DRAFTKINGS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL (WEEK 2) | DFS PICKS

hey what's going on guys DK back at you with another video here to break down the Thursday night football shown slate and this one should be a great one we got the bills and we got the Dolphins if your first time watching car content for daily fantasy sports as well as for player prop stuff like price pick Underdog Underdog there the sponsor of today's video you can use the link down below or the code DK DFS for $1,000 deposit match bonus would highly recommend it um and uh yeah been having a ton of fun on Underdog with player props um and if you guys are looking for more counting do check my patreon Linked In the description um I recapped everything from uh week one in my early look video If you guys going go check that out but probably my best week ever betting was absolutely insane hit a 25x um fed the timeline a 10x um on Sunday night um hit the use check nuke it was insane if you guys want to go check out the full thing a recap uh it's in that video but let's see we can keep it going uh for this show on also I'm going to be uh going on Neil's Channel we're going to be doing a um dual stream hour and a half before lock um so Neil Orford go ahead and check him out as well he puts out really good content and again we'll be doing a live stream there all right um so with that all out of the way let's get into the video um we can quickly go over I don't up right now let me bring up the odds for this game so um currently it's a 40 eight and a half over under and the Dolphins are currently Two and a Half Point favorites so lot of offense expected in this game no surprise but we got to talk about the um elephant in the room here and that's going to be the running backs here for Miami so Raheem moer already ruled out um Devon Anan questionable but I do expect him to play um so we'll keep an eye on it obviously if he's out then it's going to be um Jeff Wilson Jr and Jaylen Wright season they would be the top two backs now as far as who's going to get the work behind aan um I think it's most likely going to be Jeff Wilson but um there's a chance there's a chance it could be jayen Wright or it could be a mix of of the two of them behind um Anan um all right so we'll start off here at the top with Tyreek Hill 11.6k I think a really good option um obviously and I think don't think we had to spend a ton of time here um he's going to be very popular the kind of chalk build tomorrow is going to be stars and scrubs with uh you know some value opening up for the Dolphins at running back we also some value um you know at wide receiver for the bills we'll talk about but um yeah Tyreek Hill massive cealing the highest ceiling of anyone on the Slate uh week one seven catches 12 targets over 100 yards great play um and Josh all think is also too cheap at 11k so like we know Josh Allen's very mobile he'll keep it himself a lot near the goal line kind of Jaylen Hertz esque um again this game should be played at a fast pace close to 50 over under so Josh Allen also looks great I expect those two to be very popular and they should be right Chan at 96 um we'll keep an eye on the status uh uh you know it is what's the exact injury again uh his ankle um I saw like a practice video yesterday and looked like he was moving around pretty good uh didn't have a non-c contct jersey on either so my assumption is he will play um I don't think he'll be limited either if he plays um now if that's the case I think he looks really good now going over some snap counts here for uh Miami hold on one sec I got a sneeze coming sorry about that so you saw um two running backs a lot uh from Miami uh last week aan 37 snaps and ran 28 routes they targeted him a ton out of the back field they just want to get him the ball right seven catch done seven targets so with moer already gone I expect him to get more Ares too so um yeah he looks really good assuming he can stay healthy um and then you get two attack of aloa at 94 um I think we'll be it'll get some ownership but not be super popular because obviously you can't get to all the sped UPS in the slate and I think people are going to prioritize Hill and Josh Allen first but Tua still has his healing obviously not as high of a floor shosh Allen because not going to do much on the ground uh but still a guy with a pretty high cealing and still firmly in play at only 99.4k that does feel a bit underpriced for uh you know a guy with his upside James Cook is at 9k so taking a look at the bill snap counts last week you saw James Cook play 37 in the 61 snap so that's actually pretty good he ran 15 routes um so he's the clear rb1 and at 9k I think he's a fine contrarian play I don't think he's going to get a ton of ownership uh like I said you can't play all the spend ups and a few of the other guys we talked about before I think they're going to get a lot more ownership yeah 19 carries in three uh catch on three targets is um good stuff for for for cook so I think he's a good contrarian play but again I don't think go B that much ownership Jaylen Wadd I think is a fine pivot off of Tyreek Hill as he usually is the Waddles out there a ton of uh as well last week he played um 51 snaps ran 34 routes um Hill played 50 snaps and ran 39 routes so yeah the two dolphins receivers have a pretty high ceiling now can you play them both together sure you can definitely play them both together um you know it's expensive maybe you have to go a cheaper captain or you're going to have to play you know a couple really cheap plays but um yeah Wadd uh you know another guy in the mid-range has a pretty good ceiling I think a guy that's in for a nice bounce back here it's going to be Dalton concade uh 7.2k I also don't think it'll be that popular because the price and I think box her Watchers will kind of avoid it but here's the thing with d concade like the the snaps and the routes are still there so I'm not super worried I'm not going to overreact to one game um I expect uh him to bounce back he he ran 50 or played 51 of the 61 snaps um and ran 25 of the 32 routes so um I think K Kade still has a pretty high ceiling here um again you have no more Stefan digs no no more Gabe Davis so there's just a lot of targets to go around with this bills offense Josh Allen only threw the ball 23 times last uh last game expect him to throw the ball a little bit more um in this game so um yeah I think inade is in for a nice bounce back game G Shakir is coming in at 6.2k uh solid option uh he played the second most at wide receiver so the bills did take did rotate guys but he played 33 of the 61 snap so that's not great but he did run 22 of the 32 routes they ran a majority of the routes and he played uh ran a majority of those from the slot um so Shakir I think he's going to have a relatively