English Premier League Predictions - Matchday 3 - Manchester United v Liverpool Best Bets

Transfer Market Impacts welcome to betting weekly Premier League show you're with Dan robok alongside me Nigel cely and Jack cry I did think Nigel that you were in New York for this one but you are you know packing your case and you're there tomorrow is that right 100% Dan uh flying out tomorrow well we actually when this recording actually probably go live I will be in New York but we're recording it a day early on the Wednesday I'm fing out on Thursday uh myself and Sean Cav will be out there for the weekend and looking forward to it looking for some tennis looking for some cash some tickets you be able to follow us on the Instagram account so yes not I'm here now that's why we're doing on the THS on the Wednesday night not the Thursday sorry I yeah I I got my wi cross I thought we were going to do it from this Swanky hotel that you've been selling us do you know what I mean so I'm looking forward to to the Instagram the Wi-Fi doesn't work there it's 00 a night it's $700 a night Nigel was telling us and he can't get the wi I need to go to Shan's BNB and queens at $30 a night to get the Wi-Fi it looks good it's got the best it's got the best dial up there at Shan Jack any week two observations seven winning favorites across week two including all bar one at minus money the top three from last season are currently in the top four and all of the promoted clubs are in the bottom six it's easy isn't it it's very predictable the Premier League is that right I've gotta be very careful what I say here not to do myself out of a job a it but um I get where you're coming from with it of course yeah we kind of know which sides are likely to win when they're not playing each other it's trying to get the way around getting them on side isn't it do you want to take a massive handicap it's as we always said it's sniffing out the value as opposed to potentially just throwing out oh they're going to win and it's not the way to do things and uh long-term profit Etc so yeah it's taking a familiar shape let's put it that way but there's always some surprises along the way and I say it's about finding those those right right bets Nigel's done because he's he's cash tur Yeah well yeah we'll get don't listen don't worry we get look unders profitable again we had 31 match days last season where we had a full card 10 games only six of those 31 uh match weeks we saw unders profitable we've had two on the spin they didn't have three on the spin last season so you never know unders could be here to stay and Nigel we've got a 4unit play this week incredible it's the biggest unit play do you know what if someone said four unit I know but listen we do not know the picks when they come through now if someone said to me this was a 4 unit play this week I'd be like no this is there's been better opportun but because we this new system we don't know what's happening it sort of Fate has happened that it's a 4unit play just going back to the unders um you know I that's one of the reasons why I've upgraded to first class tomorrow which you'll be able to see on the Instagram but on the coming home it could be economy I could be seeting Mich C on the way back that's that's the difference um transfer deadline day as well uh this week um first weekend of the season of the 17 Survivor Premier clubs from last term an average of 0.8 of then new signings started so in terms of this weekend Jack Nigel you know there's going to be a blaze of publicity for certain signings but from a a betting point of view for this weekend at least and maybe even for the next weekends does it matter Jack do you think uh it's just trying to work out which one of seven Chelsea signings are going to start this weekend between now and Friday um yeah you you need to keep a handle on it don't you but generally speaking I think as we now get really close to kickoff you don't to see someone get thrown in completely out the blue so it's one to um keep an eye on obviously watch what's going on it's the exits probably the most important rather than the incomings you got some you know real big players if they're linked with moves away uh and that that comes to pass then yeah absolutely that could have an impact so we're obviously going in as we know it right now we can't kind of get our mystical ball out for this particular one in the transfer market is Tough Enough going through the card as it is but uh yeah it's probably the exits I'd say would be more uh ones to watch out for than the incomings now uh Nigel your sort of thoughts on transfers I mean I think we were speaking a few weeks ago and you were saying when it came to the championship and and I know this is premier league but it's it's the players that sort of leave the sort of lesser lights and maybe lower down the leagues you're looking what's happening to sort of Burnley and leads and and one or two others and if if you're betting Futures you know in Late July early August think the landscape can change so much I mean I'm not quite sure that applies to the Premier League but you know it it is Frau with danger isn't it because you don't know the shape of squads the makeup of the squads until that transfer deadline day is is is done dusted I do think that the market reacts to Big signings and um you know teams that spend a lot of money in the transfer window everyone thinks oh they bought that such and such a player they bought that player they going to move they're going to do good but I think the market actually actually comes down to the right Market within three or four games it's very very hard to throw some people in I when we've see in the Championship I'm referring to the championship game leads have now suddenly got a little bit better Birmingham who who wasn't great in the first week of the season now getting better and better there will come a time where those players Jael and they'll be rated at 1.20 one one minus 120 away from home and they'll win 4-0 5- nil they're going to hit that's what's going to happen and the same with the Premier League I just think sometimes when you have too many new faces It's the reaction is we're going to bet them we're going to bet them now but I do think it's a better time to just watch them just have a look at them see what they go in on see how they jail and then the time to hit will be in a few weeks time so that's one of the reasons why I'm not really getting involved today many teams that are really heavily involved in the in the transfer market let's kick off with the early Arsenal v Brighton game 7:30 Eastern Saturday now we've not got official plays in this but it is the first game of the weekend Brighton have been very busy when it comes to the transfer dealings this summer and still getting players coming in they're away