Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rains Forecast for Victoria and Tasmania, Storms Forecast for Perth

Intro good morning my name is Josh from Cycles Z happy Friday to all watching another detailed forecast update coming your way today we're going to look at some storms heading for Western Australia some show storms and snow heading for Southeastern Australia some hot weather across central Australia and some heavy rainfall that's possible up in Far North Queensland over the next 10 days all of that plus more coming up in today's weather forecast if you are brand new to the Channel please to consider subscribing that is uh greatly appreci app we're going to start things off over Western Australia Weather Forecast in the southwest of Western Australia we've had a nice cold ront blow through last night with another one just a couple of hours away from the coastline which you can see on the satellite imagery right now it's about to blow through the Southwest with some heavy showers possible in the next hour or so for Perth and surrounding suburbs by the time this video comes out I reckon this front will be well and truly a Shore you can see on the radar as well we've got some heavy showers just starting to approach the coastline this time nothing crazy but still we could be seeing rainf accumulations over the next couple of hours am Mount to 10 mm across parts of the Southwest and slightly heavier along the hills and some of the ranges down towards Bunbury and Harvey um some cool temperatures were reported overnight but they are starting to warm up a little bit we're expecting a rather mild top today powered by these northwesterly conditions it will be an early maximum especially for locations around Perth with maximum temperatures into the low 20s expected in the coming hour or so but after this cold front sweeps through the temperatures will plummet with a nice rain band expected in this systems wake which will be bringing showers right through this afternoon and evening and making for a rather unpleasant night all things considered now before I go any further I'd like to say just go just do me a favor here and go out and check your car if you do live in Perth last night is it covered in like salt spots or dust spots or something like really big watermarks because I think because of the very strong winds last night it stirred up a lot of salt from the ocean my car was covered in them take a look at it right now um and yeah it's just made for all round a pretty nasty driving experience with a filthy car and constantly using the wipers to clean the wind screen because it's just absolutely filthy it's not pleasant at all but yeah hopefully the winds will be slightly calmer today so the showers won't pick up as much salt and dump it all over our cars homes and so forth because that certainly was something that I didn't expect last night now throughout the course of today the showers will pick up before about midday with a chance of a thunderstorm around the Perth metro area especially into the southern suburbs around the coast we're expecting the chance of thunderstorms until the early evening hours showers are also possible out in the uh wheat belt especially into the central wheat belt out towards corage and Lake Grace and Raven storp showers are possible into this evening showers will continue for the Southwest coast and the Perth area right through tonight they will pick up early tomorrow morning as another cold front sweeps up from the south and impacts areas between jurri and Bay right down towards the Southwest caves and Albany with rainall accumulations up 20 mm possible before 9:00 a.m. Saturday or tomorrow morning so certainly going to be quite a wet start to the weekend and these showers here also bring the chance of some damaging winds especially in the wake of the cold front between around 8:00 a.m. Saturday to around midday Saturday the risk of damaging winds does remain quite High across the Perth metro area and the Southwest capes and I'm surprised a severe weather warning hasn't been issued for wind gusts possible up to 100 km an hour which is what we are looking at the chances of especially along the Southwest capes and for exposed Coastal locations such as Ocean Reef Garden Island and rot Nest Island the chance of some significant wind gusts are certainly possible now tomorrow morning I have also highlighted the chance in previous videos about a week ago of a bit of a thunderstorm outbreak in the uh wake of this cold front I don't think that's going to be the case anymore I think this cold front is just going to be moving too fast to blow up some thunderstorms in the front of it so again I don't think tomorrow's coldfront is going to be that violent for the Southwest but there is always a chance of some thunderstorms and obviously the chance of water spouts as well just with how warm the L current is running we could be seeing potentially severe thunderstorms approach the coastline tomorrow so again I would keep things I'd keep a close eye on the radar if I was you because it looks like we could be seeing some pretty heavy showers and some pretty strong storms sweep up now Saturday night it will be a return to the cool calm and dry conditions pounded by a high pressure Ridge that's going to build itself over the central wheat belt and into the northern weat belt parts of Western Australia that's going to be uh giving way to some cool calm dry conditions like I have said