CFB Week 3: Georgia @ Kentucky, Colorado @ Colorado State + More | Bet the Edge (9/12) | NBC Sports

welcome to the college footall takeover here on BET The Edge presented by bet MGM I'm Von delzell along with Eric froton and Brad Thomas getting you ready for Friday and Saturday's week three college football sleigh today we have a few top 25 matchups plenty of player props ladder plays a Redemption parlay six big 10 games plus our best bet so it's an absolutely Loaded show to say the least Brad before we get into the games lead us off with some news from week two any thoughts or bets you feel like you have to get off your chest yeah man week two was kind of tough for me uh a couple close calls I lost Bailey by like a yard Bond had 40 after the second drive and didn't cash lost by two and then the team total unders were really tough um every uh FBS Underdog in the 12 o'clock window hit their team total over if you were on two or three of those unders that means you got absolutely crushed yeah this guy wow that's wild as far as me gosh if there's any observation I've taken on the props front from the early going it's tread lightly on on quarterback rushing props I have gotten beat I think every possible way on them uh Tyler van djk all of a sudden running quarterback naturally Avery Johnson he can't go and hit his 51 and a half despite not being able to throw a forward pass um you know Jackson Arnold beat me a couple weeks ago Nik yava as we discussed he was at 33 and a half he didn't clear that that I'm like all right just just enough of the running quarterback uh props I am going to be laying off them to the very best of my ability because everything else uh I pretty much you know had a good run at last week and was certainly in on the good side of The Ledger but man those QB rushing overs and unders I have had heck of a Time the first couple weeks yeah those rushing props certainly have been uh hair pulling to say the least I know Brad personally I took one of his bets over the weekend in the NFL even my Saturday rolled into Sunday when Caleb Williams took a knee uh we lost his rushing prop over so I'm like you know any type of way that could we could lose it can happen right now but obviously betting should be fun and we're going to continue to make it fun here uh win or lose so uh Eric won uh last week he had the the best record on the show but before we talk about uh the number one ranked game to talk about I think there's a lot of value on the board still for teams to make the college football playoff guys um seven teams I actually Circle in particular if any of these catcher I please tell me if you think they're worth a bet now because I know Brattle Alabama There's Miami out there at minus 150 Tennessee at plus 100 Missouri Utah LSU all between plus 150 to plus 250 and you still have teams like Kansas State on the outside looking in or do you guys like USC the Oklahoma or Texas State at plus 800 um I'll start with that Missouri's an interesting one for me because I believe Missouri could be a 10- win team and then when you have a 10- win Missouri team who's probably going to blow out most of their other opponents it's going to be really hard to leave them out um I'm yes I'm on Alabama I've been on Alabama since the beginning of the Season at close to even money there um let's see what else Tennessee yeah Tennessee uh there's a lot of teams with favorable schedules I think I named two SEC teams let me go outside of the SEC I wouldn't bet LSU to make it um LSU haven't been good uh as good on the offensive line as I thought they'd be um they also lose uh top running back there um and Emory uh just a lot of questions I don't know if Lacy's 100% either um I didn't even understand his injury he was bleeding I don't know I just too many question marks from that team so let's talk negative about the SEC for a little bit so I'm just not on one side of the fence um but yeah there's a ton of value because there's GNA be so many good teams across the country that have really favorable schedules that just don't play each other um I saw some of the tie bregers were kind of ridiculous I still think there's room on Old Miss you know I was on them before the season and obviously it's been a nice start and an easy start but they get wake for us this week and we were lucky enough to get a 305 and a half opening on Jackson Dart it was a pre fleeting opening that uh that I managed to get a piece of and then press picks dragged it right back down so um uh I've liked what I've seen from Old Miss Tennessee is another good you know shot that is wasn't one of the traditional powers that we saw up top in the early season so uh you those would be two that I yeah I can't argue with SEC has like three four five teams that could make it I mean we know Georgia's going to be in there uh but the rest of the teams are gonna be fighting for those those few spots but I do like Missouri as you guys mentioned I think that they have a good path Tennessee plays Alabama Georgia and Oklahoma this season so their schedule's a little tougher but uh a team like Boston College gentlemen could certainly put their themselves on the board with a win against Missouri they're still sitting between plus 600 and plus 800 when you look at their schedule uh they have Louisville that's the only ranked team left outside of Missouri uh so with that Florida State win they kind of put themselves in position so that's a team worth watching and that's a team that we're going to start talking about here because they are Road dogs of 16 and a half at those Missouri Tigers total sitting at 54 this game is Saturday at 12:45 pm Eastern weird kickoff uh but as we mentioned last week Boston College did very well Eric they upset Florida State smacked duaine but Missouri is eight- one against the spread in their last nine games dating back the last year so uh what's the play here between these two yeah welcome Bill O'Brien former Patriots OC former Alabama OC Brad uh and he is not subtle about what he wants to do does it 52 times he ran last game for 263 yards 5.1 yards per charity against Florida State they threw the ball just 20 times they didn't even really want to they just wanted to keep bludgeoning that pathetic ne se seol front just completely overmatched and they're real slow I mean they're 13 30th in terms of seconds per play but uh ranked fourth in standard Downs run rate 80 81% of the time they're running the ball on standard Downs I mean that's what Boston College is gonna do here they're not it doesn't get fancy I mean maybe a little bit of play action where they go and take a shot downfield to Lewis Bond you know with Thomas castanos but I mean this is gonna be it's it's not gonna be particularly uh you know a lot of stuge it's not going to be a lot of trickery that's what Boston does on the other side with uh with Missouri you know keep in mind they played two cupcakes 89 to nothing theyve destroyed those two teams so uh despite that poor competition they haven't hit big plays 118th and isop PPP 120th in marginal explosiveness so uh with Missouri kind of you know keeping it rather conservative playing a slow pace that you think Boston College wants to employ I kind of like the under here uh where I think it was around 54 55 or so I think we get a slower Pace yeah this is an interesting game uh from a betting perspective if you're looking at the side here because you don't know exactly what to expect like Eric said this Missouri defense was Elite but they didn't play anybody right um and then we have Boston College who were absolutely stifling on third and fourth down defense against the simal I think they held the seminal to three and 14 on third Downs um really slow paced game between these two bill o'briant um the kind of coach who I think maximizes the potential out of his guys and when he finds something that works he just hangs his hat on it so I think that this Boston College team if they can just keep it close early it stays close throughout the game um but I do think the the third and fourth down success is going to be different when you have you know Brady cook thrown into uh Burton whis uh mooki who just a bunch of pass catchers who are really talented I just couldn't go all the way I don't I think the spread's like what 16 or 17 I couldn't do it I would lean Boston College getting kind of blanketed here and annihilated but listen when you have a good round good ground game good game plan it keeps you in a lot of these uh two and three touchdown spread games so uh I passed on it but I don't even have a lean I was like looking to find something so I can get my my my juices flowing early but it was the ultimate pass Luther Burton touchdown man don't overthink it Brad come on you know you want it guy's an animal but uh yeah I I I couldn't really pick