at Arsenal Arsenal minus uh 3 35 here in Brighton a plus 750 draw plus 450 both got 100% winning records so far Arsenal are shortest price against Brighton that they've been for five years we know that they've got a good record here is there any sort of angle in potentially for this early game for stat side betters to get involved in or is this one as you said Brighton have got an awful lot of changes here yes they've started well but one maybe to lean leave alone or or just a minor lean to it how' you see it well it I was actually tempted to have a a play on this match but obviously now I've gone for a lean I haven't it hasn't made my top three but I was quite tempted to be here Arsenal had a statement win last week against Aston Villa and they play and they had a win as well in the first match against wolves but in both matches they never played really well they didn't play as good as they could do but to win 2-0 and to win ugly is something that you don't associate with Arsenal and you haven't associated with Arsenal over the last couple of Seasons they've got better and better they've known how to gain management they've known how to play and win games not playing well that wasn't the case and there that was a big win for me obviously Viller missed a couple of big big chances in that match and it could have been very very different but Arsenal got the two-nil win and got the three points on the board Brighton I think the market now is sort of fell in love with them I mean we know who they're own by we know he's a very most astute person who in terms of buying Talent across Europe he's bought a manager here but every time every time he buys a manager up that's it uh they're finished he got rid of um Potter they finished got the Zerby got of the Zerby and now he's this guy who's who's he's been s Sensational but let's be fair I mean okay they they beat a very poor Everton they won 3-0 Manchester United match uh they were very lucky with ciry putting the ball in the back of the net when he should he should have just left the ball at very changed but they they were the better S but they were quite fortunate in that win now they've got a test against Arsenal I think Arsenal have too much strength for Brighton I think the changes will come in arsenal we know were the best team at home to win to nil Arsenal had the best defensive record in the Premier League they got the best goalkeeper in the Premier League who's actually got better in the first two matches I believe you know he was a man of the match against Aston Villa shows you that kind of level and he was also I think it was a man of the match against wolves as well so you've you've got a defensive that's got better so if you're looking at minus 315 on manchest on Arsenal to win this match I think you've just got to look at the the plus one full team with bet rivers to win to nil last season they won 3-0 and 2-0 um there was you know Bri have given them problems in the past but this is a very very different Arsenal side who seem to be on a mission they believe they can win the title this year and I think at plus 114 but the way to do it on the BET Rivers website is to bet Arsenal on the money line and to bet Brighton under half a goal scored and that will return you plus 114 and I believe that is the best way to play this match Mar than the minus 315 to win now that is a good argument so you got to stay with this shoe because you wait till the Best Bets come yeah um speaking of arguments um Jack you're going to make an argument against that because you've gone for a goal scorer play but it's not an Arsenal goal scorer play it's not an official play it's a lean it is a lean yeah yeah again it's a real tough one to to go I wanted to get Arsenal on side and Nigel's right is that win to nil voting to score no approach is the one that really does catch the eye I I I just felt for me that Brighton have shown they've got that attack and Instinct and I think they might well cause a few problems for Arsenal um again best defense in the league and I think huge that Rey has come in as now the permanent goalkeeper and had two exceptional games some of those saves that he's pulled off already this season are going to be tough to beat across the whole campaign so that's massive for him his confidence in the fact that you know they have established him as the number one my concern would be they are throwing up some very very good chances and it's going to be a matter of time before someone does take one so given that I found it a little bit of a tough one I do fancy Arsenal to win I don't want to take him on the handicap I don't want to go against him on handicap either um goals could be a little bit here in there as well so what I've gone for here is just a big plus money lean which I try and do when I haven't got an official play and I've gone for Danny Welbeck to score he's scored in both his opening two games he obviously scored against his former club last weekend this is another former Club of his so he could get on the score sheet against here obviously had that extra motivation to do it and he's a guy that will sniff out a chance and he can finish so if they do present the chances that oie Watkins turned up last weekend I think he might well stick one away and plus 480 I think that's a big price 300 $ which would you play Arsenal for the title plus 160 Brighton top six plus 300 Brighton top 10 minus 250 Nigel quickly which win Premier League plus 160 Jack boring but yeah same yeah definitely yeah I think you could be right there although I think Brighton look nailed on for top 10 but they are honest sorry sorry ja I've realigned bright I had them probably 12 or 13th and I just think it I thought it was going to take a little bit of time for him to get some traction they they have hit the ground running so I've kind of edged them up a couple of places but I wouldn't be backing them at that price and say you know I fancy we all fancied I think Arsenal to have a good crack at it this season and they've only rubber stamped that uh that impression no is the answer to your question like you you st up the under yeah yeah that's I I knew I knew the answer before I even asked the question you were let's let's get some official plays Bing guns are out early the dollars are coming out significantly we had a 4u play on the European show last week we talked it up like mad I don't know how it didn't win but it didn't sorry Steven James but this one hopefully will score Leicester Villa 10: a.m. eastern Leicester v Aston Villa Leicester plus 350 Aston V Villa minus 132 you've both gone for your two unit play here Nel do you want to kick off first with your reasoning tell us what it is first well I mean when you look at these two unit players you've got to go with someone that you you really think and that's there