6 BOLD Predictions for the 2024 NFL Season! Matty Kiwoom's Fantasy Football Hot Takes

Intro welcome students of South Harmon please take your seats and get ready for today's lesson in seasonal League dominance we're getting bold today folks we are getting blue diamond almond kind of bold Wasabi and soy is my favorite but we are going bold and I love bold take day because you take what you you believe you know the research you've done you put it out there but you turn it up to 11 so we're getting real bold today I got six bold takes for the 2024 season but before I get in to today's lesson make sure you are subscribed to the South Harman FF YouTube channel head over to South Harman ff.com to pick up everything the boys are putting down and make sure you're ready to smash that like button and go ahead and leave a comment if you have a question concern anything leave it in the comment section and we will get right to it students of South Harmon today's lesson has begun [Music] Yeah final round fight finish him bold take number one Isaiah Pacho is Isiah Pacheco Elite in 2024 a top three running back in fantasy football this year let's start with his current role with the Chiefs shall we he projects right now to be a three down back I don't care about the signing of samaj J perine will he be there for depth in the passing game sure but he wasn't part of the plans a couple weeks ago and he's hardly part of the plans now Isaiah Pacho is going to be a three down back for the Kansas City Chiefs and when you look at this depth chart now with with samaj P there it's still really not that strong behind Pacho you have of course cheeks Clyde Edward aair Carson steel initially made the 53 and then Sam RJ perine clear runway for Isaiah Peko to absolutely take off in a big way in 2024 if he is the that three down back which I believe he will take over what does that mean for peo well that's going to mean right around 200 225 plus carries uh he had 205 last year and McKinnon had a fair share of course Clyde Edwards H had a smattering of of carries so the lead back can project him for anywhere 220 plus um last year Isaiah peo had 50 Red Zone touches on his own so you can expect that number to go up in 2024 and you can also expect a three down back for the Kansas City Chiefs to see 70 plus targets there was 81 between Isaiah Peko and Jerick McKinnon last year of course Isaiah peo has already proved that he's #g good at foosball last year he had nine total touchdowns he had 895 yards created that was top 12 he had 11 runs of 15 or more yards that was also top 12 in the league and he averaged 15.3 fantasy points per game he was running back 14 and now as a lead back he will smash in this offense because you know when we look for running backs in fantasy we're looking for a few things we're looking for a guy who gets you know the guaranteed touches in first second down or we're looking for a guy who gets goal line work or we're looking for a guy who has abilities in the passing game the ability to make catches cheeks checks all of those B boxes and that is why bold take number one Isaiah Pacho top three running back in fantasy football Garrett Wilson Ascension to ELITE bold take number two numero do Garrett Wilson leads the NFL in receiving yards Garrett Wilson has been an absolute stud in his first two professional Seasons he's had a combined 315 targets 1178 catches and 2,145 receiving yards he's gone over a rack both of his years as a pro but really the production is there but the the fantasy numbers haven't been there it really hasn't translated to Fantasy dominance he's really he been that can be contributed to the fact that he doesn't really catch a lot of touchdowns in this Jets offense uh offense seven total touchdowns over his first two years uh he's averaged 12.6 fantasy points per game which on average has been wide receiver 31 again we know he's good but it hasn't LED to Fantasy production why you may be asking now if you play Fantasy Football you know damn well why he hasn't been dominant in fantasy it's because the quarterbacks he has played with in the NFL I'm going to go ahead and list the six quarterbacks that he's caught balls from Zach Wilson Joe flacko and this is Joe this is before Joe flacko emerging as a good quarterback for Cleveland this is bad Joe flacko Mike White who just got cut uh couldn't even become the quarterback to in Miami Trevor Simeon Tim Bole and someone named Chris shrier Sher I don't know his name he played that one game he's from like Canada he ran around and he wore fur coat or whatever but he ain't good at throwing the ball to gett Wilson now now folks gett Wilson has not only a good quarterback on his team and in his offense hopefully he has a full season of a poent a first ballot Hall of Fame quarterback we're hoping of course bers cross that Aaron Rogers can stay healthy after only playing what three or four snaps last year uh got her on Monday night football against Jill which is a sick joke NFL putting him back on Monday night football against Nick Bosa and the ners come on but anyway we're expecting a full season from A-Rod and what does that