2024 Fantasy Football 'My Guys' | PFF Fantasy Podcast

Intro [Music] welcome everyone to the PFF fantasy podcast I'm John Macker and joining me once again on the dawn of week one of the NFL season the one and only Nathan yonke Nate this is our final episode together before we have actual new regular season football to dissect always an exciting time of year I know looking forward to it you you ready for kickoff oh yeah I'm getting ready for kickoff it's always that weird time where it's like we are wrapping up Fantasy Draft season even though I still have a draft tonight I still have a draft tomorrow and like there's so much news that we don't have like Jamir Jamar Chase we don't know if he's playing at least Trent Williams we know he's coming back but like teams could be hiding this injury information that we just had no idea about because they didn't have to report it until tomorrow is when the first injury reports will come up for the Sunday game so it's a weird time of trying to figure out week one rankings while still celebrating the end of draft season we just had our biggest day ever on the fantasy side yesterday so thank you everyone for being a part of that and helping us throughout our journey here but it's a fun time but at least we get football Thursday I think I'm excited for the game on Friday I usually like once we get to the end of the season don't like how they spread out so many games and I'm like I'd like to have at least a little bit of time for myself here and there but I think for the start of the Season I'm excited for the Thursday Friday holiday Sunday Monday yeah yeah I'm with you I I I like the idea of the Friday game for week one a lot more than I like like the Monday they call it a double header but like the games overlap or they're playing at the same time which is the dumbest thing ever so I'm glad we don't have that this week and we actually have like games a little bit more spread out for week one so we could actually watch all of them but yeah I'm definitely excited um I you know I was going to call it like the the Cal before the storm but not really because it's been uh it's been very busy here for draft season so um yeah the came back in like June or July so um this is this is going to be good we're it's our again our last chance I know you you said you got a couple drafts left I think I have one more I had another one last night so I got one more before week one um but uh yeah before we get into week one this is kind of like our little way to to kind of recap like almost our entire offseason of discussing like so many players and looking at them in many different ways um we're we're again mostly done our drafts for 2024 and we might find that we've been you know kind of drawn towards some players in drafts more than others or players that we rank higher than consensus so what we're going to look at um are those players who are you know for each of us I think we have three each um kind of break down what we like about them um hopefully that they'll also like us back and and be in for great Seasons um so these are are my guys um but first I I do want to give a quick shout out to um our friends at DraftKings NFL week one is here and a new season means new ways to get in on the action at draftking sports book an official sports betting partner of the NFL fans have spoken we want to bet on touchdowns DraftKings heard us and is delivering ready to place your first bet try betting on something simple like picking a player to score a touchdown new DraftKings customers can bet $5 to get $250 in bonus bets instantly plus one more month of NFL Plus premium on us download the draftking Sportsbook app and use code PFF that's code PFF for new customers to get $250 in bonus bets when you bet just five bucks and get one month of NFL Plus premium on us offer end September 19th only on DraftKings the crown is yours gambling problem call 1800 Gambler in New York call 8778 hopen Y or text hope Andy in Connecticut help is available available for problem gambling call 888 78977 77 or visit ccpg toorgle play responsible responsibly on behalf of Bo Hill Casino and Resort Kansas 21 plus age and eligibility varies by jurisdiction void in New Hampshire Oregon and Ontario bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance for additional terms and responsible gaming resources cdk n.co fball NFL Plus premium offer available only to new and former NFL plus subscribers additional NFL Plus premium terms nfl.com terms all right let's get in here um because let's be honest this might be like our last chance to be like fully optimistic or enthusiastic about these players before you know the reality of the regular season sets in which it just comes with its frustrations and injuries um and jooy as well don't get me wrong it's still fun um but there's a lot that that will happen that we just can't control that can frustrate us as Fant fantasy managers but for now it's always sunny before week one so let's get into our my guys for the 2024 season Nate starting with one of your guys here our lone tight end on the list who do you Kyle Pitts got I've got Kyle Pitts there are a couple tight ends that I like this year but Pitts is the one that I ended up with just because I think there are enough people that aren't as high on him that I'd rather um continue to tell people that they don't have to worry about what happened the last couple Seasons because a lot was going wrong with for pits that I think will change um first off he's still a very talented tight end 82.4 PFF receiving grade over the past three years that's top five for tight ends over that time so despite some of these situations he's still grading well for us um in those situations so uh he's also