the out of the spread either it's moved out to 17 from 16 16 and a half but I'm with Eric I actually think the under would probably be the side of the angle I'd take in this game I feel like in that fourth quarter of the game is really going to slow down but these teams don't play each other very often and this is probably the most hype Boston College has had in the past decade for football and Missouri as well uh so it's kind of the situation where I feel like these teams are building themselves up one of them could tear themselves down here pretty soon and obviously Boston College being the big dog looks likely but uh talking about big dogs uh let's talk about Georgia they are 24 and a half Point favorites at Kentucky those Wildcats total sitting at 45 and a half is a Saturday game at 7:30 Eastern and Brad we're gonna start with you here because I know you are big on Georgia but Kentucky is a team that scored 13 or fewer points in six of the last seven meetings against Georgia does this Kentucky Wildcats offense have enough to score more than once against the Bulldogs yeah they might score one touchdown but I don't think it I don't think so uh Brock Vandergriff not a good quarterback there um 111th in offensive success R uh through the air which is absolutely hilarious I went with Georgia uh first quarter minus six and a half I also took Georgia first half minus 12 and a half um in this game for me this offense we've seen it last year uh top five in just about every great Advanced analytic that you want to talk about for this Georgia team uh now they get etn for a second game uh funny thing to pay attention to in this game is uh the usage for etn how much do they utilize him against a Georgia team who they should absolutely blow out with Alabama in two weeks ahead of the bye I thought his number was pretty interesting I think you could get around 80 now 80 and a half if you want to be daring you think this is going to be a blowout you bet his under you think they keep him healthy um but yeah I think Georgia handles business Carson Beck was super efficient and accurate quarterback there and then defensively against this Kentucky offense I think this going to be one of the worst Kentucky offenses we've seen in quite some time and I mean there is a Kentucky team who had like 20 years of of limited success um against this Georgia team I think what's going to happen is there's going to be a lot of short fields for the Bulldogs which makes me like both of those spreads even more if you get short Fields early um you get good field position Georgia is going to convert on their opportunities um and I like having the byee next week instead of having going straight to Alabama so it's not going to be a look ahead spot to me yeah with Kentucky I mean you mentioned it Brock Vandergriff I've watched every one of his throws he's made so far especially last week against South Carolina where Dylan Stewart the Richard freshman or freshman uh defensive end was just absolutely all over him Vandergriff uh very nervous outside of structure he pretty much just had to take protected shots anytime there was any kind of a rush he completely fell apart even when he wasn't you know harassed he's routinely missing throws and when it seems like every time he'd feel just a hint of pressure he's automatically rolling to his right it's like there's there's no stepping up in the pocket you know and and feeling the outside you know feeling that Loop pressure and stepping up and Jing to throw it's immediately bail from the entire pocket all together um the Game ending pick six he threw he was rolling left finally stopped and tried to throw all the way across the field and just a linebacker was sitting there just waiting for it sailed it right into his arms pick six game over against South Carolina I mean just a what as bad a quarterbacking performance as you're ever going to see um keep in mind last year Georgia beat Kentucky 51-13 Carson Beck threw for 385 passing yards they literally did anything they wanted to him I don't see anything different I see any reason to feel good about Kentucky having watched what I saw out of Brock Vandergriff I like the over for Carson pack he's only a 2 144 and a half I mean they're going to be able to dictate the tempo and the pace and pretty much do what they want um even I mean with the game script where they should be comfortable I mean he threw a 385 blet last year you think they don't want Carson Beck to get a little Heisman hype you think they don't want to showcase him a bit they do and keep in mind Nate Frasier their Sensational freshman running back he got dinged up last game like all right how how many I I hope you've got cash Jones ready you know get the Walk-Ons ready if that's what's going to happen they're not going to want to beat up the the very few healthy running backs they still have left so um I think they'll you'll see a nice comfortable win out of Georgia I like the Beck over and God if you want to I'm not gonna blame you for taking that under on 130 and a half Brock vendig passing you threw for a 100 last game he was absolutely pitiful they were afraid to even let him drop back I mean I get it even at 130 like I can't even blame you he was that bad that's a blown coverage type over if he hits that I mean I agree with you Georgia should dictate almost everything in this game kuy's offense the last few years have been like the most riing team probably in the country when it comes to explosive plays and I think when you see a quarterback line with 130 and a half you can't expect many explosive plays if any uh in this game so yeah I'm with you guys I like all four plays might have to do a little same game parlay with them but uh we got Beck over 244 and a half Ander Griff under 130 and a half and then Brad likes Georgia's first quarter and first half of 6 and a half and 12 and a half I like that Bulldog's first quarter play a lot Brad um but I know we're closing on Eric territory here when we're talking West Coast teams it's Arizona and Kansas state number 20 versus number 14 Wildcat on Wildcat baby uh seven and a half is the spread in favor of Kansas State the home team here with a 59 and a half total it's a Friday night fight here um Eric Arizona's won six straight As A ranked team they have one of the most dangerous receivers in the country MC Millan 304 yards and 10 receptions for four tutes in week one uh which Wildcats team gets the win and which props do you have your eye on well I always have my eye on all the drups of course but uh with this Arizona team you know what I'm curious about is how they handle the Run game of Kansas State obviously DJ giddens ay Johnson we mentioned before is a run first quarterback who was forced to pass from time to time not particularly well um in terms of their defense Arizona 112th in EPA per Rush um 122nd in yards per carry before contact averaging 3.2 yards per carry before they put a mitt on rushers and against again this Kansas State team they would rather beat you up they would rather go the DJ giddens's route um I like a couple different plays because of what we kind of discussed with Arizona and where they are soft I like the and obviously where Kansas state is strong which is along the line and running the ball I like DJ giddens over two and a half receptions he has gotten six in five targets each of the past two games previous year offensive coordinator Colin Klein is out he's now a Texas CM whole new philosophy and it looks like I mean with 11 targets over the first two games he is absolutely going to be worked into that philosophy and gosh two and a half receptions playing a competitive game against Arizona that they should in theory at least giving up some points uh I like the idea of two over two and a half receptions a lot and if you want to go and take a look at a potential ladder Just for kicks DJ gens plus 340 to have 40 plus receiving errs hey if he's getting six targets uh the chances of him breaking one is pretty good against an Arizona defense that as you said I mean you know they have a really good cornerback one uh you know Taco he's one of the best in terms of the country but other than that you know I'm not too worried about that linebacker core that's kind of rebuilt so um I like that and then Jace Brown wide receiver Kansas State under 55 and a half think he's at 52 and a half right now I still like that Keegan Johnson was out week one he comes back week two and Jace Brown was simply not the same factor in a game where I think it would be a heavy run script uh with him being up at 52 and a half receiving yards I have my questions so those are my two plays for that game Brad do you have anything uh that you want to Target in this game I know you don't like seeing 40 plus receiving yards for running backs after what happened