mean well let's look at the connection between Rogers and Devonte Adams his wide receiver one in Green Bay anytime that Devonte Adams saw 100 and 100 plus Targets this is how he's finished with Aaron Rogers 12th 8th 1 6th 1 and second he is a perennial fantasy monster so with Aaron Rogers he has a new monster in Garrett Wilson and when we look at the strength of schedule metrics over on fantasy pros our friends over at fantasy pros you see that the Jets have the seventh best schedule for wide receivers Garrett Wilson has paid his dues folks to the fantasy gods and in 2020 4 he gets blessed from the fantasy football Heavens having a healthy Aaron roders all year long and that is exactly why bold take number two Garrett Wilson leads the NFL in receiving yards bold take number three Brian Robinson over King Henry? sit down for this one folks Brian Robinson outscores the king Derek Henry on his way to being a running back one in fantasy football the running back situation seems seems murky in Washington but for the B robbers and that's what we're called We're called the B robbers now uh we're just loving the value that we're seeing in drafts because of Austin Eckler um this is a a new offense it's being run by a new offensive coordinator Cliff Kingsbury and this is what Cliff Kingsbury had to say about Brian Robinson Rob is he's a you know he's a number one back in this league there's no doubt I mean he's I think after this season he stays healthy people Rec ize what he can do in the Run game and the pass game and uh some of those young guys are coming on and then to have Coach Lyn coaching that room working with those guys who's been a head coach who's been an office coordinator it's been fantastic um to watch that group grow yeah it's similar to having a quarterback that extend the play and get in that second second phase it's it doesn't have to be blocked perfectly for him to finish downhill and and that that's huge and he takes a lot of pride in that and he's a physical Runner and um so yeah I've been very impressed with his style of play and the way he's handled everything thus far he also sang the Praises of Austin Eckler but signs that you know when you're looking at last season the SS are pointing that Austin Eckler is just the day his best days are behind him uh and if you want to go check out an in-depth analysis on Austin Eckler go over to the South Harmon fantasy football YouTube channel and find my grenade whistle lesson uh on this channel and you'll see exactly why I am believing the narrative that he is not a lead back anymore but Brian Robinson is and Brian Robinson folks is good last year he was seventh in yards created per touch he was 12th in total uh running back touchdowns and his Breakaway run rate his Miss tackle rate and his Juke rate all of those are very encouraging and they point to a player that is productive as a running back and as a rusher in the NFL last year he also had a 1.11 wins over replacement that was 16th highest amongst running backs Brian Robinson has shown an incredible Evolution as a pass catcher rookie year he had nine catches last year 36 as a rookie he had 60 receiving yards that's it last year 367 receiving yards also last year he had an 83.7% catch rate a 1.72 yards per route run and a 10.2 yards per reception all of those metrics were top seven amongst NFL Running Backs winning in fantasy football ball means betting on particular takes I'm betting very big on BR I I think that makes me the the president of the B Robert crew I think it does and B Robinson this year is going to have a great 2024 season matter of fact that's exactly why bull tag number three is Brian Robinson is not only a running back one in fantasy but he also outscores the king Derek Henry bold take number CJ Stroud Cold Water Bath four CJ stoud finishes as the third highest quarterback for Fantasy in the AFC South okay it's going to take a second going to take a second to let it settle in but let's take some time to unpack exactly what that means okay obviously it means that two other quarterbacks in the division outscore stoud so Anthony Richardson will Lev and Trevor Lawrence two of those guys outperform Stroud in fantasy football so let's look at those quarterbacks Anthony Richardson he's being picked about 10 to 12 picks higher than stoud on Underdog which means the sharps out there are already on board with one QB finishing higher than CJ strout in the division we all know why that is I mean Anthony Richardson possesses tremendous upside given his ability to rush the football his size his athleticism is quite unique one of the most athletic quarterbacks of all time he has good weapons in Indianapolis he has Michael Pitman of course they just drafted ad Mitchell Alec Pierce Josh DS Jonathan Taylor there are weapons for the Colts also factor in that he has a very gifted and a offensive-minded head coach those are the driving force to our belief that Anthony Richardson is in for a big 2024 season and why Anthony Richardson is being drafted on Underdog right now ahead of CJ shroud so that's one potential quarterback outscoring shroud let's look at the