still very young still 23 years old turns 24 this season there are rookie tight ends that are older than him Kate Stover being one of them so he's still relatively young for tight end still has plenty of time to continue to improve but the situation is the big thing that I'm excited about here uh first off I expect him to be running more routes this year uh first off Arthur Smith's offense very run heavy was consistently ranking either at the top or among the top in terms of run rate overe expected the past couple Seasons so that influenced Pit's fantasy production it was also Arthur Smith's rotation at tight end uh Pitts was typically only playing 64% of offensive snaps only twice last season exceeded 75% typically like anything below 75% is when you start getting worried about a fantasy tight end so that was fairly low so the past couple Seasons averaging uh 27 25 routes per game somewhere in that area uh in comparison Travis Cy around 35 routes per game and that's with that rotating calsey out a little bit here and there uh they got the Rams Zack Robinson from the Rams and the Rams ran a lot of 11 personnel ran a lot of pass plays uh they're receiving tight end Tyler higgy around 30 Rs per game so expect uh his routes to go up at least a little bit this season along with that was his average depth of Target was way too high for tight end of treating him more like not just a wide receiver but a deeper threat wide receiver um about three yards High than any other fantasy relevant tight end so I expect that to be going down um if you just looked at U intermediate and deep receiving production for tight ends for whatever reason short passes did not count for Fantasy Pitts would have already been a top three fantasy tight end it was just he's not getting those short passes that all the other tight ends see that Johnny Smith was getting a lot of those last season so expect him to be seeing more of those short passes which every one of those gets at least one fantasy point in PPR plus however many yards he gets so that's just a nice easy way to rack up some fantasy points even if it doesn't have a huge influence on the game for the Falcons but again going back to Tyler hicky his averaged up the target was just about four point something where Pitts was 12 point something so it's a fairly significant difference I still expect Pitts to see more deep passes than what Higby was seeing but I expect that to be closer to even out and then the quarterback situation was very bad in Atlanta uh they had the second lowest uh PFF passing grade combined over these past two seasons the Jets are the only team with the worst quarterback situation these past two years and typically the quarterbacks don't impact tight ends too much because of the low average depth of Target but Pitts was the one exception with the high average depth of Target so because of that he was seeing a ton of inaccurate passes thrown his way even when he was getting targeted so expect Kirk Cousins being there even Kirk Cousins at his worst is significantly better than what the Falcons have had so I'm expecting more accurate passes throwing pits away so I think the combination of more routes better passes uh more shorter passes to more easily get fantasy points uh he was already like tight end 13 last year so I think all of those things um each individually move them up a rank or two so that gets them up to around the tight end five or six range yeah I I'm with you I mean I think there's even potential for him you know to to be that overall tight end one like if if all things go well and work out for him like he has that type of potential I I I just yeah I I still don't get that there's you know people pessimistic about him for for this season like it's a it's a whole new start here you just talked about everything that's kind of changed for him and and in his favor that gives him an advantage compared to like Seasons prior like I know you know he had more receiving yards in his rookie year than the last two years combined but again like a combination of you know injuries inaccurate quarterbacks poor usage in Arthur Smith scheme like all those things played a part and injuries happen to every player but I mean the two main things here being Arthur Smith um out of the out of the window and and Zack Robinson now in and and rahee Morris as well um and then yeah Kirk Cousins a massive upgrade at quarterback he's only going to be 24 years old during the season like he's very much in the prime of his you know NFL career and to me it just makes sense like there's a lot more reason to be optimistic about pits this season than there are to to kind of doubt him and if people are still pessimistic about his Outlook then they're not looking at the big picture right and I think you know potentially going to miss out on the high upside player that he was drafted to be as the fourth overall pick um a few years ago so um yeah I'm with you I love Kyle pittz uh as well um but that's our lone tight end uh we also have our lone quarterback on the list uh one of my guys here so I went Kyler Murray with Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals um and honestly Kyler Murray just there are certain quarterbacks that I only tend to get as my my qb1 in in superflex like Lamar Jackson Josh Allen J Jaylen Herz Patrick Mahomes those kind of top tier guys but usually in like one QB drafts um those guys are going before I'm kind of feeling like a need to draft a quarterback so the guy that I believe in more um and and ends up being my qb1 quite a bit is Kyler Murray um I have him ranked as qb7 just one spot ahead of Joe burrow who who tends to go ahead of him at least on sleeper um but I'm a big believer in him kind of returning