2024 Election Map Based On LATEST POLLS In All 50 States!

new polls have just been released in key swing states that have had a major effect on the election I will be filling in the 2024 Electoral College map based on these recent polls beginning with Trump safe States we have Montana Idaho Utah Wyoming North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska at large and its first and third districts Missouri Oklahoma Louisiana Alabama Tennessee Kentucky West Virginia and Alaska Trump starts the race with a strong Foundation of 87 electoral votes moving to kamla Harris's safe States we can count on California Connecticut Illinois Hawaii Maryland Massachusetts Vermont DC Delaware Maine's First District Maine at large and New York so with the solid States filled in Harris leads with 145 electoral votes to the former president's 87 now we'll move on to the likely states which are the states that will go to either Trump or Harris by margins between 7 and 15 percentage points and don't look like they will flip come November We Begin Trump's likely category with Ohio which remains a stronghold for the former president according to the latest poll from the hill conducted amongst 945 registered voters Trump holds a 10-point lead over Harris although this is a slight de deine from the previous 12-point Advantage it aligns with Ohio's recent electoral history Trump secured the state by 8.1 points in both 2016 and 2020 once a key swing state Ohio has shifted more firmly into the Republican column in recent years largely driven by its Rural and workingclass voters with a solid 10-point lead Ohio is likely to remain in Trump's camp this election cycle South Carolina continues to be a likely state for Trump maintaining its long-standing position as a republican stronghold according to a recent Emerson College poll Trump holds a comfortable 14-point lead over Harris this margin mirrors the results from previous elections where Trump won South Carolina by 14.3 points in 2016 and by 11.7 points in 2020 South Carolina's political landscape has remained largely stable with strong Republican support driven by rural areas and Evangelical voters despite the absence of head-to-head polling between Trump and Harris specifically the historical data suggest that South Carolina will remain firmly in the Republican column this election cycle Mississippi remains in Trump's likely column continuing its history as a reliably read State however recent polling shows Trump leading Harris by nine points a margin that is notably narrower than in past elections in 2020 Trump won Mississippi by 16.5 points highlighting some erosion in the Republican base this cycle despite this shift the state's longstanding Republican support driven by conservative voters ensures that Mississippi is still expected to remain in Trump tr's favor this election cycle moving to Iowa the latest signal poll of 600 likely voters shows Trump with a commanding 12-point lead over Harris this result is consistent with his latest performances in the state where Trump won by 9.4 points in 2016 and 8.2 points in 2020 once a competitive Battleground Iowa has shifted towards being a more reliably Republican state in recent years largely due to its rural conservative voter base and strong support for Trump's populist me message with a solid 12-point lead Iowa appears firmly in Trump's camp for this election cycle making a democratic flip unlikely moving to the blue side starting with Washington which has been a democratic stronghold since 2008 consistently voting blue in presidential elections Harris currently leads Trump by 14 points according to a public policy polling survey sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute this solid Democratic Advantage reflects Washington's political landscape which has shifted decisively to the left and recent decades especially in the urban centers of Seattle surrounding King County the state's strong base of progressive voters combined with its increasing focus on climate change and Tech driven policies has made it a key part of the democratic electoral foundation with such a wide margin Washington is expected to remain comfortably in Harris's column continuing the state's Trend as a reliable Blue State Nebraska's second district a historically competitive area has shifted in favor of Harris now classified as a likely win for the Democratic nominee according to the latest poll from Remington research group conducted among 656 likely voters Harris holds an 8-point lead over Trump this district has been a Battleground in recent elections with Biden winning it by 6.6 points in 2020 marking a significant gain for the Democrats in a state that typically leans Republican Nebraska's second district which includes Omaha and its suburbs has seen changing demographics and political attitudes in the recent years given that it hadn't voted in a presidential election since 2008 if Harris can maintain or grow her lead it would represent a crucial victory for the Democrats in an otherwise conservative state New Hampshire has moved up from the Leaning category in favor of Harris showcasing an interesting electoral Trend in 2016 Clinton narrowly defeated Trump in the state by just 37 points by 2020 Biden expanded that margin to 7.4 points strengthening the Democratic foothold however early 201 24 polls showed a tightening race when Biden was still the presumptive nominee since Harris entered the