other two CU we only need one now of the other two if the consensus is that one is projected to finish higher then we just need one of the other two right right so let's look at will Levis the investment around Levis ranks a top it's at the top of the NFL I mean they have gone out and they have turned their efforts up to a million to make sure that will Levis has all the tools to succeed as an NFL quarterback they hired a successful former offensive coordinator as his new head coach they put a heavy investment in the offensive line taking two offensive linemen in the first round each of the last two years um they've added not one not two but three Playmakers in the passing game they have added Calvin Ridley Tyler Boyd and Tony Pard he has the third best strength of schedule for quarterbacks in fantasy football the road isn't that difficult there aren't big hurdles for him to climb to have a good season in his sophomore year and the other quarterback in the division Trevor Lawrence Trevor Lawrence has low-key rushing upside um he's averaging more than 300 rushing yards in his three years as a pro um they there are there have been improvements to the Jaguars passing attack and more specifically they've made Investments uh to the offense in terms of the skills uh that best suit Trevor Lawrence as a passer you know his strengths as a passer are being um highlighted here by the Acquisitions that they've made this off season and of course I'm talking about Trevor Lawrence throwing the ball deep last year Trevor Lawrence was fifth in deep uh deep ball attempts eighth in air yards per attempt he was seventh in money throws eighth in deep ball accuracy rating so we know he's good at throwing the football but he hasn't had the weapons to really convert on a consistent basis deep down the field so the Jaguars went out and they added Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr both of those are big play over the-middle deep type receivers guys that can go up and get it guys that have speed and with Brian Thomas we saw him have seven touchdowns last year at seven at LSU of 25 plus yards so the Deep ball threat pair that up with Trevor Lawrence's ability to throw the ball deep this is a recipe for success and last year despite the woses for the Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence and fantasy he was still 12th in wins over replacement stoud was 13 there's a road in which we've seen Trevor Lawrence be more valuable in fantasy in our 1 QB standard home leagues this is what we're talking but the best schedule for quarterbacks in fantasy according to Fantasy Bros that belongs to Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguar so we're talking about again not big hurdles for him to clear to have a great 2024 campaign and this is not an indictment on Stroud by any means although I do think he is getting drafted a bit too high I blew the whistle on that grenade in a past video but it's really not about putting stoud down it's really just being pretty excited about all the quarterbacks in the AFC South so I got to ask is that bold enough for you is bold take number four is it bold enough CJ strad finishes third amongst fantasy quarterbacks in in the AFC South bold take number five Bijan Robinson 2.0+ WoRP bejan Robinson goes from a 1.26 warp to over a 2.0 warp now let's take a look at exactly what that means for our traditional seasonal League I'm talking about the PPR one QB no tight end premium what does his wins over replacement look like what does a 2.0 warp look like for us seasonal drafters that's going to mean about 250 plus carries 36 more than he got last year 60 plus catches he had 58 he's pretty much knocking on that door already he's going to push 2,000 allpurpose yards he's going to need to score 15 total TDS get eight last year and he's going to probably average he's going to have to average around 24 25 fantasy points per contest he had 14 and a half so we need a big jump but this is the type of guy to do and for some more additional context to the 2.0 warp club last year that was only uh that that membership with was just one it was just Christian mcaffrey this year bejon Robinson joins the 2.0 club and how is he going to get there folks well we're going to start with his new coaching staff new head coach new offensive coordinator both of those guys come from the Shawn McBay the LA Rams system who traditionally lean on one running back Kiren Williams in 2023 with Zack Robinson as his offensive coordinator he was fourth in Opportunity share and first in a snap share the team ran the 12th most run plays per game it's what we want to see in Atlanta this year for bejon Robinson and bejon quite frankly is just one of the most gifted running backs we've seen in the last 5 to 10 years when he came out of the University of Texas in his rookie campaign we saw 58 catches love that 5.4 yards per touch 63 overall evaded tackles and 1,041 yards created all of those metrics top 10 in the NFL the marriage of a new staff with beon is absolutely perfect last year beon was 19th in total carries and 32 in Red Zone carries we expect those numbers to go up