on Monday night I was I was in shock because I heard 40 plus yards and my plus 4,000 parlay died on the last leg with Bree Hall getting 39 I had him at 39 and a half so little PTSD on my part uh first and foremost on this game I do lean Arizona plus the seven seven and a half here um if we saw if we learned anything from this can the State team it's they're going to struggle to get off the field um with an effective quarterback in that game against tane uh converting uh third and fourth Downs late in the game couldn't pull away I think that's something that we're going to kind of expect here I really was disappointed in the Kansas State uh secondary as well uh they were not good in that game I'm fading their secondary um with Noah f i I missed the number a little bit on his line so I made a little parlay I wanted to bet him at plus 250 it jumped out uh but I made a parlay with Georgia money line and no a he a 250 plus um massive ad dot in the first game uh obviously you mentioned McMillan going the 300 plus I think McMillan will have his success in this game uh on uh through their running routes and faito will be able to find him I also think that this game uh will not be as slow as predicted um just because uh the explosive plays will be there whether they be in the Run game or through the air for each team which gives me a little bit more uh comfort that it's not going to be a stalemate and teams are just totally pounding The Rock and it's uh 14 to 17 at the end um so I took faita over 249 parlayed with Georgia money line I like I think he's gonna be very active in that game and I was uh I li at Kansas State against two lane plus three and a half and they end up coming back getting the uh the victory by seven but Kansas defense spread was seven yeah yeah they it was so I mean they they pushed but if you live bet at all in that game I mean you could have got Kansas State all the way up to plus seven and a half as an underdog um so yeah they were getting worked in the first half which is definitely concerning could be a little bit of look ahead spot but they cleaned up in the second half against Tain they outscored him 24 to7 and Avery Johnson honestly looked pretty good outside the Kansas State Defense too like I said scoop and scoring so this was a game that I really couldn't get behind either side I leaned Arizona here because Kansas State didn't look that great um but this might be a game where it's a Solo solo game on Friday night I think that both teams could absolutely Light It Up quarterbacks offensively so I would lean the over but no play for me because my next bet and first bet of the week is uh Colorado at Colorado State I will be in Denver this weekend gentlemen so I'm trying to find a sports bar to watch this game and get rough and rowy I think it's gonna be a great game Colorado is a seven-point favor the spread was seven and a half so it's come down total sitting at 58 and a half and I'm going to run it back on shur Sanders over two and a half passing touchdowns Brad uh last year was an absolute throw between these two it went to OT Sanders threw a game-winning touchdown he had four passing touchdowns on the game three in the second half and I think over two and a half in this game for plus 116 odds I think that's a good bet here I mean we're not going to keep continue hitting the harp that they can't run the ball the offensive line stinks we know this stuff already right uh but the statistics are there when they're in close games they're determined by single digits so nine or less points he's thrown for at least two touchdowns in eight of those nine games the past two seasons so three plus and five out of nine I like the Plus money odds I'll take that in my pocket Brad who's he thrown a touchdown to he's thrown a touchdown to uh Mr Travis Hunter I bet this number around the minus 135 price um it's just he's going to be the main target in that in the Red Zone what you've seen there um what's kind of funny here too is we talked about uh D Hayden last week he went over on his prop last week um finished with 32 yards on five carries Colorado has been very funny in these first two weeks week one they only allowed one or two sacks obviously not playing against FBS team but I was like maybe this ragtag group of offensive line uh has put it together then they go against Nebraska man I I saw the videos uh of when coach Prime and Colorado entered the the stadium Nebraska was lit booed him every single time and then I got word from someone at the game every time they showed Prime on the Jumbotron the entire crowd booed that was a statement game a Revenge game and it showed that Colorado you know as as many talented weapons they have offensively if you can't protect the quarterback or you can't get off the field then you're going to lose the game and it's not going to be pretty I really do expect a big bounce back from Colorado in this game uh we saw that Thriller last year the overtime uh classic instant classic I I think we all laded shadur Sanders passing yards in that game and then he got it in overtime um I was asleep uh to tell you the truth because it was so late but I do like Travis Hunter I think we're GNA see a lot of Travis Hunter touchdowns against uh you know secondaries that or front sevens even that aren't gonna get a ton of pressure on Ser Sanders if he has time Travis Hunter is gonna be one of his targets yeah for this game I just feel like with Colorado all the things you mentioned are right on the money but I'm looking at their defense here and their pass defense to be specific they are dead last nationally in pass completion rate allowed 77% of passes they're allowing to be completed thank you the I'm very generous of you to your opponents uh I mean you can go down the line EPA for drop back 120th yards per dropback 123rd I mean the list the names goes on and on total qbr 130th point is uh they are a absolutely biblically bad pass defense and they're playing Colorado state which Jay norell former head coach of Nevada offensive coordinator is mummy son of Hal mummy the intellectual uh sort of figurehead of the Air Raid Offense and that's what they do they throw all the time and against this Colorado defense that what they do is they allow you to throw all the time Colorado States short rhythmic get the ball into the Playmakers hands and allow them you know in space to create with yards after catch type style I think it plays really well into this sort of a a game script expect Colorado to be throwing as we discussed Nobody Does it more that's what they do is they throw they don't run the ball particularly well as we know even though D Hayden cleared it 133rd in yards per success successful Rush 134th dead last in yards per rush so um they're not going to be doing much of that what I like is keep in mind last year when these two teams played right Colorado and Colorado State they do play every year everyone don't worry 43-35 Colorado be Colorado State very competitive game in which Braden follow and Nicolosi quarterback for Colorado State Unleashed 47 passes completed 72% which is on brand yeah uh 367 yards wow his current over under is said at 232 and a half his latter play over at DK 300 plus yards is plus 360 I don't see any reason why we shouldn't be absolutely nuking this Braden follower Nicolosi line uh this is a terrible defense the script it's all in our favor gear it up that is one of my two Best Bets of I love that teasing an early best bet on the show but I can't find a reason to disagree with that came to me you know I mean he had 202 yards in the last game three touchdown victories so no need to go over that number here but this is gonna be a great game competitive Texas the first game Texas smothered Michigan too like I'm not I'm not GNA going ding you know a Mountain West team for getting beat up on by by Texas and um just so that we are clear here before we go to our uh our little promo we get to our ladder plays and such what is the ultimate number you would play this to you'd expect them to have a huge game but are you playing this at 255 and a half example that gets to that on Saturday uh I'm probably steaming it up to 249 and a half and then like I said depending on where the ladders are why why not take a three and a half to one shot at 300 yards it happened last year stranger things have happened especially against Colorado defense so if this is the team's identity which it is you know that's what they want to do is throw the ball wheels up give it to me yeah let's get both quarterbacks aired out through the air Travis Hunter strong start to the season 110 132 yards and three touchdowns in those two games so uh yeah he certainly could find his way in the end zone too I like the plays and I like that game so uh hopefully everyone enjoys that hopefully everyone