race she has managed to widen the Gap once again according to the latest poll from the St anlam College Survey Center Harris now holds a seven-point lead over Trump indicating that New Hampshire is likely to stay in the Democratic column as the election approaches Rhode Island remains in the likely category for the Democrats though there haven't been any new polls featuring K haris specifically were currently relying on the most recent polling data with Biden as the Democrat ratic candidate which shows a seven-point lead this places Rhode Island on the edge of the likely category historically the state has been a democratic stronghold consistently voting blue in every presidential election since 1988 despite the lack of direct polling data for Harris Democrats are not overly concerned about losing Rhode Island as its electorate has shown a strong loyalty to the party however the relatively narrow margin suggest that there could be some shifts in voter sentiment worth watching as the campaign progresses Colorado remains firmly Harris's likely column with the latest polling showing her holding a 10-point lead this reflects the state's strong Democratic support in recent years a shift that has been building since the 2008 election when Colorado transitioned from being a swing state to a more reliably blue state in the 2020 election Biden secured Colorado by a substantial margin of 13.5 points further cementing its Democratic lean if Harris maintains her current lead it would continue to solidify Colorado's stat as a democratic stronghold in 2024 bolstered by Progressive Urban centers and a diverse electorate that favors Democratic policies the likely category ends with Harris leading Trump with 176 points to his 125 but things will soon start to shift red with the upcoming polls now we'll be moving on to the Leaning category where the respective candidate is leading by a margin between two and seven points right off the bat we have Arkansas a state that has been loyal to the Republican side for the past six elections and currently remains Republican with a seven-point gap according to a poll conducted by John zogby strategies amongst 385 likely voters putting the state on the verge of becoming a likely State moving to Florida where the latest poll conducted by the hill among 845 likely voters shows Trump with a four-point lead over Harris this is a slight decrease from earlier polling which showed a five-point margin Florida has long been a critical swing state with its large and diverse electorate often reflecting National Trends while Trump still holds an advantage the narrowing margin indicates that Harris is closing the Gap with Florida's 30 electoral votes at stake any further tightening of the race could put the GOP in a challenging position as always Florida will likely be decided by turnout in key areas such as the I4 Corridor and South Florida which could swing the election in either direction Texas has now moved into the lean category for Trump following a new poll by the hill where surveyed 845 likely voters and chose Trump with a three-point lead over Harris this marks a shift from the earlier polling that placed Texas in the likely category for the GOP reflecting the increasingly competitive nature of the state while Texas has been a republican stronghold for decades shifting demographics and urban growth in cities like Houston Dallas and Austin have made the state more contested in recent elections Trump's slim three-point lead suggests that while Texas still leans Republican the race remains closer than in previous cyes making it a key state to watch North Carolina has moved into the lean category for Trump following the latest poll from Patriot polling which surveyed 804 registered voters and chose Trump with a three-point lead over Harris this marks a slight strengthening of Trump's position compared to previous polls where the margin was Slimmer in 2020 Trump narrowly won the state by 1.3 points and while North Carolina has been competitive this new lead suggests a more stable Republican Advantage heading into November with its 15 electoral votes North Carolina remains a key state for both campaigns but Trump's current Edge places it firmly in his colum for now Indiana traditionally a republican stronghold now shows a surprisingly narrow four-point lead for Trump according to the latest poll from John zogby strategies conducted amongst 418 likely voters this is a significant drop from Trump's 2020 margin when he won the state by over 16 points the shrinking lead in Indiana reflects a broader trend of races in states that have been reliably read possibly driven by changes in voter demographics and shifting Suburban attitudes while Indiana remains in the lean category for Trump the narrower margin could signal an opening for Democrats to close the gap if the trends continue Kansas remains in Trump's lean category with the latest polling showing a five-point lead for the former president this is a notable decrease from the double- digit margins Kansas has provided Republicans in the past Trump won Kansas by 14 points in 2020 but this smaller margin indicates a shift potentially driven by changing demographics and political Dynamics within the state Trump ends his leaning States and now sits at 234 Electoral College votes not far off from the magical number 270 starting Harris's leaning states with main second district which has leaned Republican in recent