exponentially in 2024 with these new coaches um the increase in rushing volume uh while he maintains uh his passing work is what is going to clear the path for beon to become that two type player super valuable in fantasy football obviously but even last year he was a great pass catcher we saw as a rookie second in running back route participation rate and third in running back Target share so as long as he continues to maintain the work in the passing game and he gets that volume increase that something similar to what Kiren saw last year bejon Robinson is going to destroy we have a new coaching staff that is going to cater their offense and run it through aan Robinson and on the other hand we have a play here who is truly special who's great in the passing game and we know is an effective rusher and sometimes you got something in one hand got something other hand and you just got to do what the great philosopher Joey chani said once upon a time put those hands together and when that happens this year bejon Robinson is going to SM SM SM SM Smash in fantasy football and that's why my bold tag number five was bejon Robinson joins the 2.0 wins over replacement Club the sixth Kyle Pitts Sad Trombone and final bold take in today's lesson Kyle pittz Kyle Pitts what am I going to say about Kyle pittz Kyle pittz is not a top 12 tight end in fantasy football right now he's currently being selected as tight end 8 on major fantasy football platforms and if we're taking the draft at face value we need to see or I need to see or the community to see however you want to phrase it four tight ends that are being drafted after Kyle Pitts have to outperform him to get him outside of the top 12 so how are we going to get there how am I going to get there for this bold take well I got a bunch of guys I want to talk about here at the position that are being drafted after Kyle Pitts that could and I believe will perform better than Kyle pits start with David njoku tight end six in 2023 he was fifth in tight end wins over replacement and he was number one in Yak amongst NFL tight ends this is a guy being drafted at the Kyle pits that for sure can be better than pits in fantasy football the next tight end Jake Ferguson which is going to make a lot of people puke in their mouths but let's look at Jake Ferguson folks tight end n last year uh La also last year Ferg's War his wins over replacement was higher than pits so he was a better he was more valuable than Pitts last year he's already done this he projects to have a major role in a Cowboys offense and last year having that big role he was number one amongst qualified tight ends in Red Zone Target so Jake Ferguson could be that guy drafted after pits that outperforms him in fantasy as well this next tight end shares a lot of similarities with Kyle pittz Brock Bowers he's the best tight end prospect that we have seen since Kyle pittz came out in Georgia they constructed their Championship winning offense around him when he was just a freshman some times we have to take a step back and realize how good and how special players are I know expectations get put on these players projections get put out there but we have to realize that the Georgia Bulldogs and their Championship offense saw this guy at 18 years old and said we have to design an offense that caters this skill and the Raiders well they've kind of picked up where the Georgia Bulldogs left off we've seen him used all over the place in the pre-season and quite frankly the guy like Brock Bowers his ceiling is as high as almost any tight end in the the NFL and let's look at 2023 it's hard to not say that the rookies in the 2023 class reset the expectations that we should have for rookie tight ends in fantasy football and when you take all that in and you also add in the fact that the Raiders have the second best tight end strength of schedule according to fantasy pros Brock Bowers is another tight end that could outproduce Kyle Pitts that's being drafted after Kyle pittz and then of course you have to factor in the field every other tight end your Pat fry mots your TJ hawson who's on the pup he's out four weeks but he will be back Dalton Schultz is in a high-powered offense if he's the touchdown catcher this year in fantasy H any tight end that catches a shitload of touchdowns they have the the chance to get inside that top 12 further pushing Kyle Pitts down the ladder the football world again will be left at the alar of Kyle pittz the breakout season ain't coming and that is why sorry to say bow take number six Kyle pittz is not a top 12 tight end in fantasy football this year so that's it my six bold takes as we head into the 2024 season make sure you're subscribe to the South Harmon fantasy football YouTube Channel please folks demolish that like button and leave a comment let's get these numbers up let's get this algorithm pumping here on YouTube I can't thank you enough for today's lesson after you leave this lesson head over to South Harman ff.com to check out everything that we got going on as we head into the NFL season thank you so so much for tuning in class you're dismissed [Music]