College Football Week 1 Picks, Predictions & Upsets | EVERY GAME!

what's going on guys welcome back to the channel in today's video I'm going to go over every single game in college football of course if you're looking for the specific games on Thursday or Friday I already have those videos out on the channel going over every single game for those slates uh I also dropped a week one NFL video going over every single week one matchup against the spread so if you guys have interest in those games go check out those videos after you guys watch this one uh we got a lot of football to cover and I'm going to be going over every single game this year in college and in NFL uh so if you aren't subscribed to my channel go ahead and hit the button drop a like on today's video while you're at it and ultimately out of all these games if you really want to know where my bets are being submitted you can get my picks the link to my we website is in the description right here on this video basically any video on my YouTube channel you can find the links right in the description you can also join the soet platform with the link below uh I'm going to be dropping some cool parlays uh some player props some live bets all sorts of stuff on the soet platform and that's right around $10 a month so that's a really really coste effective way uh to get some premium exposure I don't put all of my premium picks on the so bet platform but I'm going to put quite a bit for football so if you want every single bet I'm going to make that's the website if you guys want some exposure uh to my picks and a really really cool platform to access maybe consider that so bet Link in the description below let's get to the games boys Saturday I mean it's GNA be a heck of a day uh I I bet a lot of people out there are excited to wake up at 9:00 a.m. and crack a cold one and just sit back and watch college game day I would like to do that uh but I'm gonna be at the game I'm gonna be at the Penn State West Virginia game so maybe uh maybe you guys can catch me on Fox big noon kickoff if you're watching that show with all the guys on the Fox channel keep an eye out for Mr rants in the crowd um so let me get here let me get to early Saturday like I said I already went over the first two days worth of football since Central Arkansas Arkansas State we got a 10: a.m. game don't bet this this is such a this is crazy man people are going to wake up on Saturday and they just have to bet something um I'd lay the points I'd lay the 10 and a half just based on the line uh with Arkansas State but I'm not familiar with those teams my opinion on that particular game really isn't worth anything at all just based on a line of 10 and a half generally guys in the sport of football if you really like a favorite and they're like minus 2 and A2 or- 6 and A2 or-9 and a half and you feel really good about it because you have that half Point under the key number right like like Colorado this week I talked about in a prior video you know they're minus nine and a half right now and how good does that look it's like okay I really like Colorado I think they improved and they're not quite having to cover 10 there's a chance they could win by 10 so I really like that nine and a half that is a Rookie Sports better mentality you guys have got to be uncomfortable you got to be able to lay seven and A2 10 and a half you got to be able to take 6 and A2 take two and a half uh lay three and a half stuff like that really pans out in the sport of football next game on the list here Penn State West Virginia the game I will be at the spread is eight and a half I think it opened in the summer near the the line was about 13 it was 10 and a half for the while uh just recently last couple days it's down to eight and a half and I don't think it's low enough I'll be taking the points with West Virginia it has absolutely zero to do with me being a fan I'm a professional I've been doing this for over a decade I like winning money okay I don't really care about ha what happens in games in fact sometimes I take advantage of knowing a team uh that's close to heart for me uh even better so I can make more money off them and there's been years especially last year where I faded West Virginia in certain spots um whether it was a total or a side in the game uh the Packers is well there's been certain spots where I know the Packers so so so well because they're my team that I go against them in spots where I think it's right here I mean this is crazy are we smoking crack eight and a half eight and a half okay so let's talk about lines eight and a half points if you want to lay eight and a half with Penn State you think they're going to win by 10 or more you are on drugs if you did if you saw the last G the the game last year at Penn State night game you know big big kickoff game whatever um they ran into touchdown late West Virginia had some critical third and fourth Downs that just didn't go their way they were right in that game all the way through the third quarter probably should have won the game to be honest and um in Morgantown I mean let's talk about this not even this game specifically but before I really start digging into this Full Slate