First Alert Weather | Tracking Hurricane Francine

and welcome to the Action News 5 digital desk I'm alongside meteorologist Eric Brill I'm meteorologist Ron chers and lydian she's back with us again we missed you we haven't seen you on the digital desk in a while I know it's been a second sporting your tiger gear tonight looking good I'm loving that Hey listen we've got some weather coming our way so we want to take a little time this evening just to talk with you about what's happening what's going to occur and basically what's coming our way but I really want to uh brag on this guy for just a second because you're the newest member of our axon News 5 First Alert weather team but you bring a tremendous amount of knowledge especially in regard to Tropical systems like from Idaho you wouldn't think that either no no he spent the last few years in Idaho but that's going to come in handy in the winter but right now it's tropical you were in Texas when Harvey came through there what was it 5T of rain fell yeah we uh about uh Netherland Texas there was 60.5 in worth of rain that fell the span of six days uh that's a lot of rain I mean it caused a lot of Destruction all over the place there so it wasn't it wasn't the most fun event obviously to go through but you know professionally as a meteorologist I learned a lot from it and fortunately we aren't going to get anywhere near that amount of rain here over the next few days but it's kind of interesting just because the different th the different types of weather patterns that we're around around then or around now just because as Francine scoots itself to the north into our neck of the woods it's going to park itself you know this over basically the mids South for a couple of days here and kind of what comes out of that is still uh the thing we're trying to just find tun the little forecast there but and you know in our uh in our discussions in the weather office during the week as a matter of fact all week long Eric has been kind of sharing some of that knowledge with us because typically we are just dealing with the remnants of systems coming through here it's it's very common for remnants of tropical systems to come in you were a little closer there in West Texas but you made this interesting uh prediction earlier this week that the storm would strengthen to cat two before making landfall this afternoon yeah right around what was it 2:00 I think they up it and then 5:00 it made landfall about 100 miles to the west of uh new orans Louisiana and even as far as that goes I'd said to you on Monday afternoon I said hey I I'm thinking just to the east of Vermillion Bay it was going to be at about 8:30 so my timing was off by about 3 and 1/2 hours from that but uh all in all I mean right in the ballpark range as far as the intensity the general uh the where it made landfall as well as the timing too so and even in the current direction and path we're going to talk more about that coming up lydian I'm going to rely on you because we are on the ation News 5 First Alert um are we on the weather app tonight all right so we are on the weather app okay good good she's all things dig okay so we're on the Action News 5 First Alert weather app we're on the Action News 5 app on Amazon Fire Roku and Apple tv we're also streaming live on YouTube and Facebook so lydian I'm going to ask you to just kind of keep up with uh our Facebook questions anybody has anything ask lydian we'll pass those on to us and we'll do our best to answer and by the way you can go to our website we've got stories up right now and you've been working lydian to kind of keep that updated throughout the day on stories regarding Francine and updates from the First Alert weather team there too and any special place they need to look uh they can just go to our homepage uh they'll find everything they need to know right there but if they want more they can go to the weather Tab and they'll they'll see plenty more there awesome awesome I want to get down to the N nuts and bolts of this we're going to start off tomorrow is a First Alert weather day but I kind of want to let's start it off with lyns because I want to show you where we are now and then what we've got coming so let's show you this First Alert Doppler radar by the way that is not rain there along the Mississippi River there are a few showers back around Little Rock but that's just a little as we call anomalous propagation some false Echo near the Radar Site themselves but as we take a look at the big picture here here is what we are dealing with and again it is as a result of this storm down making landfall in the Gulf we've got tropical storm warnings watches all along the Louisiana Mississippi Coast extending into the Florida Panhandle the storm the center of circulation Overland right now and it quickly dropped in intensity from a cat 2 to a cat one yep and now we're going to watch this thing migrate just to the north and as that continues I'm I'm trying to punch the button here because these are the current conditions we have 85 mph sustained winds nothing in on the gust yet but the last I saw we had gust close to 100 I believe yeah I don't think the gust actually from that even changed from that earlier update but still the gusts are exceeding that of triple digits or they're at triple