closer to that 20 21 like qb1 type form when he finished as I think it was overall qb2 that year but um it's I don't think it's something that's a stretch either like we've seen it from him these past two seasons even when he's missed like chunks of the year when he was back in the lineup last year um weeks 10 to 18 he was the QB 10 overall in 2022 across the 10 games he played um he was qb6 over that span and then over those two seasons combined in 2023 and then the 10 in 2022 he managed to 11 top 12 finishes which was 60 61% of his 18 games and never finished worse than QB 22 in the weeks that he played more than a quarter of the game so for me like I love a guy that you know first off his floor is going to remain High um obviously which is for most quarterbacks but he has the rushing upside as well he averaged four and a half runs per game last season and that accounted for 5.3 fantasy points per game which was sixth most at the position um his rushing ability just I think is the main thing here it gives him the elite fantasy upside to make him one of the more kind of enticing fantasy quarterbacks to Target outside of the top five in ADP right now um and if he could bounce back as a passer like he has that qb1 potential um for for that that first top 10 top eight quarterbacks as well you know again he had the short in 2022 and 2023 Seasons those resulted in the two lowest passing grades since his rookie year but for me there's at least hope that with a full season he gets a big upgrade at wide receiver with Marvin Harrison Jr coming in that he can kind of get back to what we saw from him in 2020 and 2021 um he earned an 86.3 PFF passing grade over those two seasons combined um which were also the most productive fantasy years of his career when he had DeAndre Hopkins as his top Target Hopkins uh had earned an 89.9 PFF receiving grade over that span that was seventh at the position um but he hasn't really had like a top receiving option like that since 2022 Hopkins um or sorry like that since including 2022 Hopkins who wasn't quite as effective as he once was by that point um he's got Trey McBride obviously one of the top options as a tight end um but then the addition of Marvin Harrison Jr I think should kind of provide that perfect combination of receiving talent to help push Kyler Murray over the top as a fantasy asset so for me like I love Anthony Richardson Jaden Daniels they're also very much in play for me in drafts but if I don't want to get too risky with those guys because there are at least like question marks that you know about what they'll be in a full NFL season but Murray has been um I think the best bet for me where I can get relatively safe a safe production floor and a lot of The Upside that were're trying to capture from the position as well so um that that's kind of been one of my guys yeah I think he's definitely a fantasy starter this year I think my only concern is how much he's going to end up rushing with the ball his attempts per game has been uh pretty much declining every season at his peak in 2020 was 8.3 carries per game that slowly but surely gone down to 5.5 last year and with the injuries he's had I'm not sure if he's going to increase how much he's running the ball he's also 27 years old now which is right around the age where you start seeing rushing quarterbacks start rushing not as much so even though I do think he can uh get back to where he was as a passer I'm not sure F get back to where he was as a rusher again so I think he's still even if he only runs maybe five times a game that's still better than a lot of other quarterbacks in the league so F he can be a very good passer mixed with a decent rusher that's still a very good fantasy value it's just I'm concerned about that like high and upside where he would need to both get back to where he was as a passer in 2021 as well as where he was in a rusher in around 2020 and I don't think both of those things will happen but I think as long as um both of them get somewhere close or one of them happens then you're still pretty happy with where he is compared to his ADP yep that's fair for sure um all right let's let's talk about some running backs here Joe Mixon um so you have uh Joe Mixon of the Houston Texans as one of your your running backs tell us what makes him one of your guys here uh so he has been a pretty consistent fantasy starter in recent seasons has finished as a top 12 fantasy running back each of the past three seasons um finishing as a top 12 fantasy running back 40% of weeks are better each of the past three seasons so he is performing very well from a fantasy perspective when he was with the Bengals now he's with the Texans and I think uh people are looking at the wide receivers and the passing game that they have in Houston and kind of using that against Mixon and also just Mixon not practicing all offseason has made it harder for like any hype to build on him but I think if you look at the Kyle Shanahan coaching tree U First you have Kyle Shanahan who has the overall rb1 in fantasy despite having Brandon IU dvo SEL and George KD uh you have the Jets which have Bree Hall which is a early to mid first round fantasy running back despite having Garrett Wilson on the team uh you have the Dolphins where uh you have Tyreek Hill and jayen Wadd but despite that we are still drafting two running backs who were expecting to be fantasy starters this season so you have a lot of teams that have good receivers but still have Elite options in fantasy for rushing so you have Bobby slowick also coming from the 49ers wanted to run the ball last year there were so many times where it was like second and 10 and he runs the ball and then t Twitter um reacts to that uh as