Hurricane Francine Making Landfall in Lousiana - 🔴LIVE Coverage

[Music] [Music] you're watching Force 13's live streaming service [Music] hurricane Francine is the major story of tonight and it is a category 1 hurricane heading towards the coast of Louisiana a fairly powerful storm quite large as well with a distinct eye on radar imagery and I'm sure we're going to be looking at that throughout today's live stream if you're wondering why we've got a different setup of course it may be well publicized by now I'm on vacation for 13's holiday hate Hugh and Jack of course and others have been filling in uh pretty nicely so far the good news about Francine though is that it looks like it's peaked uh it is a high-end category 1 uh it nearly got to Category 2 status by the looks of things and it is going to be heading Inland fairly soon by the time we get to about 700 p.m. is what the National Hurricane Center was considering of course hurricane warnings are in effect all along the coast and hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings further Inland including along the coast of Lake punon train um elsewhere in the Atlantic and we've also had the development of tropical depression 7 uh way out in the eastern part of the ocean and that's moving away from Cap bird my name is naan Foy uh introducing our stream today from holiday HQ unfortunately I mean even if I was back at um our main desk I've actually been rather ill as I've been heading out so uh it's not been very good for me uh so I'm going to be uh here as backup uh whilst we uh hand it over to Jack with the main essence of tonight's coverage Jack hello um welcome to the stream thank you Nathan uh currently on the screen I have all the um I have imagery of Francine and I've got imagery down in the bottom left of um tropical storm binka now you can see Francine is getting very very close to the coast now we currently have it at 90 mph and here's the warnings on the side from the there is a tropical storm warning from the Texas Louisiana border to rockfeller Wildlife Refuge uh the US Gulf Coast from cut off to Alabama Florida border hurricane warnings from The Rock Rockefeller wild wildlife refuge to cut off and the watches for tonight right now stand as there's no trpical stor watches but the hurricane watch there for the whole of the lake Pon pona train Coast I apologize if I pronounced any of that incorrectly now obviously tonight Charlie one of uh one of the people in this stream is he's going to be flying into Francine I'm not sure where from wow I take us to the team if Charlie wants to share his screen in just a moment now we've also we also joined by Jose here hello Jose hello hello and you have your stream open what what's the what's stream showing got radar SC open and I got the national um Hurrican Cent um track so this is Jose's stream Jose's stream here uh so this storm's getting very very close to the coast here what's your thoughts on that then well um pretty much um I'm just hoping really really hoping that everyone is ready and hunger down for this storm because even though it's still far we're still waiting and see what um Francy will pretty much throw at them but mostly I just hope everyone's ready and hand it over to Charlie for a moment Charlie what's uh what's what's your opinion right now well the storm surge probabilities have not changed at all since the storm's intensification so the same storm surge forecast is there slightly lower on certain parts of the Mississippi and Alabama coast but the main landfall site is still up to 10 ft at Max when the storm approaches landfall yeah and if uh in case anyone wanted to see um the the the graphic that Charlie is r ref ing there um I can get it on screen in just a moment but obviously there's the cone so this is the graphic Charlie was referencing you can see uh the NHC um are expecting 5 to 10 ft of storm surge from the vilon bay uh extending down to PO Port fortune that says I think I can't I don't know how to pronounce that I apologize but there you can you can see the graphic there and obviously uh there's other um of course other levels of storm surge um along the coast here we got uh 3 to 5 feet we got 1 to three feet we've got 4 to 7 feet 1 to 2 feet uh extends quite far along the Gulf Coast there and Nathan do you have anything to say about that it doesn't surprise me um to see those kinds of storm surges forecasted it's a pretty large storm um I just had a quick look at the cone there in the Windfield which is sizable although the Huracan Force Windfield is still quite small um also looking at satellite imagery earlier today it certainly had a very robust um region of cloud Tops on the western side although the Eastern side has been lacking and that has continued into the course of this afternoon um although looking quite good on radar actually looking at Jose's screen there and I'm just um I'm find it difficult to see that radar properly I just want to query uh do we know how far the center of the eye is from the coast now uh does anyone know I can get it calculated can get it calculated lovely or fine yeah I can find the point while Charlie does that uh if you if you wish to um well if you wish to uh sort of get a chip in on what we're doing here ask any questions um in the in the live in the live chat just uh tag us say at 413 and text and send send your message right after that and we'll get to your I'll get to your message um as soon as possible as soon as I can uh Charlie how's how's it gone have you got the that info information up it is roughly about 66 mil away from the coast a long way a decent way that is obviously the center the north side of the storm is well in to the coast but the center of the storm which would obviously be the landfall sight is 66 miles and that must be a large eye as well it looked to me as though it may have been 25 30 miles Jose do you have info on that I know you've got the radar up I was looking at Jose just then uh it looked like it was something like 25 or 30 miles it's obviously uh oblong it's not you know very circular let me pause this okay yeah it looks as if it's 35 miles actually yeah 30 miles 35 miles I am intrigued by that radar on the right hand side uh looking very impressive where satellite shows that there appears to be a structural deficiency um satellite has shown that it would appear to be weakening radar is showing that uh I don't know if you guys have got Recon info um I do not actually go keep you guys busy I'm just going to read some comments here's looking at it right now yeah go ahead Force 13 how about the disturbance near Florida and Atlanta will that become a a tropical storm or a hurricane now I'm not I'm not sure what you mean by the disturbance near at Florida and Atlant someone was talking about something there but I don't think there's anything Jose just a load up um is that one current that you're looking at um looks like all these finished by now they're all finished so no one's in there right now yeah pretty much yeah they're all finished as 10 minutes ago what was that last which one was the most recent maybe look into some of those charts uh Mission 14 is the most recent one isn't it so there you go could you just go on to the um other chart on the left this one yeah yeah I just need to have a little look at that uh so yeah getting decent decent wins but they don't I mean they certainly don't indicate an upgrade so that's one thing we pretty much confirmed not going to get a category 2 landfall here unless some kind of um ground observation just completely turns out on its head at landfall um pressure lower 970s I'm seeing is that I believe so 9 looks like 970 I'm I think so that's what we're dealing with there and it's quite a low pressure for a category well relatively I mean there's plenty of category ones that that kind of pressure but you're definitely looking towards in fact it's a very similar intensity to Hannah in 2020 oh yes that one yes I see where you yeah I see where you're coming from there Charlie have you got any news on well have you got any closer to flying into the storm yet um yes I just paus it for a second but I can sh my screen yeah go ahead I don't know where I am okay I don't know I know I'm not right then so I need to get here Charlie screen I'm heading towards the landfall position and I'm going to head south we can get into the storm where did you take off from Charlie literally just south west of New Orleans New Orleans hom maybe um I think Morgan City so I will double check I don't oh um in terms of how St far away to storm from land it's 62 mil away currently okay so it's yeah okay and obviously the ey is is quite large so yeah what was that movement speed again moving at 13 mil hour 13 miles hour Northeast says that's weird NH has it at 16 16 most prob well yeah the NHC has it at moving at Northeast 16 milph I actually I actually went and checked the NHC oh yeah yeah there was an update to you literally right now wow yeah it's yeah it's moving at 16 miles hour now pres movement Northeast or 40° 17 miles per hour I have wait what did you just say there was an update statement yeah there was by forecaster Kelly um well they are doing updates I was surprised Ed earlier that recently reported the stain Winds of 92 and a peak gust of 112 but that's an elevation of 102 ft and on Eugene Island recently a sustained wind of 48 mph and a peak gust of 53 pretty strong wind still are down that's sad NHC is doing hourly updates there yeah thought we lost you for a second because it just went so quiet so those cameras that'll either be power outage or they've just cut the feed which depending on where sometimes times they do that uh yeah yeah they're down well we lost camera F right there well I mean I wasn't really expecting to see a huge amount here it's not a massive uh populations of course there are still some uh significant settlements there uh hum is um [Music] that is like they might be they either be close or right into the Eastern ey wall true yeah could even get the eye there Hing on movement if if he keeps moving it um that if he keeps that same track with the northeasterly then maybe they might get into the eyewall I am not sure but we just got to wait and see until it goes over land of course once it makes landfall we are expecting rapid weakening and that is mainly owing to wind shear the storm has so far been helped along uh by extremely warm sea surface temperatures um and it shows when you look at the amount of convection it had earlier um but now we're seeing less convection and that is possibly a product of wind shear there starting to tear the storm apart a little bit although I'm not really seeing obvious signs of that on satellite uh but sooner or later it will be the of course land interaction as well well coupled together will cause rapid weakening they have a tropical depression by what is it 24 hours or a bit later I think it's a bit later um the last track I saw it looks like I might weak to a tropical storm then probably on Thursday night or probably morning it's going to weaken yeah yeah just of course a l of sh yeah there's like four not she right now loads of Lo of she yeah that's one thing that's one thing from CU from Str yeah that is one thing and obviously land the other thing but yeah so at least the shear is helping out mostly for the storm wellow I mean wind looks like it's blowing in a sort of similar direction to the storm so it isn't actually having as much of an impact uh as it would if the storm was directly moving against the shear um and you'll see that on the south western side it looks very Jagged on satellite imagery and that is the the shear down there from the southwest and I don't know if we're looking at Jose's screen but you can clearly see it on there yes we are looking at Jose's screen oh yeah look all Cloud displaced shoveled up towards the Northeast and that's mainly use the wind shear yeah that's good we don't want this storm to um strengthen anymore what I imagine it's doing though is producing a lot of rain I've not looked at rain charts give me a second I don't think radar scul sell is in accurate I'm not sure but I did use a couple times yeah let me see exclusive rainfall oh it just gives me um hold up but just cut back to that visible satellite imagery as well that current yeah that is right now I've been refreshing it looks like trying to push out an eye well that's it that's what yeah but there's like this weird little Gap right here it it looks like earlier before we even start it closed up a little then it just reopened again huh well Radar's been showing that oh there it is look at that can we see the most recent frame can we see the most recent frame I think that is yeah I think this is all this is from the little pass about not that long ago yeah look look at that little eye just individual yeah there we are it is clearing its eye out trying to anyway yeah to an extent uh it's just a big question of whether it's closed or not um be a big question marks there over whether it is perhaps intensifying or not and it's about wait how much who said uh how far is it from Land me 62 miles from Land roughly okay okay um oh yeah rainfalls Nathan you ask if I can find it and I already did oh seeing as the storm is trying to clear out an eye it does not look very um even if it is look very good on um on ra uh I mean on infrared imagery it does not look the best it looks like it dropped around like that this much right now rain accumulated at this point five um six Ines probably five I think I'm not sure if this is recent or not but well that have been from the last Model output oh shoot these are models oh now they quite a few different scenarios there clearly MH uh but basically wherever the center of the storm tracks you're probably looking at between 5 and 10 10 in by the looks of things there didn't the NC put something for that rainall potential oh yeah they they put something up for U rainow potential looks like about six to seven Ines I believe eight I think it's yeah no around six or seven inches of rain around the area there yeah um I'm going to have to send my apologies it's uh too hot to run in here I mean my phone's been overheating earlier so I am actually going to away here uh but hope I've been of some use on tonight's stream yeah well thank you for joining us Nathan for the first part and enjoy your holiday and we'll uh yeah hey we're back on a for Sundays to reveal where I am oh yeah oh wonderful the team figured it out but um been now bugging us for ages you've been Bugg um I'll say goodbye to everyone and uh back to the team with fanine goodbye goodbye all right well here we are I've got the NHC cone pulled up it just there and I I'm also uh in case any body anybody was wondering about um binka earlier I have managed to get the latest cone for binka um and I will pull it up now so binker is no longer forecast to um to hit Shanghai but it is going to hit very close to Shanghai it's just to the south of there so here we are Thea looks like it's going to have a slow uh a slow intensification uh but once once it um gets uh toward well closer to the ryuku islands uh it's going to intensify further uh in the of course in the East China Sea and it looks like it's going to make a major landfall just south of Shanghai on on the that's what the jtwc are forecasting and you can see binker down in the bottom left there that's bink's um uh infrared satellite imagery there uh does any of you to have anything to say about binka before we go go over more of Francine or is it nothing too much it's done it stuff in Guam and it's weakened a bit so if I be honest I didn't even know binka has form I didn't even notice until now are you didn't even know that binka was here oh well we'll go straight to front scene then guys shall we yeah I didn't even no got a bit late today well there we are binka formed yesterday as well well this is uh what I will show is um this was the cone for Fran scene yesterday uh and the difference that I'm I'm noticing is that if I quickly go back to this cone the storm the storm the storm's sort of shifted the cone has shifted further to the to the east uh for Thursday morning um and uh I'm not sure why that's probably because it's moving a lot faster than it was before Charlie do you still have anything about your flight going on in Francine right now I'm in a patch of open now I don't I don't think this is the i c out completely cuz it's nowhere near where the storm would be but it's just a little empty spot the middle of front scene here do you is there actually a way of you knowing uh exactly where you are um in fact I think I might actually be inside of the eye right now oh really the