sure you're following that and then you'll get every other sport that we cover as well the link in the description is your last chance um next show we're going to do is the champions league futures it'll be on there you've got two shows to go you join then i'll pick out a winner and if you're not the one of the winners then i'll leave you in the draw for the rest of the season okay quick question let's have a look uh man city and liverpool first half goals over 1.5 parlay so we've got liver do we i don't offense do we fancy two goals liverpool uh newcastle first half bread uh man that's tough i will especially when we don't know the lineup yeah i would say that's something that you're gonna have to sit and wait and see like there's so many players in this game who will change the outcome of the game i think you should wait um it's it's one of those where you just wait another week or wait till the lineup comes out before you start trying to talk about first half goals in the in a in for either of these teams yeah and we're going to leave the parlay alone because obviously i think we've got enough bets uh marco here the last one can be for you leads to be everton over even money that that seems like a dodgy draw to me as well yeah uh see i bet bradford plus 100 would i back leads at the same price and i wouldn't because i think brentford a more polished outfit and i think they're a bit further down the road in terms of development and what to expect i still think there's a bit of variance involved in lisa's performance so far this season they they performed in patches at brighton at the weekend but considered a lot of chances too so um normally i'd pretty much fade everton away from home against anyone but it comes down to price really and i probably want a bit bigger um i don't think leads are a million miles better than brentford so if the price is similar it's a no bet yeah exactly and they had a good running around of the weekend at brighton as well by the way betfield says west ham and topham to draw good value yes all right but i think both teams are scoring over's better value because i don't see any clean sheep mason payne says chelsea winter neil i think yeah good luck um chelsea at the moment i they're they're too hit and miss let's have a little look at the best bets please i've already done mason paint okay uh brad's gone with palace Premier League Best Bets moneyline at plus one one five and fulham brighton both teams score at minus 125. mark o'hare has gone for palace brentford both teams scored minus 125. arsenal went under four and a half at minus 125 although we do think that arsenal scored twice i've gone palace moneyline at -115 and then both teams are scoring over in both the west ham and the liverpool games and man united is a caveat man united moneyline at plus 105 is a caveat that a couple of players that i don't want to be seen playing are not playing so thanks for make sure you press your thumbs up on the way out let me have a little look and see what's going on okay also we've got the champions league futures coming up in about what 45 minutes with mark o'hare and mina it's a tough old school brad i hope you enjoyed it and i hope you come along again soon i did absolutely thanks for having me this was fun yeah it's only fun if you win you know yeah you know what i mean there's no fun in losing mark o'hare i'll see you again in a while take your epl hat off although we're going to be discussing four epl teams so maybe keep half a hat on all right if that's possible all right yeah cheers mate from everyone at bet us make sure to subscribe and thumbs up on the way out you take care [Music] you