digits the good news is though is this does continue to interact with more land there's going to be more friction that is able to get embedded within this just because of the Topography of land even though Louisiana is a pretty Flat state especially that portion of it the land is able to provide just natural weakness to it compared to when it's over the open water are in the Gulf of Mexico and something else too as far as that pressure goes it had been dropped here over the past couple of days down to 978 mbars that's kind of flatlined itself now and that number is going to be coming up too and something else I've been keeping an ey on to is that movement because it had been moving at one point to the Northwest and then to the north northwest North and now in Northeast yeah a little bit of a northeastward prog any uh any uh thoughts on what is lending itself to go from more of a Northwest North Northwest to now a North Northeast so it's all about those steering currents that are around there and even that cold front that we had from the other day uh from I guess it would have been on Friday now feel that feels like that was about 10 years ago at this point but uh that's been able to kind of help the movement within it too and the physical the straight line movement say if you were in a car is at 17 milph so the actual Ford movement has been been able to pick itself up as well so uh it's good to see that number for our friends that are into Casta Louisiana into some of those Parish that are down there that the storm's at least scooting quick at a forward Pace here but of course it still does have some pretty strong winds around there but those will continue to weak here as we roll over the uh next days now as Eric mentioned it is going to weaken quickly but it's still going to be packing a punch as it moves here into the into the Action News 5 coverage area and we're likely going to be dealing with impacts of this and our first rounds of rain I think are going to make their way into the area right around or shortly after midnight tonight so let's take a look at tracking Francine let's go back that low is going to move to the north Thursday afternoon it should be in close proximity to us and then continue to move north but here's the kicker this thing is going to just stall a front to the West we've got high pressure off the Eastern Seaboard there is another upper level disturbance that's uh right around southern Canada closer to the northeastern us and that's all just blocking this system so it's got nowhere to go and what does that mean for us well it's just going to sit there it's going to circulate there's still a considerable amount of moisture that's going to be coming in from the at Atlantic and still driving north from the Gulf of Mexico that's going to keep rain in play but with the winds here's my concern for tomorrow the potential for some isolated spin-ups always something to worry about whenever we're dealing with the remnants of tropical systems we don't typically see those those gale force winds but we see these outer bands as they're wrapping into the center of circulation they begin spinning themselves so you see these little spin UPS that can occur on some of those outer bands as they move to the north that area that's highlighted in yellow that's where the greater probability for isolated tornadoes will be and Ro cells rotating within those bands coming on through and especially too when it does come to Tropical weather events you hear various meteorologists talk about the dirty side of the storm so if you were to divide a storm vertically and then horizontally it's the upper right part of it or the Northeast quadrant of a tropical disturbance whether it be a hurricane a tropical storm a tropical depression that typically lends itself to having the most toric activity or at least the highest potential of tornadic activity within it and with respect to how the center of circulation here with Francine is going to move itself towards the Midsouth we are going to see at least parts of the Midsouth especially over towards your McNary County your alorn county into uh bent and tippa County and even towards Hardman counties among others and over towards Tupelo that looks to be the area that has the highest chance of seeing some of that tornado activity around as we move into that of Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening so that's why that was highlighted and look when we see something like that we're not talking about significant tornadoes they're usually quick spin-ups EF Zer e1s 75 maybe 90 mph winds with these things but it is something that I want you to be aware of and give you your first alert to that let me show you the next graphic we've got in play because not only do we have to worry about the potential for spin-ups but with this St sticking around it's going to bring with it the potential for some flooding into the area with all of the rain that it's going to be driving and circulating around it but because it's not going to move and just kind of stay here we're still going to be dealing with these winds and we're still going to be dealing with periods of rain and when you start talking about tropical downpours you can pick up little cells that drop a half an inch to an inch of rain in a short short period of time