BEST MLB & WNBA BETS TODAY| UNDERDOG FANTASY | PRIZEPICKS | SLEEPER | 9/3/2024

what is going on everybody it is Le the house or I'm here and I'm sharing my daily fantasy and sports betting picks and plays for this Tuesday September 3rd we're going to focus on the MLB for tonight and the WNBA for tonight as well it is NFL Week 1 coming up this Thursday Friday and Sunday and then we also have the college football week to this weekend so for tomorrow's video I'm going to focus on the football plays but for tonight we're going to try to make some money on the MLB and WNBA there's a ton of games out there every single team is playing in the MLB tonight so there's a slew of games in baseball and then there were no WNBA games yesterday so most of the teams are actually playing tonight so there's a lot of value on the board a lot of action that we could have and hopefully we can make some cash I'll be using a couple Tools in this video I'll be using outlier dobet and then I'll also be taking a look at Daily Grind fantasy and odd Shopper like I normally do as well but I'm going to try to utilize outlier a bit more in here in these videos simply because they show a lot of data that a lot of people usually look for you know with Trends and things like that and it's a really userfriendly program so I think I'm going to start using that in my videos just because I like showing you guys more stats to back up these plays because it's one thing this should show you value on the sports books you know which is a discount compared to what isn't you know what's mispriced and things like that but a lot of people don't like the BET like that and the lines move so much that it's pretty difficult by the time you watch these videos to actually tail those plays so I'm going to focus more on stats and uh statistic basically trends that show really good plays on outlier dob I'm going to still mix in some positive EV plays here and there but with the line movement so much it's probably best to be in the Discord server to see when I post those plays right away so you can jump on them as soon as I make them so you can get ahead of any line movement like I typically do uh speaking of Discord server if you haven't joined yet it is completely free to join the link is in the description below and also in the pin comment below this is the big win section of the Discord a lot of people had some really good wins over the weekend in the last week or so I didn't post a video last week I was a bit under the weather and then by the time I got better I had some other things going on like I went golfing and and other stuff so that's why I didn't have a video last week but I'll have a couple videos this week I'll have one today I'll have one tomorrow I'll probably have one Thursday and then I won't have one Friday Saturday or Sunday like normal so a lot of action for us this week with football and WNBA and baseball but you need to be in the Discord server I have a whole section on betting education where it's a bunch of free resources for you guys in there it's the best free sports betting Discord out there because everything is free it's a complete open space you can post your plays you can post your tips you can post your Trends you can tell everyone that they're fading them you can be a complete troll I don't care what you do it's just a completely open space and it's a really good sports bet Discord out there so hopefully you guys join and I look forward to seeing you there now let's head over to Underdog fantasy see what promos they have for us they have a Travis Kelce free win higher than Zer and a half total yards so we should probably take that in the next day or so I'm not going to do it today but I probably will tomorrow on the video with some football plays there is a no sweat winner money back play this you have to play today so what I would do it's a $10 Max I would do a a $10 either a four pick flex play or a three pick uh standard play and do that I'll probably make a play for it and post in the Discord later today not sure if I'll do WNBA or MLB or a positive EV approach or anything but we'll see when the time comes when I eventually want to make this play so be in the lookout for that in the Discord now let's head over to outlier and see what we can find some plays but first let's s take a look at some of the plays I made yesterday so I made this one a few days ago it is a football play but I will mention now momes lower on the passing attempts mclen higher in the receiving yards which was a discount that discount is probably gone by now and then Jaylen Herz lower on the passing yards I wouldn't be shocked if all these plays are gone right now but I wanted to share it with you guys just in case you aren't on it yet U I made this play Yesterday CA copper lower than 31 and a half points rebounds and assists Skyler Diggin Smith higher than 22 and a half points rebounds and assists and Ryan Howard lower than 17 and a half points I'm going to show you how I came up with those plays right now so heading over to outlier the WNBA here we go to the Trends tool and I have a props filter where I'm filtering for Underdog fantasy odds of minus 120 because that is the standard odds on Underdog fantasy for the plays if you show all of the odds it's going to show like The Scorchers and the discounts and things like that and the alternate lines but I really want to focus on just the main lines here so the reason why I made some of these plays here like the Skyler Di and Smith over 22 and a half points rebounds and assists you can see if I open up her profile last two games against um who they against against Connecticut Sun she has gone over to 22 and a half on the P she had 25 back on June 23rd and we she had 23 just the other day on September 1st if you look at the last 20 games she's only gone 65% but last 10 games seven out of the last 10 she's gone over this number and eight out of the last five so really good Trends on Skyler Diggin Smith I know Connecticut's one of the best teams in the league but she's been very hot right now and doing very well and she's hit the number in a decent amount of you know times in last few games heading over by sorting by the last 10 some of these other plays that I liked here so if we go back to the card I had lower than 31 and a half p on copper let's see if I can find this here I made it a couple days ago if I can't find it I could probably search from the player so if I search for copper here I check her off and it filters just for her so the number actually moved down so I had 31 and A2 it's now 30 and A2 30 and a half is still a decent number you know eight out of the last 10 games she's gone under 30 and a half all five of the last five games she's also gone under I would either go with a 30 and A2 or to 23 points if you want to go with that and then with the Ryan Howard lower than 17 and 1 12 points it's probably the same thing here uh so we go Howard apply and I'm showing both of them but I had 17 and a half points so you see here eight out of her last uh seven out of the last 10 games four the last five 15 out of the last 20 she's gone under this number so some really good Trends on Ryan Howard in the head-to-head there's been six meetings that she's had against uh um Phoenix in the last couple of years