going going to win and that's why we're going for the you've got two on the spin you yeah I've hit them one because they're the ones that I think that the most the ones who wins and obviously the price is you know you're minus 132 you got a low price that's why you're betting the two units but I think that the what I've seen from vill I I I think they're in a different level to Leicester I mean they they were I thought they were exceptional in the first match against West Ham 2.67 HG any other given day against Arsenal they would have caused some problems and walkington we we've touched on the Arsenal preview there that he would have scored I arsenal were very very lucky to be at the stage they were at the end and Villa just didn't didn't couldn't convert the chances I'm not convinced by Leicester at all I mean um they were so lucky against Tottenham with a one-1 draw last week I opposed them with my two-unit pick on Fulham and fulam got the job done it was a bit nervy at some stage but when you broke down the data Fulham deserved to win that match and I just think that this Leicester side isn't good enough in the Premier League I don't think the players they bought in I don't think the squad is is good enough I'm a little bit um worried about the manager I think the manager is a is a manager that obviously did well at not in the forest but I just think this is a big big ask for him to come here after the success last year and also I'm very very concerned that their main goal threat is still Jamie vardy they were a selling club that got rid of their best player from last season he's gone and they look to me as a team that are relying on one man who everyone will turn around he he's passed his best so my argument here is Viller are in a total trajectory to to Leicester it's a bit of a local Derby as well and I think Villa here will get the job done and I think minus 132 Villa to win it all the data suggests that they're going to convert more chances they've got the better players they got a better Squad and I think Leicester are in for a very very tough season what I've seen in the first two matches so I'm gonna go for Villa minus 132 is my two un play Jack add to Nigel's assessment what you got yeah total full agreement obviously same bet so uh Steve Cooper seems a bit grumpy about situation at Leicester already V fast a central Defender is allegedly looking for a move before the end of the window so this is one we're talking about if they lose another Central Defender an international Defender that's going to leave them very bare at the back um regardless of what you think of him as actually a Premier League defender or not but yeah the flip side of what we then talked about as far as Arsenal's David ryer being a man of the match last weekend was the fact that that was against Villa and Villa had a huge amount of the ball a huge amount of a chance that could have really turned that game on its head but the thing I like as you said the one I think Villa probably the fourth best side in the Premier League right now the only thing would stop me putting them in the top four is what's coming up in the fact that they'll be in the Champions League so that's not an issue at this moment in time so I'm happy to absolutely get on board with them at this price uh they have been exceptionally good since emer's come to the club Only Man City and Arsenal picked up more points on the road than them um and they did start as favorites very often last season they were only um a starting favorite in um eight Road games last season they won five of those and they drew two and only lost one so it shows you that normally when they're expected to go to one of the Lower Lights they'll go and get the job done they'll go and beat them so that's where I'm at on it um so I think Ole Watkins will be on a little bit of a Redemption mission this weekend as well so beware Leicester city and I'd expect Villa to win this quite coely actually four unit play it wouldn't be a let's let's let's get it straight straight now if this was last season and we were risking four units on this play I would lose the whatever's left remaining on my head of the hair but uh the way this new format has happened we don't know what's happening so like I would just bear a word of caution anyone thinking this is a 4unit massive massive bet just be a little bit careful what it it is it is but like there's better four units play along at theend this is week three in the season the phone well where's the better four unit play priv it's just I would just be a little bit I just think to myself you know this is the four un player as Villa I've got let I've got to let the view I've got to let the viewers and listeners into a little secret when we introduce the two unit play to the European show Nigel got on the phone she's like what on Earth are you doing what are you doing with this and now he is here he is here he is backto back winning two unit plays and he's got a 4u play here but I know he's but the idea was that we would have different two unit plays the fact we on week three could be an absolute disaster oh God right let's crack on with more plays here we got Forest wolves next up here we're back to the one unit here Nigel's got a pick Forest Nottingham Forest v Wolves the minus one three wolves 6 uh I said wolves are the best bet of the year last last week that went well for me but they still won they still won the XG battle against Chelsea in that crazy game not quite sure what to make of all I think this is going to be very different and Nigel You' highlighted in the past on shows last season when teams concede a lot next time out it's very very different and that's the I I think that might be the basis of you play part of it it is it is and a lot of people might watch we've got so many new viewers and wel belongs to everyone who's viewed this year but the strategy I gave last year when teams have very very heavy defeats I think at the time Sheffield Knight got beat 8 nil by Newcastle that's right and the following week I went under two and a half goals in it cash they work on a defense it's very much like American football teams when they lose 65 points they don't you know they don't usually lose the spread doesn't really get covered by the favorite the following week and that was my strategy here before we go on to that though Dan you your best bet in the last two weeks has lost actually to be fair it was my first I can't remember but we there is there the new there there is a volume one and a volume two and now volume three of the T-shirt the r down robot t-shirt which are available on the BET River website anyway let's move on to this match here I mean there's a lot of subplots here obviously newos Brito Gomez going back to his former club which is obviously the very interesting Factor you saw Eddie