very very very faint eye of it it is covered by Cloud but it that looks like an eyew wall behind me especially yes if only you figured out how to get the readings it would be well we'll we'll get Charlie sorted doing that soon now does anyone want to say anything about Fran scine uh other than this flight here cuz the flight is of course unofficial so uh Jose what have you got up got up on your screen right now oh you've got the um the cone yeah the cone right now I was going through a couple of satellites to be honest with this um I mean it it it looks like it's not looking mostly like a hurricane at this point even though it still has the strength of a hurricane and HRI I that's because um the storm is starting to get sheared a lot and especially yeah very soon the storm or Charlie's update last night they were expecting over 50 knots of Shear like very rapidly rapid Shear as well be it well it's going to be sheared a lot a lot more than it already is very soon once it makes landfall so yeah I I myself am expecting a very very quick weaken weakening after it has made landfall um yeah and what's this you've got up there you got some radar yeah radar is SC right now I have the uh reflectivity and the velocity so I could check some wind speeds for it go ahead for now looks like the Eastern ey wall is like mostly the strongest one right now yeah Northeastern or Eastern side they're a couple of 90 80s but uh we're not going to we're not going to talk about well I bet this is like high up in the in the air like 130 yeah so pretty much High not on the surface no yeah it's not on the surface but it looks like mostly around like 90 80 m per hour um strong winds inside the ey wall now but the question is for me what city or what part of Louisiana is going to get the hardest hit in between Franklin and Morgan City is the path it's predicted to take so in a Southern tiny Peninsula coming off of the coast if I were to go like that with a bunch of violence there yeah looks like cha Chu cha Chuan and H is going to get looks get into the eye wall yep sadly I had cameras there but looks like they're down due to P I'm not sure it's power outages or it's just something else I don't know but there was one good camera that was in the path of the eyewall but it's down so looks like we might not be able to see the force of frany frany all right I'm just going to swap over to here because I am well what you can current see that's not francen on the screen right there that's uh binka but we will see Francine's radar uh now there we are you also saw me for a split second there but there we are this is just to see where exactly would uh get the strongest conditions and obviously the storm started to well blow up a bit of rain cloud on its Northeastern side as Jose was saying earlier and obviously the strongest part of the um of the storm is the northeastern side uh this uh this storm if I were were to like pin where I expect it to expect it uh where I'm expecting it to make landfall I I think I would I would say something like uh see if there's any names well clearly obviously would be well Homer very near Homer where the storm is on track to right now um in my eyes uh what what you guys in agreeance with that what's your thoughts on that before I read some more comments like it might be not sure though but let's just wait and see yeah good thing good thing the one good thing uh about Francine right now that it's picking up speed because couple days ago when it was you know in the Gulf it's been moving very very slow yeah and then now it's moving at 16 miles per hour which is a good speed for it because one we do not want the storm to slow down because it's going to drop tons of rain and it's going to put too much stress um I think in New Orleans um pipelines right now and areas that are easily to get flooded so that's a good thing that it's moving fast so it won't drop sorry um no continue continue okay I'm very sorry U my main concern is this um this storm surge particularly the storm surge that uh says like 5 to 10t 4 to 7t 2 to 4 ft around this low-lying land area here around foran mouth of the Miss Mississippi River as definitely um just anywhere along this uh Southeastern part South well this very far Southeastern part of Louisiana this very low-lying land and that that could well that will be a key factor for this storm surge that will uh be coming in from the storm uh particularly on the Eastern side of the storm um because the winds are pushing on shore on the Eastern side uh there's that's that that's that graphic there and Jose would you like to go back to what you were saying apologize no that was all I was going to say about the rain B okay I I will go ahead and read some comments then so head plays 50 plus knots of shears bad however for a tornado threat which could overperform as there are plenty of lifting mechanisms so likely robust super cell activity within 65 plus du points yes uh obviously as Burke said on the stream yesterday if well in case anyone wasn't there uh Burke was saying there is a significant significant chance for uh these for for um tornadoes to form in In This Storm so we got to keep we'll be keeping an eye on that as well uh I'm just going to go read some more comments for Hurricane Al Bron says for 13 any lightning belts uh in the hurricane now now uh see as Jose's on round B do you reckon you'd be able to get uh the hurricane Bel the hurricane belt the um Thunder abouts or any any anywhere would you be able to do that seeing as you're sharing your screen right now uh wait what was it again um any lightning belts in the storm sorry mostly windy is the one that normally gives me the amount of uh lightning strikes easily but turns out right now looking at Windy uh let me go at the right now windy right now at 3:30 which is it's about like five minutes old right now well for me cuz it's 3:35 p.m. for me right now so it's 5 minutes old um looks like there is some lightning strike almost out side of the eye wall yeah and that also is on the Eastern side or Northeastern Eastern side there as you were saying was the um the main the main side which is going to be a problem really as that moves in yeah right now what the I didn't even touch my mouse and it just zoomed in all but right now looks like there is no lightning around the eye or in the eye just mostly in the eastern part which is mostly the strongest one right now yes because earlier like a few hours ago the W Northwestern iall was the strongest now the Eastern iall is the strongest yeah as Charlie was saying yesterday as well yeah the storm's been mainly north north or east heavy and it has been well in the most in the most part Charlie if you got any uh anything for us any visuals for us like the right now or I can go and get some stuff uh have we G over windsh Graphics uh yes we have we have yes but if you've got the multi Diagnostics you can bring oh yeah okay I I I'll show that then I will show that oh looks like there's a little gap opening around the eye on the windy radar right now I'm looking at there's like a little Gap right now opening up maybe that could that could be distance but yeah yeah that's I was going to say to probably distance or is probably the STM itself right let's have a look at what Charlie has BR up for us let's see here we are so Charlie uh have a way um so well I guess let's go of intensity so we are very very close to Peak in fact I think most models have it peing about now before it then falls off which would make sense uh especially because of the Shia which is reaching its point when it makes landfall going well above 4 knots into the 50s there and staying like that for a while so this thing will be sheared until it's gone really yeah yeah um but that's also that um tornado threat as S Blaze I it was saying earlier uh what what does the sea surface temperatures look like as well for the rest sea surface temperatures will slowly drop that much it will slowly drop before it gets closer to land and then once land it doesn't really matter but yeah it it will slowly drop as we approach the coast same here pretty much all models apart from DTC X seem to be pretty consistent on the drop on the 13th 12th to 13th and same with the position however a lot of models differ on the location of landfall however GFS is the most likely position of landfall either of the HFS models hfsa and especially HSP look at that track odd forecast track there that is an incredibly odd for track that's weird I have no idea what that that implies or anything don't tell me that thing is going to St they're all relatively going the same direction until he gets to about well well of course storm it's just going to they're all taking the storm right through Mississippi as well so yeah cause some tropical storm force winds there and definitely maybe even hurricane Force Gus but most likely tropical storm Force Gus yeah in that area especially since the storm's getting shared I will just sa here to show the whole thing now I'm going to go back over to the radar Charlie do you have you seen the radar yet do you have anything to say the radar um not too much apart from the northeastern iall and the northeastern part of the storm in general being quite solid solid yeah and that's where most of the uh however I did see some Cloud tops in the southwest of the storm however that doesn't really Chang too much to the radar at all yeah as I'm looking at this uh these latest frames uh well it appears that just like what um Jose was saying the storm the southern side of the storm looks like it's like sort of opening opening up slightly yes uh on the precipitation side of things if I go back to Jose's Jose's screen if it can load um yeah and any any cameras in the area will be nice but cameras okay so um the re um mostly all these cameras on this part is going to be on the weaker side of the eyewall but on this part hold up yeah this part near Morgan City uh this is where they're going to get the most strongest wall the Eastern side but sadly uh one of these cameras are not well these I don't I think it's um they just cut it off for now because of um usage uh for power usage I'm not sure and that there goes the car where's that place is that place uh I I don't think I can remember let me have a look it is Morgan City is I I think that's on the border between 5T to 10 feet and four feet seven feet I believe I not fully sure there but that well either way if you if you go ahead and look at some um Contours for the land there it's very low-lying land and yeah surge that surge is going to be um that surge will go in yeah yeah right now it's like quiet right now on these cameras M but it's all going to go downhill in few hours as Francine gets closer and closer oh there goes the power that goes to the one of those power trucks I forgot what they're called um what's it called again I kind of forgot the name but it looks like it's heading on to the areas where they might lose power which is good right now everything is quiet on some of these cameras but all these cameras are going to go down yeah oh there goes you could see like the flag I don't know if that's a flag or or something flapping in the winds oh yeah you could tell by the trees I can see it if I oh here yeah there forgot this has a zoom in yeah yes uh looks like the camera is shaking a little a yeah yeah oh yeah that's that's the reason these cameras are a little weird now I tried refreshing everything but I think we only have like a split second um minute for watching this before it all goes out yeah you you could see the trees swaying a little bit and the winds you could tell look at the by the rain how they're moving yes I mean looks like Northeastern they're currently experiencing the edge of the tropical storm force winds of the hurricane looks like some people put up oh there goes the camera little shaking a bit looks like some plywoods are up on the on the Windows right now in doors in this little building over here it's a bit Pixy though but you could make out a little either way everything is I'm going this um topographic map uh in just a moment if I can quickly over here there so CVS's windows are boarded up as well here we are so this is what I I mean with how I cannot stress this enough look at these this this is like Morgan City right there very very low that's like 5 m so this storm surge it it will it will come along quite a lot of these areas if um big dust if there's a if or if there is a high storm surge and seeing is wherever wherever the storm uh wherever the storms um wherever the storms Northeastern side hits or Eastern side any where on that side that's going to be that's I I think that's going to have the highest storm surge seeing is that the winds are on land everything is on uh is pushing in towards land and wherever that hits that probably be around this area here that I'm just over dlac Shin uh Homer Homer's a bit further in but yeah definitely Homer uh so once the storm goes in there will be uh well there won't be as much too much rain but there will be a lot of rain the storm surge though will will be um very very high uh looking at this topographic map here and even even when it gets to Lake pon pon train um sorry if I pronounced that wrong the storm surge will still be um fairly fairly um fairly High because well the storm Serge will be fairly irresistible when it gets on land because of topographic map look at this even even the city here is only just above above uh sea level is it is very very low-lying land so that is one thing that is one thing to say there now I'm going to go back to Jose's stream uh here we are what what we looking at now we're on a different camera it's shaking a lot yeah yeah um earlier when you were talking um I'm not sure if it's a storm chaser or if it's a civilian in the air that lives in Louisiana where they were talking to an officer ah there was a police officer that just that where that little car right there is stopped right there yes and there was a truck right here they were talking to each other I'm not sure if it's a stormchaser or a um civilian so but right now the the winds looks like are picking up right now yeah yeah it's getting very shaky at this point yeah can see the difference um now Charlie do you have anything to say any right at all I go back onto your there's don't have anything showing however however the storm is roughly about 55 miles away from landfall now oh really so it's it's getting much closer there all right then I'm looking for another camera view well um just saying guys if if you're new here uh we're currently tracking hurricane Francine and tropical storm binka but nowhere near as closely as Hurricane Fran scine Francine's landfall was expect expected uh within the next 6 hours I believe and we are closely tracking this storm as it makes a run for a landfall in Louisiana um if you would like to ask us any questions just type in the live chat at Falls 13 and text and I'll make sure I can well get to your message as soon as possible um uh and we've also got Charlie and Jose here as well if you want to ask them a question if you want to ask either us of a question or just any of us it doesn't matter but either of us you can just say who you want to ask a question we've got Jose we got Jack which is me and then we've got Charlie now um Charlie's Got the multimodal diagnostic comparison we looked at that earlier so I might just put up this here this is what I was going over just a minute ago uh the topographic map uh I looked at just a moment ago um if you're if you're new to the stream uh and this the land where this storm surge is expected is very low Ling land so uh and especially for the Eastern side of this uh Eastern side of where this storm makes landfall uh I'm well I'm quite um I'm quite worried for how this is going to play out because the low-lying land plus 5 to 10 ft of storm surge 4 to 7 ft it's it's really really um what it's not going to be hard for that storm surge to get onto land this is this is the nhc's um graphic there as well now the the graphic will update in around 10 minutes cuz the uh the they've got up uh The Advisory updates um are hourly now as this storm gets closer and closer to Louisiana uh if I go back to the team uh what do any do any of you want to say anything now and clock in before I read some more comments if there are any I'll go to Jose's screen once it yeah once it loads there we are so we're looking at a different camera now go ahead Jose well oh is that a yep that's a police no is it oh no no it almost looked like it almost looked like police officer yeah looks like mostly everyone that's coming into Louisiana are mostly Storm Chasers but what I do want to