twice she's gone over the number but four times she has gone under including the most recent matchup she only had 16 points back on August 23rd last 20 games 75% of them on the whole season she's gone under on 68% so really good value on this prop for Ryan Howard and then I made one other play here not too long ago uh today so I took the scy diin Smith higher on the P again but I also took Taisha Harris and Diana try on the props as well so let's take a look at terazzi really quick while I'm here so let's clear that Diana terazzi under 22 and a half points in rebounds nine out the last 10 five out the last five 15 out the last 20 and 80% of head-to heads against the Atlanta Dream she has gone under 22 and a half and then Tasha Harris right underneath she only went over 12 and a half points and assists on three of the last five but it was eight out of the last 10 and 14 out of the last 20 and it's been about 70% of the games in 2024 so that's why I like both those plays in the WNBA so now let's head over to the MLB and see what other plays I have out there for us already the first one that I made here is Jose Miranda lower than seven fantasy points Cal Raleigh lower than one and a half total bases and Kyle schwarber lower than seven and a half fantasy points so let's head over to MLB and I have a filter in place so you see if there's no filters it shows a bunch of these alternate lines so you have to create some filters I saved an MLB under Underdog filter and I open this up the first thing I see is Cal rale under one and a half total bases nine at of the last 10 games he's gone under four the last five 16 out of the last 20 and then 70% of games this season he has had under one and a half total bases the matchup it's not the best for going the under he's against uh gin here who has only had eight and two3 innings but he has a 5.19 er um scroll down see here see what other stats we got so Raleigh's hitting 223 against righties this year um 205 this season in general I'm trying to see if there's anything on gin doesn't look like there is much at the moment I'd have to pull up his page so we'll do that we'll pull up gin see how he is against lefties it's probably pretty bad because it hasn't been a large sample um is he going to show me here might not show me here here we go versus right no yeah it just shows the batter stats doesn't really show the batter us vers pitcher I thought it did it probably does somewhere I just can't find it at the moment it will show like his stats against lefties and his stats against righties I just have to find it um but we'll deal with that another time but anyways G you know not a great pitcher he hasn't he's only had one outing this year and if you look at his hits he gave up four four hits in the game so I mean it's just a small sample but the last play I had in this here was kyos schwarber and Miranda under fantasy points so if we went back here and we looked at I think it was last 20 I looked at yeah so on the last 20 games Jose Miranda under seven fantasy score that's 16 last 20 eight out of the last 10 four the last five so about an 80% chance and then Kyle schwarber five of the last five eight out of the last 10 and 16 out of the last 20 as well and in the head to heads this year it's 83% so schwarber basically if he's not hitting a home run tonight um you're going to have the under on the fantasy score most likely so that's what we're fading we're pretty much fading the home run with the fantasy score prop and then I had one other MLB prop that I want to share with you guys before I head over to the Daily ran fantasy it show you some positive EV plays so cutter Crawford lower than 27 and a half fantasy points you see here this was on I believe the last 10 so nine out of his last outings under on the fantasy score he's really fallen off a cliff since the beginning of July so July 13th he had 43 fantasy score every single outing since then it has been 26 or less most of them 20 or less he's just been not his same self as he was early in the year you see if you look last 20 he had a really good stretch here where he was you know 35 fantasy points or more in six straight games but you see he kind of regressed back down to earth back down to that 2627 total tops so I think he's going to stay down at this normal level for quite the rest of the year most likely and with his pitch counts too the teams are going to start pulling these pitchers a little bit earlier so this under on the fantasy score on cutter Crawford is a really solid play against the Mets heading back to the prop we had we also had Josh Naylor on the strikeouts Josh Naylor is not a guy who strikes out a lot you know eight of the last 10 games he has not struck out I actually catched a play yesterday on this very exact prop last five games no strikeouts um in his career against Brady singer 23 plate appearances only three strikeouts that's a really low K rate of 133% against Brady singer in a pretty large sample so I like his chances not to strike out out today Josh Naylor and then the final play add on here was Kade Povich higher than four and a half hits allowed so if we go to the players good Povich here apply overun hits allowed nine out of the last 10 starts he only had 11 starts this year and I believe it was nine out of those 11 starts he went over on four and a half hits allowed so if we go into his profile you know last five games all over last 10 games nine out of last 10 went over and then on the season it's just 11 starts so 10 out of his 11 games this year five or more hits given up he's up against the white socks who are actually you know one of the worst teams in the league they hit like 205 or yeah 205 in the last 30 games against lefties 222 in the year they're the second worst team in the league against lefties but Povich you know one and seven ra 6 point or one and seven record 6.58 erra Like I said before he's given up five or more hits in almost every single start this year so that's why I think it's a pretty solid play play and that's going to wrap up uh my cards that I made on outlier we'll take a glance over on daily Grand fantasy see what the top values are right now there Burger over on the hits one's RBI Springer over on the singles Raleigh see under on the bases that's the prop that I liked a lot so honestly that's my top play in the board Cal Raleigh under one and a half total bases we'll see how long that prop stays out there but um just try to jump on that one as quick as you can but if you have da the grand fantasy you know you'll just look at the tool and you'll see what the best values are based on what the market is showing you outlier if you want to give them a 7-Day free trial use the link in the description below and also in the pin comment below to sign up they'll give you your first seven days for free it'll be pretty nice to use you know with college football and NFL once you have a decent sample size but you can at least look at last year stats and what the projected stats for this year might be but it's really good for baseball right now really good for basketball I'm going to love using it for the NBA later this year so hopefully we can make some money today I appreciate you guys sticking around to the end best of luck on your plays tonight and thank you for watching