game by game just know that home field advantage in college football is significant we're talking two probably three points HomeField Advantage week one when there's always like some type of Kinks You got to work out with your team it is even more important and then there's certain home fields that have a more significant Advantage than others West Virginia is amongst the top of the list Virginia Tech has an outstanding HomeField presence Penn State the team that West Virginia is playing has a great home field um Clemson has a good one LSU has a good one uh Tennessee Florida Gators down in the swamp we'll talk about that game coming up but um week one home field in a good home field environment is it crazy to say it's Where damn near a touchdown of points I don't think that's crazy I don't think that's completely out of line and you know what I'm not saying it's an absolute lock that West Virginia pulls off the upset but their team's better they have a senior quarterback CJ Donaldson's healthy a good o line some good receivers the the defense is underrated they're going to be competitive man I I just really truly in in my gut my gut feeling says this game's going to be decided late and even if it is a late touchdown you know that's only going to get you to seven even if there's like a twoo conversion or something that comes into the equation to where it makes the margin eight getting eight and a half is a full one possession you cannot get any higher on one possession of football than an eight-point margin I'll be taking the eight and a half points with West Virginia um I do think it's more one of the more likely upsets of week one I mean someone's got to go down we already saw Florida State go down it happens every week it's college football like you you you basically have to look at these list of games and you got to go down through the teams that have a number next to them one through 25 a at least a few of the rank teams are going to lose that's just what happens there's upsets and oftentimes it's the ones that are hard to predict that's college football so if you're looking at this list you got to pick somewhere in the top somebody's going down Penn State in Morgantown ran into touchdown on them last year with like a couple seconds left that's the type of [ __ ] that really pisses off a team and I know Neil Brown's mature and he's trying to hide the emotion he's like that doesn't matter you know the spread dropping points sports betting that doesn't matter you know we just have a good opportunity this week uh you're smoking [ __ ] crack this is the last time that West Virginia and Penn State will play for quite a while it's in Morgantown Revenge game uh eight and a half we're smoking crack on this line smoking crack give me the point points Kent State Pittsburgh tough one because Pittsburgh's a down program right now eat [ __ ] pit right uh Pittsburgh's trash man not a good football team Kent State do they have just enough to stay within 24 and a half I think they do I think I'm going to take the points with Kent State in this one I think it's more of like a 14 to a 17o winning margin for Pittsburgh football in this one mid 20s you could even get a backd door cover maybe it's a 30-point game Kent State gets one late touchdown gets it down to like 23 or something like that even 24 and covers the number you know in the late in the game so I'm going to be taking the points with Ken State Indiana State Purdue 33 and a half the Purdue program they've had a lot a lot of moving Parts really ever since um Aiden o conell was there I mean that's the last time where it felt that Purdue was was was just like um structurally consistent and and and just kind of like uh um man what's like the word the Purdue program has just kind of been like kind of a spinning wheel lately do I trust them laying 33 and a half I don't know the total of the game's only 48 and a half maybe Indiana State and the points is the right play in this one Illinois State and Iowa Iowa football minus 22 and a half I mean does that make sense they can't score this is just not an offensive program but at the same time is Illinois state even going to score a single point I mean it's not going to take a lot here could it be 27 to zero could it be 27-3 either of those options will get us over the number I think I'd lay the points I think this is defensive uh shutout here for the Iowa Hawkeyes they're at home they should be good enough the total is at 40 and a half so here's the way I'm looking at this game we have a total on this game of about 40 points the spread's only about half of that 22 and a half a little more than half do we really think Illinois state is even going to score more than seven I mean even if they don't SC even if they score seven this should still be a cover for Iowa I'd be laying the points with the Hawkeyes Austin P and Louisville I think we got to lay the points of Louisville here pretty good team sort of under the radar sort of disrespected pretty good program heading in the right direction I like the coaching I think they got enough here I'd probably be laying the points don't love this game though I probably won't be betting it we'll see Buck Nell and navy