say is uh as you know frantin is moving on Shore almost very close not not on Shore but it's getting closer now it's it's I feel like it's going to be too late to evacuate right now um to and this storm is Ming quickly yeah yeah if you decide to like stay and you make last minute decision and say okay no I want to leave for now it's going to be too late because now that the eyes the eyes is going to be coming on you're going to be experiencing an eyew wall which is not a good idea to be driving because because pretty much they're are saying that it's going to be it's going to be dropping lots of rain because of flooding and you don't want to be driving into um deep U waters on on the road but mostly just for now if you decide to stay just hunker down please stay away from Windows and even though if you boarded up your windows there's still projectiles that might penetrate through you know Woods or sometimes metals and I don't think I never seen metals on any projectiles um um penetrate through um Metals but I didn't I did see from some plywood but either way just just stay safe stay away from power line stay away from um deep Waters don't drive into it just stay and we don't want to see any casualties or deaths from this storm that's all I hope for I don't want to see no deaths just as you explaining there Jose the it looks like like the rain and the wind with the tree swinging in the background has started to yeah pick up as well while you were explaining there oh there goes a police officer oh yeah please yep there he goes yeah yeah so as as you saying if you are in the in the track of where this storm's going or anywhere near do you and you have decided to leave or you're going to have to um prepare to hunker down and uh like get like if you have like an uh if you have a basement sort of thing get into any area where it you're safe from uh well debris but the the thing is the water is is my main is my main problem with this storm because water is the mul of a killer then wind yeah so please be aware of that as well Charlie do you do you have anything else to add seeing I'm just trying to move along to other people and all sorts yeah I will bring something up oh okay let's have a look at your I'll just bring it up bring it up now okay then well I'm I'm on your screen right now you're looking at NHC NHC yeah so there is a new experimental cone oh yeah and it shows the range of the hurricane warnings and the tropical storm warnings you can also show you can see the Windfield estimates here so the tropical storm windfields have gone into land which is shown clearly on Jose's camera oh it went out as soon as I say that it goes however the center of the storm is slowly I say slowly actually quite quickly um yeah approaching land and that has dropped but not dropped that has came quite close to land since the last cone was put up I've seen the hurricane windfields have not expanded at all in fact I think they've got small if anything but yeah these areas yeah the stor exactly the storm's movement speed is is um it's very well it's it's not station stationary at all the movement speed is increasing so the storm now I think what's it going 17 mil hour Northeast now 17 miles per hour Northeast at 40 degrees Yeah so th the stor the storm's going to be going much Qui much quicker very soon yep and when we get this new advisory out in around five minutes we'll bring you the info uh I think Charlie looks like he might seeing as he's on the he's on the page right there I I'm on the page I will bring up the advisory as soon as it and the graphics uh there we are let me just check if there's any comments uh no one has sent any comments in but um if if you guys are willing or want to track storms with us we do have a public server at Discord H discord.gg force3 I think it is Charlie Mar right yeah that is correct there is a North Atlantic um section where everyone can express their feelings on Francine freely in our public server yeah all sorts of chat rooms in there so if I go back over here we can have a look at the updated imagery on FR scene if I updated INF fored imagery oh wow so the storms convection has gone right down uh but you can see that eye starting to actually take shape on this um on this infrared imagery infrared show imagery that I'm showing right there and at the bottom left that's binka so we're not focusing on that right now you can see the warnings and watches on the sidebar just there um and uh I read them out earlier when we started out this started with the stream but um yeah you can see clearly now uh on on uh infared imagery that this eye is now starting to take shape as it gets closer um to land uh now Jose do you have anything else uh to show any other other Camas um I mean right now I'm still looking at cameras but I am going to pull up the radar scope for now um there we to see um well I mean there's couple of do U um oh oh never mind if I would if this was up I I think it would have been much closer to this but I have to choose only these two um radar dopplers Doppler Radars but just looking at it it just looks how you say it beautiful not like in you know like a way to say oh I can't wait for this to um to take damage not like that it's just like it's like something so fascinating to see how a structure of an eye and then the eye wall comes in yeah but either way this is still destructive hurricane even at a category one category ones can still do good damages yeah there's like sometimes people say oh it's only a category one this is still a hurricane so when this arrives it's it is going to cause a great deal of um damage and definitely flooding I please please be aware of the flooding as i' said I've said so many times I I'm going to yeah if this is going to be something personal um person this is something personal for me I'm going to let's go back um seven years ago yesterday was the 7 year anniversary of hurricane Irma oh yes I live on the east coast of Florida looking how massive Irma was covering the whole state yeah I do remember that the whole state as me yeah we were experiencing hurricane Force gust far away from the center and I can remember I was going to my uncle's house we stay there because um we were like a little nervous because you know it was a category 4 when it hit Big Pine Key yeah then it weakened down to a category 3 but after the hurricane passed we came back I came back home a big large tree was knocked down by Hurricane Force gust we were not even near the center you can see how even though the center the worst impact you're going to still feel impacts far from the center you can is not always going to be focused on the main center CU impacts can happen far that's how every that's how all hurricanes are is not always about the center it's about the how far um the damages can go from for me like I was in the east coast I'm nowhere near the center of hurricane Irma yet we experienced a lot of Damages but either way that's how it is for Francine big um we don't even know what the damages could look like like far away from from Hurricane Forest the tropical storm force winds but we have to wait and see but right now looking at the radar it just looks nice the wi wall is nice but it's very deadly right now yeah I I think the main uh sentence you're going for there is it it is constructed well on radar but not not construct well on satellite where it look satellite it just looks like it fell apart like completely just fell apart but on radar you can still see that strong North Eastern eye wall looks like it's moving up north now look at the north north northern eye wall looks strong yeah it it will be yeah it will be pushing that way going round it does look very good yeah right now like I just hope I'm just hoping and praying that everyone is ready taking this serious because I really me personally I don't like seeing deaths happen because it kind of makes me emotional like because it like it hurts to see people lost their life to this hurricane tropical storm tropical depression a low pressure system or an area to wash or something like that it it it's it's bad like it's not something you um no one wants to hear that this fatality happened because of this hurricane it's something no one doesn't want to hear cuz I want everyone to make it out Al live from this storm that is that is definitely what we're all thinking right now um yeah Charlie it is the the we're at the top of the hour now have you got any uh re refresh refreshes here and now any changes with I do yes you do I've got an update exactly out something Francine's eyewall is now nearing Southern Louisiana yeah I just got the update right now when you just said that yep hurricane force winds in Northern Iowa Fran Cen and they're in the coast of Southern Louisiana now it's the time to stay inside and away from Windows have multiple ways to receive warnings and updates I'm just going to read comment as well marene has that area recovered from the last hurricane well when was the last hurricane actually I I don't know um was area for Louisiana wasn't it the last the last major no not major but hurricane in general oh the hurricane in general I'm not sure cuz I only know Ido was the last major hurricane but specifically for hurricanes I'm not sure yeah no I don't know exactly I do know that um this area was affected by storms like Claudette 2021 Ida 2021 Ida in 2022 I not not I can remember and2 maybe barl might have done some effects to West Louisiana but of course um my my my as far as my memory goes the most recent storm that's gone anywhere near that area and infected that area is Adalia and that hit the Florida Ben region so yeah M I don't think there's been many storms in in in a long time but not in this specific yeah not in this specific area I don't know how far Barrel's reach was into Louisiana but I I'm pretty sure this area hasn't been affected for a bit for a hurricane and it's not to mention tropical storms I'm sure there's been many tropical storms affected this area but well yeah Charlie continue what you uh uh reading out um yeah so it is about 60 M away from Morgan City and 115 mil away from New Orleans yeah still 90 m per hour max Su stain wins still moving 70 mph at 40° and the pressure's dropped by 1 M it's now 975 ah ah so it's got more intense then yes I good thing the winds are still at the same looks like power power ades are going on right now at this point is getting much closer how close is it 50 miles now almost 50 miles uh yes roughly 50 miles oh man this is a bit the eye the eye does look much better than it did y uh but the the storm I was saying earlier I the cone uh has shifted like well what I'm thinking of it as well it shifted much further to the to the east than they were expecting than anyone was expecting so the storm is gone uh is going more towards the east rather than um like going north of Morgan City it looks like it's going to make landfall around uh dlac and Chin that sort of that area and it looks like it might even pass right over Homer and New Orleans which is uh well I did I did see that is well going heading more on the east side of the cone so w that ising that yeah it is actually yeah yeah the I popping are really good on satellite and the last last IM let we got the last yeah that eye looks like it's popping out really good look at that big convection on Northeastern over on land right now wow looks like the storm is might might strengthening a little bit more before land fall yeah I do think this St looks very good actually yeah it's looking yeah to be fair yeah that is not good not good because me fast yeah that's one thing good yeah I did look at the NHC it looks like it is moving at 17 miles hour right now yeah so that's good that's a good speed to keep it up so looks like um strengthening might be closing off right now as it gets closer and closer yes Charlie is there anything any other Graphics or anything more you wanted to say um not too many more Graphics I can show I have put up on my screen The Advisory itself the stor surge one I can bring that up yep I'll just leave the advisory up there for a second low low Ling land as I've said a lot of well loads now very prone to um deep intrusion of storm surge so Charlie what what can you see with this map then explain what your this is the coastal storm surge and and if I go back onto the cones then here you can see the is that no that's warning so it will have to be this one here I was going to say this really quick I'm so sorry for interrupting but there's a flash flood in in effect for um Louisiana right now yes oh yes there we are huge huge flash flood City and I think parts of gener Genetti I'm am so sorry if I'm pronouncing things incorrectly but those are under flash flood U warnings I believe right now yes I do I do um I do see that yes I'm just I I will I am checking the comments for anyone who wants to any ask any questions it doesn't look like there's many people but um I'm just going to say one like well another time if you would like to ask any of us any questions uh just type at Force 13 in text and send it in the live chat and we'll be as quick as quick as we possibly can to um reply to your message um I might I might even ask Charlie and Jose for their opinions on your message once you send it through um depending if I know the answer or not uh or if I would like to let them have a go answering a question chly is the uh that that rainfall potential graphic there as well could we have a look at that on your screen yes yes they uh there's rain potential huge huge rainfall potential um uh on the coast of Lake P Pon train I believe it is called I not familiar with the name um but a a huge amount of rainfall there cuz as I was saying as I thought the storm was doing the storm has gone further to the east uh so where this storm is going it has yeah so now it was before uh going to affect New Orleans on its East they're predicting now now we're seeing more like it's going to affect New Orleans and um Homer and other places along that path directly uh and seeing as this storm has such a large eye and is going very very well moving very very quickly uh that that that's obviously uh quite a problem especially for tornadoes popping up anywhere near or anywhere in Mississippi once it gets further in land as we uh saw from that comment earlier Jose have you got anything more to say about the rainfall uh I know you've said quite a few about quite a bit about the rainfor already any anym I'll come over to your screen well pretty much I just like always just stay away from from Waters because you exactly don't even know how deep it is until you you even get into it or drive into it but if you drive into it deep water it is going to be too late to know because if your car starts to float away you're putting yourself at a huge risk and First Responders but the problem is now First Responders are not going to be on on not on duty but on site right now because they normally wait after the Hur after the hurricane or tropical storm before they go and save lives but if you put yourself in that position you either you might have to wait until the storm passes so I advise that if you want to drive think about your life first if you want to drive it you're you're going to take that risk you can do it but mostly just don't do it no just don't it's not worth it if you think you can make it I'm sorry but you're wrong just don't do it because yeah be very careful yeah just please not dve yeah just know that your life is more more important yeah you like everyone says you only live once so do not do not put your life at a huge risk or don't put like First Responders at risk I'm going to over to the comments now the the chat that we're getting in now uh I I see uh from skele Skeletor Titan 413 do you all think this is going to be a cat 2 in landfall uh personally I I personally don't think it will be it's it it could have the chance to but the chances are going down is being sheared heavily so I don't think it would what what you guys' thoughts on that hon I don't think so but I might keep that um little little um chance for Francine to um probably reach category two but either way I'm going to keep it mostly a high that it won't do it just because of the windshield right now and the land interaction that's about to touch right now so category two might be nothing and then another comment from the same person also what's going to cause the storm to stall in Southern Illinois now I look I looked at that and I haven't touched on it yet I I I I think from what I saw earlier interaction with a high pressure May uh may cause that but I haven't seen that properly so I we'll go over that later maybe if that um if that