Severe Weather and Storms Forecast to Slam Tasmania, Heavy Rain Forecast for Far North Queensland

Intro good morning my name is Josh from cyclin Oz and today another detailed forecast update coming your way we're going to start things off talking about Tasmania and the southeast of Australia as a whole with some s weather blowing through there we'll recap on some showers over Western Australia and forecast for some up in Far North Queensland and we will touch on the extreme heat wave developing across Central and Eastern Australia all of that plus more coming up in today's with the forecast if you are brand new to the Channel please consider subscribing your support is greatly appreciated so start Tasmania Severe Weather things off with a view of the southeast you can see another cold front overnight blew through the southern parts of the nation and you can see they've brought some pretty significant weather conditions to Tasmania currently winds are sustained averaging between 40 and 80 km hour across the state with gusts up to 120 km hour and from the front last night we had peak wind gusts on map cyer Island approaching 140 km hour once again very significant wind gusts it's not their final front either that's to bring wind gusts of that magnitude we're expecting more weather conditions and more cold fronts to bring severe weather to that magnitude over the coming couple of days which we'll get to in just a second showers have also been prevalent across Victoria some snow as well across the highlands with more of that on the way as well and showers are still continuing to spread themselves through Tasmania a lot of stations last night picked up wind gusts in excess of 90 km an hour especially on the west coast and through the central Highlands and a lot of places have already picked up over 150 mm of rainfall over the last few days of severe weather with again much more on the way we'll talk about the rainfall right now before touching on that wind threat you can see here in terms of rainfall over the next 24 hours there isn't an awful lot expected in fact over the next 24 hours the rainfall will actually be dying down with it kind of getting to about a bottom at around 6:00 or 7:00 p.m. tonight before it once again picks up with a passage of another very strong cold front that's going to sweep up from the south later tonight into early tomorrow morning and for severe weather lovers if you want to wake up at about 2: or 3:00 a.m. in fact I wouldn't be surprised if the majority of the West Coast was woken up at about 2: or 3 a.m. tomorrow with the passage of this very powerful severe front that's going to come through you're going to be in for some damaging winds some very heavy rainfall by the looks of things as well from very fast moving showers they'll be screaming through it about 150 km an hour in a westly direction very significant weather indeed expected and snow across much of the Highlands in fact down to some of the lower elevations as well by early tomorrow morning where you could be seeing snow flows as low down as about 6 or 700 M especially across some of the Highlands sectors of Tasmania temperatures as well be very cold across much of the state so again make sure you are rugged up for tomorrow morning but yet this cold front really does look quite significant it's likely to bring a further 30 to 40 mm for some places especially in the mountainous areas and along the west coast in terms of wind gusts as well I'm expecting wind gusts especially in the Northwest to be in excess of 120 km an hour in fact probably a little bit stronger as well early tomorrow morning uh right through the B straight we're expecting some very significant wind gusts and a few hours behind at those wav will really pick up I mean look at these wave heights here through early tomorrow morning it's going to make for a very unpleasant ride on the spirit of Tasmania whichever way that is uh headed but if it is close to devonport by early Saturday morning the severe weather it should be out of the way of it but we're talking about wave heights between 5 and 8 m for parts of the bass State very significant wave heights indeed this is a severe front if I've ever seen one and unfortunately it's not the strongest one on the forecast for Tasmania now I mean we're going to play this forecast run through a little bit further you can see the rain and snow continuing through Central Tasmania throughout Saturday another cold front moving through Saturday night this one's going to be especially strong as well and then we've got another just series of severe weather that's going to be belting the state right through the course of Sunday afternoon uh through to Sunday evening which is when one of the strongest cold fronts of the year is expected to batter Tasmania I mean take a look at the winds here we're talking about sustained winds of around 120 km now I'll hang on sorry that's wind gusts winds sustained between 50 and 80 km an hour sustained up to 120 Maybe even 130 km hour gusts in some places this cold front will be very very strong indeed through Sunday evening and into early Monday morning with some massive wind gusts expected across the Northwest and the north of the state into the bastate as well and these very strong wind gusts will continue into early Monday morning as well up to 130 km