we expect him as we expect Twitter to but I think he wants to run the ball and went out of his way to get a running back drafted a tight end who is a mix of a run blocker and pass blocker one of the more well-rounded tight ends in the class and Kate St um kept a halfback slash fullback on the roster even though he let go of some of the fallbacks so I think we are going to see them running the ball a decent amount especially if they are getting ahead games they'll be running a lot to run out the clock and with how good we expect this offense to be that should still be a situation where he runs for a lot of touchdowns we see a lot of these situations where there's a good running back but they're with a team with a good quarterback who can also run the ball thinking of like Philadelphia Indianapolis Buffalo so there's other of these top running backs who might not get a ton of touchdowns after quarterback is taking them but I'm not expecting CJ stad to be taking a lot of touchdowns away from Joe Mixon so I think even though there are other running backs who are more talented than Mixon I think this offense can do really well with Mixon in it compared to what they had last year at running back uh the offensive line was an issue all last season they had like 10 different guys with at least 200 snaps with how many injuries they started the season with at the position so I think they'll have more stability on the offensive line this year so I think Mixon should be able to score plenty of fantasy points even if he's not breaking as many big runs as some of the other talented running backs in the league yeah there's like there's something comforting I think about having Joe Mixon on your roster right like he's been you know relatively healthy for for the position you know the past three years almost all of his career really outside of like 2020 when he only played six games like he's played at least 14 games in six of his SE seven NFL seasons he doesn't typically have like such backfield competition that you're worried about him not getting the volume we need him to be to be a fantasy starter um I think outside of his rookie season he's either handled 250 carries or been on Pace for that Mark in in Seasons where he did miss those those games but um yeah also being a part of a strong offense as well right where he's able to benefit from some high value touches near the goal line make up for some of the maybe the inefficient efficiencies of not being this Elite NFL running back and that's potentially the case again this year in Houston in Houston so he's constantly like I think just a great example of why you know volume matters more than anything else for fantasy running backs because he basically finishes as a top 12 running back almost every season so you know he's going outside of that top 12 range again so another nice um potential value there uh in Joe Mixon this season Y always getting him in the fourth round it seems like just get there and drafts whether I got a running back early or not it just always seems to make sense for him to be my fourth round pick yeah yeah I'm with you um all James Conner right I my my running back pick here um another Arizona Cardinals player um I I didn't do this on purpose I'm not like a Cardinals Homer or anything like that but um James Connor uh who has slowly kind of risen in ADP throughout the off season but not so much that you know he's being fully embraced as like a potential starter right like there's still some hesitance in drafters you know targeting a a 29y old running deck running back despite the career year in 2023 um however if I like if I'm in a draft I find myself kind of fading the position as a whole Connor kind of profiles as like a strong candidate for like a late round starting Target with the I think the opport Unity to push for a top 12 finish on any given week um again he's coming off the best season of his career having ranked among the top 10 running backs in PFF rushing grade yards after contact per attempt Miss tackles forced per attempt and first down plus touchdown rate um which was all impressively done behind the 26th ranked run blocking unit last season um now the the offensive line did add uh Jonah Williams and Evan Brown and then you got their 2023 sixth overall pick Paris Johnson hopefully developing here a little bit more in year too so I'm hoping that leads to better play in the trenches as well where you know Conor doesn't have to be amazing at at 29 still be very good but um again he's another guy where volume was pretty strong last season 17.3 opportunities per game so it was um 15 carries and and 2.3 targets which was well above average for the position um now he's is gonna have to hold off uh Trey Benson the the third round rookie not allow him to kind of be anything more than really a backup um but I I I think I think that's definitely possible especially what we saw in the preseason Benson hadn't fully gone up the depth chart either but again we see that with rookies quite a bit um the other thing is the is the work around the goal line right Connor saw the majority of goal line work last season 52% of the team carries 54% of the Red Zone carries I think that's a again another promising sign that the team will continue to kind of deploy him in those High Fant high value fantasy situations especially if the Cardinals can improve to above average in that regard this season if they're a better offense with a fully healthy Murray with Marvin Harrison Jr in the mix so again one of those later round like sixth round whatever it happens to be type guys that I I find myself going back to when I'm still in need of a starter at the position like a lot of leagues especially where you know I'm