means anything yet and also invest 93e has been designated has it okay apparently to some people I haven't seen it come up yet for me but yeah I S someone see that in chat and someone says don't you have radar well we have been showing quite a quite a bit of radar but here here's some radar here I can just refresh it as well see if there's a further update but that that's the Force 13 radar the latest Force 13 radar of the storm approaching Louisiana Charlie how close is it to landfall now what's the distance in miles um I'll check out his current direction why well Charlie's doing that um this the storm's eye is about 35 mil wide 30 mil wide um it's not a perfect it's not a perfect circle obviously neither is storm really um but this about 35 mil 30 m wide for this IE so you will get um ey conditions sooner than you think if you live anywhere near the coasts so y uh prepare for that Charlie what would you like to go over I'll take a look at your screen if you want original path it is about 44 M away however in its current direction it's taking it is only 30 m away from landfall ah there we are so um that is getting much closer than it was before much much closer and someone also says do you have live cameras right now well Jose was showing some of them earlier so Jose would you like to show some more live cameras for this person here yeah and before you show them live cameras we got another comment how about invest 92 will it become a hurricane uh I haven't looked at that storm much uh I haven't actually looked at that system much yet I can pull up the satellite bit if you want yeah I I I'm looking at it now I I uh I lowered this storm to a 30% chance or or a 40% chance last night I'm not sure what it is yet I I will uh do I'll run over it uh later with Charlie when we put out the light the trouble we have a bulletin light but I will I'll have that we'll have that info in the light bulletin when it comes out at z z I believe that when it comes out which will probably involve um Francine's landfall as well yeah let's have a quick look over here so then um go ahead okay apparently oh hold on 68 what maybe have I got got the wrong location probably 68 km from LF for so it's still a bit to go yeah okay then go on then Jose uh yeah by the looks of things The Radars in near uh H looks like this might be not did I say Radars I me cameras looks like by look things of these cameras looks like this camera might be the only one that's still active because the rest of the cameras I've been look yeah the rest of the ones I've been looking at they've been down so by yeah but it looks I can tell you yeah but the thing is um that the one thing I like about this camera because now you got the trees and sadly you got someone's house right there the one thing that worried about me is trees falling down on it yeah as you did say earlier with the flashback sort of thing yeah yeah yeah I I and plus I think there was one with um Debbie that made landfall around Florida I think a mother and a daughter died in a house due to a tree collapse on them yeah that is a yeah I think yeah that I think I'm not sure if it was from Debbie or Barrel but it was one of those two but I did hear something about a tree falling down on someone's home killing a mother and a daughter oh goodness yeah you do have to if you're in anywhere in the par I don't it doesn't matter where you are anywhere in the path of where this uh storm has tropical storm warnings hurricane watches anything you need to uh hunker down and be aware that the storm surge is going to be rather High uh depending on how far you in you're in land uh obviously if you're on the coast you've got to be very very careful and less careful of the storm surge if you're further away from the coast as obvious but the the winds as Jose was mentioning there falling trees or any type of flying debris really or flooding that's still a concern like just because you're in land does not mean the storm surge oh there's no storm surge uh you're fine that does not mean that you will be fine you uh the winds and and the flooding will still be an issue seeing as we were looking at it on radar just a moment ago uh with Jose the storm is going to be making land for relatively soon probably in about 3 hours within 3 hours um probably more than less than three hours to be honest two hours probably two or you are anywhere there You' got to be um aware of all those things I have said and I'm just going to have a look at more comments if there is any um will windsh be a problem for 7 L I have I honestly I'm going to answer that honestly I no idea I'm going to ask my team do you have any idea about that yes give me a quick second for win analysis oh it's way out oh no um I I think it might not oh it does I'm surprised it does show now okay um for 7l looks uh looks like wind sheer might might be a little bit of a problem but though I think the path that it's taking it looks like it might keep it from wind shear for a little while before it runs into one but looks like there is some like looks like 30 to 25 knots almost close to um uh depression z um depression 07 but either way I think windsh might not be a problem but it might be later on yeah but yeah yes thank you for that Jose I'm going to go ahead and look at some more comments and see if you guys want to answer them if I don't know or if I pass it to you we've got another one from SK uh skeleta Titan thanks for answering my questions especially getting it from the people that actually experienced being in these tropical Cyclones that is that is what what what the idea is icon hinting at Iona 180 hours out W really I'm going to have a look at that yeah go ahead Charlie um and we've got another one it's currently the peak of hurricane season do you do you all know why there's so much wind shear uh well that well that's mainly down to the jet stream to be fair and um yeah and other like I mean by look at by the look of the like but the look at by the looks of things right now um looks like the Atlantic is starting to wake up right now cuz now you got Francine now you got tropical depression seven yeah and it usually does around this time of year as well so yeah at this time it just looks like the Atlantic is maybe were finally starting to wake up we still got two months go the uh Peak date September 10th is a bit too early I feel like it should be something like September 15th 20th uh but that anytime in September really maybe pushing into October a bit um and of course into August a slight bit anytime in that frame that just don't even worry about the date it doesn't matter about any numbers it's just that's the frame where Peak hurricane season is and oh it's um that's when most of the key risk happen I believe 90% of the activity happens in that window that I at time window I was just saying there Charlie is there anything more you wanted to bring up on your screen now I'm going to just move to it if there's anything nothing really no nothing I think that is everything on frany I have to show um we've covered Fran scine quite a bit would you like to go over and take a look at binka for um 5 to 10 minutes before we move back to Francine because Francine is our main focus for tonight and we're not forgetting about our storm we'll be going back straight back to Francine's information right after so while Charlie brings that we'll just um wait yeah I'm going be honest to you ja I think this the camera that we've been looking at already is going to be the only one up because the rest of the cameras around here in the area are are not going to last so looks like this camera is going to be the only source to see the true power of France scene I'm just GNA and yeah the eyewall is getting very very close by P back to that camera for the moment or what your screen yeah yeah it's right here the yeah this is the still yeah it's still the same camera this yeah you could see the the the oh there we are much much more windy conditions there the rain hasn't changed too much it doesn't look like yeah and you can you can see the trees leaves are getting ripped right now because before I think I'm not sure when I last checked there was good like leaves everywhere but now they all got shredded so it looks like either it doesn't look like the trees have very good stability yeah they're swaying and I don't know what this pole is about and it kind of kind of concerns me because I don't know how deep yeah I don't know how deep that pole is into the ground we don't want that you know going anywhere I think that's the bay over there there's water over there it looks like oh yeah like off yeah where where is this we're look where is this camera let me move this oh no I might be oh this is looking at this one right here ah yes I can't tell exactly what direction it's looking at unless it's right here you could see there Little Bear right here unless it's looking at that oh wait I think that's oh is it the camera yeah it looks like it's pointing at this buildings right here you can tell by the trees so it looks like it's looking at something out here in in the city of yeah yeah yeah yeah it looks like um water in the distance probably looking at here in this area look like a river or this one right here kind of looks like a river probably that's where it's pointing at oh no not that not that camera well I'm just breaking news here Recon have confirmed cap 2 wins looking yeah is now storm no oh wow wait let's have a look at this yeah quickly category oh no you fact check that if we've get if we get the signal that Charlie has fact checked it and it is indeed person got it from where did that person got it from yeah where'd you get it from we wait an answer then 99 not flight wins wow 9 oh gosh bro this is not what I wanted to hear Category 2 I mean Category 2 was still in the car well there we are Category 2 then I've just yeah oh okay well yeah now now it's getting serious okay this is serious now guys head back over here and I'm going to update this uh imagery that we've got on the screen there it is that's the updated imagery the eye doesn't look too good but uh at all for a category 2 storm but ignore the bar on the side it's Category 2 now um I've believe the pressure was 975 mbars you guys said earlier and there is radar let's refresh that too wants to refresh okay there we are so the storm is getting very close I I think the the uh the um the eyeballs rain is already on land there as I'm looking at this radar is already on land so this storm is last minute uh intensified to Category 2 status wow which is wow breaking news currently standing up they didn't they get a 972 reading recently um I don't want to check that one oh no that is that is UN I it's just I'm G lost the words right now I wasn't expecting Category 2 but over but more intensification yeah it's gonna double the damage now from a category one like a category one can still cause good damage but you're talking two you're talking like about Big Trees decent trees falling down some damages to roofs probably Windows might be blown out like it's just like already doubling the damage right now so we are talking 100 miles hour 975 or 972 M depending on so that will change the T as well yeah will I actually will upate update the T now while I'm doing that either of you want to explain anything while I'm getting on with that I won't be able to talk while I'm doing that so I can focus yeah don't worry we can keep on talking go ahead then guys and I'll be back with you in just a moment with Francine's code all right yep like everyone heard right now um Francine is now a category 2 hurricane um is there like a Max wind speeds already for um Francine at this point um Charlie um I will try and find any I haven't managed to find any of those c 2 Recon estimates but I don't know if I'm looking at the right thing specifically so we'll find out so like I said earlier everyone that this might double more the damage if um well it's going to double more the damage from even from a category one right now this is a very dangerous situation and life-threatening storm surge is still high and and by the looks of the thing looking at the last satellite um last satellite um um frame that I is kind of opening a little bit kind of I don't know if you could tell Charlie but it's kind of opening a little bit like there's like a little brief opening then it just closes oh yeah but yet again please St inside stay indoors do not go out because once this eyewall comes fully on Shore with max power there's going to be a lot of debris flying in the air and it's not a good time to be outside nope it is not so please if you're in the path of Francine from Morgan City or any anywhere near it please just take cover stay away from Windows this is very dangerous storm right now that's about to make landfall and I think this is the first Category 2 landfall right um I believe so I did see a couple of people saying I was yeah I think this might be the first Category 2 landfall in United States really I I I think so I I I'm not sure but I feel like it is right now it's might be the first Category 2 landfall you sure Sally didn't make C to I'm not sure I think Sally did Sally actually made a category 2 landfall yet and I've got the latest tast news for you so I've just updated tast Francine is now up to 124 points so it's gone up by around 20 points in in the LA in the last hour or in the last two hours just there so w look at that so there we are that is that was a huge surprise there coming out of frine wow I'm going to see if there's any more comments seeing as we I can't believe she actually bought that off of us just like surprises us 10974 I I hope you mean M BR with that category 3 is not yeah no Category 3 is not possible anymore I believe they meant M brow and also can you please lower the volume of Charlie their settings is way too loud thanks yeah I have i' I've lowered mine you've lowered it down there we are I've lowered it I apologize for the the loud Charlie I don't even know what happened doesn't even sound loud on my side you sounds like he's talking slow probably it's me hold up give me a second well there we are guys oh no sorry sorry sorry I'm so sorry hold give me a second give me a second I'm goingon to go to Charlie screen as well because Charlie wants to run through a few things with binka before we move over to a more in-depth look of at Francine so Charlie what do you what would you like to discuss about binka uh just before we um move over to more in-depth level of Francine well I believe it does say that uh goh data is running behind so this is the latest image I can get of babinka and it's just doing its thing it looks like sitting there as a tropical storm yeah it's intensifying very slowly and it start it looks like I'm looking at uh your screen it looks like the storm's movement is starting to decrease as well yeah um so there we are that that's a little update of binka let's go ahead and there is a throw ourselves back over to Jose's screen to get another look at Francine um I'm not sure what Jose has up right now actually let's see um zoom. Earth I'm looking at the measurement um from the eye to the um what the hell am I doing all right there we go from the eye yeah it's about 40 I don't believe it's going to track that way though I it it's definitely yeah I know this yeah yeah I was looking at yeah probably still going in this direction I believe so that's what I heard about Northeastern still yeah the closest is about like 40 almost yeah 40 miles well and you see right now we can run the stream up until landfall scenes that looks like it's a lot closer than they thought it would be um I'm just going to get the info now on how far exactly we think it is from landfall I can tell you I can tell you now uh I'm looking I I I think that's 28 M away from landfall there uh up to 30 miles away um from landfall and the storm is moving extremely quickly um as it's going to it's just going to go straight it looks like it's going to go straight through Homer and New Orleans it's I looks like it's going to pass directly over those areas uh it's come to a surprise to us that that it's come to a surprise of us that the storm is actually Category 2 now as um as I was saying as we were saying before so that is very interesting I'm going to pull up some radar while uh either of you two explain more about the storm if you want uh tell me what what do you think of the storm's current uh structure is like does your Northeast Point still stand or has that changed Jose and Charlie let me have a look at this thing yeah it's very Northeast the south of the storm has like the South ey will definitely has collapsed itself but the um yeah the