MLB DFS Main Slate Breakdown for Friday August 30th, DraftKings, Fanduel & Yahoo I Takedown Talk

Intro hello and welcome back to the MLB DFS slate breakdown for Friday August 30th we have made it we're to the end of the summer we got a Labor Day weekend here and once again we will be breaking down today's 10 game MLB DFS uh main slate lot to go over there are some very interesting situations some interesting matchups we are going to get into it all but before we do make sure to like comment and subscribe to our YouTu YouTube channel and this video helps us a ton just give away more content and we got football season next week college football has started NFL starts next week we have our full allotment of NFL shows coming down the pipe starting on Tuesday and we also have the DFS shows that I will be going over for NFL I'm going to do as many baseball shows as I can during the start of NFL here but like last year if those Monday and Thursday baseball show views just really fall off I'm going to just have to stop doing that and focus more on NFL uh but if the views stay up then I will be doing both so that's on you guys sorry it's just how it is now let's get into the Slate as always come join us at Lar $ 39.99 per month gets you access to everything we do now uh I'm going to Draftkings Pitchers skip the review we only had four games yesterday and we got a lot to go over today so let's just dive in and get into it all right so we got Tyler Mill highest owned 27% owned and I think that's kind of wrong however he's vers a very bad Chicago White Socks team and if that's the case you can pretty much throw out anybody vers them now I do have to say the white socks been hitting a little bit better vers Ry lately 255 uh average 147 ISO 310 wobo they're still terrible but they have been that much better uh all in all I'm not here I can't I can't go to Tyler Mill at high ownership when he's averaging 88% less fantasy points away I'm out I I mean I get it if you want to go there it's the white socks but they're still MLB hitters and Miguel just hasn't been good next we got Pablo Lopez versus the Toronto Blue Jays Blue Jays have been hitting decently lately uh Lopez is 88.6k so way far down from the beginning of the Season where he was pushing 10K uh I think it's an interesting spot I personally am a little worried about this Toronto offense they have been hitting decently lately 231 ISO with a 338 woba over the last 20 games versus righties hitting the ball hard getting on base they're scoring some runs don't love going against that now Lopez been solid 3.7 FIP over his last 20 3.85 over his last five the one worry is the last five his K rate's 21% his last 20 the K rate's 25.6 now you're going against the Toronto team that doesn't strike out a lot so there's just so much conflicting stuff in this matchup it's really hard to kind of break down and figure out how you want to play it personally I think Lopez is fine I'll get to a little bit of him we have at 2.4x so he is a good value projection wise I just worry about his ceiling in this matchup I don't think he's getting nine strikeouts I don't think he's getting 34 I think he can get mid 20s uh and that could be good enough today but I don't absolutely you know love the spot for him he is higher ownership so do with uh that information what you will next we got bck snow all right this dude has just been absolutely unhitable lately 2.64 FIP over his last 20 2.16 over his last five with a 38% K rate he is striking out everybody and I like the spot for him I don't mind going back to him I the one thing with snow that you always have to worry about is the fact that he can get a little wild and let guys on base 4.3 walks per nine over his last five that is scary that is the one way he doesn't get there and always because of that I don't mind stacking some Miami vers him but I love this spot for Blake Snell and I'm GNA have a lot of Blake Snell he is one of my favorite pitchers on this slate we got him at 2.6x we obviously like him a lot too and I'm going to be going back I do have to bring up the fact that over the last 20 games verse lefties Miami is hitting 279 they have a 273 ISO and a 379 woba they have actually been a solid offense as of late I still don't think they're that good of an offense I think they are just been hot but Blake snow is just a different pitcher than what they've seen lately and I don't mind going to some Blake Snell against the hot offense give me some Snell at a little bit lower ownership now next we got George Kirby verse the Angels who have been awful verse righties 195 averaged 128 ISO 266 woba these are some Chicago White Socks type numbers this those are numbers that they should only win 30 games this year 60 games uh but George Kirby we know he is a very solid pitcher however over his last five 5.46 fit 18% K rate that's just not going to cut it he's also allowed a decent amount of Solen bases so it is a little bit of a scary spot now the offense over those five yes he faced Boston tough offense but Detroit twice Pittsburgh San Francisco not world world beaters here so I am a little worried about his form right now but a great matchup so it's another spot where we have some conflicting things coming in here and we got to figure out how we want to uh attack it I think Kirby on his full body of work you know the last couple years I love starting him in this situation but his you know last five starts it's a little sketchy to uh click it I don't mind having some we are uh in Adel Stadium he is worse away 27% less fantasy points away he doesn't just have the K upside uh that he does when he's at home so that is one worry there uh next we got framber Valdez Valdez is back to being a stud pitcher he's 3.35 FIP over his last 20 FIP of two over his last five the thing that's crazy to me is he has a 33% K rate over that span this is not a guy that strikes out a ton of guys but over the last seven eight starts he's been striking out a ton of people I like it I'm uh absolutely in on on going with some framber the Royals while they have been a good offense aren't great vers lefties and are way worse when they are away framber is better at home I like the spot for him even though over the last 20 games uh for the Royals vers lefties hitting 286 238 ISO 355 WBA they have been good vers lefties in the short term I don't care I'm going for Amber I like the spot for him he is definitely one of my favorite spots today John Gray 6700 I just no clue what you're going to get from him start to start he can go 80 pitches pitch great then go 53 pitches and get blown up or go 20 uh go 6 78 go 77 I would say most of the time he's in the 70 pitches he's in an okay spot versus Oakland but it is so so hard to trust him if you want to go with a very small portion of your portfolio on John John Gray fine he does have the ceiling to make it work but it's doubtful Kevin Gosman versus Minnesota Twins gsman just came out and pitched absolutely