hammering wide receiver early especially in leagues where you have to start three wide receivers um in in your starting lineup I I want to be strong there so Connor kind of f fits the fits nicely in those builds for for me um where I am going wide receiver heavy early and and I need a starting running back still a little bit later on so James Conor has been somebody that I've drafted a lot of this year yeah you say you're not a cardinal Homer I see you in a red and white hat I see some red and white in your background there I don't know what it's for but those are Detroit Red Wings colors yeah uhuh sure it's Arizona Cardinals colors too but uh I do like Connor as a player the one stat that like constantly stood out to me last season is just as consistency from one game to another he averaged 4.4 yards per carry and all but two games last year one of the two that he didn't he averaged 4.2 yards per carry but ran 25 times for 105 yards uh the other game where the only game where he averaged less than four yards per carry it was 3.75 but he also caught five passes for 67 yards and a touchdown so he was just good every single week last year regardless of how good the defense was which was good to see andf the defense wasn't that good he had multiple games where he averaged over seven yards per carry so just was a very impressive player at running back last year so I know they drafted Trey Benson but given Conor's age and injury history it makes sense that they drafted a backup running back for him I don't see Benson getting too many offensive snaps any given week I think it'll still be Connor getting the vast majority of first and second downs and then Amari D Marcado getting the third down work for Arizona that's how they did it last year when people were healthy I think that's how they'll do it again this year and like you said I think the big Reon for him for optimism that he can do even better this year is the offense doing better leading to more of those touchdown opportunities uh scored seven rushing touchdowns last year which was pretty decent but I think he is capable of improving on that um without a ton of receiving work I don't see him being like this top 10 fantasy running back but like you said if you're just drafting someone that you need to be a fantasy starter every single week I think he definitely fits that description yeah yeah I like him quite a bit um let's talk about some WI receivers we each have one each uh there there's a player on here that that you have listed one we've been talking about Rashee Rice uh a lot recently but I think worth talking about again since he's playing on Thursday night after some question marks that that was going to happen um throughout the offseason especially early on so uh who is your first my guy at wide receiver it's Ry rice he's someone that I'm constantly drafting constantly telling our friends and family to Draft when they're texting me trying to get their last minute fantasy information from me but uh right someone that like at the end of last year when we were doing our drafts at the end of our episodes and he was someone that I thought could potentially be a first round pick in fantasy drafts this year after or after everything that happened to end last season he was finally seeing enough playing time playing at least 75% of offensive snaps uh the last four weeks of the season and then three of the four weeks in the playoffs as well averaging 65 yards and 6.5 receptions in the playoffs against some of the best defenses in the league so was consistently doing well at the end of last year it was just that risk of suspension but it does not sound like he's getting suspended this year um they've made it clear that they're not going to be putting him on the except or commissioner's except list until this Eco situation plays out and it does not look like the situation will play out until after the season it'll get any closer to that in December at the earliest but it doesn't sound like that even might happen but I not a legal expert so I don't know everything for sure but from everything that I've heard and from people that I've respected it does not sound like he'll get suspended this season um I know the other concern is the other wide receivers that they've added especially the Deep threats and Hollywood Browns xier worthy but they are very different wide receivers playing more or less a different position even though they're both wide receivers rice had a very low average depth of Target those two will have some of the highest average depths of Target in the league we saw marz V scantling and Justin Watson last year have two of the higher average depths of Target in the league and I think these wide receivers will uh fit that same description I think they will get targeted a little bit more than the previous wide receivers were but I don't think that's going to have a significant drop on Rice's Target share um they're already the most pass heavy team in the league even when they have the lead they're still passing more than basically any other team does when they have a lead so um I don't think volume's going to be an issue for Rice there's going to be enough passes go around for everyone in this offense so um in the preseason he was looking great as well played 23 of 24 snaps with the starters uh six Targets on 17 routes so um that's a fairly High Target rate so even if he stays around like 25% which is around where it was last season U that's a wide receiver one maybe wide receiver two but you're getting him uh ideally in the ideally later than the fifth round but fifth round seems to be where he's settling in a lot of places but definitely consider who you're drafting with consider where the ADP is on the