Northeast is looking same as it was pretty much yeah eyew wall is coming on Shore right now oh no please don't tell me these cameras are down I think all of them are down now oh oh de the one that we were looking at yeah it's down okay what other cameras are nearby besides here I think this is the only area that might get the strongest Eastern winds what about here no Yep they're all down well I hope it comes back on before the pressure dropped to 971 M by the way from sah play 971 I did see that it's dropped to 972 so that yeah that is just one M Bar down from there um these cameras let's have a look know that Mr Barrel said 105 971 however is that confirmed or we going with 10071 well I first I want to know if it's uh Mar brow or not they're talking about because I would not say it's 100 knots I would say KN that's uh I I think if I uh let me have a look at the storm actually and the readings will be going for uh us at for 13 I I'll be going for 85 knots which is 100 miles hour and 971 M seeing as that's just come out of the storm now as well um so then let's have a look over here let me look at Power need look at Power edges really quick right okay Power edges are starting to increase now oh St Mary's uh um has 1,000 960 power out just right now okay so come through now yeah yeah this is not a good time right now for a or two to make LF fall right now just going to update this invent as well oh man come on no yeah we lost the cameras I can see this storm is blowing up a load of convection over land right now um it has not made landfall yet but the storm is blowing up uh it's just there I'm showing that the convection it's blowing up there is Overland there mainly um and that that will be moving in uh around near Homer area as well so power power outages will uh start to occur soon once the storm gets even closer to the shore I'm just looking at what Jose's got up it looks like you found another camera is this is this a good camera yeah out of uh no I think it might be closer to theall if this holds up together when Overland probably it might be an the ey wall yeah let me look at really quick if it's still moving I said earlier the St is going further east yeah so it looks like it might get yeah right now they're getting yeah P yeah if we had that camera we would be going looking at the strongest iall right now I'm just going to read another we still had it Force 13 do you think babinka is showing signs of a possible intensification phase well obviously it's going to intensify it's doing it very slowly at the moment I'm talking about B here by the way but once the storm gets to Typhoon status and once it gets further closer to the um the East China Sea I know that uh the storm is going is probably going to attempt to Rapid intensification when it well when it gets further along in life it doesn't it's not it doesn't look matured enough yet to uh show signs of Rapid intensification of course it will be intensifying very slowly at the moment I'm going to move on to another comment here from Mr Barrel 41 the last recon mission got 99 knots um oh yeah we yeah we do know oh dear what the hell's happened to my chat there we are any more comments uh I don't see any more comments so I'll move over back to what Jose is looking at or what Charlie's looking at do you two want to say anything more now um if you don't there's another there's another um there's a few comments here Ken would like to see some visible imagery so if either of you want to bring up any but I I do have I I have for the latest Force 13 visible imagery that's what uh that's what you want anyone wants to see I'm going to bring up the visible imagery that I have right now before you guys show yours seeing as this is just coming out of force 13 the force 13 um website so if I go over here replace that VI camera fell down and you saw me for Split Second again there but there we are there's some visible imagery of the storm the eye has started to take shape a lot better but uh I'm not sure what's going on with the eye and those later frames it's started to get a bit more sheared you can see that massive uh blow up uh convection blowing up there just uh just only just over land um just uh let me have a look if that's yeah there we are so that that's the current visible imagery we've got a load of comments here how long is the live stream for well I I would like to run this live stream up until landfall but uh I'm not I'm not sure actually we don't not sure how long the live stream is for we just want to run it up until landfall I believe I might just go for um not most popular says any chance for live coverage for binka afterwards well once binka becomes a uh if it if it become well once it becomes a uh large enough threat um then yeah we can take a look at some some where we could take a look at what we what we might do with some coverage uh and also uh Skeletor Titan says do we have pictures of the aftermath of yagi now we might actually but I I don't think I'm going to look for that at this moment what cuz I'd like to focus on this storm more we probably get some yagi images up or next Sundays we have um we could get some up just to uh set set the scene on what yagi has done because we know that yagi has been a Relentless storm uh for when it made landfall it it was not very good at all um well I'm not quite sure what what else to say right now I'm lost up on my words I've been speaking for just a bit so Charlie um how is that would you like to speak well I've got some visible imagery up right now I've got visible imagery up so commentate about the visible imagery even if you're not looking at it you can take a look uh on another website I'm looking at the for3 invisible imagery go ahead yeah you can go Charlie yeah the southern side of the storm has just not collapsed but definitely weakened like especially the the windfields the distance of the radar is a lot smaller a lot lot smaller um well I mean Mr Barrel does say is it just me or is some dry air intruding in the South Side just like you were saying yeah it does it does look like it does look like there's an attempt of dry a to do doing that yeah the storm isn't looking very good so I'm very surprised that the it's a category 2 but I mean visible imagery isn't always the way to go with analysis Recon did have obviously the category wins but yes well here we are tropical depression 7 forecast to become a tropical storm tonight there Ah that's interesting a little update before I can move over to here I'm going to go ahead and look at what hose is doing so he can describe what what's going on you're still looking for cameras it looks like are you yeah still trying to find in but yeah the only ones that are in area yeah so it looks like sad we might not be able to see the true power of Fran scine h if if Francy manages to hold itself together when it tracks in this is the re the reason why I choose this because when you said Northeastern it's still moving in that direction you could tell by the mouse it's going to be moving in that direction and that you're going to put the Eastern ey wall over H which is going to be stronger there but with the cameras you see they're down but it manages to hold itself together then probably we can see some um wor wins there's late Lake concer train I just want to uh say that the storm's eye not the center of the storm but the storm's eye is only 20 miles away from landall and the center the Storm Center right now is getting on for 30 miles away uh as I said earlier just an update for people who are new here and uh who are new watching the stream we're currently tracking Francine as you know this storm is uh well as you probably know the storm is active heading straight in for um for Homer and New Orleans the forecast has shifted more towards the east uh I'm thinking so Jose is there looking for uh cameras so we can see the full force of the storm once it's uh down but Jose has has said some key messages about what to do do when the storm arrives would you like to go over some of those again Jose while you're having a look for some cameras yeah it looks like um Morgan City hom and M it looks like it's going right over Lake conent train but like I said that everyone please stay away from Windows and mostly do not drive into deep Waters please some one also says is landfall imminent yet or will it take another hour or so it's hard to tell because of the semic collapsing eye um I I believe it would happen in around an hour landfall yeah um the stor because obviously the storm is moving very uh the movement for the stor is very quickly right now yes for everyone asking what category it is it is a category 2 now we're saying 100 miles per hour we going with 971 mbars that's 85 knots all I believe um do any of you two want to bring up anything Charlie do you have anything to say because I know you haven't haven't said anything in a while about the system are you you want to say have you anything to say yet or are you going to wait for a moment while we have a look at what uh Jose's hunt for cameras well I have some infed imagery up on my screen and I've noticed that the norn the north well yes um oh yeah go are I do see now the northeast of the eyewall you can see a big like explo well not really explosion but a big cloud top um you know obviously the ey is not looking very good itself but north of the eye you can see that there at the very very end of the loop just north of the eye yeah that convection I was talking about blowing up on land um there we are well uh I experienced a little bit of lag there but I'm back with you Charlie there's the that I was talking about that was the convection blow blowing up over land there I was talking about that's probably um it doesn't look like it's going to do the storm good to be fair because just about to go over land the eye looks slightly clear but the um the impression of the storm is certainly going down on any type of imagery um obviously it's still a category 2 though I'm going to go back to Jose screen are you still hunting for cameras or have you found a camera let's have a look nope no haven't found camera ones that are the closest but mostly all of you are I don't know if we're allowed to look at on YouTube for other stormchasers that are in the ey I don't know if that's allowed on for 13 uh I don't think you can uh for copyright issues uh yeah that's what I was thinking I I don't think I'm allowed to do that so that's because I looked on YouTube there are so many people in the eyewall right now but then I was like I don't know if this is going to be allowed on course 13 oh yeah what's up Charlie do I need to look at your screen you look at my screen you can see that Francy has just entered a 50 knots wiia oh yeah I see oh yeah so there we are FR scen in in being shared incredibly so to be fair for the storm strength right now it's it's it's holding on holding on quite well um even like seeing the fact that it managed to intensify but is it will be on the weakening run once once it gets like very close like I'd say this would be a a slight a in optic as a c 2 because this storm it'll be on the weakening run in no time uh CU if you look at that Shear that sto the storm is currently facing right now it it's going to be just ripped apart once it gets over land but not too soon um because the storm surge that this storm is going to cause particularly um on the Eastern side of the storm as I was saying but not doesn't mean that there's not going to be any storm surge on the west it's going to be just um uh slightly more war I'm slightly more wary of it on the Eastern side though um because well um whenever whenever storms uh come on Shore in this area it's it's the Eastern side of the storm where the winds pushing the water on Shore and obviously when I looked at that topographic map earlier showing the levels of uh land and uh and how how low Ling the land is where the storm is expected to hit yeah and very it's just very um very concerning for the areas areas around I've just updated this imagery you're looking at right now this is a this is the visible imagery I've just updated it and I'm going to take a look if there's any more comments of anyone asking questions no it doesn't look like there is but just to let you know if you're new onto the stream if you want to ask us a question just say at Force 13 and all text and we'll get a ping for uh we'll get a ping and we'll be able to read your question out uh and give you a answer to this to the question so um Jose do you want to say anything [Music] now well right now like it's just a little you know it's a little stressful for now right now for you know everyone in Louisiana and everyone that's tracking or chasing it's like stress right now cuz now that it's a category 2 we exactly don't know what the city or what lisiana will look like after um francy's pass so it's just like it's a wait and see now if we I just hope that there is not that much of bad damaging damages anywhere but right now just by the looks of thing after hearing Category 2 it just looks like we we might start to seee um bad structural damage around the area but just get ready get prepared and and hope for the best but just know the good thing that is spot on that stopping um frine from strengthening more is wind shear and it's starting to speed up so thankfully that's something that's on our side but we have to wait on for the rest and hopefully everyone up north in the in the planes are prepared for um Francine cuz um flooding could be concerning because after looking at those models from CH from Charley it kind of looks like a little stall out in that area but either way just please give prepare please please get ready and stay safe well said uh I'm just going to send Charlie over this information um yeah it was already C guys but yeah anyone chat is a cat 2 so yeah it's already Cat 2 we kind of called it out like a like how many how many minutes go by now yeah it's already Cat 2 which is but then there has been Ethan's just notified in the chat the uh The Advisory is just updated now says Francine becomes a category 2 hurricane as the eye approaches the Louisiana coast lifethreatening storm surge and hurricane conditions spreading onto the Louisiana coast yep h well we just got wait until landfall it's getting closer and closer the eye kind of looked like it's starting to fall apart but looking on radar oh I looks like landalls almost look at that looking like yeah look at that strong Northeastern iall just about to hit ch chanvi dula Gano Golden Meadow looks like that's going straight into those cities I've got another comment here will North Carolina get hit by Francine no no I don't think so at all like that is uh I don't think so at all but um the sto the storm's heading up you might get like some there might be some like out very very out of bands like just like the st's influence of cloud um is quite large to to its East because it does have a lot of cloud to its East and that will just be rain but the storm will not affect North Carolina not to worry there storm is very close to landfall now um if I have a look now they've just updated it to Category 2 strength which is well very incredible to be fair as as we all know and they also shifted the cone to the east like what I I was expecting the cone is now shifted further to the east as I said uh I'm just going to look how far exactly storm is from landfall uh in this new cone it says 26 miles away uh so still quite quite a way to go for the landfall uh I do not know what the storm's current movement speed is though so if uh I either of you to could uh go ahead and grab that information that would be great if you have any 17 miles per hour I believe oh so Northeast at 17 miles hour okay M uh yes that was Zoom Earth just a moment ago uh I believe from um Jose uh and I'm going to look over at Jose's screen now in case anyone at this point I'm starting to give on the cameras Oh you're still looking oh no I'm still trying to find the closest on to the ey wall this one on the other hand is far but it's nowhere near it yeah it's more further away and looking at the path of barrel Francine oh nice Francine is mostly GNA be something like this so if it holds itself together probably one of these cameras can see the full force perhaps yeah yeah yeah I just yeah I just hope um if if Francine still just to hold together when it goes over land and now that there's quite a few people viewing the stream as well I just want to say again this the low Ling land the the land is is um the land is very low in this region so yeah got to um be aware of that everyone in this area the the storm surge is a massive problem so is so is the flooding and of