dominates this NFL season with a Fantasy Life Plus subscription you guys can get weekly rankings start sit advice DFS analysis and betting tools all you have to do is use promo code season 20 for 20% off go to Fantasy life.com rotworld to learn more and as promised the latter plays are going to be juicy Eric just gave you one um and I absolutely love it uh mine are not too sexy but I'm gonna kick it up things off here with Sher Sanders uh four plus passing touchdowns for him at plus 380 I think it's something that we should probably get involved in I already like the over two and a half but it's something he did against Colorado State last year and I was trying to find parlay odds but they're not out there yet gentlemen uh two defenses that could score this this weekend Michigan's defense and Iowa's defense uh I think there's potential for both of those so I was going to try and parlay the both but we didn't have odds on it yet so I only got Michigan plus 280 they're tiking on Arkansas State who is going to try and throw the ball which is exactly what the Michigan Wolverines want so I like shadur I like Michigan that's nothing new dating back to last year uh Brad what do you like listen I want to piggyback off what you said defense there score a touchdown Alabama crims and Tide are going to score a touchdown on defense this week just gonna put that one out there you'll probably get a good price on that we'll go deeper into that when we get to that but let me talk about my ladder and I'm gonna do a two for one here because I don't think we're covering this game I'm on Trey Harris first and foremost um over 78 and a half um receiving yards against Wake Forest that's old Miss wide receiver first let's just talk about sheer volume 20 Targets in two games 17 catches 170 yards in one 139 in the other you know it was funny I was watching Old Miss I was on Trey Harris last week at 78 and a half as well and I was like oh my God they're just going to be running the ball running the ball down their throats ruthless they're not just running the ball they are throwing the rock doesn't matter what the score is they're going to run their offense which is absolutely something you want to see when you're taking a pass catcher over so now you look at the matchup against Wake Forest Wake Forest my God that secondary bad when they played against Virginia not only did uh condara have over 350 passing yards they allowed five plays of 20 yards or more through the air uh ranked 115th in defensive success rate uh to the pass it's going to be really funny to see the weather's really nice it's actually the weather's overcast with just a little chill in the air which I kind of like for passing it's not going to be too hot and Trey Harris is going to get the ball it's funny because like when you look at like juice Wells the other option for Old Miss his line set at like 45 and a half 43 and a half this is but you have Carson Beck who's 36 excuse me you have Jackson Dart who's 316 passing yards that Ball's going somewhere so I laded him as well 120 receiving yards hit this in both games plus 265 juicy I like that would you uh I'm kind of jealous right now because I thought Michigan's defense was going to be the favorite to score touchdown this weekend it's not it's Alabama Alabama plus 265 on one book plus 340 on the other I got plus 280 on Michigan so technically BMA is the favorite defensive score are you willing to buy into that price plus 280 or plus 340 I mean I think they're going to score um and without calling too much out uh basically M uh Wisconsin are in a very bad script for their inadequacies um where they're not efficient is where they're going to be prone to to make mistakes which is not good but it helps if you want to bet a defensive touch down I like it Eric what you got yeah Tyler vany is a wild man as we all know yeah I love him for it but he is a wild man um yeah as far as the latters go I'm going to go over to Texas A&M in Florida Florida defense uh what they do not do particularly well is pass defense and obviously they lost his first two games uh switched excuse me they lost first game switched over to DJ lagway and he threw for over 400 yards and just Billy Napier let him loose he has to win we'll see what happens with grah Merz still in concuss the protocol but I mean I could certainly see a scenario here where there is shootout potential Florida has to throw the kitchen sink bilon na trying to save his job but he has a pathetic pass defense 119th in completion rate 122nd in completions of 20 plus yards and7th in passing success rate with Connor Wegman you know a former five-star quarterback was hurt last year but was really good when he had the opportunity to you know throw a little bit played Notre Dame week one that has one of the best pass defenses in the country even if they couldn't stop NIU on the ground last week and allowed 190 rushing yards but when it comes to Conor Wegman um look at his ladder 250 yards is a plus 350 against this Florida pass defense 275 yards is plus 750 okay that's a that's a gigantic seven and a half to one spread for just 275 yards which yeah do I mean should it be lined at 250 as his line you know probably not but it's not that far out of the real of possibility against this Florida defense defense and then what we saw Florida do last week if they're scoring that they're going to have to keep Pace that's very much in play I love that ladder for Conor yeah I I absolutely love that one too and I know you were as Adam before the show about this play I gota say you lived with the hyp breaking it down Eric uh love that get in our pockets there um a couple other plays that we're gonna talk about and some games we're gonna talk about is uh Oregon orgon State next we have that Alabama game you mentioned Notre Dame Eric which kind of you know irritated Brad and myself but we'll have to talk about it today uh but let's start with the Ducks and the Beavers this is a game that has another big spread 16 and a half in favor of Oregon total sit at 50 and a half Saturday 3:30 p.m Eastern game so a little earlier uh usually it's not a night kickoff here between the two but we do know Brad that the home team has gone 4 and0 in the last four meetings so can the Beavers not only cover the 14 but can they win this game outright or is this the time that the orgon Ducks finally click there's a lot lot of question marks about Oregon yeah right they they had Dylan Gabriel the Heisman favorite preseason uh Oregon was like second favorite to win the Big 10 now people are wondering if Oregon will even make the playoffs and I do think it's a bit of an overreaction y stumbled against Idaho but that's just a whatever game um then they played against Boise State I thought in the second half they started to clean up there were some turnover differences they had to stop alshan jenty which alsan jent is a freaking man dude and I I was like wondering if he would hit his number they said his over number so high in that game I knew he was just going to obliterate it great game for him uh Oregon State started the season okay right uh they bring in uh javanni McCoy um from I'm drawing a blank on on where he's from uh they bring in Javan McCoy who is a run first quarterback right he's not a guy who's gonna be chucking the ball down the field um they lose a ton on the offensive line they lose literally three coaches like the blink of an eye even their offensive line coach offensive C head co head coach I was worried about this number right but I thought I would probably have it closer to 14 if I wanted to take Oregon here just because Oregon they haven't had the success right if you're betting on Oregon you're betting on Oregon to be successful at some point right it's not what you've seen but what is going to happen and I just don't know if this is the game where it's GNA happen um and I don't want to test it out right what Oregon State's going to do and I don't think they're going to be bashful about it is they're going to run the ball 108th and run uh R run rate excuse me overexp expected dealing with a little bit cold so I these long sessions of talking are getting to me but I'm gonna get it out because I'm really excited about this play um I wrote this game up for NBC Sports as well on the website make sure you check it out but they're going to run the ball uh McCoy's number is 170 passing yards and I think he goes under that they're going to want to keep attacking this front seven of Oregon and see if they can have similar success as Boise State I went with Jam Griffin over 47 and a half rushing yards when I uh was writing this up I had his total at 60 and a half as the open and it opened 10 points lower instantly went to go bet 70 and a half rushing yards at plus 400 and it got sliced to plus 320 then it got sliced