I got a pass I just have zero clue I mean what are we doing Navy to cover 33 and a half no I'm not I'm not even going to take a stab at it Yukon Maryland Maryland's pretty good program but yukon's like one of those sneaky teams especially early in the year you know before you have too many losses on your record and maybe still have some false hope of what you can do with your program that particular year could they go into Maryland and fight and battle and cover the number and lose by 14 or 17 or 16 somewhere in the mid teens maybe I mean the total's pretty low at 44 and a half but I think that's because yukon's going to start struggled to score Maryland's a pretty good football program I think I'm going to be laying the reasonable number 20 and a half seems reasonable give me Marilyn laying the points Virginia Tech Vanderbilt so this one's interesting because Virginia Tech is one of the schools this year that has massive hype I mean we're talking a lot of people would say playoff Contender probably make the playoff some people think they got a shot at the ACC we'll see what happens man I mean they got some returning players offense should be pretty good they have a significant home field advantage the schedule is pretty doable for them 13 and a half though on the road at an SEC school it just feels like too much I think the the the hype here is a little bit too much for Virginia Tech I see this more as maybe a 10-point win let's check the money splits this one's important to see where people are betting bring up College here um by the way baseball's in front of me ah man Pittsburgh's up 10 to three I was almost going to take them today wow Cleveland Guardians look like they're going to lose again guys I'm pretty much done with baseball bets for the year it's been a fantastic year we've hit at almost 58% over two months to end the season um but yeah baseball I'm just so locked in football right now it's probably going to be a wrap on that I just like checking it here and there um let's get back to Virginia Tech where are we scroll scroll scroll money splits here we go so I see 13 and a halfs across the board yeah I mean the the whole the whole [ __ ] world is on Virginia Tech man 90% of the money on the money line obviously so what's that mean everybody who makes a big parlay is just throwing Virginia Tech money line into the mix uh a little bit of sharp money even on vanderbild on the spread we're talking three quarters of tickets placed on this game are on the hokes but only about 70% of the money so uh this is just I mean we're we're talking 135,000 already on this game this one's just a little too public for me this screams uh screams Vanderbilt cover barely I mean it could even be 13 um I think it's going to be a 10 or a 13 Point margin to be honest I think it's going to be that close I think the line's pretty accurate but I'd lean taking the points with Vanderbilt in this one Clemson and Georgia man Georgia the discipline and and and where their mentality is going to be at in this game one is a little bit concerning and I love Kirby Smart and I know there's some I know this roster is insane but when's the last time we truly felt pure disrespect for Clemson I mean it's it's been heading that direction it's been going down and down and down still Clemson football they're still 14 in the country they're still capable almost two full touchdowns on a neutral sight game basically a home game for Georgia the total's only 48 and a half I think I got to take the 13 and a half with Clemson I it's so tough to go against Georgia especially with what happened last year with the playoff rankings at the end I know they're going to have a chip on their shoulder I think they have a coaching Advantage the roster is better but there's been some discipline issues with this Georgia program I think the Clemson players have a little bit higher IQ I think they'll be a little bit more discipline here they did lay an egg week one last year maybe that helps them week one this year they're coming in with house money guys they they should feel zero pressure they're a big Underdog Georgia has all the pressure the expectations everything that goes into that if this line if PE if enough money comes in on Georgia and this gets to 14 I think I'd almost have to take a bet with Clemson here let's check out the money splits for this one if it will load here we go Clemson Clemson Clemson where's Clemson here we go so 13 and a halfs across the board yeah I mean there's just a pile of money there's just a pile of money on Georgia about 60 65% of bets against the spread are on the Bulldogs 93% of the money on the money line so again you got to think I like to think of parlays and college football and it helps me kind of kind of maybe pick out an upset or two because we know when everyone's putting a parlay together you're looking you just know it I mean I just know what you're [ __ ] doing you're looking for teams that are favored maybe a touchdown upwards of two touchdowns that have like a relatively decent moneyline price where if you just throw it in your parlay they should win they're a big favorite multiple score favorite boost your payout a little bit more there's always