"Nostradamus Of Elections” Allan Lichtman Says Kamala Will WIN 2024 Election

on to the next story from CNBC Harris will beat Trump says election prediction Legend Alan lickman and uh this is interesting ladies and gentlemen Nate silver currently has it for Trump that could change Litman currently has it for kamla Harris this doesn't make sense now liman predicted accurately that Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton and they made fun of him they were like you're crazy he went through his prediction model and said Hillary Clinton is going to lose and the media laughed and said she can't lose are you nuts now liman is predicting that KLA Harris will win the only time he was wrong is when he predicted I think it was Al Gore was going to win I think that's he predicted Al Gore that's right but then it's it wasn't a normal election considering how it turned out so some say since the 80s when he began this model he's never been wrong 2000 was an anomaly so we don't count that maybe you should I I kind of feel like he's full of it let me show you so they say the results are in the Democratic Presidential nominee K Harris will defeat Republican rival Trump in the November 5th election according to the historian named the Nostradamus of presidential elections in his latest election prophecy he uh an American Professor blah blah blah is predicting Harris is going to win the Democrats will hold onto the White House and KLA Harris will be the next president of the United States lickman said in the video at least that is my prediction for this race his forecasts are based on historical index model he dubs the keys to the White House the way it works is there are 13 true false statements if six or more of the statements are false then the Challenger in this case Trump is predicted to win here are the keys and his determinations I got to say before I read is actually let's let's let's do this I'll read the keys to the White House um it is one party mandate two no primary contest three incumbent seeking re-election four no third party five strong short-term economy six strong long-term economy seven major policy change eight no social unrest nine no Scandal 10 no foreign or military failure 11 major foreign or military success 12 charismatic incumbent and 13 is uncharismatic Challenger now his determination is that only three of these statements are false therefore Trump cannot win but let's go through his assessment party mandate after the midterm elections the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House than it did after the previous midterm false that's good for Republicans contest there is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination true whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa yeah I think you're on to something with this one Dean Phillips M RFK Jr uh and you had a bunch of other uh uh kind of R Maran Williamson I mean there were primaries that said not Joe Biden right like there contested in Minnesota and that's what I'm refc well even the whole thing um with the uncommitted voters yeah so so so this was very seriously contested RFK Jr was running for the Democratic ticket they blocked him from it so he turned independent he was running filed lawsuits against him in right yeah every state which a funny point he brought up is they kept suing him to keep his name off the ballot now they're suing him to keep his name on the ballot right how about that so he he he said for there is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination true I that's false there was a serious contest for it it was a matter of huge contention how they handled the primary to keep people out so maybe his argument is it doesn't matter all that matters is the primary didn't happen perhaps his argument is his model is not based on whether or not people were challenging him it's based on whether or not there was an actual election where the incumbent almost lost so basically he's saying that because the incumbent party was so powerful and used law fair so effectively there was no primary I guess which doesn't make sense if the argument is when there is a serious primary contest for the incumbent party nomination it shows disdain for the current candidate and and many of those people won't vote we absolutely have that in in RFK Jr so let's let's continue not to mention the uh incumbent party Victor of the primary is not the candidate like let's make that clear the guy who won the Primary is not the candidate so this is weird incumbency the incumbent Party candidate is the sitting president false seems strange because it's it it right it is false but this whole model seems to not acknowledge the fact that she is acely part of the incumbent Administration I mean when it works as if when they don't want her to be when it would benefit the model she isn't and when it would when it when it would hurt her or help her like you know it kind of goes back and forth whether she's a part of this or not but we'll read it verbatim she is not the sitting president I don't know how many times that has happened and I don't think it's ever no I don't the sitting president well no no no no no no no that's wrong on during elections where the president is termed out and the vice president is running like say Al Gore or whatever then this clearly becomes the issue so let's just say fine we'll give him the false it benefits Trump anyway there is no significant third party or independent campaign I'll actually agree that's true short-term economy the economy is not in a recession during the election campaign True full stop are we in a recession not yeah if it feels like it I know it's not officially a recession but exactly so this is the question if you go around and ask people as even Don Lemon did who are you voting for they say Trump he says why he was in he was in Atlantic City and they like the economy and and Don's like no the economy is good well people don't feel it so the question is not I think I I don't think you can say are we in a recession I think the question is do people feel bad economically because it's the economy stupid yeah the other thing too is I was reading a report this morning groceries hit like an all-time high in July what did groceries prices for it prices for groceries and people can feel it number number six is long-term economy real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms true that one's fine that's that's an economic academ mic statement I have no problem with that the short-term economy I think F would would likely be false because people are feeling the heat but you know what we're not in a recession so I'll get that one so let's just say this so far we have one is false two is false three is false we have three there's three more policy change this one's fascinating the incumbent Administration affects major changes in National policy true what the vi kamla Harris is not offering any change the inflation reduction act already happened the policies that they've proposed they've enacted what change would they possibly bring about as the same Administration I I I I think what he's playing here is he's treating