through Sunday Monday and into Tuesday next week before the showers pipe up again from a cold front early Tuesday morning and that is kind of the weather the significant winter weather over the coming couple of days there is the chance of cold fronts into the end of August and also for the start of September uh however it looks like we're going to be seeing a bit more of a return to the spring-like weather so this is a good forecast indeed especially for those that are getting a bit Fed Up of winter at this time it looks like it the weather is starting to clear out at this time it looks like things are starting to turn a little bit more pleasant and a little bit more spring-like I think this will be the last series of cold fronts ending off by around Thursday next uh week and then after that it looks like a return to some more uh spring-- like some more change likee weather so we'll keep a very close eye on things with the weather forecast but it looks like we're definitely getting a return to some cooler calmer dryer conditions now another thing that I would like to talk about is the chance of rainfall accumulations on each given day so throughout the course of today with this coldfront this going to be coming through up to 15 mm across the Perth Hills about 10 mm of the Perth metre area slightly less rainfall across the northern and the coastal suburbs uh the southeast expect the most amount of rainfall and the highest accumulations will likely be around dwelling up in Jale with up to 25 millim negligible accumulation was making it out into the wheat belt just a couple of millimeters expected across some places but with thunderstorms we could be seeing accumulations up to 15 millim aparts of the central wheat belt again nothing crazy there uh tomorrow is where the real range is going to be coming in again this is the most significant rainfall that we'll be seeing for quite a while probably at least 2 weeks or so across the Southwest but take a look at this only about 25 mm from tomorrow's front that is in STK contrast the bu of meteorology expecting up to 50 mm tomorrow for some of these locations I think that they're definitely calling for a much more severe weather event than what the other forecast models are calling for especially considering the GFS isn't calling for anywhere near that kind of rainfall and the same thing with the axess G3 all forecast models are calling for a pretty small amount of rainfall to come through tomorrow and I think the forecast from The Bu of neology is definitely stretching it a little bit again in saying that I wouldn't be surprised if some locations especially around mundaring or down towards dwelling up picked up 50 mm of rain to the 9:00 a.m. on Saturday but I would be surprised if it was as wide spread as what the bu meterology is suggesting I think the rainfall accumulations tomorrow will be a lot lighter and a lot of people will end up calling this cold front a bit of a fizzer now showers will continue through the early parts of next week Monday Tuesday and Wednesday as well the Chan of showers do continue and then Thursday again another chance of showers but it doesn't look like there's going to be much rainfall beyond that and that gives way to 10day rainfall accumulations not looking as Grand as what they have once looked across the Southwest there will be Peak accumulations above 50 mm up to 60 mm across the hills but again the majority of that coming through today and tomorrow a couple of good showers as well around the Perth metro area will amount to 30 mm over the next 10 days but apart from that the rainfall is starting to really dry out here but we have had a pretty wet winter my weather station so far this year has picked up 800 mm which is a sign significant amount of rainfall it's a huge amount of rainfall actually and it's certainly made up for the incredibly dry start that we have considering the majority of that has fallen May June July and August with a little bit more expected I would not be surprised if we crossed a meter of rainfall this year across parts of the Southwest um especially in the hills and down towards the southwest corner I would not be surprised if some weather stations picked up a meter of rainfall this year which is very good rainall indeed and that basically does it for Vic/Tas/NSW Storm Forecast Western Australia at least the Southwest we will touch on Western Australia again later on the video for a heat forecast however we're going to move over to Tasmania Victoria and parts of New South Wales where a series of cold fronts is expected to be bringing some winter conditions once again to those States um we are expecting warmer than average temperatures across New South Wales today and that's being powered by northwesterly and Northerly winds funneling into Victoria which does give way for the chance of thunderstorms later tonight across Victoria and New South Wales and into early tomorrow morning as well with showers and storms expected across the northern coast of Tasmania too with up to 20 mm of rain expected across parts of Victoria Tasmania and about 10 mm for New South Wales more showers and storms on Sunday as well especially Sunday afternoon into Victoria and New South Wales it's going to be a lot of energy in the environment and I would not be surprised if severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and heavy rainfall did um occur Sunday night or Sunday afternoon across Victoria and New South Wales with