site that you're drafting you might be able to get him a round or so later just depending on those kind of situations but if you're playing with smart people then fifth round maybe even a late fourth round to make sure that you get him but I think he's even if he was a early to mid fourth round pick I still think he'd be a value in that round yeah I I'm I'm with you I mean the the whole thing about the suspension yeah not being seeming like it's coming down in time to effect his 2024 season obviously is great news we saw you know him being that kind of perfect fit for this Chief's offense like he he proved that almost immediately as a rookie last year even if the coaching staff wasn't fully willing to embrace him right away um you know because he he didn't crack 30 routes um all that often through like the first 13 weeks of the season I think it was only one time um but then he was much more involved beyond that right and that's where we started to get kind of the reliability from him as a as a fantasy star even though he was still providing value in those games where he was barely being used it was just his fit in that offense was so perfect and I'm with you like even with the Chiefs spending kind of a first round pick on Xavier worthy um and and getting in Maris Hollywood Brown like there shouldn't really be concerns about rice being you know the wide receiver one in this offense like his usage underneath and as that kind of yak type op option just makes him such a strong fit for Kansas City's offense and you know they sure they may want to you know have more deep attempts this year with words and with Hollywood brown but they're not going to go away from how heavily momes and that offense leans into those kind of underneath throws and letting guys like rashy riceon or Travis Kelce kind of go to work there right there's just so much VA volume and value in that for this offense specifically um and for Rice even more specifically so um yeah he's I mean again he's been a nice value uh earlier in August and you know it's coming up quite a bit here um recently but I I still think he's of of value even if you can get him at the end of round four um but usually yeah fifth round is is where he's been um pretty comfortable uh getting Jaylen Waddle him um okay uh my wide receiver here um is Jaylen wadle of the Miami Dolphins and I might be setting myself up for for potential like early season tilt here because part of my like entire belief in jayen wadle this season has to do with him being healthy and playing more than he did last year when when he was dealing with an injury um and he was currently or is currently dealing with a calf injury um has the questionable tag for week one at the moment and while it doesn't sound like it's anything serious it's still kind of annoying right but that being said he I think he did practice yesterday as did Tyreek Hill um at least according to rap sheep so you know optimism is back um but yeah he's he's heading into the the fourth year of his NFL career I I don't think you know it's much of a stretch to call last year like a Down Season in terms of his fantasy production um and again part of that was because he was dealing with injury and slightly Limited in games that he did play uh now there is part of that playing time that just has to do with the offense itself under McDaniel where he's not like seeing 90 to 95% of snaps or anything like that but that doesn't me mean that he can't get close to that if he's healthy um you know ultimately playing time did play a big part in in this down season last year as he missed three games he set a new career low in routes run um which with 385 that was about 140 routes short of his previous career low he had a few games where he missed more than half of the snaps as well so you know even for a player that's you know as efficient as Jaylen waddle dropping to like new career lows in offensive snap share at 68% when he was on the field like that plays a pretty significant part in his opportunity to produce like those wide receiver one numbers now he's not being drafted as a wide receiver one so that helps limit some of this risk um the other part of the risk though is the injury stuff um but I I'm a Believer in Jaylen W and I I think he has legitimate top 10 upside potential po potentially higher even if he you know if if he were able to surpass Tyreek Hill which I feel like we said last year but it you know it's definitely possible given where Tyreek Hill is in his career and where Jaylen Wadd is but Tyreek Hill is a freak and putting up unreal numbers at this point in his career but because of the makeup of that offense like he can still command an elite Target share and put up wide receiver one numbers with Tyreek Hill in the lineup we saw that last year H Wadd earned a 27% Target rate that ranked sixth among all wide receivers his 2.63 yards per route run also tied for sixth at the position um and then his 2.61 yards per route run since 2022 which um was when Tyreek Hill joined the team is the third best Mark among all wide receivers behind only Tyreek Hill and Justin Jefferson so for me again you know the assumption is that Wadd can get back healthy play his normal snapshare which I I think would help him push for top 12 at his position we've seen that already from him in his career with Tyreek kill on the team um where he finished as I think it was wide receiver 8 in 2022 he was wide receiver 12 in in 2021 right like um there's there's risk and and you know potential of being limited sure but I I think the reward for Wadd like a player in the prime of his career in a high-end offense going as wide receiver 18 on sleeper wide receiver 20 on Yahoo um he's wide receiver 14 for me I love getting