NFL Picks Week 1 Packers vs Eagles Friday Night Football (9/6) | Lindy's NFL Locks

what's going on everybody Eric linquist at stochastic here on the odd Chopper Channel coming to with another edition of NFL Lindy's Lans likes and locks we're talking Brazil we're talking Friday football it's Green Bay it's Philly hit that like button subscribe button notification Bell goes a long way for me on this video goes a long way for you that way you become a prize whenever great content is going live here at our Little Neck of the YouTube Woods I'm obviously going to be doing the night before videos here it's taking over for MLB Lindy we'll still have one more MLB lindies coming to you on Friday but don't worry we got the Marketplace if you guys want to get my MLB plays day in day out and yeah I'm going to be posting seven days a week because I'll have the bandwidth to be able to do that with just NFL that I'll be focusing on for uh Lindy's until the NBA starts back up sign up for that Marketplace down below promo code Lindy 50 yes Lindy 5 that'll get you everything uh that'll be my NFL plays that'll be my MLB plays as well as the National Basketball Association once that starts back up in just over a month wild to think we have gotten out of the dog days of summer and we are heading into the best time for sports of the entire year besides maybe April I love myself the the the final four I love myself the Masters always simultaneously going on uh GNA be really fun stuff for that but that is a long way away and hey NFL just got underway Thursday uh hopefully these plays end up handing out for us the game's about starting a little bit here but I'm going to be breaking down everything for Friday talking about Green Bay and Philly my outlook for them for the season and of course giving you a lean like and a lock now two likes yet again same as the last video so I I maybe that's going to be a theme going forward but uh it's on the same player this time so we'll at least break the ins and outs of that but producer Jacob without further Ado second time we're going to break down The Showdown before the week one massive Sunday slate let's get to the picks we are heading down to Brazil going to be fun and obviously I can't use the accent because I suck at accents so there you go we got Green Bay we got Philadelphia and I'm really excited for this one specifically I think I'm a lot higher on most people than the Eagles I do have a 10 and a half ticket that I ended up on the wins Total on the over for Philly that I added a little bit later talk to my buddy Brad Thomas on a separate show and you should be following him Lord BLT over on Twitter but uh he kind of talked me into this one they do have an easier schedule if they can get off to a good start because obviously the let tail end of last season Tampa Bay it was an Abomination uh Nick sani's team just fell by the wayside but what an upgrade of an offensive coordinator they are looking at in Kell Moore most notably Boise's State quarterback then most notably offensive coordinator forever there in Dallas so uh Kell Moore being added to this coaching tree I mean ridiculous stuff that we could be looking at for this offense AJ brown people know him Devonte Smith I loved him at Alabama love him in the pros and uh Dallas Goddard South Dakota State Legend Dallas Goddard uh my home state is very very proud but as I look at the board for tomorrow's game there are a couple of leans that I'm going towards this Philadelphia side and we'll get to the green Bay Side here when we get to the like section but one thing I'm looking and and constantly thinking about is what is the rushing profile of jayen Herz alongside Mr saquin Barkley seems like a pretty noticeable addition now you do lose Kelce there in the middle Jason Kelce in the middle of that offensive line Center going to be a Hall of Famer the new heights podcast going to different places constantly also the swifties love him so that's cool but anyway we are looking at one of the best if not the best offensive line in the entire National Football League it's basically Detroit and Philly one two in any order that you want to put them I absolutely go across this offensive line and I think that there's not a whole lot of stopping this running game if they decide to utilize Herz in that fashion with Milada one of the best left tackles that we've seen in a long time and then Lane Johnson on the right side of that line just did a ridiculous tandem that they have on the corners Jurgens in the middle we'll see how he ends up ascending obviously he's been most known from Nebraska back in the day a couple years ago yeah he's one of the most noticeable things come out in Nebraska now they've got a quarterback that's wild times wild times to see the hor Corn Huskers were like everybody from my high school went to college but I went to Iowa State because I'm smart like that let's move ourselves into the plays though Jaylen Herz is at 35 and a half rushing yards and this just comes down to I don't know what Kell Moore does with a true rushing quarterback and that's what I think Jaylen Herz is does he have the ability to throw of course he does obviously he's been one of the most fantasy relevant quarterbacks in forever I mean the guy is absurd him Lamar Jackson they're just unbelievable in terms of their separation we'll see Daniels do a little bit of that too we'll talk about that on Sunday but I think this is just something that I'm interested in I'm actually thinking that I'm more interested in like 50 plus rushing yards where hey if they unleash him against Green Bay who has one of the best offensive or sorry defensive fronts in all of football and the secondary is a little porous that's kind of what I'm worried about is that they do get after it they did sign McKenna there in the off season they do have some very noticeable pieces in Jer Alexander one of the best Shadow Corners that we've seen in football him and Justin Jefferson every time I watch it it's wild wild west football but any who that's something I'm thinking about betting haven't pulled the trigger purely because I think the numbers it's a little inflated for some of the unknowns and saquon Barkley maybe they are trying to get away from some of the tush push stuff I don't think so I really don't but I don't know if at 35 and a half I'm willing to pull the trigger on this maybe alternate lines because if it goes it's really going to go for Jaylen Herz all righty y'all before we get over to the lengths and start talking you through all the plays this is what we have going on use code kickoff $1 for the light and core subscriptions over at stochastic that's what on the screen behind me that is our parent company here at odd shoer and we cover the fantasy stuff I'm talking fantasy football there on Sundays in front of thousands of live people can't wait to do it again with mateski who you know from the college football streets potentially and betting you him and Ben RZA here on the channel well I'm going to be covering all of the fantasy goodness leading you up to lock on that Sunday and if you guys want to to check out DraftKings FanDuel for the daily fantasy content as well as the fantasy optimizers for DraftKings