their greatest Champs being between 4 and 7:00 p.m. local time into the South um Eastern corner of New South Welles against the Dividing Range and also into the northeastern corner of Victoria uh around Albury and wag wager that sort of area so certainly the chance of some heavy Falls there and that will turn into snow Monday morning across parts of the Highlands above 1600 M with snow also expected from a cold front Tuesday evening across Tasmania and then snow showers continuing through Tasmania in the highlands of Victoria and new southwes with a return to winter-like conditions from Tuesday afternoon right through Wednesday Thursday and Friday next week and even into the early parts of next weekend with just a constant stream of rain from the Roaring 40s which is going to amount to huge accumulations across Tasmania take a look at this up to 250 mm expected across parts of the Tasmanian Highlands over the next 10 days and the majority of that actually falling between uh Tuesday and Saturday next week just take a look at this here massive rainfall accumulations are possible in just those 5 days up to 150 mm there for the west coast of Tasmania and some big accumulations as well into Victoria especially around the highlands with above 100 mm possible through there and along the South Coast as well of Victoria some pretty good accumulations also possible towards Wilson's promet up to 150 mm Melbourne however missing out on the really significant rainfall only about 25 mm there the Eastern suburbs however will cop the majority of that rainfall some pretty big accumulations also expected into New South Wales around the highlands so yeah it looks like from this thunder storms that be coming through Tuesday night and then the rainfall that's going to be streaming through especially for Tasmania Wednesday Thursday and Friday some pretty significant rainfall accumulations are now on the cards and that also means some pretty good snowfall accumulations as well again the East will be have keeping it real with up to a meter of snow expected across parts of the Tasmanian Highlands that's great congruency from yesterday's forecast so it looks like we can say for pretty uh High degree of certainty that there's a very significant amount of snow coming through especially Wednesday Thursday and Friday next week for parts of Tasmania so it looks like snow lovers are going to get one late season buff to the skiing season which will continue that skiing season into or deep into September by the looks of things with some good accumulations also expected along the highlands of New South ws and Victoria now given in the warm temperatures as well I would not be exper expecting snow any anywhere below 1200 M aparts of New South Wales or Victoria and Below 1,000 M for Tasmania I think the temperatures are just starting to warm up a little bit too much now for parts of uh these states I reckon Tasmania on Wednesday and Thursday there's a chance of snow down to about 700 M but I don't think it'll creep any lower than that um of course EF does exaggerate the extent of the snowfall but I reckon the accumulations of up to a meter along the high peak certainly possible at this time cradle Mountain mount AA Ben lman that sort of area some pretty significant accumulations are of course possible but into New South ws and Victoria it's going to be concentrated on the highest of Peaks and not around other Peaks uh just because of the nature of the climate at this time it's just starting to warm up a little bit too much now that we're into late August and these little snowfall accumulations across Victoria the south of Victoria I don't think that's going to be happening that's just a bit of a model fluke here again wet snow down towards 400 m is possible but again don't expect anything to settle at all this all starting from about Tuesday night remember through Wednesday Thursday and Friday with the heaviest of snow expected Wednesday night into early Thursday morning before it does start to ease off of Victoria New South Wells continuing through Thursday and Friday though for Tasmania any questions or comments on this weather event please do let me know in the comments section down below but it does certainly look like some pretty significant witer weather is going to come through to end off winter season 2024 and this is something very interesting on the forecast and you can see this is also likely to be drought quenching rainfall for parts of Victoria New South Wales as well they currently embedded in mild to moderate drought-like conditions and it's only going to be the northwest of the state and the southwest of New South Wales it's going to be embedded in drought at this time or this time next week rather so this is some very good news for farmers who are currently struggling with some very dry weather conditions at this time this will likely be some very good rainfall to add to that soil moisture uh which they do desperately need in order to get a good harvest this farming and cropping season but yeah that basically does it for the southwest and in fact for winter weather this forecast update before we go and take a look at Tropical Farm North Queensland I Hot Weather Forecast would like to talk about temperatures across the central parts of Australia from today they're really going to be warming up and you can see temperatures already above 30° C parts of Queensland the Northern Territory and even in towards South Australia as well