course the winds as Jose was mentioning earlier with trees and all sorts of things the trees in this area well most of them don't look very stable um so this area is Extreme like the area where it's about to make land for is extremely um prone to impact right here I I but I seriously this storm surge I cannot stress enough the fact that this land is so low Ling you've got to be aware of that and act fast once the storm like well makes it onto land and even it's doing it now already we've got a the storm's like slightly on the Ed Ed of uh landfall right there I'm just looking at Jose screen still does not look like you can find any webcams uh sadly but there's the radar look at that that is definitely the strongest part of the storm the northern side now it was the northeastern side but of course it's shifted over to the northern side as storms do now we're getting a we're get we're getting a um we are getting an update for our sidebar template as well so I'll be able to flick back to that in just a moment um we are getting an update for that uh and here we are are you looking through cameras still yeah oh that's uh I'd like to focus on the fact this rain right now it's going to be huge once it goes in and I just it's I cannot stress this enough the storm surge is going to be it's going to be pretty bad seeing as the land is low Ling so keep that in mind the storm surge that the uh official uh officials are predicting uh are pushing 10 ft um maybe even getting further so please keep that in mind if you're anywhere near any Coast in the path of this system um and if you're wondering what the path of this system is I'm just going to um pull up the latest cone in just a moment let me go over here and grab the National Hurricane Center's latest cone on Francine so of course they've shifted it further to the east as I was expecting and if I go here here I'm just going to I'm just going to add this in see is the and there we go so this is this is the updated cone if you are in any any anywhere near the coast the coast On These Warnings you've got to be very careful especially this uh area within the um within the hurricane warning because storm surge is only extended around there uh at uh possible 5 to 10 ft but even um around uh New Orleans area the uh what's the lake called again Pon train um P train concentrate or conc yeah that's start right um that Lake is right on on that Coast obviously so we could see some Rising water levels there when the storm comes through um and the flooding of course is another issue for when the storm gets there it we're I'm I'm expecting landfall personally um in an hour or sometime within the next two hours uh but yeah I'm just going to uh give a um uh thingy an update uh while we look at this which isn't updated yet it will be updated in just uh just a moment yeah homa's getting hit really hard bro I wish we had cameras I I think power I think power went out in that area so that's what the cameras are gone now I can see they've got a new storm surge thing I think that is they've uh pushed the 5 to 10 ft further along which is good it's much smaller now but still for when this storm arrives uh even now it's going to be it's going to be very deadly for that storm surge uh as it moves further in yeah um let's have a look so we need need to change this out for the updated version so if I come over here and replace it with the updated version here we are I think that's updated uh I have no idea what's happened there what the what earth going on okay I'm not sure what happened there the thing that I was provided with was crashing out or something let me try once more see if I have no idea what's why it's doing that interesting what does it do why is it doing that I have no idea what's going on not entirely sure what that what's going on with that um uh do you want to if I mean I could bring it up on my screen quickly you could bring it up on your screen then because I have no idea why that's not working um it could be because uh it's just from a different Source but that's fine we'll bring it Charlie will bring it up on his screen and we can look at exactly what we wanted to look at so let's have a look so just this here is Charlie screen there we are so this is the updated um Side bar for some reason it wouldn't it wouldn't add on for some reason but there we are we even got the degrees uh Northeast at 40° uh 17 mph and obviously we said 100 mph and 971 mbars tropical storm warnings Texas Louisiana border to rock Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge us GF Coast from cut off to Alabama Florida border and hurricane warnings for Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge to cut off and if we move over to watches in just a moment we'll see that there are currently no tropical storm watches but the hurricane watches are the same for the lake Pon train Coast I I still don't know how to pronounce that correctly so I apologize but there we are that's the new Charlie has made and what's that Jose you you and ch ch uh Chine is under a flash FL not um is under yeah flash flood warning for oh yeah I see and Tola mon monate CH Chine and gray are under flash flood warning yeah so saying earlier yeah so right now we can just see these areas getting pounded right now by the northern Night wall Eastern Night wall Mr Barrel says Francine has a shot at getting retired I'm being serious about this well we we don't know yet and cuz we uh of course because we've got no information on the on if there's any casual casualties or any damage yeah wow this is unbelievable right now and I bet it's very scary for the people in Louisiana right now that are sorry about my mic cut out I'm just going to continue and then you can go ahead with what you were saying so um let's have a look what was I going I was going over the possible retirement no we don't have any image on the impacts of the storm yet any any any uh image if that makes sense and any storms impacts uh but I see what you mean by it has a shot but I'm I'm not going to say anything yet we're going to not call that yet I'm just going to read this last comment before Jose continues from not Mr popular any chance the team will do live coverage for binka when francy's gone I I mean as I said earlier the um now when binka becomes more of a threat and gets closer to land we will be going live I'll make sure I cater to the live streams correctly and try my best with these live streams with the limited time that I have to go live but of course we've got other people live live live streaming capabilities um we' got Justin and you've got Charlie but obviously I've I've been doing the recent lives right now because Nathan is on vacation I'm Jack pepper if you didn't know I'm the image Scouts um image Scouts head for Force 13 and there's another comment that's come through estimates from me is going to be around 1.4 billion to 9.8 billion well yes you could say that I'm not going to Ru that out yet though cuz I I don't want to um I don't want to talk about that over stream right yet cuz it's not the appropriate thing to talk about really while we're looking at this but I'm going to just uh sing as Jose has been wait waiting so patiently go ahead Jose and what what you wanted to say if you wanted to say anything there you are yeah sorry if I was quiet I'm I'm like doing the live stream while watching The Weather Channel at the same time and I'm just going to say right now Jim canori is getting batter by the winds right now I think he's in moreg City right now right in the um eyewall where is the eyewall right where it's going to go but whatever Channel's prominent storm chases that is yeah so yeah go ahead yeah look right now the power outes in Louisiana Louisiana is starting to Skyrocket at this point and it's not looking good I think I can either think it's like trees falling down or the wind snapping on power lines right now this poweres are starting to Skyrocket if you all want to check it's right up here poweres us you can check out you know poweres around the United States but either way um let's take a look at radar scope right now and you can just see like the force on how much winds the storm is packing if I can just take a look 90 um near 90 100 there's like strong strong strong strong winds right now this is you know very dangerous right now by the looks of things but either way like I said just please stay inside and we write it out together but yeah just right now just stay safe everyone oh yeah oh yeah one more thing please do not light up any candles inside your house or put generators because haroi will kill you please do not put any of those because I've seen I I think I heard a bunch of deaths occurring because of carbon monoxide there's also a risk of uh like any any flame that's lit inside your house if your power goes out and some gas you could have a gas leak you smell any gas do not light any fires and call fire Services immediately any sort of way you could get your way out of that situation in the safest way possible uh needs to be like prioritized now um I'm just going to switch over to some more uh Force 13 um imagery if I can there we are I'm going to refresh it so we've got that there there's the storm I'm looking at this the eye look like it's starting to get uh more like well compress itself it does not look very impressionable at all really uh now I look at it um um and I just want to check how far away the L the the um the eye is from land now because it must be getting extremely close 20 mil away from Land the eye is so we are we are coming up to landfall right now um so that way oh yes but I'm just going to say this right now um that there is like a thunderstorm coming into my area so I think I might like have a bad signal right now and my dad might be coming home so if I go quiet it's because um that signal I'm hoping my dad bring down his machines from you know his business so just letting you know right now I'm sure want to go over to Charlie I can't look at your screen at the moment I'm just checking something right now um I do you have anything to uh say right now um let me have a quick look at something like radar once again to get better look on how the northern side storm is doing as we our approaching landfall very very quickly very very quickly I'm just going to read out this comment the biggest issue is the CB lifted by land is acting like barrel with frequent gusts so people have to be careful from tree damage and power lines yeah that's what um Jose was covering earlier um the more floppy trees in the area um they they look slightly flimsy and if they and this Category 2 now uh barring in uh to and rolling away uh as they say straight into landfall as it's doing uh in the moment it will be making landfall very soon um that was one of the issues that Jose was covering the um of course the tree snapping and causing damage and like running into like all sorts of problems with that now I'm just going to go back to Charlie I'm sorry I interrupted you there you are you have the floor I have the radar up on my screen and it looks like radar oh I can't visible but on radar looks like the northern eyewall is now yeah approaching land yeah obviously land so landfall is not yet been made but once the entire decent eye that it has crosses over the coastline that will Mark landfall and is incredibly not a very it's not a very long time until landfall at all no very probably hour I would say well much sooner than that it looks like storm could make landfall in the next half an hour well in half an hour do yeah so this we'll be running this live out until this makes landfall I expect uh that's what I'm expecting uh I I do have uh I do have to go not to uh very shortly though so I'm going to push this as far as we can this stream seeing as this is a very dangerous situation currently ongoing I'm just going to see there's another comment Francine somewhat reminds me of Zeta when it comes to both hurricanes riding the shear then fighting it thoughts uh my thoughts on that I do agree um I know Zeta was much stronger though Zeta had more time to intensify um as we know as well Zeta came through the yukatan peninsula and once it came out it was immediately attached itself onto she and had had um limited time to intensify once it uh when it until it makes Land made landfall and that changed the course of the storm um but they did they were it was forecasted but changed the course to the storm and went into Louisiana and I actually believe Zeta was probably a category 3 um and much better looking than this system but still uh the storm is a category 2 it doesn't matter about um the category too much uh it does but not too much seeing as the main issue will be this storm surge that is currently ongoing right now there will be right now going on so it'll be interesting to see what that looks like from hose search but uh Jose you still there do you want to say anything to that uh before Charlie goes on no not really I mean you you two have a point about that you know with the yeah some like these tropical systems be going be attaching to um you know wind shear it just it just the same thing reminds me of barrel like you know not that long ago where when they reach category five then you know the naal naal Hurricane Center said that it's going to start running into windshire and barel was fighting back for its life against windshire like I never seen a hurricane done that before the fighting B was it was intense like like barl wanted to be wanted to be part of History barl wanted to become into the record books yeah barl barl did it barl become the first Category 5 way early beating Emily in 2005 incredible storm Barrel was but we move over back to Francine or you can see on Charlie's imagery if he wants to refresh it I'm looking at parts of the eye are over land so there are land regions currently entering the eye um and that I don't think the areas are very populated really it's very low-lying land anyway but that there would be a very high s High Surf there definitely um what's your thoughts on all of this Charlie going on right now well it's it's just not very good is it for the people living in the area especially for the people living in places like Morgan City Hummer if I've said that correctly and obviously going up towards Baton Rouge and even New Orleans with Lake pontar train as well getting some I do not know how to storm surge warnings up into that area as well but especially on the area where it's going to make landfall which is in the Delta Wildlife Management Area and places like Kuma Morgan City Franklin getting affected right along the uh front of the storm Francine is incredibly close to landfall now underneath 20 M away from landfall I'm just looking at YouTube right now wow the storm surge is insane yes um the storm surge yeah as I was saying earlier the main side of the storm surge is the Eastern side of the storm in my opinion uh obviously and I believe that's come true because of the Winds pushing it on Shore uh I know that happened with many storms like happened with Michael of course happened with shanan not too long ago and yagi so um the storm of like any storm definitely would follow those rules Charlie and Jose I you were trying to say something there sorry what were you going to say no no that's all that's all I was going to say like like you know you know sadly well you know I'm not sure if I'm allowed to show anything from YouTube but like I'm just saying when I'm just looking at it wow the storm search is insane and Jim canori right now watching The Weather Channel is getting battered just an update from Place seeing two foot inundation in Shin already yeah as I was expecting I I believe Shin's on the Eastern side of the storm and of course the flooding there it's going to be it's going to be quite High uh we did look at the um the contour maps earlier showing how low light how low the land is the land is in the region and um just just how incredible I think it is this storm I'm just refreshing this imagery here that you have on your screen this is uh here we go so this is the visible imagery it's refreshed the eye is uh well it's it's collapsing or collapsed it's coll it's not doing well at all um but yeah this storm is uh very just it's just it's surprised it surprised us all in becoming a a cat to there um I have B up in my stream now oh yeah the storm surge flooding here and as you can see the area in red which are very small will be greater than 9 ft above the areas in Orange will be greater than 6 ft areas in yellow will be greater than 33 uh 3 ft sorry and the blue areas would be greater than one foot and some areas you have to consult local officials for the flood risks