an hour in the bast stay and wind gusts in excess of 110 km an hour over the highlands in Victoria wind gusts averaging above 90 km hour as well for about 90% of Victoria and for much of Northern Tas Mania in fact the only spot that's kind of excluded from these massive wind Gast just Monday morning is the areas around Hobart it will be slightly calmer there with a low pressure area actually expected to move straight over the top of Tasmania a very intense low pressure system at that and some pretty significant rainfall totals are expected now in the wake of this system for the first time in about a week the winds are going to swing out from the southwest and for anyone that knows a little bit about how weather Works uh down there when the winds come from the southwest in fact the winds from the southwest from much of the southern states of Australia means that the severe weather threat is dying off and you can see the rainfall storms and snowfall do ease out over the course of Monday and then into Tuesday as a high pressure Ridge builds over the top of Victoria and New South Wales and that brings a return to some cooler calmer drier conditions over Tasmania only temporarily however with more cold fronts expected to move through Thursday Friday and next Saturday night uh again these won't be as severe as the cold fronts that we have seen over the past week but there is still more winter weather on the way for them it is still their winter season and it'll be a couple of months until the winter weather fully clears out of Tasmania but the severe weather certainly looks like it's got just a few more days left and it's going to take until about Monday afternoon Monday evening for the severe weather threat to totally pass in Tasmania but this severe weather system that's going to be moving through in fact the three cold fronts that we've got tonight Saturday night and then Sunday night they look very very significant indeed now let's talk about Rainfall/Wind Accumulations rainall accumulations let's break them down day by day uh that's another very important factor on the forecast throughout the course of today we're expecting a further 40 to 50 mm to fall across the High Country in Tasmania about 30 mm along the west coast and some decent accumulations as well across the northeastern National Park leston expecting about 15 MIM Hobart expecting about 15 mm from showers as well tomorrow with the passage of another cold front we're going to be seeing some significant rainfall accumulations as well like I said between 40 and 50 millim of some locations especially in the southwest Wilderness around Strath Gordon and the Gordon and huan river catchment area we're going to be seeing some pretty sign ific accumulations there between 20 and 40 mm expected for some of the western coast communities about 10 mm for both Lon CEST and Hobart and a little bit more rainall into the northeast of the state as well some decent Falls expected on Sunday with a passage of that really strong cold front that's going to be moving through between 50 and 60 mm will sort of be the most amount of rainfall and the vast majority of the state picking up at least 25 mm on Sunday with the only exception being Hobart which kind of only gets about 10 to 15 mm from uh pretty consistent rain Fall by the looks of things down there but some good Falls across much of the state there Monday the rainfall will begin to ease off and you can see it's really Contracting to the West Coast at this time you can see accumulation still between sort of 20 and 40 mm for parts of the West Coast especially around Strath Gordon and the Gordon Dam Area some heavy Falls are expected across there but the rainfall really does look to ease off throughout the course of Monday and Tuesday in St contrast to the last uh week or so it looks like it is going to be dry for the first time in quite a while for much of Tasmania now rful accumulations to really send off this front over the next 4 days they're still skyh high across central parts of Tasmania between 100 and 150 mm for a big S of the Southwest Wilderness around Strath Gordon and between 100 and 140 mm of areas around Queenstown and Mount Reed now around this Lake stclair National Park and around cradle Mountain that sort of area I expect some areas to pick up and a further 200 millim over the next four days I'd not be surprised if that number as well was also breached I just think that 150 mm from the setup that we have over the coming couple of days is a little bit conservative for Tasmania especially some of the uh more mountainous areas around Tasmania I feel like that is a conservative forecast uh also considering that Tasmania rainall accumulations can just naturally blow out uh compared to the forecast I think the axess G3 has also done a pretty good job with the forecast they are calling for much more rainfall across the central parts of the state around 2 to 220 mm of rainfall and then up in the Ben lman National Park and further 180 mm also so some good accumulations expected out there um but I think that with just the setup that we've got over the coming couple of days I think that rainfall here might be a little bit on the underestimated side uh and the only reason that I'm 80% sure as opposed to 100% sure of that is just because of the wind threat considering how fast these