🔥 2024 Election Map BaseD On LATEST POLLS All 50 States #trump #trump2024 #election #trending #usa

in this video I'll be taking a look at the 2024 electoral map based on the latest polls from all 50 states to see who is the favorite to win the election in November starting with the safe States for Trump we have Montana Idaho Utah Wyoming North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska at large and its first and third districts Kansas Missouri Oklahoma the Louisiana Arkansas Alabama Tennessee Kentucky Indiana West Virginia and Alaska so the GOP starts the race with 110 points moving on to Harris's safe States we have California Connecticut Illinois Hawaii Maryland Massachusetts Vermont DC Delaware Maine's first First District Maine at large New Jersey and New York so with the solid States filled in Harris leads with 159 electoral votes to the former president's 110 however do not count Trump out just yet as the moves he is making in the swing States will shock you moving on to the likely states which will go to the respective candidate by margins between seven and 15 percentage points and are likely to support their respective candidate come November starting with Trump we have Texas which grants the former president a whopping 40 electoral votes according to the latest morning consult poll of 2,940 likely voters Trump holds a nine-point lead over Harris Texas has long been a republican stronghold having voted red in every presidential election since 1980 while recent elections have seen narrowing margins due to Urban growth and increasing diversity in cities like Houston and Austin Trump's substantial support in Rural and Suburban areas has maintained a strong GOP Advantage the current 9-point lead suggests that Trump's popularity in Texas is increasing and could possibly shift the state into the safe category by November South Carolina has been a republican stronghold for over 40 years Trump secured the state by 14.3 points in 2016 and by 11.7 points in 2020 currently he maintains a 14-point lead based on an Emerson College poll it's important to note that this poll only includes Biden at the moment if new polling were conducted the state could very well shift into the safe category for the GOP especially given Robert F Kennedy Jr's growing popularity in South Carolina which may further solidify Republican support Ohio remains firmly in Trump's camp now categorized as a likely Republican state however his lead in the state has decreased the latest morning consult poll of 1,558 likely voters shows Trump with an eight-point advantage over Harris holding 52% % of the vote to her 44% this reflects a slight tightening of the race compared to earlier predictions despite this the Gap still represents a solid Advantage for the former president even with Senator JD Vance as Trump's running mate the gop's support has not increased significantly though Ohio remains a reliable state for Trump heading into November Iowa remains a strong state for Trump with the latest signal poll of 600 likely voters giving him a 12-point lead Trump carried Iowa by 9.4 points against Clinton in 2016 and by 8.2 points over Biden in 2020 the current polling suggests a similar result is likely in November with Trump continuing to hold a solid advantage over Harris in the state ending Trump's likely category with Mississippi which continues to favor the former president staying solidly in the likely category despite being a reliably Red State recent polls show Trump holding a nine-point advantage over Harris while this is still a comfortable lead it's narrower than in previous elections suggesting some softening in the Republican base historically Mississippi has been a republican Fortress with Trump winning by a significant margin of 16.5 points in 2020 and with Trump's strong performance in the likely category he now sits on 188 electoral votes and thus he currently leads Harris by 29 electoral votes however we are now moving on to Harris's likely States so things are going to change very quickly starting in Colorado Harris's lead has just increased with the latest morning consult poll of 498 likely voters showing her ahead by 15 points this places Colorado right on the edge of becoming a safe State for the Democrats the state's shift from a competitive Battleground to a democratic stronghold has been clear over the last few election Cycles while Harris's lead surpasses Biden's 2020 Victory margin of 13 .5 points the progressive electorate especially in areas like Denver and Boulder has further solidified Colorado's status as a reliably Blue State as the 2024 race unfolds this trend appears to be holding firm Virginia remains in the likely category for Harris with the latest poll amongst 10,05 registered voters showing her leading Trump by eight points this places Virginia in the likely Democratic category despite concerns that the state could become more competitive particularly with candidates like Kennedy in the mix Harris's solid lead suggests Virginia is unlikely to shift into the Battleground status the States changing demographics particularly in the heavily populated Suburban areas surrounding Northern Virginia continue to work in favor of Democrats further solidifying Harris's Advantage as the 2024 race unfolds Rhode Island still lacks any polls featuring kamla Harris so we'll have to use Biden's most recent poll as a standin which puts the state at the edge of the likely category for the Democrats with a seven-point advantage while Harris specific polling is yet to emerge Democrats likely remain confident in holding on to Rhode Island come November as the state has consistently voted blue since 1988 moving on to Washington the Democratic party has held a firm grip on the state since 2008 Harris currently leads Trump by 14 points according to a public policy polling survey sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute a partisan sponsor of the Dem Democratic party Washington's steady Democratic leanings are largely driven by its Progressive electorate Harris's emphasis on issues that resonate with these voters such as climate change and healthc Care likely play a significant role in her strong lead within the state additionally Washington's Urban centers particularly Seattle have consistently bolstered Democratic support making it a challenging state for Republicans to penetrate however one must also take into account Kennedy's substantial support here which could lead to a more competitive as we get closer to the election e e e e e e e e e e e e e for