but we're talking about several hours of this sticking around the area and that could create for us some issues with flooding in parts of the mid South that will likely extend on into Friday and then look at this Eric lyan we've got a lot going on this weekend we've got Cooper Young we've got Southern Heritage Classic there's so many different things going on around the mids South those are just two here in the city big events that are going to bring in over 100 50,000 people with the potential for rain on Saturday and Sunday it could put a big damper on things now the folks with Cooper uh the Cooper Young Fest tell us they're going to make the call Saturday morning at 6:00 a.m. so if there's rain in the area or the projection for rain to come into play they're probably going to move it to Sunday they will make that call Saturday morning Southern Heritage Classic they play rain or shine the only thing they worry about is a potential for lightning that will create a delay in the game but I think they'll still be able to play uh you know as long as there's not a lot of lightning around the area so a 10 milei radius around the stadium is what they're looking at so ra any lightning strikes within 10 miles could delay the game if it's a lot of lightning which I don't anticipate that then that could lead to the game being cancelled all in and of itself but this system just sticking around the area that's going to be a huge thorn in our side well into the week let's talk about the winds now because we're going to be dealing with strong winds and the heaviest of them I think will really start to develop by late afternoon and evening Thursday then we're talking about the flooding potential with this so a lot going on with wind with rain the potential for flooding and then the core of that storm moving right here and then just hanging over the area that's why we're making Thursday a First Alert weather day so that's what we're looking at that's a general setup we're going to go into more detail get a little more granular here and uh let Eric take the helm on this so again your first alert for Thursday lyan any good questions yet uh a lot of hell um but hey y'all uh nothing that I'm seeing that sticks out to me okay good deal and again if you got questions and you can only ask on Facebook okay cuz where the you can put that in on the comments but again you can follow along with our other uh apps to just watch what we're doing here this evening let's get you're talking about the winds let's take a look at it yeah let's just kind of dive even more into the forecast here as far as what we have from an alert standpoint across the Midsouth in which we are all under a wind advisory that does kick in here for tomorrow morning and this that's going to go into effect by the way at 9:00 a.m. tomorrow morning exactly so we're within uh what I guess uh 13 and 13 hours and 15 minutes of this kick in in and it is set to expire here at 1:00 in the morning come Friday so the majority of the day on Thursday we are under that wind advisory and pretty much out of this 20 to 30 mph sustained winds with gust over 45 miles hour are at the least of possibility here and really are expected all around the mids South so it doesn't make a difference if you're watching this over in win if you're over towards Marx Mississippi if you're into that of Boliver or Selmer take your pick you are under that win advisory and on top of that too we do have that flood watch that is in place as well for four Thursday that does include that of Lefay County and I wouldn't be surprised if this does get maybe extended to include a few more of our counties here will I absolutely think it will I think they will uh likely include Shelby or not Shelby but West Tennessee possibly Shelby we are going to get a lot of rain here because we're looking at the potential for about three to four just here in the city and that doesn't include the heavier downpours but you've got the track of the storm right now let's check that out yeah so as far as the track of Francine goes um it is going to be moving itself from Coastal Louisiana to the Northeast and then eventually back to the North and then a slight northwesterly J before it kind of parks itself really over the Midsouth here as the end of the work week and into the weekend is concerned so even as we move into Saturday Sunday and heck even early next week there still will be some clouds from France scen so the good thing is though is that basically over time this is going to kind of rain itself out especially as we move towards the end of Friday but it's never really going to complete dry itself out into the weekend and early next week so that's why we do have those rain chances around between both of those given days here so here it is right now this is the live radar this is the cloud and this is the current position of the storm itself again you saw some of this earlier but look at this gust of 120 miles hour that's still packing quite a wall and Eric that is bearing down on New Orleans right now they're going to look at the potential for flooding there's still some storm surge associated with it so that's going to bring in a little more water to that area but the wind a big problem and I really think the wind's going to be a problem for us tomorrow with the