Dangerous Storms Lash Tasmania Overnight, Severe Weather and Rain Expected over WA and Queensland

Intro good morning my name is Josh from Cyclones o and today another detailed forecast update coming your way we're going to be talking about powerful storms moving across Tasmania and the southern states of Australia we'll talk about blizzard conditions across Victoria New South Wales some rainfall far North Queensland and Southwest and Western Australia we'll finish it off talking about a strong heat wve that's expected to develop across central Australia all of that plus more coming up in today's weather forecast if you haven't already please consider subscribing your support is greatly appreciated so we're going to start Tasmania Severe Weather Forecast things off over in Tasmania again the hot seat for severe weather across the nation we've got some powerful storms that are still lining up the state right now they've been lashed overnight by wind gusts up to 150 km hour down on map cyer Island and up at gaffs Hill just in the dent Valley it has been a wild one that's for sure conditions have temporarily eased off a little bit temperatures in the low teams right now across parts of the State uh so it is not too cold there it's only the mountains that are still receiving those bitterly cold conditions but you can see the rainfall and the intense wind has temporarily eased off but that's not going to be around for much longer you can see this cold front here in The Great Australian B this one here is going to be lashing Tasmania from about the afternoon to evening hours onwards those winds will pick up from about 10 p.m. local time especially across the northern and the West coasts the rainf will like likely pick up just a few hours after set wind picks up if the windy models ever want to load today you can see we're still talking about some heavy rainfall that's going to be streaming in from this frontal system here now the pressures across Tasmania as well the air pressures being really low down towards the 980 um Hector pascals that is very low especially for Tasmania we normally don't see this in any winter season so we're expecting storm types as well associated with the really big waves along the northern coast of Tasmania so tonight into early tomorrow morning along the high tide expect Coastal inundations up to 20 cm about a foot higher than the high tide marker because these uh Coastal inundations these waves they're going to be high they're going to be really big on top of the um very low air pressures which are going to be raising water levels across the bass straight and into parts of the Tasmanian Coastline as well expect big Tides that's for sure the rainfall and the strong winds will continue through early Friday morning into late Friday morning the rainfall slowly easing off throughout Friday before turning into snow showers across the high peaks and across a lot of areas along the west coast by about Friday afternoon and evening the winds are going to remain very strong as well across much of Tasmania right through Friday and into early Saturday morning you can see peak wind gusts again if the models ever want to low today peak wind gusts are expected to be sort of approaching that 100 to 110 km an hour threshold along exposed Coastal locations on the west coast and the south coast and then Inland averaging between 80 and 100 km an hour the North Coast will likely be a little bit stronger than that and then the King Island and Inferno Island sort of area in the bass straight we're talking about wind gusts averaging between 80 and0 km hour once again in terms of rainfall as well looks like a secondary cold front sweeps up from the south late Friday night this one's going to have some very strong winds in it as well expect wind gusts up to 140 km an hour across parts of the South Coast I would not be surprised if Matt cyer Island was picking up uh nearly 100 mph wind gusts at this time that's 160 km hour late Friday night into early Saturday morning some really violent weather is going to sweep up then uh to close off Winter by the looks of things snow will be very prevalent throughout the um even low-lying areas throughout Central Tasmania on Saturday morning and into the early afternoon hours expecting snow down to about 600 or 700 M which is quite low for this time of the year that's for sure the rainfall continuing through Saturday as well you can see not torrential rainfall but pretty consistent moderate rainfall just sticking around for the central parts of Tasmania and I think Saturday I would not be surprised if we were seeing uh total rainfall accumulations up to 70 or 80 mm just with how much rainfall is going to be streaming through and the consistency of it I mean we're talking about 10 millim an hour for what could be 8 to 10 hours at a time and once you do the math on that the rainall accumulations they sure do add up the rainfall continuing through Saturday night into early Sunday morning in fact it could be heavier at times with thunderstorms possible along the west coast by Sunday morning uh some heavy Falls also possible along the south coast and also in the Northern parts of the