fronts are going to be moving through I think that might be why the rainfall is a little bit conservative but just take a look at the wind accumulation map now this is the highest wind gust expected over the next 4 days take take a look at some of these numbers here 140 km hour seems to be pretty widespread along the west coast it's closer to about 130 kmph I reckon some of the high peaks will pick up wind gust in excess of 150 km hour I think that just goes without saying gaff's Hill has been blowing its guts out as well uh just outside of oatlands and north of hobot about an hour north of hobot they've been receiving some insane wind gusts down there m saer Island Australia's windiest place as well I'm expecting some big wind gusts some big numbers down there I would not be surprised if numbers started going going into the 100 mph threshold there certainly going to get quite windy that's for sure but I mean where these fronts are going to be tracking through just take a look at these numbers here not too far south of Tasmania as well 150 to 180 km an hour even very significant wind gusts and totally plausible as well we can't be Victoria Blizzard Forecast neglecting Victoria as well I mean take a look at this their southern coast will be receiving wind gust in excess of 110 km hour as well with destructive wind gust is possible around Wilson's prometer and of course across the islands in the B straight um and the Metro areas around Melbourne expecting wind gusts between 80 and 100 km hour some of the Southern suburbs might pick up wind gusts slightly stronger and some big wind gusts also possible across the mountainous areas of Victoria and into New South Wales as well with blizzard conditions possible on Sunday night and into early Monday morning I believe yeah take a look at this it looks like with a passage of this front we could be seeing blizzard conditions early Monday morning across Victoria and New South Wales which is something I'd also just like to talk about for a few seconds right now is the snowfall accumulation between Sunday and Wednesday next week there are some decent numbers expected across the high peaks certainly an increase from yesterday that's for sure I mean take a look at this we're expecting accumulations between 10 and 20 cm now as opposed to 5 to 10 cm so some decent accumulations are possible uh but I think they will be reserved for the highest of locations of at least sort of 11 or 1200 M up I think that the lower areas of around 6 or 700 M which can sometimes receive snow around Victoria and New South Wales I don't think they'll be getting anything from this weather event at all and I think once you get outside of the sort of the Kiosco National Park the snowfall accumulations will be minimal across New South Wales but yeah that basically does it for a talk on this severe weather system if I've left anything I an answer then please still let me know in the comments section down below it is a very complicated forecast this one there's a lot of moving parts to it it was a difficult one to make um so again if I have left anything unanswered then please do let me know in the comment section down below but yeah let's now Heatwave Forecast talk about the heat wave to warm everyone up across central Australia before we talk about some rain across other parts of the nation we do have extreme heat developing across parts of central Australia and that is typical for this time of the year and it has been building for the last week or so but along some low pressure troughs and in the Headway of a front that's moving through South Australia and into Queensland and New South Wales now bringing little to no rainfall and just a little bit of cloud temperatures are soaring you can see birdsville already at 33° uh now and it's before midday so very warm indeed especially for this time of the year with temperatures expected to rise to 36 or 37 throughout the course of today in fact potentially a little bit warmer into the Northern Territory weather could tickle 40° later this afternoon very warm indeed through there warm as well across New South Wales especially along the east coast you can see temperatures soaring into the high 20s and early 30s for parts of the Northeast and these temperatures are going to remain pretty warm as well we'll cover Queensland and New South Wales first before talking about the Northern Territory in Western Australia it'll be slightly cooler tomorrow and slightly cooler again on Sunday temperatures still expected to go into the low 30s for some areas of Northeast and new southw before they warm up again at next Sunday and Monday where you can see temperatures into the low to very um maybe the mid-30s even for parts of uh Southeastern Queensland especially into the western suburbs of Brisbane we can be seeing 33° C or so much cooler on Tuesday actually with some southernly winds that are expected to bring a bit of a Cool Change in cooler again on Wednesday and Thursday before warming up once again on Friday for the weekend where you can see temperatures soaring into the high 20s very warm for this time of the year and temperatures remaining into the high 20s for Friday Saturday and Sunday so it looks like it's going to be a Pleasant weekend it's also going to be a pleasant weekend this weekend with temperatures into the low 30s