potential for power outages yeah we're not going to be dealing with 85 mph sustained winds or gust of 120 but you get a sudden gust of 40 50 miles per hour that can take down tree limbs that can take down trees and in turn take down power lines but check out the path of this and even just as far as the the winds go when they're starting to ramp up up and down they're oscillating it's the same idea as when you have a slinky it goes up and down and just keeps following its path the more that you have those winds going up and down the more the better chance you have of that damage happening just because it's not hitting at a consistent Force here but Ron as you did say between Friday and Saturday this is really going to park itself pretty much within a 50 mile kind of span between that of the Midsouth and well I guess the central Midsouth and the northern Midsouth going towards Jonesboro so the movement here is going to be really minimal for Friday and Saturday here's a look at cast yet again here as we move into the rest of the overnight hours you start seeing some of those showers and storms into Clarksdale marks Batesville and right along Highway 278 and look there could be some pretty good downpours and I'm not going to rule out the potential for a couple of those cells to spin yep so there could be a couple of isolated tornadoes overnight tonight that's why we're going to be staffed through the overnight hours all through the day tomorrow and tomorrow night as well so we are you're in good hands here as we track this system agreed on that not from the sake of being biased between between Ron and as Maggie Patrick all four of us have been really in tune with the forecast here and I think been and lock step with each other all right so if you're within Memphis tomorrow yes the possibility is there maybe it's not raining as you try to head out the doors you do wake up notice at 8: a.m. future cast it's kind of riding right along the state line here between that of Mississippi and Tennessee but the anticipation is that we start moving into the later am hours we start seeing more of the heavier rain and more consistent rain after we move past the lunch hour notice some of those darker Reds there stretching from McNary County through that of Hardman County down towards Marshall County and all the way towards Clarkdale for that matter those bands of heavier rain in the red there that's where you could start to see your rain rates being 2 to three inches an hour and that's when you could start to see some of your localized flooding yeah so in a nutshell tomorrow morning the commute is going to be better for people along in north of the 40 Corridor people that are along in south of the 40 Corridor I want to encourage you right now to add some extra time to your morning Comm mute because especially in northern Mississippi you get into eastern Arkansas around Lee Phillips counties there could be Heavy Rain coming down and it's possible here in Memphis as well but as Eric was showing you it's the afternoon hours that's when the real rain is going to start and that's also when we're going to see the strongest winds begin to pick up by the way we've already gotten word and lydian you can confirm this I believe it's cerville cerville schools are uh closing early tomorrow as a result of the system coming through so if you're just out hearing about that cerville schools tomorrow letting out early and that's a good call I think they're going to uh let out around noon is it around noon so they'll probably getting out into rain but the heavier rain the wind that's what's going to be coming in around that official school let out time of 3:00 so you don't want to be out around out and about around that time and of course too when it does come to a school they're always going to to have those stagger times when they get let out just because of buses and Manpower with that so good idea to kind of keep an eye out for that for the kiddos tomorrow morning let's pick up future cast from 2 o'clock let's run it forward to about put are you at 1:00 then to about 5:36 look at those bands and and I want you to keep an eye on to over towards our friends that are out east over towards Selmer and Corinth and Ripley over towards Boliver as well that's where we have or that's where we anticipate some of the heaviest rain total coming out of this because yet again it's towards the northeastern side of the center of circulation and notice with future cast here you can see everything kind of wrapping itself around here from that counterclockwise flow and that kind of gives you a good idea where that Center of circulation is and notice by 11:30 you're seeing over into that of Kinton County and into Covington how that rain kind of has a little bit of a hook to it that's kind of giving us a center of circulation there that looks to be over Memphis near that of about midnight As We Roll from Thursday night into Friday morning this is a big thing that uh I I give kudos to meteorologist Patrick Ellis for coming up with this graph here the Impact Zone so overall it's kind of like a as a shield looking at the quantity of rain we're going to see out of this I do think pretty much everybody's going to get an inch of rain out of this within the Midsouth the heaviest rain though does look to happen more