one of these schools in the parlays that are like a seven to 14o favorite that go down is it Penn State money line is that gonna [ __ ] everybody are they gonna lose to West Virginia can Clemson pull a shocker everybody with Georgia I mean everybody has Georgia money line in their parlays can Stanford beat TCU I think TCU might be a popular money line pick um it's just kind of that margin Michigan state does Florida Atlantic beat Michigan State I mean that would ruin a bunch of parlays uh Vanderbilt over Virginia Tech that would for sure ruin a bunch of parlays all those money lines from all those teams that are favored seven to 13 points those are the ones that are going to break the parlays so here a little bit too public I think I'd be going on the other side again if the money comes in enough and the books bump this to 14 14 and a half I do think Clemson might be worth a a small shot here nothing crazy maybe just a half unit I'm I'm talking a small bet guy it's week one everybody chill out there's a couple spots out of this entire slate that I do feel are worthy of a high of a higher uh a higher a margin of a a wager or what I should say a bigger wager and I've sent those out to my Client List already a couple of them um but it's week one everybody calmed down I'd be leaning Georgia and the or I'd be leaning Clemson in the points in that one man I got stuck on that game Jesus Clemson Georgia just watch it as a fan how about that just [ __ ] watch the game don't even bet that one Chattanooga Tennessee 30 and a half point spread 38 and a half ah man H geez I think you got to lay the points that's a pretty significant home field it's under 40 I think it's reasonable don't love it South Dakota State Oklahoma State one of those where a nine and a half point spread is tempting I mean olly Gordon Bowman back a quarterback Mike Gundy great coach uh good program great Stadium it'll be a it'll be a good environment but South South Dakota state is one of these lower-end teams man that that can really hang around their discipline fundamentals are good can they stop the running game and the problem is if Oklahoma state gets any sort of a lead in this game they can just grind out the easy win they can just pound and pound and pound Oly Gordon again and again he could rush for 250 in this game um that's a concern but if they can slow down that run game Not only would they cover the spread they're a live dog they can beat Oklahoma state if they simply have an answer for Ali Gordon I do think they're going to be able to score a little bit on this Oklahoma State Defense um so this one's tough it purely comes down to do you think South Dakota state has some type of an answer now you can't stop him he's gonna go for over a 100 he's going to score but can you keep him around that number if you can I think they're a live dog I'd be looking at taking the points and I'm a big 12 guy I love Oklahoma State I love the coaching staff I love Oly Gordon I love the team man good solid program down there they were underrated last year um it's just a fishy line nine and a half it's it's it's very similar to uh to the Colorado line I think it's better taking the points with these Dakota teams talson and Cincy I don't know cincy's a a run first team so I'm a little bit hesitant to lay the big number I think I'd just be looking under the total of 54 4 and a half this just feels like it's you know 43 to zero 43-7 type of a game I don't know if it gets past 50 I'd be looking under in this one Portland State Washington State obviously cam W's gone off to Miami 28 and a half I mean Portland State this Portland State they're trash I don't know under under you know 60 points here no real play on this one Pass Colorado State Texas Colorado State's a good team 31 and a half I mean ERS pretty potent offense but I worry about the balance of having a run game I think 31 and a half is just a tad steep man just a little bit uh this the the the game total here is at 60 you know for them to cover 30 points they pretty much got to win this thing you know somewhere around uh mid mid 40s to low teens I don't know this one's tough for me this could easily be a huge blowout 50 Texas wants to set the tone in the SEC I think I'd lean taking the points with Colorado State I just hope their focus isn't too much ahead on Colorado UTEP Nebraska it's going to be a big year for Nebraska at least the hype the expectation and the Hope um Matt rule should have the place rocking pretty good but UTEP I think they're probably just good enough to cover the number here maybe a 23 or 24 Point type of a win for Nebraska I think I'd be looking at taking the points with UTEP in this one e Michigan UMass no opinion I have to pass on it just not familiar Miami Florida here's a big one um I don't know man I mean Miami has the pressure we got to understand pressure and what it does in week one um coaching Advantage I don't see one uh roster Advantage goes to Miami HomeField Advantage is significant the swamp the swamp is uh it's tremendous man I mean how many points is a week one game at home versus your rival uh this is a big one and I think I'm going to be looking at taking the two and a half points uh in a game that