so definitely think about getting to the beach the sea temperatures aren't actually that warm right now however it looks like they will be very quick to warm up across parts of Southeastern Queensland and I imagine the sunshine States uh the Sunshine State will be the place to swim especially over the coming couple of months now for the Northern Territory in Western Australia I wouldn't necessarily call this a heatwave forecast considering this is only a couple of degrees above average but we're still talking about temperatures into the early 40s over the coming couple of daing see temperatures today expected to get up towards 38 or 39 for Marble Bar and areas around bingara and robach temperatures as well into the low 40s expected on Saturday and Sunday outside of Fitz roow Crossing and robu once again temperatures into the low 40s continue through Monday and Tuesday Wednesday as well and slightly cooler on Wednesday and Thursday but with a building of a low pressure system across central Australia we're expecting temperatures to soore once again Friday and then Saturday next week into the high 30s or early 40s of parts of Western Australia so very warm indeed typical for this time of the year but still quite warm compared to the long-term average we're talking about temperatures between 4 and 9° C above the long-term average so I would definitely class this as some extreme heat and the September record for Western Australia I believe for temperatures is 44 or 45 point something and I don't think that record is a chance of being broken not at least this week but maybe later on in the month we'll just have to wait and see with this warming Trend that we're seeing across central Australia and before I FNQ Rainfall Forecast finish off this video we'll talk about some rainall up in Far North Queensland you can see showers expected to continue throughout the course of today a few light showers here and there but nothing too crazy dry conditions on Saturday and Sunday just a few showers here and there continuing through Monday before the rainfall pipes up again next Tuesday from an onshore flow again nothing too heavy here but for much of the Queensland Coastline right down to the central Queensland area of maai and Eary Beach we're expecting some decent Falls around Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday we could be seeing up towards 25 mm of rainfall outside of maai around yeluru on Wednesday so some decent Falls also expected up into the cbury coast on Wednesday and Thursday between 20 and 50 mm and again 20 to 50 mm possible on Thursday in fact I would not be surprised if one or two stations on Thursday to the 9:00 a.m. on Friday picked up above 150 mm of rainfall it looks like this onshore flow here is really set up to drive some good showers asore we know once they get into far North Queensland especially into some of those valleys around Tali and binda the rainfall accumulations can blow out very very quickly rainfall continuing for Friday and Saturday as well and I believe that we're going to be seeing some pretty big numbers here on the forecast in terms of rainfall accumulations between Tuesday and Sunday of next week me take a look at this some pretty big numbers here up to 110 mm expected now outside of fishery Falls or between 80 and 100 mm or so uh so some pretty significant accumulations are possible some decent fall SS expected up into the D Tre and I say this every single video but for those that are new rain accumulations you can get away with doubling them and still have an accurate forecast for some of the higher Peaks and more uh moist filled valleys around sort of inale and tul so when you double 85 mm you get to 170 you could easily round that up to about 200 mm and still have a decent forecast for later next week so some significant Falls are certainly on the way that's for sure good Falls as well like I said outside of yber and laai between uh 20 and 50 mm possible out there nothing too crazy but certainly some heavy rainfall for this time of the year and certainly something to be watching in terms of rainfall across the other parts of Australia there is a big sway later on next week across central Australia I'm not sure how much weight to put onto this forecast here it is very much later on in the forecast sort of next weekend and very little rainfall across the southwest of Western Australia as well so it looks like summer is slowly starting to tickle its way in to the West Australian weather uh again we will cover this big rainfall patch here in central Australia in another video that's certainly chat for another day um but apart from that it looks like it's going to be high and dry across Central and Northern Australia and some good rainfall continuing for Tasmania Victoria and parts of far north Queens L as well anyways that is all that I have Outro time for today thank you so much for watching the video to this point a special shout out to the channel sponsors their names are on screen right now I could not run this show without them their support is greatly appreciated any comments questions feedback the like please do leave it in the comment section down below I'd love to get back to as many people as I can throughout the course of today again thank you so much for watching the video and I'll catch you all in the next storm goodbye