how last week going back to Bournemouth didn't get the win the last two matches last season between these two sides were both draws so I think this is quite an evenly match match uh Gary O'Neal is a manager that I think could be a decent betting enough to be the first manager to lose his job I've said it at the start of the season but I think the way things are going there and he's not getting the money he's a kind of player who's got to protect his his profile and I could see him um having a bit of a clashes With The Wolves owners and and potentially walking here for this is different because Forest is first two matches season have both been low scoring 1-1 against Bournemouth 1- nil against Southampton although they had a very very high XG in that match 2.86 but they both ended under two and a half goals the reason what you said is absolutely right it was back to the fact that when you have a big heavy defeat the following week it doesn't really work out for the overs and I went back I I did the research years ago and I looked at all the heavy um defeats in the Premier League and I was going to go back for every single one of them but it's been a very busy day today so I decided not to go through the every single one you did do it last year you put the hard last year I just was trying to find the Bits of Paper around the office there I couldn't find it and when I went through the matches I thought oh no I can't be doing this but I I went through I decided to go through last season so what I did what I did today I went through all the matches last season where a team had conceded six or more in the Premier League and there was seven times where a team had conceded six or more in the Premier League last week uh last season sorry and that team the following week five of them had gone unders only two the following week have gone overs so for that reason Forest wolves Nuno back to his former Club little bit history wolves want to put in performance not going to be happy with last week Gary O'Neal will demand the performance Forest not doing much as I'm attacking unit so my one unit play is under two and a half goals in this match at even money yeah far both games so far this season have gone under in the Premier League and if you went best price last season for. home you did make a profit Jack what's your lean on this one oh yeah I was actually tempted to go under as well but I just gone for a little bit extra juice in my selection which is for a tie in the match um it plus 265 for much of the same reasons I think wolves will definitely look to try and keep it tight he'll be on the training ground this week and see drilling into the fact about the mistakes that he talked about last week it was a mental game obviously and uh Nuno just kind of keeps Forest tight doesn't he they are blunt in attack although they've got a lot of talent in attack they don't seem to be able to click and I think as I mentioned last week I think once they do get a goal he puts the breakes on a little bit puts the reins on them and and holds them back and looks to counter so I think it could be a Titan kg1 as said the table is skewed if you look at the table and go Forest of storming it and and wolves are in all kinds of trouble I think these two will probably be in the three or four play above the relegation Zone come the end of the season very tight together on points so I'm taking this to be a very tight game as well and leaning on the tie just picking up on the next manager to go it will be first manager to go in the Premier League bet Rivers have got prices incidentally and Gary O'Neal's a 20 to one shot uh Nigel plus 2,000 well I think everyone the Market's dominated by 10 hog isn't it I mean it's Shawn D is the favorite I'm going to come on to him in a second Shawn D is the I can't see him going I mean Everton got a take over we come to that match in a minute we probably but Everton got new owners take over problem new stadium to come in I think if they got rid of Shawn Das it would be an absolutely ridiculous decision he his his his postmatch interview was was it was despondent wasn't he I've got no money what' you expect me to do but um we all know Everton getting this predicament and then six games to go they rely on their brilliant fans who get handers coming Google that one younger views yeah they do they do they do seem to avoid the drop yeah no they do uh sha D is plus 300 favorite to be next manager to go Everton are plus 170 Everton v Bournemouth to beat Bournemouth at plus 155 this is the 10 a.m. Saturday kickoff Easter the draw at plus 245 Jack you've got your hot dog for us here big price uh pick um Talk us through this one this is an interesting one yeah I've gone for Anytime goal scorer here and that the player in question is Antoine seeno who may not be so familiar with a American viewers and listeners out there kind of cut his teeth in the championship and in the efl with Bristol City mainly he's an electric performer on his day and I saw him a few times over the course of that that time with Bristol City where he looked a well beer and then he'd have a little bit of a kind of either pick up an injury or have a quiet time um but he got his move over to Bournemouth and he started this season on absolute fire so I want to get on board with him at this moment in time I watched him against Newcastle last weekend and he ripped him apart be it with his pace and trickery getting to the by line Crossing into the box he created an assist um he also was very close to getting another one um just couldn't quite finish at the far post but can also chop inside and he's got a great strike on him and he smacked the crossbar last weekend um and he did score in the opening weekend fixtures as well so I said I think he's a confidence player he's obviously got been given his head by the manager of Rola at Bournemouth no salanki there now a call so there's room for a Talisman there's room for a guy that's going to take Bournemouth and and push them up the table and I think seeno at this moment in time could be that player of course you need the right opportunity and I felt this was the right opportunity to play him against Everton um who have conceded seven across their first two games really disappointed in that open at their first home game of the season against Brighton and of course then got thumped 4-0 by Tottenham which their fans did not seem too happy about when they um barding their train on the way home so lots of discontent to say the least goodison Park can be as we've talked about there the extra point or two that can drag him over the line but when things aren't going well it can obviously have a real detrimental effects on the players and I feeling that if bourou start this game well the Everton fans are going to possibly turn on this one because it's right