Underdog Draft Kings pick six that is all can be yours just for $1 $1 for week one access down at the link below sound great yeah sounds pretty good to me too so sign up I hopefully see you there on Sunday okay let's start talking some bets shall we because again that was some pleasantries on the on the Philadelphia side and uh I will get to a lock that we will be covering overall covering Philadelphia but I wanted to give you the offensive profile there because now we're going to jump to the Green Bay offensive side where I think you've just got a full allotment of weapons now Josh Jacobs brought in to uh take over the Aaron Jones workload I don't think he'll be as involved in the passing game but do you need somebody to be as involved in the passing game no you need to have somebody on the field because the skill position players the guys that they have around him Luke Musgrove at the tight end position specifically these young wide receivers are unfreaking believable we're talking Romeo dos we're talking Mr uh Christian Watson if he can stay healthy with that hamstring injury once in his life out of North Dakota State and Jaden Reed of course out of Michigan State unbelievable talents they have there there's one noticeable Omission though and it was a guy that we saw [ __ ] some upside towards the tail end of last season and I do think on other football teams he's extremely talented I'm talking about a guy named davien Wix some of you might know him some of you might not if you played fantasy you definitely saw davien Wix pop at times throughout the entire playoffs obviously they had the surprise win against the Cowboys which Yours Truly called on this show because I think Green Bay was very undervalued going up against a Mike McCarthy spot Mike McCarthy in the playoffs it's is as consistent as the reign in Brazil which is oh a lot there there's a lot of that so I guess it's not consistent whatever let's move ourselves to the play which is dantean Wicks longest reception under 16 12 yards this isus 110 over at DraftKings but I think there's another play that I've coupled it with that I really like under two and a half receptions is minus 115 over at B 365 I don't think we're going to see him on the field much we didn't see him much in the preseason and they did a couple of those showcase games for the people in Green Bay he was a massive noticeable Omission from some of those three wide receiver sets now you get four of them out there have fun but Davian Wix is going to need an injury over the course of these first couple weeks which is likely when you're talking about Watson and his profile in the NFL and some of these other pieces I think it's something that we have to pay very close attention to in the early portions of this window but Jordan love he's one of the best quarterbacks one of the best young quarterbacks in this National Football League he's going to get the ball around efficiently but he's going to get it around efficiently to the guys who are on the field which I don't think Wix is going to Eclipse even like a 35% snap share here in this game and that my friends make these both advantageous plays this is advantageous as can be as well we're talking odd Shopper and bet 365 bet 365 one of the most reputable Sports books in all of the land and not just our land but internationally bet 365 is absolutely gigantic you have New Jersey Colorado Ohio Virginia Iowa Kentucky Louisiana Indiana Arizona North Carolina and now Pennsylvania all of you can use this bet five get $200 in bonus bet it's only if you're 21 and over if you have a gambling problem pleas called 1-800 gambler but yes you can sign up for that bet five get 200 immediately at bet 365 and we're going to round out this program with my favorite play and it's it's not even Square I mean this opened at four and a half and we've had these lines out for months months and months and months and it's weird to me that the play that I'm projecting out the best in my modeling which again I'm doing a lot more for props than I am for totals and spreads because well totals and spreads end up very efficient this week one but I don't agree with this at all Philadelphia only laying one and a half now now there is inflated juice on this specific number minus10 at MGM the two is at minus 110 at Caesars and I'm just fine with either I hit this at two because I didn't want it to move and sure enough it went another half point so I think it's an advantageous spot to be going towards the for the offensive coordinator position the offensive coordinator position in a long time especially in we're talking about saquon Barkley who we're talking about saquan Barkley who back play or a confident offensive back play or a confident offensive and now he's stepping into the and that creates an awesome opportunity for Philly offense to far out surpass the League's expectations now I looked in the marketplace I thought I'd go on maybe some team totals because I do think this game I'd be leaning towards the over as it stands right now as well but just laying a point and a half two points here on the Philly side give me that all day if this gets up to three three and a half I'm not going to say it's an absolute middle but there will be log betting opportunities with these tickets I think where we can snag some points potentially with Green Bay if I think Philadelphia's offense can be as efficient as possible I am obviously scared of how good Green Bay is on the defensive side they have improved secondary with mckenny and some of the other pieces trer Alexander going to be healthy this year I think and I don't know I I still grade Philadelphia as the much much better football team on a neutral field so it's seems Square to me it seems like the square side but apparently it's not Green Bay is taking that public money like they always do one of the most publicly backed teams that we see year in year out and that I think creates value Philadelphia inside of a field goal and that does it for another edition of Lindy's leans likes and lock in the NFL streets head to the comment section below let me hear your favorite plays from this game I think there's a lot of props that are intriguing I'm going to try to jump on some numbers see what the public kind of does with these numbers overnight uh I'm going to be posting those in the marketplace so I repeat if you guys want to get my place for the NFL and also the MLB the only spot it's going to be uh getting my MLB plays for the next couple of weeks that is in the marketplace promo code Lindy 50 that'll get you uh your first week half off your first month half off whichever you prefer daily picks pre Discord come hang out the water is warm would love to see you there we can talk about anything you want and obviously we will be accumulating a lot of stats covering some of these teams lots of new faces uh and kind of matters but anyhoo lots to be getting to until next time friends week one I will have a massive video out for you on Friday night covering everything for Sundays main slate and Sunday Night Football and then Monday Night Football can't wait to see you there until then I'm Amic Clin quiz best of luck in the NFL streets on Friday Friday they wonder the world