to plus 190 never even got the bet in I think he explodes um he's had 20 50 yards on something like 38 carries um this obviously gonna be a much more talented uh defense but they've been getting kind of pushed around um and we'll see like even Idaho had a little bit of limited success running the ball so I like this number he's going to be the Belco back he does split a little bit but he will get the bulk of the carries yeah th I actually like that play and it kind of plays into what Oregon is doing what they're not doing well as mentioned they played Idaho and they played Boise State and not a zero power for teams rank 120th in yards per Rush allowed rank nth in Opportunity rate 102nd in stuff rate they're just simply their offensive line is not doing what they need to and that has trickled down frankly into their past protection 115th with a 99.1% sacks per drop back rate keep in mind last year Bo Knicks barely got touched back there only had five sacks allowed all year Oregon so they're not getting it done on the line when it comes to what they're trying to do passing they've been fine they only Gabriel has actually been really good it's just they need to get more push up front and they need to protect better it's just that simple because they're not hitting big plays and you can't hit big plays if you don't have time so I really like the the jam Griffin play 47 yards split in time with Hankerson but you know there's nothing wrong with that given what we see saw from jenty we saw holes too it wasn't like was creating it all himself like they were able to get push I'm concerned about what we're seeing from this defensive front uh and offensive front out there like I was saying both sides of the ball running and uh run defense I like that play by Jam Griffin I like it a lot I don't have one for myself at the moment but I I support Brett yeah I support as well and that's spread I'll mentioned too uh has grown out in favor from Oregon minus 14 to 16 and a half so uh this number gets a 17 17 and a half we could see some Oregon State support start betting it down it could be uh Pros vers Joe's there but let's talk about Alabama this is Brad's woolhouse number four Alabama taking on Wisconsin that spread 16 and a half as well for the road favor total sit at 51 and a half uh Brad what do you like in this game outside of jam Miller H yeah I have a bunch of plays wait there's two jams yeah there's Jam Griffin and jam Miller totally different teams yeah uh I think I'm also betting on two different haes in this uh show as well so just to confuse everybody even more um you know this game has sent me for a whirlwind initially I wanted to be with Wisconsin uh plus the 16 16 and a half um just you know Camp renle is a tough place to play right um really great at covering his double- digit dogs I think they haven't uh lost against the spread as a double- digit favorite since a double digit dog excuse me since n the 70s maybe right and then I was like thinking about what Alabama wants to do in this game they're going run the ball right um Alabama 85th in Rush rate overe expected basically that means is they run the ball a crap ton and why not right and then I was also ready to be excited about Wisconsin if um pritchet doesn't play if Kaden proor doesn't play those are two offensive linemen that are absolutely necessary for the success of this Alabama team uh word came in that piter's probably gonna play uh probably going to start probably going to have a full workload um when he played last week it was night day everyone who was hanging on an Alabama cover or an Alabama second half cover the dude played five plays they they outscored uh South Florida 28 to three in those five plays that he was on offense and I could you could see it and it's kind of piggybacks into my first play what happened they were getting great protection on the right hand side running the ball great for a lot of people who don't know what happened inside that game uh they put in Formby and Formby was getting tossed around lot of lot of blown ass assignments a lot of holds and then they couldn't run the ball um averaging less than like 2.1 yards per carry and then they start getting some explosive plays running behind pritchet well I took this on Underdog I took Jam Miller over 18 and a half as his longest Rush has hit this in both games and actually hit this in two of his last three games to end the season last year um he's just an explosive running back it's funny running back by committee for Alabama and at the beginning of the year Jam Miller I I think I even came on here and said I want to bet Jam Miller Heisman they don't have his odds he's just explosive and when you talk when they talk to running backs coach Gillespie they say we're gonna be even backfield until someone gets the hot hand and I think that's going to be jam Miller I also took another play and I'll be brief with these these last two plays so we're not just here all day but I took the other running back over rushing yards um the number was just way too low for me Alabama's going to run the ball the bulk of the time here going to be good behind a good offensive line and much like Jim Miller he has that Breakaway power and speed um he was averaging 2.4 yards per carry with a like he had a couple bigger runs but he just wasn't getting it done but this is just another situation where I think Alabama are going to feed their guys and then the last play uh Kobe Prince over 28 and a half uh receiving yards Kobe Prince last week was 68 and a half we bet is under um but what happened in that game sometimes it's better to be lucky than good right Kendrick law plays the entire game my my whole thought process behind uh Kobe Prince was he's out of the rotation senior wide receiver out of the rotation not getting as many snaps coob uh Kendrick law makes a mistake um and then uh Adams gets hurt and guess who's playing a ton Kobe Prince on the field all of the time had two catches for about 48 yards in that game a few more targets average yards per uh Target was about 15 so now the number just too low the books corrected based on the information they had but Kayla is going to be lowered lowered down hail's not even close to returning um uh and guard per Target are also his y per Target is also just too high not to take 28 and a half over I took it and I think Alabama cover the spread if you look around you can find 14 and a half is still out there yeah I mean you make good points uh about the rushing attack I have some concern concerns about Alabama 76 in rushing success rate 100th in yards per carry after contact what's going on Jam Miller and Justice Haynes what's the deal with that 87th in power success rate right so they've been a lot more effective when they've chosen to throw the ball they haven't done it as much obviously because they've been able to you know they're Alabama and they played two lesser opponents they can kind of lean on but um when they threw the ball millero was extremely effective he hasn't thrown an interception yet but you know seventh in EPA per dropb 18th in yards per dropb um you pretty darn good it all is in terms of the you know 20 plus yard completions everything is in line what I'm concerned about is the offensive line look hasn't been good clearing the way hasn't been good in power situations um 7.5% sack rate per drop back that's 102nd sacks per pressure okay Jaylen milro 57% of the time he's pressured he's sacked that's 126 in the country so there's work to be done here for Alabama they haven't played particularly well against Western Kentucky and especially us USF I know you watch the game USF was in the backfield all game long I'm sorry like they were not able to protect milro and they were running the ball most of the time that's a concern for me against uh you know against Wisconsin I think 16 and a half is too much I think Wisconsin can keep it close and uh I do think that because of that you'll probably see milro throw a little more than he's had to the first two games they've definitely been heavy on the Run scripts but oh I can't help but kind of like the over 211 and a half of Jaylen milro I think you see a little more out of them having to throw a little bit more this week and I like The Apprentice uh 28 and a half as a result when they hit they hit big plays so that's a good recipe yeah I was going to say Alabama looked very explosive in that fourth quarter against us SE outscoring them you know 28 to3 but uh Brad I I wanted to ask you CU did Alabama's fourth quarter make you more confident moving forward with Alabama uh and the Futures Market um that no and it was not just the fourth quarter it's because so Eric talked about the bad offensive line play many people I don't think realize Alabama remade their entire offensive line just for that game