on a knife edge there at the moment and I said I think seeno is that kind of player that's when he's tails up he's got his confidence he'll be running mikeno is has been left back the last couple of weeks for Everton and I think he can get a him and he can cause problems so I think at the price plus 340 that's my hot dog for this weekend lovely so man youve got eight goals in the Premier League last season plus 340 uh to score at any time in the game at gooderson you got lean for us in this one Nigel what's your thoughts on everon my thoughts of we all know everon had a Dreadful start no goals no money seven conceded goalkeepers had a nightmare um but has the market caught up with them I mean has the market caught up with them at plus 170 at home against OB Side at plus 155 have we got carried away with two match form that would be my concern here you know could could 170 and probably even drifting could be plus 180 come kickoff time could that be a price that Everton think you know that was that was just too silly you know with a draw no bet Market a plus 110 Everton could that be a bet that that we have we may have to take in hindsight I mean after after the event so I'm not quite sure whether I would want to play on the money line uh on either of these sides because I think that the bouth market is pretty much too short I mean plus 155 to to go to way Everton I wouldn't I wouldn't bet that and I think the value probably lies with Everton at plus 170 but would you trust them on the form that we've had here so doubts about both sides Bournemouth have drawn both their matches so far this season 1-1 and I'm going to sit firmly on the bench in this one and offense on this one I'm going to go for a draw at plus 245 as my lean for Nigel u in that one Everton Bournemouth yeah doesn't sit right does it bourou away just just plus 155 each the market sometimes gets really really carried away on two or three matches I don't think we should really until we get at least a dozen matches on of data you got the champion you got the international break as well next week as well and things changed players coming and I think that you know I think plus 155 b f and they will get shorter at Everton could be a price that we might look back and think well that was a bit silly let's get got an extra um sorry Everton got an extra day rest haven't they as well they're both in the League Cup The League Cup yeah whatever the side will be we're not quite certain about but obviously Everton played last night and at time recording Bournemouth will play I think it's West Ham tonight um and I know money's come for West Ham today so uh yeah possibly a reaction to the fact they might well be rotated but we'll we'll have to wait and see let's get some quick fire leans on the other Saturday games that we've not cover Nigel brenford Southampton first of all anything catch your eye I was very very Brentford v Southampton tempted to put brenford in as my two-unit player actually here um but I thought that um the fact that uh Tony looks like he's do the fact that he's not there I just I looked at the price and I looked again I thought really could up back sou could back brenford at minus 136 the reason for this was nothing to do with the fact that brenford are any great shakes at the thought that I think Southampton are absolutely dire I trusted him last week against Nott and Forest they got .21 XG they couldn't beat a 10-man Newcastle which I gave them the benefit to doubt in week one um two one nil defeats uh and no goals real no goals no real creation at all nothing they to me they look a side that are really going to struggle I love my bet six to1 all the promoted teams to get relegated and I will I think brenford will win this at minus 136 uh that would probably be a lean uh but I would probably put it in a parlay uh rather than getting involved in any any other match but I wouldn't trust brenford to win by two or more so I was looking for in in har rice but I I just think the Southampton are Dreadful Jack yeah not much more to add on the two sides now I think whis has been a subject of a transfer well Steve where's he going where's he going trying to get rid of him for years he's kind of saudy is he I told you he wouldn't last the heat I can't well if Steve whis is up front for brenford South a massive B and I know Steve's injured have you not Steve's injured ankle out is out out he's out out so it's no good so on that note I have gone for both teams to score no as my lean so with Steve wher up front is not going to score look I I talked about sth hon I was couple of weeks I'm on them to get relegated as well I thought they were a decent price and nothing's changed in my opinion in the first two weeks toothless up front no creativity as Nigel has said Armstrong I mentioned last week guess goal scorer in the championship just not good enough in the Premier League and I think they they've not got an awful lot there I said they they stunk the place out last time and they were in it and I think they weak than they were then so I've gone with both teams to score no as malen because um yeah they could fluk go one nil couldn't they but I don't think this is a goal Fest and uh it just just appeared to me that that was the the way in uh what What's the Leaning ipswitch Fulham here uh Jack because it it seems Ipswich Town v Fulham to me and I've got your tip in front of me that you've you've gone back to your Norwich persuasion here with this one Absolut absolutely right I got pels from from my friends and family about what I was doing supporting if switch and giving them a bit of a big up so yeah I can't take that anymore no I've gone with Fulham on the money line here I think they've been a bit undervalued in this one I think uh you know we're getting a decent plus money on a on a decent very in fact a very good Premier League side look the basics of it is it's a lean so I won't get into too much detail I Swit we know two seasons ago League one uh they came up I think they were looking to be effectively consolidate last season the championship the momentum they started with carried on throughout the season they've been promoted fair play to him on that side of it um they've got to adjust and I think there's this element the fact that just because they've played Liverpool and Manchester City and been beaten they could have conceded five or more in both of those games that it's all right now the actual Premier League starts where we're going to win some points and taking it as granted that it's going to be that much easier it's not that much easier in the Premier League I might be proven wrong ipwi might come out of the traps and and win this and and start winning games but at this moment in time I don't see any difference between them and a Luton and a Burnley from last season so they've