so into our counties that are into Tennessee and into Mississippi especially to the east of 55 here but there's a little bit of a bulls I am going to be keeping an eye on here yet again over towards that of Hardman McCary as well as all corn and tipa counties where I don't think it is impossible to get 10 in worth of rain here you picked up on that today what was it that had you hone in on that area so my thought process with this is that we are going to see I think rain in these general areas for roughly 12 to 18 hours and I think probably closer to 18 than that of 12 hours and if you see a half inch of rain which for a tropical event getting a half inch of rain per hour it's not that heavy of rain right um but for 18 hours if you have that over the span of 18 hours that's 9 in of rain just like that so and that doesn't include cells that may be dropping up to two three in of rain per hour and that if you get the cell that has two to three inches of rain per hour for the span of an hour it can negate some of those lighter hours too so that's why I really am kind of hones in on that given area seeing potentially up to 10 inches of rain now that's not for Memphis that's not for doto County that's not nrit and County that's not for D Northeast Mississippi primarily and McNary Hardman County you're close to it and look we're only talking about the potential for a few isolated communities that's just the area where that greatest potential will be for the highest rainfall amounts and it's possible it could be up to 10 Ines of rain so there's that now we're also talking about the wind too check this out so the wind across pretty much all the Midsouth looks to be gusting to 40 plus miles per hour across the board here uh with those sustained winds in the 20 to 30 mph range it's not not going to take much for those gusts to exceed 40 mil hour and I wouldn't be surprised and I think you'll agree with this Ron as far as seeing some of those wind gusts even above 50 miles per hour especially further to the South where the center of circulation from the storm is going to be a little bit stronger towards your oxfords and batesville's and cobas marks Etc so uh but overall widespread Shield of everybody seeing pretty much 40 m per hour gust here feeling pretty good about that Ron referred to this area as far as that spin up tornado risk off to the east here uh including that of yet again Ripley Cor Selmer over towards even out of Alamo and uh and into um I just lost train of thought there uh Brownsville for that matter too so Trenton Gibson County's in this weekly county and look oh mainly along the Tennessee River Valley all right that's where we're looking and and quite frankly I think the greater threat is going to be in Alabama yeah but those are a handful of counties in the ation News 5 coverage area that could certainly be impacted with potential for spin-ups however I also want to throw this in doesn't matter where you are in the mids South with these bands coming in especially the outer bands well ahead of that core of circulation there could be a spin up anywhere in one of those and we know those will be extending all throughout West Tennessee and eastern Arkansas so something to keep in mind but that Target area that's what that's where the greater probability exists and because of that tornado risk that's why it's a good idea to have the First Alert weather app there I've learned from Ron shielders real quickly get the app have we said that yet L get the app what do we always say get the app hey it's a good idea to have it especially for a night like tonight um when it does have that interactive radar if you do get that alert you're going to be made well aware of it and the possibility is there to yet again see some of those brief spin up tornadoes and while those aren't the ones that we get when it does come to cold fronts the ability still there is uh to have a ef1 or EF zero around there so just scan that QR code that'll take you right to your app store you can download there for free and it's for Apple and Android products and just having that interactive radar and with rain if you're going to be out about this weekend and the potential for rain to stick around is still there you're going to need a First Alert the hour by hour forecast the interactive radar that's really going to help things out what do you got next for us here so Ron you just kind of mentioned as far as really moving into Friday evening and eventually into the weekend this is still looking at the remnants of Francine here and the numbers that you do see on your screen I do want to point that out those represent the rain totals that future cast is anticipating here um and obviously is that just for Friday this is collectively from now through Friday and this is cuz that's really not a lot no it's all especially towards Oxford I'm kind of surprised I think that's that's an anomalous and it's funny too because this is actually the European model too so yeah that's and we've been using I've been going with the graph forecast models we're looking at the higher resolution models now the ones that are 3 to 4 km forecast models I think this is a 9 km so um those higher resolution models they give us a better idea I think this does have a pretty good handle on the general outline of where