uh State as well we could be seeing some heavy rainall around the sort of Lon CEST and benman National Park sort of area I would not be surprised if we saw some very heavy accumulations there and then finally on Monday the winds turn around to the Southwest you can see it here as these low pressure systems clear out there will still be showers and strong winds throughout Monday but it looks like the severe weather threat at least eases off by Monday afternoon and the worst the weather passes through about Tuesday morning before a return to some Karma conditions on Tuesday afternoon powered by a high pressure Ridge that is going to establish itself over New South Wales and Victoria a very a week of very surprising intense severe weather it seems like Tasmania and I saw this in a comment yesterday missed out on the really severe weather this winter season I mean they did get some good rain flow especially along the west coast but in terms of severe weather like we are seeing on the forecast today uh it seems like they missed out in the winter and they're getting an entire week's worth of winter weather or an entire Winter's worth of weather in one week by the looks of things and that's exactly right I mean take a look at these wind accumulations here very Wind/Rain Forecast strong wind gusts so expected to continue over the next week or so across Tasmania until about Tuesday you can see peak wind gusts across the West Coast averaging between 110 and 125 km hour m cyer Island on the forecast up to 130 km an hour I reckon I'll get a stronger wind gust than that um I don't think 145 km hour which is their strongest wind gust so far I don't think that's going to be the end of their severe weather very strong winds throughout the bass straight as well it is a bit of a question as to whether the spirit of Tasmania will run just considering how rough the seas are going to be through there which is another point I'll touch on in just a second some strong winds as well expected through New South B and Victoria I'll touch on that in just a couple of minutes and you can see this big line of massive wind gusts up to 150 km hour that's just where the core of the cold fronts is going to be m moving through and I would not be surprised if the equivalent wind gusts did land themselves over the high peaks across Tasmania in short any shore based activity any boating activity across Tasmania until about Wednesday next week off I mean get it out of your head it is completely off limits at this time I've never seen a severe weather forecast this nasty for Tasmania in 6 years of tracking the weather models very significant winter weather coming through uh hiking as well I advise against it unless you know exactly what you're doing and exactly where you're going because the again there's going to be so much rainfall potential for snow and sleep down to low elevations huge wind gusts as well again I just do not recommend hiking in weather like this this is a good opportunity to spend a week indoors and out of the elements uh because this severe weather is really nasty that's for sure now the rainfall accumulations have backed themselves down a little bit from yesterday's forecast we're still talking about the potential for up to 180 mm around Lake St Clair and then some of the higher elevations especially around Mount Reed and Queenstown we could be seeing up towards 150 to 180 mm and the potential for up to 200 mm across the rainforest areas along the South Coast around Strath Gordon and then down towards uh the Southwest Wilderness so some significant Falls are expected down there the axis G3 model still calling for absolutely insane accumulations across the central parts of the state a further 300 mm to fall until about Tuesday afternoon again I think that's a very bullish forecast at this time but it is not completely off the cards and on top of the 150 mm at some locations have already picked up you do the math on that up to 500 mm of rainfall is possible from this weather event very significant accumulations indeed but I think that that is on the absolute upper edge of what is on the forecast or what is possible from this weather event into the Doan Valley as well accumulations between 40 and 100 millim especially once you get into the foot hills of some of the mountains hobot expecting am measly 40 mm but considering that's going to be pretty steady over the next couple of days it will feel like a lot more than that but that's pretty typical of hobot weather Lon CEST and I reckon will pick up slightly more than 50 mm I reckon they're in for at least 80 mm over the next uh 5 or 6 days the bulk of that will come through Saturday and Sunday I imagine and then along the North Coast as well especially into the Northeast where the majority of the rainfall will come through Sunday and Monday up to or between 50 to 100 millim possible over there any questions or comments about the rainfall please do leave them in the comments section down below if you've got any questions that I have left unanswered then please do let me know in the comment section down below now for the Wave Forecast across the Tasmanian Coastline and into the B St