that it's not an excuse of them being good or bad it's scary if you have that little depth where you're moving three offensive linemen to different parts on the line that's not good for longevity because people are gonna get hurt and if that's what you have to do and you have that little bit of success I've been telling Alabama fans like I didn't feel like Alabama was a number four team in the country it's just because you're gonna have to have the depth later in the season yeah no I totally agree any uh lasting points on the game before we move on to my favorite game of the week yeah before I sounded crazy I was just talking about Alabama touchdown I think defensive touchdown I I think there's two things that I want to touch on we don't talk about the Swarm D enough um Tyler van if this becomes a negative game script for Tyler van Dy tan dy's just going to Chuck it out there um swarm D is pretty good uh to kind of create turnovers number one because of the defensive line you literally can move your defensive line all over the place at some points you have you have your uh your DN lining up in the inside to get more more pace and if you run any uh stunts from that position now you have a guy stunting from the inside to the outside which causes confusion for the offensive line which makes it easier for the secondary because the quarterback is out of rhythm and I think this is a good situation with a good p a good script if sap gets his what third defensive touchdown of the Season man I'll probably be smiling yeah I uh was going to say too I found myself trying to look for quarterbacks to live bet the over passing yards when they're in negative game scripts but can't be so quick to the rendo because a guy like shter Sanders may not even finish close to it like he did against Nebraska last week uh so it's just definitely something I'm trying to uh catch myself uh live betting as well but I like that that quarterback look um let's talk about like I said the my favorite game of the week it's wazu at Washington U I told you guys I'm on the huskys win total under this year but Washington is a four and a half Point favorite here this is a neutral field game so this is in Seattle alumen field where the Seahawks play Saturday 3:30 PM Eastern total at 56 and a half I think the dog is live here I think Washington State can get the win out right so I played them at plus five it's down to four and a half it's actually my people's parlay pick too this week so sorry for anyone that's betting the Huskies and wants to ride with us but Washington's won nine of the last 10 so they have owned Wazoo but I don't think this is the same Huskies team from the past gentlemen they have lost so much production new coaching staff new quarterback I just watching that first half against Eastern Michigan I was so ready to back emu plus the 25 and a half before Washington scored two touchdowns in the final three minutes that half but I really think the huskies are not as good as advertised um so any uh strong opinions in this game Eric I'll start with you yeah with uh with the Huskies what are they not doing particularly well against a pretty soft schedule you got Eastern Michigan and Weaver State they not stopping the Run 111th and stuff rate 99th with a 45th 45% success rate allowed they're not giving up much in the air though and frankly you you know while we thought this is the Washington State team that is the air raid you know disciples that we're used to of the the Mike Leech era guess what they did last week oh John mattier went and ran the ball all day long I mean I didn't see that coming but here we are and damn it it worked pretty effectively you know um good for them they were able to really give Texas Tech a pretty damn good go and that's the point gosh JS success Rush fifth EPA per Rush 22nd I can't believe we're talking about Washington State here but you know yards per carry after contact First in the country I I I am absolutely baffled by what we're seeing but look let's take it for what it is you know they haven't been as successful passing the ball Washington State 68th in success rate they managed to hit big plays when they have been successful but I think if you look at these two teams you know Washington would like to protect that kind of soft remade defensive line everybody's gone essentially from that team and they've got Jonah Coleman who's a real Hammer there in the back field I think we see more of this running script that's what both these defenses with they're with they most vulnerable um and with running games with running scripts and potentially rain we're up there in the Pacific Northwest I like the under 56 and a half points yeah um I haven't been giving out too many spreads I think it's a little too early for me to be really confident here uh Washington State I I want to be on John matri rushing yard so much what's really phenomenal about his rushing his rushing yards uh six nine of them I think he ran the ball 15 times nine of the 15 were Gap runs uh where they literally just said we're gonna run up the Gap design QB run I was not expecting that um I actually go against the DAT and I'll say eight because one of his runs should have been a scramble even though he ran up the gut I don't think it was a a QB draw but then six of them scrambles the dude was absolutely rushing running running don't have much to say but if you can find his rushing over I would bet it yeah I think that's gonna be a good look too a lot of what Eric just said too backs uh backs your play so the under 56 and a half is the play for Eric there which I actually adore as well I think this could be a low-scoring game rivalry games are usually going to be low-scoring games unless you're playing in the Big 12 uh but I like wazu in this one I think they can win outright so I played the plus five in the money line at plus6 65 that game's on NBC and peacock at 3:30 p.m. Eastern and then after that one we get another peacock game Indiana at UCLA that one 7:30 pm Eastern UCLA is a three-point favorite total sit at 46 and a half and guys I mean we talked about it last year we haven't talked about it much this week but you will not find a bigger supporter uh probably in this market than Kurt Signet than myself uh him being a iup uh head coach that's where I went to school um I got to cover for him in college and he has totally exploded uh in his first two games as a Hooser coach 108 to 10 he outscored as opponents but uh Brad I mean you know beating FIU and Western Illinois the leathernecks isn't ultimately too impressive right so now they are favorites traveling across the country in their first Big 10 game with this coach in a road game against a new first year head coach as well who's had a week off to prepare for this one man give me UCLA plus a three in the money line I'm not even overthinking man yeah I I I side with UCLA here not locking it in but I think UCLA win this one as an underdog it's putting my faith in Ethan garber's number one which is kind of scary why I didn't lock it in all the way but UCLA they opened up like a nine or seven point favorite against Hawaii we're just in a tough spot to cover right um new coaching staff new system uh traveling to Hawaii uh didn't cover but they won the game strangely didn't give the ball to TJ harden a ton which I was kind of confused to see um um but I I do think this team uh they get back to what they do best and that's just putting their foot in the ground and going forward uh one cut run one cut runs I think they they beat this Illinois this Indiana team excuse me um statistically though you know with UCLA only playing one game against Hawaii where garbage threw two interceptions Hawaii threw two interceptions as well it's hard to take um put much stock into it um but I just think that cross country uh road trip first one this is the first one of the season right that's might might weigh heavily on them so I give the a little bit advantage to UCLA ucl's offense is pathetic they stink really I've had enough 130th and success rate they were absolutely worthless against Hawaii I I I can't believe we're sitting here talking about this yeah deont Tom Linn gone Chim Kelly gone all right 132 success R we discussed we got Ethan garbers who accounted for 3 20 of the te team's 343 yards wonder why they didn't run the ball because I couldn't run the ball nine carries for nine yards under tamarian Harden 71 rushing yards on 20 carries against a Hawaii front that allowed 172 yards a game last year no no this USA team stinks and it's gonna continue to stink and they're playing an Indiana team with as you mentioned Kurt cetti brings over a whole lot of experience really hit that transfer portal hard you see didn't Indiana did and with the better coaching staff we saw deshun Foster's if you haven't go take a