but that is what is shown by the National Hurricane Center yeah we are and that that red area there the orange area it's mainly on the uh Northern side of the storm the Eastern side of the storm wherever it uh is that that one uh spark of red there you can see um that is that is of course the uh the warning that I had earlier uh for the region uh do any of you want to uh well I I just want to say that storm Ser looks like it intrudes pretty well into the coast there as I was saying of course because of the low-lying land as I've I feel like said a thousand times now any of you want to say anything else before I go ahead and read comments if there's any no but it's just it's just devastating that you know like the main power of a hurricane is storm surge and water is the number one killer in all hurricanes typ Cyclones they're they're the main they're the main killer winds are not really but it's mostly the water because yep I'm just saying like there's there's some people that can't not swim yeah or there there are people that can't swim but then you get injured you're surrounded by water you you really can't do nothing or people deciding saying oh the water is not that deep I'm just going to drive through it but then finding out your car stalls and it starts to float away it's just it's just not it's not a good idea you just you have to be you have to understand that driving through flooded water is not that easy it's it's not that easy I should not saying that but it's hard to go through because you don't know the you don't know it's one of those things that isn't at all as easy as it seems yeah that's why everyone says turn around don't drown that's the number one thing but yeah just just if water starts coming into your house just go to the highest point you can and keep yourself away from water because you don't know what's inside of the water you don't know what chemicals you won't even know if electrical electrical currents are going through it you don't even know what kind of sharp objects are in there yeah and when you say go highest point go to a point that is still uh within shelter of uh if you've got any uh tall trees or just anything that could collapse on you make sure you are you could take it over Jack yeah I can just see what Charlie is showing on his screen that eye is collap is like not stable at all anymore really it looks it's collapsed quite a bit there um and obviously that convection there is going to cause a load of rain so I'm not surprised there's a lot of inundation already uh I'm just going to take over to this ignore this bar in fact I'm just going to I'm just going to do that ignore that bar um you can see binker in the bottom in the bottom bottom left I'm just going to update this this FR scen imagery here that we have on the front this is what it looks like it's going to yeah that blow up is like crazy yeah the blow up is having Overland there well thunder in my area not a good thing oh yeah there's some there it's because I probably because of this um frontal system that's stuck with bar stuck with frine the entire time it was moving up the coast up the coast of Texas into Louisiana right now yeah well I'm just going to say for anyone who's new into watching the live we're currently covering hurricane Francine as it rolls away uh heading straight for landfall in Louisiana we've been covering this storm for around 2 and a half hours um we're expecting landfall very very soon uh I've just got the uh latest infrared imagery for the storm loop from Force 13 and you can see uh tropical storm binka down in the bottom left if anyone's interested in seeing what that looks like well our main focus today is Francine anyway uh it's currently a category 2 now which is surprised us all it does not look very good uh for a category 2 but there is Recon confirm confirmed 100 milph we're going for and 971 mbars if anyone wants to join us for any tropical weather chat um in future about these storms there is a Discord server you can join I believe is Discord uh Discord gForce 13 um for all sorts of tropical weather chat you can uh engage with us and engage with the weather community and um if anyone wants to ask any of us here on the live any questions just um say in the live chat at Force 13 and write your question after that in text and we will get to your question as soon as we can if we don't get to your question send it again and we'll be able to I'm sure we'll be able to get to it after that um now I'm I'm going to go ahead and pan over here and look over at what uh what Jose is looking at if Jose's looking at anything it's just loading but yeah I'm looking at what you're looking at Jose this is the Velocity Radar and precipitation radar right what what uh are you seeing with this pretty much it's like the same as always a lot of precipitation I think I accidentally turned off up yeah that explains why I'm not seeing no warnings right now but just turned off um because I was screen recording this to save it in my computer but yeah as you can see right now there is still flash flood warnings for these areas and I think there might be more considering later on because the amount of rain this is dropping but mostly you could see on the right side oh no wonder is okay there we go you could see on the right side like you can see those almost light darkish pink uh dark U peaches and bluish this is just showing like um how intense the winds are in around the eyewall but I believe that the strongest parts of the iall are now on the Northern side yeah which is battery Morgan City at this point um I did hear I did hear some confirm when of 60 ingan City yeah stor is Bing that area I'm just going to pause you there for one moment we've got a comment uh it does say uh what are the wave heights by chance well I I would be able to take an estimate for that because we we I don't think we know the wave heights right now but the estimate for that uh I could tell you is the highest wave height I'm estimating is probably somewhere between uh 8 feet and 9 ft as as the storm s said and definitely well we um well it's the it's the Eastern side of the storm as I've said that is the main focus um of this storm surge I'm just going to go back to Jose what were you saying apologies for the interruption there you are you're good don't worry well I'm just saying that um that Morgan City they did clock like 60 M hour winds but I feel like it may go higher as you know FR scene starts to continue on Shore for a second I thought the NAC called landfall cuz I did got a uh uh a notification from the NCC but it wasn't that but my heart dropped right when I saw it I was like oh shoot not good oh I'm just checking how far away from land at is closest 7.7 miles and um where it's expected to make landfall where and where we expect it to make landfall it's about 15 miles away now so we're halfway in from where it used to be before I believe the storm's moving a lot quicker than it was before the storm is his movement is probably approaching 20 mph Northeast now at 40° as Charlie showed us earlier now speaking of Charlie we haven't uh we haven't spoken to Charlie in a bit so I'm just going to check if we don't okay we're just going to go straight to Charlie Charlie I'm looking at your screen now once it loads there we are what do you want to say is this updated now or you have anything else to say I can update the visible as much as I can but yeah that Northern iall is literally crossing over the coastline now and it's pretty much on the coast if not in land land landfall is very much upon us yeah and anyone in the area make sure that all of your safety precautions have been met by now because otherwise it will be too late yeah I think it's too late now already like late so you've you've really got to be careful with the situation you're in like if you're in a car right now please please get into a sheltered area with the car and be very careful with it because these winds aren't messing around like they could be falling trees anywhere and of course the flooding and everything is so unbelievably dangerous in the area where the storm is heading I'm just going to run back over to Jose screen seeing is there's interesting radar that um he was looking at and I just see he's still on for you guys yeah since the yeah since it mostly it change directions now it's going to be mostly um a camera here it looks like they showing there was one here it' be great if there was a camera that's weird it's literally saying there's a camera right there but these numbers it just indicates there's a camera right there and I'm looking at it be like that this is the one we were just looking at earlier but it's down but I don't know what's up here there's no camera I'm just seeing a spiking view is there so I'd just like to say if anyone's just new here we are tracking Francine hurricane Francine it's on the cust with landfall right now probably going to make landfall in the next 20 minutes or so this is a extremely dangerous situation for the for the area right here uh my name is Jack pepper I'm in the um image Scout Studio we've got we also joined by Charlie in the short studio and uh over in Florida we have Jose here um we're looking right now I'm looking at Jose's screen this is um Jose showing velocity r and uh the precipitation radar on the left there um yeah I don't notice anything different from the last time we we saw obviously but yeah mostly everything is still the same besides you know the high getting closer and closer yeah so we are very close to landf right on the cusp of it uh yeah there you are you can see some land has already entered the eye and um I just I just because I feel like Charlie hasn't said much I'd just like to go over to Charlie I'm still looking at um Jose's Jose's screen I just like to go to Charlie Charlie what uh do you have anything else to say before I go ahead and read this really really really quick I'm so sorry I'm gonna go quiet for a moment CU my Dad's here so I'm gonna go help him out so I'll be right back um yeah I'm looking at the infrared imagery and how there a huge burst of convection right on landfall inside the northern eyewall huge bur of conection right on the coast right there we are that was Jose screen let's go over to Charlie screen loading now oh yeah that's that as we were showing earlier yeah so the ey is the ey is collapsed on infared imagery completely yes but that burst is still continuing so that would cause a load of rain so that would be that that is that is incredible I will up the precipitation IM uh things or the rainfall potent no not the rainall potential the precipitation gra accumulation that's the one uh the storm is currently a um uh the storm is currently a um Category 2 100 milph uh 971 mbars I'm just going to see if there's any more comments while Charlie as a look at what he's fixing uh oh sorry I didn't specify I meant the in individual Crest significant Heights with what was that noise the blowing wind in the same direction causing the storm surge I believe GFS is looking at it's 20 25 ft over water yeah um I mean probably yeah we haven't actually looked at that yet um we're going off of what we've got here I'm just showing the screens of the team that's here as well and also a moment of lovely says NHC has no waves height on the gulf but four oh that's basically 2 to 4 feet height waves measured in land across the coast of Louisiana Louisiana yeah and someone also says I there wasn't a ping but someone says Francine could cause a tornado outbreak I just want to say that is possible because of uh the fact that we saw that comment earlier um do it like and it was correct like that uh the fact that storm Storm's movement is like very very quick quick right now that does have something to settle in with that fact uh Charlie you're you're looking now at the precipitation um accumulation yes obviously it has dropped as storm is hitting that Shia but yeah obviously that doesn't mean you're not going to get any rainfall you're still going to get it looks like 8 to 10 mm inside the northern side where the storm's currently well the Iowa is currently passing over land in fact I wonder how close yeah the iew wall is not just but in a couple maybe about 10 or 20 minutes we'll close towards Morgan City and Huma I just want to mention um it's just updated 13 miles away from landfall it looks like uh right there and there's also a tiny little island uh which could even be a land for but it won't it won't count as one it's so small 8.1 miles away from there and then 13 miles away from the expected landfall location the nearest land to it um but however is some uh a little uh splurt of land that comes off with all sorts of uh Rivers like tiny Rivers micro Rivers inside of it 7.8 mil away it's from that um but they're expecting landfall uh at 13 miles away and that is very close to 12 miles away as well so that's gone from 20 miles uh to 15 miles and now we're at 13 miles so it's moving extremely quick and once this storm makes landfall we'll have that we'll get that straight to you and give you all the info where we can for it I'm just going to have a look here uh Sammy says will Pensacola Florida receive tropical storm Force wins um well uh you are just near a um a tropical storm warning so I I don't I don't think tropical storm winds are exactly forecast but the storm's influence is quite large so you might get like um tropical storm gust maybe even uh on the on the edge of hurricane gusts wind sustained winds for you though I don't I I don't think is a worry at the moment we'll uh but we'll keep you posted if you're joining anywhere from there just let us know in the comments um Charlie I'll go back to you what what would what were you saying uh if I go back over to your screen there we are up the radar quickly up the radar the radar um let's pull up on the side of windy here so as you can see hold on just one moment I'm oh yeah I'm going to go and um I'm I'm just going to go for a quick break for five minutes I'll be back in just a moment um go ahead Charlie all right I'll continue this so the northern eyewall as oh there's a lightning strike that just happened then however the northern eyewall as you can see is literally making landfall well no the storm isn't making landfall but nor I was passing over in land now away from the coast uh this is the latest radar imagery I can find um I hope the stream is on my screen I do not know if it is it is okay I can show you this through various thingss in fact we can see how high the waves are in this area they don't seem I don't know how this quite outdated I think the storm landfall is right around the corner not even around the corner it is in about 10 20 minutes not very far away at all I am back um hello I've just received word I believe Mor will be joining us as well uh here he is he'll be giving some more info if my has anything else to say um and he's just joined now uh so Moray have you got anything to show on your screen if you want to pull up a screen uh while we're looking at Charlie's screen right now um yes so I am going to iminent right now looking like about 15 20 minutes away right now so here we are my SC screen go ahead okay so here is the microwave imagery you see up to landfall and this system has continued to has continued to improve on the microwave imagery up until landfall which is imminent at the moment you can see the the areas of of Maximum maximum radiation or the maximum p brightness temperature is weakening a little bit on the western side so I I'm not sure exactly what that means but it it could just mean because it's interacting with land so it's having Le a harder time dealing with the Sea Service temperatures which of course makes sense I mean most storms do weaken before landfall and that's what we're seeing here uh anyways this system looks like at the moment let me just present a different screen uh this system at the moment looks like it is going to make landfall probably near it looks like it's going to make landfall near this peninsula right here let me just turn off the this peninsula right here near Four League Bay four League Bay in the mosquito gas field and the atalaya Delta Wildlife Management Area this isn't a very populated area however this will pass very close to Morgan City which is a populated area so everybody there might enter into the eye which isn't too much of an ey as this is just a category 2 but it's still enough to resemble a hurricane and right now they are in the major winds right now you can see wins over here here this is in me/ second so I'll convert the measurements later but I believe this is around that is around 90 miles hour so that would be expected maybe 100 