as well we do have some high waves that are expected to continue throughout the course of today however they will be easing off Friday as well we're expecting some W high waves to develop across the West Coast but it's going to be from Friday afternoon and into Saturday where these big monster waves return to the West Coast of Tasmania into the bass straight as well I mean take a look at this by Saturday night we've got Peak wave heights between that 10 and 11 M mark across parts of the Southern Ocean huge wave heights expected that's between 30 and 35 ft massive indeed and they will be streaming into the west coast of Tasmania likely to cause some significant Coastal erosion in places along the west coast and some big problems with the spirit of Tasmania in the bassit where wave heights will likely be between 5 and 9 M at times across parts of the bassit very high indeed with a pretty short wave period as well which means it's going to be very choppy indeed across parts of the bass trait so again it is a bit of a question as to whether that Spirit of Tasmania will run that can run through some pretty significant swells that's for sure however I think 9 M I think any sea captain in the world will avoid waves like that like the plague there's certainly some big waves indeed expected from this cold front however I would not be surprised if they did still decide to push on from a weather event like this it is it is significant but again it's not the worst that the bass Trad has seen they have a reputation for seeing some absolute monster waves so about 9 between 5 and 9 M it isn't anything crazy for them in terms of snowfall as Victoria/NSW Blizzard Forecast well that's something that I'd also like to talk about across parts of Tasmania and also went towards New South Wales and Victoria as well there are somec snow full accumulation expected especially across the high peaks of Tasmania where between a further 70 to 90 M cenm rather of snow is possible between 30 and 50 of that could settle across parts of the high peaks and maybe a little bit more into some higher valleys uh again snowfall is expected down to about 5 or 600 M across parts of central Tasmania might be a little bit higher into the Northern parts of the State uh just considering how warm the temperatures are starting to get across parts of Tasmania as well with these cold fronts moving through we're not really seeing sub Z temperatures which means the snow is going to be pretty few and far between for elevations below a th000 m but again there is still the chance of snow down towards some of those lower elevations and some good snow is also expected into the high peaks of New South Wales and Victoria too you can see between 5 and 10 cm of snow expected there the majority of that should settle with a little bit more expected into the high valleys uh but snowfall there will be reserved for locations above about 1200 M and about 1,400 M into New South Wales and there's really not going to be much of it coming through either most of it coming through Sunday night into Monday morning uh and yet really not too much in the way of Snows expected there unfortunately for snow lovers in New South ws and Victoria nothing too crazy is expected Let's Go Far North Queensland Rain Update and show far North Queensland a little bit of love now before before talking about Southwest and Western Australia there is some showers expected to develop into the middle parts of next week you can see an onshore flowes expected to build across the Coral Sea from about Tuesday onwards and then from Tuesday afternoon showers will develop across the D Tree rainforest and then into the CER Coast as well with some heavy Falls possible especially Wednesday morning and early afternoon where totals up to 50 mm are possible to the 9:00 a.m. on Thursday the shs continuing through Thursday and into Friday as well before temporarily easing off by the looks of things for next weekend Saturday the 7th of September but just taking a look at this rainall accumulation map up here you can see just the big spread of rainfall that we are expecting over the next 10 days across parts of the far north and some showers expected as far south as rockampton as well with locations outside of M Eary Beach expecting a couple of millimet of rainfall too Townsville also a few drops of rainfall but it's going to be the C Coast where up to 50 to 80 mm as possible and then into the D Tre where between 70 and 100 mm of rainfall is possible for some locations so some significant Falls are certainly possible from this weather event here uh and it certainly looks like the rainfall accumulations are going to start adding up from here on out for parts of the far north it looks like the wet season is about to break any day now for parts of the far north of Queensland and the rainfall will be piling on from here on out for the next couple of months that's for sure um if you've got any questions or comments or you'd like to share an opinion about the wet season then please do let me know up in Far North Queensland I'd love to hear from you the comment says what helps me make these videos a lot of the time so again their