High floor I think he's going be a high Target guy I bet his over three and a half receptions the other day um so yeah decent option there in the mid-range what else Keon Coleman played the most of any of the Bills wide receivers so he played 45 the 61 snaps and ran uh 29 of the 32 routes um a guy with big play op side and coming in at a reasonable price point so ownership's going to play a big role in what I do with these Bills receivers right you got Shakir in the mid-range you got Ken Coleman I don't think Curtis am's goingon to have much ownership we'll talk about him in a sec but like for example if Keon Coleman is going to be way more popular than Shakir then I'm lean Shakir if it's the other way around I would lean Coleman if they're similar ownership then I think you're going to have to make a tough call but if one of these guys is going to get more ownership a lot more ownership than the other or a good amount more I think I'd prefer the lower own option um I think both still have a ceiling um but yeah they were the top two and then Curtis Samuel is at 5'4 I think it's pretty hard to get to him unless we get some confirmation that the playing time is going to increase so here's the thing I bet one of my bets um Monday night was Curtis Samuel under 13 and a half a longest reception so Curtis Samuel um only played 17 snaps and only ran nine routes and cuz I did have people mentioning the turf toe for for Curtis Samuel um no mention of that so here's the exact quote I'll bring it up um on my Twitter let me scroll back and and find that so where is it um yeah so head coach sha mcder when asked if wide receiver Curtis Samuel's toe injury impacted his lower snap count didn't give the toe injury much mention and said they were just going with the flow of the game he said Samu will did a good job so that is worrisome um also so ma Hollins um moved ahead of Curtis Samuel on the depth chart and another downside with Samuel is he's mainly a slot guy right and Shakir ran uh or played mostly in the slot and Samuel's not going to play over Shakir another reason I like that betat is Curtis Samuel is a low a do guy average depth of Target so um you know his opening receiving line was 20 and a half then got that's got bet down like 16 and half or 17 and A2 and I took the under 13 and half long reception I think that's been bet down to 11 and A2 so we got got some nice clv there if you guys have been tailing over on Twitter both kickers fine options in bass and Sanders 48 and 44 respectively um you know a lot of points expected in this game very safe plays as far as the defenses go bills D at 4K Dolphins D at 3K both Fair options I'm not going to prioritize either if you land either defense that is totally fine um you have uh Ray Davis is at 3.6k for the bills so in week one he only ran six only played six snaps and only ran two routes it was Tai John that played ahead of him he played 14 snaps and ran eight routes so kind of hard to get to Ray Davis however you know in those limited snaps he did have four touches so he what had six snaps overall and he touched uh the ball four times um maybe the snaps will increase but uh again six snaps total for a guy that price range not great um and then you had a pretty disgusting rotation here from Miami at tight end so you had durm SM play 30 snaps run 15 routes Julian Hill played 42 snaps run 17 routes JN new Smith 20 snaps 19 routes so of the three tight ends Smith played the least but he ran the most routes look at the price points you got Smith at 2.8 um you have Durham SMI at 1K um and then you have uh where is the dep chart probably easier um Julian Hill is $600 so they're all cheap all three of these tight Downs are in play I think Smith is probably the safest based on the fact that I think he's their best pass catcher and he also ran the most routes um but I think any of those tight ends are viable Dart throws another viable Dart throw for Buffalo is going be Dawson Knox the backup tight end so still involved 35 snaps of the 61 put over half the snaps and ran 15 of the 32 routes um so you know Dawson Knox obviously behind concade but still a guy that can look to in the red zone and is relatively cheap but I think your Top Value the guy that's going to get the most ownership on this late it's going to be Jeff Wilson Jr my expectation is that he will be the rb2 behind Anan um but there is a chance it could be right right um it's definitely possible Right was inactive um last week he's going to be active this game um there's a chance we'll see the ownership is if Jeff Wilson's you know going to be you know massive chalk and no one's going to play right then maybe it makes sense to take a shot and right in tournaments but I think the most likely outcome is Wilson's rb2 wri's the rb3 Wright maybe gets a little bit of work but Wilson will be you know kind of your top overall value play by Johnson we mentioned him right I think I'd rather get to him over Davis because he played 14 snaps and he ran eight routes and his cheaper at 2.2 um so yeah Todd Johnson another viable Dart throw a lot of really like a lot of guys that are in play on the cheap end on this slate really like mvs um he's a deep threat he's the wide receiver five but um still a guy that did was out there a little bit ran five routes 12 snap so uh again he's running those deep routes I know he got targeted at least one deep ball um was that is only he got two targeted twice but um yeah he is a guy that can stretch the field Matt Collins at 1.6 I think is also a pretty good value s he play similar snaps so he played 36 of the 61 snaps and ran 21 of the 32 routes um so if that continues I think mat Hollands looks like a really good value play there um braxon baros is 1.2 so looking at the other Miami receivers um besides Hill and Wadd baros played the most he played 26 uh snaps ran 22 routes um and then and uh behind that you had Grant deals play 13 snaps 10 routes Robbie chosen or Robbie Anderson 12 snaps and seven routes so those guys viable Dart throws but I think if I was going to Target a other dolphin wide receiver it would be Brax and baros let's see is there anything else I wanted to mention um Quinton Morris played six snaps and ran zero routes don't think we can go there Reggie Gilliam um the fullback only four snaps one route think there's anything else let me just double check talk about all the tight ends for Miami I guess there was a four tight and then played Tanner Conor he played three snaps ran three routes but uh yeah I think that's going to do it for the breakdown guys as always you do enjoy just make sure to like subscribe hit the notification Bell and if you all look for more content you check on my patreon link in the description really appreciate all the support as always good luck and I'll see you guys all in the next video