been beaten they had one shot in total last weekend yes they scored it and took the lead but um other than that I I just think that they're taken possibly that this will be a lot easier for them to go forward and and Fulham we've talked about um the sil of Anderson's good at the back Emil Smith row we've mentioned fantastic signing ai's good one tar is on form like he is at the moment he's a menace munes has been having chances up front not taking him but you know is like he's a street player can score one probably end up with two or three in a game and then he'll go on a runner scoring so I think they've got to really hurt an IT side that at this moment in time I think as I say our relegation certainties and are put on par with auton and a Burnley from last season there you go nice to see you um very much back in the up switch field you can show your face on southw beach once again what you got well I must admit that the old the orange Canary the yellow canary of Jack there come out very the orange the yellow canary of Jack come out there very very much I mean I I think ipswitch have been um I think they've been okay to be honest I thought they played quite well against Liverpool and then they took the lead against Man City and they play your season starts now doesn't it you know your first Kamp of the Season you Liverpool Man City your season starts now so forget what's happened before I I I've actually bet to go down they'd be the ones I'd be worried about other than Leicester and Southampton I think NE and Southampton of what I've seen on the first couple of games look a lot worse in I which I think some of the signings they've done have been quite good um a very very good manager as we know uh but also on the flip side I really like Fulham this season so uh I think their signings this is going have been fantastic I think they're going to be the new Crystal Palace the team that will break into the top 10 and Crystal Palace are going to come come down the table on the back of fulham's upst um Fulham should have won a little bit more easily than the 2-1 they did score EML Smith row he said so many times and there's a great sign Anderson is a fantastic sign as well but I do think both sides here just need to get a point on the board and I I'm my lean would be for a draw at plus 255 okay cool West Ham man city is the 12:30 eastern time Saturday Niger what you got for us this West Ham v Manchester City one easy win for Man City how I thought I mean you you said both teams to score and City win didn't you last week for the for the um City up switch game you nailed that one similar vein with this one you think City win but a little bit leaky at the back exactly the same bit uh City to win both teams scores plus 155 with bet rivers that would been my lean here both matches last season were 3-1 Home and Away Man City won them both I was actually quite tempted to put West dam is is my hot dog I thought I thought plus $650 or $7 was a big big price because it's going to be a night match under the lights at West Ham you know what it's like there it's you know they the place gets rocking the Champions come to town um new players and I think West Ham are going to do well this season again New Look side but I do think here that uh you've got that you they considered against IPS is they you know early do first attack that's their vulnerability their vulnerability is is defense um and I do think that they're leaky here and I believe West Ham Will score at home so very tempted go for West Ham I was looking at the the the Asian handicap but I thought I'm going to play it City to win both teams to score yes because those those hot dog bets aren't necessarily the way you think you're looking for something at a big price to give you some sort of interest but I when you actually break it down City have got probably too much but I think City will win but it won't be easy I like the a 3-2 City win 3-1 City win but I think both teams are scoring a city to win at plus 155 is the best way to play Rather to take the heavy minus money on the Champions on the road leans in a little bit to Jack's so to speak you've gone for a goal scorer here for West Ham yeah I thought the same process I was kind of hoping I'd be able to get plus one and a half for West Ham and i' have took that but 125 yeah it's just not really floating my boat so I do think they'll score I think it'll be tight um I think lgu will set them up well here play on the Counterattack it will suit their strengths what I've gone for is um Muhammad kudos to score any time he's plus 440 which I think is a big price for a real talented player and the reason behind it Manchester City have changed things a little bit at the back this season um gadio who was more advanced last season is now the the left back who kind of stays and makes a back three Rico Lewis has been playing as a right back for Manchester City and he's bombing on we saw him in the Box hitting the crossbar last weekend so that's where they're going which will leave the space in behind him the one Proviso to this is if they change it pep roulette happens and Kyle Walker comes in they'll probably switch that method around and I'd go the other side but um Kudos scored against on the last day last season so he's got form against them and I say he's a player that um Can exploit his good Pace he can get in behind where the gaps are he like to cut inside he likes to have a shot and I think that could be the area where they'll to try and exploit them a little bit so plus 440 um he's the guy for me is rodri back in this weekend Jack do we know he's missed missed the first couple hasn't he this season yeah I'd imagine he'll they'll leave him out but um whether then he's going to be playing for Spain or not is is another question isn't it but um I think if they leave him out then there's more of a chance that he'll he'll get less game time for Spain than decare it him fit and ready to go again so yeah been interesting one uh let's get to Newcastle Spurs because we move Newcastle v Tottenham on to Sunday's game we've got Nigel's hot dog here we still got the same game parlay to come so stay with us um 8:30 Eastern Sunday for the hot dog from Nigel Newcastle plus 148 Spurs plus 150 draw plus 300 now obviously hot dog last week Niger was Salah to Score first he did score in the game and sometimes I I want to impress Upon Our viewers and listeners look the boys are putting up some tips here but obviously you know you can work it around it a little bit you maybe split your steak and and play first and anytime there are different ways these guys are giving you some good advice you don't have to play it completely as they suggest it because obviously we we're giving you a a big play because that's what we're designed to do for this particular section so Nigel hot dog