him as a wide receiver to sometimes even wide receiver three at at times I've ended up with him so um just keep drafting jayen Wadd this year because I'm very excited in a potential bounceback oh yeah I agree with you I got my Dolphins Jersey on a Kenny Stills one but a little bit older Dolphins Jersey here but I have guad as my League winner article for wide receivers um he's graded uh in the 90s this past season of yards per route run of at least 2.55 each of the past two seasons so it's been incredibly efficient um in terms of yards per run by situation he's in at least the 95th percentile uh when he's open when he's facing Zone coverage when he's not pressed when he lines up out wide all uh situations that are related to each other and all situations where he's in more often than not so uh he's been among the League's best wide receivers we just don't think of him as much in that way because they have Tyreek Hill on the roster as well but like you said he's finished as the top 12 two of the past three seasons and it was just the injuries that impacted him last season and he still averaged 14 f FY points per game in PPR leagues compared to the 15 he was the two previous years so it was only a decrease in one Fantasy Point per game and then missing a couple of games that impacted things so I think he's definitely capable of getting that one point per game back with how well he's played he's gotten better every single season with uh his production and I also think that if he's healthy he could see a higher snapshare than he was previously seeing when he was healthy considering the depth the Dolphins currently have at wide receiver um they have Hill and Wadd of course they have Braxton baros who is very specifically a slot only TI at or slot only wide receiver um and doesn't have a high Target share we know this so I don't think he's a concern um we thought Odell Beckham would be that guy that's rotating in with Helen Wadd he's starting the season on the pup list uh at least out for the first four weeks don't know when he'll be back after that point but right now the backup wide receivers are sixth round rookie Malik Washington and Grant deos who was uh picked up off waivers from the Packers a week ago so not a ton of experience at wide receiver out of a ton of experience in this offense at wide receivers so they might need Helen Wadd to be on the field a little bit more than they had been in previous years at least early on in the season and at Odell Beckham doesn't come back for a while and Beckham hasn't practiced with this offense at any point so they're going to have to usee him back in so I think while as long as he can stay healthy could see even more playing time than he was previously seeing in games where he was healthy so excited about him and excited for his future when I was doing my player profiles he was one of the people that like after writing it I'm like okay I have to move this guy on my my teams nice yeah yeah very excited about uh Jaylen waddle hoping to do um many waddle celebrations in front of my um my TV this season uh but Nate that's it we Outro are officially wrapped on the 2024 off season and now all focus is on week one so thank you all for tuning in whether it's been all offseason long in and out as you please or if you're just coming in here for just in time for redraft season we appreciate you all and hopefully now that you're ready for your drafts we can continue to help all season long as well because we will be dropping multiple episodes per week in season in order to help with that so Nate why don't you let the good folks know what you'll be up to um this season to start uh sure so uh first off if you still have a fantasy draft to go over over this past week I have updated about 60 to 70 of my articles making sure that they're all up to date in terms of my rankings in terms of ADP in terms of all the news with players getting cut and added and all the injury information that we have so made sure all of those are up to date so if you still have a draft I still have rankings and draft strategy and League winners and sleepers and breakouts and all that stuff uh that is all good to go to help you with your draft still but going forward looking Ahad to week one I have my rankings up on the website now um typically the rankings article was going up on Wednesdays last week we are going to get those up uh Tuesdays afternoons this season so uh the rankings article is already up for week one this week but future weeks it'll be up afternoon in the week um after that we'll have start sit on Thursday which I've been doing for the past couple years pretty similar with that we have the Thursday night recap the Friday night recap hopefully not too many Friday night recap caps the season but we'll have the Friday night recap uh Sunday recap top 10 recap like usual uh waivers five to add five to drop five to buy five to sell High that'll all be up like usual so if you have been following for the past couple Seasons you can expect a lot of the same content that I've had those Seasons this year nice yeah really looking forward to that um and for me I'll be rting up the the IDP fantasy report each week IDP rankings wide receiver men Zone coverage report o line dline matchups to Target for for the offensive side as well um and then appearing with Nate on the the weekly waiver wire podcast um as well as an IDP Centric one we'll do similarly uh Nick bford and I will be doing a weekly start sit show as well and then we'll also be doing a weekly IDP preview show as well where I'll bring on a rotating guest there um but yeah it's going to be uh it's going to be a busy year but a great one so again thank you all and until next time peace out [Music]