look at deshun Foster's Pack 12 uh interview he's not ready for prime time we'll just put it that way I think Indiana blows the doors off of UCLA and I can't wait to see the props come out for this game because I'm gonna be all over whatever I can for the Indiana game give it to me easy call Indiana whoops you I don't care how far they have to go that's a bad yeah that was certainly the uh most awkward press introduction probably ever for his Pack 12 to the Big 10 media not probably not but I did not know UCLA played in Los Angeles till he told me though so thank you brother I appreciate that uh just kidding I did know that everyone did but uh but uh yeah so uh Rose beef bet Eric you got Indiana I got UCLA first R beef bet of the season is it we're beefing oh yeah you it's crazy because you did teas me last week trying to get me to do Iowa Iowa State and I didn't fully go into it and then Iowa State field goal of course I knew that was coming don't worry Thor messed that up too I'll tease him yeah it's okay it's okay we all like the hot guys there but we'll get our money back we just tease that to later in the show but uh all right gentlemen we got two more big 10 games to talk about and then we're going to roll into our Best Bets in our people's parlay so let's get right to business Notre Dame at Purdue the uh Fighting Irish Brad I mean I don't have a cap in this game I'm done with this team uh they are 10-point favorites now total it was 12 and a half it's come down uh total at 45 and a half Saturday 3:30 PM Eastern uh quick thoughts on this game after Northern Illinois stole our coin last week H what defensive line man I thought that we were have this Notre name defensive line just come in reak havic um if I remember certainly correctly zero sacks in that game uh wow zero sacks by the Fighting Irish against Northern Illinois um I'm off this game I I was and the reason I I know that is because I was gonna bet Hudson card rushing under thinking they'd get the card a couple times and uh line set at 18 and a half but just can't do it I have no angle because I have no idea what Notre Dame team shows up right and this is a pivotal game because Notre Dame needs to get back to having success Riley Leonard need needs to find a solution in the passing game and you know there's some questions of who's going to catch the balls there right like when great house one of your wide receivers line set at 28 and a half because there's no idea who you're going to feed the ball to how are you g to be successful offensively they're just going to stack the Box against you and make life easy pass for me pass pass yeah with uh with Notre Dame I mean quarterback Riley Leonard just it's been a very bumpy ride 55.2 PFF passing grade that is dead last amongst all power four signal callers uh this season that is absolutely terrible I don't need to tell you about that 6.8 ADOT 10th lowest among FBS quarterbacks zero to2 touchdown interception ratio and he's coming off 2023 where he completed 57% of his passes with a three to3 touchdown interception ratio and 2011 dropbacks okay so we haven't seen the good Riley Leonard in a very very long time and that's bad news obviously as we saw from Notre Dame because while they're playing Purdue who was 4 and eight last season that was year one of Ryan Walters former defensive coordinator for Illinois who now is in year two of his scheme and look now they're not going to be nearly as bad and as porous as they were last year gave up 30 points a game but with Notre Dame Fielding one of the top secondaries in the country right 58 58th in defensive passing success rate 55th in EPA per dropback they allowed 9.9 yards per pass to Northern Illinois okay we've seen a little bit of of weakness um now what I think we see out of Hudson card today is he was victimized by a 10% drop rate last year was one of the highest in the power four but they do have one guy that he trusts in that's Max CLA tight end got five got five of five passes in week one for 71 yards if you go back to last season if you look over the second half he was increasingly used more and more and more Hudson card really has a relationship with this guy that he trusts him and they call a lot of plays with those y options for CLA I feel like he's kind of as a safety blanket he's not affected as much by nor Dame's Stout defensive secondary and he's gets game plan plays where they need you know seven eight yards he gets a lot of those looks I think he sees at least six targets today um excuse me in this game if he does 24 and a half receiving yards is extremely reasonable I think that's a great look as the over yeah certainly going to be a tough match up for him against that secondary so going with his safety blanket in the tight end I think is a good play there and uh it's probably the safest play you could probably make in that game because like as Brad and I said I mean really want no parts of it as of right now but the Hudson C looks I like that a lot uh last big 10 game peacock game it's a noon kickoff at Eastern time Central Michigan at Illinois Illinois is 18 and a half Point favorites total at 49 and a half um obviously we all kind of talked about that's officially fishy line last week for Kansas favored against Illinois but Eli and I got the home upset win uh now they got a lookhe head spot where they go on the road Friday to start Big 10 play at Nebraska and then to Penn State the following Saturday so Eric you have the rundown you like Illinois minus the points why yeah I I really was concerned what I saw with Central Michigan this past week against Ford international I mean they got boat RAC 15 excuse me 52- 16 against FIU like all right I like Keon junin much of the next guy give me a break okay um that's a problem obviously they had Bert em Manuel last year was the more dual threat quarterback Joey Leos is now the QB transfer from Iowa did not look particularly good got to watch what he the game and all of his uh his throws last week I'm concerned and when they're playing against an Illinois team that with Brett belma we know that they will go and they will absolutely Maul a team if you give them the opportunity to do so they will lean on you with that big mean physical offensive line and they will put it on you and they have a better QB in Luke almeer who you know has grown a little bit and when he's healthy has been effective so um I think that they can pass when they want to I think they're gonna be able to run when they want to and that's bad news for a central Michigan team that just got beat 52 to 16 18 and a half points all right I'll take Illinois given the 18 and a half points after what I just saw from Seth yeah well good luck to you kind sir because that's a that's a boat you're on by yourself uh I'm paddling I'm paddling boys whatever it Tak stay afloat my friend uh wear your life jacket I need one too but uh yeah it's going to be a good slate of big 10 games that is the one that I'm G to stay away from because I have no idea the Mac looked like the SEC to me uh during week two these guys were scoring left and right so I want no part of the Mac uh this weekend but in the NFL it's going to be a great one on Sunday night it's a match up between two of the brightest young quarterbacks in week two on Sunday night you can watch Caleb Williams in the Bears face off with CJ Stout and the Texans in Houston coverage begins at 700 p.m. Eastern on NBC and peacock as you all know by now we've teamed up with B MGM this season we'll be using bmgm lines to make all our picks and we'll have special offers for our listeners each week if you haven't signed up to bmgm yet use bonus code bet Edge and you'll get up to a $1,500 first bet offer on your first wager with B MGM here's how it works download the BET MGM app and sign up using bonus code bet Edge deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game and you'll receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses just make sure you use bonus code bet Edge when you sign up seeb mgm.com for terms 21 plus only us promotional offers not available in New York Nevada Ontario or Puerto Rico gambling problem call 1 1800 Gambler available in the US call 8778 hopen or text Hope NY 467 369 in New York call 1 1800 next step in Arizona 1800 327 5050 in Massachusetts 1 1800 bets off in Iowa 1800 98123 in Puerto Rico first bet offer for new customers only subject to eligibility requirements rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 Days in partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel don't forget if you haven't signed up for B MGM yet use bonus code B Edge and get your $1500 first bet offer today and we are back and standing on business here Brad because I love our people's parlay picks on B MGM 10 bucks is paying out 7277 but I'm going to be honest Eric's