precipitation will be correct but I kind of doubt those numbers a bit that's just me nope we're in lock step with that so what I was looking at more for this with anything else is just as far as that weekend forecast goes here notice look at that as far as those spotty showers that will be around kind of really through the late morning and into the afternoon and that's and that's when get that heat of the day there's still going to be a lot of moisture in the atmosphere it's not going to rain all day Saturday all day Sunday but it's going to be humid you're going to notice that a lot of moisture and then when this when we reach that maximum heating of the day right around noon to 3:00 that's when it's going to heat the top of those clouds the sun will heat the top of those clouds and we could see showers developing so that could be a problem for us so there is at least good news within that for Saturday and Sunday for all the different events that are going on neither one of those days it's going to be a wash out of a day and I think you'll agree with me with this Thursday's going to be a wash out of a day we're feeling really good 100% chance of rain tomorrow and and if you know rock and Ronnie C you know he doesn't like going as 100% it's just because it puts you in such a box that you don't really have a way to kind of Wiggle out of it but there is really high confidence that we do have that 100% chance here so going back to what we have for futurecast looking ahead throughout the rest of the weekend here as we start to move towards Sunday we still have some of those showers scattered showers Sunday morning and they just continue to linger around here and again primarily in the afternoon hours late really from early afternoon into the early evening and then it diminishes that could also continue into Monday yes and speaking of which as far as what we have going on here pertaining to if you if you if you like your your bar graphs here uh this should give you a pretty good idea too as far as what we're looking at here for we got to fix that one yeah that's on me I'll chalk up the yell on that one for me someday hey some days you're the bat and other days you're the ball but um you know even better we'll just jump straight to the 784 cast see and which hey we have of course that first day here for Thursday the opportunity for rain it's still around here for Friday a 30% chance here on Saturday and then a 20% on Sunday and even as we move into the beginning of next week we see those rain chances lingering around here so keeping our fingers slight it's it's a slight chance and that's just the residual moisture that's still going to be lingering in the area mid 80s for highs typically we're right around the upper range of the 80s 88 I believe is the average high for the day so we're going to be well below it now 72 the high tomorrow it is quite likely we spend the majority of the day in the 60s as a result of the rain that 72 will likely occur in the early morning hours and Eric and I were talking about this earlier I think what is probably going to go in the record books is for the high temperature for Thursday is probably whatever the temperature is at midnight I think it's going to be hovering around 80 so that's going to be a little misleading one of those upside down days 80 at midnight and then the temperatures fall through the day as a result of the rain coming through but there's your first alert to the next 10 days so tomorrow First Alert weather day a 100% chance of rain no matter where you are in the axon News 5 coverage area and by the way this is a wonderful opportunity to talk about percentages lydian you've even asked me this before what is it what does it mean when we ask what is or when we say the percentage of rain is this or that do you remember yes uh it it's the chances for the entire dma no matter where you are no matter where you are that's your chance yes yes that's right sorry that's it so so anyone who's told you oh it means 20% of the day or 20% of the area they're wrong it's no matter where you are in the area we cover that is your chance of rain tomorrow all the counties that we cover in the Action News 5 coverage area have a 100% chance of rain you will get rain rain and the vast majority of us are going to see strong gusting winds with the potential of 40 plus mph wind Gus with this system so something to keep in there keep in mind there we'll wrap it up here lyan any questions on our Facebook have a few questions um so let me get back to let me scroll up a little bit um people are asking about school closures we do have a list on our website when a a school closure has announced we do have a tab on our uh under our weather drop down um that's titled school closings and you can take a look at that um so action news.com yes yes yes uh will the storm tracker be out tomorrow with coverage you know it it's going to be dependent because and I think we're probably going to have a photographer and a reporter in the storm tracker but we want to keep we're unfortunately we lost Spencer to Knoxville he's still within the company at our grce station in Knoxville We Miss Spencer but right now we've got four meteorologists and we're going to stay in the studio just to cover it so Patrick and Maggie will be in the morning then Eric and I