Newcastle Spurs what what have you found for us here yeah I actually took Theus 127 to score anytime as well but had a smaller Bett on him to score the first goal so it meant it was a winning play so that's a great strategy to listen to the what Jack and I say on all the handicappers on the show and just try to convert sometimes Shan calber gives players plus four and a half or five and a half games it might be worth betting him to win on the money line at six to1 or 5 to1 because it happens invariably more often than not okay let's move on to this match uh goals goals goals just simple as that I mean Newcastle uh this matches this season haven't really produced the goals we would expect but the first match of the first home game the season against South they were down to 10 men after 20 odd minutes and had to play the rest of the game so it changed that complexion of that match which cost us on this show here uh if you look at Tottenham a 4-nil win last week without sanki uh sanki should be back here uh they've got a huge attacking amount of threat son is scoring goals senan creating chances they look a better attacking side them Madison is obviously creating chances for them as well but just go back through the stats I mean 50 goals in the last 12 matches in Newcastle home matches at the end of last season which is averaged 4166 goals per game 49 goals in the last 12 matches away from home in Tottenham games which average about just over four goals a game as well there as well look at this particular picture 41 goals in the last 10 matches between these two both home and away and at um we've got sorry it's 50 goals the last 10 matches between these two both home and away and if you look at the home record just the matches at St James's park for 43 goals in the last 10 matches between these two sides which averages obviously 4.3 goals per game the line is three and a half and it's minus 110 three and a half and sometimes in these matches when you see lies at three and a half and you think well I don't think they just go over by four they go over by five six seven you know when you got a line that's three and a half goals at minus 110 and everyone wants to bet the overs perhaps the value sometimes is to go for the higher goal line four and a half or five and a half that bet Rivers offers so on this occasion very rare you might see this in a season of unders but I'm going to go you I would never thought I'd ever say this agre but my hot dog of the week is over four and a half goals at plus 250 Newcastle V Tottenham the stats back it up but if you think three and a half G minus 110 just go up that move that little line up for four and a half and get a nice juicy price yeah i' i' again i' think I'd split my Stakes here I'd make sure I made made a profit over three and a half but go the extra extra goal as well if you'd have said to to Nigel city five years years ago he'd be giving the xgs of all the games and be going over four and a half I tell you what would beli it wouldn't have happened it would honestly there was as much chance as that me betting four and half and now IIs being reunited what are the chances of that stranger it's a strange week we have got an official one un play from Jack on this one as well correlation maybe goals and Corners I don't know sometimes it doesn't work out obviously um Jack you'll have your own numbers for this bet it is a total correlation yeah I've gone with the same process I was looking at goals in it um and I've gone well look we'll go with the corners because these two sides are really going to attack Nigel's gone through the history the history is there completely where these two teams just go for it there goals Gore all the time as long as there's nothing cly like another red card in this one they're going to go at it like hammer and Tong together whoever takes the lead the other side are going to be all out and the other will be then looking to play on the Counterattack so they both p with loads of width they play play with loads of pace they both have players like to have a shot all the ingredients for corners and they' had a absolute boatload of Corners across their opening game so far this season based on how they play I don't need to go on any more around the games other than I'll just quickly tell you that against Southampton uh Newcastle that had three corners s had 12 obviously the red card played that but 15 in total B uh that was 98 fairly even split there so 17 Corners in that one um Spurs at Leicester they they got 13 Corners themselves um and ConEd two so 15 in that and against Everton there was 17 12 for Tottenham and five for Everton both these sides normally feature well up at the top end of the corner League table come the end of the season they will do again because of how they play and yeah this for me it's a pretty high line but plus money I'm over 11 half Corners at plus 102 that's an official one unit play we've got the same game parlay jacks on duty uh this week Niger went close last week the European show got the SGP in we're still waiting for the premier league boys to cash it's a very Manchester United v Liverpool very different strategy from Nigel and Jack that we've got from Steven James on the European show um you've got three elements here uh Jack talk us through the SGP it's the big game of the week it's Manchester United versus Liverpool Liverpool the minus money favorites united plus 270 give us the same game parley for the big game on Sunday 11 a EAS yeah man United Liverpool pels for Man United fans all week because I went against a Brighton last week I know I'm gonna have them on side this week and I'm gonna get Liverpool fans covering for me big style it's one of those games that's going to split opinion completely down the middle and I'm siding with man united here actually um we can get double chance on them as my first leg so United all the tie is the uh foundations for the same game parlay I'll be honest there's not a load of stats I'm going to back this up on this is just sometimes you bet on on your gut shot or the fact of how you think a game's going to play out and that is how we gone about this one um we saw last season um three games between these two both two games in the lead of course and they met in the FA Cup all three ended all square nil nil at anfield and then there was two two two draws at Old Trafford um so yeah that would obviously mean that this bet lands I think that for ten hog he just seems to pull a result out of the bag when he needs one he's got a little bit of pressure on him after that performance against Brighton and another sloppy late goal conceded at home I think is a little bit different I'm happier to side with them you you can see they're trying to keep things a bit tighter as far as Mayu and casimiro in that kind of hold and role um which