this as though the vice president taking over is as if a two-term president is termed out and a an ambitious VP is taking over it's the same Administration yeah and also the one the one thing that where I would say that they are attempting to affect change isn't actually working and it's certainly not working in any sort of public way which is they're trying to pull back on this border after after letting in you know I think even the New York Times says 9 million people over the past couple of years and Marjorie tayor green says 20 right so um there's a big difference but they're trying to affect some kind of change with the amnesty program they put a pause on their parole program to allow in you know 30,000 extra people per month from what is it like Venezuela Nicaragua Cuba and Haiti um and uh um they're trying to do that but it's not actually working because you still have you know a lot of reports of crimes committed by illegal immigrants like really violent ones you know child rape and things do we all agree that's false yeah I think it's false he said true I I believe if kamalo wins it is stagnant same policies the war advances the Border doesn't change she's the borders are he put true that makes literally no sense there's no major change in National policy should she win false that's four falses two more and Trump wins and and talking about the immigration is like when you look at the Biden Administration they're essentially playing a shell game when every time you see oh well immigration like illegal immigration or visas are going down well they're just routing it through a different um legal process so it like immigration's not going down they're just playing a massive shell game moving these numbers around all right so eight social unrest there is no sustained social unrest during the term I don't I don't know that we have sustained social unrest so I'll call that true that's fine this is my favorite I would argue we are close to sustained social unrest with the Palestine stuff oh actually Fair Point you know what I mean I mean they're back on campuses like back on campus and they're protesting him going nuts and so that's five F that's a good point they've been protesting N I want to say what was it like a 100,000 uh Palestinian protesters at in Chicago at the DNC yeah like it was it was like just watching the videos it was shocking to see just the absolutely I was wrong on that one we weeks away from the year anniversary of that so this that that seems sustained to me there is sustain so okay so that's five number nine Scandal the incumbent Administration is untainted by Major Scandal true what the president was ousted in the 11th Hour as the whole media said they were secretly withholding information about his cognitive decline that's the incumbent Administration that's not just K Harris that's six Trump wins but there's more there's more incumbent Charisma the incumbent Party candidate is charismatic or a national hero false I will agree with that that's seven now here's an interesting one Challenger charisma the challenging Party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero true so this but this is interesting Trump is charismatic but he's also widely hated he's widely hated on the other hand he is obviously charismatic he built a whole career in TV before he ever got anywhere I mean he just survived an assassination attempt I'm sorry that's eight and then guess what number 12 foreign military failure the incumbent Administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military Affairs holy crap the Abby Gate scandal is is breaking now with the with the gold star families criticizing heavily the Biden Administration and Harris for bmer merching their name for insulting Trump when they invited him not to mention Afghanistan was a major failure not to mention Israel is resulting in massive protests that's nine and last but not least foreign military success the incumbent Administration achieves a major success in foreign or military Affair Affairs false that's 10 for Trump how is this guy making these assessments maybe maybe he he's right maybe maybe what he's actually doing is sitting there and he's being like you know I'm just going to lie because the Deep State's going to give it to to Harris or whatever or maybe the news media for the first time has become so broken that this guy watching CNN doesn't understand reality and so he genuinely thinks he's he's being correct on this and it's not a fault of his system it's a fault of where he gets his information well you mentioned with with Al Gore that that was sort of an anomalous race and I think similarly maybe he is not able to judge uh how unusual this race is with the insertion of Camala Harris I mean some of these metrics almost seem like they don't apply because when they reference the incumbent being you know not charismatic which incumbent are we talking about the incumbent vice president or the incumbent pres you know what I mean like it's just a weird weird situation I think this the the Scandal question Nails it the the incumbent Administration is untainted by Major Scandal this guy's plugged in MSNBC 24/7 yeah because there have been several major scandals there's been the classified documents Scandal there was the hunter Biden you know left guil literally right now there's Hunter Biden pleading guilty there was cocaine in the White House Scandal there was you know um Biden getting pushed out at the last second Scandal there have been a lot of scandals and things like not to mention just total policy failures that have been a really big problem that people have noticed you have the Border situation that's a really giant disaster if we remember going back to uh 2019 and 2020 like you started to to see as soon as Biden started making a really big play for the White House you started to see uh wouldbe illegal border crossers lining up South of the Border wearing like thank you Biden T-shirts they all knew the drill it had been telegraphed to them everybody was aware of it you had you know you've had like countless um uh Administration officials hauled before Congress you had my orcus outright lying he said you know he said from The Briefing room I remember watching it like we're not saying don't come we're saying don't come now let us get our system together and then he lied to Josh Holly and said that he hadn't said that and it was like well you did kind of totally say that you had the vaccine mandate push and then you had you know concerns were raised about that rightly or wrongly and then you also had like lockdowns that was a problem you had the enforcement on the states so I think that there have been a lot of um school closures you know that was an issue and you had literally the Biden Administration being told by teachers unions that were funding the camp campaign this is what we want you to do with schools once you're in office um and that you know that wasn't the only that wasn't the only thing thanks for checking out this clip from timcast IRL make sure to watch the show live Monday through Friday at 8:00 pm subscribe to this Channel and we will see you all there