should be extremely close I'm not going to be greedy and try to go for the Florida money line but if this thing gets to a three which I do think it will um I think Florida might be the play here despite having a worse roster it's weak one these are kids at the end of the day guys we got to remember man we're betting on like 18 and 23 year old kids here let's look at the money splits for this game we're looking at uh yeah I mean we're looking at 60% of bets placed against the spread on Miami only 55% of the money little bit of sharp action on Florida it's not as lopsided as I think I don't know if this one's going to get to a three I think it's probably going to stay at two or two and a half I think Florida's the right play in this one you got to take a shot at some uh some ranked teams going down you could look at Penn State you could look at teams like Virginia Tech despite you know the ranking issue there but Miami they're 19 throw them in the mix on upset alert um yeah I think I'd be looking at Florida and some home field week one magic in this one FIU in Indiana 21 and a half point spread boy this one's tough maybe just go maybe just go under the total 50 and a half maybe just a team total over for Indiana I don't love this one pass uh akan in Ohio State Ohio State man I just feel like they're going to take advantage of stomping on the little guys they're kind of like Oklahoma they really like to beat uh the Lesser opponents to a pulp 48 and a half I think the line's short I don't see akan scoring I really don't think they're going to score um I think Ohio State man could put a SmackDown on them here the total's at 58 and a half I think I got to lay the points with Ohio State the big spreads week one these these these big-time programs that have these massive spreads of of 50 points or around that range they actually do pretty good against the number so I'd be looking at Ohio State in this one East Tennessee State Appalachian State uh App State good program total here at 55 and a half yeah they're going to win 34 and a half seems a little bit rich I mean let's not act like they're like a a power conference Powerhouse 34 and a half maybe they just win by around 30 or 31 I think the numberers just barely inflated slight slight lean on the points there but I'm not going to bet that one North Dakota Iowa State 20 and a half point spread I think we got to take the points with North Dakota and this one Iowa State just not an offense that impresses me kind of an ugly grind out game there they'll win they'll win comfortably uh from start to finish does it get to a margin of over 30 I'm not so sure I'd be leaning the points don't love the game Miami Northwestern Miami of Ohio that is a two and a half point spread this feels like a trap I mean initially I would just want to slam Northwestern Big 10 school pretty good program um not playing on the road here Miami of Ohio only catching two and a half the total is so low at 39 and a half maybe this is an upset I'm not going to bet it just because it feels so so fishy but for my prediction on this video I'll be a sucker for the Trap I'll lay the two and a half points with Northwestern Boise State here Georgia Southern Georgia Southern Man sneaky little school they've been pretty good uh at times especially early in the year you know you have your expectation you have your false hope you have uh you know your morale is hot you don't have a bunch of L's in the Lost column stacked up to where you know your season's over or you can't get to this or you can't do this you never know man they could play him tough here Boise State pretty good team um I just don't know if on the road laying damn near two touchdowns is the right move here I think I'd be taking the points with Georgia Southern um and maybe even a sprinkle on the money line this could be one where everything on paper and just everything about this game in terms of a traditional handicap points to Boise State this could be a real shocker Udan looking at the points of Georgia Southern Old Dominion South Carolina 20 and a half point spread I think we take the points here with Old Dominion I mean we seen what they've done at Virginia Tech over the years they can be competitive at times uh the total is only 52 and a half don't love the South Carolina program I get it ASC team at home going to be a great environment three touchdowns seems a bit rich I think I'd be looking at taking the points uh what else we got here what else we got here I'm just skipping a a couple that are just I don't even know I don't even know these teams uh Richmond vers Virginia maybe take the points just based on a little bit of a rivalry overall pass uh Eastern Kentucky Miss State 24 and a half I think I'd be looking at the points in Eastern Kentucky Miss State program is just not in a good spot right now I don't trust them to lay that type of a number against anybody Idaho State Oregon State State kind of the same thing I think just a little bit too many points for an Oregon State program that's just kind of finding itself a little bit lost with everything that happened to the Pack 12 uh the players they lost in the transfer portal the coaching staff that they've lost I don't