now again this is nothing unusual for this time of the year it's about now when the temperatures really do start to warm up significantly but powered by low pressure ridges and troughs across the central parts of the nation we're going to be seeing temperatures s up to 40° C throughout the coming couple of days 39 tomorrow across parts of South Australia espe esally around udata and minab be some pretty warm temperatures expected there and then tomorrow as well uh Sunday rather we're going to be seeing temperatures up to 38 for parts of the Northern Territory Queensland and up towards 35 or 36 across parts of Northern New South Wales as well around tiura Monday is also going to be pretty warm across parts of the northeast of New South Wales and even into the southeast of Queensland as well with temperatures as high as 30° CS for Brisbane and Lismore and Grafton that sort of area temperatures also going to be warming up once again on Tuesday after a little bit of Rive on Monday for parts of South Australia especially into Western Australia as well just take a look at this big sway of 40 plus degree temperatures outside of broom and robach very warm indeed especially for August we're looking at temperatures about 12° C above average at this time and warm again on Wednesday and Thursday next week before they do just start to calm down a little bit but it looks like the warm is now well and truly set for Western Australia and the Northern Territory with temperatures above 40° C expected to continue for around 7 months now for those parts of uh each Queensland and New South well is a little bit more of a wild card I do still think temperatures will be above 35 from about here on out for parts of central Queensland and especially into Western Queensland as well but for New South Wales and South Australia and parts of Southern Queensland I think temperatures will still be a little bit more variable and a little bit more volatile for a couple more months but still very warm for a lot of uh Western Australia and the Northern Territory uh again very much typical for this time of the year I'm not saying that this is out of the ordinary and I know there's going to be someone in the comments that says oh hot in Australia who would have guessed however uh especially for this time of the year this is starting to warm up and it is very much a rapid increase in temperatures it is a sharp enter winter like I did say in April uh and with temperatures about 12° C above the mean for some of these locations into New South Wes and Queensland and about 10 degrees Celsius above average for the Northern Territory and Western Australia over the coming week or so now Far North Queensland Rain Update we're going to move up into far North Queensland and just quickly have a little look at them they are looking at the Champs of some showers over the coming couple of days we've got showers continuing throughout the morning hours of today and into this afterno afternoon and evening 50 mm has fallen for a couple of locations over the past 24 hours and that does amount to 3-day accumulations approaching 200 millim the areas around inis and tul there'll be a little bit of reprive to the rainfall with a dry Saturday Sunday and Monday expected before a couple of showers return Tuesday and Wednesday from an onshore flow Thursday and Friday looking dry and it looks actually pretty dry right through Thursday Friday Saturday and Sunday into early September but again I would not be surprised if by the end of September we're looking at pretty consistent uh shower bands streaming ashore because it's not long now only about a month or so until those weather conditions really do start to wet up quite significantly now with daily accumulations only expected to be a couple of millimet on the forecast you can extrapolate these forecasts a little bit I tend to double the rainfall here uh so rainall accumulations on the forecast models of around 20 mm I tend to get away with doubling that and you can see 3-day accumulations up to 40 or 50 mm is possible for some areas again this is not heavy rainfall for Far North Queensland but just the heads up showers will be streaming a short Friday and Saturday and then Monday and Tuesday next week before a couple of days of dry weather look to be following it it's not really warming up in final Queensland yet either I know we just talked about the north of Queensland getting SL slammed by 40° temperatures or so or thereabouts over the coming week or so but it isn't so much for final of Queensland at this time however it would not be long until the temperatures really do start warming up there again Outro but basically does it for the forecast up to today if I have left anything unanswered or if you've got a question or comment about something that I've missed or forecast for your location or a report for your location even then please do let me know in the comments section down below and I look forward to getting back to as many people as I can throughout the course of today thank you so much for the support in the videos recently it really does mean a lot and if you want to show your support you can click the join button down below and you can also subscribe to the channel a special shout out to the channel sponsors their names are on screen right now and I could not run this show without them so again their support is greatly appreciated but that is all for me today and I'll catch you all in the next storm goodbye