brings me on to the second part of it which is Fernandez to score he is the one who's generally pretty Advanced for Manchester United he will also you'd assume be on penalties like he was last season he has scored recently against Liverpool as well so I do think there will be a couple of goals in this game and at this moment in time Fernandez has been like the Talisman I suppose for for United as far as their attacking intense concerned and he's not quite got the reward that his plays deserved and the final part of this um would come in a bit earlier actually it's a halftime tie so I'm going for it to be a tight one I think we've got a water down version Liverpool at this moment under AR slot a decent start for him but look let's face it they've played IP switch who I've already gone on record say as they're rubbish and then we've got um they they played brenford last week so two sides are going to be in that bottom third of the table um and I think AR slot himself said look let's not get too carried away at the minute we've done okay but we've got bigger challenges to come so going to Old Trafford I think man united will will be up for this one the players will be up for this one and they will get a bit of a better better response yes they need to sharpen things up a little bit but I'm taking them to get the job done this is equivalent to me Swinging on a hammock and Dubai I'm going for under um United tie double chance Fernandez to score halftime tie I'm going um at odds of plus 14400 14 to One n your thoughts on uh on the SGP this week uh well listen I love it I love it the fact we're going for it I'm have to work with Steve wion on these plus one 12 I'm not that I'm have to with him boys to stop that I think it's very very early to have a real strong opinion on this on the early season two match form big match like this I think Jack fell into that trap a couple of years ago I don't want to bring it up he this this picture come early a few years ago and I think we we we do get carried away and this is a huge huge picture Liverpool in transition uh you saw slot having a bit of a Barney with Tren Alexander Arnold which doesn't look good as well you know he's he was KS Golden Boy wasn't he last season so that doesn't look well um we can't really gauge Liverpool man united we know they got defensive fraes but they got players to bring in Luke Shaw when he comes back was I think you know not sh it up but I think he'll come in and make it a stronger we know they've got problems but I'm I'm G to play it very safe I I just think Cellar again I think he's got he scores more goals in his F than anybody else any other M team he's played 14 goals in 15 matches against Manchester United including the hatrick so you've got 14 goals in 15 matches against the side man united struggled against the flanks in the last minute of that goal the ball went in on the left hand side there's no one there that is where Salah Cuts in plus 118 to score any time that would be my lead in this match uh one more game very quickly cuz we're running out of time Chelsea versus Paris this is another Sunday game Chelsea v Crystal Palace here Chelsea at minus 167 Jack what's your lean in this one I've gone for over one and a half first half goals plus 110 uh generally because they're both defensively u a bit of a shambles at the moment there might be more departures for Crystal Palace I watched them last night and Norwich nearly scored against them so that shows you how ropey they are at the moment they also had an injur to another Center back um gayi might well be on his way we'll have to see if Newcastle can stump up the cash for that one if he goes it'll be absolute Carnage but um yeah they did look like they could be cut open I said there was a couple of opportunities there obviously chelse have an absolute ridiculous record against them and there's an option to go in on a tie halftime full-time Chelsea but I ended up going with the over one and a half goals because I think the confidence Chelsea got the minute they will fly out of the traps here and I think it's going to be open at both ends of the pitch and EZ Mata can punish them and whoever Chelsea decides to play at that end can can punish him there fast start as far as uh Jack is concerned when it comes to goals for either team what you got for us pretty similar to Jack really I mean Chelsea a minus 167 to win this on the money line and we were absolutely slating them in week one and they're all over the place 84 players they weak wall 6'2 and they're now minus 167 you would never have been minus 67 before that match against wolves you probably would have been about minus 130 so there is a big big move towards Chelsea on the back of one win I do think palis are in transition I do think palis are ASD to fade at the moment uh they a selling Club I think it could all turn really bad at Crystal Palace very very quickly I was actually looking him in the relegation Market because the players they're selling and the players they're bringing in just aren't good enough are pretty much the same as Jack but my best bet here or my lean in this match would be both teams to score and Chelsea to win which is plus 175 I think that's a much better way to get with Chelsea they conceded two at wolves who Al for nothing they' conceded two in their first match first two matches I think patties do have goals but they're going to concede so both teams to score and Chelsea to win at plus 175 chel won the last 14 meetings haven't they as your brother would probably uh testify against Palace that's a good s that's a lovely uh the last 12 have been level at halftime uh Palace a 9 to1 to go down instantly um Jack thanks for your company uh we have overrun a little bit good luck to one and all we'll keep you updated with our Twitter fees just a reminder the boys pel so far of course we are still uh are at the embryonic stages of the season but we'll keep you up dat with all the latest when it comes to the various markets and bets that we have that is a wrap for betting weekly Premier League show we're going to be back in a fortnite's time of course International break coming up uh pick plays hot dogs and so on from then we've got our live show though every single day in the week at 11 a.m. eastern time we got the US Open tennis Nigel you are all packed passport everything all done I'll get someone to do that for me I do that n just get a bag and go we buy all the we all Buy the airport don't wor about that uh Nigel's going to be entertaining us uh via Instagram over the how long you going for 6 days oh my word for six days in New York what could possibly go wrong um make sure you follow us up because we win and subscribe to the YouTube channel plenty more to come from all of the team from all of us for now though on the Premier League show it is goodbye