thank you Mari for that run over um I'm just looking at what this says as well uh a black screen for some reason scen but there we are now it should be working now I don't know why that happened uh but well we look at that I'm going to go ahead and move over to there we are some visible imagery of the system cuz I'm just uh um I'm just checking out this uh system right now um and I've got something ready for when there we are for when um for when this updates it shouldn't be too long actually just checking this okay there we are so I'm just um I'm just ready for when this storm eventually makes landfall now uh yep does anyone want to go ahead and run over a few things right now CU I'm focusing pretty hard right now and I can't try my best to get some words out I'll move over to your screen now Charlie if you want to say anything all right I am back I sorry yeah I'm back oh we have a comment I am curious with the surge essentially hitting near the Mississippi River mouth could that technically pushed enough cause higher levels yeah I mean that that that could be Banks bur slightly but this is Charlie screen I'm looking at right now this is the radar Jose is also back it has not made landfall yet but it's very close so um thought I missed it yeah uh Charlie is looking at uh this is the radar the storm is extremely close to landfall like very close I just I just want to say that is if I go ahead and look look at how close that is the storm is oh my gosh the storm is 5 miles away from landfall guys that's breaking news 5 miles from landfall this storm is moving extremely quickly getting much closer to the coast uh Jose do you want to say anything I'm going to look at your screen now that you've just come back uh what are your thoughts right now I'm looking at your screen very it's very surprising um to say how Francine managed to rap well I shouldn't say rapidly intensified but like intensified like at the last you know couple hours before landfall like right now like you just say five five miles away from landfall this you know Francy could um make history but we we don't who knows what fry can make his three for but yet again after you know Ida Laura and other major hurricanes that hit Louisiana before but like you know they're all different they're all different all hurricanes typon Cyclones are are very different different personalities different strength different pressures different looking different frine is different yeah right now you know Francine is now category two yeah which all of us hours ago were just saying we we don't doesn't look like Francine or make category two because you know uh wind shear 40 50 knots yeah it did surprise us yeah I just want to go ahead and check Mar do you want to say anything more on the stor if you're there I can go over to your screen one thing I do want to note the impacts of this storm will not be finished after it makes landfall as is with all but especially not with this storm as into the night we are expecting more storm surge to Pile in especially a lot of flooding even as far inland into Jackson Mississippi and parts of Memphis Tennessee we're expecting some flooding to occur in some way or form and of course the tornado thread which will still be present today and a little bit into tomorrow but most for most most part today all of these threats will continue as we move on past landfall so landfall does not mean that everything is going to end that is never what it means yeah and we're still um I don't know if the natural Hurricane Center is still forecasting that kind of a stall over the plains which is not not like a good thing to hear stall because with you know stalling that means more rain dumping and dumping and dumping causing flash floods it's just something we don't want to hear yeah because okay let's take it back seven years ago like I said hurricane Harvey one of the historic hurricanes I've seen so far dumping 64 Ines of rain installed for like what two to one days right I think it was two to one days and then looking at Dorian Dorian did the same thing will not rain but as a category 5 over Grand Bahama for 36 hours stalling it's just different types of Stallings with system there's the ones with the rainfall other ones with staying in the same strength for hours and hours and stalling over one place that's something we do we do not want to see and mostly in Francine if they're forecasting a stalling over the planes we're talking about big flood problems yeah if you guys want to take over you can um yes oh and sorry for cutting you off um myy by the way sorry if I cut you off I was just saying ex exactly what you said like the flooding flooding is probably going to be um exponential in those areas uh of course it's not going to be to the levels of Harvey or Dorian well maybe Dorian but not to the level of Harvey I don't think but it's still going to be a lot of rainfall I think we're expecting maybe up to 10 Ines I have to look at the forecast again uh it looks somewhere around that range I have to see MH yeah yeah it looks like we have about 12 in 12 Ines in Louisiana and then further up into the Memphis region we have about 5 in so it's a bit very big difference there but we have about 12 in in southern parts of Louisiana moving up into Mississippi we have about 7 in and then moving up into the Memphis area we have about five Ines so that is still a great amount of R lanf fall oh wait there was a report of tropical sand clone um there was Max sustained winds of 43 and a gust of 58 m per hour recorded in New Orleans in New Orleans so yeah the impacts are actually there's tropical storm impacts being felt in New Orleans that that does mean that yeah like I said I probably you weren't here like like I said earlier like a while ago I think um Jack and Charlie remember that the conditions are going to be felt outside it's not it's not always going to be focused in the center but it's going to be outside her tropical storm Force wins can extend miles and there can be impacts miles away even if they're not even close to the center there you can see like already a report of of of a 58 G in a 43 mph sustain um sustained winds in New Orleans I mean even a weak trop storm can have a pretty extensive Windfield take Alto for example it's it was all the way close to the Mexican border I mean Coastline and it was producing tropical storm winds in Southern Texas well people go saying Francine is 90 knots just had a look and I can now confirm francen is intensified to 90 knots so the storm once we when we were fought thinking this storm is weakening it's now 90 knots we gone up to 105 mph now 105 yeah so is there data no way y 105 land yeah bro how much is this storm going to give us goodness bro this storm does not want yeah when I said that the storm usually storm is weaken right as they make landfall I don't think that's one of those cases no like this was a was for this is a storm that was forecast to weaken as it was approaching landfall and now we're seeing it intensifi wow in 15 windsh as well how many miles away from landfall is it right now uh I can check that for you the landfall is looks like it's um uh let me check the center I believe five miles five miles yeah five yeah I got five it's still five miles okay wow it's it's actually surprising it's 4.5 but you can round that to five 4.5 miles and be in mind this storm is moving very quickly the movement is very fast I I was expecting landfall earlier in like to be fair but now it's just imminent it looks like this is going to be a 22z landfall and oh I'm sorry to interrup but there was yeah going then um there was another 49 M hour sustained winds near H or near boo Kane Louisiana I just like um uh here we are uh breaking news now in from National Hurricane Center hurricane Francine has just made landfall in L Louisiana breaking news front scene has made landfall 105 mph storm 970 M bars Louisiana being battered right now as this storm rolls away making landfall just near Homer just to the South uh anyone have a take on that it's uh National Hurricane Center have announced land cool it's it's it's crazy how this storm decid and there goes another report but I'm going just finish off it's it's surprising how this storm decides to show us one last of her Peak before landfall yeah it's just crazy like like this storm does not like want to just say oh this is how much I'm going to be but then decides to put on one more show before it's final before final landfall and boom 105 another Peak I'd just like to say for the people that have joined I'll go ahead say I mean I mean earlier on it almost looked like this storm was going to be a quote unquote bust because it was staying at 65 miles hour for so long it looked like it wasn't even going to near the initial forecast intensity oh i' just like to say for people who have just joined us um from Francine has indeed just made landfall um in Louisiana a category 2 right now 105 mph 970 mbars uh I did you did uh hear me I said it um just a moment ago this is incredible storm the way it's intensified that quickly now storm surge is the main issue in my opinion and flooding the fact that this this terrain here is very low Ling um which uh does not at all mitigate the fact that the storm surge is fairly high in some regions and definitely if you're looking at that rain on Jose's screen there just on my on the screen there that rain on the left side is huge for the northern side of the iall which is the side that is unfortunately on land at the moment uh the storm is is actually Homer is just entering the storm's eye it looks like and new or will be entering the eyeball shortly the storm's moving 20 mph Northeast at uh I believe 35 degrees now uh 45 45 degrees now um go ahead yeah he's he's trying to stand like he's he's trying to stand but n those Wing gust are insane if anyone doesn't know who Jim canor is he's one of the weather channels prominent Storm Chasers that goes into storm to do storms to document them uh just uh as we're saying here if you guys want to ask us any questions we're we're about to be going off off uh off the air well now that we know it's made landfall we just want to explain some final points before uh the storm continues on uh through the state does anyone want to ask any questions uh just tag us at at 413 and all in text and we'll we'll reply to your text in the live chat um very soon if anyone wants to talk about this storm in more depth we do have a a public Discord server discord.gg force3 to go and check out our tropical weather chat and this is a very serious situation here for um the residents of uh H New Orleans and that part of Southeastern Louisiana and of course even Baton Rouge could be battered by huge uh rains as the storm heads straight over and batam Rouge I believe is the state capital if uh if I'm not mistaken yeah that's correct yes it is yeah so um even even there it's just that um that one part of Louisiana that sticks out down to the east Southeast is being battered by the storm right now uh I I strongly encourage uh people in this area to Bunker down and um and keep safe as we're about to go off the air does anyone else have their final thoughts I'll start we'll we'll ask for everyone's final thoughts I'll go along through everyone I'm going to start with hose aing as we're looking at his screen right now um yeah do you have any final thoughts on this system after we go off the air now that this has made landfall yeah I'm going just say that this is one of the most interesting and most like shocking hurricane I ever you know tracked that you know decides to you know make its last Peak before landfall and then now making landfall and getting that Peak right at the almost at the same time but either way I'm going to get to the point just please like I said over and over stay away from flood waters this storm is not done it's still going to bring tropical storm and hurricane force winds up along but until then like right there as it starts to weakend chopal storm force winds will still be strong into the plains but mostly it's the rainfall that's going to be the issue if it's still like I said if NHC is still forecasting that stall over the planes rainfall is going to be issue so please do not drive do not walk or do not swim because you don't know what's inside you don't know how deep it is but yet again please stay away from Waters stay away from down trees stay away from down power lines keep keep each other safe because we will get through this right now it's made landfall it's it start to on its weakening Trend but please like I said stay safe I'm just going to say we've got some um comment here from Al Hurricane Al nebron how fast is it moving I believe it's moving 20 mph to the Northeast at 45° Charlie said it was 45° a minute yes oh 17 miles hour sah plays says hwf and HF HFA have been very consistently aggressive for binka for your information near the Japanese ryuku Islands I believe you mean just so just concern yeah I do know um we will be having coverage on binka uh as well in the near the near future as well for when this thing happens but this storm is very incredible that we're looking at now Francine um and I'm looking at Charlie screen Charlie do you have any final notes before we go off the air uh any recommendations for anyone nearby that haven't been mentioned already this really fast there was a report of uprooted trees or snapped or blown so there you are were saying earlier already reported of snap trees please stay away from any tall flimsy things like trees and all sorts so Charlie go ahead what you what are your thoughts um yeah at the moment obviously there's nothing you could do to prepare now it's now me landville and effects will continue to the storm passes it will weaken from this point onwards due to sheer land and dry air all together so it will takeing tumble down in intensity that doesn't mean it won't be affecting in the areas obviously flash flooding Storm surges and stuff that um Jose said like tree snapping and you know possibly landing on buildings or any sort of areas that could collapse upon you make sure you're in a sturdy environment that is not too bendy or you know soft or any sort of thing that could be destroyed or damaged from wind water flooding rain Etc is that uh should I move on now I I I think I might move on to my now I'm going to look at Mor's screen seeing as my has a screen uh Mori do you have any final final uh words about this storm uh before we go off the air um anything you'd like to say this storm has managed to surprise all of us it definitely is a storm to note for the 2024 hurricane season and we're hoping that this is the last big storm of the season but it doesn't it does seem unlikely with other storms coming nearby however this storm in itself will still be remembered by the people in Louisiana as it made a category 2 landfall and never gave up on intensifying however now is when it will give up since it the wind shear and the dry air will cause the storm to start to Tumble down in intensity this storm is nearly finished we just have to get through a little more and then we'll be we'll be done with the system thank you Mar I'm going to move on to Zeta Zeta um you're joining us from Ohio uh what what are your thoughts on this system you've joined not this has been a really interesting storm to track from from when it was first designated as a area of interest in the at in the all the way even in the open Atlantic the main development region and it took so long to get organized after Crossing into the Bay of kiche from the yukatan peninsula so technically this storm has lived a long life and now we're finally seeing it come to fruition and here we are at its peak of Category 2 intensity and I hope everyone is staying safe right now yeah so now that we've got a final word out from the team I'd just like to say thank you all of my team for tonight that joined me on this live stream and helping with commentary uh really appreciated I'm just going to uh say one thing this storm surge I've said this so many times and I cannot say it enough the low-lying land is very very prone to this High storm surge now seeing as this place is being hit by this uh this land the flooding is going is going to be catastrophic so especially if if even without storm surge the storm is quite a uh it's got quite a lot of rain on its northern side there as you can see on Jose stream and I just I just um like to say goodbye to everyone uh thank you for joining us on the stream serious situation so uh keep keep uh keep tracking this if you're nearby hope you guys have managed to uh well managed to conclude your your uh preparations properly uh during this stream uh and