Cycles now shows a five-point lead for Harris according to a new poll by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center conducted amongst 432 likely voters this District known for its independent streak voted for Trump by a margin of 7.4 points in 2016 and 7.3 points in 2020 making the new polling data particularly noteworthy Minnesota also finds itself in the lean category for Harris with the latest polling data showing a slight Edge for the Democratic candidate according to a new poll conducted by survey USA among 635 likely voters Harris leads Trump by Five Points this margin indicates that while Minnesota continues to lean Democratic the race is still competitive in both 2016 and 201 20 Minnesota leaned towards the Democrats with Biden winning by 7.1 points in 2020 Harris's current five-point lead suggests a tightening race compared to previous elections likely driven by shifting voter Dynamics and increased Republican efforts to appeal to Suburban and Rural voters Minesota status as a key state to watch remains unchanged and both campaigns are likely to intensify their efforts as election day approaches moving on to New Mexico we can see Harris currently leading by a margin of seven points meaning the margin is 1 once again tightening in this state furthermore this data is even more shocking for the DNC when compared to Biden's win of 10.8 points in 2020 the closing Gap could be due to Trump's increasing popularity among Hispanic voters which is making the race in New Mexico more competitive than expected Virginia has now moved into Harris's lean category with a new survey conducted by quantis PS and news among 629 registered voters this is significant as the state previously pulled in favor of Donald Trump on the other hand Oregon seems to be going in the opposite direction it was a deep blue state for Biden with 16.1 points in 2020 and the early polls in 2024 kept it in the likely category with a margin of double digits however ever since Harris joined the party the gap for the DNC has been more than haved in this state dropping it down to the lean category with a five-point lead according to the Hoffman research group poll conducted among 700 likely voters and with the Leaning category out of the way Donald Trump now le needs Harris with 234 points to her 2133 points but now it is time for the swing States the states where the election will be won and lost come November these are the ones that present a margin of two points or lower Georgia remains one of the most fiercely contested Battleground States and the latest poll from Patriot polling conducted amongst 8814 registered voters now shows Trump with a narrow one-point lead over Harris this razor thin margin underscores just how competitive Georgia has become in recent election Cycles in 2020 Biden narrowly won the state by only 24 points flipping it blue for the first time since 1992 Trump's slight lead here suggests his campaign is resonating with key demographics particularly in suburban and rural areas with such a tight race Georgia remains a pivotal state that could play a decisive role in determining the outcome of the election New Jersey was a deep blue state in 2020 by 15.9 points now the latest poll by United 20 24 a republican sponsored poll shows a flip of two points for Trump amongst 477 registered voters Arizona continues to be a critical Battleground State and the latest poll from Patriot polling conducted amongst 814 registered voters now gives Trump a twoo lead over Harris this is an improvement from earlier polls where Trump's margin was narrower the shift towards Trump reflects the ongoing challenges for Democrats in this border state which shares a significant border with Mexico a factor that has played a key role in shap in voter sentiment in 2016 Trump won Arizona by 3.5 points but the state flipped to Biden by just 31 points in 2020 with a slim two-point lead Arizona remains highly competitive but Trump currently has the edge heading into the final stretch of the campaign Michigan has now moved into the Battleground category with the latest yugov poll conducted amongst 1,78 likely voters showing Harris holding a narrow onepoint lead over Trump this tight margin highlights Michigan's continued role as a critical swing state one that has swung between the two major parties in recent elections in 20120 Biden narrowly won Michigan by 2.8 points reversing Trump's 2016 victory in the state with the race now even closer both campaigns are likely to focus heavily on Michigan's 15 electoral votes recognizing its pivotal role in determining the outcome of the 2024 election Wisconsin remains a key Battleground with with a new yugov poll conducted amongst 946 likely voters showing Harris leading Trump by a slim two-point margin this narrow lead reflects the state's highly competitive nature as Wisconsin has consistently been a Battleground in recent presidential elections in 2020 Biden won Wisconsin by just 63 points highlighting its razor thin margins with the state's 10 electoral votes up for grabs both campaigns are expected to invest significant resources in securing wiscons as it could play a decisive role in determining the overall outcome of the 2024 election Nevada and Pennsylvania are the states that currently present a tie meaning they will not fall to either candidate this means as the race stands today Donald Trump takes the victory with 276 points to Harris's 238 points