lights out last time out this is a very tough spot for him though this twins offense is good good vers righties and they have crushed him in the past 64 plate attempts they're eting 377 off of him with 302 ISO a 480 woba it's not a great spot he got crushed vers them earlier in the year you got hit decently versus them uh a couple times last year I think it's a little bit of a tough spot for gsman I don't love going there but gsman can pitch amazing just uh we haven't seen too much of it so far this year Marcus strowman uh 3 six pip over his last five starts so that is at least going for him but this uh Cardinals team is hitting decently lately Ben Lively versus the Pirates he has a pretty high FIP and his price for me is a little too high so I'm out Zach Gallen uh I'm actually interested in gallon he's going super low owned he's in a very tough spot versus The Dodgers but he's back to pitching very very well 3.34 FIP over his last 20 at a 2.69 FIP over his last five the one thing with gallon is he doesn't have a super high K rate so upside is a little limited but he's only 8.4 he is not the nine you know 10K guy that we know he is at times and he can shut out anybody he's had a good history versus The Dodgers 111 plate attempts they're only hitting 220 off him he has had some real high highs however they haven't happened for two years so that is the one worry this Dodgers team is a little different Otani really Chang his team they are insane at hitting the ball uh but I don't mind a little bit of super low own gallon he's very very good pitcher Seth Lugo verse uh Astros he is 20% better when he's away Lugo has been a solid pitcher my one worry is lug doesn't have giant upside in the strikeout department now he is facing a team that doesn't strike out much and has hit him well in the past it's a little bit of tough uh tough option to click him I personally not really going there and Kershaw Lefty verse Diamondbacks Diamondbacks aren't that great versus Lefty so I think Kershaw is absolutely in play today the worry here is he's only going like 80 85 pitches maybe he gets the 90 if he really gets it going uh and I'm a little bit interested in Kershaw here but I'm not going to go overboard on him he is going super low owned I think he can get you that mid 20s which you're probably going to need uh and I don't mind it don't mind it at all and we're going to just kind of skip everybody else here not really feeling them so let's get over to FanDuel and see what we got all right highest Fanduel Pitchers Stone on FanDuel we got Blake Snell I think he should be he is in a good spot I don't mind going there he is pricey but I like it Kirby at 99.4k you're getting a big discount on him but he is uh 11 points lower projected eight points on the consensus I think you probably just should pay up for snow in that situation uh Valdez 11k I am interested him at much lower ownership we know while sell is an amazing pitcher he can struggle to work deep into games at times you don't get that quality start in FanDuel and it's a big bummer so kind of interested in uh some framber don't love Pablo Lopez but slightly interested in him and at 7.7k I think Kershaw is actually a very interesting spot I don't mind going to him super low owned uh he can get it done he can be efficient he can go six Innings on 85 pitches so I think it's uh an interesting spot and I don't mind sprinkling in some uh good old Kershaw here so let's go over to stack attacks Stacks now see what we can drug up uh it is a Colorado slate and it is a Baltimore Colorado slate so uh we know Baltimore is going to be high owned it's an interesting one they're two and a half points higher than anybody as far as a game total so highest ownership on this slate we got Baltimore versus Austin gomber gomber is not great Colorado Bullpen Is Not Great Baltimore is a good offense makes sense to want to go with them Mets are popping up versus Jonathan Canyon look Canyon's not great 5.84 FIP overs last five uh 4.7 overs last 20 the bullpen behind him is terrible Mets have been hitting well makes a lot of sense to want to go there I just don't love going to Mets at high ownership that is my one worry now 60% ownership 70% ownership is not enough where I'd totally fade him just because of ownership now our highest projected Stacks we got the Dodgers we got uh Baltimore we got the Yankees uh Dodgers versus gallon over the last two seasons they have been able to get to gallon a little bit uh so I don't mind some Dodgers but I'm not going to go hard on them Yankees versus Eric fetty fetty has shown some upside but Yankees are hot so it makes some sense I do think they're probably going maybe a little over projected though uh Baltimore we talked about they're obviously in a smash spot and value-wise if Tyler McGill stays High owned white socks are a very interesting uh value leverage play so definitely considering some white socks in this spot I'm not going to go overboard on them though as they are still a 30- win white socks team highest ceiling we got Yankees versus Eric fety Houston and then uh Diamondbacks verse Kershaw Kershaw is a 4.25 FIP over his last 20 starts he is not the absolute stud that he used to be but he is still a very solid pitcher and he has a three-point One n FIP over his last five if you want to go some Diamond Backs you can they're super low owned and that offense has been clicking so it makes some sense to go there lastly let's click the teams to see what we got our highest implied total is Baltimore make uh it's absolutely no surprise there that they are that high 6.1 is high uh caller Auto at 5.4 versus Albert Suarez uh 3.79 FIP over his last five and 3.94 over his last 20 he has been a decent pitcher but you got Colorado elevation next you got me versus Jonathan Canon makes some sense Cleveland versus bayy falter uh falter has been decent 4.08 FIP over his last 20 3.4 over his last five but High average uh exit velocity High hard contact rate bad bulp him behind him makes Cleveland interesting then you got Yankees you got Seattle uh and the Dodgers so now anything down here the 4.6 under implied total wise is going to be very low owned so you're getting some leverage on the field with them there're definitely some spots that make sense as far as you know poor bull pins or bats or you know pitchers that are volatile like John Gray he can get crushed the bullpen behind him is bad Oakland is going to be super low own makes some sense to want to go there I do have to warn you though that John Gray can also be good so do with that information what you will toggle through the app figure out some spots that you may love go through the matchups tools and uh good luck to all of you good luck this weekend I will be back on Tuesday for the uh baseball show and I believe we will also be dropping some Underdog uh props that as well anyways Underdog for NFL that is that'll do it for us today guys have a good one talk to you later bye