want to lay for uh for touchdowns with them absolutely not Western Kentucky Alabama 31 and a half point spread I think Western Kentucky is a really really good team but I think with the new coach there kind of Alabama not being like the the the center of attention anymore I think they really set the tone to start the year strong I think that coach uh commands good discipline I like his fundamentals I like his coaching and I think he wants to get off to a good start here I'd lay the points with Alabama uh what else we got UT Martin and K State 37 and a half point spread maybe an under maybe an under in this game under 56 and a half really don't like the spread really know opinion on it uh we got Tarlton State and Baylor Baylor a program that should be good on almost a yearly basis but they've been struggling kind of as of late I think they could sneak up on some people this year should be a pretty good team 26 and a half just feels a little too light to me uh the only thing is Tarlton State already has one game under their belt that is a significant Advantage you already played you got some more live reps um if Baylor had some Kinks or a couple mistakes to work out they're not going to cover the number but for now I'm going to lean towards Baylor Ferman and Old Miss Ferman can they stay within 42 and a half against Old Miss I don't think so but I think I would isolate this game and just simply go with the team total over for Old Miss I think offensively they're going to score pretty good and maybe look specifically at the first half in this one next game down here 730 UCLA in Hawaii it's only a 14 and a half point spread uh in Hai has already won game under their belt so that helps them um I don't know man this just feels really really fishy it's almost shocking to see 14 and a half it it feels light but it's got to be light for a reason I think we take the points with Hawaii here don't watch the game just check the score after and hopefully your ticket cashed don't love the game I'm not betting it um Idaho in Oregon 44 and a half Dylan Gabriel I think he could absolutely shred right out of the gate just some who's just a killer I mean you could put him on any team he almost doesn't need a practice he just that's dude just a baller the total here is at 62 and a half I don't see Idaho scoring much I think Oregon's going to score very very well here I'd be laying the 44 and a half with the Ducks Fresno State Michigan I'm taking the points with Fresno this Michigan program man uh playoff hangover everything they've lost I just don't love the program right now um did they win the game I mean this would be a crazy upset wouldn't it Fresno State over Michigan I'm not saying it's impossible I think HomeField Advantage for Michigan's a little bit too much for that to happen uh but almost three touchdowns feels just a bit steep for the situational spot that they're in I'd be looking to take the points here especially if it gets across that number of 21 Notre Dame A&M a two and a half point spread here this feels Square let's look up the money splits on this one I'm leaning towards A&M I'm leaning towards the home team college station is crazy Place let's see what people are betting on Where's My Money splits for A&M got to be here somewhere Jesus here we go so right now Caesar is actually offering a three you can get plus three on Notre Dame if you want it um sharp money on the money line in terms of A&M and I think that's the way a lot of people are playing this I know the money Line's getting pretty steep at minus 148 but in a game this tight I don't think this is the spot to get greedy and to lay any type of points with A&M if you like him at home if you like him to win the game just go moneyline for this one um a lot of money on the spread on A&M but I think most of the handle on this game is going to be on the money line 30% of tickets placed on the money line are on A&M but over half of the money that's pretty significant sharp wager uh I'm going to be looking at Texas A&M on the money line in that one but that's just just going to be a good game just to watch Southern missing Kentucky I think I'd probably look at uh look at Kentucky I mean they're pretty good at the line of scrimmage defense is pretty good I don't know about the offense a little bit hesitant about them covering almost four touchdowns but that's a good program a good home field advantage they should get it done Southern Illinois BYU I don't know no clue on that one 14 and a half maybe lean towards taking the points Georgia state Georgia Tech uh Georgia Tech coming off such a big emotional win you feel like it's a little bit of a let down spot little bit of a rivalry I think three touchdowns is a little bit too much Georgia Tech's going to be two and 0 but I don't think it's going to be by this significant of a margin I would actually be looking at taking the points and fading what should be a massive public bet everybody running to Georgia Tech after they beat Florida State my opinion it was more of a a bad game from Florida State not exactly a great game from Georgia Tech Georgia Tech looked good I like the I like the team going to be good this year um but that quarterback can still