pick once again scares the crap out of me why you taking minus two and a half we can take the money line Eric uh tell me wish last week I win if you take the money line call it the money line take the money line fine if you if that's the way you want to go that's fine with it especially since it's a parlay I put in the two and a half because it's like you know I I don't want to if it's a standalone that's one thing but you're right in a parlay well who cares right it doesn't matter we're g to get good odds anyway so yeah fail free to throw at the money line if if you want to go with the Von front and I understand when it comes to Cincinnati uh keep in mind Miami last week played Northwestern and northwestern's offense is is just terrible and it's been you know pretty much proven to be such for the past couple years they scored less than 20 points a game last year it was bad so so they played against Northwestern last week and they couldn't do anything against northwestern's def I mean I mean anything and this is a team that doesn't want to throw particularly often 133rd in standard down run rate 132nd in passing down run rate they had to throw the ball all the time because rushing they did nothing 129th in stuff rate 123rd yards precarity before contact 123rd rushing accessory just literally could do nothing nothing against northwestern's defense the entire game scored six points it was a 13-6 game that's not what you're going to get out of Cincinnati they're not GNA have the same problems offensively that a completely restructured northwestern's gonna have you got Brandon sorby who was the quarterback for Indiana last year looked awesome against pit against a good solid pit offense they were out dued last game you know lost by three but they had no problem moving the ball and that was an exciting Cincinnati versus pit game I think with Miami they're not going to be able to move the ball against Dante K Leon The Godfather in company for that Cincinnati front seven either and with Cincinnati I'm not worried about them moving the ball no offense to Chuck Martin but this is a team that can shoot I am in for Cincinnati I think they just handle Miami easily this is a low line yeah uh I'm going to go ahead and go straight to mine because I'm keeping it simple keep it simple stupid I'm going with Texas minus 35 against UTSA sure you can say oh my God they have a let down spot after destroying Michigan but I don't think so I think they knew exactly what they were doing they know exactly who they are man remade defensive line looks really good they were good on the back end they were getting more push than I thought against that Michigan team and Quinn yours looked phenomenal UTSA stinks they stink Texas gonna cover the minus 35 and a half or minus 35 excuse me yeah I like that number a lot there I think Texas rolls once again I like Washington State plus to five for the last leg of our parlay um I think they could win that game all right the spread in my opinion should be more like two and a half or three there uh but the rivaly games always going to be lowc scoring and and close competitive games so we like Cincinnati minus to two and a half Texas minus to 35 and Washington State plus to five for our people's parlay on bmgm 10 bucks pay 7277 odds are plus 623 there all right let's run through our our favorite bets of the week before we get to our best bet uh quickly I'm gonna kick us off here and do the Troy Trojans team total under seven and a half at Iowa uh Iowa obviously lost us some money last week but this is a spot where I think they could absolutely trash Troy they lost their quarterback he's banged up and probable but uh they did nothing until the fourth quarter of their last game they lost 38 to 10 so a meaningless touchdown they have no ground game so give me the team total under seven and a half for Troy Eric what's been of your favorite bets yeah I'm gonna go with Raheem Sanders for South Carolina if you look the way that they have been running their offense uh Lenor sers the seconde quarterback has uh proven himself to be let's just say an inaccurate passer but a pretty impressive physical specimen when it comes to pulling the ball down and doing the rpos I mean He's listed at 63 240 has those AR proportions it's just he's clearly not ready to read a defense and he has a long way to go in that front with Raheem Sanders again another 240 pounder uh you saw how they were able to control the line of scrimmage against Kentucky last game and just through their defense which ranks first in pressure rate uh you know defensively they are going to want to Salt this game away and beat the other team up LSU who we saw how soft they are up front they're gonna want to control the game up front and really bludging them I I took Sanders at 53 and a half in an open I still think it's a good deal it's 64 and a half give me the over yeah I like that a lot I'm rolling with with uh another Underdog pit plus to three in the money line versus West Virginia backyard braw one of the best Ries in college football should be a memoral game for the third year of this match up being renewed but both teams at home have won and gone two and0 against the spread and on the money line neither team will look the same offensively as they did last year totally new quarterbacks uh and totally new uh defenses as well so this isn't quite the 2000s match up between pit and West Virginia so I like the Panthers plus the three and the money line h2p held a pit and I also play an under which we haven't played too many game unders only team totals on myself but I'm telling under an Air Force and Baylor Eric that Air Force offense has been on The Struggle Bus uh 21 versus marax 17 against San Jose State both of those were home games uh now they go to face Baylor before having a buy week uh so absolutely hate both offenses in this game to be honest give me the under 41 and a half in Air Force and Baylor yeah like in terms of uh my other play Jem white running back West Virginia supped to 62 and a half rushing yards that West Virginia offensive line is so good experienced five starters back over 100 in line starts they have just been mauling and with Jem white healthy explosive he had taken over that backfield uh over the course of the second half last season after CJ Donaldson went down even though you're gonna see both of them I think they come after pit and try to impose their will upon them they don't want to get in shootout with their offensive coordinator Kade Bell from Pittsburgh they've shown that they can put the ball into the end zone uh I like Jim likes over 62 and a half rushing yards I think he hits a big one like that yeah let me go straight into the best bet uh it's Mr Jam Miller longest rush over 18 and a half Wisconsin just allows too many long runs uh on top of everything that I said earlier yeah love that one I'm going Arkansas State team total under 12 and a half at Michigan go big blue we're bringing them back boys uh I think this is just a spot where the Wolverines honestly look phenomenal like they did in week one against Fresno State defensively um you know this red wolves offense for Arkansas State uh two wins combined by seven points against Central Arkansas and Tulsa Michigan ain't that a lot of three and outs go under Arkansas State team total yeah and I like a sort of derivative play here we're going to have a little fun Jordan McLoud QB Texas State over 0 five interceptions keep in mind yeah I know a little spicy here a little fun interceptions o outside the box yeah well keep in mind dating back to his time at JMU Jordan McLoud has thrown an interception in 10 of his last 12 games including both games this season I just think going up against a power four defense that's looked pretty darn good in their first two games in Arizona State you know this Kell Kenny Dillingham team year two is now gotten out of the shadow of Antonio Pierce and Herm Edwards and they're you know certainly succeeding at this point I just think 10 out of 12 against Arizona State's defense possibly being in a Chase position being you know having to put it up point five interceptions I love that it's getting a little different we haven't had an interception prop all season yet so uh cheers to the first one uh let's be profitable here so great show overall guys Jordan McLoud over5 interceptions Eric's best bet Brad likes Jam Miller over 18f longest rush and I like Arkansas State's team total Under 12 and a half at Michigan uh appreciate everyone that listened and watched us on the YouTube channel make sure you subscribe and like if you guys don't know now you know now if their name is Jam Brad will be taking them if his last name is hannes Brad will be taking him and they will be cashing for us so best luck with your bets we'll see you for week four