will continue into the afternoon and the overnight hour so we're on 12-h hour shifts right now no fun for us but we're going to get through this and there will be somebody within in the studio at all times but as far as getting the Storm Tracker out yeah we're probably going to have a photographer in it at the very least just driving around to show you how road conditions are that's that's a big thing for us too even just as far as the four of us it's good to be in house because you need that it's always good to have that second opinion when you're with other meteorologists as to what they're thinking with the thought process maybe they see something on radar that they don't hey I'm speaking I'm going to speak from a lack of experience with respect to being in the mids South but having worked in different areas this guy's the guy I'm going to be able to pick his brain here over the uh over the next couple days and I'm really forward to just if nothing else from learning from you just different things that you see and just kind of how you operate when it does come to this and I think as far as the different conversations that you and me have had you never want to see anybody get hurt you never want to see anybody's house get flooded or hit by a tornado or anything like that but I think just as far as an experience for the two of us this is going to be really good to kind of see how we operate so I'm really looking forward to uh you know it's already been great having you on the team with your wealth of experience with tropical weather and even severe weather in your days in West Texas but at the same time um after spending 30 plus years here we've been through this before I've been through it Dave Brown was a wonderful mentor to me and taught me a lot and then just my own observations and having been here forever you kind of get a pretty good handle on how things are playing out so Len what else we have well Tina had a good question but I'm not sure if y'all be able to answer this this is why y'all are going to answer these questions and not me but she wanted to know how this hurricane uh compares to Elvis Hur oh that so that hurricane Elvis you weren't here this why I'm here Lear it was in July the early 2000s this came through the area it was a duratio all right so it was a sustained wind we had a cell that had developed right around Southwestern Missouri and it made a dive South you know we get that Northwest flow and the summer months a loft you'll have a s a south wind at the surface we have the Northwest flow a loft these storms develop in Missouri then they just kind of dive south and east this was a benign storm but it hit that thermal right there in Memphis in Shelby County we have a little more or a lot more asphalt concrete buildings they retain heat it was a hot muggy morning and as this storm cell hit that it just sent it through the roof It produced a 100 mph sustained wind that went from the Mississippi River all all the way to the Shelby faget County Line it cut a path right through downtown and through Midtown all the way out east as a matter of fact we had our camera our Tower camera 200 feet up on the tower Outback there were papers floating at camera level there was debris floating at camera level it blew out windows in Downtown Memphis but in answer to the question Tina this is not going to even compare to that what we're talking about tomorrow tomorrow are winds sustained winds in other words throughout the day of about 20 to 25 milph it's going to be windy all right Britney Britney Bryant used to call that skirt alert day all right so we we are going to have those wins but we're going to see sudden gust from time to time of 40 miles hour or higher so that's what we're going to look at so this is in no way comparison to Hurricane Elvis and by the way we dubbed it hurricane Elvis After the Storm went who's Ela oh my God sorry for peeking the audio on that one what else you got for me uh a lot of people wondering about just the tornado threat in their areas um which I'm we'll keep track of pull that graphic up one more time that that tornado risk area so this again this is where we're looking that area you see in Orange now keep in mind a spin-up tornado is going to be possible just about anywhere in the mids South but this is the area of where the greater threat will be and again we're not looking at a major tornado outbreak with this at all there is just a potential for some quick spin-ups so don't be surprised if you see tornado warnings but this is also a great reminder to take some time now to secure anything in your lawn that may have the potential to fly or just make sure it is tied down if you've got patio umbrellas things like that make sure they're down and they are secure but also make sure your family is aware of your severe weather plan if there is a tornado warning for your county or your community where you going to go do you know where to be you put as many walls between you and the outdoors as possible the lowest Floor Center of your home away from exterior windows and of course you want to have that first alert weather app and all the other good stuff but now's the time to start thinking about your storm plan the safest place in your home and making sure your property is secure and by the way one other thing I want