support uh your comment as support is much appreciated uh every SW Western Australia Rain time into the southwest of Western Australia as well you can see on the rainall accumulation map there is a few drops of rainall expected there's really not much coming through now on the forecast again still some rainfall is possible but it is much much lighter in comparison to what we've been seeing over recent weeks what did take a few people off guard last night is a severe weather warning was issued and that was for this cold front that's blown through in the last couple of hours damaging winds were reported across much of the Southwest you can see winds right now up to 70 km an hour across Cape Laur gusting up towards 100 km an hour they were actually quite strong and I believe that took a lot of people by surprise the winds will continue to steadily ease off throughout the course of today the showers will still continue here and there especially along the south coast and maybe a few into the Perth metry area showers also possible tomorrow afternoon and Saturday morning before a little a few days of dry weather is expected showers will pipe up again on Tuesday with a cold front that's expected to brush up against the South Coast Tuesday afternoon and into the evening uh showers will continue through Wednesday morning and then showers again piping up Thursday afternoon with the passage of another cold front Thursday afternoon and into Friday morning which will likely bring the last significant rain accumulation to the South Coast for this winter season and then under the influence of high pressure systems which are now expected to build pretty uh significantly I mean just take a look at the size of this one it's going to be a lot more drier across parts of the Southwest over the next uh sort of three or four weeks or so as we transition into the spring weather phase uh in terms of peak rainall accumulations though over the next 10 days Peak accumulations around Perth between 10 and 20 mm the Eastern suburbs will likely pick up a little bit more rainfall areas along the darling range down towards Harvey dwelling up and Collie expecting between 30 and 40 mm and then along the South Coast as well some decent Falls expec there outside of Walpole and manage up between 40 and 50 mm is possible but again nothing too crazy is expected the rainfall really is starting to ease off and building in its Central Aus Heatwave place is the temperatures I mean take a look at this it's really starting to get orange and even into the Reds which is high 30s low 40s across parts of central Australia with temperatures expected to sore above 40° once again for parts of Western Australia and it looks like these hot temperatures are here to stay another hot day tomorrow with temperatures up to 40° outside of birdsville and Alice Springs in the Northern Territory in Queensland very warm temperatures as well low 30s along Southeastern Queensland and high 20s across the New South Wales Coastline expecting a top of 27 which is are just going to exacerbate their fire dangers which is already apparently becoming a problem down there Brisbane into the low 30s on Saturday 33 there and I believe slightly warmer on Sunday as well temperatures into the Eastern suburbs of Brisbane expected to sore up towards 35 Dees so very warm indeed and a big sway of above 35° C temperatures across central Queensland the northern ter and above 40 for parts of Western Australia on Sunday it's going to keep warming up through Monday and Tuesday as well next week into Western Australia the cold front sweeping the heat across into South Australia and the Northern Territory next Wednesday with temperatures up to 40° are possible around KU ped and sauna warm temperatures expected on Thursday as well to build in Western Australia which will then get swept Across the Nation in another cold front on Friday and Saturday next week so again we're just going to be breaking down this forecast day by day in terms of temperatures across central Australia but I think what's very clear now is that this hot weather is here to stay it's going to be staying for the next couple of months in fact the next seven months across parts of central Australia uh just looks like winter has completely left parts of central Australia and it's going to be hot days and hot Nights from here on out Outro that's the latest that I have today on the weather forecast if I have left anything un answered then please do let me know on the comment section down below I'll try and get back to as many people as I can throughout the course of today thank you so much for the support and the recent uploads the support is fantastic and I cannot get enough of it so thank you so much for all the kind words and the likes and the subscribers and the shares as well it is much appreciated a special shout out to the channel sponsors their names are on screen right now I could not run the show without them they're the reason I have access to all of this nice fancy software so again their support is greatly appreciated I could not run this show without them but it was all for me today and I'll catch you all in the next storm goodbye