make mistakes and Florida State was just softer than butter it was just pathetic gutless dju is horrible I think if Georgia state has any type of uh effort here I think they can stay within three scores what else we got here getting down to uh the end here New Mexico and Arizona gotta lay the points I gotta lay the points here Arizona's offense is significant man their offense is so good I don't think 31 and a half's high enough it worries me about about their defense maybe look over the total in this game at 58 and a half I think I think Arizona themsel can get 50 um tough game but Arizona is a very very good team good at home nasty receivers good quarterback good air raid I like them to score a lot of points Wyoming Arizona state if these teams were flipped if it was Arizona State at Wyoming I would take the outright upset I would take Wyoming um in this spot I can't do it they have a pretty significant home field that Advantage uh Wyoming does and they're not at home for this one I got to go Arizona State it's under a touchdown um Big 12 I don't know Wyoming do they have just enough they could but I would just much rather have it home like I said I'm not I'm not trying to hate on Wyoming if this was at Wyoming and they were a six-point dog I wouldn't even take the points I'd take Wyoming on the money line I just think it's that much of a difference them playing on the road LSU and uh USC is the first game on the Sunday slate that I see a 7:30 Eastern game a four and a half point spread this is one where it's probably tempting to take the points I just cannot and I don't care Jaden Daniels and all the talent Malik neighbors all the talent that's gone through LSU I like their coach better I'm not a Lincoln Riley guy I don't believe in USC defense I think they're gonna have a tough time this year four and a half points it's reasonable it's reasonable this is one where I might buy a couple of points get it under that field goal margin because I am confident LSU is going to win this game I just don't want a back door cover I don't want this being a a 10-point game with one last score from USC offense getting the margin back to three or an 11 to a four something like that I don't want to deal with the back door cover the money line is too steep at minus 184 so you're kind of caught in the middle here maybe use LSU as one leg of a maximum two-leg parlay put that minus 184 in there I think there's good value on the money line it's just a little bit too steep uh to play individually Boston College and Florida State on Monday is the last game I'm seeing here we got a 16 and a half point spread um I mean part of me wants to think Florida State's going to bounce back at home uh with the new playoff structure of being 12 teams one loss doesn't automatically kill you especially if Georgia Tech ends up being a highly ranked you know not a highly ranked team but a decently ranked team this year here with some good wins that'll help Florida State's resume if they can take rest take care of the rest of their schedule um I do think this is a bounceback spot 16 and a half though against a tough B Boston College team um I think Florida State just look too soft it's a little bit too concerning for me I'm going to be looking to take the points with Boston College but just based on the situation of this game uh off the loss that probably would be a pass for me too many points of the game are kind of a contradiction in this one um that's just the way I feel about that one little bit too soft don't like what I see I know they're goingon to have a good week of practice and get things right and it does help them significantly already having one game of live reps under the wing against a good team uh they could look pretty sharp against a team that has to play for the first time on the road in Florida um all those are advantages for Florida State it just feels a little bit too rich for a team that I can't trust right now I'm going to have to see it if for three four weeks Florida State looks like boom they got it together maybe I'll start wagering on them again uh but for now more than likely unless I dig up enough extra information I'm probably G to be off that game uh and it's going to be tough to stay off that game because it's the only one on Monday so with that being said we'll see what happens there you go guys that's week one like I said all the videos for Thursday and Friday all the games for those games that video is already out NFL week one that video is already out and after all these games all those games there are some spots I'm hammering you guys can see it on the bottom of the screen dropping well over 10 units on on college football week one um we bet half units One units all summer long in baseball did pretty good ended up with a season winning percentage in the MLB at 54% made almost 400 Wagers um so baseball's been good we killed football last year and I expect even better results try out my picks guys it's only $29 for a week you don't even have to get the monthly package grab a week go through week one with me I'm going to be profitable it's going to be an awesome week uh again dance.net Link in the description I'll catch you guys in the next video