to touch on if you have a drain uh a city drain out front of your home make sure it's clear all right make sure there's no debris or leaves covering it we're going to take on a lot of water tomorrow there's going to be a tremendous amount of runoff there will be isolated areas of flooding making sure those storm drains are clear is going to allow that water to get away as quickly as possible help you help yourself honestly when it comes as far as the drains go and you know if there is something the timing of this isn't great as far as just harvest season goes but at the same token we do need the rain around the mid South so um I wish that we kind of had the timing's not great just as far as har of season goes but at least we are getting some rain out of here and it definitely is much needed yeah absolutely and by the way can you pull up links I want to show you that flooding uh potential graphic so all the areas you see highlighted in red that's where the potential for flooding will be the farther north you go the less likely but that encompasses just about every County in the Action News 5 coverage area and really I think Friday is the only day we're going to have to worry about the potential for flooding I think Friday's going to be a rainy day um a breezy rainy day I think Saturday Sunday going to be day of Hit and Miss showers warm kind of muggy um but overall tomorrow the greatest threat for flooding there what else you got for us lyan uh I think we're just about out of time um people let's see let's see yeah you've got to get back to work we C let the digital desk shuts down when lydian's not there so well we have Joel tonight Joel's there with this so this is true uh I'll we'll do one more question so Maria wants to know if it's safe for male care carers you know it's I I I wouldn't want to be a male carrier especially on a walking route tomorrow I think mail carriers need to get a pass tomorrow yeah abely you know you need to get a p and I know there are people who rely on you know they're getting their checks they're getting medication things like that it's going to be very difficult for male anybody that works outside that's our sanitation workers our MLGW workers it's going to be tough for them uh out and about tomorrow anyone with outdoor jobs uh long crew construction yeah any anything that is that is an outdoor job it is going to be compromised by not only the rain but the wind tomorrow that's going to create a big problem and also for male carriers even in the truck they're riding right there along the curb that's when we're going to see the the puddling yeah the water building up so it could create some problems there so anyway that's what we got for you that was a good question by the way look I want everybody to just stay weather aware tomorrow again a First Alert weather day for the entire Action News 5 coverage area we will have the weather office staffed we'll have updates on the air on the web on the First Alert weather app we'll also make sure that we're uh doing more content right here on the digital desk as well so I want you to check back with us often on Facebook our YouTube channels all of our social media pages and platforms and all of our apps from the latest weather info but the best tool you can have is the Action News 5 First Alert weather app that's going to help get you through this Eric good stuff tonight any final thoughts no I me just as far as tomorrow goes the weather might not necessarily be too bad for your morning commute but it's going to be going downhill as the rest of the morning continues on and really kind of the best chance or the best time to see some of that heaviest rain as well as the strongest winds will pretty much be right in time for that evening commute home so just stay safe out there folks and look if you can leave the office earlier leave work early tomorrow that's going to help you out tremendously that heavier precipitation from about 2: in the afternoon till around 78 in the evening so lot of rain coming our way but we've gotten through other systems like this we will get through this one as well and the First Alert weather team will guide you through it along with lydian you are awesome you are hey thank you very much lydian for taking time out of your day I know you're very busy Eric it's always great to converse with you talk about eological processes things going on and we welcome your your wealth of experience with dealing with systems like this and look when winter comes here this guy spent the last few years in Idaho he's got some great ideas to share with us and some great thoughts on winter weather you know ironic though there was a the hurricane from last year that went and hit California it went up actually into Idaho was a tropical depression so was Hillary I believe so now I've dealt with three different tropical events here between Southeast Texas Idaho and wow yeah so I wouldn't really think Idaho in tropical weather butes interesting well hey everybody stay safe stay weather aware and stay with Action News 5 on the air on the web and on the First Alert weather app I'm meteorologist Ron chers for Eric Brill and lyan kums thank you for joining us tonight on our digital desk have fun we will see you tonight along with Joyce Peterson for Action News 5 at 10 a lot of news today